Cystatin C should be routinely available for estimating kidney function

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

In this report, we summarize why the availability of cystatin C is important across a variety of clinical scenarios, the recent literature on when, why and in whom cystatin C testing should be considered, and how nephrologists can take practical steps to incorporate cystatin C testing into their practice.

RECENT FINDINGS

Large intra-individual discrepancies between estimated glomerular filtration rate by creatinine (eGFRcr) and estimated glomerular filtration rate by creatinine eGFRcys (known as eGFRdiff) are observed in at least 1 in 4 people. These differences are seen more commonly among more vulnerable individuals: older adults, females, non-White individuals and those living with multiple medical conditions. A large eGFRdiff, where eGFRcys is lower than eGFRcr, is associated with a plethora of adverse outcomes, including medication-associated adverse events, acute kidney injury, cardiovascular disease, kidney failure and all-cause mortality. Among studies that have measured GFR, eGFRcr-cys usually provides the most accurate estimation of kidney function compared to mGFR, including among participants with large discrepancies between eGFRcr and eGFRcys.

SUMMARY

Cystatin C improves sensitivity and specificity of chronic kidney disease diagnosis, improves detection of harmful acute and chronic changes in kidney function, improves precision of treatment eligibility and safety, and may reduce healthcare inequalities. Better education, curiosity, and motivation among nephrologists could substantially improve the availability and utilization of cystatin C.

Mediation analysis of chronic kidney disease risk factors using kidney biomarkers in women living with HIV

OBJECTIVE

Novel urinary biomarkers reflecting kidney tubule health are associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk in persons living with HIV. However, it is unknown whether these biomarkers provide mechanistic insight into the associations between clinical risk factors for CKD and subsequent CKD risk.

METHODS

Among 636 women living with HIV in the Women's Interagency HIV Study with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) >60 ml/min/1.73 m 2 , we used a counterfactual approach to causal mediation analysis to evaluate the extent to which systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), hemoglobin a1c (Hba1c) and serum albumin associations with incident CKD were mediated by eight urine proteins. These biomarkers reflect proximal tubular reabsorptive dysfunction (α1-microglobulin [a1m], β2-microglobulin, trefoil factor 3); tubular injury (interleukin 18 [IL-18], kidney injury molecule 1 [KIM-1]); kidney repair (epidermal growth factor); tubular reserve (uromodulin); and glomerular injury (urinary albumin). Incident CKD was defined as eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m 2 measured at two consecutive 6-month visits with an average annual eGFR decline ≥3% per year.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 7 years, 11% developed CKD. Urinary albumin and KIM-1 mediated 32% (95% CI: 13.4%, 76.6%) and 23% (6.9%, 60.7%) of the association between SBP and incident CKD, respectively; and 19% (5.1%, 42.3%) and 22% (8.1%, 45.7%) of the association between DBP and incident CKD, respectively. Urinary albumin, α1m, and IL-18 were significant mediators of the association between Hba1c and incident CKD. None of the eight biomarkers mediated the association between serum albumin and incident CKD.

CONCLUSIONS

Among women living with HIV, several urinary biomarkers reflecting distinct dimensions of kidney health may partially explain the associations between SBP, DBP, and Hba1c and subsequent CKD risk.

Changes in Natriuretic Peptide Levels and Subsequent Kidney Function Decline in SPRINT

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Novel approaches to the assessment of kidney disease risk during hypertension treatment are needed because of the uncertainty of how intensive blood pressure (BP) lowering impacts kidney outcomes. We determined whether longitudinal N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) measurements during hypertension treatment are associated with kidney function decline.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective observational study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

8,005 SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) participants with NT-proBNP measurements at baseline and 1 year.

EXPOSURE

1-year change in NT-proBNP categorized as a ≥25% decrease, ≥25% increase, or <25% change (stable).

OUTCOME

Annualized change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and ≥30% decrease in eGFR.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Linear mixed-effect and logistic regression models were used to evaluate the association of changes in NT-proBNP with subsequent annualized change in eGFR and ≥30% decrease in eGFR, respectively. Analyses were stratified by baseline chronic kidney disease (CKD) status.

RESULTS

Compared with stable 1-year NT-proBNP levels, a ≥25% decrease in NT-proBNP was associated with a slower decrease in eGFR in participants with CKD (adjusted difference, 1.09%/y; 95% CI, 0.35-1.83) and without CKD (adjusted difference, 0.51%/y; 95% CI, 0.21-0.81; P = 0.4 for interaction). Meanwhile, a ≥25% increase in NT-proBNP in participants with CKD was associated with a faster decrease in eGFR (adjusted difference, -1.04%/y; 95% CI, -1.72 to -0.36) and risk of a ≥30% decrease in eGFR (adjusted odds ratio, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.06-1.96); associations were stronger in participants with CKD than in participants without CKD (P = 0.01 and P < 0.001 for interaction, respectively). Relationships were similar irrespective of the randomized BP arm in SPRINT (P > 0.2 for interactions).

LIMITATIONS

Persons with diabetes and proteinuria >1 g/d were excluded.

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in NT-proBNP during BP treatment are independently associated with subsequent kidney function decline, particularly in people with CKD. Future studies should assess whether routine NT-proBNP measurements may be useful in monitoring kidney risk during hypertension treatment.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a biomarker in the blood that reflects mechanical stress on the heart. Measuring NT-proBNP may be helpful in assessing the risk of long-term losses of kidney function. In this study, we investigated the association of changes in NT-proBNP with subsequent kidney function among individuals with and without chronic kidney disease. We found that increases in NT-proBNP are associated with a faster rate of decline of kidney function, independent of baseline kidney measures. The associations were more pronounced in individuals with chronic kidney disease. Our results advance the notion of considering NT-proBNP as a dynamic tool for assessing kidney disease risk.

The Gut Microbial Metabolite Trimethylamine N-oxide, Incident CKD, and Kidney Function Decline

BACKGROUND

Trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO) is a gut microbiota-derived metabolite of dietary phosphatidylcholine and carnitine. Experimentally, TMAO causes kidney injury and tubulointerstitial fibrosis. Little is known about prospective associations between TMAO and kidney outcomes, especially incident CKD. We hypothesized that higher plasma TMAO levels would be associated with higher risk of incident CKD and greater rate of kidney function decline.

METHODS

We included 10,564 participants from two community-based, prospective cohorts with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73m2 to assess incident CKD. TMAO was measured using targeted mass spectrometry at baseline and one follow-up visit. Creatinine and Cystatin C were measured up to 4 times during follow-up and used to compute eGFR. Incident CKD was defined as an eGFR decline ≥ 30% from baseline and a resulting eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73 m2. Time-varying Cox models assessed the association of serial TMAO measures with incident CKD, adjusting for sociodemographic, lifestyle, diet, and cardiovascular disease risk factors. Linear mixed models assessed the association with annualized eGFR change in 10,009 participants with at least one follow-up eGFR measure without exclusions for baseline eGFR levels.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 9.4 years (interquartile range: 9.1-11.6 years), 979 incident CKD events occurred. Higher TMAO levels associated with higher risk of incident CKD (2nd to 5th vs. 1st quintile HR[95%CI]= 1.65 [1.22-2.23], 1.68 [1.26-2.25], 2.28 [1.72-3.02], and 2.24[1.68-2.98], respectively) and greater annualized eGFR decline ( 2nd to 5th vs. 1st quintile annualized eGFR change= -0.21 [-0.32, -0.09], -0.17 [-0.29, -0.05], -0.35 [-0.47, -0.22], and -0.43[-0.56, -0.30], respectively) with monotonic dose-response relationships. These associations were consistent across different racial/ethnic groups examined. The association with eGFR decline was similar to or larger than that seen for established CKD risk factors including diabetes, per 10 mmHg of higher systolic blood pressure, per 10 years of older age, and Black race.

CONCLUSIONS

In community-based US adults, higher serial measures of plasma TMAO were associated with higher risk of incident CKD and greater annualized kidney function decline.

Modification of Association of Cystatin C With Kidney and Cardiovascular Outcomes by Obesity

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Cystatin C-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcys) has stronger associations with adverse clinical outcomes than creatinine-based eGFR (eGFRcr). Obesity may be associated with higher cystatin C levels, independent of kidney function, but it is unknown whether obesity modifies associations of eGFRcys with kidney and cardiovascular outcomes.

STUDY DESIGN

Cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

27,249 US adults in the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke Study.

PREDICTORS

eGFRcys, eGFRcr, waist circumference, and body mass index (BMI).

OUTCOME

All-cause mortality, kidney failure, incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), and incident heart failure (HF).

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Multivariable Cox and Fine-Gray models with multiplicative interaction terms were constructed to investigate whether waist circumference quartiles or BMI categories modified associations of eGFRcys with risks of 4 clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Participants had a mean age of 65 years; 54% were women, 41% were Black, and 21% had an eGFRcys<60mL/min/1.73m2. The baseline prevalence of abdominal obesity (waist circumference≥88cm for women or≥102cm for men) was 48% and obesity was 38%. In multivariable adjusted analyses, each 15mL/min/1.73m2 lower eGFRcys was associated with higher HR and 95% CI of mortality in each waist circumference quartile (first quartile, 1.19 [1.15-1.24]; second quartile, 1.22 [1.18-1.26]; third quartile, 1.20 [1.16-1.24]; fourth quartile, 1.19 [1.15-1.23]) as well as within each BMI category (BMI<24.9: 1.21 [1.17-1.25]; BMI 25.0-29.9: 1.21 [1.18-1.25]; BMI 30.0-34.9: 1.20 [1.16-1.25]; BMI≥35: 1.17, [1.12-1.22]). Neither waist circumference nor BMI modified the association of eGFRcys with mortality, kidney failure, incident ASCVD, or incident HF (all Pinteraction>0.05).

LIMITATIONS

Included only Black and White persons in the United States.

CONCLUSION

Obesity did not modify the association of eGFRcys with all-cause mortality, kidney failure, incident ASCVD, or incident HF. Among individuals with obesity, cystatin C may be used to provide eGFR-based risk prognostication for adverse outcomes.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Cystatin C is increasingly used in clinical practice to estimate kidney function, and cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcys) may be used to determine risk for adverse clinical outcomes. Adiposity may increase serum levels of cystatin C, independent of kidney function. This cohort study investigated whether associations of eGFRcys with adverse kidney and cardiovascular outcomes are modified by measures of obesity, waist circumference, and body mass index. We found that obesity does not modify associations of eGFRcys with 4 clinical outcomes and conclude that among individuals with obesity, cystatin C may be used to provide eGFR-based risk prognostication for adverse outcomes.

Cystatin C- and Creatinine-based Estimated GFR Differences: Prevalence and Predictors in the UK Biobank

Rationale & Objective

Large differences between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on cystatin C (eGFRcys) and creatinine (eGFRcr) occur commonly. A comprehensive evaluation of factors that contribute to these differences is needed to guide the interpretation of discrepant eGFR values.

Study Design

Cohort study.

Setting & Participants

468,969 participants in the UK Biobank.

Exposures

Candidate sociodemographic, lifestyle factors, comorbidities, medication usage, and physical and laboratory predictors.

Outcomes

eGFRdiff, defined as eGFRcys minus eGFRcr, categorized into 3 levels: lower eGFRcys (eGFRdiff, less than -15 mL/min/1.73 m2), concordant eGFRcys and eGFRcr (eGFRdiff, -15 to < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2), and lower eGFRcr (eGFRdiff, ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2).

Analytical Approach

Multinomial logistic regression models were constructed to identify predictors of lower eGFRcys or lower eGFRcr. We developed 2 prediction models comprising 375,175 participants: (1) a clinical model using clinically available variables and (2) an enriched model additionally including lifestyle variables. The models were internally validated in an additional 93,794 participants.

Results

Mean ± standard deviation of eGFRcys was 88 ± 16 mL/min/1.73 m2, and eGFRcr was 95 ± 13 mL/min/1.73 m2; 25% and 5% of participants were in the lower eGFRcys and lower eGFRcr groups, respectively. In the multivariable enriched model, strong predictors of lower eGFRcys were older age, male sex, South Asian ethnicity, current smoker (vs never smoker), history of thyroid dysfunction, chronic inflammatory disease, steroid use, higher waist circumference and body fat, and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio >300 mg/g. Odds ratio estimates for these predictors were largely inverse of those in the lower eGFRcr group. The model's area under the curve was 0.75 in the validation set, with good calibration (1.00).

Limitations

Limited generalizability.

Conclusions

This study highlights the multitude of demographic, lifestyle, and health characteristics that are associated with large eGFRdiff. The clinical model may identify individuals who are likely to have discrepant eGFR values and thus should be prioritized for cystatin C testing.

Associations of ambulatory blood pressure measurements with high-sensitivity troponin and natriuretic peptide levels in SPRINT

BACKGROUND

Nighttime blood pressure (BP) has greater prognostic importance for cardiovascular disease (CVD) than daytime BP, but less is known about nighttime and daytime BP associations with measures of subclinical CVD.

METHODS

Among 897 Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial Study (SPRINT) participants with 24-hour ambulatory BP monitoring obtained near the 27-month study visit, 849 (95%) had N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) measured at the 24-month study visit. Multivariable linear regression analyses were performed to evaluate the associations of nighttime and daytime BP with cardiac biomarker levels.

RESULTS

Mean age was 69 ±12 years, 28% were African American, and mean nighttime and daytime SBP were 121 ±16 mm Hg and 132 ±14 mm Hg, respectively. In multivariable models, compared with the lowest tertile of nighttime systolic BP, the highest tertile was associated with 48% higher NT-proBNP levels (adjusted geometric mean ratio [GMR] = 1.48, 95% CI: 1.22, 1.79), and 19% higher hs-cTnT levels (adjusted GMR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.07, 1.32). In contrast, the highest versus lowest tertile of daytime systolic BP was not associated with NT-proBNP (adjusted GMR = 1.09, 95% CI: 0.88, 1.34) but was associated with 16% higher hs-cTnT levels (adjusted GMR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.30). Similar results were observed using diastolic BP.

CONCLUSION

In SPRINT, both higher nighttime and daytime BP were independently associated with higher hs-cTnT levels, but only higher nighttime BP was associated with higher NT-proBNP levels.

Intensive Blood Pressure Lowering in Individuals With Low Diastolic Blood Pressure and Elevated Troponin Levels in SPRINT

BACKGROUND

Among individuals with hypertension and low diastolic blood pressure (DBP), the optimal BP target remains controversial due to concerns that BP lowering may reduce coronary perfusion. We determined the impact of intensive BP control among individuals with elevated systolic BP who have low DBP and elevated hs-cTnT (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T) levels.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 8828 participants in SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) were stratified by baseline DBP. Those with low DBP (<70 mm Hg) were further stratified by elevated hs-cTnT (≥14 ng/L) at baseline. The effects of intensive versus standard BP lowering on a cardiovascular disease composite end point, all-cause death, and 1-year change in hs-cTnT were determined. The combination of low DBP/high hs-cTnT was independently associated with a higher risk for cardiovascular disease and all-cause death, as well as greater 1-year increases in hs-cTnT, compared with DBP ≥70 mm Hg. However, randomization to intensive versus standard BP lowering led to similar reductions in cardiovascular disease risk among individuals with low DBP/high hs-cTnT (hazard ratio [HR], 0.82 [95% CI, 0.57-1.19]), low DBP/low hs-cTnT (HR, 0.48 [95% CI, 0.29-0.79]), and DBP ≥70 mm Hg (HR, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.60-0.89]; P for interaction=0.20). Intensive BP lowering also led to a reduction in all-cause death that was similar across groups (P for interaction=0.57).

CONCLUSIONS

In this nonprespecified subgroup analysis of SPRINT, individuals with low DBP and elevated hs-cTnT, low DBP and nonelevated hs-cTnT, and DBP ≥70 mm Hg derived similar cardiovascular disease and mortality benefits from intensive BP lowering. These findings warrant confirmation in other studies.

Association of urine biomarkers of kidney health with subclinical cardiovascular disease among men with and without HIV

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine whether urine biomarkers of kidney health are associated with subclinical cardiovascular disease among men with and without HIV.

DESIGN

A cross-sectional study within the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS) among 504 men with and without HIV infection who underwent cardiac computed tomography scans and had urine biomarkers measured within the preceding 2 years.

METHODS

Our primary predictors were four urine biomarkers of endothelial (albuminuria), proximal tubule dysfunction (alpha-1-microglobulin [A1 M] and injury (kidney injury molecule-1 [KIM-1]) and tubulointerstitial fibrosis (pro-collagen-III N-terminal peptide [PIIINP]). These were evaluated for association with coronary artery calcium (CAC) prevalence, CAC extent, total plaque score, and total segment stenosis using multivariable regression.

RESULTS

Of the 504 participants, 384 were men with HIV (MWH) and 120 were men without HIV. In models adjusted for sociodemographic factors, cardiovascular disease risk factors, eGFR, and HIV-related factors, each two-fold higher concentration of albuminuria was associated with a greater extent of CAC (1.35-fold higher, 95% confidence interval 1.11-1.65), and segment stenosis (1.08-fold greater, 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.16). Associations were similar between MWH and men without HIV in stratified analyses. The third quartile of A1 M showed an association with greater CAC extent, total plaque score, and total segment stenosis, compared with the lowest quartile.

CONCLUSION

Worse endothelial and proximal tubule dysfunction, as reflected by higher urine albumin and A1 M, were associated with greater CAC extent and coronary artery stenosis.

Association of Urinary Dickkopf-3 Levels with Cardiovascular Events and Kidney Disease Progression in Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial

BACKGROUND

Urinary Dickkopf-3 (uDKK3) is a tubular epithelial-derived profibrotic protein secreted into the urine under tubular stress. It is associated with kidney disease progression in persons with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and diabetes, and post-operative and contrast-associated acute kidney injury (AKI). We explored associations of uDKK3 with cardiovascular disease (CVD), kidney and mortality outcomes within the subset of Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) participants with non-diabetic CKD.

METHODS

We included 2,344 participants with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 at baseline. We used Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate associations of uDKK3 with CVD (acute decompensated heart failure, myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome, stroke or CVD death), kidney outcomes (incident end stage kidney disease [ESKD], incident AKI, and eGFR decline ≥30%), and all-cause mortality. We used linear mixed models to examine the association of uDKK3 with annual percentage change in eGFR. Models were adjusted for demographic and clinical characteristics, eGFR and albuminuria.

RESULTS

Over a median follow up of 3.5 years, there were 292 CVD, 73 ESKD, 183 AKI, 471 eGFR decline, and 228 mortality events. In multivariable models without adjustment for eGFR and albuminuria, uDKK3 was strongly associated with CVD, ESKD, AKI, eGFR decline ≥30%, and mortality. However, after further adjustment for eGFR and albuminuria, uDKK3 was no longer associated with risks for composite CVD (hazard ratio [HR] 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-1.23), ESKD (0.80; 0.62-1.02), AKI (1.01; 0.85-1.21), eGFR decline >30% (0.88; 0.79-0.99) or mortality (1.02; 0.87-1.20). For the linear eGFR change outcome, higher uDKK3 also had no association in the fully adjusted model (-0.03; -0.41-0.36).

CONCLUSIONS

Among individuals with hypertension and non-diabetic CKD, higher uDKK3 appeared to have associations with a greater risk of CVD events, incident ESKD, incident AKI, eGFR decline ≥30%, and mortality, but was not independent of eGFR and albuminuria.

Evaluation of novel candidate filtration markers from a global metabolomic discovery for glomerular filtration rate estimation

Creatinine and cystatin-C are recommended for estimating glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) but accuracy is suboptimal. Here, using untargeted metabolomics data, we sought to identify candidate filtration markers for a new targeted assay using a novel approach based on their maximal joint association with measured GFR (mGFR) and with flexibility to consider their biological properties. We analyzed metabolites measured in seven diverse studies encompasing 2,851 participants on the Metabolon H4 platform that had Pearson correlations with log mGFR and used a stepwise approach to develop models to < -0.5 estimate mGFR with and without inclusion of creatinine that enabled selection of candidate markers. In total, 456 identified metabolites were present in all studies, and 36 had correlations with mGFR < -0.5. A total of 2,225 models were developed that included these metabolites; all with lower root mean square errors and smaller coefficients for demographic variables compared to estimates using untargeted creatinine. Seventeen metabolites were chosen, including 12 new candidate filtration markers. The selected metabolites had strong associations with mGFR and little dependence on demographic factors. Candidate metabolites were identified with maximal joint association with mGFR and minimal dependence on demographic variables across many varied clinical settings. These metabolites are excreted in urine and represent diverse metabolic pathways and tubular handling. Thus, our data can be used to select metabolites for a multi-analyte eGFR determination assay using mass spectrometry that potentially offers better accuracy and is less prone to non-GFR determinants than the current eGFR biomarkers.

Development and Validation of the American Heart Association's PREVENT Equations

BACKGROUND

Multivariable equations are recommended by primary prevention guidelines to assess absolute risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, current equations have several limitations. Therefore, we developed and validated the American Heart Association Predicting Risk of CVD EVENTs (PREVENT) equations among US adults 30 to 79 years of age without known CVD.

METHODS

The derivation sample included individual-level participant data from 25 data sets (N=3 281 919) between 1992 and 2017. The primary outcome was CVD (atherosclerotic CVD and heart failure). Predictors included traditional risk factors (smoking status, systolic blood pressure, cholesterol, antihypertensive or statin use, and diabetes) and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Models were sex-specific, race-free, developed on the age scale, and adjusted for competing risk of non-CVD death. Analyses were conducted in each data set and meta-analyzed. Discrimination was assessed using the Harrell C-statistic. Calibration was calculated as the slope of the observed versus predicted risk by decile. Additional equations to predict each CVD subtype (atherosclerotic CVD and heart failure) and include optional predictors (urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio and hemoglobin A1c), and social deprivation index were also developed. External validation was performed in 3 330 085 participants from 21 additional data sets.

RESULTS

Among 6 612 004 adults included, mean±SD age was 53±12 years, and 56% were women. Over a mean±SD follow-up of 4.8±3.1 years, there were 211 515 incident total CVD events. The median C-statistics in external validation for CVD were 0.794 (interquartile interval, 0.763-0.809) in female and 0.757 (0.727-0.778) in male participants. The calibration slopes were 1.03 (interquartile interval, 0.81-1.16) and 0.94 (0.81-1.13) among female and male participants, respectively. Similar estimates for discrimination and calibration were observed for atherosclerotic CVD- and heart failure-specific models. The improvement in discrimination was small but statistically significant when urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio, hemoglobin A1c, and social deprivation index were added together to the base model to total CVD (ΔC-statistic [interquartile interval] 0.004 [0.004-0.005] and 0.005 [0.004-0.007] among female and male participants, respectively). Calibration improved significantly when the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio was added to the base model among those with marked albuminuria (>300 mg/g; 1.05 [0.84-1.20] versus 1.39 [1.14-1.65]; P=0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

PREVENT equations accurately and precisely predicted risk for incident CVD and CVD subtypes in a large, diverse, and contemporary sample of US adults by using routinely available clinical variables.

Mitochondrial genetic variation and risk of chronic kidney disease and acute kidney injury in UK Biobank participants

Experimental models suggest an important role for mitochondrial dysfunction in the pathogenesis of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and acute kidney injury (AKI), but little is known regarding the impact of common mitochondrial genetic variation on kidney health. We sought to evaluate associations of inherited mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) variation with risk of CKD and AKI in a large population-based cohort. We categorized UK Biobank participants who self-identified as white into eight distinct mtDNA haplotypes, which were previously identified based on their associations with phenotypes associated with mitochondrial DNA copy number, a measure of mitochondrial function. We used linear and logistic regression models to evaluate associations of these mtDNA haplotypes with estimated glomerular filtration rate by serum creatinine and cystatin C (eGFRCr-CysC, N = 362,802), prevalent (N = 416 cases) and incident (N = 405 cases) end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), AKI defined by diagnostic codes (N = 14,170 cases), and urine albumin/creatinine ratio (ACR, N = 114,662). The mean age was 57 ± 8 years and the mean eGFR was 90 ± 14 ml/min/1.73 m2. MtDNA haplotype was significantly associated with eGFR (p = 2.8E-12), but not with prevalent ESKD (p = 5.9E-2), incident ESKD (p = 0.93), AKI (p = 0.26), or urine ACR (p = 0.54). The association of mtDNA haplotype with eGFR remained significant after adjustment for diabetes mellitus and hypertension (p = 1.2E-10). When compared to the reference haplotype, mtDNA haplotypes I (β = 0.402, standard error (SE) = 0.111; p = 2.7E-4), IV (β = 0.430, SE = 0.073; p = 4.2E-9), and V (β = 0.233, SE = 0.050; p = 2.7E-6) were each associated with higher eGFR. Among self-identified white UK Biobank participants, mtDNA haplotype was associated with eGFR, but not with ESKD, AKI or albuminuria.

Urinary Biomarkers and Kidney Injury in VA NEPHRON-D: Phenotyping Acute Kidney Injury in Clinical Trials

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Urinary biomarkers of injury, inflammation, and repair may help phenotype acute kidney injury (AKI) observed in clinical trials. We evaluated the differences in biomarkers between participants randomized to monotherapy or to combination renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) blockade in VA NEPHRON-D, where an increased proportion of observed AKI was acknowledged in the combination arm.

STUDY DESIGN

Longitudinal analysis.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

A substudy of the VA NEPHRON-D trial.

PREDICTOR

Primary exposure was the treatment arm (combination [RAAS inhibitor] vs monotherapy). AKI is used as a stratifying variable.

OUTCOME

Urinary biomarkers, including albumin, EGF (epidermal growth factor), MCP-1 (monocyte chemoattractant protein-1), YKL-40 (chitinase 3-like protein 1), and KIM-1 (kidney injury molecule-1).

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Biomarkers measured at baseline and at 12 months in trial participants were compared between treatment groups and by AKI. AKI events occurring during hospitalization were predefined safety end points in the original trial. The results were included in a meta-analysis with other large chronic kidney disease trials to assess global trends in biomarker changes.

RESULTS

In 707 participants followed for a median of 2.2 years, AKI incidence was higher in the combination (20.7%) versus the monotherapy group (12.7%; relative risk [RR], 1.64 [95% CI, 1.16-2.30]). Compared with the monotherapy arm, in the combination arm the urine biomarkers at 12 months were either unchanged (MCP-1: RR, -3% [95% CI, -13% to 9%], Padj=0.8; KIM-1: RR, -10% [95% CI, -20% to 1%], Padj=0.2; EGF, RR-7% [95% CI, -12% to-1%], Padj=0.08) or lower (albuminuria: RR, -24% [95% CI, -37% to-8%], Padj=0.02; YKL: RR, -40% to-44% [95% CI, -58% to-25%], Padj<0.001). Pooled meta-analysis demonstrated reduced albuminuria in the intervention arm across 3 trials and similar trajectories in other biomarkers.

LIMITATIONS

Biomarker measurement was limited to 2 time points independent of AKI events.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the increased risk of serum creatinine-defined AKI, combination RAAS inhibitor therapy was associated with unchanged or decreased urinary biomarkers at 12 months. This suggests a possible role for kidney biomarkers to further characterize kidney injury in clinical trials.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

The VA NEPHRON-D trial investigated inhibition of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) hormonal axis on kidney outcomes in a large population of diabetic chronic kidney disease patients. The trial was stopped early due to increased events of serum creatinine-defined acute kidney injury in the combination therapy arm. Urine biomarkers can serve as an adjunct to serum creatinine in identifying kidney injury. We found that urinary biomarkers in the combination therapy group were not associated with a pattern of harm and damage to the kidney, despite the increased number of kidney injury events in that group. This suggests that serum creatinine alone may be insufficient for defining kidney injury and supports further exploration of how other biomarkers might improve identification of kidney injury in clinical trials.

Plasma proenkephalin A and incident chronic kidney disease and albuminuria in the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohort

BACKGROUND

Plasma proenkephalin A (PENK-A) is a precursor of active enkephalins. Higher blood concentrations have been associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline in European populations. Due to the significant disparity in incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) between White and Black people, we evaluated the association of PENK-A with incident CKD and other kidney outcomes among a biracial cohort in the U.S.

METHODS

In a nested cohort of 4,400 participants among the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke, we determined the association between baseline PENK-A concentration and incident CKD using the creatinine-cystatin C CKD-EPI 2021 equation without race coefficient, significant eGFR decline, and incident albuminuria between baseline and a follow-up visit 9.4 years later. We tested for race and sex interactions. We used inverse probability sampling weights to account for the sampling design.

RESULTS

At baseline, mean (SD) age was 64 (8) years, 49% were women, and 52% were Black participants. 8.5% developed CKD, 21% experienced ≥ 30% decline in eGFR and 18% developed albuminuria. There was no association between PENK-A and incident CKD and no difference by race or sex. However, higher PENK-A was associated with increased odds of progressive eGFR decline (OR: 1.12; 95% CI 1.00, 1.25). Higher PENK-A concentration was strongly associated with incident albuminuria among patients without diabetes mellitus (OR: 1.29; 95% CI 1.09, 1.53).

CONCLUSION

While PENK-A was not associated with incident CKD, its associations with progression of CKD and incident albuminuria, among patients without diabetes, suggest that it might be a useful tool in the evaluation of kidney disease among White and Black patients.

Modifiable kidney disease risk factors among nondiabetic adults with obesity from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

OBJECTIVE

It is unknown whether weight change or physical fitness is associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk among nondiabetic adults with obesity.

METHODS

This was a prospective, longitudinal cohort study of adults with obesity without baseline CKD or diabetes enrolled in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Linear mixed-effects and multistate models were adjusted for demographics, time-varying covariates including blood pressure, and comorbidities these were used to examine associations of weight change and slow walking pace (<2 miles/h) with (i) rate of annual estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline and (ii) incident CKD, defined as eGFRCr-Cys  < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 , and tested for interaction by baseline hypertension status.

RESULTS

Among 1208 included MESA participants (median BMI 33.0 kg/m2 [interquartile range 31.2-35.9]), 15% developed CKD. Slow walking pace was associated with eGFR decline (-0.27 mL/min/1.73 m2 /year; 95% CI: -0.42 to -0.12) and CKD risk (adjusted hazard ratio 1.48; 95% CI: 1.08 to 2.01). Weight gain was associated with CKD risk (adjusted hazard ratio 1.34; 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.78 per 5 kg weight gain from baseline). There was no significant interaction by baseline hypertension status.

CONCLUSIONS

Slow walking pace and weight gain were associated with CKD risk among adults with obesity who did not have diabetes at baseline.

Ambulatory urine biomarkers associations with acute kidney injury and hospitalization in people with HIV

BACKGROUND

People with HIV (PWH) generally have worse ambulatory levels of kidney injury biomarkers and excess risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) compared to persons without HIV. We evaluated whether ambulatory measures of subclinical kidney injury among PWH are associated with subsequent AKI.

METHODS

In the Predictors of Acute Renal Injury Study (PARIS), which enrolled 468 PWH from April 2016 to August 2019, we measured 10 urine biomarkers of kidney health (albumin, a1m, b2M, NGAL, IL18, KIM-1, EGF, UMOD, MCP-1, YKL40) at baseline and annually during follow-up. Using multivariable Cox regression models, we evaluated baseline and time-updated biomarker associations with the primary outcome of AKI (≥0.3 mg/dl or ≥1.5-times increase in serum creatinine from baseline) and secondary outcome of all-cause hospitalization.

RESULTS

At baseline, the mean age was 53 years old, and 45% self-identified as female. In time-updated models adjusting for sociodemographic factors, comorbidities, albuminuria, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and HIV-associated factors, higher KIM-1 [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.30 per twofold higher; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.63] and NGAL concentrations (HR = 1.24, 95% CI 1.06-1.44) were associated with higher risk of hospitalized AKI. Additionally, in multivariable, time-updated models, higher levels of KIM-1 (HR = 1.19, 95% CI 1.00, 1.41), NGAL (HR = 1.13, 95% CI 1.01-1.26), and MCP-1 (HR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.00, 1.45) were associated with higher risk of hospitalization.

CONCLUSIONS

Urine biomarkers of kidney tubular injury, such as KIM-1 and NGAL, are strongly associated with AKI among PWH, and may hold potential for risk stratification of future AKI.

CKD-EPI and EKFC GFR Estimating Equations: Performance and Other Considerations for Selecting Equations for Implementation in Adults

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT

New eGFR equations from Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) and European Kidney Function Consortium (EKFC) using creatinine (eGFRcr), cystatin C (eGFRcys), and both (eGFRcr-cys) have sufficient accuracy for use in clinical practice, leading to uncertainty in selecting equations for implementation. The authors evaluated performance of equations in an independent population of 4050 adults and evaluated other considerations important for implementation. They found that CKD-EPI and EKFC equations are approaching convergence, with better performance of eGFRcr-cys equations in the overall group and fewer differences among race, sex, and age subgroups than eGFRcr equations. Larger differences among eGFRcr equations reflect regional population differences in creatinine, forcing a trade-off between accuracy and uniformity in global implementation of eGFRcr equations. More widespread use of cystatin C could avoid this trade-off.

BACKGROUND

New CKD-EPI and EKFC eGFR equations using eGFRcr, eGFRcys, and both (eGFRcr-cys) have sufficient accuracy for use in clinical practice. A better understanding of the equations, including their performance in race, sex and age subgroups, is important for selection of eGFR equations for global implementation.

METHODS

We evaluated performance (bias and P 30 ) of equations and methods used for equation development in an independent study population comprising 4050 adults pooled from 12 studies. The mean (SD) measured GFR was 76.4 (29.6) ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and age 57.0 (17.4) years, with 1557 (38%) women and 579 (14%) Black participants.

RESULTS

Coefficients for creatinine, cystatin C, age, and sex in the CKD-EPI and EKFC equations are similar. Performance of the eGFRcr-cys equations in the overall population (bias <±5 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and P 30 >90%) was better than the eGFRcr or eGFRcys equations, with fewer differences among race, sex, and age subgroups. Differences in performance across subgroups reflected differences in diversity of source populations and use of variables for race and sex for equation development. Larger differences among eGFRcr equations reflected regional population differences in non-GFR determinants of creatinine.

CONCLUSION

CKD-EPI and EKFC equations are approaching convergence. It is not possible to maximize both accuracy and uniformity in selecting one of the currently available eGFRcr equations for implementation across regions. Decisions should consider methods for equation development in addition to performance. Wider use of cystatin C with creatinine could maximize both accuracy and uniformity of GFR estimation using currently available equations.

Association of urine and plasma ADMA with atherosclerotic risk in DKD cardiovascular disease risk in diabetic kidney disease: findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk, especially among those with diabetes. Altered metabolism of solutes that accumulate in CKD [asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA), symmetric dimethylarginine (SDMA) and trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO)] may reflect pathways linking CKD with ASCVD.

METHODS

This case-cohort study included Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort participants with baseline diabetes, estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and without prior history for each outcome. The primary outcome was incident ASCVD (time to first myocardial infarction, stroke or peripheral artery disease event) and secondary outcome was incident heart failure. The subcohort comprised randomly selected participants meeting entry criteria. Plasma and urine ADMA, SDMA and TMAO concentrations were determined by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Associations of uremic solute plasma concentrations and urinary fractional excretions with outcomes were evaluated by weighted multivariable Cox regression models, adjusted for confounding covariables.

RESULTS

Higher plasma ADMA concentrations (per standard deviation) were associated with ASCVD risk [hazard ratio (HR) 1.30, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.68]. Lower fractional excretion of ADMA (per standard deviation) was associated with ASCVD risk (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.07-1.89). The lowest quartile of ADMA fractional excretion was associated with greater ASCVD risk (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.08-4.69) compared with the highest quartile. Plasma SDMA and TMAO concentration and fractional excretion were not associated with ASCVD. Neither plasma nor fractional excretion of ADMA, SDMA and TMAO were associated with incident heart failure.

CONCLUSION

These data suggest that decreased kidney excretion of ADMA leads to increased plasma concentrations and ASCVD risk.

Associations between abrupt transition, dialysis-requiring AKI, and early mortality in ESKD among U.S. veterans

BACKGROUND

Mortality is high within the first few months of starting chronic dialysis. Pre-ESKD trajectory of kidney function has been shown to be predictive of early death after dialysis initiation. We aim to better understand how two key aspects of pre-dialysis kidney function-an abrupt transition pattern and an episode of dialysis-requiring AKI (AKI-D) leading directly to ESKD-are associated with early mortality after dialysis initiation.

METHODS

We extracted national data from U.S. Veterans Health Administration cross-linked with the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) to identify patients who initiated hemodialysis during 2009-2013. We defined abrupt transition as having a mean outpatient eGFR ≥ 30 ml/min/1.73m2 within 1 year prior to ESKD. AKI-D was identified using inpatient serum creatinine measurements (serum Cr increase by at least 50% from baseline) along with billing codes for inpatient receipt of dialysis for AKI within 30 days prior to the ESKD start date. We used multivariable proportional hazards models to examine the association between patterns of kidney function prior to ESKD and all-cause mortality within 90 days after ESKD.

RESULTS

Twenty-two thousand eight hundred fifteen patients were identified in the final analytic cohort of Veterans who initiated hemodialysis and entered the USRDS. We defined five patterns of kidney function decline. Most (68%) patients (N = 15,484) did not have abrupt transition and did not suffer an episode of AKI-D prior to ESKD (reference group). The remaining groups had abrupt transition, AKI-D, or both. Patients who had an abrupt transition with (N = 503) or without (N = 3611) AKI-D had the highest risk of early mortality after ESKD onset after adjustment for demographics and comorbidities (adjusted HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.66-2.65 for abrupt transition with AKI-D; adjusted HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.90-2.33 for abrupt transition without AKI-D). In contrast, patients who experienced AKI-D without an abrupt transition pattern (N =  2141 had only a modestly higher risk of early death (adjusted HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.01-1.40).

CONCLUSIONS

An abrupt decline in kidney function within 1 year prior to ESKD occurred in nearly 1 in 5 incident hemodialysis patients (18%) in this national cohort of Veterans and was strongly associated with higher early mortality after ESKD onset.

Plasma Biomarkers and Incident CKD Among Individuals Without Diabetes

Rationale & Objective

Biomarkers of kidney disease progression have been identified in individuals with diabetes and underlying chronic kidney disease (CKD). Whether or not these markers are associated with the development of CKD in a general population without diabetes or CKD is not well established.

Study Design

Prospective observational cohort.

Setting & Participants

In the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study, 948 participants were studied.

Exposures

The baseline plasma biomarkers of kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1), monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 (TNFR-1), tumor necrosis factor receptor 2 (TNFR-2), and human cartilage glycoprotein-39 (YKL-40) measured in 1996-1998.

Outcome

Incident CKD after 15 years of follow-up defined as ≥40% estimated glomerular filtration rate decline to <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or dialysis dependence through United States Renal Data System linkage.

Analytical Approach

Logistic regression and C statistics.

Results

There were 523 cases of incident CKD. Compared with a random sample of 425 controls, there were greater odds of incident CKD per 2-fold higher concentration of KIM-1 (OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.25-1.78), suPAR (OR, 2.57; 95% CI, 1.74-3.84), TNFR-1 (OR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.58-3.09), TNFR-2 (OR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.37-3.04). After adjustment for all biomarkers, KIM-1 (OR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.19-1.71), and suPAR (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.18-2.92) remained associated with incident CKD. Compared with traditional risk factors, the addition of all 6 biomarkers improved the C statistic from 0.695-0.731 (P < 0.01) and using the observed risk of 12% for incident CKD, the predicted risk gradient changed from 5%-40% (for the 1st-5th quintile) to 4%-44%.

Limitations

Biomarkers and creatinine were measured at one time point.

Conclusions

Higher levels of KIM-1, suPAR, TNFR-1, and TNFR-2 were associated with higher odds of incident CKD among individuals without diabetes.

Plain-Language Summary

For people with diabetes or kidney disease, several biomarkers have been shown to be associated with worsening kidney disease. Whether these biomarkers have prognostic significance in people without diabetes or kidney disease is less studied. Using the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, we followed individuals without diabetes or kidney disease for an average of 15 years after biomarker measurement to see if these biomarkers were associated with the development of kidney disease. We found that elevated levels of KIM-1, suPAR, TNFR-1, and TNFR-2 were associated with the development of kidney disease. These biomarkers may help identify individuals who would benefit from interventions to prevent the development of kidney disease.

Structured Moderate Exercise and Biomarkers of Kidney Health in Sedentary Older Adults: The Lifestyle Interventions and Independence for Elders Randomized Clinical Trial

Rationale & Objective

In the Lifestyle Interventions and Independence for Elders (LIFE) trial, a structured exercise intervention slowed kidney function decline in sedentary older adults. Biomarkers of kidney health could distinguish potential mechanisms for this beneficial effect.

Study Design

Randomized controlled trial.

Setting & Population

A total of 1,381 sedentary adults aged 70-89 years enrolled in the LIFE trial.

Intervention

Structured, 2-year, moderate-intensity exercise intervention versus health education.

Outcomes

Physical activity was measured by step count. Primary outcomes were changes in 14 serum and urine biomarkers of kidney health collected at baseline, year 1, and year 2. We determined the effect of randomization on changes in kidney measures and then evaluated observational associations of achieved activity on each measure.

Results

Participants assigned to exercise walked on average 291 more steps per day than participants assigned to health education. The intervention was not significantly associated with changes in biomarkers of kidney health. In observational analyses, persons in the highest versus lowest quartile of activity (≥3,470 vs <1,568 steps/day) had significant improvement in urine albumin (mean, -0.22 mg albumin/g urine creatinine [interquartile range (IQR), -0.37 to -0.06]), alpha-1-microglobulin (-0.18 mg/L [-0.28 to -0.08]), trefoil factor-3 (-0.24 pg/mL [-0.35 to -0.13]), epidermal growth factor (0.19 pg/mL [0.06-0.32]), uromodulin (0.06 pg/mL [0.00-0.12]), interleukin 18 (-0.09 pg/mL [-0.15 to -0.03]), neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (-0.16 pg/mL [-0.24 to -0.07]), monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (-0.25 pg/mL [-0.36 to -0.14]), clusterin (-0.16 pg/mL [-0.30 to -0.02]), serum tumor necrosis factor receptor-1 (-0.25 mg/dL [-0.39 to -0.11]) and tumor necrosis factor receptor-2 (-0.30 mg/dL [-0.44 to -0.16]). In sensitivity analyses, incremental changes in activity were most impactful on urine interleukin 18 and serum tumor necrosis factor-1.

Limitations

The original study was not designed to assess the impact on kidney health. Non-white individuals and patients with advanced chronic kidney disease are underrepresented.

Conclusions

Randomization to structured exercise did not improve kidney health at a group level. However, higher exercise was associated with concurrent improvements in biomarkers of glomerular injury, tubular function/repair, tubular injury, generalized inflammation, and tubulointerstitial repair/fibrosis.

Plain-Language Summary

In the Lifestyle Interventions For Elders (LIFE) study, randomization to an exercise and physical activity intervention improved the slope of estimated glomerular filtration rate over 2 years compared with health education among older adults. In this study, we sought to determine whether there were specific biomarkers of kidney health that were affected by the exercise and physical activity intervention to investigate potential mechanisms for this positive impact on kidney decline. We found that randomization to the intervention did not improve any of the 14 measures of kidney tubule health. However, in observational analyses, higher activity was independently associated with improvements in several domains, especially tubular injury and generalized inflammation. These results help to clarify the impact of physical activity on kidney health.

Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate, Albuminuria, and Adverse Outcomes: An Individual-Participant Data Meta-Analysis

Importance

Chronic kidney disease (low estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] or albuminuria) affects approximately 14% of adults in the US.

Objective

To evaluate associations of lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine combined with cystatin C, and more severe albuminuria with adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular outcomes, and other health outcomes.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Individual-participant data meta-analysis of 27 503 140 individuals from 114 global cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine alone) and 720 736 individuals from 20 cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C) and 9 067 753 individuals from 114 cohorts (albuminuria) from 1980 to 2021.

Exposures

The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration 2021 equations for eGFR based on creatinine alone and eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C; and albuminuria estimated as urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR).

Main Outcomes and Measures

The risk of kidney failure requiring replacement therapy, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, acute kidney injury, any hospitalization, coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and peripheral artery disease. The analyses were performed within each cohort and summarized with random-effects meta-analyses.

Results

Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine alone (mean age, 54 years [SD, 17 years]; 51% were women; mean follow-up time, 4.8 years [SD, 3.3 years]), the mean eGFR was 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 11 mg/g (IQR, 8-16 mg/g). Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C (mean age, 59 years [SD, 12 years]; 53% were women; mean follow-up time, 10.8 years [SD, 4.1 years]), the mean eGFR was 88 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 9 mg/g (IQR, 6-18 mg/g). Lower eGFR (whether based on creatinine alone or based on creatinine and cystatin C) and higher UACR were each significantly associated with higher risk for each of the 10 adverse outcomes, including those in the mildest categories of chronic kidney disease. For example, among people with a UACR less than 10 mg/g, an eGFR of 45 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m2 based on creatinine alone was associated with significantly higher hospitalization rates compared with an eGFR of 90 to 104 mL/min/1.73 m2 (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.3 [95% CI, 1.2-1.3]; 161 vs 79 events per 1000 person-years; excess absolute risk, 22 events per 1000 person-years [95% CI, 19-25 events per 1000 person-years]).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this retrospective analysis of 114 cohorts, lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C, and more severe UACR were each associated with increased rates of 10 adverse outcomes, including adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, and hospitalizations.

Discordance Between Creatinine-Based and Cystatin C-Based Estimated GFR: Interpretation According to Performance Compared to Measured GFR

Rationale & Objective

Use of cystatin C in addition to creatinine to estimate glomerular filtration rate (estimated glomerular filtration rate based on cystatin C [eGFRcys] and estimated glomerular filtration rate based on creatinine [eGFRcr], respectively) is increasing. When eGFRcr and eGFRcys are discordant, it is not known which is more accurate, leading to uncertainty in clinical decision making.

Study Design

Cross-sectional analysis.

Setting & Participants

Four thousand fifty participants with measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR) from 12 studies in North America and Europe.

Exposures

Serum creatinine and serum cystatin C.

Outcomes

Performance of creatinine-based and cystatin C-based glomerular filtration rate estimating equations compared to mGFR.

Analytical Approach

We evaluated the accuracy of eGFRcr, eGFRcys, and the combination (eGFRcr-cys) compared to mGFR according to the magnitude of the difference between eGFRcr and eGFRcys (eGFRdiff). We used CKD-EPI (Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration) equations to estimate glomerular filtration rate. eGFRdiff was defined as eGFRcys minus eGFRcr and categorized as less than -15, -15 to <15, and ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2 (negative, concordant, and positive groups, respectively). We compared bias (median of mGFR minus eGFR) and the percentage of eGFR within 30% of mGFR.

Results

Thirty percent of participants had discordant eGFRdiff (21.0% and 9.6% negative and positive eGFRdiffs, respectively). In the concordant eGFRdiff group, all equations displayed similar accuracy. In the negative eGFRdiff groups, eGFRcr had a large overestimation of mGFR (-13.4 [-14.5 to -12.2] mL/min/1.73 m2) and eGFRcys had a large underestimation (9.9 [9.1-11.2] mL/min/1.73m2), with opposite results in the positive eGFRdiff group. In both negative and positive eGFRdiff groups, eGFRcr-cys was more accurate than either eGFRcr or eGFRcys. These results were largely consistent across age, sex, race, and body mass index.

Limitations

Few participants with major comorbid conditions.

Conclusions

Discordant eGFRcr and eGFRcys are common. eGFR using the combination of creatinine and cystatin C provides the most accurate estimates among persons with discordant eGFRcr or eGFRcys.

Development and Validation of Novel Free Vitamin D Equations: The Health Aging and Body Composition Study

Vitamin D deficiency is prevalent in 25% of Americans. However, 25(OH)D may not be an accurate measure of vitamin D because the majority (85%-90%) of 25(OH)D is bound to vitamin D binding protein (VDBP), which varies by over 30% across individuals. Free 25(OH)D may be a better measure, but it is difficult to measure accurately and precisely. The existing free 25(OH)D estimating equation does not include VDBP phenotypes; therefore, new equations that include this variable may be more accurate. A total of 370 participants in the Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study, a cohort of healthy community-dwelling individuals aged 70-79 years old, underwent VDBP and vitamin D metabolite [25(OH)D, 24,25(OH)2D, 1,25(OH)2D, free 25(OH)D] measurements and were randomly allocated into equation development (two out of three) and internal validation (one out of three) groups. New equations were developed with multiple linear regression and were internally validated with Bland-Altman plots. The mean age was 75 ± 3 years, 53% were female, and the mean measured free 25(OH)D was 5.37 ± 1.81 pg/mL. Three equations were developed. The first equation included albumin, 25(OH)D3, 25(OH)D2, VDBP, 1,25(OH)2D3, and 24,25(OH)2D3. The second equation included all variables in Eq. (1) plus VDBP phenotypes. The third equation included albumin, 25(OH)D3, intact parathyroid hormone, and 1,25(OH)2D3. In internal validation, all three new equations predicted free 25(OH)D values within 30% and 15% of the measured free 25(OH)D concentrations in 76%-80% and 48%-52% of study participants, respectively. Equation (2) was the most precise, with a mean bias of 0.06 (95% limits of agreement -2.41 to 2.30) pg/mL. The existing equation estimated free 25(OH)D within 30% and 15% of measured free 25(OH)D in 43% and 22% of participants, respectively. Free 25(OH)D can be estimated with clinically available biomarkers as well as with more laboratory-intensive biomarkers with moderate precision. © 2023 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Urinary Biomarkers of Kidney Tubule Health and Mortality in Persons with CKD and Diabetes Mellitus

Key Points

Among adults with diabetes and CKD, biomarkers of kidney tubule health were associated with a greater risk of death, independent of eGFR, albuminuria, and additional risk factors. Higher urine levels of YKL-40 and KIM-1 were associated with a greater risk of death. For cause-specific death, UMOD was independently and inversely associated with the risk of cardiovascular death.

Background

Kidney disease assessed by serum creatinine and albuminuria are strongly associated with mortality in diabetes. These markers primarily reflect glomerular function and injury. Urine biomarkers of kidney tubule health were recently associated with the risk of kidney failure in persons with CKD and diabetes. Associations of these biomarkers with risk of death are poorly understood.

Methods

In 560 persons with diabetes and eGFR ≤60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 from the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke study (47% male, 53% Black), we measured urine biomarkers of kidney tubule health at baseline: monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), alpha-1-microglobulin, kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1), EGF, chitinase-3-like protein 1 (YKL-40), and uromodulin (UMOD). Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine the associations of urine biomarkers with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in nested models adjusted for urine creatinine, demographics, mortality risk factors, eGFR, and urine albumin.

Results

The mean (SD) age was 70 (9.6) years, and baseline eGFR was 40 (3) ml/min per 1.73 m2. There were 310 deaths over a mean follow-up of 6.5 (3.2) years. In fully adjusted models, each two-fold higher urine concentration of KIM-1 and YKL-40 were associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.31 and 1.13, 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.20, respectively). When examining cause-specific mortality, higher UMOD was associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular death (adjusted HR per two-fold higher concentration 0.87, 95% CI, 0.77 to 0.99), and higher MCP-1 was associated with higher risk of cancer death (HR per two-fold higher concentration 1.52, 95% CI, 1.05 to 2.18).

Conclusion

Among persons with diabetes and CKD, higher urine KIM-1 and YKL-40 were associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality independently of established risk factors. Urine UMOD and MCP-1 were associated with cardiovascular and cancer-related death, respectively.

Evaluation of plasma sphingolipids as mediators of the relationship between kidney disease and cardiovascular events

BACKGROUND

Sphingolipids are a family of circulating lipids with regulatory and signaling roles that are strongly associated with both eGFR and cardiovascular disease. Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at high risk for cardiovascular events, and have different plasma concentrations of certain plasma sphingolipids compared to patients with normal kidney function. We hypothesize that circulating sphingolipids partially mediate the associations between eGFR and cardiovascular events.

METHODS

We measured the circulating concentrations of 8 sphingolipids, including 4 ceramides and 4 sphingomyelins with the fatty acids 16:0, 20:0, 22:0, and 24:0, in plasma from 3,463 participants in a population-based cohort (Cardiovascular Health Study) without prevalent cardiovascular disease. We tested the adjusted mediation effects by these sphingolipids of the associations between eGFR and incident cardiovascular disease via quasi-Bayesian Monte Carlo method with 2,000 simulations, using a Bonferroni correction for significance.

FINDINGS

The mean (±SD) eGFR was 70 (±16) mL/min/1.73 m2; 62% of participants were women. Lower eGFR was associated with higher plasma ceramide-16:0 and sphingomyelin-16:0, and lower ceramides and sphingomyelins-20:0 and -22:0. Lower eGFR was associated with risk of incident heart failure and ischemic stroke, but not myocardial infarction. Five of eight sphingolipids partially mediated the association between eGFR and heart failure. The sphingolipids associated with the greatest proportion mediated were ceramide-16:0 (proportion mediated 13%, 95% CI 8-22%) and sphingomyelin-16:0 (proportion mediated 10%, 95% CI 5-17%). No sphingolipids mediated the association between eGFR and ischemic stroke.

INTERPRETATION

Plasma sphingolipids partially mediated the association between lower eGFR and incident heart failure. Altered sphingolipids metabolism may be a novel mechanism for heart failure in patients with CKD.

FUNDING

This study was supported by T32 DK007467 and a KidneyCure Ben J. Lipps Research Fellowship (Dr. Lidgard). Sphingolipid measurements were supported by R01 HL128575 (Dr. Lemaitre) and R01 HL111375 (Dr. Hoofnagle) from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI).

Tubular Secretory Solute Clearance and HIV Infection

BACKGROUND

Tubular secretion is an important kidney function responsible for the clearance of numerous medications, including antibiotics and antivirals. It is unknown whether persons living with HIV have lower secretion compared with HIV-uninfected persons, which might predispose them to the risk of progressive kidney disease or adverse drug events.

SETTING AND METHODS

We evaluated a panel of 6 endogenous secretory solutes in 199 women living with HIV (WLWH) and 100 women without HIV enrolled in the Women's Interagency HIV Study. Secretory clearance was estimated as the urine-to-plasma ratio of each solute, with adjustment for urine tonicity. Using multivariable linear regression analysis, we compared differences in levels of secretory solute clearance between women with and without HIV and evaluated characteristics associated with secretion.

RESULTS

WLWH were older (median 40 vs. 38 years) but had similar estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, 96 vs. 100 mL/minute/1.73 m 2 ) compared with those without HIV. African American and Latino race, diabetes, diastolic blood pressure, smoking, hepatitis C, peak HIV viral load, and current and nadir CD4 count were associated with differences in clearance of at least 1 marker after multivariable adjustment. The secretory clearance of 3 solutes (cinnamoylglycine, kynurenic acid, and pyridoxic acid) were on average 10%-15% lower among WLWH compared with those without HIV independent of eGFR, albuminuria and chronic kidney disease risk factors, including HCV, and injection drug use.

CONCLUSIONS

HIV is associated with reduced secretion among women with preserved eGFR. The implications of these findings for drug dosing and adverse events need to be evaluated.

Associations of Biomarkers of Kidney Tubule Health, Injury, and Inflammation with Left Ventricular Hypertrophy in Children with CKD

Key Points

Higher plasma and urine kidney injury molecule-1, urine monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, and lower urine alpha-1-microglobulin were associated with left ventricular hypertrophy, even after adjustment for confounders. Biomarkers of tubular injury, dysfunction, and inflammation may indicate the severity of kidney pathology and are associated with left ventricular hypertrophy.

Background

Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is common in children with CKD and is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality. We have shown that several plasma and urine biomarkers are associated with increased risk of CKD progression. As CKD is associated with LVH, we sought to investigate the association between the biomarkers and LVH.

Methods

In the CKD in Children Cohort Study, children aged 6 months to 16 years with an eGFR of 30–90 ml/min per 1.73 m2 were enrolled at 54 centers in the United States and Canada. We measured plasma biomarkers kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1), tumor necrosis factor receptor-1, tumor necrosis factor receptor-2, soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor and urine KIM-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), YKL-40, alpha-1-microglobulin (alpha-1m), and epidermal growth factor in stored plasma and urine collected 5 months after enrollment. Echocardiograms were performed 1 year after enrollment. We assessed the cross-sectional association between the log2 biomarker levels and LVH (left ventricular mass index greater than or equal to the 95th percentile) using a Poisson regression model, adjusted for age, sex, race, body mass index, hypertension, glomerular diagnosis, urine protein-to-creatinine ratio, and eGFR at study entry.

Results

Among the 504 children, LVH prevalence was 12% (n =59) 1 year after enrollment. In a multivariable-adjusted model, higher plasma and urine KIM-1 and urine MCP-1 concentrations were associated with a higher prevalence of LVH (plasma KIM-1 prevalence ratio [PR] per log2: 1.27, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02 to 1.58; urine KIM-1 PR: 1.21, 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.48; and urine MCP-1 PR: 1.18, 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.34). After multivariable adjustment for covariates, lower urine alpha-1m was also associated with a higher prevalence of LVH (PR: 0.90, 95% CI, 0.82 to 0.99).

Conclusions

Higher plasma and urine KIM-1, urine MCP-1, and lower urine alpha-1m were each associated with LVH prevalence in children with CKD. These biomarkers may better inform risk and help elucidate the pathophysiology of LVH in pediatric CKD.

Markers of Kidney Tubule Dysfunction and Major Adverse Kidney Events

BACKGROUND

Serum creatinine and albuminuria are primary markers of glomerular function and injury, respectively. Tubular secretion, acid-base homeostasis, protein reabsorption, among other tubular functions, are largely ignored. This mini-review aimed to discuss how two tubular functions, secretion, and acid-base homeostasis are associated with major adverse kidney events (MAKEs).

SUMMARY

Proximal tubular secretion is an essential function that allows the elimination of endogenous substances and drugs. Recently discovered endogenous markers in urine and plasma allow a noninvasive way of assessing tubular secretion markers. Several studies have found an association between these markers and a higher risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression and mortality. In a study we recently performed among patients with CKD and at risk of cardiovascular events, lower tubular secretion was associated with an increased risk of acute kidney injury and metabolic acidosis, independent of baseline eGFR and albuminuria. The kidney tubules also play a crucial role in acid-base homeostasis. Although the standard clinical assessment of acidosis consists of measuring serum bicarbonate, urinary ammonium excretion decreases before over metabolic acidosis. Urinary ammonium excretion is associated with CKD progression, a higher risk of kidney failure, and an increased mortality risk, independent of baseline eGFR and albuminuria.

KEY MESSAGES

Novel biomarkers of kidney tubular health consistently associate with MAKEs, above and beyond baseline eGFR, albuminuria, and other CKD risk factors. Tubular markers may provide new opportunities to improve kidney prognosis, drug dosing, and monitoring for adverse events.

Estimated Prevalence and Testing for Albuminuria in US Adults at Risk for Chronic Kidney Disease

Importance

Albuminuria testing is crucial for guiding evidence-based treatments to mitigate chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression and cardiovascular morbidity, but it is widely underutilized among persons with or at risk for CKD.

Objective

To estimate the extent of albuminuria underdetection from lack of testing and evaluate its association with CKD treatment in a large US cohort of patients with hypertension or diabetes.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study examined adults with hypertension or diabetes, using data from the 2007 to 2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES) and the Optum deidentified electronic health record (EHR) data set of diverse US health care organizations. Analyses were conducted from October 31, 2022, to May 19, 2023.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Using NHANES as a nationally representative sample, a logistic regression model was developed to estimate albuminuria (urine albumin-creatinine ratio ≥30 mg/g). This model was then applied to active outpatients in the EHR from January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2018. The prevalence of albuminuria among those with and without albuminuria testing during this period was estimated. A multivariable logistic regression was used to examine associations between having albuminuria testing and CKD therapies within the subsequent year (prescription for angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor [ACEi] or angiotensin II receptor blocker [ARB], prescription for sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor [SGLT2i], and blood pressure control to less than 130/80 mm Hg or less than 140/90 mm Hg on the latest outpatient measure).

Results

The total EHR study population included 192 108 patients (mean [SD] age, 60.3 [15.1] years; 185 589 [96.6%] with hypertension; 50 507 [26.2%] with diabetes; mean [SD] eGFR, 84 [21] mL/min/1.73 m2). There were 33 629 patients (17.5%) who had albuminuria testing; of whom 11 525 (34.3%) had albuminuria. Among 158 479 patients who were untested, the estimated albuminuria prevalence rate was 13.4% (n = 21 231). Thus, only 35.2% (11 525 of 32 756) of the projected population with albuminuria had been tested. Albuminuria testing was associated with higher adjusted odds of receiving ACEi or ARB treatment (OR, 2.39 [95% CI, 2.32-2.46]), SGLT2i treatment (OR, 8.22 [95% CI, 7.56-8.94]), and having blood pressure controlled to less than 140/90 mm Hg (OR, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.16-1.23]).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study of patients with hypertension or diabetes, it was estimated that approximately two-thirds of patients with albuminuria were undetected due to lack of testing. These results suggest that improving detection of CKD with albuminuria testing represents a substantial opportunity to optimize care delivery for reducing CKD progression and cardiovascular complications.

Risk Factors for Incident CKD in Black and White Americans: The REGARDS Study

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Little information exists on the incidence of and risk factors for chronic kidney disease (CKD) in contemporary US cohorts and whether risk factors differ by race, sex, or region in the United States.

STUDY DESIGN

Observational cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

4,198 Black and 7,799 White participants aged at least 45 years, recruited from 2003 through 2007 across the continental United States, with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)>60mL/min/1.73m2 and eGFR assessed again approximately 9 years later.

EXPOSURES

Age, sex, race (Black or White), region ("stroke belt" or other), education, income, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, diabetes, coronary heart disease, hyperlipidemia, smoking, and albuminuria.

OUTCOMES

(1) eGFR change and (2) incident CKD defined as eGFR<60mL/min/1.73m2 and≥40% decrease from baseline or kidney failure.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Linear regression and modified Poisson regression were used to determine the association of risk factors with eGFR change and incident CKD overall and stratified by race, sex, and region.

RESULTS

Mean age of participants was 63±8 (SD) years, 54% were female, and 35% were Black. After 9.4±1.0 years of follow-up, CKD developed in 9%. In an age-, sex-, and race-adjusted model, Black race (β =-0.13; P<0.001) was associated with higher risk of eGFR change, but this was attenuated in the fully adjusted model (β=0.02; P=0.5). Stroke belt residence was independently associated with eGFR change (β =-0.10; P<0.001) and incident CKD (relative risk, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.01-1.30]). Albuminuria was more strongly associated with eGFR change (β of-0.26 vs-0.17; P=0.01 for interaction) in Black compared with White participants. Results were similar for incident CKD.

LIMITATIONS

Persons of Hispanic ethnicity were excluded; unknown duration and/or severity of risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Established CKD risk factors accounted for higher risk of incident CKD in Black versus White individuals. Albuminuria was a stronger risk factor for eGFR decrease and incident CKD in Black compared with White individuals. Living in the US stroke belt is a novel risk factor for CKD.

Associations of Urine Biomarkers of Kidney Tubule Health With Incident Hypertension and Longitudinal Blood Pressure Change in Middle-Aged Adults: The CARDIA Study

BACKGROUND

Urine biomarkers of kidney tubule injury associate with incident hypertension in older adults with comorbidities, but less is known about these associations in younger adults.

METHODS

In 1170 participants of the CARDIA study (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults; mean age, 45 years; 40% Black people; 56% women) without hypertension, cardiovascular disease, or kidney disease at baseline, we examined associations of urine MCP-1 (monocyte chemoattractant protein-1), α1m (alpha-1-microglobulin), KIM-1 (kidney injury molecule-1), EGF (epidermal growth factor), IL (interleukin)-18, YKL-40 (chitinase-3-like protein 1), and UMOD (uromodulin) with incident hypertension (onset of systolic blood pressure [BP] ≥130 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥80 mm Hg or initiation of hypertension medications) and longitudinal BP change in models adjusted for hypertension risk factors, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and albuminuria.

RESULTS

After a median 9.9 (interquartile range, 5.9-10.2) years, 376 participants developed incident hypertension. In demographic-adjusted analyses, higher tertiles of EGF associated with lower risk of incident hypertension in both Black and White participants. After multivariable adjustment, the risk of incident hypertension remained lower in tertile 2 (hazard ratio, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.50-0.97]) and tertile 3 (hazard ratio, 0.58 [0.39-0.85]) of EGF versus tertile 1. In fully adjusted models, participants in EGF tertile 3 had smaller 10-year increases in systolic (-3.4 [95% CI, -6.1 to -0.7] mm Hg) and diastolic BP (-2.6 [95% CI, -4.6 to -0.6] mm Hg) than tertile 1. Other biomarkers showed inconsistent associations with incident hypertension and BP change.

CONCLUSIONS

In middle-aged adults without hypertension, cardiovascular disease, or kidney disease, higher urine EGF associated with lower risk of incident hypertension and lower 10-year BP elevations.

Serum Magnesium Levels and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial Participants

Rationale and Objective

Serum magnesium levels have been inversely yet inconsistently associated with cardiovascular (CV) outcomes. In this study, we examined the association of serum magnesium levels with CV outcomes in the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) participants.

Study Design

Case-control post hoc analysis of SPRINT.

Setting & Participants

A total of 2,040 SPRINT participants with available serum samples at baseline level were included in this study. Case participants (n = 510) who experienced a CV event during the SPRINT observation period (median follow-up of 3.2 years) and control participants (n = 1,530) without CV events were sampled in a 1:3 ratio for measurements of serum magnesium level at baseline and 2-year follow-up.

Predictors

Baseline serum magnesium levels and 2-year percentage change in serum magnesium levels (ΔSMg).

Outcome

SPRINT primary composite CV outcome.

Analytical Approach

Multivariable conditional logistic regression analysis, accounting for matching factors, was used to evaluate the association of baseline and ΔSMg with CV outcomes. Individual matching of cases and controls was based on the SPRINT treatment arm allocation (standard vs intensive) and prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Results

The median serum magnesium level at baseline was similar among the case and control groups. In a fully adjusted model, each standard deviation (SD) (0.18 mg/dL) higher of the baseline serum magnesium level was independently associated with a lower risk for composite CV outcomes in all study participants (adjusted odds ratio 95% CI, 0.79 [0.70-0.89]). This association was similar when serum magnesium levels were analyzed in quartiles but dissipated in the standard (vs intensive) arm of SPRINT (0.88 [0.76-1.02] vs 0.65 [0.53-0.79], respectively; Pinteraction = 0.06). The presence or absence of CKD at baseline did not modify this association. ΔSMg was not independently associated with CV outcomes occurring after 2 years.

Limitations

ΔSMg was small in magnitude, limiting effect size.

Conclusions

Higher baseline serum magnesium levels were independently associated with reduced risk for CV outcomes in all study participants, but ΔSMg was not associated with CV outcomes.

Dietary Patterns, Apolipoprotein L1 Risk Genotypes, and CKD Outcomes Among Black Adults in the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) Cohort Study

Rationale & Objective

Dietary factors may impact inflammation and interferon production, which could influence phenotypic expression of Apolipoprotein1 (APOL1) genotypes. We investigated whether associations of dietary patterns with kidney outcomes differed by APOL1 genotypes.

Study Design

Prospective cohort.

Settings & Participants

5,640 Black participants in the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS).

Exposures

Five dietary patterns derived from food frequency questionnaires: Convenience foods, Southern, Sweets and Fats, Plant-based, and Alcohol/Salads.

Outcomes

Incident chronic kidney disease (CKD), CKD progression, and kidney failure. Incident CKD was defined as a change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) to <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 accompanied by a ≥25% decline from baseline eGFR or development of kidney failure among those with baseline eGFR ≥60 mL/1.73 m2 body surface area. CKD progression was defined as a composite of 40% reduction in eGFR from baseline or development of kidney failure in the subset of participants who had serum creatinine levels at baseline and completed a second in-home visit/follow-up visit.

Analytical Approach

We examined associations of dietary pattern quartiles with incident CKD (n=4,188), CKD progression (n=5,640), and kidney failure (n=5,640). We tested for statistical interaction between dietary patterns and APOL1 genotypes for CKD outcomes and explored stratified analyses by APOL1 genotypes.

Results

Among 5,640 Black REGARDS participants, mean age was 64 years (standard deviation = 9), 35% were male, and 682 (12.1%) had high-risk APOL1 genotypes. Highest versus lowest quartiles (Q4 vs Q1) of Southern dietary pattern were associated with higher adjusted odds of CKD progression (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.01-1.63) but not incident CKD (OR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.74-1.14) or kidney failure (HR, 1.48; 95% CI, 0.90-2.44). No other dietary patterns showed significant associations with CKD. There were no statistically significant interactions between APOL1 genotypes and dietary patterns. Stratified analysis showed no consistent associations across genotypes, although Q3 and Q4 versus Q1 of Plant-based and Southern patterns were associated with lower odds of CKD progression among APOL1 high- but not low-risk genotypes.

Limitations

Included overlapping dietary patterns based on a single time point and multiple testing.

Conclusions

In Black REGARDS participants, Southern dietary pattern was associated with increased risk of CKD progression. Analyses stratified by APOL1 genotypes suggest associations may differ by genetic background, but these findings require confirmation in other cohorts.

Cardiac Mechanics and Kidney Function Decline in the Cardiovascular Health Study

Key Points

Two-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiography (2D-STE) can detect early changes in cardiac mechanics and may be able to identify individuals at risk for kidney disease progression. Novel indices of cardiac mechanics on 2D-STE may identify a population that may benefit from early diagnosis, monitoring, and treatment. Novel pharmacologic therapies may be beneficial in patients with subclinical myocardial dysfunction at risk for kidney function decline.

Background

Clinical heart failure frequently coexists with CKD and may precipitate kidney function decline. However, whether earlier-stage myocardial dysfunction assessable by speckle-tracking echocardiography (STE) is a contributor to kidney function decline remains unknown.

Methods

We studied 2135 Cardiovascular Health Study participants who were free of clinical heart failure and had year 2 baseline 2D-STE and two measurements of eGFR (year 2 and year 9). “Archival” speckle tracking of digitized echocardiogram videotapes was used to measure left ventricular longitudinal strain (LVLS), LV early diastolic strain rate (EDSR), left atrial reservoir strain (LARS), right ventricular free wall strain (RVFWS), and mitral annular velocity (e′). Multivariable Poisson regression models that adjusted for demographics and cardiovascular risk factors (RFs) were used to investigate the independent associations of cardiac mechanics indices and decline in kidney function defined as a 30% decline in eGFR over 7 years.

Results

In RF models, LVLS, EDSR, RVFWS, and e′ were all significantly associated with the prevalence of kidney disease. After multivariable adjustment, left atrial dysfunction (relative risk [RR], 1.18; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.38 per SD lower LARS) and left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (RR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.41 per SD lower EDSR) were each significantly associated with 30% decline in eGFR.

Conclusions

Subclinical myocardial dysfunction suggesting abnormal diastolic function detected by 2D-STE was independently associated with decline in kidney function over time. Further studies are needed to understand the mechanisms of these associations and to test whether interventions that may improve subclinical myocardial dysfunction can prevent decline of kidney function.

Improvement in Renal Function During the Treatment of Acute Decompensated Heart Failure: Relationship With Markers of Renal Tubular Injury and Prognostic Importance

BACKGROUND

Improvement in renal function (IRF) in acute decompensated heart failure is associated with adverse outcomes. The mechanisms driving this paradox remain undefined.

METHODS

Using the ROSE-AHF study (Renal Optimization Strategies Evaluation-Acute Heart Failure), 277 patients were grouped according to renal function, with IRF defined by a ≥20% increase (N=75), worsening renal function by a ≥20% decline (N=53), and stable renal function (SRF) by a <20% change (N=149) in estimated glomerular filtration rate between baseline and 72 hours. Three well-validated renal tubular injury markers, NGAL (neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin), NAG (N-acetyl-β-d-glucosaminidase), and KIM-1 (kidney injury molecule 1), were evaluated at baseline and 72 hours. Patients were also classified by the pattern of change in these markers.

RESULTS

Patients with IRF had the lowest admission estimated glomerular filtration rate (IRF, 37 [28 to 51] mL/min per 1.73 m2; worsening renal function, 43 [35 to 55] mL/min per 1.73 m2; and SRF, 43 [32 to 55] mL/min per 1.73 m2; Ptrend=0.032) but greater cumulative urine output (IRF, 8780 [7025 to 11 208] mL; worsening renal function, 7860 [5555 to 9765] mL; and SRF, 8150 [6325 to 10 456] mL; Ptrend=0.024) and weight loss (IRF, -9.0 [-12.4 to -5.3] lb; worsening renal function, -5.1 [-8.1 to -1.3] lb; and SRF, -7.1 [-11.9 to -3.2] lb; Ptrend<0.001) despite similar diuretic doses (Ptrend=0.16). There were no differences in the relative change in NGAL, NAG, or KIM-1 between renal function groups (Ptrend>0.19 for all). Patients with IRF had worse survival than patients with SRF (27% versus 54%; hazard ratio, 1.98 [1.10-3.58]; P=0.024).

CONCLUSIONS

IRF during decongestive therapy for acute decompensated heart failure was not associated with improved markers of renal tubular injury and was associated with worsened survival, likely driven by the presence of greater underlying cardiorenal dysfunction and more severe congestion.

Effect of Adopting the New Race-Free 2021 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Creatinine Equation on Racial Differences in Kidney Disease Progression Among People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus: An Observational Study

BACKGROUND

The impact of adopting a race-free estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) creatinine (eGFRcr) equation on racial differences in chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression among people with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH) is unknown.

METHODS

We defined eGFR stages using the original race-adjusted Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) eGFRcr equation and the new race-free CKD-EPI eGFRcr equation. We then estimated 5-year probabilities of transitioning from baseline kidney function to more advanced eGFR stages and examined the association of race (black vs white) with rates of CKD progression using Markov models.

RESULTS

With the race-adjusted eGFRcr equation, black participants (n = 31 298) had a lower risk of progressing from eGFR stage 1 to 2 (hazard ratio [HR], 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI], .73-.82), an equal risk of progressing from stage 2 to 3 (1.00; .92-.07) and a 3-fold risk of progressing from stage 3 to 4 or 5 (3.06; 2.60-3.62), compared with white participants (n = 27 542). When we used the race-free eGFRcr equation, 16% of black participants were reclassified into a more severe eGFR stage at baseline. The reclassified black individuals had a higher prevalence of CKD risk factors than black PWH who were not reclassified. With the race-free eGFRcr equation, black participants had a higher risk of disease progression across all eGFR stages than white participants.

CONCLUSIONS

The original eGFRcr equation systematically masked a subgroup of black PWH who are at high-risk of CKD progression. The new race-free eGFRcr equation unmasks these individuals and may allow for earlier detection and management of CKD.

Differential Associations of Cystatin C Versus Creatinine-Based Kidney Function With Risks of Cardiovascular Event and Mortality Among South Asian Individuals in the UK Biobank

Background South Asian individuals have increased cardiovascular disease and mortality risks. Reliance on creatinine- rather than cystatin C-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcys) may underestimate the cardiovascular disease risk associated with chronic kidney disease. Methods and Results Among 7738 South Asian UK BioBank participants without prevalent heart failure (HF) or atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, we investigated associations of 4 eGFRcys and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate categories (<45, 45-59, 60-89, and ≥90 mL/min per 1.73 m2) with risks of all-cause mortality, incident HF, and incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. The mean age was 53±8 years; 4085 (53%) were women. Compared with creatinine, cystatin C identified triple the number of participants with estimated glomerular filtration <45 (n=35 versus n=113) and 6 times the number with estimated glomerular filtration 45 to 59 (n=80 versus n=481). After multivariable adjustment, the eGFRcys 45 to 59 category was associated with higher risks of mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 2.38 [95% CI, 1.55-3.65]) and incident HF (sub-HR [sHR], 1.87 [95% CI, 1.09-3.22]) versus the eGFRcys ≥90 category; the creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate 45 to 59 category had no significant associations with outcomes. Of the 7623 participants with creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥60, 498 (6.5%) were reclassified into eGFRcys <60 categories. Participants who were reclassified as having eGFRcys <45 had higher risks of mortality (HR, 4.88 [95% CI, 2.56-9.31]), incident HF (sHR, 4.96 [95% CI, 2.21-11.16]), and incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (sHR, 2.29 [95% CI, 1.14-4.61]) versus those with eGFRcys ≥90; those reclassified as having eGFRcys 45 to 59 had double the mortality risk (HR, 2.25 [95% CI, 1.45-3.51]). Conclusions Among South Asian individuals, cystatin C identified a high-risk chronic kidney disease population that was not detected by creatinine and enhanced estimated glomerular filtration rate-based risk stratification for mortality, incident HF, and incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

Effect of Intensive Blood Pressure Control on Troponin and Natriuretic Peptide Levels: Findings From SPRINT

BACKGROUND

Given the important role of cardiac injury and neurohormonal activation in the pathways leading from hypertension to heart failure and strong associations observed between hypertension and its sequelae on hs-cTnT (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T) and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) levels, we hypothesized that intensive systolic blood pressure (SBP) lowering would decrease levels of hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP.

METHODS

hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP were measured at baseline and 1 year from stored specimens in SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial). Changes in biomarkers were evaluated continuously on the log scale and according to categories (≥50% increase, ≥50% decrease, or <50% change). The effect of intensive SBP lowering on continuous and categorical changes in biomarker levels were assessed using linear and multinomial logistic regression models, respectively. The association between changes in biomarkers on heart failure and death was assessed using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Randomization to intensive SBP lowering (versus standard SBP management) resulted in a 3% increase in hs-cTnT levels over 1-year follow-up (geometric mean ratio, 1.03 [95% CI, 1.01-1.04]) and a higher proportion of participants with ≥50% increase (odds ratio, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.13, 1.90]). In contrast, randomization to intensive SBP lowering led to a 10% decrease in NT-proBNP (geometric mean ratio, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.87-0.93]) and a lower probability of ≥50% increase in NT-proBNP (odds ratio, 0.57 [95% CI, 0.46-0.72]). The association of randomized treatment assignment on change in hs-cTnT was completely attenuated after accounting for changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate over follow-up, whereas the association of treatment with NT-proBNP was completely attenuated after adjusting for change in SBP. Increases in hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP from baseline to 1 year were associated with higher risk for heart failure and death, with no significant interactions by treatment assignment.

CONCLUSIONS

Intensive SBP lowering increased hs-cTnT, mediated by the effect of SBP lowering on reduced kidney filtration. In contrast, intensive SBP lowering decreased NT-proBNP, a finding that was explained by the decrease in SBP. These findings highlight the importance of noncardiac factors influencing variation in cardiac biomarkers and raise questions about the potential role of hs-cTnT as a surrogate marker for heart failure or death in SBP-lowering studies.

Urinary Biomarkers of Tubular Health and Risk for Kidney Function Decline or Mortality in Diabetes

INTRODUCTION

Diabetes is a leading cause of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Biomarkers of tubular health may prognosticate chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression beyond estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR).

METHODS

We examined associations of five urinary biomarkers of tubular injury and repair (NGAL, KIM-1, IL-18, MCP-1, YKL-40) with kidney function decline (first occurrence of a decrease in eGFR ≥30 mL/min/1.73 m2 if randomization eGFR ≥60 or ≥50% if randomization eGFR <60; ESKD) and all-cause mortality among 1,135 VA NEPHRON-D trial participants with baseline UACR ≥300 mg/g and available urine samples. Covariates included age, sex, race, BMI, systolic BP, HbA1c, treatment arm, eGFR, and UACR. In a subset of participants with 12-month samples (n = 712), we evaluated associations of KIM-1, MCP-1, and YKL-40 change (from baseline to 12 months) with eGFR decline (from 12 months onward).

RESULTS

At baseline, mean age was 65 years, mean eGFR was 56 mL/min/1.73 m2, and median UACR was 840 mg/g. Over a median of 2.2 years, 13% experienced kidney function decline and 9% died. In fully adjusted models, the highest versus lowest quartiles of MCP-1 and YKL-40 were associated with 2.18- and 1.76-fold higher risks of kidney function decline, respectively. One-year changes in KIM-1, MCP-1, and YKL-40 were not associated with subsequent eGFR decline. Higher baseline levels of NGAL, IL-18, MCP-1, and YKL-40 levels (per 2-fold higher) were independently associated with 10-40% higher risk of mortality.

CONCLUSION

Among Veterans with diabetes and CKD, urinary biomarkers of tubular health were associated with kidney function decline and mortality.

Including measures of chronic kidney disease to improve cardiovascular risk prediction by SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP

AIMS

The 2021 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guideline on cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention categorizes moderate and severe chronic kidney disease (CKD) as high and very-high CVD risk status regardless of other factors like age and does not include estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria in its algorithms, systemic coronary risk estimation 2 (SCORE2) and systemic coronary risk estimation 2 in older persons (SCORE2-OP), to predict CVD risk. We developed and validated an 'Add-on' to incorporate CKD measures into these algorithms, using a validated approach.

METHODS

In 3,054 840 participants from 34 datasets, we developed three Add-ons [eGFR only, eGFR + urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) (the primary Add-on), and eGFR + dipstick proteinuria] for SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP. We validated C-statistics and net reclassification improvement (NRI), accounting for competing risk of non-CVD death, in 5,997 719 participants from 34 different datasets.

RESULTS

In the target population of SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP without diabetes, the CKD Add-on (eGFR only) and CKD Add-on (eGFR + ACR) improved C-statistic by 0.006 (95%CI 0.004-0.008) and 0.016 (0.010-0.023), respectively, for SCORE2 and 0.012 (0.009-0.015) and 0.024 (0.014-0.035), respectively, for SCORE2-OP. Similar results were seen when we included individuals with diabetes and tested the CKD Add-on (eGFR + dipstick). In 57 485 European participants with CKD, SCORE2 or SCORE2-OP with a CKD Add-on showed a significant NRI [e.g. 0.100 (0.062-0.138) for SCORE2] compared to the qualitative approach in the ESC guideline.

CONCLUSION

Our Add-ons with CKD measures improved CVD risk prediction beyond SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP. This approach will help clinicians and patients with CKD refine risk prediction and further personalize preventive therapies for CVD.

Testican-2 Is Associated with Reduced Risk of Incident ESKD

BACKGROUND

Testican-2 was recently identified as a podocyte-derived protein that is released into circulation by the kidneys and is positively correlated with eGFR and eGFR slope. However, whether higher testican-2 levels are associated with lower risk of ESKD is unknown.

METHODS

Aptamer-based proteomics assessed blood testican-2 levels among participants in the African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension (AASK, n =703), the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study ( n =3196), and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study ( n =4378). We compared baseline characteristics by testican-2 tertile and used Cox proportional hazards models to study the association of testican-2 with incident ESKD.

RESULTS

Higher testican-2 levels were associated with higher measured GFR (mGFR) in AASK, higher eGFR in the CRIC and ARIC studies, and lower albuminuria in all cohorts. Baseline testican-2 levels were significantly associated with incident ESKD in Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, and race (model 1) and model 1+mGFR or eGFR+comorbidities (model 2). In model 3 (model 2+proteinuria), the associations between testican-2 (per SD increase) and incident ESKD were AASK (hazard ratio [HR]=0.84 [0.72 to 0.98], P =0.023), CRIC (HR=0.95 [0.89 to 1.02], P =0.14), ARIC (HR=0.54 [0.36 to 0.83], P =0.0044), and meta-analysis (HR=0.92 [0.86 to 0.98], P =0.0073).

CONCLUSIONS

Across three cohorts spanning >8000 individuals, testican-2 is associated with kidney health and prognosis, with higher levels associated with reduced risk of ESKD.

Serum Creatinine-to-Cystatin-C Ratio as a Potential Muscle Mass Surrogate and Racial Differences in Mortality

OBJECTIVES

Serum creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate equations and muscle mass are powerful markers of health and mortality risk. However, the serum creatinine-to-cystatin-C ratio may be a better indicator of health status. The objective of this study was to describe the relationship between creatinine-to-cystatin-C ratio and all-cause mortality when stratifying patients as per race and as per chronic kidney disease status.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study examining black and nonblack US veterans between October 2004 and September 2019, with baseline cystatin C and creatinine data from those not on dialysis during the study period. Veterans were divided into four creatinine-to-cystatin-C ratio groups: <0.75, 0.75-<1.00, 1.0-<1.25, and ≥1.25. The primary outcome of interest was all-cause mortality subsequent to the cystatin C laboratory measure.

RESULTS

Among 22,316 US veterans, the mean (± standard deviation) age of the cohort was 67 ± 14 years, 5% were female, 82% were nonblack, and 18% were black. The proportion of black veterans increased across creatinine-to-cystatin-C ratio groups. In the fully adjusted model, compared with the reference (creatinine-to-cystatin-C ratio: 1.00-<1.25), a creatinine-to-cystatin-C ratio <0.75 had the highest mortality risk among both black and nonblack veterans (nonblack: hazard ratio [HR] [95% confidence interval {CI}]: 3.01 [2.78-3.26] and black: 4.17 [3.31-5.24]). A creatinine-to-cystatin-ratio ≥1.25 was associated with lower death risk than the referent in both groups (nonblack: HR [95% CI]: 0.89 [0.80-0.99] and black: HR [95% CI]: 0.55 [0.45-0.69]). However, there was a significant difference in the effect by race (Wald's P-value: <0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher creatinine-to-cystatin-C ratios indicate better health status and are strongly associated with lower mortality risk regardless of the kidney function level, and the relation was similar for both black and nonblack veterans, but with different strengths of effect across racial groups. Thereby, use of a fixed race coefficient in estimating kidney function may be biased.

Pre-operative kidney biomarkers and risks for death, cardiovascular and chronic kidney disease events after cardiac surgery: the TRIBE-AKI study

BACKGROUND

Soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor (sTNFR)1, sTNFR2, and plasma kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1) are associated with kidney events in patients with and without diabetes. However, their associations with clinical outcomes when obtained pre-operatively have not been explored.

METHODS

The TRIBE-AKI cohort study is a prospective, multicenter, cohort study of high-risk adults undergoing cardiac surgery. We assessed the associations between pre-operative concentrations of plasma sTNFR1, sTNFR2, and KIM-1 and post-operative long-term outcomes including mortality, cardiovascular events, and chronic kidney disease (CKD) incidence or progression after discharge.

RESULTS

Among 1378 participants included in the analysis with a median follow-up period of 6.7 (IQR 4.0-7.9) years, 434 (31%) patients died, 256 (19%) experienced cardiovascular events and out of 837 with available long-term kidney function data, 30% developed CKD. After adjustment for clinical covariates, each log increase in biomarker concentration was independently associated with mortality with 95% CI adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of 3.0 (2.3-4.0), 2.3 (1.8-2.9), and 2.0 (1.6-2.4) for sTNFR1, sTNFR2, and KIM-1, respectively. For cardiovascular events, the 95% CI aHRs were 2.1 (1.5-3.1), 1.9 (1.4-2.6) and 1.6 (1.2-2.1) for sTNFR1, sTNFR2 and KIM-1, respectively. For CKD events, the aHRs were 2.2 (1.5-3.1) for sTNFR1, 1.9 (1.3-2.7) for sTNFR2, and 1.7 (1.3-2.3) for KIM-1. Despite the associations, each of the biomarkers alone or in combination failed to result in robust discrimination on an absolute basis or compared to a clinical model.

CONCLUSION

sTNFR1, sTNFR2, and KIM-1 were independently associated with longitudinal outcomes after discharge from a cardiac surgery hospitalization including death, cardiovascular, and CKD events when obtained pre-operatively in high-risk individuals. Pre-operative plasma biomarkers could serve to assist during the evaluation of patients in whom cardiac surgery is planned.