Development and External Validation of 18F-FDG PET-Based Radiomic Model for Predicting Pathologic Complete Response after Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Breast Cancer

Respective contribution of baseline clinical data, tumour metabolism and tumour blood-flow in predicting pCR after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in HER2 and Triple Negative breast cancer

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study is to investigate the added value of combining tumour blood flow (BF) and metabolism parameters, including texture features, with clinical parameters to predict, at baseline, the pathological complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in patients with newly diagnosed breast cancer (BC).

METHODS

One hundred and twenty-eight BC patients underwent a 18F-FDG PET/CT before any treatment. Tumour BF and metabolism parameters were extracted from first-pass dynamic and delayed PET images, respectively. Standard and texture features were extracted from BF and metabolic images. Prediction of pCR was performed using logistic regression, random forest and support vector classification algorithms. Models were built using clinical (C), clinical and metabolic (C+M) and clinical, metabolic and tumour BF (C+M+BF) information combined. Algorithms were trained on 80% of the dataset and tested on the remaining 20%. Univariate and multivariate features selections were carried out on the training dataset. A total of 50 shuffle splits were performed. The analysis was carried out on the whole dataset (HER2 and Triple Negative (TN)), and separately in HER2 (N=76) and TN (N=52) tumours.

RESULTS

In the whole dataset, the highest classification performances were observed for C+M models, significantly (p-value<0.01) higher than C models and better than C+M+BF models (mean balanced accuracy of 0.66, 0.61, and 0.64 respectively). For HER2 tumours, equal performances were noted for C and C+M models, with performances higher than C+M+BF models (mean balanced accuracy of 0.64, and 0.61 respectively). Regarding TN tumours, the best classification results were reported for C+M models, with better performances than C and C+M+BF models but not significantly (mean balanced accuracy of 0.65, 0.63, and 0.62 respectively).

CONCLUSION

Baseline clinical data combined with global and texture tumour metabolism parameters assessed by 18F-FDG PET/CT provide a better prediction of pCR after NAC in patients with BC compared to clinical parameters alone for TN, and HER2 and TN tumours together. In contrast, adding BF parameters to the models did not improve prediction, regardless of the tumour subgroup analysed.

Prognostic Value of Radiomic Analysis Using Pre- and Post-Treatment 18F-FDG-PET/CT in Patients with Laryngeal Cancer and Hypopharyngeal Cancer

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of conducting 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging has yielded different results in patients with laryngeal cancer and hypopharyngeal cancer, but these results are controversial, and there is a lack of dedicated studies on each type of cancer. This study aimed to evaluate whether combining radiomic analysis of pre- and post-treatment 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging features and clinical parameters has additional prognostic value in patients with laryngeal cancer and hypopharyngeal cancer.

METHODS

From 2008 to 2016, data on patients diagnosed with cancer of the larynx and hypopharynx were retrospectively collected. The patients underwent pre- and post-treatment 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging. The values of ΔPre-Post PET were measured from the texture features. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression was used to select the most predictive features to formulate a Rad-score for both progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Kaplan-Meier curve analysis and Cox regression were employed to assess PFS and OS. Then, the concordance index (C-index) and calibration plot were used to evaluate the performance of the radiomics nomogram.

RESULTS

Study data were collected for a total of 91 patients. The mean follow-up period was 71.5 mo. (8.4-147.3). The Rad-score was formulated based on the texture parameters and was significantly associated with both PFS (p = 0.024) and OS (p = 0.009). When predicting PFS, only the Rad-score demonstrated a significant association (HR 2.1509, 95% CI [1.100-4.207], p = 0.025). On the other hand, age (HR 1.116, 95% CI [1.041-1.197], p = 0.002) and Rad-score (HR 33.885, 95% CI [2.891-397.175], p = 0.005) exhibited associations with OS. The Rad-score value showed good discrimination when it was combined with clinical parameters in both PFS (C-index 0.802-0.889) and OS (C-index 0.860-0.958). The calibration plots also showed a good agreement between the observed and predicted survival probabilities.

CONCLUSIONS

Combining clinical parameters with radiomics analysis of pre- and post-treatment 18F-FDG PET/CT parameters in patients with laryngeal cancer and hypopharyngeal cancer might have additional prognostic value.