1
|
Londe DW, Davis CA, Loss SR, Robertson EP, Haukos DA, Hovick TJ. Climate change causes declines and greater extremes in wetland inundation in a region important for wetland birds. ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS : A PUBLICATION OF THE ECOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA 2024; 34:e2930. [PMID: 37941497 DOI: 10.1002/eap.2930] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/24/2023] [Revised: 06/27/2023] [Accepted: 09/15/2023] [Indexed: 11/10/2023]
Abstract
Wetland ecosystems are vital for maintaining global biodiversity, as they provide important stopover sites for many species of migrating wetland-associated birds. However, because weather determines their hydrologic cycles, wetlands are highly vulnerable to effects of climate change. Although changes in temperature and precipitation resulting from climate change are expected to reduce inundation of wetlands, few efforts have been made to quantify how these changes will influence the availability of stopover sites for migratory wetland birds. Additionally, few studies have evaluated how climate change will influence interannual variability or the frequency of extremes in wetland availability. For spring and fall bird migration in seven ecoregions in the south-central Great Plains of North America, we developed predictive models associating abundance of inundated wetlands with a suite of weather and land cover variables. We then used these models to generate predictions of wetland inundation at the end of the century (2069-2099) under future climate change scenarios. Climate models predicted the average number of inundated wetlands will likely decline during both spring and fall migration periods, with declines being greatest in the eastern ecoregions of the southern Great Plains. However, the magnitude of predicted declines varied considerably across climate models and ecoregions, with uncertainty among climate models being greatest in the High Plains ecoregion. Most ecoregions also were predicted to experience more-frequent extremely dry years (i.e., years with extremely low wetland abundances), but the projected change in interannual variability of wetland inundation was relatively small and varied across ecoregions and seasons. Because the south-central Great Plains represents an important link along the migratory routes of many wetland-dependent avian species, future declines in wetland inundation and more frequent periods of only a few wetlands being inundated will result in an uncertain future for migratory birds as they experience reduced availability of wetland stopover habitat across their migration pathways.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- David W Londe
- Department of Natural Resource Ecology and Management, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma, USA
| | - Craig A Davis
- Department of Natural Resource Ecology and Management, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma, USA
| | - Scott R Loss
- Department of Natural Resource Ecology and Management, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma, USA
| | - Ellen P Robertson
- Department of Natural Resource Ecology and Management, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma, USA
| | - David A Haukos
- U.S. Geological Survey, Kansas Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Kansas State University, Manhattan, Kansas, USA
| | - Torre J Hovick
- School of Natural Resource Sciences, North Dakota State University, Fargo, North Dakota, USA
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Bansal S, Post van der Burg M, Fern RR, Jones JW, Lo R, McKenna OP, Tangen BA, Zhang Z, Gleason RA. Large increases in methane emissions expected from North America's largest wetland complex. SCIENCE ADVANCES 2023; 9:eade1112. [PMID: 36857447 PMCID: PMC9977182 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.ade1112] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/25/2022] [Accepted: 01/30/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
Natural methane (CH4) emissions from aquatic ecosystems may rise because of human-induced climate warming, although the magnitude of increase is highly uncertain. Using an exceptionally large CH4 flux dataset (~19,000 chamber measurements) and remotely sensed information, we modeled plot- and landscape-scale wetland CH4 emissions from the Prairie Pothole Region (PPR), North America's largest wetland complex. Plot-scale CH4 emissions were driven by hydrology, temperature, vegetation, and wetland size. Historically, landscape-scale PPR wetland CH4 emissions were largely dependent on total wetland extent. However, regardless of future wetland extent, PPR CH4 emissions are predicted to increase by two- or threefold by 2100 under moderate or severe warming scenarios, respectively. Our findings suggest that international efforts to decrease atmospheric CH4 concentrations should jointly account for anthropogenic and natural emissions to maintain climate mitigation targets to the end of the century.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Sheel Bansal
- U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center, Jamestown, ND, USA
| | - Max Post van der Burg
- U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center, Jamestown, ND, USA
| | - Rachel R. Fern
- U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center, Jamestown, ND, USA
- Texas Parks and Wildlife Department, San Marcos, TX, USA
| | - John W. Jones
- U.S. Geological Survey, Hydrologic Remote Sensing Branch, Kearneysville, WV, USA
| | - Rachel Lo
- U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center, Jamestown, ND, USA
| | - Owen P. McKenna
- U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center, Jamestown, ND, USA
| | - Brian A. Tangen
- U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center, Jamestown, ND, USA
| | - Zhen Zhang
- Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA
| | - Robert A. Gleason
- U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center, Jamestown, ND, USA
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Monitoring and Predicting Channel Morphology of the Tongtian River, Headwater of the Yangtze River Using Landsat Images and Lightweight Neural Network. REMOTE SENSING 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/rs14133107] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
The Tongtian River is the source of the Yangtze River and is a national key ecological reserve in China. Monitoring and predicting the changes and mechanisms of the Tongtian River channel morphology are beneficial to protecting the “Asian Water Tower”. This study aims to quantitatively monitor and predict the accretion and erosion area of the Tongtian River channel morphology during the past 30 years (1990–2020). Firstly, the water bodies of the Tongtian River were extracted and the accretion and erosion areas were quantified using 1108 Landsat images based on the combined method of three water-body indices and a threshold, and the surface-water dataset provided by the European Commission Joint Research Centre. Secondly, an intelligent lightweight neural-network model was constructed to predict and analyze the accretion and erosion area of the Tongtian River. Results indicate that the Tongtian River experienced apparent accretion and erosion with a total area of 98.3 and 94.9 km2, respectively, during 1990–2020. The braided (meandering) reaches at the upper (lower) Tongtian River exhibit an overall trend of accretion (erosion). The Tongtian River channel morphology was determined by the synergistic effect of sediment-transport velocity and streamflow. The lightweight neural network well-reproduced the complex nonlinear processes in the river-channel morphology with a final prediction error of 0.0048 km2 for the training session and 4.6 km2 for the test session. Results in this study provide more effective, reasonable, and scientific decision-making aids for monitoring, protecting, understanding, and mining the evolution characteristics of rivers, especially the complex change processes of braided river channels in alpine regions and developing countries.
Collapse
|
4
|
Development of a Multi-Index Method Based on Landsat Reflectance Data to Map Open Water in a Complex Environment. REMOTE SENSING 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/rs14051158] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
Mapping surface water extent is important for managing water supply for agriculture and the environment. Remote sensing technologies, such as Landsat, provide an affordable means of capturing surface water extent with reasonable spatial and temporal coverage suited to this purpose. Many methods are available for mapping surface water including the modified Normalised Difference Water Index (mNDWI), Fisher’s water index (FWI), Water Observations from Space (WOfS), and the Tasseled Cap Wetness index (TCW). While these methods can discriminate water, they have their strengths and weaknesses, and perform at their best in different environments, and with different threshold values. This study combines the strengths of these indices by developing rules that applies an index to the environment where they perform best. It compares these indices across the Murray-Darling Basin (MDB) in southeast Australia, to assess performance and compile a heuristic rule set for accurate application across the MDB. The results found that all single indices perform well with the Kappa statistic showing strong agreement, ranging from 0.78 for WOfS to 0.84 for TCW (with threshold −0.035), with improvement in the overall output when the index best suited for an environment was selected. mNDWI (using a threshold of −0.3) works well within river channels, while TCW (with threshold −0.035) is best for wetlands and flooded vegetation. FWI and mNDWI (with threshold 0.63 and 0, respectively) work well for remaining areas. Selecting the appropriate index for an environment increases the overall Kappa statistic to 0.88 with a water pixel accuracy of 90.5% and a dry pixel accuracy of 94.8%. An independent assessment illustrates the benefit of using the multi-index approach, making it suitable for regional-scale multi-temporal analysis.
Collapse
|
5
|
PyGEE-SWToolbox: A Python Jupyter Notebook Toolbox for Interactive Surface Water Mapping and Analysis Using Google Earth Engine. SUSTAINABILITY 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/su14052557] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Continuous monitoring of surface water resources is often challenging due to the lack of monitoring systems in remote areas and the high spatial distribution of water bodies. The Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, which houses a large set of remote sensing datasets and geospatial processing power, has been applied in various aspects of surface water resources monitoring to solve some of the challenges. PyGEE-SWToolbox is a freely available Google Earth Engine-enabled open-source toolbox developed with Python to be run in Jupyter Notebooks that provides an easy-to-use graphical user interface (GUI) that enables the user to obtain time series of Landsat, Sentinel-1, and Sentinel-2 satellite imagery, pre-process them, and extract surface water using water indices, such as the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), Modified NDWI (MNDWI), Automated Water Extraction Index (AWEI), and Dynamic Surface Water Extent (DSWE). The validation of the toolbox is carried out at four reservoir and lake locations: Elephant Butte Lake, Hubbard Creek Reservoir, Clearwater Lake, and Neversink Reservoir in the United States. A time series of the water surface area generated from PyGEE-SWToolbox compared to the observed surface areas yielded good results, with R2 ranging between 0.63 and 0.99 for Elephant Butte Lake, Hubbard Creek Reservoir, and Clearwater Lake except the Neversink Reservoir with a maximum R2 of 0.52. The purpose of PyGEE-SWToolbox is to provide water resource managers, engineers, researchers, and students a user-friendly environment to utilize the GEE platform for water resource monitoring and generation of datasets. The toolbox is accompanied by a step-by-step user manual and Readme documentation for installation and usage.
Collapse
|