The Dynamic Change in Plasma Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Load over a Long-Term Follow-Up Period Predicts Prognosis in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Longitudinal post-radiotherapy plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA trends inform on optimal risk stratification in endemic nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To characterize longitudinal changes in Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA post-radiotherapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients, and investigate whether an early (0-2 weeks) or delayed (8-12 weeks) EBV DNA result better predicts for disease-free survival (DFS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Histologically-confirmed NPC patients with ≥1 EBV DNA test quantified using the harmonized BamHI-W polymerase chain reaction-based assay at 0-2 and 8-12 weeks post-radiotherapy were included.

RESULTS

We identified 302 patients with EBV DNA measured at 0-2 weeks post-radiotherapy; of which, 110 (36.4 %) underwent a repeat test at 8-12 weeks post-treatment. Patients harboring a detectable EBV DNA at 0-2 weeks experienced an inferior DFS (adjusted HR1-264 copies 1.72 [95 %CI: 1.05-2.83], P = 0.031; AHR≥265 copies 4.39 [95 %CI: 1.68-11.44], P = 0.002 relative to 0 copies/mL). At 8-12 weeks, we observed substantial shifts in EBV DNA readings from 0 to 2 weeks; 76/110 (69.1 %) and 34/110 (30.9 %) patients at 0-2 weeks versus 90/110 (81.8 %) and 20/110 (18.2 %) at 8-12 weeks recorded undetectable and detectable EBV DNA, respectively. Positive EBV DNA at 8-12 weeks was strongly associated with relapse (73.3 % [11/15] for 1-264; 80.0 % [4/5] for ≥265 subgroups had relapses versus 15.6 % [14/90] for 0 copies/mL). Area under receiver operating curve values for 2-year relapse rates were 0.817 (95 %CI: 0.725-0.909) for stage + EBV DNA8-12w versus 0.654 (95 %CI: 0.542-0.765) for stage + EBV DNA0-2w. CONCLUSION: EBV DNA is dynamic post-radiotherapy, and delayed EBV DNA testing better enriched for higher-risk NPC patients. This implicates trials investigating adjuvant chemotherapy intensification based on early EBV DNA testing.

Prognostic nutritional index and serum lactate dehydrogenase predict the prognosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients who received intensity-modulated radiation therapy

PURPOSE

This research aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of baseline prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) for the outcome of individuals diagnosed with non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on data from 810 patients with non-metastatic NPC who underwent intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) with or without chemotherapy. The best cut-offs for PNI and LDH were identified by X-tile software to be 48.5 and 150, respectively. To find the independent prognostic factors for survival outcomes, univariate and multivariate regression analyses were conducted, and AUCs were used to compare their prognostic values.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis revealed that patients with PNI > 48.5 had better overall survival (OS) (HR: 0.502, P < 0.001), progression-free survival (PFS) (HR: 0.618, P < 0.001), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) (HR: 0.637, P = 0.005). Higher LDH was associated with poorer OS (HR: 1.798, P < 0.001), PFS (HR: 1.671, P < 0.001), and DMFS (HR: 1.756, P < 0.001). The combination of low PNI and high LDH in non-metastatic NPC patients was correlated with poor OS (P < 0.001), PFS (P < 0.001), and DMFS (P < 0.001). The combination of PNI and LDH had the highest AUCs for predicting OS, PFS, and DMFS.

CONCLUSIONS

PNI and LDH might become valuable predictors of the prognosis of non-metastatic NPC patients undergoing IMRT with or without chemotherapy. Prognostic accuracy can be enhanced by combining PNI and LDH.

Liquid Biopsy in Head and Neck Cancer: Its Present State and Future Role in Africa

The rising mortality and morbidity rate of head and neck cancer (HNC) in Africa has been attributed to factors such as the poor state of health infrastructures, genetics, and late presentation resulting in the delayed diagnosis of these tumors. If well harnessed, emerging molecular and omics diagnostic technologies such as liquid biopsy can potentially play a major role in optimizing the management of HNC in Africa. However, to successfully apply liquid biopsy technology in the management of HNC in Africa, factors such as genetic, socioeconomic, environmental, and cultural acceptability of the technology must be given due consideration. This review outlines the role of circulating molecules such as tumor cells, tumor DNA, tumor RNA, proteins, and exosomes, in liquid biopsy technology for the management of HNC with a focus on studies conducted in Africa. The present state and the potential opportunities for the future use of liquid biopsy technology in the effective management of HNC in resource-limited settings such as Africa is further discussed.

Development of Prognostic Nomogram Based on Lipid Metabolic Markers and Lactate Dehydrogenase in Non-Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Purpose

To establish and verify a comprehensive prognostic nomogram for predicting survival outcomes and improving the prognosis for non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

Patients and Methods

Our retrospective study screened 613 cases of non-metastatic NPC who received radiotherapy from July 2012 to December 2016. A reliable nomogram was formulated for predicting overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) using all independent predictors selected by Cox regression analysis. A comparison is conducted between the current staging and the predictive performance of the nomogram. Internal validation was performed in a single center using the validation cohort to assess predictive accuracy and discrimination.

Results

High-density lipoprotein cholesterol, Epstein-Barr virus DNA and lactate dehydrogenase were determined to be valuable predictive indicators for predicting OS and PFS. Triglycerides were a valuable predictive indicator for predicting OS. Calibration curves demonstrated that the nomogram had remarkable correspondence between the prediction outcomes and the actual observations. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed that the nomogram had greater area under the curve and more satisfactory discrimination capability than the current TNM staging. Decision curve analysis revealed that the nomogram had high net clinical benefits. Significant differences were observed when low- and high-risk groups were stratified via Kaplan-Meier curves.

Conclusion

Our proposed nomogram combining lipid metabolic markers and lactate dehydrogenase could assist clinicians in the accurate prognostic prediction of non-metastatic NPC patients and provide personalized treatment recommendations.