The preoperative modified Glasgow prognostic score for the prediction of survival after pancreatic cancer resection following non-surgical treatment of an initially unresectable disease

Pretherapeutic factors predicting conversion surgery in unresectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: A retrospective study

Recently, conversion surgery (CS) has been reported to improve the prognosis in patients with unresectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (UR-PDAC) with a favorable response to intense chemotherapy or chemoradiotherapy. However, few pretherapeutic parameters predict the attainability of CS in patients with UR-PDAC. The present study aimed to explore the pretherapeutic predictors for the attainability of CS in patients with UR-PDAC. The present study retrospectively evaluated 130 patients with UR-PDAC treated at Gifu University Hospital (Gifu, Japan) from January 2015 to December 2021. Survival analysis was performed using the Simon and Makuch-modified Kaplan-Meier method. The hazard ratio (HR) was estimated using a time-varying Cox regression model. The association between each predictor and CS was evaluated using the univariate analysis and age-adjusted Fine-Gray sub-distribution hazard model. The bootstrap bias-corrected area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for predicting CS was used to assess the cut-off values for each predictor. The cumulative incidence rate was calculated with CS as the outcome when divided into two groups based on the cut-off value of each pretherapeutic predictor. Among the 130 patients included in the analysis, only 14 (11%) underwent CS. The median survival time was significantly longer in patients who underwent CS compared with patients without CS (56.3 vs. 14.1 months; P<0.001). The age-adjusted Fine-Gray sub-distribution hazard regression showed that the total protein (TP) [HR 2.81, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.19-6.65; P=0.018], neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.31-0.90; P=0.020), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.07-1.53; P=0.006) were significantly associated with CS. Moreover, TP ≥6.8, NLR <2.84 and LMR ≥3.87 were associated with a higher cumulative incidence of CS. In conclusion, pretherapeutic TP, NLR and LMR are clinically feasible biomarkers for predicting the attainability of CS in patients with UR-PDAC.

Inflamasyon ilişkili indeksler, palyatif bakım hastalarında kötü prognozu tanımlayabilir mi?

Aim: Palliative medicine provides holistic care to increase the quality of life of patients. Predicting prognosis is critical for a personalized treatment plan. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the survival prediction properties of routine biochemistry tests, complete blood count (CBC) and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratios, in addition to biomarker-based indices (the mGPS, PI, and PNI). Materials and methods: The laboratory parameter values, prognostic factor scores, diagnoses and survival time of 139 palliative care patients in the last 5 weeks of their life were evaluated retrospectively. Results: Ninety-one (65.5%) patients were male and the average age was 65.9 years (28–91 years). Results of all three prognostic indices (the mGPS, PI, and PNI) investigated in this study were found to have a statistically significant relationship with the survival time of our patients. In addition, NLR, neutrophil percent, hemoglobin, serum albumin and CRP values were seen to have a statistically significant relationship with the scores of all three prognostic indices. Moreover, hand it is detected that WBC, NLR, albumin, and CRP values were associated with overall survival. Conclusion: The results of our study, which showed that these indices have prognostic markers in palliative care patients, will guide the management of the clinical process. We would like to emphasize the importance of palliative care clinicians in developing personalized treatment plans for patients using prognostic tools for survival prediction.

Predicting Postoperative Events in Patients With Gastric Cancer: A Comparison of Five Nutrition Assessment Tools

BACKGROUND/AIM

We compared the adequacy of five nutrition assessment tools with respect to their predictive value in patients with locally advanced gastric cancer (GC) receiving radical surgery.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Five nutrition assessment tools-Glasgow prognostic score (GPS), malnutritional universal screening tool (MUST), nutritional risk screening, patient generated subjective global assessment (PG-SGA), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI)-were assessed preoperatively for stage III GC patients. The correlation between postoperative events and nutritional status was further analyzed.

RESULTS

Most of the nutritional tools accurately predicted length of hospital stay and grade 3 or higher surgical complications, while only the GPS correlated with 30-day readmission and surgical complications. The PG-SGA performed the poorest among the five tools and failed to predict any postoperative event.

CONCLUSION

The application of GPS is recommended as a prognostic index for patients with locally advanced GC prior to radical surgery.

Conversion surgery for initially unresectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma following induction therapy: a systematic review of the published literature

Patients with unresectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (UR-PDAC) are traditionally treated with palliative chemotherapy. The aim of this study was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of conversion surgery for initially UR-PDAC following induction therapy. The PubMed and Embase databases were systematically searched for eligible studies published between January 2000 and October 2020. Thirty-two series involving 1270 patients with 1056 locally advanced (LA) disease and 214 distant metastases were reviewed. The median mortality and morbidity was 0% (range 0-10%) and 47.1% (range 8.6-93.3%), respectively. Lymph-node negativity, negative resection margin and pathological complete response were observed in a median of 62.9% (38.5-90.9%), 84.4% (32.8-100%) and 6.7% (0-45.8%) of the specimens. The median survival was 32 (16.4-63.9) months with a 3-year survival rate of 47% (22-80%). Meta-analysis demonstrated that conversion surgery of initially UR-PDAC was associated with a significantly improved survival (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.55; 95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.45-0.66, P < 0.001). There was no significant difference in survival between the group with LA disease and that with distant metastases after conversion surgery (HR = 0.96; 95% CI 0.72-1.28, P = 0.790). Conversion surgery improved long-term survival of patients with initially UR-PDAC who had favorable response to induction therapy.

Prognostic and clinical significance of modified glasgow prognostic score in pancreatic cancer: a meta-analysis of 4,629 patients

In this study, we evaluated the association of modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) with prognosis in pancreatic cancer (PC) by performing a meta-analysis. Potentially eligible studies were shortlisted by searching PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library. A total of 4,629 patients with PC from 25 studies were finally included in this meta-analysis. Meta-analyses were performed using a random-effects model or fixed-effect model according to heterogeneity. We pooled the hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to estimate the association between mGPS and overall survival (OS). The results showed that elevated mGPS correlated with poor OS in patients with PC (HR=1.92, 95% CI=1.60–2.30, p<0.002). In addition, subgroup analysis indicated that increased mGPS remained a significant prognostic factor irrespective of the study design, region, disease status, treatment, survival analysis, cancer type, study center, or the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) score (all p<0.05). There was a significant correlation between higher mGPS and male gender (Odds ratio [OR]=1.30, 95% CI=1.01–1.67, p=0.038). Elevated pretreatment mGPS is a marker of poor prognosis in patients with PC. As an easily available and cost-effective inflammatory parameter, mGPS can serve as a promising tool for prognostication in PC.

Prognostic Significance of the Modified Glasgow Prognostic Score in Patients With Pancreatic Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) in patients with pancreatic cancer is controversial, based on previous studies. Therefore, this meta-analysis aimed to explore the relationship between mGPS and prognosis in pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

The databases PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched to identify eligible studies. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to estimate the associations between mGPS score and survival outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 26 studies with 5198 patients were included in this meta-analysis. In a pooled analysis, elevated mGPS predicted poorer overall survival (OS; HR = 1.98, 95% CI, 1.65-2.37, P < .001). In addition, elevated mGPS was also significantly associated with worse progression-free survival (PFS), disease-free survival (DFS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS; HR = 1.95, 95% CI, 1.36-2.80, P < .001). Subgroup analyses confirmed a significant association between mGPS and survival outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analysis demonstrated that high mGPS was correlated to worse OS, PFS, DFS, and CSS in patients with pancreatic cancer. Therefore, mGPS could be employed as an effective prognostic factor for pancreatic cancer in clinical practice.