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Jahanjoo F, Asghari-Jafarabadi M, Sadeghi-Bazargani H. A hybrid of regularization method and generalized path analysis: modeling single-vehicle run-off-road crashes in a cross-sectional study. BMC Med Res Methodol 2023; 23:221. [PMID: 37803251 PMCID: PMC10557333 DOI: 10.1186/s12874-023-02041-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2022] [Accepted: 09/25/2023] [Indexed: 10/08/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Determining risk factors of single-vehicle run-off-road (SV-ROR) crashes, as a significant number of all the single-vehicle crashes and all the fatalities, may provide infrastructure for quicker and more effective safety measures to explore the influencing and moderating variables in SV-ROR. Therefore, this paper emphasizes utilizing a hybrid of regularization method and generalized path analysis for studying SV-ROR crashes to identify variables influencing their happening and severity. METHODS This cross-sectional study investigated 724 highway SV-ROR crashes from 2015 to 2016. To drive the key variables influencing SV-ROR crashes Ridge, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (Lasso), and Elastic net regularization methods were implemented. The goodness of fit of utilized methods in a testing sample was assessed using the deviance and deviance ratio. A hybrid of Lasso regression (LR) and generalized path analysis (gPath) was used to detect the cause and mediators of SV-ROR crashes. RESULTS Findings indicated that the final modified model fitted the data accurately with [Formula: see text]= 16.09, P < .001, [Formula: see text]/ degrees of freedom = 5.36 > 5, CFI = .94 > .9, TLI = .71 < .9, RMSEA = 1.00 > .08 (90% CI = (.06 to .15)). Also, the presence of passenger (odds ratio (OR) = 2.31, 95% CI = (1.73 to 3.06)), collision type (OR = 1.21, 95% CI = (1.07 to 1.37)), driver misconduct (OR = 1.54, 95% CI = (1.32 to 1.79)) and vehicle age (OR = 2.08, 95% CI = (1.77 to 2.46)) were significant cause of fatality outcome. The proposed causal model identified collision type and driver misconduct as mediators. CONCLUSIONS The proposed HLR-gPath model can be considered a useful theoretical structure to describe how the presence of passenger, collision type, driver misconduct, and vehicle age can both predict and mediate fatality among SV-ROR crashes. While notable progress has been made in implementing road safety measures, it is essential to emphasize that operative preventative measures still remain the most effective approach for reducing the burden of crashes, considering the critical components identified in this study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fatemeh Jahanjoo
- Road Traffic Injury Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, 5167846311, East Azerbaijan, Islamic Republic of Iran
| | - Mohammad Asghari-Jafarabadi
- Road Traffic Injury Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, 5167846311, East Azerbaijan, Islamic Republic of Iran.
- Cabrini Research, Cabrini Health, Malvern, VIC, 3144, Australia.
- Biostatistics Unit, School of Public Health and Preventative Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.
- Department of Psychiatry, School of Clinical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, 3168, Australia.
| | - Homayoun Sadeghi-Bazargani
- Road Traffic Injury Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, 5167846311, East Azerbaijan, Islamic Republic of Iran.
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Jahanjoo F, Sadeghi-Bazargani H, Mansournia MA, Hosseini ST, Asghari-Jafarabadi M. A Hybrid of Random Forests and Generalized Path Analysis: A Causal Modeling of Crashes in 52,524 Suburban Areas. J Res Health Sci 2023; 23:e00581. [PMID: 37571952 PMCID: PMC10422137 DOI: 10.34172/jrhs.2023.116] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/15/2023] [Revised: 04/17/2023] [Accepted: 05/21/2023] [Indexed: 08/13/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Determining suburban area crashes' risk factors may allow for early and operative safety measures to find the main risk factors and moderating effects of crashes. Therefore, this paper has focused on a causal modeling framework. STUDY DESIGN A cross-sectional study. METHODS In this study, 52524 suburban crashes were investigated from 2015 to 2016. The hybrid-random-forest-generalized-path-analysis technique (HRF-gPath) was used to extract the main variables and identify mediators and moderators. RESULTS This study analyzed 42 explanatory variables using a RF model, and it was found that collision type, distinct, driver misconduct, speed, license, prior cause, plaque description, vehicle maneuver, vehicle type, lighting, passenger presence, seatbelt use, and land use were significant factors. Further analysis using g-Path demonstrated the mediating and predicting roles of collision type, vehicle type, seatbelt use, and driver misconduct. The modified model fitted the data well, with statistical significance ( χ230 =81.29, P<0.001) and high values for comparative-fit-index and Tucker-Lewis-index exceeding 0.9, as well as a low root-mean-square-error-of-approximation of 0.031 (90% confidence interval: 0.030-0.032). CONCLUSION The results of our study identified several significant variables, including collision type, vehicle type, seatbelt use, and driver misconduct, which played mediating and predicting roles. These findings provide valuable insights into the complex factors that contribute to collisions via a theoretical framework and can inform efforts to reduce their occurrence in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fatemeh Jahanjoo
- Road Traffic Injury Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
| | | | - Mohammad Ali Mansournia
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Seyyed Teymoor Hosseini
- Department of Engineering Traffic and Transportation, Faculty of the Traffic, Tehran University, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mohammad Asghari-Jafarabadi
- Road Traffic Injury Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
- Cabrini Research, Cabrini Health, Malvern, VIC 3144, Australia
- Biostatistics Unit, School of Public Health and Preventative Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia
- Department of Psychiatry, School of Clinical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, VIC 3168, Australia
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Meteier Q, Capallera M, de Salis E, Angelini L, Carrino S, Widmer M, Abou Khaled O, Mugellini E, Sonderegger A. A dataset on the physiological state and behavior of drivers in conditionally automated driving. Data Brief 2023; 47:109027. [PMID: 36942102 PMCID: PMC10023958 DOI: 10.1016/j.dib.2023.109027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2022] [Revised: 02/20/2023] [Accepted: 02/22/2023] [Indexed: 03/06/2023] Open
Abstract
This dataset contains data of 346 drivers collected during six experiments conducted in a fixed-base driving simulator. Five studies simulated conditionally automated driving (L3-SAE), and the other one simulated manual driving (L0-SAE). The dataset includes physiological data (electrocardiogram (ECG), electrodermal activity (EDA), and respiration (RESP)), driving and behavioral data (reaction time, steering wheel angle, …), performance data of non-driving-related tasks, and questionnaire responses. Among them, measures from standardized questionnaires were collected, either to control the experimental manipulation of the driver's state, or to measure constructs related to human factors and driving safety (drowsiness, mental workload, affective state, situation awareness, situational trust, user experience). In the provided dataset, some raw data have been processed, notably physiological data from which physiological indicators (or features) have been calculated. The latter can be used as input for machine learning models to predict various states (sleep deprivation, high mental workload, ...) that may be critical for driver safety. Subjective self-reported measures can also be used as ground truth to apply regression techniques. Besides that, statistical analyses can be performed using the dataset, in particular to analyze the situational awareness or the takeover quality of drivers, in different states and different driving scenarios. Overall, this dataset contributes to better understanding and consideration of the driver's state and behavior in conditionally automated driving. In addition, this dataset stimulates and inspires research in the fields of physiological/affective computing and human factors in transportation, and allows companies from the automotive industry to better design adapted human-vehicle interfaces for safe use of automated vehicles on the roads.
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Affiliation(s)
- Quentin Meteier
- HumanTech Institute, University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Western Switzerland, HES-SO, Boulevard de Pérolles 80, Fribourg, 1700, Switzerland
| | - Marine Capallera
- HumanTech Institute, University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Western Switzerland, HES-SO, Boulevard de Pérolles 80, Fribourg, 1700, Switzerland
| | - Emmanuel de Salis
- Haute-Ecole Arc Ingénierie, University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Western Switzerland, HES-SO, Rue de la Serre 7, Saint-Imier, 2610, Switzerland
| | - Leonardo Angelini
- HumanTech Institute, University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Western Switzerland, HES-SO, Boulevard de Pérolles 80, Fribourg, 1700, Switzerland
- School of Management Fribourg, University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Western Switzerland, HES-SO, Chemin du Musée 4, Fribourg, 1700, Switzerland
| | - Stefano Carrino
- Haute-Ecole Arc Ingénierie, University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Western Switzerland, HES-SO, Rue de la Serre 7, Saint-Imier, 2610, Switzerland
| | - Marino Widmer
- University of Fribourg, Department of Informatics, Boulevard de Pérolles 90, Fribourg, 1700, Switzerland
| | - Omar Abou Khaled
- HumanTech Institute, University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Western Switzerland, HES-SO, Boulevard de Pérolles 80, Fribourg, 1700, Switzerland
| | - Elena Mugellini
- HumanTech Institute, University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Western Switzerland, HES-SO, Boulevard de Pérolles 80, Fribourg, 1700, Switzerland
| | - Andreas Sonderegger
- Bern University of Applied Sciences, Business School, Institute for New Work, Brückenstrasse 73, Bern, 3005, Switzerland
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Iqbal T, Elahi A, Wijns W, Amin B, Shahzad A. Improved Stress Classification Using Automatic Feature Selection from Heart Rate and Respiratory Rate Time Signals. APPLIED SCIENCES 2023; 13:2950. [DOI: 10.3390/app13052950] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/01/2023]
Abstract
Time-series features are the characteristics of data periodically collected over time. The calculation of time-series features helps in understanding the underlying patterns and structure of the data, as well as in visualizing the data. The manual calculation and selection of time-series feature from a large temporal dataset are time-consuming. It requires researchers to consider several signal-processing algorithms and time-series analysis methods to identify and extract meaningful features from the given time-series data. These features are the core of a machine learning-based predictive model and are designed to describe the informative characteristics of the time-series signal. For accurate stress monitoring, it is essential that these features are not only informative but also well-distinguishable and interpretable by the classification models. Recently, a lot of work has been carried out on automating the extraction and selection of times-series features. In this paper, a correlation-based time-series feature selection algorithm is proposed and evaluated on the stress-predict dataset. The algorithm calculates a list of 1578 features of heart rate and respiratory rate signals (combined) using the tsfresh library. These features are then shortlisted to the more specific time-series features using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Pearson, Kendall, and Spearman correlation ranking techniques. A comparative study of conventional statistical features (like, mean, standard deviation, median, and mean absolute deviation) versus correlation-based selected features is performed using linear (logistic regression), ensemble (random forest), and clustering (k-nearest neighbours) predictive models. The correlation-based selected features achieved higher classification performance with an accuracy of 98.6% as compared to the conventional statistical feature’s 67.4%. The outcome of the proposed study suggests that it is vital to have better analytical features rather than conventional statistical features for accurate stress classification.
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Affiliation(s)
- Talha Iqbal
- Smart Sensor Lab, Lambe Institute of Translational Research, College of Medicine, Nursing Health Sciences, University of Galway, H91 TK33 Galway, Ireland
| | - Adnan Elahi
- Electrical and Electronic Engineering, University of Galway, H91 TK33 Galway, Ireland
| | - William Wijns
- Smart Sensor Lab, Lambe Institute of Translational Research, College of Medicine, Nursing Health Sciences, University of Galway, H91 TK33 Galway, Ireland
- CÚRAM Center for Research in Medical Devices, H91 W2TY Galway, Ireland
| | - Bilal Amin
- Smart Sensor Lab, Lambe Institute of Translational Research, College of Medicine, Nursing Health Sciences, University of Galway, H91 TK33 Galway, Ireland
- Electrical and Electronic Engineering, University of Galway, H91 TK33 Galway, Ireland
| | - Atif Shahzad
- Smart Sensor Lab, Lambe Institute of Translational Research, College of Medicine, Nursing Health Sciences, University of Galway, H91 TK33 Galway, Ireland
- Centre for Systems Modelling and Quantitative Biomedicine (SMQB), University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK
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Jahanjoo F, Sadeghi-Bazargani H, Asghari-Jafarabadi M. Modeling road traffic fatalities in Iran's six most populous provinces, 2015-2016. BMC Public Health 2022; 22:2234. [PMID: 36451170 PMCID: PMC9710022 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-022-14678-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2022] [Accepted: 11/21/2022] [Indexed: 12/03/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Prevention of road traffic injuries (RTIs) as a critical public health issue requires coordinated efforts. We aimed to model influential factors related to traffic safety. METHODS In this cross-sectional study, the information from 384,614 observations recorded in Integrated Road Traffic Injury Registry System (IRTIRS) in a one-year period (March 2015-March 2016) was analyzed. All registered crashes from Tehran, Isfan, Fras, Razavi Khorasan, Khuzestan, and East Azerbaijan provinces, the six most populated provinces in Iran, were included in this study. The variables significantly associated with road traffic fatality in the uni-variate analysis were included in the multiple logistic regression. RESULTS According to the multiple logistic regression, thirty-two out of seventy-one different variables were identified to be significantly associated with road traffic fatality. The results showed that the crash scene significantly related factors were passenger presence(OR = 4.95, 95%CI = (4.54-5.40)), pedestrians presence(OR = 2.60, 95%CI = (1.75-3.86)), night-time crashes (OR = 1.64, 95%CI = (1.52-1.76)), rainy weather (OR = 1.32, 95%CI = (1.06-1.64)), no intersection control (OR = 1.40, 95%CI = (1.29-1.51)), double solid line(OR = 2.21, 95%CI = (1.31-3.74)), asphalt roads(OR = 1.95, 95%CI = (1.39-2.73)), nonresidential areas(OR = 2.15, 95%CI = (1.93-2.40)), vulnerable-user presence(OR = 1.70, 95%CI = (1.50-1.92)), human factor (OR = 1.13, 95%CI = (1.03-1.23)), multiple first causes (OR = 2.81, 95%CI = (2.04-3.87)), fatigue as prior cause(OR = 1.48, 95%CI = (1.27-1.72)), irregulation as direct cause(OR = 1.35, 95%CI = (1.20-1.51)), head-on collision(OR = 3.35, 95%CI = (2.85-3.93)), tourist destination(OR = 1.95, 95%CI = (1.69-2.24)), suburban areas(OR = 3.26, 95%CI = (2.65-4.01)), expressway(OR = 1.84, 95%CI = (1.59-2.13)), unpaved shoulders(OR = 1.84, 95%CI = (1.63-2.07)), unseparated roads (OR = 1.40, 95%CI = (1.26-1.56)), multiple road defects(OR = 2.00, 95%CI = (1.67-2.39)). In addition, the vehicle-connected factors were heavy vehicle (OR = 1.40, 95%CI = (1.26-1.56)), dark color (OR = 1.26, 95%CI = (1.17-1.35)), old vehicle(OR = 1.46, 95%CI = (1.27-1.67)), not personal-regional plaques(OR = 2.73, 95%CI = (2.42-3.08)), illegal maneuver(OR = 3.84, 95%CI = (2.72-5.43)). And, driver related factors were non-academic education (OR = 1.58, 95%CI = (1.33-1.88)), low income(OR = 2.48, 95%CI = (1.95-3.15)), old age (OR = 1.67, 95%CI = (1.44-1.94)), unlicensed driving(OR = 3.93, 95%CI = (2.51-6.15)), not-wearing seat belt (OR = 1.55, 95%CI = (1.44-1.67)), unconsciousness (OR = 1.67, 95%CI = (1.44-1.94)), driver misconduct(OR = 2.51, 95%CI = (2.29-2.76)). CONCLUSION This study reveals that driving behavior, infrastructure design, and geometric road factors must be considered to avoid fatal crashes. Our results found that the above-mentioned factors had higher odds of a deadly outcome than their counterparts. Generally, addressing risk factors and considering the odds ratios would be beneficial for policy makers and road safety stakeholders to provide support for compulsory interventions to reduce the severity of RTIs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fatemeh Jahanjoo
- Road Traffic Injury Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, 5167846311, East Azerbaijan, Islamic Republic of Iran
- Injury Epidemiology and Prevention Research Group, Turku Brain Injury Center, Turku University Hospital and the University of Turku, Turku, Finland
| | - Homayoun Sadeghi-Bazargani
- Road Traffic Injury Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, 5167846311, East Azerbaijan, Islamic Republic of Iran.
| | - Mohammad Asghari-Jafarabadi
- Road Traffic Injury Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, 5167846311, East Azerbaijan, Islamic Republic of Iran.
- Cabrini Research, Cabrini Health, Melbourne, VIC, 3144, Australia.
- School of Public Health and Preventative Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, 3800, Australia.
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