Predictive Value of Clinical and Pathological Characteristics for Metastatic Radioactive Iodine-Refractory Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma: A 16-year Retrospective Study

Predictive Factors of Radioactive Iodine Therapy Refractoriness in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma

Aim  Differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) is the most prevalent endocrine malignancy, with radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy being a standard of care. However, RAI refractoriness, occurring in a subset of patients, significantly impacts survival rates. Understanding predictive factors for RAI refractoriness is crucial for optimizing patient management. Methods  This retrospective study analyzed data from 90 DTC patients at Ibn Sina University Hospital, Morocco. Patients were categorized into RAI-refractory (RAIR) and non-RAIR groups based on established criteria. Statistical analyses, including univariate and multivariate logistic regression, were performed to identify predictive factors of RAI refractoriness. Results  Age at the time of diagnosis ≥ 54 years, primary tumor diameter ≥ 29 mm, and distal/nodal metastasis were independent predictors of RAIR-DTC. Additionally, the oncocytic carcinoma histological subtype significantly increased the risk of refractoriness. These findings were consistent with previous studies and underscored the importance of early detection and risk stratification. Conclusion  Recognition of predictive factors for RAI refractoriness, including age, tumor size, distal/nodal metastasis, and histological subtype, facilitates early identification of high-risk patients. This enables timely intervention and personalized treatment strategies, particularly relevant in resource-limited settings. Further prospective studies are warranted to validate these findings and explore additional molecular markers for improved prediction of RAI refractoriness.

Comparative analysis through propensity score matching in thyroid cancer: unveiling the impact of multiple malignancies

Background

The incidence of thyroid cancer is on the rise worldwide, with childhood exposure to radiation being the sole acknowledged catalyst for its emergence. Nonetheless, numerous other factors that may pose risks are awaiting thorough examination and validation. This retrospective study aims to explore the malignancies linked to thyroid cancer and contrast the survival rates of those afflicted with a solitary tumor versus those with multiple primary neoplasms (MPN).

Methods

This retrospective study examined data from King Hussein Cancer Center (KHCC), Jordan. Among 563 patients diagnosed with thyroid cancer, 30 patients had thyroid malignancy as part of MPN. For a 1:3 propensity score-matched analysis, 90 patients with only a primary thyroid malignancy were also enrolled.

Results

Hematologic and breast malignancies were among the most frequent observed cancers alongside thyroid neoplasm. Patients who had MPN were diagnosed at older age, had higher body mass index and presented with higher thyroglobulin antibody levels (p < 0.05 for each). Additionally, MPN patient displayed a stronger family history for cancers (p= 0.002). A median follow-up duration of 135 months unveiled that MPN patients faced a worse 5-year survival compared to their counterparts with a singular neoplasm (87% vs 100% respectively; p < 0.01). However, no distinction emerged in the 5-year event-free survival between these two groups.

Conclusion

MPN correlates with a significantly altered survival outcome of thyroid cancer patients. The diagnosis of thyroid carcinoma at an older age, accompanied by elevated initial thyroglobulin antibody levels and a notable familial predisposition, may raise concerns about the potential occurrence of synchronous or metachronous tumors.

Clinicopathological features of differentiated thyroid carcinoma as predictors of the effects of radioactive iodine therapy

BACKGROUND

Patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) usually have an excellent prognosis; however, 5 %-15 % develop radioactive iodine-refractory (RAIR) DTC (RAIR-DTC), which has a poor prognosis and limited treatment options. The aim of the present study was to investigate the clinicopathological characteristics of RAIR-DTC in order to provide clinical evidence for timely prediction of the effects of iodine therapy.

METHODS

Clinicopathological data for 44 patients with RAIR-DTC and 50 patients with radioiodine-avid DTC (RAIA-DTC) were retrospectively analyzed. The risk factors for RAIR-DTC were evaluated and a RAIR-DTC prediction model was established.

RESULTS

RAIR-DTC showed unique clinicopathological features that differed from those of RAIA-DTC; these included age >55 years, a high-risk histological subtype, a large tumor size, a late TNM stage, calcification, distant metastasis, and more than six metastatic lymph nodes. Patients with RAIR-DTC also developed earlier tumor progression. Binary logistic regression analysis showed that distant metastasis, a high-risk histological subtype, and a maximum tumor diameter of ≥12.5 mm were independent risk factors for RAIR-DTC, and the specificity and sensitivity of a combination of these three parameters for the prediction of RAIR-DTC were 98.0 % and 56.8 %, respectively. Decision curve analysis and the calibration curve revealed that the combined prediction of these three parameters had good repeatability and accuracy.

CONCLUSION

The clinicopathological features of DTC can effectively predict the effects of iodine therapy. A combination of distant metastasis, a high-risk histological subtype, and a maximum tumor diameter of ≥12.5 mm showed significantly higher prediction accuracy.