Role of hypertension in progression of pediatric CKD

Hypertension is frequent in children with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Its prevalence varies according to CKD stage and cause. It is relatively uncommon in children with congenital kidney disease, while acquired kidney disease is associated with a higher prevalence of hypertension. Studies in children with CKD utilizing ambulatory blood pressure monitoring also showed a high prevalence of masked hypertension. Uncontrolled and longstanding hypertension in children is associated with progression of CKD. Aggressive treatment of high blood pressure should be an essential part of care to delay CKD progression in children.

Associations of Biomarkers of Kidney Tubule Health, Injury, and Inflammation with Left Ventricular Hypertrophy in Children with CKD

Key Points

Higher plasma and urine kidney injury molecule-1, urine monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, and lower urine alpha-1-microglobulin were associated with left ventricular hypertrophy, even after adjustment for confounders. Biomarkers of tubular injury, dysfunction, and inflammation may indicate the severity of kidney pathology and are associated with left ventricular hypertrophy.

Background

Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is common in children with CKD and is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality. We have shown that several plasma and urine biomarkers are associated with increased risk of CKD progression. As CKD is associated with LVH, we sought to investigate the association between the biomarkers and LVH.

Methods

In the CKD in Children Cohort Study, children aged 6 months to 16 years with an eGFR of 30–90 ml/min per 1.73 m2 were enrolled at 54 centers in the United States and Canada. We measured plasma biomarkers kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1), tumor necrosis factor receptor-1, tumor necrosis factor receptor-2, soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor and urine KIM-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), YKL-40, alpha-1-microglobulin (alpha-1m), and epidermal growth factor in stored plasma and urine collected 5 months after enrollment. Echocardiograms were performed 1 year after enrollment. We assessed the cross-sectional association between the log2 biomarker levels and LVH (left ventricular mass index greater than or equal to the 95th percentile) using a Poisson regression model, adjusted for age, sex, race, body mass index, hypertension, glomerular diagnosis, urine protein-to-creatinine ratio, and eGFR at study entry.

Results

Among the 504 children, LVH prevalence was 12% (n =59) 1 year after enrollment. In a multivariable-adjusted model, higher plasma and urine KIM-1 and urine MCP-1 concentrations were associated with a higher prevalence of LVH (plasma KIM-1 prevalence ratio [PR] per log2: 1.27, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02 to 1.58; urine KIM-1 PR: 1.21, 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.48; and urine MCP-1 PR: 1.18, 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.34). After multivariable adjustment for covariates, lower urine alpha-1m was also associated with a higher prevalence of LVH (PR: 0.90, 95% CI, 0.82 to 0.99).

Conclusions

Higher plasma and urine KIM-1, urine MCP-1, and lower urine alpha-1m were each associated with LVH prevalence in children with CKD. These biomarkers may better inform risk and help elucidate the pathophysiology of LVH in pediatric CKD.

Improving Clinical Care for Children With CKD: A Report From a National Kidney Foundation Scientific Workshop

Development of clinical guidelines and recommendations to address the care of pediatric patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) has rarely included the perspectives of providers from a variety of health care disciplines or the patients and parents themselves. Accordingly, the National Kidney Foundation hosted an in-person, one and a half-day workshop that convened a multidisciplinary group of physicians, allied health care professionals, and pediatric patients with CKD and their parents, with the goal of developing key clinical recommendations regarding best practices for the clinical management of pediatric patients living with CKD. The key clinical recommendations pertained to 5 broad topics: addressing the needs of patients and parents/caregivers; modifying the progression of CKD; clinical management of CKD-mineral and bone disorder and growth retardation; clinical management of anemia, cardiovascular disease, and hypertension; and transition and transfer of pediatric patients to adult nephrology care. This report describes the recommendations generated by the participants who attended the workshop.

Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Masked Hypertension Among Children With Chronic Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

Ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) is routinely performed in children with chronic kidney disease to identify masked hypertension, a risk factor for accelerated chronic kidney disease progression. However, ABPM is burdensome, and developing an accurate prediction of masked hypertension may allow using ABPM selectively rather than routinely.

METHODS

To create a prediction model for masked hypertension using clinic blood pressure (BP) and other clinical characteristics, we analyzed 809 ABPM studies with nonhypertensive clinic BP among the participants of the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children study.

RESULTS

Masked hypertension was identified in 170 (21.0%) observations. We created prediction models for masked hypertension via gradient boosting, random forests, and logistic regression using 109 candidate predictors and evaluated its performance using bootstrap validation. The models showed C statistics from 0.660 (95% CI, 0.595-0.707) to 0.732 (95% CI, 0.695-0.786) and Brier scores from 0.148 (95% CI, 0.141-0.154) to 0.167 (95% CI, 0.152-0.183). Using the possible thresholds identified from this model, we stratified the dataset by clinic systolic/diastolic BP percentiles. The prevalence of masked hypertension was the lowest (4.8%) when clinic systolic/diastolic BP were both <20th percentile, and relatively low (9.0%) with clinic systolic BP<20th and diastolic BP<80th percentiles. Above these thresholds, the prevalence was higher with no discernable pattern.

CONCLUSIONS

ABPM could be used selectively in those with low clinic BP, for example, systolic BP<20th and diastolic BP<80th percentiles, although careful assessment is warranted as masked hypertension was not completely absent even in this subgroup. Above these clinic BP levels, routine ABPM remains recommended.

Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factors in Chronic Kidney Disease in Children

Over the past 2 decades, cardiovascular (CV) disease has been recognized as one of the most important complications of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and one of the leading causes of death in children with advanced CKD and in young adults who developed CKD during childhood. CV abnormalities develop early and progress during the course of CKD in children. Characterization of the prevalence and evolution of CV disease risk factors in progressive CKD is one of the primary aims of the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children study. In this review, we summarize up-to-date findings from the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children study with a focus on traditional and CKD-related CV risk factors and early subclinical markers of cardiac and vascular structure and function. We also discuss the effect of CV risk factors on progression of CKD.

Diastolic Function and Ambulatory Hypertension in Children With Chronic Kidney Disease

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Mean Arterial Pressure and Chronic Kidney Disease Progression in the CKiD Cohort

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Pediatric and Adult Ambulatory Blood Pressure Thresholds and Blood Pressure Load as Predictors of Left Ventricular Hypertrophy in Adolescents

[Figure: see text].

Team Science: American Heart Association's Hypertension Strategically Focused Research Network Experience

In 2015, the American Heart Association awarded 4-year funding for a Strategically Focused Research Network focused on hypertension composed of 4 Centers: Cincinnati Children's Hospital, Medical College of Wisconsin, University of Alabama at Birmingham, and University of Iowa. Each center proposed 3 integrated (basic, clinical, and population science) projects around a single area of focus relevant to hypertension. Along with scientific progress, the American Heart Association put a significant emphasis on training of next-generation hypertension researchers by sponsoring 3 postdoctoral fellows per center over 4 years. With the center projects being spread across the continuum of basic, clinical, and population sciences, postdoctoral fellows were expected to garner experience in various types of research methodologies. The American Heart Association also provided a number of leadership development opportunities for fellows and investigators in these centers. In addition, collaboration was highly encouraged among the centers (both within and outside the network) with the American Heart Association providing multiple opportunities for meeting and expanding associations. The area of focus for the Cincinnati Children's Hospital Center was hypertension and target organ damage in children utilizing ambulatory blood pressure measurements. The Medical College of Wisconsin Center focused on epigenetic modifications and their role in pathogenesis of hypertension using human and animal studies. The University of Alabama at Birmingham Center's areas of research were diurnal blood pressure patterns and clock genes. The University of Iowa Center evaluated copeptin as a possible early biomarker for preeclampsia and vascular endothelial function during pregnancy. In this review, challenges faced and successes achieved by the investigators of each of the centers are presented.

Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension Dietary Intervention Improves Blood Pressure and Vascular Health in Youth With Elevated Blood Pressure

This randomized control trial assessed the post-intervention and 18-month follow-up effects of a 6-month dietary approaches to stop hypertension (DASH)-focused behavioral nutrition intervention, initiated in clinic with subsequent telephone and mail contact, on blood pressure (BP) and endothelial function in adolescents with elevated BP. Adolescents (n=159) 11 to 18 years of age with newly diagnosed elevated BP or stage 1 hypertension treated at a hospital-based clinic were randomized. DASH participants received a take-home manual plus 2 face-to-face counseling sessions at baseline and 3 months with a dietitian regarding the DASH diet, 6 monthly mailings, and 8 weekly and then 7 biweekly telephone calls focused on behavioral strategies to promote DASH adherence. Routine care participants received nutrition counseling with a dietitian consistent with pediatric guidelines established by the National High Blood Pressure Education Program. Outcomes, measured pre- and post-intervention and at 18-months follow-up, included change in BP, change in brachial artery flow-mediated dilation, and change in DASH score based on 3-day diet recalls. Adolescents in DASH versus routine care had a greater improvement in systolic BP (-2.7 mm Hg, P= 0.03, -0.3 z-score, P=0.03), flow-mediated dilation (2.5%, P=0.05), and DASH score (13.3 points, P<0.0001) from baseline to post-treatment and a greater improvement in flow-mediated dilation (3.1%, P=0.03) and DASH score (7.4 points, P=0.01) to 18 months. The DASH intervention proved more effective than routine care in initial systolic BP improvement and longer term improvement in endothelial function and diet quality in adolescents with elevated BP and hypertension. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT00585832.

Trends in Cardiovascular Mortality Among a Cohort of Children and Young Adults Starting Dialysis in 1995 to 2015

IMPORTANCE

Survival of patients receiving dialysis has improved during the last 2 decades. However, few studies have examined temporal trends in the attributed causes of death (especially cardiovascular-related) in young populations.

OBJECTIVE

To determine temporal trends and risk of cause-specific mortality (ie, cardiovascular and infectious) for children and young adults receiving dialysis.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective cohort study examined the records of children and young adults (aged <30 years) starting dialysis between 1995 and 2015 according to the United States Renal Data System database. Analyses were performed between June 2019 and June 2020. Fine-Gray models were used to examine trends in risk of different cardiovascular-related deaths. Models were adjusted for age, sex, race, neighborhood income, cause of end-stage kidney disease, insurance type, and comorbidities. Analyses were performed separately for children (ie, age <18 years) and young adults (between ages 18 and 30 years). Follow-up was censored at death or administratively, and transplantation was treated as a competing event.

EXPOSURES

Calendar year.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Cardiovascular cause-specific mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 80 189 individuals (median [interquartile range] age, 24 [19-28] years; 36 259 [45.2%] female, 29 508 [36.8%] Black, and 15 516 [19.3%] Hispanic white) started dialysis and 16 179 experienced death during a median (interquartile range) of 14.3 (14.0-14.7) years of follow-up. Overall, 40.2% of deaths were from cardiovascular-related causes (6505 of 16 179 patients). In adjusted analysis, risk of cardiovascular-related death was stable initially but became statistically significantly lower after 2006 (vs 1995) in those starting dialysis as either children (subhazard ratio [SHR], 0.74; 95% CI, 0.55-1.00) or adults (SHR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.83-0.98). Risk of sudden cardiac death improved steadily for all age groups, but to a greater degree in children (SHR, 0.31; 95% CI, 0.20-0.47) vs young adults (SHR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.56-0.73) comparing 2015 vs 1995. Risk of stroke became statistically significantly lower around 2010 (vs 1995) for children (SHR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.18-0.88) and young adults (SHR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.59-0.99).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this study, the risk of cardiovascular-related death declined for children and young adults starting dialysis during the last 2 decades, but trends differed depending on age at dialysis initiation and the specific cause of death. Additional studies are needed to improve risk of cardiovascular disease in young populations.

Prognostic Value of Ambulatory Blood Pressure Load in Pediatric CKD

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Elevated BP load is part of the criteria for ambulatory hypertension in pediatric but not adult guidelines. Our objectives were to determine the prevalence of isolated BP load elevation and associated risk with adverse outcomes in children with CKD, and to ascertain whether BP load offers risk discrimination independently or in conjunction with mean ambulatory BPs.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

We studied 533 children in the CKD in Children (CKiD) Study to determine the prevalence of normotension, isolated BP load elevation (≥25% of all readings elevated but mean BP normal), and ambulatory hypertension. We examined the association between these categories of BP control and adverse outcomes (left ventricular hypertrophy [LVH] or ESKD). We used c-statistics to determine risk discrimination for outcomes by BP load used either independently or in conjunction with other BP parameters.

RESULTS

Overall, 23% of the cohort had isolated BP load elevation, but isolated BP load elevation was not statistically significantly associated with LVH in cross-section (odds ratio, 1.8; 95% CI, 0.8 to 4.2) or time to ESKD (hazard ratio, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.7 to 2.0). In unadjusted cross-sectional analysis, every 10% higher systolic BP load was associated with 1.1-times higher odds of LVH (95% CI, 1.0 to 1.3), but discrimination for LVH was poor (c=0.61). In unadjusted longitudinal analysis, every 10% higher systolic BP load was associated with a 1.2-times higher risk of ESKD (95% CI, 1.1 to 1.2), but discrimination for ESKD was also poor (c=0.60). After accounting for mean systolic BP, systolic BP load was not statistically significantly associated with either LVH or ESKD. Findings were similar with diastolic BP load.

CONCLUSIONS

BP load does not provide additive value in discriminating outcomes when used independently or in conjunction with mean systolic BP in children with CKD.

PODCAST

This article contains a podcast at https://www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/CJASN/2020_03_11_CPOD10130819.mp3.

Cardiovascular Morbidity and Mortality in Children with Chronic Kidney Disease in North America: Lessons from the Usrds and Naprtcs Databases

Cardiovascular (CV) disease mortality has not changed in the past three decades, remaining the second most common cause of death in children with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). This article reviews pediatric data pertaining to CV disease obtained from the two largest renal databases in North America. The data indicate high incidence and prevalence of CV complications and cardiac risk factors in children with ESRD, accounting for high cardiac mortality in this patient population. Early identification and intervention to treat modifiable risk factors and asymptomatic cardiac disease might lead to prevention of cardiac disease and to a decrease in CV morbidity and mortality in young adults who developed chronic kidney disease during childhood.

Cardiovascular Risk Reduction in High-Risk Pediatric Patients: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

This scientific statement presents considerations for clinical management regarding the assessment and risk reduction of select pediatric populations at high risk for premature cardiovascular disease, including acquired arteriosclerosis or atherosclerosis. For each topic, the evidence for accelerated acquired coronary artery disease and stroke in childhood and adolescence and the evidence for benefit of interventions in youth will be reviewed. Children and adolescents may be at higher risk for cardiovascular disease because of significant atherosclerotic or arteriosclerotic risk factors, high-risk conditions that promote atherosclerosis, or coronary artery or other cardiac or vascular abnormalities that make the individual more vulnerable to the adverse effects of traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Existing scientific statements and guidelines will be referenced when applicable, and suggestions for risk identification and reduction specific to each setting will be described. This statement is directed toward pediatric cardiologists, primary care providers, and subspecialists who provide clinical care for these young patients. The focus will be on management and justification for management, minimizing information on pathophysiology and epidemiology.

Using Electronic Health Record Data to Rapidly Identify Children with Glomerular Disease for Clinical Research

BACKGROUND

The rarity of pediatric glomerular disease makes it difficult to identify sufficient numbers of participants for clinical trials. This leaves limited data to guide improvements in care for these patients.

METHODS

The authors developed and tested an electronic health record (EHR) algorithm to identify children with glomerular disease. We used EHR data from 231 patients with glomerular disorders at a single center to develop a computerized algorithm comprising diagnosis, kidney biopsy, and transplant procedure codes. The algorithm was tested using PEDSnet, a national network of eight children's hospitals with data on >6.5 million children. Patients with three or more nephrologist encounters (n=55,560) not meeting the computable phenotype definition of glomerular disease were defined as nonglomerular cases. A reviewer blinded to case status used a standardized form to review random samples of cases (n=800) and nonglomerular cases (n=798).

RESULTS

The final algorithm consisted of two or more diagnosis codes from a qualifying list or one diagnosis code and a pretransplant biopsy. Performance characteristics among the population with three or more nephrology encounters were sensitivity, 96% (95% CI, 94% to 97%); specificity, 93% (95% CI, 91% to 94%); positive predictive value (PPV), 89% (95% CI, 86% to 91%); negative predictive value, 97% (95% CI, 96% to 98%); and area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, 94% (95% CI, 93% to 95%). Requiring that the sum of nephrotic syndrome diagnosis codes exceed that of glomerulonephritis codes identified children with nephrotic syndrome or biopsy-based minimal change nephropathy, FSGS, or membranous nephropathy, with 94% sensitivity and 92% PPV. The algorithm identified 6657 children with glomerular disease across PEDSnet, ≥50% of whom were seen within 18 months.

CONCLUSIONS

The authors developed an EHR-based algorithm and demonstrated that it had excellent classification accuracy across PEDSnet. This tool may enable faster identification of cohorts of pediatric patients with glomerular disease for observational or prospective studies.

Change in Dyslipidemia with Declining Glomerular Filtration Rate and Increasing Proteinuria in Children with CKD

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Dyslipidemia, a risk factor for cardiovascular disease, is common in CKD but its change over time and how that change is influenced by concurrent progression of CKD have not been previously described.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

In the CKD in Children study we prospectively followed children with progressive CKD and utilized multivariable, linear mixed-effects models to quantify the longitudinal relationship between within-subject changes in lipid measures (HDL cholesterol, non-HDL cholesterol, triglycerides) and within-subject changes in GFR, proteinuria, and body mass index (BMI).

RESULTS

A total of 508 children (76% nonglomerular CKD, 24% glomerular CKD) had 2-6 lipid measurements each, with a median follow-up time of 4 (interquartile range [IQR], 2.1-6.0) years. Among children with nonglomerular CKD, dyslipidemia was common at baseline (35%) and increased significantly as children aged; 43% of children with glomerular CKD had dyslipidemia at baseline and demonstrated persistent levels as they aged. Longitudinal increases in proteinuria were independently associated with significant concomitant increases in non-HDL cholesterol (nonglomerular: 4.9 [IQR, 3.4-6.4] mg/dl; glomerular: 8.5 [IQR, 6.0-11.1] mg/dl) and triglycerides (nonglomerular: 3% [IQR, 0.8%-6%]; glomerular: 5% [IQR, 0.6%-9%]). Decreases in GFR over follow-up were significantly associated with concomitant decreases of HDL cholesterol in children with nonglomerular CKD (-1.2 mg/dl; IQR, -2.1 to -0.4 mg/dl) and increases of non-HDL cholesterol in children with glomerular CKD (3.9 mg/dl; IQR, 1.4-6.5 mg/dl). The effects of increased BMI also affected multiple lipid changes over time. Collectively, glomerular CKD displayed stronger, deleterious associations between within-subject change in non-HDL cholesterol (9 mg/dl versus 1.2 mg/dl; P<0.001) and triglycerides (14% versus 3%; P=0.004), and within-subject change in BMI; similar but quantitatively smaller differences between the two types of CKD were noted for associations of within-subject change in lipids to within-subject change in GFR and proteinuria.

CONCLUSIONS

Dyslipidemia is a common and persistent complication in children with CKD and it worsens in proportion to declining GFR, worsening proteinuria, and increasing BMI.

Cardiometabolic Risk Factors, Metabolic Syndrome, and Chronic Kidney Disease Progression in Children

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) and examine its association with chronic kidney disease progression in children enrolled in the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children study.

STUDY DESIGN

MetS was defined as being overweight or obese and having ≥2 cardiometabolic risk factors (CMRFs). Incidence and prevalence of MetS were assessed using pairs of visits approximately 2 years apart.

RESULTS

A total of 799 pairs of person-visits (contributed by 472 children) were included in the final analysis. Of these, 70% had a normal body mass index (BMI), 14% were overweight, and 16% were obese. At the first visit, the prevalence of MetS in the overweight group was 40% and in the obese group was 60%. In adjusted models, annual percent estimated glomerular filtration rate decline in those who had normal BMI and incident or persistent multiple CMRFs or those with persistent MetS was -6.33%, -6.46%, and -6.08% (respectively) compared with children who never had multiple CMRFs (-3.38%, P = .048, .045, and .036, respectively). Children with normal BMI and incident multiple CMRFs and those with persistent MetS had approximately twice the odds of fast estimated glomerular filtration rate decline (>10% per year) compared with those without multiple CMRFs and normal BMI.

CONCLUSION

Children with chronic kidney disease have a high prevalence of MetS. These children as well as those with normal BMI but multiple CMRFs experience a faster decline in kidney function.

The management of pediatric renovascular hypertension: a single center experience and review of the literature

INTRODUCTION

Renal artery occlusive disease is poorly characterized in children; treatments include medications, endovascular techniques, and surgery. We aimed to describe the course of renovascular hypertension (RVH), its treatments and outcomes.

METHODS

We performed literature review and retrospective review (1993-2014) of children with renovascular hypertension at our institution. Response to treatment was defined by National High Blood Pressure Education Program Working Group on High Blood Pressure in Children and Adolescents at most-recent follow-up.

RESULTS

We identified 39 patients with RVH. 54% (n=21) were male, with mean age of 6.93 ± 5.27 years. Most underwent endovascular treatment (n=17), with medication alone (n=12) and surgery (n=10) less commonly utilized. Endovascular treatment resulted in 18% cure, 65% improvement and 18% failure; surgery resulted in 30% cure, 50% improvement and 20% failure. Medication alone resulted in 0% cure, 75% improvement and 25% failure. 24% with endovascular treatment required secondary endovascular intervention; 18% required secondary surgery. 20% of patients who underwent initial surgery required reoperation for re-stenosis. Mean follow-up was 52.2 ± 58.4 months.

CONCLUSIONS

RVH treatment in children includes medications, surgical or endovascular approaches, with all resulting in combined 79% improvement in or cure rates. A multidisciplinary approach and individualized patient management are critical to optimize outcomes.

TYPE OF STUDY

Retrospective comparative study LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

Plasma glucosylceramides and cardiovascular risk in incident hemodialysis patients

BACKGROUND

Recent population-based studies identified plasma sphingolipids as independent predictors of increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality. Understanding the impact of sphingolipids on CVD outcomes in patients on dialysis, who suffer from higher risk of these conditions, is important for risk assessment and treatment.

OBJECTIVE

To measure plasma sphingolipid levels and determine their associations with CVD in adults initiating maintenance hemodialysis.

METHODS

To evaluate associations of plasma sphingolipids with intermediate cardiovascular outcomes (hypertension, left ventricular hypertrophy, and decreased ejection fraction), cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality in patients with end-stage renal disease, we measured plasma levels of ceramides, glucosylceramides, and lactosylceramides from the family of sphingolipids in 368 incident hemodialysis patients enrolled in the Predictors of Arrhythmic and Cardiovascular Risk in End-Stage Renal Disease study.

RESULTS

Glucosylceramide C16GC (per 1 log μM increase) was associated with higher odds of having uncontrolled hypertension (odds ratio [OR]: 1.34; 95% confidential interval [CI]: 1.01-1.76), left ventricular hypertrophy (OR: 1.53; 95% CI: 1.11-2.13), and reduced ejection fraction (OR: 1.05; 95% CI: 1.00-1.11) in fully adjusted models. During a median 2.5 years of follow-up, there were 78 deaths from all causes, of which 33 were from CVD. Mortality was higher among those in the highest tertile of C16GC for all causes (HR: 1.81; 95% CI: 1.02-3.22) and CVD (HR: 2.63, 95% CI: 1.08-6.55).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that abnormal glycosphingolipid metabolism might contribute to increased CVD risk in end-stage renal disease.

Twenty-Four-Hour Ambulatory Blood Pressure versus Clinic Blood Pressure Measurements and Risk of Adverse Outcomes in Children with CKD

BACKGROUND

and objectives Our objective was to determine whether clinic BPs (taken at either a single visit or two sequential visits) are inferior to ambulatory BPs in their ability to discriminate risk of adverse outcomes in children with CKD.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

We included 513 participants of the CKD in Children Study who had clinic BPs and 24-hour ambulatory BP monitoring performed during similar timeframes. Predictors of interest were systolic BPs taken at a single visit or two repeated visits within a 1-year period compared with mean wake and sleep systolic ambulatory BPs. Outcomes were left ventricular hypertrophy and ESKD. We determined the ability for each BP parameter to provide risk discrimination using c statistics.

RESULTS

During mean follow-up of 3.5 years, 123 participants developed ESKD. In cross-sectional unadjusted analysis, every 0.1 increase in systolic BP index was associated with a 2.0 times higher odds of left ventricular hypertrophy (95% confidence interval, 1.5 to 2.8) by clinic BPs versus 1.8 times higher odds (95% confidence interval, 1.3 to 2.4) by ambulatory wake BP. The c statistic was highest for clinic BP (c=0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.58 to 0.73) but similar to ambulatory wake BP (c=0.64; 95% confidence interval, 0.57 to 0.71) for the discrimination of left ventricular hypertrophy. In longitudinal unadjusted analysis, every 0.1 increase in systolic BP index was associated with a higher risk of ESKD using repeated clinic (hazard ratio, 1.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.3 to 1.8) versus ambulatory wake BP (hazard ratio, 1.6; 95% confidence interval, 1.3 to 2.0). Unadjusted c statistics were the same for wake (c=0.61; 95% confidence interval, 0.56 to 0.67) and clinic systolic BPs (c=0.61; 95% confidence interval, 0.55 to 0.66) for discriminating risk of ESKD.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinic BPs taken in a protocol-driven setting are not consistently inferior to ambulatory BP in the discrimination of BP-related adverse outcomes in children with CKD.

Use of the Kidney Failure Risk Equation to Determine the Risk of Progression to End-stage Renal Disease in Children With Chronic Kidney Disease

IMPORTANCE

The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) has been shown to accurately estimate progression to kidney failure in adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Use of the KFRE in children with CKD, if accurate, would help to optimize planning for end-stage renal disease (ESRD) care.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether the KFRE adequately discriminates the risk of ESRD in children with CKD.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective cohort study included 603 children with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 in the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children study, a national multicenter observational study. Data were collected from January 1, 2005, through July 31, 2013, and analyzed from September 30, 2016, through September 8, 2017.

EXPOSURES

The primary predictive factors were the 4-variable (age, sex, bedside Schwartz estimated glomerular filtration rate, and ratio of albumin to creatinine levels) and 8-variable (4 variables plus serum calcium, phosphate, bicarbonate, and albumin levels) KFREs, which provide 1-, 2-, and 5-year estimates of the risk of progression to ESRD.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Time to ESRD. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the association between the KFRE score and time to ESRD. C statistics were used to discriminate ESRD risk by the KFRE, with a value of greater than 0.80 indicating strong discrimination.

RESULTS

Of the 603 children included in the study, 378 were boys (62.7%) and 225 were girls (37.3%); median age at study entry was 12 years (interquartile range, 8-15 years). Median estimated glomerular filtration rate was 44 mL/min/1.73 m2. Four hundred fifty-seven participants (75.8%) had a nonglomerular cause of CKD. Median observation time was 3.8 years (interquartile range, 1.7-6.2 years); 144 (23.9%) developed ESRD within 5 years of enrollment. The 4-variable KFRE scores discriminated risk of ESRD, with C statistics of 0.90, 0.86, and 0.81 for the 1-, 2-, and 5-year risk scores, respectively. Results were similar using the 8-variable equation.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The KFRE is a simple tool that provides excellent discrimination of the risk of ESRD. Results suggest that the KFRE could be incorporated into the clinical care of children with CKD to aid in anticipatory guidance, timing of referral for transplant evaluation, and planning for dialysis access.

Changes in Excess Mortality from End Stage Renal Disease in the United States from 1995 to 2013

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Individuals with ESRD have a very high risk of death. Although mortality rates have decreased over time in ESRD, it is unknown if improvements merely reflect parallel increases in general population survival. We, therefore, examined changes in the excess risk of all-cause mortality-over and above the risk in the general population-among people treated for ESRD in the United States from 1995 to 2013. We hypothesized that the magnitude of change in the excess risk of death would differ by age and RRT modality.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

We used time-dependent relative survival models including data from persons with incident ESRD as recorded in the US Renal Data System and age-, sex-, race-, and calendar year-specific general population mortality rates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. We calculated relative excess risks (analogous to hazard ratios) to examine the association between advancing calendar time and the primary outcome of all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

We included 1,938,148 children and adults with incident ESRD from 1995 to 2013. Adjusted relative excess risk per 5-year increment in calendar time ranged from 0.73 (95% confidence interval, 0.69 to 0.77) for 0-14 year olds to 0.88 (95% confidence interval, 0.88 to 0.88) for ≥65 year olds, meaning that the excess risk of ESRD-related death decreased by 12%-27% over any 5-year interval between 1995 and 2013. Decreases in excess mortality over time were observed for all ages and both during treatment with dialysis and during time with a functioning kidney transplant (year by age and year by renal replacement modality interactions were both P<0.001), with the largest relative improvements observed for the youngest persons with a functioning kidney transplant. Absolute decreases in excess ESRD-related mortality were greatest for the oldest persons.

CONCLUSIONS

The excess risk of all-cause mortality among people with ESRD, over and above the risk in the general population, decreased significantly between 1995 and 2013 in the United States.