Outcomes After TIPS for Ascites and Variceal Bleeding in a Contemporary Era-An ALTA Group Study

Radiological and Surgical Treatments of Portal Hypertension

Interventions for portal hypertension are continuously evolving and expanding beyond the realm of medical management. When complications such as varices and ascites persist despite conservative interventions, procedures including transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt creation, transvenous obliteration, portal vein recanalization, splenic artery embolization, surgical shunt creation, and devascularization are all potential interventions detailed in this article. Selection of the optimal procedure to address the underlying cause, treat symptoms, and, in some cases, bridge to liver transplantation depends on the specific etiology of portal hypertension and the patient's comorbidities.

MELD 3.0 in Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

The MELD (model for end-stage liver disease) 3.0 score was developed to replace the MELD-Na score that is currently used to prioritize liver allocation for cirrhotic patients awaiting liver transplantation in the United States. The MELD 3.0 calculator includes new inputs from patient sex and serum albumin levels and has new weights for serum sodium, bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and creatinine levels. It is expected that use of MELD 3.0 scores will reduce overall waitlist mortality modestly and improve access for female liver transplant candidates. The utility of MELD 3.0 and PELDcre (pediatric end-stage liver disease, creatinine) scores for risk stratification in cirrhotic patients undergoing major abdominal surgery, placement of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt, and other interventions requires further study. This article reviews the background of the MELD score and the rationale to create MELD 3.0 as well as potential implications of using this newer risk stratification tool in clinical practice.

Portal Venous Remodeling Determines the Pattern of Cirrhosis Decompensation: A Systems Analysis

INTRODUCTION

As liver disease progresses, scarring results in worsening hemodynamics ultimately culminating in portal hypertension. This process has classically been quantified through the portosystemic pressure gradient (PSG), which is clinically estimated by hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG); however, PSG alone does not predict a given patient's clinical trajectory regarding the Baveno stage of cirrhosis. We hypothesize that a patient's PSG sensitivity to venous remodeling could explain disparate disease trajectories.

METHODS

We created a computational model of the portal system in the context of worsening liver disease informed by physiologic measurements from the field of portal hypertension. We simulated progression of clinical complications, HVPG, and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement while only varying a patient's likelihood of portal venous remodeling.

RESULTS

Our results unify hemodynamics, venous remodeling, and the clinical progression of liver disease into a mathematically consistent model of portal hypertension. We find that by varying how sensitive patients are to create venous collaterals with rising PSG we can explain variation in patterns of decompensation for patients with liver disease. Specifically, we find that patients who have higher proportions of portosystemic shunting earlier in disease have an attenuated rise in HVPG, delayed onset of ascites, and less hemodynamic shifting after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement.

DISCUSSION

This article builds a computational model of portal hypertension which supports that patient-level differences in venous remodeling may explain disparate clinical trajectories of disease.

The Diagnosis and Non-pharmacological Management of Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with Cirrhosis

Acute kidney injury in patients with cirrhosis is quite common, and is seen in up to 50% of patients hospitalized for decompensated cirrhosis. Causes of acute kidney injury include prerenal, renal, or postrenal etiologies. The diagnosis and early institution of nonpharmacologic and pharmacologic management are key to the recovery of renal function. The objective of this review is to provide a practical approach to the use of diagnostic biomarkers and highlight the nonpharmacologic management and prevention of acute kidney injury.

The Added Value of Sarcopenia on Existing Risk Scores to Predict Mortality after TIPS Placement: A Multicenter Study

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Multiple prognostic scores have been applied for predicting survival after TIPS placement. The aim was to evaluate the added value of sarcopenia on existing risk scores and develop a sarcopenia-based scoring system for survival prediction and risk stratification.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In the derivation cohort of 386 cirrhotic patients undergoing TIPS, five risk scores (Child-Pugh, MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and FIPS) were compared for prediction of short- and long-term mortality after TIPS. Sarcopenia was diagnosed based on the L3 skeletal muscle index and was incorporated into existing scores to assess its added value. A novel sarcopenia-based score was developed and externally validated in an independent cohort of 198 patients undergoing TIPS.

RESULTS

Among existing scores, the FIPS score showed the highest discrimination (c-index: 0.756-0.783) and calibration (Brier score: 0.059-0.127). Besides, the FIPS score was significantly associated with the severity of baseline sarcopenia and reversal of sarcopenia after TIPS. The inclusion of sarcopenia improved discrimination of existing scores in different degrees and sarcopenia could stratify the low-risk categories deemed by these scores. A FIPS-sarcopenia score was developed, showing superior discrimination over existing scores (c-index: 0.777-0.804 in the derivation cohort, 0.738-0.788 in the validation cohort). With a determined cutoff of 0.8, this score allowed for the identification of two prognostic subgroups with distinct prognoses.

CONCLUSION

FIPS score was highly correlated with the severity of sarcopenia and sarcopenia reversal after TIPS, and sarcopenia could improve the prognostic ability of existing scores. A FIPS-sarcopenia score was developed and validated, showing improved survival prediction and risk stratification.

Change in Platelet Count after Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Creation: An Advancing Liver Therapeutic Approaches (ALTA) Group Study

PURPOSE

To evaluate recovery of platelet count after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation and patient factors predicting platelet recovery after TIPS creation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Adults with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS creation at 9 U.S. hospitals from 2010 to 2015 were included in this retrospective analysis. Change in platelets from before TIPS to 4 months after TIPS creation was characterized. Logistic regression was used to assess factors associated with top quartile percentage platelet increase after TIPS. Subgroup analyses were performed among patients with a pre-TIPS platelet count of ≤50 ×109/L.

RESULTS

A total of 601 patients were included. The median absolute change in platelets was 1 × 109/L (-26 × 109/L to 25 × 109/L). Patients with top quartile percent platelet increase experienced ≥32% platelet increase. In multivariable analysis, pre-TIPS platelet counts (odds ratio [OR], 0.97 per 109/L; 95% CI, 0.97-0.98), age (OR, 1.24 per 5 years; 95% CI, 1.10-1.39), and pre-TIPS model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores (OR, 1.06 per point; 95% CI, 1.02-1.09) were associated with top quartile (≥32%) platelet increase. Ninety-four (16%) patients had a platelet count of ≤50 × 109/L before TIPS. The median absolute platelet change was 14 × 109/L (2 × 109/L to 34 × 109/L). Fifty-four percent of patients in this subgroup were in the top quartile for platelet increase. In multivariable logistic regression, age (OR, 1.50 per 5 years; 95% CI, 1.11-2.02) was the only factor associated with top quartile platelet increase in this subgroup.

CONCLUSIONS

TIPS creation did not result in significant platelet increase, except among patients with a platelet count of ≤50 × 109/L before TIPS. Lower pre-TIPS platelet counts, older age, and higher pre-TIPS MELD scores were associated with top quartile (≥32%) platelet increase in the entire cohort, whereas only older age was associated with this outcome in the patient subset with a pre-TIPS platelet count of ≤50 × 109/L.

To TIPS or Not to TIPS in High Risk of Variceal Rebleeding and Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Variceal bleeding is a consequence of severe portal hypertension in patients with liver cirrhosis. Although the rate of bleeding has decreased over time, variceal bleeding in the presence of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) carries a high risk of treatment failure and short-term mortality. Treatment and/or removal of precipitating events (mainly bacterial infection and alcoholic hepatitis) and decrease of portal pressure may improve outcome of patients with acute decompensation or ACLF. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts (TIPSs), especially in the preemptive situation, have been found to efficiently control bleeding, prevent rebleeding, and reduce short-term mortality. Therefore, TIPS placement should be considered as an option in the management of ACLF patients with variceal bleeding.

Consider hospice in end-stage liver disease prognostic scale to open discussions regarding six-month mortality

Background and Aim

Hospice is underutilized in the management of patients with end-stage liver disease and may improve the patient experience at the end of life. This study aims to create a novel prognostic scale to accurately predict 6-month mortality to more comprehensively facilitate hospice referral.

Methods

Sociodemographic, clinical, and laboratory variables associated with mortality from the United Network for Organ Sharing database were tested in univariate analysis followed by multivariate analyses with four predictor groups: Demographics, Diagnoses, Complexities, and Laboratory studies to develop the hospice in end-stage liver disease prognostic scale (HELP) scale (70% sample, N = 13 516) followed with replication in a 30% (N = 5792) internal validation sample.

Results

Only the predictor groups of Complexities and Laboratory studies met the c-statistic threshold of 0.70 for inclusion in the multivariate analyses. Backward elimination in the final logistic regression and validated weighted transformation procedure resulted in: HELP scale = (functional status × 11) + (ascites × 3) + (SBP × 3) + (HE × 4) + (dialysis × 5) + (TIPS × -3) + (albumin × -3) + (MELD-Na ≥ 21 × 20). HELP scale had a strong predictive value for six-month mortality with Area under the Receiver Operating Curve (AUROC) 0.816 and replicated in the validation sample.

Conclusion

HELP scale is a novel prognostic score utilizing the strength of model of end-stage liver disease-sodium (MELD-Na), along with clinical factors, for a more nuanced assessment of six-month mortality. This scale can provide an individualized approach in opening discussions of hospice referral and may be better accepted by patients and providers given its contextualization of important clinical factors.

Identifying optimal candidates for post-TIPS patients with HCC undergoing TACE: a multicenter observational study

OBJECTIVE

To develop a prognostic model for post-transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) beyond the Milan criteria treated by transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

DESIGN

Between January 2013 and January 2020, 512 patients with HCC beyond the Milan criteria who underwent TACE after TIPS were retrospectively recruited from 15 tertiary centers. Patients were randomly sorted into a training set (n = 382) and a validation set (n = 130). Medical data and overall survival were assessed. A prediction model was developed using multivariate Cox regression analyses. Predictive performance and discrimination were evaluated and compared with other prognostic models.

RESULTS

Vascular invasion, log₁₀(AFP), 1/creatinine, extrahepatic spread, and log₁₀(ALT) were the most significant prognostic factors of survival. These five parameters were included in a new VACEA score. This score was able to stratify patients in the training set into four distinct risk grades whose median overall survival were 25.2, 15.1, 8.9, and 6.2 months, respectively. The 6-month, 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year AUROC values and C-index of the VACEA model were 0.819, 0.806, 0.779, 0.825, and 0.735, respectively, and higher than those of other seven currently available models in both the training and validation sets, as well as in different subgroups.

CONCLUSION

The VACEA score could stratify post-TIPS patients with HCC beyond the Milan criteria treated by TACE and help to identify candidates who benefit from this treatment.

KEY POINTS

• Vascular invasion, AFP, creatinine, extrahepatic spread, and ALT were independent significant prognostic factors of survival for HCC patients who underwent TACE after TIPS. • Our new model, named VACEA score, can accurately predict prognosis at the individual level and stratify patients into four distinct risk grades. • The VACEA model showed better prognostic discrimination and calibration than other current TACE-/TIPS-specific models Graphical abstract.

A comprehensive review of prognostic scoring systems to predict survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement

Patient prognosis after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement is relatively poor and highly heterogeneous; therefore, a prognostic scoring system is essential for survival prediction and risk stratification. Conventional scores include the Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP) and model for end‐stage liver disease (MELD) scores. The CTP score was created empirically and displayed a high correlation with post‐TIPS survival. However, the inclusion of subjective parameters and the use of discrete cut‐offs limit its utility. The advantages of the MELD score include its statistical validation and objective and readily available predictors that contribute to its broad application in clinical practice to predict post‐TIPS outcomes. In addition, multiple modifications of the MELD score, by incorporating additional predictors (e.g., MELD‐Sodium and MELD‐Sarcopenia scores), adjusting coefficients (recalibrated MELD score), or combined (MELD 3.0), have been proposed to improve the prognostic ability of the standard MELD score. Despite several updates to conventional scores, a prognostic score has been proposed (based on contemporary data) specifically for outcome prediction after TIPS placement. However, this novel score (the Freiburg index of post‐TIPS survival, FIPS) exhibited inconsistent discrimination in external validation studies, and its superiority over conventional scores remains undetermined. Additionally, several tools display potential for application in specific TIPS indications (e.g., bilirubin‐platelet grade for refractory ascites), and biomarkers of systemic inflammation, nutritional status, liver disease progression, and cardiac decompensation may provide additional value, but require further validation. Future studies should consider the effect of TIPS placement when exploring predictors, as TIPS is a pathophysiological approach that substantially alters systemic hemodynamics and ameliorates bacterial translocation and malnutrition.

Outcomes of idiopathic versus secondary nodular regenerative hyperplasia of the liver: A longitudinal study of 167 cases

BACKGROUND

Nodular regenerative hyperplasia (NRH) is a rare condition characterized clinically by the development of non-cirrhotic portal hypertension. NRH is the histopathological result in the liver of various systemic disease processes including autoimmune disorders, haematological malignancies and medications. However, natural history of this condition has been limited to small case series while patient outcomes pertaining to different aetiologies of NRH are largely unknown.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of consecutive patients diagnosed with pathology-confirmed NRH at Mayo Clinic between 2002 and 2017 was identified. The histological diagnosis of NRH was determined by expert liver pathologists. Patients with metastatic liver disease, history of liver transplantation or younger than 18 were excluded. Potential aetiologies of NRH were classified as haematological, rheumatological, drug-associated, miscellaneous or idiopathic. Long-term mortality was analysed using Kaplan-Meier estimation and Cox regression models.

RESULTS

One hundred and sixty-seven consecutive patients with pathology-confirmed NRH were analysed over a 15-year period and followed for a median time of 50 months (1-306 months). The mean age at diagnosis was 53 years. No aetiology or risk factor for NRH was identified in the majority of patients (94, 56.3%), whereas an associated, possibly causal, condition was found in 73 patients (secondary NRH). The most common presenting feature was elevated liver tests (80%), but no significant differences in laboratory tests were seen based on aetiology of NRH. Compared to idiopathic NRH, those with an identified cause had a higher rate of splenomegaly at presentation (54% vs. 27%, p = 0.002). Portal hypertension-related complications at diagnosis were common, with ascites present in one-third of patients. Overall transplant-free survival was 63% at 5 years. Median survival in idiopathic NRH was 9.4 years compared to 7.3 years in secondary NRH. Age, renal function and volume status at presentation were significantly associated with survival; however, MELD score was not.

CONCLUSIONS

The rates of liver-related complications and mortality in NRH are low, and only a small number of patients ultimately require liver transplantation. Most patients do not have an identified risk factor or aetiology for NRH, and liver-related outcomes do not appear to differ based on associated, possibly causal, conditions.

FIPS Score for Prediction of Survival After TIPS Placement: External Validation and Comparison With Traditional Risk Scores in a Cohort of Chinese Patients With Cirrhosis

Background: Various prognostic scores for patients with chronic liver disease have been applied for predicting survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement. In 2021, the Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival (FIPS) score was developed specifically for predicting survival after TIPS placement. The score has exhibited variable performance in initial investigations conducted in German and U.S. cohorts. Objective: To compare utility of FIPS score and traditional scoring systems for predicting post-TIPS survival in a cohort of Chinese patients with cirrhosis. Methods: This retrospective validation study compared four prognostic scores [Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), sodium MELD (MELD-Na), CLIF Consortium Acute Decompensation (CLIF-C AD), and FIPS] in 383 patients (mean age, 54.9±11.7 years; 249 men, 134 women) with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS placement (341 for variceal bleeding, 42 for refractory ascites) at Wuhan Union Hospital between January 2016 and August 2021. Model performance was assessed in terms of discrimination (using concordance index) and calibration (using Brier score and observed-to-predicted ratios) for 6-, 12- and 24-month post-TIPS survival. Discrimination was further stratified by TIPS indication. Risk stratification was performed using previously proposed cutoffs for each score. Results: During postprocedural follow-up, 72 (18.8%) patients died. Discriminative performance for 6-month survival was highest for FIPS score (concordance index 0.784), followed by CLIF-C AD (0.743), MELD-Na (0.699), and MELD (0.694). FIPS score also showed highest calibration in terms of higher Brier scores and observed-to-predicted ratios closer to 1, as well as strongest prognostic performance for 12-month and 24-month survival and in subgroups of patients who underwent TIPS placement for either variceal bleeding or refractory ascites (except for similar performance of FIPS and CLIF-C AD in refractory ascites subgroup). When applying prior cutoffs, among patients classified as low risk by the other scores, further application of FIPS score was significantly associated with survival. Conclusion: FIPS score outperformed traditional risk scores in predicting post-TIPS survival in patients with cirrhosis. Clinical Impact: The findings support utility of FIPS score in differentiating patients who are optimal candidates for TIPS placement versus those at high risk who may instead warrant close monitoring and early liver transplantation.