Identification of common predictors of surgical outcomes for epilepsy surgery

Therapeutic approaches targeting seizure networks

Epilepsy is one of the most common neurological disorders, affecting over 65 million people worldwide. Despite medical management with anti-seizure medications (ASMs), many patients fail to achieve seizure freedom, with over one-third of patients having drug-resistant epilepsy (DRE). Even with surgical management through resective surgery and/or neuromodulatory interventions, over 50 % of patients continue to experience refractory seizures within a year of surgery. Over the past 2 decades, studies have increasingly suggested that treatment failure is likely driven by untreated components of a pathological seizure network, a shift in the classical understanding of epilepsy as a focal disorder. However, this shift in thinking has yet to translate to improved treatments and seizure outcomes in patients. Here, we present a narrative review discussing the process of surgical epilepsy management. We explore current surgical interventions and hypothesized mechanisms behind treatment failure, highlighting evidence of pathologic seizure networks. Finally, we conclude by discussing how the network theory may inform surgical management, guiding the identification and targeting of more appropriate surgical regions. Ultimately, we believe that adapting current surgical practices and neuromodulatory interventions towards targeting seizure networks offers new therapeutic strategies that may improve seizure outcomes in patients suffering from DRE.

Interaction of interictal epileptiform activity with sleep spindles is associated with cognitive deficits and adverse surgical outcome in pediatric focal epilepsy

OBJECTIVE

Temporal coordination between oscillations enables intercortical communication and is implicated in cognition. Focal epileptic activity can affect distributed neural networks and interfere with these interactions. Refractory pediatric epilepsies are often accompanied by substantial cognitive comorbidity, but mechanisms and predictors remain mostly unknown. Here, we investigate oscillatory coupling across large-scale networks in the developing brain.

METHODS

We analyzed large-scale intracranial electroencephalographic recordings in children with medically refractory epilepsy undergoing presurgical workup (n = 25, aged 3-21 years). Interictal epileptiform discharges (IEDs), pathologic high-frequency oscillations (HFOs), and sleep spindles were detected. Spatiotemporal metrics of oscillatory coupling were determined and correlated with age, cognitive function, and postsurgical outcome.

RESULTS

Children with epilepsy demonstrated significant temporal coupling of both IEDs and HFOs to sleep spindles in discrete brain regions. HFOs were associated with stronger coupling patterns than IEDs. These interactions involved tissue beyond the clinically identified epileptogenic zone and were ubiquitous across cortical regions. Increased spatial extent of coupling was most prominent in older children. Poor neurocognitive function was significantly correlated with high IED-spindle coupling strength and spatial extent; children with strong pathologic interactions additionally had decreased likelihood of postoperative seizure freedom.

SIGNIFICANCE

Our findings identify pathologic large-scale oscillatory coupling patterns in the immature brain. These results suggest that such intercortical interactions could predict risk for adverse neurocognitive and surgical outcomes, with the potential to serve as novel therapeutic targets to restore physiologic development.

Influence of resective extent of epileptogenic tuber on seizure outcome in patients with tuberous sclerosis complex-related epilepsy: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to identify whether tuberectomy and tuberectomy plus are associated with different postoperative seizure outcomes in patients with tuberous sclerosis complex (TSC) -related epilepsy.

METHODS

Electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, Proquest, Web of Science, Scopus, Biosis Previews) were searched without date restriction. Retrospective cohort studies of participants with TSC-associated epilepsy undergoing resective surgery that reported demographics, presurgical evaluation, extent of resection and postoperative seizure outcomes were included. Title, abstract and the full text were checked independently and in duplicate by two reviewers. Disagreements were resolved through discussion. One author extracted data which was verified by a second author using identified common standard in advance, including using a risk of bias tool we agreed on to evaluate study quality.

RESULTS

Five studies, with a total of 327 participants, were included. One hundred and sixty patients received tuberectomy, and 93 of them (58.1%) achieved postoperative seizure freedom, while the other 167 patients underwent tuberectomy plus, and 128 of them (76.6%) achieved seizure freedom after adequate follow-ups (RR=0.72, 95% CI [0.60, 0.87], P<0.05). Subgroup analysis found that 40 of 63 (63.5%) patients after tuberectomy and 66 of 78 (84.6%) patients after tuberectomy plus of a single tuber achieved seizure freedom (RR = 0.71, 95% CI [0.56,0.91], P<0.05). In the multituber subrgroup, 16 of 42 (38.1%) and 21 of 31 (67.7%) patients achieved seizure freedom, after tuberectomy and tuberectomy plus, respectively (RR = 0.57, 95% CI [0.32,1.03], P = 0.06).

CONCLUSIONS

Tuberectomy plus is a more effective treatment than tuberectomy for patients with TSC-related intractable epilepsy.

Predictors of outcomes after surgery for medically intractable insular epilepsy: A systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis

Insular epilepsy (IE) is an increasingly recognized cause of drug-resistant epilepsy amenable to surgery. However, concerns of suboptimal seizure control and permanent neurological morbidity hamper widespread adoption of surgery for IE. We performed a systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis to determine the efficacy and safety profile of surgery for IE and identify predictors of outcomes. Of 2483 unique citations, 24 retrospective studies reporting on 312 participants were eligible for inclusion. The median follow-up duration was 2.58 years (range, 0-17 years), and 206 (66.7%) patients were seizure-free at last follow-up. Younger age at surgery (≤18 years; HR = 1.70, 95% CI = 1.09-2.66, P = .022) and invasive EEG monitoring (HR = 1.97, 95% CI = 1.04-3.74, P = .039) were significantly associated with shorter time to seizure recurrence. Performing MR-guided laser ablation or radiofrequency ablation instead of open resection (OR = 2.05, 95% CI = 1.08-3.89, P = .028) was independently associated with suboptimal or poor seizure outcome (Engel II-IV) at last follow-up. Postoperative neurological complications occurred in 42.5% of patients, most commonly motor deficits (29.9%). Permanent neurological complications occurred in 7.8% of surgeries, including 5% and 1.4% rate of permanent motor deficits and dysphasia, respectively. Resection of the frontal operculum was independently associated with greater odds of motor deficits (OR = 2.75, 95% CI = 1.46-5.15, P = .002). Dominant-hemisphere resections were independently associated with dysphasia (OR = 13.09, 95% CI = 2.22-77.14, P = .005) albeit none of the observed language deficits were permanent. Surgery for IE is associated with a good efficacy/safety profile. Most patients experience seizure freedom, and neurological deficits are predominantly transient. Pediatric patients and those requiring invasive monitoring or undergoing stereotactic ablation procedures experience lower rates of seizure freedom. Transgression of the frontal operculum should be avoided if it is not deemed part of the epileptogenic zone. Well-selected candidates undergoing dominant-hemisphere resection are more likely to exhibit transient language deficits; however, the risk of permanent deficit is very low.

Multimodal prognostic features of seizure freedom in epilepsy surgery

OBJECTIVE

Accurate preoperative predictions of seizure freedom following surgery for focal drug resistant epilepsy remain elusive. Our objective was to systematically evaluate all meta-analyses of epilepsy surgery with seizure freedom as the primary outcome, to identify clinical features that are consistently prognostic and should be included in the future models.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and Cochrane using free-text and Medical Subject Heading (MeSH) terms according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses. This study was registered on PROSPERO. We classified features as prognostic, non-prognostic and uncertain and into seven subcategories: 'clinical', 'imaging', 'neurophysiology', 'multimodal concordance', 'genetic', 'surgical technique' and 'pathology'. We propose a structural causal model based on these features.

RESULTS

We found 46 features from 38 meta-analyses over 22 years. The following were consistently prognostic across meta-analyses: febrile convulsions, hippocampal sclerosis, focal abnormal MRI, Single-Photon Emission Computed Tomography (SPECT) coregistered to MRI, focal ictal/interictal EEG, EEG-MRI concordance, temporal lobe resections, complete excision, histopathological lesions, tumours and focal cortical dysplasia type IIb. Severe learning disability was predictive of poor prognosis. Others, including sex and side of resection, were non-prognostic. There were limited meta-analyses investigating genetic contributions, structural connectivity or multimodal concordance and few adjusted for known confounders or performed corrections for multiple comparisons.

SIGNIFICANCE

Seizure-free outcomes have not improved over decades of epilepsy surgery and despite a multitude of models, none prognosticate accurately. Our list of multimodal population-invariant prognostic features and proposed structural causal model may serve as an objective foundation for statistical adjustments of plausible confounders for use in high-dimensional models.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42021185232.

Voxel-based morphometry for the evaluation of patients with pharmacoresistant epilepsy with apparently normal MRI

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is essential in the diagnosis of pharmacoresistant epilepsy (PRE), because patients with lesions detected by MRI have a better prognosis after surgery. Focal cortical dysplasia (FCD) is one of the most frequent etiologies of PRE but can be difficult to identify by MRI. Voxel-based morphometric analysis programs, like the Morphometric Analysis Program (MAP), have been developed to help improve MRI detection. Our objective was to evaluate the clinical usefulness of MAP in patients with PRE and an apparently normal MRI.

METHODS

We studied 70 patients with focal PRE and a nonlesional MRI. The 3DT1 sequence was processed with MAP, obtaining three z-score maps. Patients were classified as MAP+ if one or more z-score maps showed a suspicious area of brightness, and MAP- if the z-score maps did not show any suspicious areas. For MAP+ cases, a second-look MRI was performed with a dedicated inspection based on the MAP findings. The MAP results were correlated with the epileptogenic zone. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated.

RESULTS

Thirty-one percent of patients were classified as MAP+ and 69% were MAP-. Results showed a sensitivity of 0.57, specificity of 0.8, PPV of 0.91, and NPV of 0.35. In 19% of patients, an FCD was found in the second-look MRI after MAP.

CONCLUSIONS

MAP was helpful in the detection of lesions in PRE patients with a nonlesional MRI, which could have important repercussions for the clinical management and postoperative prognosis of these patients.

Presurgical Language Mapping in Patients With Intractable Epilepsy: A Review Study

INTRODUCTION

about 20% to 30% of patients with epilepsy are diagnosed with drug-resistant epilepsy and one third of these are candidates for epilepsy surgery. Surgical resection of the epileptogenic tissue is a well-established method for treating patients with intractable focal epilepsy. Determining language laterality and locality is an important part of a comprehensive epilepsy program before surgery. Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) has been increasingly employed as a non-invasive alternative method for the Wada test and cortical stimulation. Sensitive and accurate language tasks are essential for any reliable fMRI mapping.

METHODS

The present study reviews the methods of presurgical fMRI language mapping and their dedicated fMRI tasks, specifically for patients with epilepsy.

RESULTS

Different language tasks including verbal fluency are used in fMRI to determine language laterality and locality in different languages such as Persian. there are some considerations including the language materials and technical protocols for task design that all presurgical teams should take into consideration.

CONCLUSION

Accurate presurgical language mapping is very important to preserve patients language after surgery. This review was the first part of a project for designing standard tasks in Persian to help precise presurgical evaluation and in Iranian PWFIE.

MRI-negative PET-negative epilepsy long-term surgical outcomes: A single-institution retrospective review

PURPOSE

Surgical planning for people with drug resistant non-lesional focal epilepsy can be challenging. Prior studies focus on cases that are only MRI-negative or MRI-negative with PET-positive imaging, but little is known about outcomes in patients with non-lesional findings on both MRI and PET imaging. In this study, we investigate 5-year surgical outcomes in patients who underwent epilepsy surgery for drug resistant MRI/PET-negative focal epilepsy.

METHODS

We collected clinical and testing data on 131 consecutive patients with drug resistant non-lesional epilepsy who were presented at a multidisciplinary epilepsy surgery conference at the New York University Comprehensive Epilepsy Center between 2010 and 2014, and identified those who underwent epilepsy surgery in order to review 5-year surgical outcomes.

RESULTS

There were 103 with non-lesional MRI studies, and of these, 22 had corresponding non-lesional PET imaging. 14 MRI/PET-negative patients pursued a surgical treatment option and 9 underwent resections after intracranial EEG. At 5 years, 77.8 % of patients had favorable (ILAE class 1 and 2) outcomes. Most (77.8 %) had focal cortical dysplasia type Ia (FCDIa) on pathology.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that with careful planning and patient selection, surgery for patients with drug resistant MRI/PET-negative focal epilepsy can be successful.

Surgery for Radiologically Normal-Appearing Temporal Lobe Epilepsy in a Centre with Limited Resources

Approximately 26-30% of temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE) cases display a normal-appearing magnetic resonance image (MRI) leading to difficulty in determining the epileptogenic focus. This causes challenges in surgical management, especially in countries with limited resources. The medical records of 154 patients with normal-appearing MRI TLE who underwent epilepsy surgery between July 1999 and July 2019 in our epilepsy centre in Indonesia were examined. The primary outcome was the Engel classification of seizures. Anterior temporal lobectomy was performed in 85.1% of the 154 patients, followed by selective amygdalo-hippocampectomy and resection surgery. Of 82 patients (53.2%), Engel Class I result was reported in 69.5% and Class II in 25.6%. The median seizure-free period was 13 (95% CI,12.550-13.450) years, while the seizure-free rate at 5 and 12 years follow-up was 96.3% and 69.0%, respectively. Patients with a sensory aura had better seizure-free outcome 15 (11.575-18.425) years. Anterior temporal lobectomy and selective amygdala-hippocampectomy gave the same favourable outcome. Despite the challenges of surgical procedures for normal MRI TLE, our outcome has been favourable. This study suggests that epilepsy surgery in normal MRI TLE can be performed in centres with limited resources.

Investigation of subdural electrode displacement in invasive epilepsy surgery workup using neuronavigation and intraoperative MRI

OBJECTIVES

One of the main obstacles of electrode implantation in epilepsy surgery is the electrode shift between implantation and the day of explantation. We evaluated this possible electrode displacement using intraoperative MRI (iopMRI) data and CT/MRI reconstruction.

METHODS

Thirteen patients (nine female, four male, median age 26 ± 9.4 years) suffering from drug-resistant epilepsy were examined. After implantation, the position of subdural electrodes was evaluated by 3.0 T-MRI and thin-slice CCT for 3D reconstruction. Localization of electrodes was performed with the volume-rendering technique. Post-implantation and pre-explantation 1.5 T-iopMRI scans were coregistered with the 3D reconstructions to determine the extent of electrode dislocation.

RESULTS

Intraoperative MRI at the time of explantation revealed a relevant electrode shift in one patient (8%) of 10 mm. Median electrode displacement was 1.7 ± 2.6 mm with a coregistration error of 1.9 ± 0.7 mm. The median accuracy of the neuronavigation system was 2.2 ± 0.9 mm. Six of twelve patients undergoing resective surgery were seizure free (Engel class 1A, median follow-up 37.5 ± 11.8 months).

CONCLUSION

Comparison of pre-explantation and post-implantation iopMRI scans with CT/MRI data using the volume-rendering technique resulted in an accurate placement of electrodes. In one patient with a considerable electrode dislocation, the surgical approach and extent was changed due to the detected electrode shift.

ABBREVIATIONS

ECoG: electrocorticography; EZ: epileptogenic zone; iEEG: invasive EEG; iopMRI: intraoperative MRI; MEG: magnetoencephalography; PET: positron emission tomography; SPECT: single photon emission computed tomography; 3D: three-dimensional.

Preoperative prediction of temporal lobe epilepsy surgery outcome

PURPOSE

There is controversy about relative contributions of ictal scalp video EEG recording (vEEG), routine scalp outpatient interictal EEG (rEEG), intracranial EEG (iEEG) and MRI for predicting seizure-free outcomes after temporal lobectomy. We reviewed NIH experience to determine contributions at specific time points as well as long-term predictive value of standard pre-surgical investigations.

METHODS

Raw data was obtained via retrospective chart review of 151 patients. After exclusions, 118 remained (median 5 years follow-up). MRI-proven mesial temporal sclerosis (MTSr) was considered a separate category for analysis. Logistic regression estimated odds ratios at 6-months, 1-year, and 2 years; proportional hazard models estimated long-term comparisons. Subset analysis of the proportional hazard model was performed including only patients with commonly encountered situations in each of the modalities, to maximize statistical inference.

RESULTS

Any MRI finding, MRI proven MTS, rEEG, vEEG and iEEG did not predict two-year seizure-free outcome. MTSr was predictive at six months (OR=2.894, p=0. 0466), as were MRI and MTSr at one year (OR=10.4231, p=0. 0144 and OR=3.576, p=0. 0091). Correcting for rEEG and MRI, vEEG failed to predict outcome at 6 months, 1year and 2 years. Proportional hazard analysis including all available follow-up failed to achieve significance for any modality. In the subset analysis of 83 patients with commonly encountered results, vEEG modestly predicted long-term seizure-free outcomes with a proportional hazard ratio of 1.936 (p=0.0304).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, presurgical tools did not provide unambiguous long-term outcome predictions. Multicenter prospective studies are needed to determine optimal presurgical epilepsy evaluation.

Polyunsaturated fatty acid supplementation for drug-resistant epilepsy

BACKGROUND

An estimated 1% to 3% of all individuals will receive a diagnosis of epilepsy during their lives, which corresponds to approximately 50 million affected people worldwide. The real prevalence is possibly higher because epilepsy is underreported in developing countries. Although most will achieve adequate control of their disease though the use of medication, approximately 25% to 30% of all those with epilepsy are refractory to pharmacological treatment and will continue to have seizures despite the use of two or more agents in adequate dosages. Over the last decade, researchers have tested the use of polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) supplements for the treatment of refractory epilepsy, with inconsistent results. There have also been some concerns about the use of omega-3 PUFA compounds because they reduce platelet aggregation and could, in theory, cause bleeding.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effectiveness and tolerability of omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (eicosapentaenoic acid-EPA and docosahexanoic acid-DHA) in the control of seizures in people with refractory epilepsy.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Epilepsy Group Specialised Register (from inception up to November 2015), the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) (2015, issue 11), MEDLINE (1948 to November 2015), EMBASE (1980 to November 2015), SCOPUS (1823 to November 2015); LILACS (Literatura Latino-Americana e do Caribe de Informação em Ciências da Saúde) (1982 to November 2015); ClinicalTrials.gov; World Health Organization (WHO) International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (November 2015). No language restrictions were imposed. We contacted study authors for additional and unpublished information and screened the reference lists of retrieved citations for potentially eligible studies not identified through the electronic search.

SELECTION CRITERIA

All randomised and quasi-randomised studies using PUFAs for the treatment of drug-resistant epilepsy.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors were involved in study selection, data extraction and quality assessment of the included trials. The following outcomes were assessed: seizure freedom, seizure reduction, improvement in quality of life, potential adverse effects, gastrointestinal effects, drop-out rates and changes in plasma lipid profile. Primary analyses were by intention to treat.

MAIN RESULTS

Eight studies were identified as potentially relevant; three fulfilled the selection criteria and were included in the review. Two placebo-controlled, double blind trials involving adult participants were conducted in developed countries, while one placebo-controlled, single blind trial involving children was conducted in a developing country (Egypt). Bromfield 2008 randomised 27 American adults to receive 2.2 g/day of omega-3 PUFAs (EPA:DHA in a 3:2 ratio) or placebo. Yuen 2005 randomised 58 people in the UK to approximately 1.7 g/day omega-3 PUFAs (1g EPA and 0.7g DHA) or placebo. Reda 2015 randomised 70 Egyptian children to receive 3 ml/day of 1200 mg fish oil (providing 0.24 g DHA and 0.36 g EPA) or placebo. The three studies recruited a total of 155 subjects (85 adults and 70 children); 78 of them (43 adults and 35 children) were randomised to PUFAs and 77 (42 adults and 35 children) to placebo. All participants were followed for up to 12 weeks. Seizure freedom was reported by only one study, with a high risk of bias, involving exclusively children. The risk estimate for this outcome was significantly higher in the children receiving PUFA compared to the control group (risk ratio (RR) 20.00, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.84 to 140.99, 1 study, 70 children). Similarly, PUFA supplementation was associated with a significant difference in the proportion of children with at least 50% reduction in seizure frequency (RR 33.00 95% CI 4.77 to 228.15, 1 study with a high risk of bias, 70 children). However, this effect was not observed when the data from two studies including adult participants were pooled (RR 0.57, 95% CI 0.19 to 1.75, I² 0%, 2 studies, 78 participants, low-quality evidence). One of our three primary outcomes (adverse effects related to bleeding) was not assessed in any of the studies included in this review. There were no significant differences between the PUFA and control groups in relation to gastrointestinal effects (RR 0.78, 95% CI 0.32 to 1.89, 2 studies, 85 participants, low-quality evidence).Supplementation with PUFA did not produce significant differences in mean frequency of seizures, quality of life or other side effects.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

In view of the limited number of studies and small sample sizes, there is not enough evidence to support the use of PUFA supplementation in people with refractory epilepsy. More trials are needed to assess the benefits of PUFA supplementation in the treatment of drug-resistant epilepsy.

Prognostic factors for seizure outcome in patients with MRI-negative temporal lobe epilepsy: A meta-analysis and systematic review

PURPOSE

To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to identify predictors of postoperative seizure freedom in patients with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-negative temporal lobe epilepsy.

METHOD

Publications were screened from electronic databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE), epilepsy archives, and bibliographies of relevant articles that were written in English. We recorded all possible risk factors that might predict seizure outcome after surgery. We calculated odds ratio (OR) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) of predictors for postoperative seizure freedom. Heterogeneity was assessed with I(2). All meta-analyses were performed using Review Manager.

RESULTS

Epilepsy duration (OR=2.57, 95% CI=1.21-5.47, p<0.05, I(2)=1%) and ictal or interictal electroencephalographic anomalies precisely localized in the ipsilateral temporal lobe (OR=3.89, 95% CI=1.66-9.08, p<0.01, I(2)=0 and OR=3.38, 95% CI=1.57-7.25, p<0.05, I(2)=0, respectively) were significantly associated with a higher rate of seizure freedom after surgery. However, the positron emission tomography (PET) results were not predictive of postoperative seizure freedom (OR=2.11, 95% CI=0.95-4.65, p=0.06, I(2)=0). No significant difference in seizure freedom was observed between the positive and negative pathology groups (OR=1.36, 95% CI=0.70-2.63, p=0.36, I(2)=0).

CONCLUSIONS

A shorter epilepsy duration and scalp electroencephalogram (EEG) signals localized precisely in the temporal lobe predicted a better seizure outcome in patients with MRI-negative temporal lobe epilepsy.

Frontal gray matter abnormalities predict seizure outcome in refractory temporal lobe epilepsy patients

Developing more reliable predictors of seizure outcome following temporal lobe surgery for intractable epilepsy is an important clinical goal. In this context, we investigated patients with refractory temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE) before and after temporal resection. In detail, we explored gray matter (GM) volume change in relation with seizure outcome, using a voxel-based morphometry (VBM) approach. To do so, this study was divided into two parts. The first one involved group analysis of differences in regional GM volume between the groups (good outcome (GO), e.g., no seizures after surgery; poor outcome (PO), e.g., persistent postoperative seizures; and controls, N = 24 in each group), pre- and post-surgery. The second part of the study focused on pre-surgical data only (N = 61), determining whether the degree of GM abnormalities can predict surgical outcomes. For this second step, GM abnormalities were identified, within each lobe, in each patient when compared with an ad hoc sample of age-matched controls. For the first analysis, the results showed larger GM atrophy, mostly in the frontal lobe, in PO patients, relative to both GO patients and controls, pre-surgery. When comparing pre-to-post changes, we found relative GM gains in the GO but not in the PO patients, mostly in the non-resected hemisphere. For the second analysis, only the frontal lobe displayed reliable prediction of seizure outcome. 81% of the patients showing pre-surgical increased GM volume in the frontal lobe became seizure free, post-surgery; while 77% of the patients with pre-surgical reduced frontal GM volume had refractory seizures, post-surgery. A regression analysis revealed that the proportion of voxels with reduced frontal GM volume was a significant predictor of seizure outcome (p = 0.014). Importantly, having less than 1% of the frontal voxels with GM atrophy increased the likelihood of being seizure-free, post-surgery, by seven times. Overall, our results suggest that using pre-surgical GM abnormalities within the frontal lobe is a reliable predictor of seizure outcome post-surgery in TLE. We believe that this frontal GM atrophy captures seizure burden outside the pre-existing ictal temporal lobe, reflecting either the development of epileptogenesis or the loss of a protective, adaptive force helping to control or limit seizures. This study provides evidence of the potential of VBM-based approaches to predict surgical outcomes in refractory TLE candidates.

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Gray matter abnormalities within the frontal lobe predicts seizure outcome in TLE.

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Poor outcome patients suffer from GM atrophy in the frontal lobe, pre-surgery.

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Good outcome patients show gain of GM in the non-resected hemisphere, post-surgery.

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Frontal GM atrophy captures seizure burden outside the ictal temporal lobe.