The Placebo and Nocebo Responses in Clinical Trials in Inflammatory Bowel Diseases

Model-Informed Assessment of Probability of Phase 3 Success for Ritlecitinib in Patients with Moderate-to-Severe Ulcerative Colitis

Ritlecitinib, an oral Janus kinase 3/tyrosine kinase expressed in hepatocellular carcinoma family inhibitor, was evaluated in patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) in a phase 2b trial. Model-informed drug development strategies were applied to bridge observations from phase 2b to predictions for a proposed phase 3 study design to assess the probability of achieving the target efficacy outcome. A longitudinal exposure-response model of the time course of the 4 Mayo subscores (rectal bleeding, stool frequency, physician's global assessment, and endoscopic subscore) in patients with UC receiving placebo or ritlecitinib was developed using population modeling approaches and an item response theory framework. The quantitative relationships between the 4 Mayo subscores accommodated the prediction of composite endpoints such as total Mayo score and partial Mayo score (key endpoints from phase 2b), and modified clinical remission and endoscopic remission (proposed phase 3 endpoints). Clinical trial simulations using the final model assessed the probability of candidate ritlecitinib dosing regimens (including those tested in phase 2b and alternative) and phase 3 study designs for achieving target efficacy outcomes benchmarked against an approved treatment for moderate-to-severe UC. The probabilities of achieving target modified clinical remission and endoscopic improvement outcomes at both weeks 8 and 52 for ritlecitinib 100 mg once daily was 74.8%. Model-based assessment mitigated some of the risk associated with proceeding to pivotal phase 3 trials with dosing regimens of which there was limited clinical experience.

Current Treatments, Emerging Therapeutics, and Natural Remedies for Inflammatory Bowel Disease

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a chronic, lifelong disorder characterized by inflammation of the gastrointestinal (GI) tract. The exact etiology of IBD remains incompletely understood due to its multifaceted nature, which includes genetic predisposition, environmental factors, and host immune response dysfunction. Currently, there is no cure for IBD. This review discusses the available treatment options and the challenges they present. Importantly, we examine emerging therapeutics, such as biologics and immunomodulators, that offer targeted treatment strategies for IBD. While many IBD patients do not respond adequately to most biologics, recent clinical trials combining biologics with small-molecule drugs (SMDs) have provided new insights into improving the IBD treatment landscape. Furthermore, numerous novel and specific therapeutic targets have been identified. The high cost of IBD drugs poses a significant barrier to treatment, but this challenge may be alleviated with the development of more affordable biosimilars. Additionally, emerging point-of-care protein biomarkers from serum and plasma are showing potential for enhancing the precision of IBD diagnosis and prognosis. Several natural products (NPs), including crude extracts, small molecules, and peptides, have demonstrated promising anti-inflammatory activity in high-throughput screening (HTS) systems and advanced artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted platforms, such as molecular docking and ADMET prediction. These platforms are advancing the search for alternative IBD therapies derived from natural sources, potentially leading to more affordable and safer treatment options with fewer side effects.

Identifying a therapeutic window of opportunity for people living with primary sclerosing cholangitis: Embryology and the overlap of inflammatory bowel disease with immune-mediated liver injury

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a variably progressive, fibrosis-causing autoimmune disorder of the intrahepatic and extrahepatic bile ducts of unclear etiology. PSC is commonly (in 60%-90% of cases) associated with an inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) like PSC-IBD and less commonly with an autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) like PSC-AIH or AIH-overlap disorder. Hepatologists and Gastroenterologists often consider these combined conditions as distinctly different from the classical forms in isolation. Here, we review recent epidemiologic observations and highlight that PSC-IBD and PSC-AIH overlap appear to represent aspects of a common PSC clinico-pathological pathway and manifest in an age-of-presentation-dependent manner. Particularly from the pediatric experience, we hypothesize that all cases of PSC likely originate from a complex "Early PSC"-"IBD"-"AIH" overlap in which PSC defines the uniquely and variably associated "AIH" and "IBD" components along an individualized lifetime continuum. We speculate that a distinctly unique, "diverticular autoimmunity" against the embryonic cecal- and hepatic diverticulum-derived tissues may be the origin of this combined syndrome, where "AIH" and "IBD" variably commence then variably fade while PSC progresses with age. Our hypothesis provides an explanation for the age-dependent variation in the presentation and progression of PSC. This is critical for the optimal targeting of studies into PSC etiopathogenesis and emphasizes the concept of a "developmental window of opportunity for therapeutic mitigation" in what is currently recognized as an irreversible disease process. The discovery of such a window would be critically important for the targeting of interventions, both the administration of current therapies and therapeutic trial planning.

Clinical efficacy and nocebo effect following non-medical biosimilar switch in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: A prospective observational study

BACKGROUND

We aimed to evaluate clinical efficacy, biomarker activity, therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM), adverse events (AEs), and nocebo effect in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) patients who underwent non-medical biosimilar switching.

METHODS

A prospective observational study of consecutive IBD patients who underwent biosimilar switch. Disease activity, biomarkers, TDM, and AEs, including the nocebo effect were captured 8 weeks before switch, at the time of switch (baseline),12 and 24 weeks after the switch.

RESULTS

210 patients were included [81.4% had Crohn's disease (CD), the median age at inclusion: 42 years (IQR 29-61)]. There was no significant difference in the rates of clinical remission at week 8 before switch, baseline, week12, and 24 after switch: 89.0%,93.4%,86.3%,and 90.8%,p = 0.129. The biomarker remission rates were not significantly different; CRP:81.3%,74.7%,81.2%,73.0%,p = 0.343; fecal calprotectin: 78.3%,74.5%,71.7%,76.3%,p = 0.829. The rates of maintaining therapeutic levels (84.7%,83.9%,83.0%,85.3%,p = 0.597) and prevalence of positive anti-drug antibodies remained unchanged. Drug persistence at 12 week of switch was 97.1%, regardless of disease phenotype and originator. The nocebo effect was observed in 13.3%. The discontinuation rate was 4.8%.

CONCLUSION

Despite a significant number of early nocebo complaints within the first 6 months after the biosimilar switch, no significant changes were found in clinical efficacy, biomarkers, therapeutic drug level, or anti-drug antibodies.

Nocebo effects in visceral pain: concept and design of the experimental randomized-controlled pain study 'NoVis'

The role of psychological factors in the pathophysiology and treatment of chronic visceral pain in disorders of gut-brain interactions (DGBI) is increasingly appreciated. Placebo research has underscored that expectations arising from the psychosocial treatment context and from prior experiences shape treatment responses. However, effects of negative expectations, i.e., nocebo effects, as they are likely crucial elements of DGBI patients' clinical reality, have thus far only rarely been investigated in the context of visceral pain, with untapped potential for improved prevention and treatment. The experimental randomized-controlled pain study "NoVis," carried out within the Collaborative Research Center (CRC) 289 ("Treatment Expectation"), aims to close gaps regarding the generation and persistence of nocebo effects in healthy volunteers. It is designed to elucidate effects of negative expectations in a multiple-threat paradigm with intensity-matched rectal distensions and cutaneous thermal stimuli, allowing to test nocebo effects in the visceral and somatic pain modalities. Negative expectations are experimentally induced by elements of doctor-patient communication (i.e., instruction) and/or by surreptitious amplification of symptom intensity (i.e., experience/learning) within a treatment context. Accordingly, the repeated measures between-subject design contains the between-group factors "treatment instruction" (negative vs. control) and "treatment experience" (negative vs. control), with volunteers randomized into four experimental groups undergoing several pain stimulation phases (repeated factor). This allows to compare the efficacy of instruction vs. experience, and more importantly, their combined effects on the magnitude of negative expectations and their impact on pain responses, which we expect will be greatest for the visceral modality. After a Baseline, short-term effects are assessed during a test phase accomplished on study day 1 (Test-1 Phase). To explore the persistence of effects, a second test phase is accomplished 1 week later (Test-2 Phase). Effects of negative expectations within and across pain modalities are assessed at the subjective and objective levels, with a focus on psychophysiological and neuroendocrine measures related to stress, fear, and anxiety. Since nocebo effects can play a considerable role in the generation, maintenance, or worsening of chronic visceral pain, and may even constitute risk factors for treatment failure, knowledge from experimental nocebo research has potential to improve treatment outcomes in DGBI and other clinical conditions associated with chronic visceral pain.

Efficacy and safety of olorinab, a full agonist of the cannabinoid receptor 2, for the treatment of abdominal pain in patients with irritable bowel syndrome: Results from a phase 2b randomized placebo-controlled trial (CAPTIVATE)

BACKGROUND

Olorinab is a highly selective, peripherally acting, full agonist of cannabinoid receptor 2. This study assessed the efficacy and safety of olorinab to treat abdominal pain in patients with irritable bowel syndrome with diarrhea (IBS-D) and constipation (IBS-C).

METHODS

CAPTIVATE was a phase 2b, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group trial. Eligible participants aged 18-70 years with IBS-C and IBS-D diagnosed per Rome IV received olorinab 10 mg, 25 mg, or 50 mg three times daily (TID) or placebo TID for 12 weeks. The primary endpoint was the change in patient-reported average abdominal pain score (AAPS) from baseline to Week 12.

KEY RESULTS

A total of 273 participants were randomized to receive olorinab 10 mg (n = 67), olorinab 25 mg (n = 67), olorinab 50 mg (n = 69), or placebo (n = 70). Although a treatment response was observed across all groups, the weekly change in average AAPS from baseline to Week 12 was not significantly different between placebo and any olorinab dose. In a prespecified subgroup analysis of participants with a baseline AAPS ≥6.5, olorinab 50 mg (n = 35) significantly improved AAPS compared with placebo (n = 30) (p = 0.014). Adverse event rates were comparable between olorinab and placebo and there were no reported serious adverse events or deaths.

CONCLUSION AND INFERENCES

Although olorinab was well-tolerated and improved weekly AAPS, the primary endpoint was not met. However, in participants with moderate-to-severe pain at baseline (AAPS ≥6.5), olorinab 50 mg significantly improved weekly AAPS compared with placebo.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov: NCT04043455.

Predictors of Placebo Induction Response and Remission in Ulcerative Colitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

High placebo response rates in clinical trials of ulcerative colitis (UC) have been reported previously. However, data from patient-level analyses are lacking. We assessed factors associated with clinical and endoscopic placebo response among placebo-treated patients in clinical trials of UC.

METHODS

We performed a post hoc analysis of pooled clinical trial data from GEMINI-1, ACT-1, ACT-2, PURSUIT, ULTRA-2, OCTAVE-1, and OCTAVE-2. Predictors were assessed in placebo-treated patients for their association with end of induction (week 6 of 8) clinical response (reduction in total Mayo score of ≥3 and ≥30% from baseline with ≥1 point decrease in rectal bleeding subscore [RBS] or absolute RBS ≤1); clinical remission (total Mayo score ≤2 and no subscore >1); endoscopic healing (Mayo endoscopic subscore ≤1); partial Mayo score of 0; patient-reported outcome 2-item remission (RBS of 0 and stool frequency ≤1), resolution of rectal bleeding, and stool frequency normalization. Predictors on univariate analyses with P < .05 were included in multivariate logistic regression models.

RESULTS

Placebo-treated patients with normal serum C-reactive protein and albumin levels were more likely to attain clinical response (71 of 437 [16.3%] vs 49 of 660 [7.4%]; adjusted odds ratio, 2.76; 95% confidence interval, 1.19-5.41; P = .018). Compared with patients with a Mayo endoscopic score of 2, patients with a Mayo endoscopic score of 3 were less likely to attain clinical response (105 of 556 [18.8%] vs 179 of 675 [25.9%]; adjusted odds ratio, 0.33; 95% confidence interval, 0.16-0.68; P = .003). Similar findings were observed for clinical remission and resolution of rectal bleeding.

CONCLUSIONS

Biomarkers such as normal serum C-reactive protein and albumin and baseline endoscopic severity were found to affect placebo response rates in clinical trials of UC. These findings have implications for clinical trial design in UC.

Clinical Trials in Chronic Arthritic Diseases with Underestimated Impact of Placebo Effects on Study Size Calculation

Whether and to which extent placebo treatment in double-blinded randomized controlled clinical trials is effective in chronic arthritic diseases has not been studied before. Therefore, a systematic literature search was undertaken to detect eligible trials. Demographic data of the placebo groups as well as concomitant and previous disease outcomes were collected. Analyses of significant bivariate correlations and linear regression between clinical endpoints and characteristics of the placebo groups were performed. A total of 152 double-blinded randomized controlled studies, including 21,616 participants in the placebo groups, was analyzed. The results of bivariate correlations and linear regressions revealed significant positive associations between responses in the placebo groups and the following factors: (i) naïvety of previous treatment and (ii) early stage of disease. In addition to the clinical relevance, the results support the importance of the placebo effect on study size calculations, and will allow an optimized calculation of patients' numbers for early placebo-controlled trials conducted in patients with chronic arthritic diseases.

ABX464 (obefazimod) for moderate-to-severe, active ulcerative colitis: a phase 2b, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled induction trial and 48 week, open-label extension

BACKGROUND

ABX464 (obefazimod) is a small molecule that selectively upregulates miR-124 in immune cells. We aimed to assess ABX464 as a treatment for patients with moderate-to-severe, active ulcerative colitis.

METHODS

In this phase 2b, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled induction trial, patients were recruited from 95 centres (hospitals and health-care centres) in 16 countries. Eligible patients were aged 18-75 years, with a diagnosis of moderate-to-severe, active ulcerative colitis and a modified Mayo Score (MMS) of 5 points or higher, and a documented non-response or intolerance to previous treatment. Enrolled patients were randomly assigned (1:1:1:1) via an interactive voice and web response system to receive once daily oral ABX464 100 mg, ABX464 50 mg, ABX464 25 mg, or matched placebo. Randomisation was stratified according to study site (US vs non-US) and to whether the patient had previous exposure to second-line treatment with biologics or JAK inhibitors. The primary endpoint was the change from baseline in MMS at week 8. The primary efficacy analysis was done in the full analysis set (FAS), defined as all randomly assigned patients who received at least one dose of study treatment and had baseline data for at least one efficacy variable, and was analysed according to the principles of intention-to-treat. Safety analyses included patients who had been randomly assigned and who received at least one dose of study treatment. The 96 week open-label extension is ongoing. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04023396.

FINDINGS

Between Aug 13, 2019, and April 16, 2021, 254 patients were randomly allocated to ABX464 100 mg (n=64), ABX464 50 mg (n=63), ABX464 25 mg (n=63), or placebo (n=64). Two patients, both in the ABX464 25 mg group, were excluded from the FAS. In the FAS at week 8, the least squares mean (LSM) change from baseline in MMS was -2·9 (95% CI -3·4 to -2·5) for the ABX464 100 mg group, -3·2 (-3·7 to -2·7) for the ABX464 50 mg group, -3·1 (-3·6 to -2·6) for the ABX464 25 mg group, and -1·9 (-2·4 to -1·5) for placebo group; the magnitude of the difference in MMS from baseline was significantly greater in all three ABX464 groups compared with placebo (p=0·0039 for ABX464 100 mg vs placebo, p=0·0003 for ABX464 50 mg vs placebo, and p=0·0010 for ABX464 25 mg vs placebo). The most frequently reported adverse event was headache, which was reported for 27 (42%) of 64 patients in the ABX464 100 mg group, 19 (30%) of 63 in the 50 mg group, 13 (21%) of 62 in the 25 mg group, and five (8%) of 64 in the placebo group. Severe (grade 3) headache was reported for three (5%) patients in the ABX464 group 100 mg group, two (3%) in the ABX464 50 mg group, one (2%) in the ABX464 25 mg group, and none in the placebo group. The only serious adverse event reported for two or more patients in any group was ulcerative colitis (one in each of the ABX464 100 mg and 50 mg groups, and three [5%] in the placebo group).

INTERPRETATION

All doses of ABX464 significantly improved moderate-to-severe, active ulcerative colitis compared with placebo, as measured by changes in MMS from baseline to week 8. A phase 3 clinical programme is ongoing.

FUNDING

Abivax.

Gluten-free bakery products: Ingredients and processes

There is an increasing demand for gluten-free products around the world because certain groups of people, which have increased in the last decades, need to eliminate gluten from their diet. A growing number of people consider gluten-free products to be healthier. However, making gluten-free products such as bread is a technological challenge due to the important role of the gluten network in their development. However, other products, such as cakes and cookies usually made with wheat flour, can easily be made with gluten-free starches or flours since gluten does not play an essential role in their production. To replace wheat flour in these elaborations it is necessary to resort to gluten-free starches and/or flours and to gluten substitutes. Additionally, it can be convenient to incorporate other ingredients such as proteins, fibers, sugars or oils, as well as to modify their quantities in wheat flour formulations. Regarding gluten-free flours, it will also be necessary to know the parameters that influence their functionality in order to obtain regular products. These problems have originated a lower availability of gluten-free products which have a worse texture and are less tasty and more expensive than their homologues with gluten. These problems have been partially solved thanks to research on these types of products, their ingredients and their production methods. In recent years, studies about the nutritional improvement of these products have increased. This chapter delves into the main ingredients used in the production of gluten-free products, the processes for making gluten-free breads, cakes and cookies, and the nutritional quality of these products.

Bibliometric Properties of Placebo Literature From the JIPS Database: A Descriptive Study

OBJECTIVES

First dedicated articles about placebo effects have been published in the 1940s, and more than 5,000 articles have been published in scientific organs since. However, the evolution of this research field has rarely been examined. By means of bibliometric analyses we aim to generate research metrics such as the number and types of publications as well as topics, authorship networks, impacts, and future directions.

METHODS

Bibliometric methods were applied to the Journal of Interdisciplinary Placebo Studies (JIPS) database. It comprises around 5,000 scientific articles dedicated to researching placebo effects and mechanisms and is expanded continually through individual curation, making it a prime candidate for investigation. Web scraping was used to obtain complete article information from PubMed and Web of Science. The same information was obtained for addiction research as reference field. Analyses include a general characterization of the database as well as focus points concerning publication types (data vs. non-data articles), high-impact publications and more.

RESULTS

Analyses show that the JIPS database is a comprehensive collection of placebo publications. The development of the field is comparable to that of the comparator field and scientific publication in general. The most frequently used keywords describe populations or study design topics; the most frequent symptoms were pain, depression and anxiety. Data and non-data (e.g., review) papers are related in proportion of about 6:4 in recent decades, indicating a stable degree of productivity. A network of 26 interconnected researchers was identified who published 25 or more articles. Placebo research contributes comparable numbers of publications to high-impact journals as the comparator field. Several additional analyses are performed, with a focus on visualization of various database parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

Bibliometric analyses of the JIPS database can be used to answer questions to the field, for example, to get an impression of blind spots and future directions. However, keywords used in indexing and publications themselves are often general and suggest that placebo research may still be considered a subspecialty of superordinate fields, particularly since there are no journals dedicated to placebo research itself. We invite interested colleagues to use this database for further analyses.

Treatment-refractory ulcerative colitis responsive to indigo naturalis

Background

Indigo naturalis (IN) is an herbal medicine that has been used for ulcerative colitis with an unclear mechanism of action. Indigo and indirubin, its main constituents, are ligands of the aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR). We assessed the safety, efficacy, and colon AhR activity of IN given orally to patients with treatment-refractory ulcerative colitis. The role of AhR in IN benefit was further evaluated with an AhR antagonist in a murine colitis model.

Methods

This open-label, dose-escalation study sequentially treated 11 patients with ulcerative colitis with either IN 500 mg/day or 1.5 g/day for 8 weeks, followed by a 4-week non-treatment period. The primary efficacy endpoint was clinical response at week 8, assessed by total Mayo score. Secondary endpoints included clinical remission, Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity, quality of life, and colon AhR activity measured by cytochrome P450 1A1 (CYP1A1) RNA expression.

Results

Ten of 11 (91%) patients, including 8/9 (89%) with moderate-to-severe disease, achieved a clinical response. Among these 10 patients, all had failed treatment with 5-aminosalicylic acid, 8 patients with a tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha inhibitor, and 6 patients with TNF-alpha inhibitor and vedolizumab. Five patients were corticosteroid dependent. Clinical response was observed in all five patients who had been recommended for colectomy. Three patients achieved clinical remission. All patients experienced improved endoscopic severity and quality of life. Four weeks after treatment completion, six patients had worsened partial Mayo scores. Four patients progressed to colectomy after study completion. Colon CYP1A1 RNA expression increased 12 557-fold at week 8 among six patients evaluated. No patient discontinued IN due to an adverse event. Concomitant administration of 3-methoxy-4-nitroflavone, an AhR antagonist, in a murine colitis model abrogated the benefit of IN.

Conclusion

IN is a potentially effective therapy for patients with treatment-refractory ulcerative colitis. This benefit is likely through AhR activation.

Trial registration number

NCT02442960.