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Ednie G, Kapoor T, Koppel O, Piczak ML, Reid JL, Murdoch AD, Cook CN, Sutherland WJ, Cooke SJ. Foresight science in conservation: Tools, barriers, and mainstreaming opportunities. AMBIO 2023; 52:411-424. [PMID: 36287382 PMCID: PMC9607712 DOI: 10.1007/s13280-022-01786-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2022] [Revised: 06/24/2022] [Accepted: 08/13/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
Foresight science is a systematic approach to generate future predictions for planning and management by drawing upon analytical and predictive tools to understand the past and present, while providing insights about the future. To illustrate the application of foresight science in conservation, we present three case studies: identification of emerging risks to conservation, conservation of at-risk species, and aid in the development of management strategies for multiple stressors. We highlight barriers to mainstreaming foresight science in conservation including knowledge accessibility/organization, communication across diverse stakeholders/decision makers, and organizational capacity. Finally, we investigate opportunities for mainstreaming foresight science including continued advocacy to showcase its application, incorporating emerging technologies (i.e., artificial intelligence) to increase capacity/decrease costs, and increasing education/training in foresight science via specialized courses and curricula for trainees and practicing professionals. We argue that failure to mainstream foresight science will hinder the ability to achieve future conservation objectives in the Anthropocene.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gabrielle Ednie
- Biology Department, University of Ottawa, 75 Laurier Ave. E, Ottawa, ON K1N 6N5 Canada
| | - Tyreen Kapoor
- Biology Department, Carleton University, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6 Canada
| | - Olga Koppel
- Biology Department, University of Ottawa, 75 Laurier Ave. E, Ottawa, ON K1N 6N5 Canada
| | - Morgan L. Piczak
- Biology Department, Carleton University, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6 Canada
| | - Jessica L. Reid
- Biology Department, Carleton University, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6 Canada
| | - Alyssa D. Murdoch
- Biology Department, Carleton University, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6 Canada
- Wildlife Conservation Society Canada, 169 Titanium Way, Whitehorse, YK Y1A 0E9 Canada
| | - Carly N. Cook
- School of Biological Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3800 Australia
| | - William J. Sutherland
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, The David Attenborough Building, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ UK
- Biosecurity Research Initiative at St Catharine’s (BioRISC), St Catharine’s College, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 1RL UK
| | - Steven J. Cooke
- Biology Department, Carleton University, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6 Canada
- Institute of Environmental and Interdisciplinary Sciences, Carleton University, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6 Canada
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Badry NA, Hickey GM. Enhancing collaboration across the knowledge system boundaries of ecosystem governance. ADV ECOL RES 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/bs.aecr.2022.04.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
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Barr CE, Hamann M, Shimada T, Bell I, Limpus CJ, Ferguson J. Post-nesting movements and feeding ground distribution by the hawksbill turtle (Eretmochelys imbricata) from rookeries in the Torres Strait. WILDLIFE RESEARCH 2021. [DOI: 10.1071/wr20183] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
ContextHawksbill sea turtles (Eretmochelys imbricata) are conservation-dependent species in many areas of the world. A key component to ensuring successful conservation initiatives for the species is understanding their distribution and habitat use, in particular, knowing the nesting sites, migration routes and foraging areas for each genetic stock, and how these might overlap with threats.
AimsInvestigate the post-nesting movements of hawksbill sea turtles nesting in the Torres Strait, including migration movements and foraging ground size and distribution.
MethodsNine nesting hawksbill turtles of the north-eastern Australian genetic stock were satellite-tagged between the 2010 and 2019 nesting seasons for 182 ± 143 days (mean ± s.d.).
Key resultsThree turtles continued to nest on adjacent islands before commencing their post-nesting migrations. From the nine tracked turtles, the following three migration movement strategies were identified: (1) direct migration between the nesting beach and foraging ground, (2) non-direct movements with a period of meandering, and (3) establishment of two foraging areas separated by direct movement pathways. Foraging grounds were distributed across the Torres Strait and north-eastern Australia and varied in size between 0.54 km2 and 3.31 km2 (95% UD). None of the turtles migrated outside of Australian waters.
ConclusionsThe localisation of these movements and habitats within Australian waters provides a unique conservation opportunity, whereby protection efforts involve multiple life stages and potentially preserve turtles from multiple genetic stocks. The variety of inter-nesting, migration and home range strategies used by the tracked turtles in the present study highlight the broad scope of hawksbill movements.
ImplicationsOur findings are useful for the implementation of future marine conservation areas and shed light into the nesting, migratory and foraging behaviours of hawkbills from this genetic stock. An understanding of the movement tracks and habitats used by a genetic pool is essential for well grounded implementation of conservation areas and management regulations.
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