Optimizing the aldosterone-to-renin ratio cut-off for screening primary aldosteronism based on cardiovascular risk: a collaborative study

OBJECTIVES

Aldosterone-to-renin ratio (ARR) based screening is the first step in the diagnosis of primary aldosteronism (PA). However, the guideline-recommended ARR cutoff covers a wide range, from the equivalent of 1.3 to 4.9 ng·dl-1/mIU∙l-1. We aimed to optimize the ARR cutoff for PA screening based on the risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD).

METHODS

Longitudinally, we included hypertensive participants from the Framingham Offspring Study (FOS) who attended the sixth examination cycle and followed up until 2014. At baseline (1995-1998), we used circulating concentrations of aldosterone and renin to calculate ARR (unit: ng·dl-1/mIU∙l-1) among 1,433 subjects who were free of CVD. We used spline regression to calculate the ARR threshold based on the incident CVD. We used cross-sectional data from the Chongqing Primary Aldosteronism Study (CONPASS) to explore whether the ARR cutoff selected from FOS is applicable to PA screening.

RESULTS

In FOS, CVD risk increased with an increasing ARR until a peak of ARR 1.0, followed by a plateau in CVD risk (hazard ratio 1.49, 95%CI 1.19-1.86). In CONPASS, when compared to essential hypertension with ARR < 1.0, PA with ARR ≥ 1.0 carried a higher CVD risk (odds ratio 2.24, 95%CI 1.41-3.55), while essential hypertension with ARR ≥ 1.0 had an unchanged CVD risk (1.02, 0.62-1.68). Setting ARR cutoff at 2.4 ~ 4.9, 10% ~30% of PA subjects would be unrecognized although they carried a 2.45 ~ 2.58-fold higher CVD risk than essential hypertension.

CONCLUSIONS

The CVD risk-based optimal ARR cutoff is 1.0 ng·dl-1/mIU∙l-1 for PA screening. The current guideline-recommended ARR cutoff may miss patients with PA and high CVD risk.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03224312).

Questionnaire for Medical Checkup of Old-Old is non-inferior to the Kihon Checklist in screening frailty among independent older adults aged 75 years and older: The Itabashi Longitudinal Study on Aging

AIM

The Questionnaire for Medical Checkup of Old-Old (QMCOO) is a 15-item dichotomous questionnaire developed for the early detection and intervention of frailty in a nationwide health checkup program targeting the old-old (i.e. aged ≥75 years). The Kihon Checklist (KCL) is a 25-item questionnaire widely used for screening and self-monitoring frailty status in administrative settings. With fewer items than the KCL, the QMCOO might expedite the frailty screening process. This study tested whether the QMCOO shows noninferiority in detecting frailty compared with the KCL.

METHODS

Overall, 645 participants aged ≥75 years in the Itabashi Longitudinal Study on Aging were assessed for their frailty status according to the revised Japanese version of the Cardiovascular Health Study criteria. They also completed the QMCOO and the KCL simultaneously. We compared the discriminative performance of the two questionnaires using non-inferiority testing with an operationally defined non-inferiority margin of 10% of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve computed from the KCL.

RESULTS

The prevalence of frailty was 8.8%. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the QMCOO in determining frailty was 0.76 (95% CI 0.70, 0.82), and the corresponding area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the KCL was 0.77 (95% CI 0.69, 0.84). The QMCOO was not inferior to the KCL for frailty discrimination (P for non-inferiority = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

The accuracy of the QMCOO for determining frailty was not inferior to that of the KCL. The QMCOO might be more acceptable and useful, as it can be applied in a shorter time with fewer questions than the KCL. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 176-181.

A 120-Minute Saline Infusion Test For The Confirmation Of Primary Aldosteronism: A Pilot Study

BACKGROUND

The saline infusion test (SIT) to confirm primary aldosteronism requires infusing two liters of normal saline over 240 minutes. Previous studies raised concerns regarding increased blood pressure and worsening hypokalemia during SIT. We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic applicability of a SIT that requires one liter of saline infusion over 120 minutes.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study, including all patients in a large medical center who underwent SIT from January 1st, 2015, to April 30th, 2023. Blood samples were drawn for baseline renin and aldosterone (t=0) after two hours (t=120 min) and after four hours (t=240 min) of saline infusion. We used ROC analysis to evaluate the sensitivity and specificity of various aldosterone cutoff values at t=120 to confirm primary aldosteronism.

RESULTS

The final analysis included 62 patients. A ROC analysis yielded 97% specificity and 90% sensitivity for a plasma aldosterone concentration of 397 pmol/L (14 ng/dL) at t=120 to confirm primary aldosteronism, and an area under the curve of 0.97 (95% CI [0.93, 1.00], P < 0.001). Almost half (44%) of the patients did not suppress PAC below 397 pmol/L (14 ng/dL) at t=120. Of them, only one (4%) patient suppressed PAC below 276 pmol/L (10 ng/dL) at t=240. Mean systolic blood pressure increased from 140.1±21.3 mm/Hg at t=0 to 147.6±14.5 mm/Hg at t=240 (p=0.011).

CONCLUSIONS

A PAC of 397 pmol/l (14 ng/dL) at t=120 has high sensitivity and specificity for primary aldosteronism confirmation.

Cutoff estimation and construction of their confidence intervals for continuous biomarkers under ternary umbrella and tree stochastic ordering settings

Tuberculosis (TB) studies often involve four different states under consideration, namely, "healthy," "latent infection," "pulmonary active disease," and "extra-pulmonary active disease." While highly accurate clinical diagnosis tests do exist, they are expensive and generally not accessible in regions where they are most needed; thus, there is an interest in assessing the accuracy of new and easily obtainable biomarkers. For some such biomarkers, the typical stochastic ordering assumption might not be justified for all disease classes under study, and usual ROC methodologies that involve ROC surfaces and hypersurfaces are inadequate. Different types of orderings may be appropriate depending on the setting, and these may involve a number of ambiguously ordered groups that stochastically exhibit larger (or lower) marker scores than the remaining groups. Recently, there has been scientific interest on ROC methods that can accommodate these so-called "tree" or "umbrella" orderings. However, there is limited work discussing the estimation of cutoffs in such settings. In this article, we discuss the estimation and inference around optimized cutoffs when accounting for such configurations. We explore different cutoff alternatives and provide parametric, flexible parametric, and non-parametric kernel-based approaches for estimation and inference. We evaluate our approaches using simulations and illustrate them through a real data set that involves TB patients.

Associating Liver Enzymes and Their Interactions with Metabolic Syndrome Prevalence in a Japanese Working Population

Background: Serum gamma-glutamyltransferase (γ-GT), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels often increase in metabolic diseases. Objective: This study was conducted to determine which liver enzymes are strongly associated with metabolic syndrome (MetS), how they interact to produce different probability estimates, and what cutoff levels should be used to guide clinical decision-making. Methods: The researchers examined the insurance-based medical checkup data of 293,610 employees ≥35 years years of age, who underwent medical checkups between April 1, 2016, and March 31, 2017. Liver enzyme levels were grouped into quartiles. The association and interaction of liver enzymes with MetS were examined using logistic regression, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were used to determine the optimal cutoff values for each liver enzyme in detecting the prevalence of MetS. Results: High levels of γ-GT and ALT were more strongly associated with MetS than AST. At various levels, the tested liver enzymes were found interactive, and associated with the likelihood of MetS prevalence. ROC analysis underscored the significance of all liver enzymes in predicting the development of MetS. The cutoff values for each liver enzyme were determined. Conclusion: This findings of this study directly support the identification of MetS risks within the population, prioritize prevention strategies, and potentially inform policy formulation.

Diagnostic value of anti-Müllerian hormone combined with androgen-levels in Chinese patients with polycystic ovary syndrome

OBJECTIVE

To establish a cutoff level of AMH which could help for the diagnosis of PCOS, to investigate the predictive value of AMH combined with androgens in Chinese women to diagnose PCOS.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a prospective case control study, 550 women recruited (aged 20-40 years), in which 450 PCOS women recruited according to the Rotterdam criteria and 100 non-PCOS women in the control group were from the women for the pregnancy preparation examination. AMH were measured by the Elecsys AMH Plus immunoassay. Androgens and other sex hormone were measured. The validity of AMH toward the diagnosis of PCOS, or AMH combined with total testosterone, free testosterone, bioavailable testosterone and androstenedione was estimated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC)curves, and correlations between paired variables was estimated by Spearman's rank correlation coefficient.

RESULTS

The cutoff value of AMH in Chinese reproductive-age women with PCOS is 4.64 ng/mL, AUC under the curve is 0.938, with 81.6% sensitivity, and 92.0% specificity. Total testosterone, free testosterone, bioactive testosterone, and androstenedione are significantly higher in women with PCOS of reproductive age than in controls. The combination of AMH and free testosterone resulted in a higher AUC of 94.8%, with higher sensitivity (86.1%) and excellent specificity (90.3%) for the prediction of PCOS.

CONCLUSION

The Elecsys AMH Plus immunoassay, with a cutoff of 4.64 ng/mL, is a robust method for identifying PCOM to aid in PCOS diagnosis. The combination of AMH and free testosterone resulted in a higher AUC of 94.8% for the diagnose of PCOS.

Which cutoff value of the Montreal Cognitive Assessment should be used for post-stroke cognitive impairment? A systematic review and meta-analysis on diagnostic test accuracy

BACKGROUND

Post-stroke cognitive impairment (PSCI) is one of the serious complications of stroke. The Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA), as a brief cognitive impairment screening tool, is widely used in stroke survivors. However, some studies have suggested that the use of the universal cutoff value of 26 may be inappropriate for detecting cognitive impairments in stroke settings.

AIM

We conducted this study to identify the optimal cutoff value of the MoCA in screening for PSCI.

METHODS

PubMed, CINAHL, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and Web of Science were searched for eligible studies until March 23, 2023. All studies were screened by two independent researchers. The quality of each article was evaluated by the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool. A bivariate mixed-effects model was used to pool sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, negative likelihood ratio, diagnostic odds ratio, and the summary receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULTS

Twenty-four studies with a total of 4231 patients were included in this review. Despite the lack of evidence of publication bias, a high degree of heterogeneity was observed. A meta-analysis revealed that a cutoff value of 21/22 yielded the best diagnostic accuracy. The optimal cutoff varied in different regions, stroke types, and stroke phases as well.

CONCLUSION

The optimal cutoff of MoCA was 21/22 for stroke populations rather than the initially recommended cutoff of 26. A revised (lower) cutoff should be considered for stroke survivors.

Optimizing the Assessment of Parental Burnout: A Multi-informant and Multimethod Approach to Determine Cutoffs for the Parental Burnout Inventory and the Parental Burnout Assessment

Parental burnout (PB) is a chronic stress-related condition resulting from long-lasting exposure to overwhelming parenting stress. Previous studies showing the seriousness of this condition stressed the urgent need to provide researchers and practitioners with effective assessment tools. Validated PB measures are the Parental Burnout Inventory (PBI) and the Parental Burnout Assessment (PBA). The good psychometric properties of these instruments have been replicated across different samples and countries, but thresholds for identifying impairing PB levels (i.e., cutoff scores) have not yet been established. The present study aims to fill this gap by adopting a multi-informant and multimethod approach to a sample of 192 burned-out and control parents. PBI and PBA cutoffs were derived from the combination of several PB indicators, based on a preregistered analysis strategy. Results identified a score of 74.6 (95% confidence interval (CI) = [69.48-79.68]) for the PBI and 86.3 (95% CI = [79.49-93.03]) for the PBA as indicators of the most severe PB levels.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of galactomannan antigen testing in serum and bronchoalveolar lavage for the diagnosis of chronic pulmonary aspergillosis: defining a cutoff

BACKGROUND

A clear cutoff value of galactomannan (GM) has not been established for chronic pulmonary aspergillosis (CPA) and is frequently extrapolated from invasive pulmonary aspergillosis. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the diagnostic performance of serum and bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) GM, and to propose a cutoff.

METHODS

We extracted from the studies the cutoff of serum or/and BAL GM associated with true positives, false positives, true negatives, and false negatives. We performed a multi-cutoff model and a non-parametric random effect model. We estimated the optimal cutoff and the area under the curve (AUC) for GM in serum and BAL samples.

RESULTS

Nine studies from 1999 to 2021 were included. Overall, the optimal cutoff of serum GM was 0.96 with a sensitivity of 0.29 (95%CI: 0.14-0.51); specificity of 0.88 (95%CI: 0.73-0.95); and AUC of 0.529 (with a CI: [0.415-0.682] [0.307-0.713]). The AUC for the non-parametric ROC model was 0.631. For BAL GM the cutoff was 0.67 with a sensitivity of 0.68 (95%CI: 0.51-0.82), specificity of 0.84 (95%CI: 0.70-0.92), and AUC of 0.814 (with a CI: [0.696-0.895] [0.733-0.881]). The AUC for the non-parametric model was 0.789.

CONCLUSION

The diagnosis of CPA requires the assessment of a combination of mycological and serological factors, as no single serum and/or BAL GM antigen test is adequate. BAL GM performed better than serum, with better sensitivity and excellent accuracy.

Establishing a Cutoff Serum Thyroglobulin Value for the Diagnosis and Management of Well-Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Objective  The aim of this study was to define a cutoff serum thyroglobulin (Tg) level associated with either residual or metastasis that may help decide postoperative radioactive iodine (RAI) scan and treatment in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients residing in low-income countries like Nepal. Methods  We prospectively studied a total of 81 patients (female-to-male ratio of 3.0:1; mean age: 37.3 ± 14.0 years, within age range of 14-88 years) who underwent total thyroidectomy with/without neck dissection and were referred for RAI whole-body scan (WBS) ± RAI ablation or adjuvant treatment in the department of Nuclear Medicine, Chitwan Medical College. We calculated the cutoff value of Tg using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results  Forty-six of 81 patients (56.7%) had remnants in the thyroid bed, 26/81 (32.1%) had regional lymph node metastasis, 9/81 (11.1%) had distant lymph node metastasis, 3/81 (3.7%) had lung metastases, and only 1/81 (1.2%) had bone metastases. RAI WBS was positive in 61/81 (75.3%) patients and negative in 20/81 (24.7%) patients. Seventeen of 81 (20.9%) patients had negative RAI scans with low serum Tg levels; only 3/81 (3.7%) patients had Tg elevated negative RAI scan (TENIS). Although scan was positive in 61/81 (75.3%) patients, 64/81 (79.0%) patients received treatment with RAI, of which 3/81 (3.7%) patients were TENIS patients. There was a significant difference in serum Tg levels between patients who received or did not receive RAI ablation or treatment ( p  < 0.05). On ROC curve analysis, the cutoff value of Tg levels between patients who received and did not receive treatment was 2.9 ng/mL (sensitivity: 85.9%; specificity: 94.1%; positive predictive value [PPV], 98.2%; negative predictive value [NPV]: 64.0%; AUC: 0.938). Conclusion  We identified a cutoff value of 2.9 ng/mL between patients who required or did not require treatment with high sensitivity, specificity, and PPVs.

Body Mass Index (BMI) Cutoffs and Racial, Ethnic, Sex, or Age Disparities in Patients Treated With Total Ankle Arthroplasty

Background

The rising prevalence of obesity among American adults has disproportionately affected Black adults and women. Furthermore, body mass index (BMI) has historically been used as a relative contraindication to many total joint arthroplasty (TJA) procedures, including total ankle arthroplasty. The purpose of this study was to investigate potential disparities in patient eligibility for total ankle arthroplasty based on race, ethnicity, sex, and age by applying commonly used BMI cutoffs to the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database.

Methods

Patients in the ACS-NSQIP database who underwent TAA from 2011 to 2020 were retrospectively reviewed in a cross-sectional analysis. BMI cutoffs of <50, <45, <40, and <35 were then applied. The eligibility rate for TAA was examined for each BMI cutoff, and findings were stratified by race, ethnicity, sex, and age. Independent t tests, chi-squared tests, and Fisher exact tests were performed to compare differences at an α = 0.05.

Results

A total of 1215 of 1865 TAA patients (65.1%) were included after applying the exclusion criteria. Black patients had disproportionately lower rates of eligibility at the most stringent BMI cutoff of <35 (P = .004). Hispanic patients had generally lower rates of eligibility across all BMI cutoffs. In contrast, Asian American and Pacific Islander patients had higher rates of eligibility at the BMI cutoffs of <35 (P = .033) and <40 (P = .039), and White non-Hispanic patients had higher rates of eligibility across all BMI cutoffs. Females had lower eligibility rates across all BMI cutoffs. Ineligible patients were also younger compared to eligible patients across all BMI cutoffs.

Conclusion

Stringent BMI cutoffs may disproportionately disqualify Black, female, and younger patients from receiving total ankle arthroplasty.

Level of Evidence

Level III, retrospective cross-sectional study.

Location-Specific Hematoma Volume Cutoff and Clinical Outcomes in Intracerebral Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Major intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) trials have largely been unable to demonstrate therapeutic benefit in improving functional outcomes. This may be partly due to the heterogeneity of ICH outcomes based on their location, where a small strategic ICH could be debilitating, thus confounding therapeutic effects. We aimed to determine the ideal hematoma volume cutoff for different ICH locations in predicting ICH outcomes.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed consecutive ICH patients enrolled in the University of Hong Kong prospective stroke registry from January 2011 to December 2018. Patients with premorbid modified Rankin Scale score >2 or who underwent neurosurgical intervention were excluded. ICH volume cutoff, sensitivity, and specificity in predicting respective 6-month neurological outcomes (good [modified Rankin Scale score 0-2], poor [modified Rankin Scale score 4-6], and mortality) for specific ICH locations were determined using receiver operating characteristic curves. Separate multivariate logistic regression models were also conducted for each location-specific volume cutoff to determine whether these cutoffs were independently associated with respective outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 533 ICHs, the volume cutoff for good outcome according to ICH location was 40.5 mL for lobar, 32.5 mL for putamen/external capsule, 5.5 mL for internal capsule/globus pallidus, 6.5 mL for thalamus, 17 mL for cerebellum, and 3 mL for brainstem. ICH smaller than the cutoff for all supratentorial sites had higher odds of good outcomes (all P<0.05). Volumes exceeding 48 mL for lobar, 41 mL for putamen/external capsule, 6 mL for internal capsule/globus pallidus, 9.5 mL for thalamus, 22 mL for cerebellum, and 7.5 mL for brainstem were at greater risk of poor outcomes (all P<0.05). Mortality risks were significantly higher for volumes that exceeded 89.5 mL for lobar, 42 mL for putamen/external capsule, and 21 mL for internal capsule/globus pallidus (all P<0.001). All receiver operating characteristic models for location-specific cutoffs had good discriminant values (area under the curve >0.8), except in predicting good outcome for cerebellum.

CONCLUSIONS

ICH outcomes differed with location-specific hematoma size. Location-specific volume cutoff should be considered in patient selection for ICH trials.

Novel proposed cutoff values for anatabine and anabasine in differentiating smokers from non-smokers

OBJECTIVES

Anatabine and anabasine are two tobacco alkaloids used to differentiate between tobacco users and abstainers, including users of nicotine replacement therapy. Cutoff values (>2 ng/mL for both alkaloids) have not been revised since their implementation in 2002. These values may be too high, leading to increased likelihood of misclassification between smokers and abstainers. This results in major consequences, especially adverse outcomes of transplantation when smokers were incorrectly identified as being abstinent. This study proposes that a lower threshold for anatabine and anabasine will better distinguish tobacco users from non-users and thereby improve patients' care.

DESIGN AND METHODS

A new and more sensitive analytical method by liquid chromatography-mass detection was developed to allow the quantification of low concentrations. Anatabine and anabasine were measured in urine samples of 116 self-reported daily smokers and 47 long-term non-smokers (confirmed by the analysis of nicotine and its metabolites). The best compromise between sensitivity and specificity allowed us to determine new cutoff values.

RESULTS

The thresholds >0.097 ng/mL for anatabine and >0.236 ng/mL for anabasine were associated with a sensitivity of 97% (anatabine) and 89% (anabasine) and a specificity of 98% for both alkaloids. These cutoff values greatly increased the sensitivity given that it dropped to 75% (anatabine) and 47% (anabasine) when using the reference value (>2 ng/mL).

CONCLUSIONS

The cutoff values >0.097 ng/mL for anatabine and >0.236 ng/mL for anabasine appear to better differentiate tobacco users from abstainers than the current reference threshold (>2 ng/mL for both alkaloids). It may considerably impact patients' care, especially in transplantation settings in which smoking abstinence is essential to avoid adverse outcomes of transplantation.

TP53-altered acute myeloid leukemia and myelodysplastic syndrome with excess blasts should be approached as a single entity

TP53-altered myelodysplastic syndrome with excess blasts and TP53-altered acute myeloid leukemia should be considered under one unifying classification term for their study in clinical trials. Ultimately, such a unification would simplify the screening processes for clinical trials and allow a focus on treating the patient for a genetically defined disorder rather than one based on an arbitrary blast threshold.

PEth 16:0/18:1 and 16:0/18:2 after consumption of low doses of alcohol-A contribution to cutoff discussion

Phosphatidylethanol in blood has gained recognition as a direct alcohol biomarker. Although different cutoffs have been suggested, there is no consensus for differentiating abstinence from alcohol consumption. In this study, 75 participants (72% female) consumed 20 g of ethanol on three consecutive evenings. Blood was sampled on each following day and PEth 16:0/18:1 and 16:0/18:2 were determined. PEth 16:0/18:1 ranged from 8.9-21.5, 8.7-19.3, and 8.8-42.3 ng/ml and PEth 16:0/18:2 from 8.7-31.7, 9.0-39.3, and 9.4-43.0 ng/ml after the respective days of ethanol consumption. PEth 16:0/18:1 yielded a sensitivity of 25%, 45%, and 49% and PEth 16:0/18:2 of 40%, 61%, and 68% for the consumption days, respectively (cutoff 10 ng/ml). PEth 16:0/18:1 reached >20 ng/ml in five samples overall. Sensitivity of PEth 16:0/18:2 > 20 ng/ml was better with 35% after the three drinking days. Overall, PEth 16:0/18:1 was >35 ng/ml in one sample and PEth 16:0/18:2 in three samples. Significantly, more women had PEth 16:0/18:1 > 10 ng/ml after the third day of consuming 20 g of alcohol (p = 0.02) and PEth 16:0/18:2 > 10 ng/ml after the second (p = 0.023) and the third (p = 0.002) consumption, which can be led back to the higher blood alcohol concentration women reach after consuming the same alcohol amount as men. Although the response rates of PEth to alcohol uptake are subject to strong interindividual differences, results suggest that PEth cutoff should be lowered for better detection of consumption of low to medium amounts of alcohol. Furthermore, it is advantageous to analyze both PEth 16:0/18:2 and 16:0/18:1.

Risk of endometrial cancer in asymptomatic postmenopausal women in relation to ultrasonographic endometrial thickness: systematic review and diagnostic test accuracy meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the risk of endometrial carcinoma and atypical endometrial hyperplasia in asymptomatic postmenopausal women concerning the endometrial thickness measured by stratified threshold categories used for performing subsequent endometrial sampling and histologic evaluation.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, Scopus, ClinicalTrials.gov, SciELO, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, LILACS, conference proceedings, and international controlled trials registries were searched without temporal, geographic, or language restrictions.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Studies were selected if they had a crossover design evaluating the risk of atypical endometrial hyperplasia and endometrial carcinoma in postmenopausal asymptomatic women and calculated the diagnostic accuracy of transvaginal ultrasonography thresholds (at least 3.0 mm) confirmed by histopathologic diagnosis.

METHODS

This was a systematic review and diagnostic test accuracy meta-analysis according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses of Diagnostic Test Accuracy and Synthesizing Evidence from Diagnostic Accuracy Tests guidelines. Endometrial thickness thresholds were grouped as follows: from 3.0 to 5.9 mm; between 6.0 and 9.9 mm; between 10.0 and 13.9 mm; and ≥14.0 mm. Quality assessment was performed using the Quality Assessment Tool for Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 tool. Publication bias was quantified using the Deek funnel plot test. Coprimary outcomes were the risk of atypical endometrial hyperplasia or endometrial carcinoma according to the endometrial thickness and diagnostic accuracy of each threshold group.

RESULTS

A total of 18 studies provided the data of 10,334 women who were all included in the final analysis. Overall, at an endometrial thickness threshold of at least 3.0 mm, the risk of atypical endometrial hyperplasia or endometrial carcinoma was increased 3-fold relative to women below the cutoff (relative risk, 3.77; 95% confidence interval, 2.26-6.32; I2=74%). Similar degrees of risk were reported for thresholds between 3.0 and 5.9 mm (relative risk, 5.08; 95% confidence interval, 2.26-11.41; I2=0%), 6.0 and 9.9 mm (relative risk, 4.34; 95% confidence interval, 1.68-11.23; I2=0%), 10.0 and 13.9 mm (relative risk, 4.11; 95% confidence interval, 1.55-10.87; I2=86%), and ≥14.0 mm (relative risk, 2.53; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-6.16; I2=78%) with no significant difference among subgroups (P=.885). Regarding diagnostic accuracy, the pooled sensitivity decreased from thresholds below 5.9 mm (relative risk, 0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.49-0.85) to above 14.0 mm (relative risk, 0.28; 95% confidence interval, 0.18-0.40). Furthermore, the specificity increased from 0.70 (95% confidence interval, 0.61-0.78) for endometrial thickness between 3.0 and 5.9 mm to 0.86 (95% confidence interval, 0.71-0.94) when the endometrial thickness is ≥14.0 mm. For 3.0 to 5.9 mm and 10.0 to 13.9 mm thresholds, the highest diagnostic odds ratios of 10 (95% confidence interval, 3-41) and 11 (95% confidence interval, 2-49), with areas under the curve of 0.81 (95% confidence interval, 0.77-0.84) and 0.82 (95% confidence interval, 0.79-0.86), respectively, were retrieved. The summary point analysis revealed that the 3.0 to 5.9 mm cutoff point was placed higher in the summary receiver operator curve space than the other subgroups, indicating increased endometrial carcinoma or atypical endometrial hyperplasia diagnosis using these cutoffs.

CONCLUSION

Both low and high endometrial thickness thresholds in postmenopausal asymptomatic women seem equally effective in detecting endometrial carcinoma and atypical endometrial hyperplasia. However, although using a 3.0 to 5.9 mm cutoff results in a lower specificity, the offsetting improvement in sensitivity may justify using this cutoff for further endometrial evaluation in patients with suspected endometrial malignancy.

The urgency in proposing the optimal obesity cutoff value in Indonesian population: A narrative review

In developing nations such as Indonesia, obesity and central obesity have emerged as major public health issues. Many studies have revealed that morbidity and death from obesity-related diseases are already significant in some "Asian" communities at low body mass index (BMI) levels. A recent study showed that the obesity prevalence in Indonesia is underestimated when using the current BMI cutoff (obese ≥ 27.0). Indonesia faced an increase in obesity-related chronic diseases despite having a lower obesity prevalence than developed countries, which may be explained by the underestimation of obesity levels in Indonesia. This creates a huge global health problem, as well as an economic burden. Another recent study on the Indonesian population depicted the new proposed cutoff of waist circumference (WC), which is lower than the World Health Organization (WHO) standard for detecting the early detection of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), one of the comorbidities and a strong correlation with obesity. An analysis of 58 studies in 2021 that included Indonesian adult subjects revealed enormous differences and ambiguities in defining obesity cutoffs values among Indonesian researchers. Additionally, we advocate adding the Edmonton Obesity Staging System (EOSS) staging to the anthropometric classification for a better clinical evaluation of obesity. Considering the urgency of obesity determination in Indonesia for clinical application and study purposes, this review highlights the need to revise the optimal cutoff value for obesity to warrant early prevention and control of diabetes complications.

Handgrip Strength Cutoff Value Among Korean Adolescents with Metabolic Syndrome Components: Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Data 2014-2017

Abstract Objectives: To propose the cutoff value of handgrip strength (HGS) for each metabolic syndrome component in Korean adolescents. Methods: Total of 2303 adolescents (1226 boys and 1077 girls; age 10-18 years) who participated in the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 2014 to 2017. We used the International Diabetes Federation metabolic syndrome guideline for children to define metabolic syndrome. The highest HGS for both hands were recorded. The optimal HGS cutoff for predicting metabolic syndrome components was determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Results: Adolescents with metabolic syndrome components defined by each criterion had higher HGS, systolic blood pressure, waist circumference, body mass index, fasting glucose, cholesterol, triglyceride (TG), alanine aminotransferase, and aspartate aminotransferase compared with average participants' data. The cutoff value of HGS defining waist circumference, TG level, high-density lipoprotein, and blood pressure was 24, 21.5, 30.9, and 30.2, respectively. The cutoff value of HGS defining metabolic syndrome was 28.9. For HGS to body weight ratio, the cutoff value defining metabolic syndrome was 0.38. Conclusions: This study showed that cutoff values of HGS have relation with metabolic syndrome in adolescents. Although cutoff has been suggested, it may not be sufficient for clinical use. Additional data are need to be accumulated in actual clinical trials for more accurate cutoff HGS value.

Validation of the Ten-Item Internet Gaming Disorder Test (IGDT-10) based on the clinical diagnosis of IGD in Japan

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Although the Ten-Item Internet Gaming Disorder Test (IGDT-10) has been translated into Japanese and widely used, the Japanese version has not previously been validated. We used the clinical diagnosis of IGD as a gold standard for validating the test.

METHODS

The Japanese version was validated using 244 gamers drawn from the general young population in Japan. Expert interviews using the Japanese version of the Structured Clinical Interview for Internet Gaming Disorder evaluated diagnoses of Internet gaming disorder (IGD). This resulted in a diagnosis of IGD for eight individuals, categorized as the gold standard group. The screening performance of the two Japanese versions with different scoring conditions was examined: the scoring method proposed by the original study (original version) and a less stringent scoring method where responses of either "often" or "sometimes" were regarded as affirmative (modified version).

RESULTS

The results of the sensitivity and specificity analyses, the Cronbach's alpha and the receiver operating characteristics analysis revealed a higher screening performance for the modified versus the original version. The optimum cutoff for the modified version was 5 or more - the sensitivity, specificity, and Youden's index were 87.5, 85.2, and 72.7%, respectively. The rate of probable IGD using the original and modified versions were 1.8% and 11.3%, respectively.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

A less stringent scoring method for the Japanese version of IGDT-10 showed a higher screening performance than the original scoring method. Future studies comprising different ethnic groups and gaming cultures should further examine the suggested scoring method.

Screening Accuracy of the 50 g-Glucose Challenge Test in Twin Compared With Singleton Pregnancies

CONTEXT

The optimal 50 g-glucose challenge test (GCT) cutoff for the diagnosis of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in twin pregnancies is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

This work aimed to explore the screening accuracy of the 50 g-GCT and its correlation with the risk of large for gestational age (LGA) newborn in twin compared to singleton pregnancies. A population-based retrospective cohort study (2007-2017) was conducted in Ontario, Canada. Participants included patients with a singleton (n = 546 892 [98.4%]) or twin (n = 8832 [1.6%]) birth who underwent screening for GDM using the 50 g-GCT.

METHODS

We compared the screening accuracy, risk of GDM, and risk of LGA between twin and singleton pregnancies using various 50 g-GCT cutoffs.

RESULTS

For any given 50 g-GCT result, the probability of GDM was higher (P = .0.007), whereas the probability of LGA was considerably lower in the twin compared with the singleton group, even when a twin-specific growth chart was used to diagnose LGA in the twin group (P < .001). The estimated false-positive rate (FPR) for GDM was higher in twin compared with singleton pregnancies irrespective of the 50 g-GCT cutoff used. The cutoff of 8.2 mmol/L (148 mg/dL) in twin pregnancies was associated with an estimated FPR (10.7%-11.1%) that was similar to the FPR associated with the cutoff of 7.8 mmol/L (140 mg/dL) in singleton pregnancies (10.8%).

CONCLUSION

The screening performance of the 50 g-GCT for GDM and its correlation with LGA differ between twin and singleton pregnancies.

Radiographic Cutoff Values for Predicting Lateral Bony Impingement in Progressive Collapsing Foot Deformity

BACKGROUND

Lateral bony impingement is a major cause of lateral foot pain in progressive collapsing foot deformity (PCFD). Weightbearing computed tomography (WBCT) provides better sensitivity than standard radiographs for detecting impingement. However, many orthopaedic centers have not yet acquired WBCT imaging. This study aimed to (1) investigate the correlation of common radiographic parameters measured on standard weightbearing radiographs with talocalcaneal and calcaneofibular distance assessed with WBCT and (2) establish radiographic cutoff values to detect bony impingement as identified on WBCT.

METHODS

Ninety-one patients treated for PCFD with standard preoperative radiographs and WBCT were identified. Patients with asymmetric ankle arthritis (talar tilt >2 degrees) were excluded. The talocalcaneal distance at the sinus tarsi and calcaneofibular distance were measured in multiplanar reconstructed WBCT images. Impingement was defined as direct abutment between bones. The relationships between WBCT measurements and 4 common parameters (talonavicular coverage angle [TNC], talo-first metatarsal angle, calcaneal pitch, and hindfoot moment arm [HMA]) in standard radiographs were assessed with Pearson correlations. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis evaluated the ability of radiographic cutoffs to detect sinus tarsi or calcaneofibular bony impingement, and the area under curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, negative and positive predictive value (PPV) were calculated.

RESULTS

Talocalcaneal distance narrowing at the sinus tarsi strongly correlated with TNC (r = 0.64, P < .001), and the calcaneofibular distance narrowing correlated with the HMA moderately yet best among the parameters (r = 0.55, P < .001). TNC (AUC = 0.837, 95% CI 0.745-0.906) and HMA (AUC=0.959, 95% CI 0.895-0.989) provided the best predictive ability for sinus tarsi and calcaneofibular bony impingement, respectively. A TNC threshold of 41.2 degrees had a 100% PPV for predicting sinus tarsi impingement, whereas an HMA threshold of 38.1 mm had a 100% PPV for calcaneofibular impingement.

CONCLUSION

This study provides evidence that TNC and HMA measurements made on standing radiographs could be used to indicate potential lateral bony impingement in PCFD. Narrowing of talocalcaneal distance best correlated with abduction deformity of the foot, and the narrowing of calcaneofibular distance was best correlated with valgus hindfoot deformity.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III, case control study.

The association between the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and in-hospital mortality among sepsis patients: A prospective study

The Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was shown to be associated with disease severity, poor prognosis and increased mortality in sepsis. However, the association between NLR and sepsis prognosis remains controversial. Our study aims to prospectively examine the prognostic ability of NLR in predicting in-hospital mortality among sepsis patients and determine the optimal cutoff of NLR that can most accurately predict in-hospital mortality in sepsis patients. This study was a prospective cohort study that included adult sepsis patients that presented to the emergency department of a tertiary care center between September 2018 and February 2021. Receiver operating characteristic curve was used to determine the optimal cutoff of the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio that predicts in-hospital mortality. Patients were divided into 2 groups: above and below the optimal cutoff. Stepwise logistic regression was performed to assess the magnitude of the association between NLR and in-hospital mortality. A total of 865 patients were included in the study. The optimal cutoff for the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio that predicts in-hospital mortality was found to be 14.20 with a sensitivity of 44.8% and a specificity of 65.3% (with PPV = 0.27 and NPV = 0.80). The area under the curve for the ratio was 0.552 with a 95% confidence intervals = [0.504-0.599] with a P value = .03. Patients that have a NLR above the cutoff were less likely to survive with time compared to patients below the cutoff based on the Kaplan-Meier curves. In the stepwise logistic regression, the optimal neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio cutoff was not associated with in-hospital mortality (odds ratios = 1.451, 95% confidence intervals = [0.927-2.270], P = .103). In conclusion the optimal cutoff of the NLR that predicts in-hospital mortality among sepsis patients was 14.20. There was no association between the NLR and in-hospital mortality in sepsis patients after adjusting for confounders. Further studies with a larger sample size should be done to determine the optimal NLR cutoff and its prognostic role in septic patients (in-hospital mortality and other clinically significant outcomes).

Lipid cutoffs for increased cardiovascular disease risk in nondiabetic young people

AIMS

The relevance of blood lipid abnormalities to cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in young populations is unclear. Here, we aimed to identify the cutoff levels of lipid parameters for increased risk of CVD among nondiabetic young adults aged 20-39 years.

METHODS

Using data from a nationally representative Korean National Health Insurance System database, we followed up 6,204,153 subjects who underwent health examinations between 2009 and 2012 until the end of 2018. The primary outcome was incident CVD, defined as a composite of myocardial infarction and stroke. We assessed the associations between pre-specified lipid levels and CVD risk. Subgroup analysis of the number of cardiovascular risk factors (obesity, hypertension, and current smoking) was also conducted.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 7.7 years, there were 14,569 (0.23%) cases of myocardial infarction, 9,459 (0.15%) cases of stroke, and 23,680 (0.38%) cases of composite CVD. Using total cholesterol (TC) level of <140 mg/dL, triglyceride (TG) level of <60 mg/dL, LDL-cholesterol level of <100 mg/dL, and non-HDL-cholesterol level of <130 mg/dL as reference groups, a significantly higher risk of CVD was observed in subjects with a TC level of ≥200 mg/dL, TG level of ≥60 mg/dL, LDL-cholesterol level of ≥130 mg/dL, or non-HDL-cholesterol level of ≥140 mg/dL. The cutoff levels of TC that had statistical significance for increased risk of CVD were 240, 220, and 200 mg/dL in subjects with 0, 1, or 2-3 risk factors, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Even modest increases in lipid levels were associated with increased risk of CVD in this nondiabetic young population. Our data provide potential criteria for stratifying CVD risk based on real-world evidence.

Comparison Between the Japanese Orthopaedic Association (JOA) Score and Patient-Reported JOA (PRO-JOA) Score to Evaluate Surgical Outcomes of Degenerative Cervical Myelopathy

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether the Japanese Orthopaedic Association (JOA) score can be used for patients with degenerative cervical myelopathy as a patient-reported outcome (PRO) through the JOA written questionnaire.

METHODS

A total of 75 patients who underwent posterior decompression surgery for degenerative cervical myelopathy were reviewed. Patients responded to questionnaires including PRO-JOA, EuroQOL-5D, Neck Disability Index, and Short Form-12 preoperatively and at >12 months postoperatively. Spearman's rho and Bland-Altman analyses were used to investigate the correlations.

RESULTS

Preoperative JOA and PRO-JOA scores were 10.8 and 10.6, respectively, with Spearman's rho of 0.74. Similarly, postoperative JOA and PRO-JOA scores were 13.3 and 12.9, respectively, with Spearman's rho of 0.68. However, the recovery rates for JOA and PRO-JOA scores were 42% and 27%, respectively, with Spearman's rho of 0.45. Compared with other PROs, JOA and PRO-JOA scores were moderately correlated. The minimum clinically important difference was 2.5 for JOA score, 3.0 for PRO-JOA score, 42% for JOA recovery rate, and 33% for PRO-JOA recovery rate. Bland-Altman analyses revealed that limits of agreement were -4.3 to 4.7, -3.4 to 4.3, and -75% to 106% for the preoperative score, postoperative score, and recovery rate, respectively.

CONCLUSION

PRO-JOA score can also be used as a disease-specific scoring measure instead of JOA score. However, although both measures demonstrate a similar trend as a group analysis, PRO-JOA and JOA scores should be regarded as different outcomes.

Are Body Mass Index Cutoffs Creating Racial, Ethnic, and Gender Disparities in Eligibility for Primary Total Hip and Knee Arthroplasty?

BACKGROUND

Unabated increases in the prevalence of obesity among American adults have disproportionately affected women, Black persons, and Hispanic persons. The purpose of this study was to evaluate for disparity in rates of patient eligibility for primary total hip arthroplasty (THA) and total knee arthroplasty (TKA) based on race and ethnicity and gender by applying commonly used body mass index (BMI) eligibility criteria to two large national databases.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed data from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database for the years 2015-2019 for primary THA and TKA and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2011-2018. Designations of race and ethnicity were standardized between cohorts. BMI cutoffs of <50 kg/m², <45 kg/m², <40 kg/m², and <35 kg/m² were then applied. Rates of eligibility for surgery were examined for each respective BMI cutoff and stratified by age, race and ethnicity, and gender.

RESULTS

143,973 NSQIP THA patients, 242,518 NSQIP TKA patients, and 13,255 NHANES participants were analyzed. Female patients were more likely to be ineligible for surgery across all cohorts for all modeled BMI cutoffs (P < .001 for all). Black patients had relatively lower rates of eligibility across all cohorts for all modeled BMI cutoffs (P < .0001 for all). Hispanic patients had disproportionately lower rates of eligibility only at a BMI cutoff of <35 kg/m².

CONCLUSION

Using BMI cutoffs alone to determine the eligibility for primary THA and TKA may disproportionally exclude women, Black persons, and Hispanic persons. These data raise concerns regarding further disparity and restriction of arthroplasty care to vulnerable populations that are already marginalized.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Retrospective Cohort Study, Level III.

Construction of joint confidence spaces for the optimal true class fraction triplet in the ROC space using alternative biomarker cutoffs

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary cancer of the liver. Finding new biomarkers for its early detection is of high clinical importance. As with many other diseases, cancer has a progressive nature. In cancer biomarker studies, it is often the case that the true disease status of the recruited individuals exhibits more than two classes. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) surface is a well-known statistical tool for assessing the biomarkers' discriminatory ability in trichotomous settings. The volume under the ROC surface (VUS) is an overall measure of the discriminatory ability of a marker. In practice, clinicians are often in need of cutoffs for decision-making purposes. A popular approach for computing such cutoffs is the Youden index and its recent three-class generalization. A drawback of such a method is that it treats the data in a pairwise fashion rather than consider all the data simultaneously. The use of the minimized Euclidean distance from the perfection corner to the ROC surface (also known as closest to perfection method) is an alternative to the Youden index that may be preferable in some settings. When such a method is employed, there is a need for inferences around the resulting true class rates/fractions that correspond to the optimal operating point. In this paper, we provide an inferential framework for the derivation of marginal confidence intervals (CIs) and joint confidence spaces (CSs) around the corresponding true class fractions, when dealing with trichotomous settings. We explore parametric and nonparametric approaches for the construction of such CIs and CSs. We evaluate our approaches through extensive simulations and apply them to a real data set that refers to HCC patients.

Post-Hurricane Distress Scale (PHDS): Determination of General and Disorder-Specific Cutoff Scores

The Post-Hurricane Distress Scale (PHDS) was developed to assess mental health risk in the aftermath of hurricanes. We derive both disorder-specific cutoff values and a single nonspecific cutoff for the PHDS for field use by disaster relief and mental health workers. Data from 672 adult residents of Puerto Rico, sampled 3 to 12 months after Hurricane Maria, were collected. Participants completed a five-tool questionnaire packet: PHDS, Kessler K6, Patient Health Questionnaire 9, Generalized Anxiety Disorder 7, and Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder Checklist for DSM V (PCL-5). ROC curves, AUC values, sensitivities, specificities, Youden’s index, and LR+ ratios are reported. The recommended single cutoff value for the PHDS is 41, whereby a respondent with a PHDS score of 41 or above is deemed high-risk for a mental health disorder. The single field use PHDS cutoff demonstrated high specificity (0.80), an LR + ratio (2.84), and a sensitivity of 0.56. The mean ROC values of PHDS for Kessler K6, Patient Health Questionnaire 9, Generalized Anxiety Disorder 7, and PCL-5 were all above 0.74. The derived cutoff for the PHDS allows efficient assessment of respondents’ and/or a community’s risk status for mental health disorders in the aftermath of hurricanes and natural disasters.

The Psychometric Properties and Cutoff Score of the Child and Adolescent Mindfulness Measure (CAMM) in Chinese Primary School Students

To date, the Child and Adolescent Mindfulness Measure (CAMM) has been translated into several languages, including Chinese. This study aimed to explore the reliability and validity of the Chinese version of the CAMM and to identify the appropriate cutoff score among Chinese primary school students. A total of 1283 participants (52.2% males; 11.52 ± 0.78 years of age) completed a series of questionnaires to evaluate their mental health, including mindfulness, subjective well-being, positive youth development (PYD), depression, and anxiety. Item analysis, Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA), Exploratory Structural Equation Modeling (ESEM), criterion-related validity analysis, Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis, and reliability analysis were performed. The results show that the Chinese version of the CAMM had acceptable item−scale correlation (r = 0.405−0.775, p < 0.001) and was the best fit for the two-factor ESEM model (χ2 = 168.251, p < 0.001, df = 26, TLI = 0.910, CFI = 0.948, RMSEA = 0.065, SRMR = 0.033) among Chinese primary school students. Additionally, the total score of the Chinese version of the CAMM was significantly associated with subjective well-being and PYD (r = 0.287−0.381, p < 0.001), and negatively associated with depression, and anxiety (r = −0.612−−0.542, p < 0.001). Moreover, a cutoff score of 22 or higher revealed a significant predictive power for all the included criteria. Finally, the Chinese version of the CAMM had good internal consistency (Cronbach’s α = 0.826, McDonald’s ω = 0.826). Altogether, the Chinese version of the CAMM had satisfactory psychometric properties, and it can be applied to Chinese children.

Comparison of PK/PD Targets and Cutoff Values for Danofloxacin Against Pasteurella multocida and Haemophilus parasuis in Piglets

Danofloxacin is a synthetic fluoroquinolone with broad-spectrum activity developed for use in veterinary medicine. The aim of this study was to evaluate the pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) targets, PK/PD cutoff values and the optimum doses of danofloxacin against P. multocida and H. parasuis in piglets. Single dose serum pharmacokinetics was determined in piglets after intravenous and intramuscular administration of 2.5 mg/kg. Danofloxacin was well absorbed and fully bioavailable (95.2%) after intramuscular administration of 2.5 mg/kg. The epidemiological cutoff (ECOFF) values of danofloxacin from 931 P. multocida isolates and 263 H. parasuis isolates were 0.03 and 4 mg/L, respectively. Danofloxacin MICs determined in porcine serum were markedly lower than those measured in artificial broth, with a broth/serum ratio of 4.33 for H. parasuis. Compared to P. multocida, danofloxacin exhibited significantly longer post-antibiotic effects (3.18-6.60 h) and post-antibiotic sub-MIC effects (7.02-9.94 h) against H. parasuis. The mean area under the concentration-time curve/MIC (AUC24h/MIC) targets of danofloxacin in serum associated with the static and bactericidal effects were 32 and 49.8, respectively, for P. multocida, whereas they were 14.6 and 37.8, respectively, for H. parasuis. Danofloxacin AUC24h/MIC targets for the same endpoints for P. multocida were higher than those for H. parasuis. At the current dose of 2.5 mg/kg, the PK/PD cutoff (COPD) values of danofloxacin against P. multocida and H. parasuis were calculated to be 0.125 and 0.5 mg/L, respectively, based on Monte Carlo simulations. The predicted optimum doses of danofloxacin for a probability of target attainment (PTA) of > 90% to cover the overall MIC population distributions of P. multocida and H. parasuis in this study were 2.38 and 13.36 mg/kg, respectively. These PK/PD-based results have potential relevance for the clinical dose optimization and evaluation of susceptibility breakpoints for danofloxacin in the treatment of swine respiratory tract infections involving these pathogens.

Prediction of gestational diabetes mellitus in the first trimester by fasting plasma glucose which cutoff is better?

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to predict subsequent gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) by fasting plasma glucose (FPG) in the first trimester.

METHODS

Healthy pregnant women who were screened for GDM at 24-28 gestational weeks and had FPG levels calculated during their first antenatal visit and less than 14 gestational weeks were included in this study.

RESULTS

Of the 2605 women who were recruited for the study, 245 (9.4%) were diagnosed with GDM at weeks 24-28. The diagnostic accuracy for FPG predicting GDM was 66.5, 78.4, and 88.2 for the cutoff values of 87.5 mg/dl, 92 mg/dl, and 99.5 mg/dl, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

FPG values which are within the normoglycaemic range constitute an independent risk factor for the development of GDM. The threshold for gestational diabetes diagnosis must be revised.

An Evolutionary Algorithm to Personalize Stool-Based Colorectal Cancer Screening

BACKGROUND

Fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) is an established method for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. Measured FIT-concentrations are associated with both present and future risk of CRC, and may be used for personalized screening. However, evaluation of personalized screening is computationally challenging. In this study, a broadly applicable algorithm is presented to efficiently optimize personalized screening policies that prescribe screening intervals and FIT-cutoffs, based on age and FIT-history.

METHODS

We present a mathematical framework for personalized screening policies and a bi-objective evolutionary algorithm that identifies policies with minimal costs and maximal health benefits. The algorithm is combined with an established microsimulation model (MISCAN-Colon), to accurately estimate the costs and benefits of generated policies, without restrictive Markov assumptions. The performance of the algorithm is demonstrated in three experiments.

RESULTS

In Experiment 1, a relatively small benchmark problem, the optimal policies were known. The algorithm approached the maximum feasible benefits with a relative difference of 0.007%. Experiment 2 optimized both intervals and cutoffs, Experiment 3 optimized cutoffs only. Optimal policies in both experiments are unknown. Compared to policies recently evaluated for the USPSTF, personalized screening increased health benefits up to 14 and 4.3%, for Experiments 2 and 3, respectively, without adding costs. Generated policies have several features concordant with current screening recommendations.

DISCUSSION

The method presented in this paper is flexible and capable of optimizing personalized screening policies evaluated with computationally-intensive but established simulation models. It can be used to inform screening policies for CRC or other diseases. For CRC, more debate is needed on what features a policy needs to exhibit to make it suitable for implementation in practice.

Bias Investigation in Artificial Intelligence Systems for Early Detection of Parkinson's Disease: A Narrative Review

Background and Motivation: Diagnosis of Parkinson's disease (PD) is often based on medical attention and clinical signs. It is subjective and does not have a good prognosis. Artificial Intelligence (AI) has played a promising role in the diagnosis of PD. However, it introduces bias due to lack of sample size, poor validation, clinical evaluation, and lack of big data configuration. The purpose of this study is to compute the risk of bias (RoB) automatically.

METHOD

The PRISMA search strategy was adopted to select the best 39 AI studies out of 85 PD studies closely associated with early diagnosis PD. The studies were used to compute 30 AI attributes (based on 6 AI clusters), using AP(ai)Bias 1.0 (AtheroPointTM, Roseville, CA, USA), and the mean aggregate score was computed. The studies were ranked and two cutoffs (Moderate-Low (ML) and High-Moderate (MH)) were determined to segregate the studies into three bins: low-, moderate-, and high-bias.

RESULT

The ML and HM cutoffs were 3.50 and 2.33, respectively, which constituted 7, 13, and 6 for low-, moderate-, and high-bias studies. The best and worst architectures were "deep learning with sketches as outcomes" and "machine learning with Electroencephalography," respectively. We recommend (i) the usage of power analysis in big data framework, (ii) that it must undergo scientific validation using unseen AI models, and (iii) that it should be taken towards clinical evaluation for reliability and stability tests.

CONCLUSION

The AI is a vital component for the diagnosis of early PD and the recommendations must be followed to lower the RoB.

Sensitivity and Specificity of Central Vein Sign as a Diagnostic Biomarker in Egyptian Patients with Multiple Sclerosis

PURPOSE

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings in multiple sclerosis (MS) overlap with numerous MS mimics. The central vein sign (CVS) can help to differentiate MS from other mimics. This study aimed to determine the value of CVS as a diagnostic biomarker for distinguishing MS from its mimics.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients were prospectively recruited into two groups: a typical clinical (TC) MS presentation with an atypical MRI for MS and an atypical clinical (ATC) MS presentation with a typical MRI for MS. Patients underwent a 1.5T MRI brain scan with a T2*-weighted gradient-echo sequence. The presence of the central vein was assessed by a radiologist blinded to patients' clinical presentation. The MS consultant made the final diagnosis without reviewing the T2*-weighted gradient-echo sequence or the CVS analysis results.

RESULTS

Forty-two patients were included. Ten (40%) out of 25 TC patients were diagnosed with clinically definite MS (CDMS), with a mean percentage of CV-positive lesions of 65.5% among CDMS patients. Four (23.5%) out of 17 ATC patients were diagnosed with CDMS with a mean CV-positive lesions percentage of 68.25% among CDMS patients. TC patients who were not diagnosed as CDMS had a mean CV-positive lesions percentage of 10.13%, while ATC patients who were not diagnosed as CDMS had a mean CV-positive lesions percentage of 16.38%. The CVS showed 85.7% sensitivity and 100% specificity (95% confidence interval: 0.919-1.018) for diagnosis of MS at a cut off value of 45% (p < 0.001). The percentage of CV-positive lesions was significantly higher in oligoclonal bands (OCBs) positive patients compared to OCBs negative patients (p < 0.001) and those with spinal cord lesions compared to patients with no spinal cord lesions (p = 0.017).

CONCLUSION

The CVS has 85.7% sensitivity and 100% specificity for the diagnosis of MS at a cutoff value of 45%.

Appropriateness of Applying Cerebrospinal Fluid Biomarker Cutoffs from Alzheimer's Disease to Parkinson's Disease

BACKGROUND

While cutoffs for abnormal levels of the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers amyloid-β 1-42 (Aβ142), total tau (t-tau), phosphorylated tau (p-tau), and the ratios of t-tau/Aβ142 and p-tau/Aβ142, have been established in Alzheimer's disease (AD), biologically relevant cutoffs have not been studied extensively in Parkinson's disease (PD).

OBJECTIVE

Assess the suitability and diagnostic accuracy of established AD-derived CSF biomarker cutoffs in the PD population.

METHODS

Baseline and longitudinal data on CSF biomarkers, cognitive diagnoses, and PET amyloid imaging in 423 newly diagnosed patients with PD from the Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI) cohort were used to evaluate established AD biomarker cutoffs compared with optimal cutoffs derived from the PPMI cohort.

RESULTS

Using PET amyloid imaging as the gold standard for AD pathology, the optimal cutoff of Aβ142 was higher than the AD cutoff, the optimal cutoffs of t-tau/Aβ142 and p-tau/Aβ142 were lower than the AD cutoffs, and their confidence intervals (CIs) did not overlap with the AD cutoffs. Optimal cutoffs for t-tau and p-tau to predict cognitive impairment were significantly lower than the AD cutoffs, and their CIs did not overlap with the AD cutoffs.

CONCLUSION

Optimal cutoffs for the PPMI cohort for Aβ142, t-tau/Aβ142, and p-tau/Aβ142 to predict amyloid-PET positivity and for t-tau and p-tau to predict cognitive impairment differ significantly from cutoffs derived from AD populations. The presence of additional pathologies such as alpha-synuclein in PD may lead to disease-specific CSF biomarker characteristics.

Comparative study of human growth hormone measurements: impact on clinical interpretation

OBJECTIVES

Human growth hormone (hGH) provocation test is an essential tool to assess growth hormone deficiency (GHD) in children and young adults. It is important to have a robust method to determine the hGH peak of stimulation. This work aimed to compare three common automated immunoassays for hGH quantification and to ascertain whether there are still result-related differences which can impact clinical decision.

METHODS

We analyzed the GH provocation test for 39 young subjects from pediatric department of Montpellier hospital, admitted for suspicion of growth hormone deficiency. The full range of measurements as well as the peak level of serum GH were compared using three automated immunoassays on three different immunoanalyzers: IDS-hGH on iSYS, LIAISON-hGH on Liaison XL and Elecsys ROCHE-hGH, on COBAS 8000.

RESULTS

A good correlation was obtained between methods for all measurements (r ²>0.99) by using Passing-Bablok regression analysis. Bland-Altman analysis showed the best agreement between IDS-hGH and LIAISON-hGH systems (bias=-14.5%) compared to Elecsys ROCHE-hGH (bias=28.3%). When considering stratification of the study population and a unique cutoff, there were some discrepancies in interpretation of the results especially concerning the more recent Elecsys ROCHE-hGH assay. Nevertheless, when the adequate cutoff for each method was taken into account results were well correlated for all systems.

CONCLUSIONS

A cutoff for Elecsys Roche-hGH method was established to better explain the results. Clinician must be aware of the use of assay-specific cutoff to correctly integrate the results of GH tests in the GHD diagnosis.

Fatty Liver Index for Predicting Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in an Asymptomatic Korean Population

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing worldwide, highlighting the importance of early and accurate detection and the appropriate management of NAFLD. However, ultrasonography (US) is not included in many mass screening programs, and people have limited access to it. The aim of this study is to validate the fatty liver index (FLI) and investigate the optimal cutoff value for predicting NAFLD in an asymptomatic population. We conducted a retrospective cohort study in Korea. All subjects who underwent health checkup exams, including abdominal US, controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) and blood testing, were enrolled. Analyses of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) were used to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy and to calculate the optimal FLI cutoff for US-NAFLD. Among the 4009 subjects (mean age 54.9 years, 83.5% male), the prevalence of US-diagnosed NAFLD and CAP-defined hepatic steatosis was 61.4% and 55.4%. The previously used cutoff of FLI = 60 showed poor performance in predicting US-diagnosed NAFLD, with an AUROC of 0.63 (0.62–0.64), and CAP-defined NAFLD, with an AUROC 0.63 (0.62–0.64). The optimal FLI cutoff values to discriminate fatty liver detected by US were 29 for the entire population, with an AUROC of 0.82 (0.81–0.84). The sex-specific values were 31 for males and 18 for females (sensitivity 72.8% and 73.4%; specificity 74.2% and 85.0%, respectively). The FLI cutoff for US-diagnosed NAFLD can be set as 29 for the entire Korean population. Considering the sex dimorphism in NAFLD, different cutoff values are suggested to predict US-diagnosed NAFLD. These results may be helpful in the accurate non-invasive diagnosis of NAFLD.

Optimal Cutoff Concentration of Urinary Cyanoethyl Mercapturic Acid for Differentiating Cigarette Smokers from Nonsmokers

BACKGROUND

Cotinine is a widely used biomarker for classifying cigarette smoking status. However, cotinine does not differentiate between the use of combustible and noncombustible tobacco products. The increasing use of noncombustible tobacco drives the need for a complementary biomarker for distinguishing cigarette smokers from users of noncombustible tobacco products.

METHODS

We evaluated the urinary acrylonitrile metabolite, 2CyEMA, as a biomarker of exposure to cigarette smoke in the U.S. population-representative data from the National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey (NHANES). Smoking status was categorized based on the recent tobacco use questionnaire. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to identify optimal cutoff concentrations by maximizing Youden's J index. The area under the curve (AUC) was used to compare 2CyEMA effectiveness with respect to serum cotinine.

RESULTS

The overall cutoff concentration for the classification of cigarette smokers from nonsmokers was 7.32 ng/mL with high sensitivity and specificity (≥0.925). When stratified by demographic variables, the cutoff concentrations varied among subgroups based on age, sex, and race/Hispanic origin. Non-Hispanic Blacks had the highest cutoff concentration (15.3 ng/mL), and Hispanics had the lowest (4.63 ng/mL). Females had higher cutoff concentrations (8.80 ng/mL) compared to males (6.10 ng/mL). Among different age groups, the cutoff concentrations varied between 4.63 ng/mL (21 - 39 years old) and 10.6 ng/mL (for ≥60 years old). We also explored the creatinine adjusted cutoff values.

CONCLUSIONS

2CyEMA is an effective biomarker for distinguishing cigarette smokers from nonsmokers (users of noncombustible tobacco products or nonusers).

IMPACT

Increasing use of noncombustible tobacco products, including e-cigarettes, complicates differentiating smokers from nonsmokers; we document that urinary 2CyEMA accurately differentiates cigarette smokers from the noncombustible tobacco product users and nonusers. Also, it is the first paper to report urinary 2CyEMA cutoff values based on U.S. representative population data.

Standardization of Aspergillus IgG diagnostic cutoff in Nigerians

Background and objectives:

Commercial Aspergillus IgG antibody assays have become pivotal in the current diagnosis of chronic pulmonary aspergillosis (CPA). However, diagnostic cutoffs have been found to vary from manufactures’ recommendations in different settings. This study aimed to establish the Aspergillus IgG reference range among Nigerians and determine a diagnostic cutoff for CPA.

Methods:

Sera from 519 prospectively recruited healthy blood donors and 39 previously confirmed cases of CPA were analysed for Aspergillus IgG levels using the Bordier test kit (Bordier Affinity Products SA, Crissier, Switzerland). Accuracy versus cutoff profile and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve were analysed for both CPA cases and controls using the R-Studio (2020), (Window desktop, version 4.0.2 software with R packages “nnet” and “ROCR”).

Results:

Among healthy blood donors, 141 (27.2%) were aged 16–25 years with median (interquartile range, IQR) of 22 (20–24) years; 304 (58.6%) were aged 26–40 years with median (IQR) of 32 (29–36) years; while 74 (14.2%) were aged 41–60 years with median (IQR) of 46 (44–49.75). Median IgG level in respective age groups were 0.069 (0.009–0.181), 0.044 (0.014–0.202) and 0.056 (0.01–0.265) with no significant difference found in the three age categories (p = 0.69). The overall diagnostic cutoff for the diagnosis of CPA was 0.821 with an accuracy of 97.1% and area under the curve (AUC) = 0.986.

Conclusion:

The optimal diagnostic cutoff for diagnosing CPA in Nigerians using the Bordier kit was 0.821 which is lower than the manufacturer’s recommended cutoff of 1.0. The determination of this cutoff among Nigerians will significantly enhance accurate identification of CPA and assessment of its true burden in Nigeria.

Psychometric Properties of the Taiwanese Version of the Tilburg Frailty Indicator for Community-Dwelling Older Adults

Screening the frailty level of older adults is essential to avoid morbidity, prevent falls and disability, and maintain quality of life. The Tilburg Frailty Indicator (TFI) is a self-report instrument developed to assess frailty for community-dwelling older adults. The aim of this study was to explore the psychometric properties of the Taiwanese version of TFI (TFI-T). The sample consisted of 210 elderly participants living in the community. The scale was implemented to conduct a confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) test for validity. The models were evaluated through sensitivity, specificity, area under the curve, and receiving operating characteristic (ROC) curve. CFA was performed to evaluate construct validity, and the TFI-T has a goodness of fit with the three-factor structure of the TFI. Totally, the 15 items of TFI-T have acceptable internal consistency (Cronbach’s alpha = 0.78), and test–retest reliability (r = 0.88, p < 0.001). The criterion-related validity was examined, the TFI-T correlation with the Kihon Checklist (KCL) score (r = 0.74; p < 0.001). The cutoff of 5.5 based on the Youden index was considered optimal. The area under the ROC curve analysis indicated that the TFI-T has good accuracy in frailty screening. The TFI-T exhibits good reliability and validity and can be used as a sensitive and accurate instrument, which is highly applicable to screen frailty in Taiwan among older adults.

PK/PD integration and pharmacodynamic cutoff of cefquinome against cow mastitis due to Escherichia coli

Cefquinome is the fourth generation of cephalosporin approved solely in animal usage. In order to slow down the resistance development of E. coli to cefquinome, and to protect and maintain the effectiveness of cefquinome, an ex vivo PK/PD modeling of cefquinome against E. coli in cows after intramammary infusion administration was conducted. The epidemiologic cutoff (ECOFF) and pharmacodynamic cutoff (COPD) of cefquinome against E. coli in lactation cows after intramammary infusion administration were recommended. The MICs of cefquinome against 1073 clinical E. coli isolates ranged from 0.015 to >64 μg/ml, and the ECOFF was defined as 0.125 μg/ml. The pharmacokinetic results showed that cefquinome maintained high concentration in milk for a long period with the T_1/2β of 10.60 h after intramammary infusion in dairy cows. The drug concentration in skimmed milk was still as high as 0.15 mg/ml after 48 h. Cefquinome displayed bacterial killing effect at 2× MIC with the initial inoculum of 10⁶  cfu/ml in vitro; however, the same effect was attained with a concentration as high as 32× MIC with the initial inoculum of 10⁸  cfu/ml both in artificial medium and in skimmed milk. The initial inoculum is an important factor on time-killing curve accounting for weakened killing pattern of cefquinome. The AUC_0-24 h /MIC index correlated well with ex vivo efficacy. The AUC_0-24 h /MIC values for bactericidal effect were 50, 016, and 67,644, respectively, for initial inoculum of 10⁶ and 10⁸  cfu/ml, indicating the bacterial loading or the severity of infection would infect the PK/PD modeling results. The ex vivo PK/PD-based population dose prediction indicated a target attainment rate (TAR) at the existing daily dose (75 mg/udder) of 84.77% against E. coli. Thus, it was recommended as rational dosage. The COPD of cefquinome against E. coli was determined as 8 μg/ml at the dose of 75 mg/udder. The derived ECOFF, COPD, together with ex vivo PK/PD-based population dose prediction served as important steps in the establishment of optimum dose regimen and provided a useful interpretative criterion to categorize the antimicrobial susceptibility testing results of cefquinome.

Impact of body mass index on growth hormone stimulation tests in children and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Peak stimulated growth hormone (GH) levels are known to decrease with increasing body mass index (BMI), possibly leading to overdiagnosis of GH deficiency (GHD) in children with overweight and obesity. However, current guidelines do not guide how to interpret the peak GH values of these children. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to study the effect of the BMI standard deviation score (SDS) on stimulated peak GH values in children, to identify potential moderators of this association, and to quantify the extent to which peak GH values in children with obesity are decreased. This systematic review was performed by the PRISMA guidelines. Medline, Embase, Cochrane, Web of Science, and Google Scholar databases were searched for studies reporting the impact of weight status on peak GH in children. Where possible, individual participant data was extracted and/or obtained from authors. Quality and risk of bias were evaluated using the Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN) checklists. The primary outcome was the association between peak GH values and BMI SDS. The pooled correlation coefficient r, 95% confidence interval (CI), and heterogeneity statistic I² were calculated under a multilevel, random-effects model. In addition, exploratory moderator analyses and meta-regressions were performed to investigate the effects of sex, pubertal status, presence of syndromic obesity, mean age and mean BMI SDS on the study level. For the individual participant dataset, linear mixed-models regression analysis was performed with BMI SDS as the predictor and ln(peak GH) as the outcome, accounting for the different studies and GH stimulation agents used. In total, 58 studies were included, providing data on n = 5135 children (576 with individual participant data). Thirty-six (62%) studies had high, 19 (33%) medium, and 3 (5%) low risks of bias. Across all studies, a pooled r of -0.32 (95% CI -0.41 to -0.23, n = 2434 patients from k = 29 subcohorts, I² = 75.2%) was found. In meta-regressions, larger proportions of males included were associated with weaker negative correlations (p = 0.04). Pubertal status, presence of syndromic obesity, mean age, and mean BMI SDS did not moderate the pooled r (all p > 0.05). Individual participant data analysis revealed a beta of -0.123 (95% CI -0.160 to -0.086, p < 0.0001), i.e. per one-point increase in BMI SDS, peak GH decreases by 11.6% (95% CI 8.3-14.8%). To our knowledge, this is the first systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the impact of BMI SDS on peak GH values in children. It showed a significant negative relationship. Importantly, this relationship was already present in the normal range of BMI SDS and could lead to overdiagnosis of GHD in children with overweight and obesity. With the ever-rising prevalence of pediatric obesity, there is a need for BMI (SDS)-specific cutoff values for GH stimulation tests in children. Based on the evidence from this meta-analysis, we suggest the following weight status-adjusted cutoffs for GH stimulation tests that have cutoffs for children with normal weight of 5, 7, 10, and 20 µg/L: for overweight children: 4.6, 6.5, 9.3, and 18.6 µg/L; and for children with obesity: 4.3, 6.0, 8.6, and 17.3 µg/L.

Prognostic Role of Tumor Mutational Burden in Cancer Patients Treated With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Purpose

Immunotherapy is regarded as the most promising treatment for cancer. However, immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are not effective for all patients. Herein, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to explore whether tumor mutational burden (TMB) can be used as a potential prognostic biomarker for cancer patients treated with ICIs.

Methods

We systematically retrieved relevant literature published in the PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane databases up to December 28, 2020. All cohort studies and clinical trials that reported hazard ratios (HRs) for overall (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), as well as the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of high and low TMB patients, were included. All statistical analyses were performed using the R software.

Results

Pooled results from a total of 32 studies with 6,131 participants showed significantly increased OS (HR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.53–0.71; P <0.01) and PFS (HR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.44–0.60; P <0.01) for the high TMB group receiving ICIs as compared to the low TMB group. Particularly, results were found to be more significant in studies with larger sample sizes (≥30), Western patients, higher TMB cutoff values (≥20 mut/Mb), anti–PD-1 therapy, and when the sample source was tissue and tumor type was either melanoma, small cell lung cancer, or gastric cancer.

Conclusion

TMB is a promising independent prognostic biomarker for cancer patients receiving ICIs, which could provide a new potential therapeutic strategy for high TMB patients who have failed traditional therapy. Furthermore, consistency in the key aspects of TMB assessment is expected in the future.

Systematic Review Registration

[https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO], Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO), identifier: CRD42021229016.

Establishment and prospective validation of an SUVmax cutoff value to discriminate clinically significant prostate cancer from benign prostate diseases in patients with suspected prostate cancer by 68Ga-PSMA PET/CT: a real-world study

Background and Aims: The aims of this study were to establish a maximum standardized uptake value (SUV_max) cutoff to discriminate clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) from benign prostate disease (BPD) by ⁶⁸Ga-labeled prostate-specific membrane antigen (⁶⁸Ga-PSMA-11) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) in patients with suspected prostate cancer (PCa), and to perform a prospective real-world validation of this cutoff value.

Methods: The study included a training cohort to identify an SUV_max cutoff value and a prospective real-world cohort to validate it. A retrospective analysis assessed 135 patients with suspected PCa in a large tertiary care hospital in China who underwent ⁶⁸Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT. All patients were suspected of having PCa based on symptoms, digital rectal examination (DRE), total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA) level, and multiparameter magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI). The ⁶⁸Ga-PSMA PET/CT results were evaluated using histopathological results from transrectal ultrasound-guided 12-core biopsy with necessary targeted biopsy as references. Patients with Gleason scores (GS) ≥7 from the biopsy results were diagnosed with csPCa, and patients with negative biopsy and follow-up results were diagnosed with BPD. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to identify the optimal SUV_max cutoff value. The cutoff value was prospectively validated in 58 patients with suspected PCa. The diagnostic benefits of the cutoff value for clinical decision making were also evaluated.

Results: According to ROC curve analysis, the most appropriate SUV_max cutoff value for discriminating csPCa from BPD was 5.30 (sensitivity, 85.85%; specificity, 86.21%; area under the curve [AUC], 0.893). The cutoff achieved a sensitivity of 83.33%, a specificity of 81.25%, a positive predictive value (PPV) of 92.11%, a negative predictive value (NPV) of 65.00%, and an accuracy of 82.76% in the prospective validation cohort. Metastases were used as an indicator to reduce false negative results in patients with SUV_max ≤ 5.30. In patients without metastases, an SUV_max value of 5.30 was also the best cutoff to diagnose localized csPCa (sensitivity, 80.43%; specificity, 86.21%; AUC, 0.852). The cutoff discriminated localized csPCa from BPD with a sensitivity of 76.19%, a specificity of 81.25%, a PPV of 84.21%, an NPV of 72.22%, and an accuracy of 78.38% in the prospective validation cohort. The cutoff, combined with metastases, achieved an accuracy of 89.12% in all patients, increasing accuracy by 8.29% and reducing equivocal results compared with manual reading. There was a strong correlation between SUV_max and PSMA expression (r_s = 0.831, P < 0.001) and a moderate correlation between SUV_max and GS (r_s = 0.509, P < 0.001). The PSMA expression and SUV_max values of patients with csPCa were significantly higher than those of patients with BPD (P < 0.001).

Conclusion: We established and prospectively validated the best SUV_max cutoff value (5.30) for discriminating csPCa from BPD with high accuracy in patients with suspected PCa. 5.30 is an effective cutoff to discriminate csPCa patients with or without metastases. The cutoff may provide a potential tool for the precise identification of csPCa by ⁶⁸Ga-PSMA PET/CT, ensuring high accuracy and reducing equivocal results.

Different Effects of Total Bilirubin on 90-Day Mortality in Hospitalized Patients With Cirrhosis and Advanced Fibrosis: A Quantitative Analysis

Introduction: Total bilirubin (TB) is a major prognosis predictor representing liver failure in patients with acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF). However, the cutoff value of TB for liver failure and whether the same cutoff could be applied in both cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients remain controversial. There is a need to obtain the quantitative correlation between TB and short-term mortality via evidence-based methods, which is critical in establishing solid ACLF diagnostic criteria.

Methods: Patients hospitalized with cirrhosis or advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 > 1.45) were studied. TB and other variables were measured at baseline. The primary outcome was 90-day transplantation-free mortality. Multi-variable Cox proportional hazard model was used to present the independent risk of mortality due to TB. Generalized additive model and second derivate (acceleration) were used to plot the “TB-mortality correlation curves.” The mathematical (maximum acceleration) and clinical (adjusted 28-day transplantation-free mortality rate reaching 15%) TB cutoffs for liver failure were both calculated.

Results: Among the 3,532 included patients, the number of patients with cirrhosis and advanced fibrosis were 2,592 and 940, respectively, of which cumulative 90-day mortality were 16.6% (430/2592) and 7.4% (70/940), respectively. Any increase of TB was found the independent risk factor of mortality in cirrhotic patients, while only TB >12 mg/dL independently increased the risk of mortality in patients with advanced fibrosis. In cirrhotic patients, the mathematical TB cutoff for liver failure is 14.2 mg/dL, with 23.3% (605/2592) patients exceeding it, corresponding to 13.3 and 25.0% adjusted 28- and 90-day mortality rate, respectively. The clinical TB cutoff for is 18.1 mg/dL, with 18.2% (471/2592) patients exceeding it. In patients with advanced fibrosis, the mathematical TB cutoff is 12.1 mg/dL, 33.1% (311/940) patients exceeding it, corresponding to 2.9 and 8.0% adjusted 28- and 90-day mortality rate, respectively; the clinical TB cutoff was 36.0 mg/dL, 1.3% (12/940) patients above it.

Conclusion: This study clearly demonstrated the significantly different impact of TB on 90-day mortality in patients with cirrhosis and advanced fibrosis, proving that liver failure can be determined by TB alone in cirrhosis but not in advanced fibrosis. The proposed TB cutoffs for liver failure provides solid support for the establishment of ACLF diagnostic criteria.

Calf circumference: cutoff values from the NHANES 1999-2006

BACKGROUND

Calf circumference (CC) is used in geriatric studies as a simple and practical skeletal muscle (SM) marker for diagnosing low SM and sarcopenia. Currently applied CC cutoff points were developed in samples including older participants; values representative of the full adult lifespan are lacking.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to develop CC cutoff points and to identify relevant confounding factors from the large and diverse NHANES 1999-2006 population sample.

METHODS

Demographic, anthropometric, and imaging data (DXA, appendicular lean mass) from the adult (age ≥18 y) NHANES sample were partitioned into subgroups according to sex, age, ethnicity, and race. Adults aged 18-39 y and BMI (in kg/m2) 18.5-24.9 were set as a reference population; CC cutoff points were derived at 1 and 2 SDs below the mean.

RESULTS

The sample included 17,789 participants, 51.3% males and 48.7% females, with respective ages (mean ± SD) of 43.3 ± 16.1 y and 45.5 ± 16.9 y. CC was strongly correlated with appendicular lean mass, r = 0.84 and 0.86 for males and females (both P < 0.001), respectively. Significant differences in mean CC were present across sex, ethnic, self-reported race, and BMI groups. Adjusting CC for adiposity using BMI revealed a decrease in CC beginning after the second decade in males and third decade in females. Rounded CC cutoff values for moderately and severely low CC were 34 cm and 32 cm (males), and 33 cm and 31 cm (females), respectively. Our findings support the use of BMI-adjusted CC values for participants outside the normal-weight BMI range (18-24.9).

CONCLUSIONS

This study defined CC values in a diverse population sample along with a BMI-adjustment approach that helps to remove the confounding effects of adiposity and thereby improves CC as a useful clinical estimate of SM mass.

Clinical Significance of Plasma D-Dimer in COVID-19 Mortality

It is not clear whether D-dimer can be an independent predictor of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mortality, and the cut-off of D-dimer for clinical use remains to be determined. Therefore, a comprehensive analysis is still necessary to illuminate the clinical significance of plasma D-dimer in COVID-19 mortality. We searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Scopus databases until November 2020. STATA software was used for all the statistical analyses. The identifier of systematic review registration was PROSPERO CRD42020220927. A total of 66 studies involving 40,614 COVID-19 patients were included in our meta-analysis. Pooled data showed that patients in high D-dimer group had poor prognosis than those in low D-dimer group [OR = 4.52, 95% CI = (3.61, 5.67), P < 0.001; HR = 2.81, 95% CI = (1.85, 4.27), P < 0.001]. Sensitivity analysis, pooled data based on different effect models and the Duval and Tweedie trim-and-fill method did not change the conclusions. Subgroup analyses stratified by different countries, cutoffs, sample size, study design, and analysis of OR/HR still keep consistent conclusions. D-dimer was identified as an independent predictor for COVID-19 mortality. A series of values including 0.5 μg/ml, 1 μg/ml, and 2 μg/ml could be determined as cutoff of D-dimer for clinic use. Measurement and monitoring of D-dimer might assist clinicians to take immediate medical actions and predict the prognosis of COVID-19.

Definition of Sarcopenia in Chronic Liver Disease

Sarcopenia, which is characterized by decline in muscle mass, muscle strength, and physical performance, is common in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) and is associated with poor clinical outcomes. Several consensus definitions for community-dwelling elderly people have been proposed, and these recommend the use of various tools and tests to assess muscle properties and performance. These measurement tools have also been applied in patients with CLD and have been useful for predicting prognosis. However, sarcopenia and its diagnostic criteria specific to patients with CLD have not yet been clearly defined. In addition, fluid retention and body composition should be considered when sarcopenia is assessed in patients with CLD. This review aims to introduce definitions of sarcopenia and diagnostic tools used in patients with CLD.

The efficacy of therapeutic cervical cerclage in singleton pregnancies: a retrospective study

OBJECTIVES

We compared the pregnancy prolongation effect attributable to cervical cerclage to that achieved by conservative management, and determined the cervical length for which cervical cerclage is effective.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined medical records of 281 women admitted to our hospital between January 2013 and December 2017 for management of threatened preterm birth at 22-28 weeks of gestation. Obstetricians determined suitability for cervical cerclage, which was performed using the McDonald procedure in all cases. Of the 281 subjects, 71 underwent cervical cerclage (cerclage group); the other 210 received conservative therapy (non-cerclage group). We recorded maternal and neonatal characteristics of all patients. The two groups were compared in terms of length of extension of pregnancy and weeks of gestation at delivery. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify factors associated with extension of time to delivery.

RESULTS

Our analyses revealed that the cerclage group was hospitalized earlier in pregnancy than the non-cerclage group (23.7 ± 1.5 weeks vs. 26.4 ± 1.9 weeks, p < .001) and had shorter cervixes (6.0 ± 9.4 mm vs. 16.9 ± 13.0 mm, p < .001). The two groups did not differ significantly in terms of gestational weeks at delivery. Multivariate analysis regarding extension of pregnancy revealed significant differences in extension of pregnancy related with cervical cerclage (26.65 days, 95% CI 17.0 - 36.3, p < .001) and cervical length <10 mm (-27.4 days, 95% CI -36.0--18.8, p < .001). While the time to delivery was extended by cervical cerclage in women with short cervixes (<25 mm), the two groups did not differ when cervical length was ≥15 mm.

CONCLUSIONS

Cervical cerclage was a significant positive factor and short cervix was a significant negative factor for elongating pregnancy. In primigravida and multigravida women with no history of preterm birth, when the cervix is short (<10 mm), cervical cerclage should be recommended.

Identifying an Optimal Liver Frailty Index Cutoff to Predict Waitlist Mortality in Liver Transplant Candidates

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Frailty, as measured by the Liver Frailty Index (LFI), is associated with liver transplant (LT) waitlist mortality. We sought to identify an optimal LFI cutoff that predicts waitlist mortality.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Adults with cirrhosis awaiting LT without hepatocellular carcinoma at nine LT centers in the United States with LFI assessments were included. Multivariable competing risk analysis assessed the relationship between LFI and waitlist mortality. We identified a single LFI cutoff by evaluating the fit of the competing risk models, searching for the cutoff that gave the best model fit (as judged by the pseudo-log-likelihood). We ascertained the area under the curve (AUC) in an analysis of waitlist mortality to find optimal cutoffs at 3, 6, or 12 months. We used the AUC to compare the discriminative ability of LFI+Model for End Stage Liver Disease-sodium (MELDNa) versus MELDNa alone in 3-month waitlist mortality prediction. Of 1,405 patients, 37 (3%), 82 (6%), and 135 (10%) experienced waitlist mortality at 3, 6, and 12 months, respectively. LFI was predictive of waitlist mortality across a broad LFI range: 3.7-5.2. We identified an optimal LFI cutoff of 4.4 (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.0-4.8) for 3-month mortality, 4.2 (95% CI, 4.1-4.4) for 6-month mortality, and 4.2 (95% CI, 4.1-4.4) for 12-month mortality. The AUC for prediction of 3-month mortality for MELDNa was 0.73; the addition of LFI to MELDNa improved the AUC to 0.79.

CONCLUSIONS

LFI is predictive of waitlist mortality across a wide spectrum of LFI values. The optimal LFI cutoff for waitlist mortality was 4.4 at 3 months and 4.2 at 6 and 12 months. The discriminative performance of LFI+MELDNa was greater than MELDNa alone. Our data suggest that incorporating LFI with MELDNa can more accurately represent waitlist mortality in LT candidates.

Newborn Screening for Congenital Hypothyroidism: the Benefit of Using Differential TSH Cutoffs in a 2-Screen Program

CONTEXT

Analysis of a 2-screen program for congenital hypothyroidism (CH) was performed using differential dried-blood spot thyrotropin (bTSH) cutoffs of 10 mU/L at first screening (all infants) and 5 mU/L at second screening (selected infants).

OBJECTIVES

This work aimed to characterize CH infants identified by the second screening and compare infants with bTSH of 5.0 to 9.9 and 10 mU/L or greater on second screening.

DESIGN AND PATIENTS

Maternal and neonatal clinical features were retrospectively analyzed for 119 CH babies detected on the second screen in the Lombardy region of Italy, 2007 to 2014.

RESULTS

Fifty-two (43.7%) of the 119 CH neonates showed bTSH values ranging from 5.0 to 9.9 mU/L at the second screening (low bTSH group) and 67 (56.3%) bTSH of 10.0 mU/L or greater (high bTSH group). The frequency of thyroid dysgenesis and eutopic gland was similar in both groups, as was the frequency of permanent and transient CH. Moreover, a high frequency of extrathyroidal malformations was found in both groups. The percentage of preterm infants (57.7% vs 23.9%, P < .001) and infants admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit (50.0% vs 17.9%, P < .001) was significantly higher in the low vs the high bTSH group. In addition, maternal treatment with glucocorticoids in pregnancy was significantly more frequent in the low bTSH group than in the high bTSH group (11.5% vs 1.5%, P = .042), as well as maternal hypothyroidism and/or goiter (26.9% vs 10.4%, P = .036).

CONCLUSIONS

This study has demonstrated that a lower TSH cutoff at the second screening can detect additional cases of CH and that a second bTSH cutoff of 5.0 mU/L is appropriate for identifying preterm newborns and babies with associated risk factors.