Exploring the Interaction between E484K and N501Y Substitutions of SARS-CoV-2 in Shaping the Transmission Advantage of COVID-19 in Brazil: A Modeling Study

The mechanism shaping the logistic growth of mutation proportion in epidemics at population scale

Virus evolution is a common process of pathogen adaption to host population and environment. Frequently, a small but important fraction of virus mutations are reported to contribute to higher risks of host infection, which is one of the major determinants of infectious diseases outbreaks at population scale. The key mutations contributing to transmission advantage of a genetic variant often grow and reach fixation rapidly. Based on classic epidemiology theories of disease transmission, we proposed a mechanistic explanation of the process that between-host transmission advantage may shape the observed logistic curve of the mutation proportion in population. The logistic growth of mutation is further generalized by incorporating time-varying selective pressure to account for impacts of external factors on pathogen adaptiveness. The proposed model is implemented in real-world data of COVID-19 to capture the emerging trends and changing dynamics of the B.1.1.7 strains of SARS-CoV-2 in England. The model characterizes and establishes the underlying theoretical mechanism that shapes the logistic growth of mutation in population.

Novel coronavirus mutations: Vaccine development and challenges

The ongoing global pandemic of novel coronavirus pneumonia (COVID-19) caused by the SARS-CoV-2 has a significant impact on global health and economy system. In this context, there have been some landmark advances in vaccine development. Over 100 new coronavirus vaccine candidates have been approved for clinical trials, with ten WHO-approved vaccines including four inactivated virus vaccines, two mRNA vaccines, three recombinant viral vectored vaccines and one protein subunit vaccine on the "Emergency Use Listing". Although the SARS-CoV-2 has an internal proofreading mechanism, there have been a number of mutations emerged in the pandemic affecting its transmissibility, pathogenicity and immunogenicity. Of these, mutations in the spike (S) protein and the resultant mutant variants have posed new challenges for vaccine development and application. In this review article, we present an overview of vaccine development, the prevalence of new coronavirus variants and their impact on protective efficacy of existing vaccines and possible immunization strategies coping with the viral mutation and diversity.

Physicochemical effect of the N501Y, E484K/Q, K417N/T, L452R and T478K mutations on the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein RBD and its influence on agent fitness and on attributes developed by emerging variants of concern

The spike protein comprises one of the main structural components of SARS-CoV-2 because it is directly involved in the infection process and viral transmission, and also because of its immunogenic properties, as an inducer of the protective antibodies production and as a vaccine component. The occurrence of mutations in this region or in other the virus genome regions, comprises a natural phenomenon in its evolution. However, they also occur due to the selective immune pressure, to which the agent is continuously subjected, especially in the spike protein immunodominant regions, such as the RBD. Mutations in the spike protein can change the virus' fitness, increasing its affinity for target cells, its transmissibility and its virulence. In addition, these mutations can giving it the potential ability to evade the protective antibodies action obtained from convalescent sera or vaccine origin, as well as those used in therapy, which may favor the virus expansion and compromise the infection control. Five mutations N501Y, E484K/Q, K417N/T, L452R and T478K, located in the spike protein RBD, have had a greater impact because they are associated with new attributes developed by the virus, which characterize the emerging variants of concern (VOCs) of SARS-Cov-2 identified so far. The occurrence of these mutations induces complex physicochemical effects that can alter the spike protein's structure and its function, which in turn, lead to changes in the agents' fitness. This manuscript discusses the attributes of VOCs associated with the physicochemical effects caused by the aforementioned mutations.

SARS-CoV-2 Variants Detection Using TaqMan SARS-CoV-2 Mutation Panel Molecular Genotyping Assays

PURPOSE

For rapid detection and tracking of SARS-CoV-2, a simple screening method alternative to laborious and expensive sequencing is highly desirable. Here, we evaluated performance characteristics of TaqMan SARS-CoV-2 mutation panel genotyping molecular assay for detection of most common reported SARS-CoV-2 variants using specific RT-PCR assays targeting single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 150 SARS-CoV-2 positive samples from March to July were included for this study. In addition, five controls comprised of synthetic RNA B.1.1.7_601443, B.1.351_678597, P.1_792683, B.1.617.1_1662307 and MN908947.3-Wuhan-hu-1 from Twist bioscience and B.1.1.7 (England/204820464/2020) and B.1.351 (South Africa/KRISP-K005325/2020) from Zeptometrix, NY, USA were used for validation. Total RNA from specimens was extracted using Omega Bio-Tek Mag-Bind Viral RNA Xpress Extraction Kit and tested for known SARS-CoV2 variants using ThermoFisher TaqMan SARS-CoV-2 mutation panel molecular assay on the QuantStudio 12K Flex. Nine representative samples have been compared with sequencing. Data were analyzed by genotype calling using QuantStudio™ design and analysis software v 2.5 with the genotyping analysis module.

RESULTS

All validation controls were tested in triplicate and repeated in singlet on three different days and all reported variants were matched as expected. Out of 150 SARS-CoV-2 positive specimens, 69 (46%) were B.1.617.2, 49 (32.7%) were B.1.1.7, P.1 and P.2 were 4 (2.7%) each and B.1.351 and B.1.427/B.1429 were 2 (1.3%) each. Three (2%) were B.1.526, and 17 (11.3%) have a mutation in D614G. Genotyping results from the present study showing B.1.617.2, B.1.1.7, and B.1.526 variants and their mutation genes were concordant with sequencing results.

CONCLUSION

Our study indicates that TaqMan SARS-CoV-2 mutation panel molecular genotyping assays detect and differentiate all published common variants B.1.617.2 (Delta), B.1.1.7 (Alpha), B.1.526 (Iota), B.1.351 (Beta), P.1 (Gamma), P.2 (Zeta), B.1.617.1 (Kappa) and B.1.427/B.1.429 (Epsilon) that can be used for surveillance and epidemic control and prevention.