Response of Ecohydrological Variables to Meteorological Drought under Climate Change

A temporal analysis of the consequences of the drought regime on the water footprint of agriculture in the Guadalupe Valley, Mexico

Changes in water availability have a substantial impact on the sustainability and maintenance of agriculture, with water footprint (WF) being a robust methodology to assess these transformations. The Guadalupe Valley is one of the places with the highest agricultural production in Mexico. Despite its semi-arid climatic conditions, it provides high-quality crops that are well-positioned in the world. The historical trend of rainfall and temperatures between 1987 and 2017 was analyzed to identify climatic patterns in the territory. Through the calculations of the water footprint of Grapevine and Olive crops, the sensitivity of the crops to recurrent water deficit and their adaptation in their yields to drought episodes was identified. The reduction in precipitation and occurrence of extreme temperatures have contributed significantly towards augmenting crop evapotranspiration and, consequently, intensifying crop irrigation demands. As a result, there has been an apparent increase in the consumption of WFagricultural since 2007. Thus, the period of highest WFagricultural consumption was 2014 (Extremely dry), as opposed to 2011 (Very wet). In particular, the lowest WFgreen consumptions were observed in extremely dry years, that is, > 20% of the WFagricultural intensifying drought events. Therefore, these periods were compensated with higher uses of WFblue and WFgray, which are inversely correlated with precipitation, where vine crops consume 73% more WFagricultural compared to olive plantations, showing greater interannual variability. These results contribute to analyzing the temporal evolution of water consumption for agriculture, providing a basis for rational water use strategies.

Cascading effects of drought in Xilin Gol temperate grassland, China

In the context of global climate change, the cascading risk of compound natural hazards is becoming increasingly prominent. Taking Xilin Gol grassland as study area, we used the Mann-Kendall trend method, the maximum Pearson correlation coefficient method, and Partial least squares structural equations modeling to detect the characteristics of spatiotemporal pattern changes of the three types of droughts. The propagation characteristics and the cascade effects among the three types of droughts was also identified. The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index, standardized evapotranspiration drought index, and soil moisture index were selected as indicators of meteorological drought, ecohydrological drought, and soil drought, respectively. The results show that the warm and dry trend in Xilin Gol grassland was obvious in the past 30 years. The seasonal propagation of different drought was prominent, with stronger spread relationships in summer. Persistent meteorological drought was more likely to trigger the other two types of droughts. The intensity and range both increased during the propagation from meteorological drought to ecohydrological drought. The cascade effect was differed in different time scales. The multi-year persistent climatic drought has an overwhelming cascade effect on soil drought and ecohydrological drought. For seasonal or annual drought, vegetation cover change has an amplifying or mitigating impact on the cascade effect, where soil moisture, evapotranspiration (ET), and their relationship all play important roles. In eastern areas with better vegetation cover, the reduction of vegetation in the early stage aggravated the cascading effect of meteorological drought to ecohydrological drought through reducing ET. In the northwestern sparsely vegetated areas, ET was mainly influenced by meteorological factors, and the cascade effect of meteorological factors to ecohydrological drought was more obvious than that of soil drought.

Temporal and Spatial Changes in Vegetation Ecological Quality and Driving Mechanism in Kökyar Project Area from 2000 to 2021

The “Kökyar Greening Project” in the suburb of Aksu, Xinjiang, is a model of large-area artificial afforestation in an environment of drought and water scarcity. As an important part of the “3-North Shelter Forest Program”, it plays an important role in promoting the economic development and the environmentally friendly construction of Aksu and even of the whole Xinjiang region. Based on multisource remote-sensing data and meteorological observation data, this study explored the temporal and spatial changes in the vegetation parameters (FVC, NPP, and VEQI) and the ecological parameters (RSEI and LULC) in the Kökyar Project Area from 2000 to 2021. Based on the Theil–Sen median and TSS-RESTREND, this study investigated the path of mutual influence among the FVC, NPP, VEQI, and RSEI, as well as their responses to climate change and human activities. The results show that: (1) from 2000 to 2021, the FVC, NPP, VEQI, and RSEI in the Kökyar Project Area showed a significant upward trend and showed the distribution characteristics of “high in the south and low in the north”. (2) Over the past 22 years, the RSEI has shown a significant increase with the FVC, NPP and VEQI (p < 0.001), indicating that the “Kökyar Greening Project” has achieved significant ecological benefits. (3) The changes in the vegetation parameters and RSEI in the Kökyar Project Area were dominated by human activities. (4) The Kökyar Project Area has caused great changes to the ecosystem pattern of the region, and the vegetation parameters and RSEI in the Kökyar Project Area have increased, mainly in the form of cropland and grassland expansion over the past 22 years.