Prediction of infectious events by high-sensitivity C-reactive protein level before undergoing chemotherapy for acute myeloid leukaemia

C-Reactive Protein Is an Independent Predictor of 30-Day Bacterial Infection Post-Liver Transplantation

The relationship between aseptic systemic inflammation and postoperative bacterial infection is unclear. We investigated the correlation of systemic inflammation biomarkers with 30-day clinically significant bacterial infections (CSI) after liver transplantation (LT). This retrospective study enrolled 940 patients who received LT and were followed for 30 days. The primary end point was 30-day CSI events. The cohort was divided into exploratory (n = 508) and validation (n = 432) sets according to different centers. Area under the receiver operated characteristic (AUROC) and Cox regression models were fitted to study the association between baseline systemic inflammation levels and CSI after LT. A total of 255 bacterial infectious events in 209 recipients occurred. Among systemic inflammation parameters, baseline C-reactive protein (CRP) was independently associated with 30-day CSI in the exploratory group. The combination of CRP and organ failure number showed a good discrimination for 30-day CSI (AUROC = 0.80, 95% CI, 0.76–0.84) and the results were confirmed in an external verification group. Additionally, CRP levels were correlated with bacterial product lipopolysaccharide. In conclusion, our study suggests that pre-transplantation CRP is independent of other prognostic factors for 30-day CSI post-LT, and can be integrated into tools for assessing the risk of bacterial infection post-LT or as a component of prognostic models.

C-Reactive Protein Monitoring Predicts Neutropenic Fever Following Autologous Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation for Multiple Myeloma

Background

Neutropenic fever (NF) is a known and common complication of autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (ASCT). Early risk assessment may help direct treatment. We retrospectively analyzed the role of serial serum C-reactive protein (CRP) levels in predicting NF and assessed the clinical value of CRP within 14 days after transplantation.

Methods

One hundred twenty-one multiple myeloma (MM) patients received 170 first and/or second ASCT between January 2014 and March 2017. A Cox regression model was applied to assess the prognostic value of CRP as a time-dependent covariate at the onset of NF within 14 days post-transplant.

Results

Forty-seven of 170 patients developed NF. High CRP levels (4.0–43.2 mg/dL) were associated with a 5.45-fold increased risk of NF (P = 0.02). Patients had a nearly three-fold increased risk of NF after the second transplant (P < 0.01), but this was not associated with increased mortality. Those with NF had higher maximum values of CRP (P < 0.01) which tended to occur at or after the onset of NF.

Conclusion

CRP monitoring provides important information about the risk for NF immediately after first MM ASCT, and even more so after the second.

Development of a simplified multivariable model to predict neutropenic complications in cancer patients undergoing chemotherapy

PURPOSE

Neutropenic complications remain the major dose-limiting toxicities of cancer chemotherapy. The aim of this study was to develop and internally validate a comprehensive and easily measurable scoring system for prediction of severe or febrile neutropenia in the first chemotherapy cycle of patients with solid tumors or lymphoma.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included consecutive patients at a tertiary referral hospital. Many clinical and laboratory-independent variables were measured at baseline. A multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied after unadjusted analysis, and the multivariable model was transformed into a simplified risk score based on 6 bootstrapped regression coefficients. The simplified scoring system was internally validated using cross-validation. All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

A total of 305 patients were enrolled and followed during 1732 chemotherapy cycles. Of these, 259 were eligible for analysis. The multivariable model revealed 6 predictive factors for severe or febrile neutropenia (scores in parentheses): high-risk regimen without colony-stimulating factor (4 points), intermediate-risk regimen without colony-stimulating factor (3 points), age > 65 years and elevated ferritin (3 points), body mass index < 23 kg/m² and body surface area < 2 m² (2 points), estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73m² (2 points), and elevated C-reactive protein (1 point). The receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.832 (95% confidence interval [Cl], 0.767-0.897) for the simplified model and 0.816 (95% Cl, 0.771-0.860) for the cross-validation.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and internally validated a user-friendly prediction model to guide personalized decision-making using available clinical data and few cost-effective laboratory tests. External validation in other centers with different patients is required.

Asymptomatic C-reactive protein elevation in neutropenic children

BACKGROUND

Febrile neutropenia (FN) can be a life-threatening complication in children with malignancies. There is no standardized preventive treatment for childhood FN, and information on C-reactive protein (CRP) elevation in afebrile patients with neutropenia (CEAN) is limited. The aim of this study was therefore to identify the association between CEAN and FN onset, and evaluate the efficacy of broad-spectrum antibiotics for FN prophylaxis.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 22 consecutive pediatric patients with hematologic malignancies (acute myeloid leukemia, n = 2; acute lymphoid leukemia, n = 20) admitted to the present institution between 2006 and 2011. CEAN was defined as CRP elevation ≥0.05 mg/dL between the two most recent blood tests with no fever. We identified CEAN before FN onset, and assessed the efficacy of broad-spectrum antibiotics for FN prevention in CEAN. FN incidence within 48 h after CEAN detection was compared between prophylactic and non-prophylactic episodes.

RESULTS

CEAN was observed before FN onset in 20 (55.6%), of 36 FN episodes. Among the 95 analyzed CEAN episodes, broad-spectrum antibiotics had been used for 30 episodes (prophylactic episodes), whereas these antibiotics had not been used in 60 episodes (non-prophylactic episodes). Prophylactic episodes had a significantly lower FN incidence than non-prophylactic episodes (6.7% and 31%, respectively, P < 0.01) within 48 h after CEAN detection. Bacteremia was observed in three non-prophylactic episodes.

CONCLUSION

Patients with CEAN are at higher risk of FN, and physicians may consider the use of broad-spectrum antibiotics to prevent FN development.

Prediction of transplant-related complications by C-reactive protein levels before hematopoietic SCT

Various biomarkers have been investigated with regard to their ability to predict the outcome of allogeneic hematopoietic SCT (HSCT). In this study, we retrospectively reviewed 90 recipients who received HSCT between 2007 and 2011 in our institution, and evaluated the predictive value of the baseline serum C-reactive protein (CRP) levels just before the initiation of conditioning for transplant-related complications after allogeneic HSCT. A receiver-operating characteristic curve revealed that the baseline serum CRP levels had an excellent predictive value for non-relapse mortality (NRM), with an area under the curve of 0.83. The sensitivity and specificity for NRM were 80% and 87%, respectively, with a cutoff of 0.6 mg/dL. With this cutoff value, multivariate analyses revealed that a higher baseline CRP level was an independent risk factor for NRM (HR 6.21, P<0.01), grade III-IV acute GVHD (HR 3.91, P=0.03) and poor overall survival (HR 3.27, P=0.0018). On the other hand, the baseline CRP level did not predict infectious events. These findings suggested that CRP levels before conditioning may be a useful predictive biomarker for poor survival.

Clinical course of patients with aplastic anemia or myelodysplastic syndrome associated with persistent neutropenia

Patients with aplastic anemia (AA) or myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) often have persistent severe neutropenia and are susceptible to infectious complications. We retrospectively reviewed the clinical course of patients with AA or MDS who had neutropenia (neutrophil count < 500/µl) for more than 25 days. A total of 46 patients, 11 with AA and 35 with MDS, were included. Twenty-three patients had infectious events (IE), and the cumulative incidence of IE was 30% at 6 months and 51% at 1 year. The cumulative incidence of IE was 67% at 1 year in 30 patients who experienced very severe neutropenia of less than 200/µl. Overall survival in all patients was 76% at 6 months and 65% at 1 year. In a multivariate analysis, male sex, underlying diseases, and a neutrophil count of less than 200/µl as a time-dependent covariate significantly affected IE. In analyses that excluded patients with AA, male sex was the only factor. In conclusion, severe neutropenia was significantly associated with IE in patients with AA or MDS, and IE might be lethal. When we only considered patients with MDS, the neutrophil count alone could not be used to predict the prognosis.

Serum protein-bound uraemic toxins and clinical outcomes in haemodialysis patients

BACKGROUND

The protein-bound uraemic toxin p-cresol is associated with immunodeficiency in haemodialysis (HD) patients. We investigated the effect of serum p-cresol, indoxyl sulphate and other variables on clinical outcomes in HD patients during a 20-month follow-up.

METHODS

We enrolled 100 stable HD patients from a single medical centre. The primary outcomes were infection-related hospitalization, cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. Serum total and free p-cresol and indoxyl sulphate levels were measured using ultra-performance liquid chromatography. Biochemical data were collected concurrently.

RESULTS

Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that infection-related hospitalization correlated with free p-cresol (adjusted odds ratio: 1.70, P = 0.01) and highly sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP) (adjusted odds ratio: 2.07, P = 0.01); cardiovascular event was associated with free p-cresol (adjusted odds ratio: 1.78, P = 0.01) and nPCR (adjusted odds ratio: 0.01, P = 0.02); and all-cause mortality was related to albumin (adjusted odds ratio: 0.04, P = 0.01). The Kaplan-Meier method showed that free and total p-cresol were significantly associated with cardiovascular events (log-rank P < 0.01 and log-rank P < 0.01, respectively). Serum free p-cresol seemed to have a trend to correlate with infection-related hospitalization during a 20-month follow-up (log-rank P = 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum free and total p-cresol levels were significantly related to cardiovascular events. In addition, serum free p-cresol and hsCRP levels were also found to be associated with infection-related hospitalization.

Pretransplant serum ferritin and C-reactive protein as predictive factors for early bacterial infection after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation

Although fluoroquinolones or other antibiotics are commonly used to prevent bacterial infections after hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT), because of the growing presence of multidrug-resistant microorganisms, it is important to identify patients who are more likely to benefit from antibacterial prophylaxis. To evaluate risk factors for early bacterial infection after allogeneic HCT, we retrospectively analyzed clinical data for 112 consecutive adult patients with hematological malignancies who received transplants without any antibacterial prophylaxis. The cumulative incidence of bacterial infection at 30 days after transplantation was 16%. Among various pre-transplant factors, only high serum ferritin (>700 ng/mL, 47 patients) and high C-reactive protein (CRP) (>0.3 mg/dL, 28 patients) levels were significantly associated with the development of bacterial infection in a multivariate analysis (hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): ferritin, 4.00 (1.32-12.17); CRP, 3.64 (1.44-9.20)). In addition, septic shock and sepsis with organ failure were exclusively observed in patients who had high ferritin and/or high CRP levels. These results suggest that pretransplant serum ferritin and CRP levels can be useful markers for predicting the risk of early bacterial infection after allogeneic HCT. It may be prudent to limit antibacterial prophylaxis to patients with predefined risk factors to ensure the safety of HCT with the use of fewer antibiotics.