Development of an Indian nomogram for predicting extracapsular extension in prostate cancer

Prostate cancer nomograms and their application in Asian men: a review

Nomograms help to predict outcomes in individual patients rather than whole populations and are an important part of evaluation and treatment decision making. Various nomograms have been developed in malignancies to predict and prognosticate clinical outcomes such as severity of disease, overall survival, and recurrence-free survival. In prostate cancer, nomograms were developed for determining need for biopsy, disease course, need for adjuvant therapy, and outcomes. Most of these predictive nomograms were based on Caucasian populations. Prostate cancer is significantly affected by race, and Asian men have a significantly different racial and genetic susceptibility compared to Caucasians, raising the concern in generalizability of these nomograms. We reviewed the existing literature for nomograms in prostate cancer and their application in Asian men. There are very few studies that have evaluated the applicability and validity of the existing nomograms in these men. Most have found significant differences in the performance in this population. Thus, more studies evaluating the existing nomograms in Asian men or suggesting modifications for this population are required.

Diagnostic performance of prediction models for extraprostatic extension in prostate cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

In recent decades, diverse nomograms have been proposed to predict extraprostatic extension (EPE) in prostate cancer (PCa). We aimed to systematically evaluate the accuracy of MRI-inclusive nomograms and traditional clinical nomograms in predicting EPE in PCa. The purpose of this meta-analysis is to provide baseline summative and comparative estimates for future study designs.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched up to May 17, 2023, to identify studies on prediction nomograms for EPE of PCa. The risk of bias in studies was assessed by using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST). Summary estimates of sensitivity and specificity were obtained with bivariate random-effects model. Heterogeneity was investigated through meta-regression and subgroup analysis.

RESULTS

Forty-eight studies with a total of 57 contingency tables and 20,395 patients were included. No significant publication bias was observed for either the MRI-inclusive nomograms or clinical nomograms. For MRI-inclusive nomograms predicting EPE, the pooled AUC of validation cohorts was 0.80 (95% CI: 0.76, 0.83). For traditional clinical nomograms predicting EPE, the pooled AUCs of the Partin table and Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) nomogram were 0.72 (95% CI: 0.68, 0.76) and 0.79 (95% CI: 0.75, 0.82), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative risk stratification is essential for PCa patients; both MRI-inclusive nomograms and traditional clinical nomograms had moderate diagnostic performance for predicting EPE in PCa. This study provides baseline comparative values for EPE prediction for future studies which is useful for evaluating preoperative risk stratification in PCa patients.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

This meta-analysis firstly evaluated the diagnostic performance of preoperative MRI-inclusive nomograms and clinical nomograms for predicting extraprostatic extension (EPE) in prostate cancer (PCa) (moderate AUCs: 0.72-0.80). We provide baseline estimates for EPE prediction, these findings will be useful in assessing preoperative risk stratification of PCa patients.

KEY POINTS

• MRI-inclusive nomograms and traditional clinical nomograms had moderate AUCs (0.72-0.80) for predicting EPE. • MRI combined clinical nomogram may improve diagnostic accuracy of MRI alone for EPE prediction. • MSKCC nomogram had a higher specificity than Partin table for predicting EPE. • This meta-analysis provided baseline and comparative estimates of nomograms for EPE prediction for future studies.

MRI-based nomograms and radiomics in presurgical prediction of extraprostatic extension in prostate cancer: a systematic review

PURPOSE

Prediction of extraprostatic extension (EPE) is essential for accurate surgical planning in prostate cancer (PCa). Radiomics based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has shown potential to predict EPE. We aimed to evaluate studies proposing MRI-based nomograms and radiomics for EPE prediction and assess the quality of current radiomics literature.

METHODS

We used PubMed, EMBASE, and SCOPUS databases to find related articles using synonyms for MRI radiomics and nomograms to predict EPE. Two co-authors scored the quality of radiomics literature using the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS). Inter-rater agreement was measured using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) from total RQS scores. We analyzed the characteristic s of the studies and used ANOVAs to associate the area under the curve (AUC) to sample size, clinical and imaging variables, and RQS scores.

RESULTS

We identified 33 studies-22 nomograms and 11 radiomics analyses. The mean AUC for nomogram articles was 0.783, and no significant associations were found between AUC and sample size, clinical variables, or number of imaging variables. For radiomics articles, there were significant associations between number of lesions and AUC (p < 0.013). The average RQS total score was 15.91/36 (44%). Through the radiomics operation, segmentation of region-of-interest, selection of features, and model building resulted in a broader range of results. The qualities the studies lacked most were phantom tests for scanner variabilities, temporal variability, external validation datasets, prospective designs, cost-effectiveness analysis, and open science.

CONCLUSION

Utilizing MRI-based radiomics to predict EPE in PCa patients demonstrates promising outcomes. However, quality improvement and standardization of radiomics workflow are needed.