Association between noninvasive fibrosis markers and mortality among adults with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in the United States

The clinical and public health significance of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is not well established. We investigated the long-term effect of NAFLD on mortality. This analysis utilized the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey conducted in 1988-1994 and subsequent follow-up data for mortality through December 31, 2006. NAFLD was defined by ultrasonographic detection of hepatic steatosis in the absence of other known liver diseases. The presence and severity of hepatic fibrosis in subjects with NAFLD was determined by the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), and FIB-4 score. Of 11,154 participants, 34.0% had NAFLD--the majority (71.7%) had NFS consistent with lack of significant fibrosis (NFS <-1.455), whereas 3.2% had a score indicative of advanced fibrosis (NFS >0.676). After a median follow-up of 14.5 years, NAFLD was not associated with higher mortality (age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.93-1.19). In contrast, there was a progressive increase in mortality with advancing fibrosis scores. Compared to subjects without fibrosis, those with a high probability of advanced fibrosis had a 69% increase in mortality (for NFS: HR, 1.69, 95% CI: 1.09-2.63; for APRI: HR, 1.85, 95% CI: 1.02-3.37; for FIB-4: HR, 1.66, 95% CI: 0.98-2.82) after adjustment for other known predictors of mortality. These increases in mortality were almost entirely from cardiovascular causes (for NFS: HR, 3.46, 95% CI: 1.91-6.25; for APRI: HR, 2.53, 95% CI: 1.33-4.83; for FIB-4: HR, 2.68, 95% CI: 1.44-4.99).

CONCLUSIONS

Ultrasonography-diagnosed NAFLD is not associated with increased mortality. However, advanced fibrosis, as determined by noninvasive fibrosis marker panels, is a significant predictor of mortality, mainly from cardiovascular causes, independent of other known factors.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease is associated with increased all-cause mortality in the United States

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Recently, international experts proposed redefining non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) as metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), based on modified criteria. It is suspected that outcomes such as mortality may differ for these clinical entities. We studied the impact of MAFLD and NAFLD on all-cause and cause-specific mortality in US adults.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 7,761 participants in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and their linked mortality through 2015. NAFLD was diagnosed by ultrasonographic evidence of hepatic steatosis without other known liver diseases. MAFLD was defined based on the criteria proposed by an international expert panel. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to study all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality between MAFLD and NAFLD, with adjustments for known risk factors.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 23 years, individuals with MAFLD had a 17% higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.17; 95% CI 1.04-1.32). Furthermore, MAFLD was associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular mortality. NAFLD per se did not increase the risk of all-cause mortality. Individuals who met both definitions had a higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.00-1.26), while individuals who met the definition for MAFLD but not NAFLD had a 1.7-fold higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.66, 95% CI 1.19-2.32). Estimates for all-cause mortality were higher for those with advanced fibrosis and MAFLD than for those with advanced fibrosis and NAFLD.

CONCLUSIONS

In this US population-based study, MAFLD was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality, while NAFLD demonstrated no association with all-cause mortality after adjusting for metabolic risk factors.

LAY SUMMARY

Our findings provide further support for the idea that non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a part of a broader multi-system disease that also includes obesity, diabetes, high blood pressure, and high cholesterol. Therefore, re-defining NAFLD as metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) may help improve our understanding of predictors that increase the risk of death.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is associated with coronary artery calcification

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is related to risk factors of coronary artery disease, such as dyslipidemia, diabetes, and metabolic syndrome, which are closely linked with visceral adiposity. The aim of this study was to investigate whether NAFLD was associated with coronary artery calcification (CAC), which is used as a surrogate marker for coronary atherosclerosis independent of computed tomography (CT)-measured visceral adiposity. Out of 5,648 subjects who visited one of our health screening centers between 2003 and 2008, we enrolled 4,023 subjects (mean age, 56.9 ± 9.4 years; 60.7% males) without known liver disease or a history of ischemic heart disease. CAC score was evaluated using the Agatston method. On univariate analysis, the presence of CAC (score >0) was significantly associated with age, sex, body mass index, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, and increased risk of diabetes, hypertension, smoking, and NAFLD. Increasing CAC scores (0, <10, 10-100, ≥ 100) were associated with higher prevalence of NAFLD (odds ratio [OR], 1.84; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.61-2.10; P<0.001). Multivariable ordinal regression analysis was adjusted for traditional risk factors, and CT-measured visceral adipose tissue area in a subgroup of subjects showed that the increased CAC scores were significantly associated with the presence of NAFLD (OR, 1.28, 95% CI, 1.04-1.59; P = 0.023) independent of visceral adiposity.

CONCLUSION

Patients with NAFLD are at increased risk for coronary atherosclerosis independent of classical coronary risk factors, including visceral adiposity. These data suggest that NAFLD might be an independent risk factor for coronary artery disease.

Nonobese Fatty Liver Disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) refers to a group of conditions characterized by hepatic steatosis in the absence of significant alcohol consumption. NAFLD is seen commonly in patients with metabolic abnormalities associated with obesity, such as type II diabetes, dyslipidemia, and metabolic syndrome. Evidently, however, not all obese subjects develop NAFLD and, more importantly, NAFLD can be found in nonobese individuals. Although NAFLD occurring in nonobese subjects has been reported in children and adults of all ethnicities, it appears to be recognized more frequently in Asians, even when strict ethnicity-specific body mass index criteria are used to define obesity. Studies based on liver biopsies suggest that the prevalence of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and fibrosis does not differ significantly between nonobese NAFLD and NAFLD in obese patients. Visceral obesity as opposed to general obesity, high fructose and cholesterol intake, and genetic risk factors (eg, palatin-like phospholipase domain-containing 3) may be associated with nonobese NAFLD. In general, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis is associated with increased mortality, primarily from cardiovascular causes, independent of other metabolic factors. Although data regarding the mortality impact of nonobese NAFLD are not as mature, it may be important to identify high-risk nonobese NAFLD patients and manage their metabolic profile. Currently, lifestyle modification to reduce visceral adiposity, including dietary changes and physical activity, remains the standard of care in patients with nonobese NAFLD.

Advanced fibrosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: noninvasive assessment with MR elastography

PURPOSE

To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of magnetic resonance (MR) elastography as a method to help diagnose clinically substantial fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and, by using MR elastography as a reference standard, to compare various laboratory marker panels in the identification of patients with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study was institutional review board approved and HIPAA complaint. Informed consent was waived. This study was conducted in patients with NAFLD, who were identified by imaging characteristics consistent with steatosis in a prospective database that tracks all MR elastographic examinations. Six laboratory-based models of fibrosis were compared with MR elastographic results as well as fibrosis stage from liver biopsy results. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of each data set were compared.

RESULTS

Among 325 patients with NAFLD with MR elastographic data, there were 142 patients who underwent liver biopsy within 1 year of MR elastography. When comparing MR elastography results with liver biopsy results, the best cutoff for advanced fibrosis (stage F3-F4, 46 [32.4%] of 142) was 4.15 kPa (AUROC = 0.954, sensitivity = 0.85, specificity = 0.929). This cutoff value identified 104 patients with advanced fibrosis (32.0% of 325 patients). The FIB-4 score (AUROC = 0.827) and NAFLD fibrosis score (AUROC = 0.821) had the best diagnostic accuracy for advanced fibrosis, with high negative predictive values (NAFLD fibrosis score = 0.90 and FIB-4 score = 0.899).

CONCLUSION

MR elastography is a useful diagnostic tool for detecting advanced fibrosis in NAFLD. Of the laboratory-based methods, the NAFLD fibrosis and FIB-4 scores can most reliably detect advanced fibrosis.

Predictors of Outcomes of COVID-19 in Patients With Chronic Liver Disease: US Multi-center Study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Chronic liver disease (CLD) represents a major global health burden. We undertook this study to identify the factors associated with adverse outcomes in patients with CLD who acquire the novel coronavirus-2019 (COVID-19).

METHODS

We conducted a multi-center, observational cohort study across 21 institutions in the United States (US) of adult patients with CLD and laboratory-confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 between March 1, 2020 and May 30, 2020. We performed survival analysis to identify independent predictors of all-cause mortality and COVID-19 related mortality, and multivariate logistic regression to determine the risk of severe COVID-19 in patients with CLD.

RESULTS

Of the 978 patients in our cohort, 867 patients (mean age 56.9 ± 14.5 years, 55% male) met inclusion criteria. The overall all-cause mortality was 14.0% (n = 121), and 61.7% (n = 535) had severe COVID-19. Patients presenting with diarrhea or nausea/vomiting were more likely to have severe COVID-19. The liver-specific factors associated with independent risk of higher overall mortality were alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) (hazard ratio [HR] 2.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.29-4.55), decompensated cirrhosis (HR 2.91 [1.70-5.00]) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (HR 3.31 [1.53-7.16]). Other factors were increasing age, diabetes, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and current smoker. Hispanic ethnicity (odds ratio [OR] 2.33 [1.47-3.70]) and decompensated cirrhosis (OR 2.50 [1.20-5.21]) were independently associated with risk for severe COVID-19.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk factors which predict higher overall mortality among patients with CLD and COVID-19 are ALD, decompensated cirrhosis and HCC. Hispanic ethnicity and decompensated cirrhosis are associated with severe COVID-19. Our results will enable risk stratification and personalization of the management of patients with CLD and COVID-19. Clinicaltrials.gov number NCT04439084.

Changing Trends in Etiology-Based Annual Mortality From Chronic Liver Disease, From 2007 Through 2016

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Although treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has improved, the prevalence of alcoholic liver disease (ALD) has been increasing, so we need an updated estimate of the burden and etiology-specific mortality of chronic liver diseases. We studied trends in age-standardized mortality of chronic liver diseases in adults at least 20 years old in the United States from 2007 through 2016.

METHODS

We collected data from the US Census and National Center for Health Statistics mortality records and identified individuals with HCV infection, ALD, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, or hepatitis B virus infection using ICD-10 codes. We obtained temporal mortality rate patterns using joinpoint trend analysis with estimates of annual percentage change (APC).

RESULTS

Age-standardized HCV-related mortality increased from 7.17 per 100,000 persons in 2007 to 8.14 per 100,000 persons in 2013, followed by a marked decrease in the time period at which patients began receiving treatment with direct-acting antiviral agents (from 8.09 per 100,000 persons in 2014 to 7.15 per 100,000 persons in 2016). The APC in HCV mortality increased 2.0%/year from 2007 through 2014 but decreased 6.4%/year from 2014 through 2016. In contrast, age-standardized mortality increased for ALD (APC 2.3% from 2007 through 2013 and APC 5.5% from 2013 through 2016) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (APC 6.1% from 2007 through 2013 and APC 11.3% from 2013 through 2016). Mortality related to hepatitis B virus decreased steadily from 2007 through 2016, with an average APC of -2.1% (95% CI -3.0 to -1.2). Etiology-based mortality in minority populations was higher. HCV-related mortality (per 100,000 persons) was highest in non-Hispanic blacks (10.28) and whites (6.92), followed by Hispanics (5.94), and lowest in non-Hispanic Asians (2.33). Non-Hispanic Asians had higher mortality for hepatitis B virus infection (2.82 per 100,000 vs 1.02 for non-Hispanic blacks and 0.47 for non-Hispanic whites).

CONCLUSION

In our population-based analysis of chronic liver disease mortality in the United States, the decrease in HCV-related mortality coincided with the introduction of direct-acting antiviral therapies, whereas mortality from ALD and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease increased during the same period. Minorities in the United States have disproportionately higher mortality related to chronic liver disease.

Changing Trends in Etiology-Based and Ethnicity-Based Annual Mortality Rates of Cirrhosis and Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States

With recent improvements in the treatment of end-stage liver disease (ESLD), a better understanding of the burden of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is needed in the United States. A population-based study using the US Census and national mortality database was performed. We identified the age-standardized etiology-specific mortality rates for cirrhosis and HCC among US adults ages 20 years or older from 2007 to 2016. We determined temporal mortality rate patterns by joinpoint analysis with estimates of annual percentage change (APC). Age-standardized cirrhosis-related mortality rates increased from 19.77/100,000 persons in 2007 to 23.67 in 2016 with an annual increase of 2.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.0-2.7). The APC in mortality rates for hepatitis C virus (HCV)-cirrhosis shifted from a 2.9% increase per year during 2007 to 2014 to a 6.5% decline per year during 2014 to 2016. Meanwhile, mortality for cirrhosis from alcoholic liver disease (ALD, APC 4.5%) and NAFLD (APC 15.4%) increased over the same period, whereas mortality for hepatitis B virus (HBV)-cirrhosis decreased with an average APC of -1.1%. HCC-related mortality increased from 3.48/100,000 persons in 2007 to 4.41 in 2016 at an annual rate of 2.0% (95% CI 1.3-2.6). Etiology-specific mortality rates of HCC were largely consistent with cirrhosis-related mortality. Minority populations had a higher burden of HCC-related mortality. Conclusion: Cirrhosis-related and HCC-related mortality rates increased between 2007 and 2016 in the United States. However, mortality rates in HCV-cirrhosis demonstrated a significant decline from 2014 to 2016, during the direct-acting antiviral era. Mortality rates for ALD/NAFLD-cirrhosis and HCC have continued to increase, whereas HBV-cirrhosis-related mortality declined during the 10-year period. Importantly, minorities had a disproportionately higher burden of ESLD-related mortality.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Metabolic Syndrome

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic syndrome (MS) are highly prevalent, affecting approximately one-third of the US population. The relationship between NAFLD and MS is complex and may be bidirectionally associated. NAFLD is strongly associated with MS, the components of which include abdominal obesity, hyperglycemia, hypertension, and dyslipidemia. NAFLD associated with certain genetic factors such as the PNPLA3 G allele variant is not accompanied by insulin resistance and MS. Lifestyle modification, including diet and physical activity targeting visceral adiposity, remains the standard of care for patients with NAFLD and MS.

Subclinical Hypothyroidism and Low-Normal Thyroid Function Are Associated With Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis and Fibrosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Variations in level of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) within the reference range of thyroid hormone could have negative health effects. We evaluated the effect of plasma TSH levels within the euthyroid range on the severity of histological damage associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional study of 425 subjects with biopsy-proven NAFLD (mean age, 53 years; 52% male) who participated in the Boramae NAFLD study from January 2013 to January 2017. Each subject underwent an anthropometric assessment and laboratory and clinical evaluations. Of the subjects, 282 were assigned to a strict-normal thyroid function group (plasma level of TSH, 0.4 to 2.5 mIU/L). Patients with low thyroid function were assigned to groups of subclinical hypothyroidism (plasma level of TSH above 4.5 mIU/L with a normal thyroid hormone level; n = 59) or low-normal thyroid function (higher plasma TSH level [2.5 to 4.5 mIU/L] with a normal thyroid hormone level; n = 84). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors independently associated with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and advanced fibrosis.

RESULTS

NASH and advanced fibrosis were found in higher percentages of subjects with low thyroid function vs strict-normal thyroid function (52.4% vs 37.2% for NASH and 21.0% vs 10.6% for advanced fibrosis; P < .01). Among subjects with low thyroid function, a higher proportion of patients with subclinical hypothyroidism had NASH and associated advanced fibrosis vs patients with low-normal thyroid function (57.6% vs 48.8% for NASH and 25.4% vs 17.9% for advanced fibrosis; P < .01). Subjects with low thyroid function had more extensive hepatic steatosis with greater severity of balloon degeneration and fibrosis. In multivariate analyses, low thyroid function was significantly associated with NASH (odds ratio, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.04-2.50; P = .035) and advanced fibrosis (odds ratio, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.18-4.23; P = .014). Risks of NASH and advanced fibrosis increased significantly with plasma concentration of TSH (Ptrend <.05 for each).

CONCLUSIONS

Subclinical hypothyroidism and low-normal thyroid function are independent predictors of NASH and advanced fibrosis, confirming the relationship between these diseases. ClinicalTrials.gov, Number: NCT02206841.

Inadequate Physical Activity and Sedentary Behavior Are Independent Predictors of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

In general, physical activity (PA) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) have an inverse association. However, studies assessing the impact of the widely accepted Physical Activity Guidelines for Americans (PA Guidelines) on NAFLD are lacking.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We performed a serial, cross-sectional analysis among adults by using the 2007-2016 US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. NAFLD and advanced fibrosis were defined by using various noninvasive panels. A PA questionnaire assessed the leisure-time PA, occupation-related PA, transportation-related PA, and total sitting time as sedentary behavior. PA was categorized according to the PA Guidelines. Of the 24,588 individuals (mean age, 47.4 years; 47.9% males), leisure-time PA (≥150 minutes per week) demonstrated 40% lower odds of NAFLD, whereas transportation-related PA was associated with a 33% risk reduction in NAFLD. Analysis of total PA and sitting times simultaneously showed a dose-response association between sitting time and NAFLD (P for trend < 0.001). Compliance with the PA Guidelines was lower in individuals with NAFLD versus those without NAFLD. The trends in compliance with the PA Guidelines for any type of PA remained stable in individuals with NAFLD except for a downtrend in transportation-related PA. In contrast, an improvement in compliance with the PA Guidelines for leisure time was noted in the cohort without NAFLD. Although PA demonstrated a 10% stronger association with risk reduction of NAFLD in women, women showed a lower tendency of meeting the PA Guidelines. Trends in total sitting time increased significantly regardless of NAFLD status.

CONCLUSIONS

Sedentary behavior emerged as an independent predictor of NAFLD. Overall compliance with the PA Guidelines was lower in the cohort with NAFLD, with sex- and ethnicity-based differences. Implementation of these observations in clinical practice may improve our understanding as well as clinical outcomes.

Body Fat Distribution and Risk of Incident and Regressed Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Some studies have examined correlations between visceral adipose tissue (VAT) and subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or between VAT and NAFLD. We investigated the longitudinal association between body fat distribution (VAT vs SAT) and incidence and regression of NAFLD, adjusting for risk factors, in a large population-based cohort.

METHODS

We collected data from adults who underwent abdominal ultrasonography (to identify liver fat), abdominal fat computed tomography scan, and blood tests from March 2007 through December 2008. Each patient underwent an anthropometric assessment and completed a questionnaire about their medical history, physical activity, and diet. Our final analysis involved 2017 subjects from the initial cohort who participated in a voluntary follow-up health screen performed in 2011 and 2013. The median follow-up time was 4.43 years.

RESULTS

We found 288 incident cases of NAFLD; 159 patients had NAFLD regression during the follow-up period. An increasing area of VAT was associated with higher incidence of NAFLD in the multivariable analysis (highest quintile vs lowest quintile of VAT hazard ratio [HR], 2.23; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.28-3.89; P for trend = .002; HR, 1.36 [per 1 standard deviation]; 95% CI, 1.16-1.59). An increased area of SAT was significantly associated with regression of NAFLD (highest quintile vs lowest quintile of SAT HR, 2.30; 95% CI, 1.28-4.12; P for trend = .002; HR, 1.36 [per 1 standard deviation]; 95% CI, 1.08-1.72).

CONCLUSIONS

In a large cohort study, larger areas of VAT were longitudinally associated with higher risk of incident NAFLD (during a period of approximately 4 years). In contrast, larger areas of SAT were longitudinally associated with regression of NAFLD. These data indicate that certain types of body fat are risk factors for NAFLD, whereas other types could reduce risk for NAFLD.

Physical Activity Is Associated With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Significant Fibrosis Measured by FibroScan

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Studies evaluating the association of 2018 Physical Activity Guidelines for Americans (PA Guidelines) with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and significant fibrosis or cirrhosis are needed. We evaluated the association of meeting PA Guidelines with NAFLD and significant fibrosis or cirrhosis by transient elastography in the United States.

METHODS

A cross-sectional analysis was performed using the 2017-2018 U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data. NAFLD and significant fibrosis or cirrhosis were defined by transient elastography in the absence of other causes of chronic liver disease. The detailed PA questionnaire assessed the leisure-time, occupation-related, and transportation-related PA. PA was categorized based on the PA Guidelines.

RESULTS

Of the 4304 subjects, leisure-time PA, which met the PA Guidelines (≥150 min/wk), was associated with 44% lower risk of NAFLD (odds ratio [OR]: 0.56; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.46-0.67). Subjects who reported 1-2 times (150-299 min/wk) or over 2 times (≥300 min/wk) the recommended amount of PA Guidelines had 40% (OR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.41-0.90) and 49% (OR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.40-0.65) lower odds of NAFLD, respectively. Over 8 hours of sitting time had a 44% higher risk of NAFLD (OR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.01-2.05) when we considered leisure-time PA and sitting time simultaneously. Over 2 times (≥300 min/wk) the recommended amount of PA Guidelines for leisure-time PA had 59% (OR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.22-0.74) lower risk for significant fibrosis and 63% (OR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.21-0.64) lower odds of cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Meeting PA Guidelines for leisure-time PA has beneficial effects on NAFLD, and over 2 times the recommended amount of PA Guidelines had lower risk for significant fibrosis or cirrhosis.

Depression is associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease among adults in the United States

BACKGROUND

Currently, the relationship between depression and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is not clearly defined.

AIM

To determine whether depression is associated with NAFLD and NAFLD-related advanced fibrosis in a large population sample.

METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional analysis using the 2007-2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey database among adults (20 years or older) in the United States (US). Depression and functional impairment due to depression were assessed with the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9). NAFLD was defined by utilising the US fatty liver index (USFLI), hepatic steatosis index (HSI) and the fatty liver index (FLI) in the absence of other causes of chronic liver disease. The presence and absence of advanced fibrosis in NAFLD were defined by Fibrosis-4 score.

RESULTS

Of the 10 484 subjects (mean age 47.0 years; 48.8% men), the prevalence of depression and functional impairment due to depression was higher in subjects with NAFLD than in those without. Compared to subjects without depression, those with depression were 1.6-2.2-fold more likely to have NAFLD. In our multivariate analyses, depression_med was associated with increased risk of NAFLD using USFLI (odds ratio [OR] 1.48 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.17-1.87), HSI (OR 1.51 95% CI 1.04-2.19) and FLI (OR 2.01 95% CI 1.65-2.48), respectively. The addition of diabetes, obesity and lipid profile to the model reduced the ORs for depression, but the significance persisted. Depression was not associated with NAFLD-related advanced fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

In a nationally representative sample of US adults, depression was independently associated with NAFLD.

Race/ethnicity-based temporal changes in prevalence of NAFLD-related advanced fibrosis in the United States, 2005-2016

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Advanced fibrosis associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has been reported to have a higher risk of hepatic and non-hepatic mortality. We aim to study the recent trends in the prevalence of NAFLD-related advanced fibrosis in a large population sample.

METHODS

Cross-sectional data from 28,739 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2005 to 2016 were utilized. NAFLD was defined using the hepatic steatosis index (HSI) and the US fatty liver index (USFLI) in the absence of other causes of chronic liver disease. The presence and absence of advanced fibrosis in NAFLD was determined by the NAFLD fibrosis score, FIB-4 score, and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index.

RESULTS

The prevalence of NAFLD-related advanced fibrosis increased from 2.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.1-3.1] in 2005-2008 and 4.4% (95% CI 3.7-5.1) in 2009-2012, to 5.0% (95% CI 4.2-5.9) in 2013-2016 using HSI as the NAFLD prediction model; and from 3.3% (95% CI 2.5-4.5) in 2005-2008 and 6.4% (95% CI 3.7-5.1) in 2009-2012, to 6.8% (95% 5.3-8.7) in 2013-2016 using USFLI (p < 0.01). A similar trend was observed in entire NHANES cohort regardless of NAFLD status. While the prevalence of advanced fibrosis increased steadily in non-Hispanic whites through the duration of the study, it leveled off during 2013-2016 in non-Hispanic blacks.

CONCLUSIONS

Prevalence of advanced fibrosis associated with NAFLD increased steadily from 2005 to 2016. More importantly, race/ethnicity-based temporal differences were noted in the prevalence of NAFLD-related advanced fibrosis during the study.

Trends in Mortality From Extrahepatic Complications in Patients With Chronic Liver Disease, From 2007 Through 2017

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Trends of mortality associated with extrahepatic complications of chronic liver disease might be changing. We studied trends in mortality from extrahepatic complications of viral hepatitis, alcoholic liver disease (ALD), and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in the United States.

METHODS

We performed a population-based study using US Census and the National Center for Health Statistics mortality records from 2007 through 2017. We identified trends in age-standardized mortality using Joinpoint trend analysis with estimates of annual percent change.

RESULTS

The liver-related mortality among patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection increased from 2007 through 2013 and then decreased once patients began receiving treatment with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) agents, from 2014 through 2017. Among patients with HCV infection, the age-standardized mortality for extrahepatic cancers was 2.6%, for cardiovascular disease was 1.9%, and for diabetes was 3.3%. Among individuals with hepatitis B virus infection, liver-related mortality decreased steadily from 2007 through 2017. During the study, age-standardized mortality from hepatitis B virus-related extrahepatic complications increased by an average of 2.0% each year. Although liver-related mortality from ALD continued to increase, mortality from extrahepatic complications of ALD did not change significantly during the 11-year study. Among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, the cause of death was most frequently cardiovascular disease, which increased gradually over the study period, whereas liver-related mortality increased rapidly.

CONCLUSIONS

In an analysis of US Census and the National Center for Health Statistics mortality records, we found that after widespread use of DAA agents for treatment of viral hepatitis, cause-specific mortality from extrahepatic cancers increased, whereas mortality from cardiovascular disease or diabetes increased only among patients with HCV infection. These findings indicate the need to reassess risk and risk factors for extrahepatic cancer, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes in individuals successfully treated for HCV infection with DAA agents.

Sarcopenia in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the United States

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has been associated with sarcopenia. However, mortality in the setting of NAFLD-related sarcopenia remains undefined. We aim to determine the all-cause and cause-specific mortality from sarcopenia among adults with NAFLD in the USA.

METHODS

11 065 individuals in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were studied and linked mortality through 2015 was analysed. NAFLD was diagnosed based on presence of ultrasonographic hepatic steatosis without other known liver diseases. Sarcopenia was defined as skeletal muscle index determined by bioelectrical impedance analysis. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality, and hazard ratio (HR) adjusted for known risk factors.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 23 years or more, sarcopenia was associated with increased all-cause mortality (HR 1.27, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.11-1.44). Only in individuals with NAFLD, sarcopenia was associated with a higher risk for all-cause mortality, while this association was absent in those without NAFLD. Individuals with both sarcopenia and NAFLD had a higher risk for all-cause mortality (HR 1.28 95% CI 1.06-1.55) compared with those without sarcopenia and NAFLD. Furthermore, sarcopenia was associated with a higher risk for cancer- and diabetes-related mortality among those with NAFLD. This association was not noted in those without NAFLD.

CONCLUSION

In this nationally representative sample of US adults, sarcopenia was associated with a higher risk for all-cause, cancer- and diabetes-related mortality in individuals with NAFLD.

Low Thyroid Function in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Is an Independent Predictor of All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality

INTRODUCTION

Higher levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) in the euthyroid state can negatively affect the metabolic health, including nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We studied the effect of TSH levels in the setting of normal levels of thyroid hormone on all-cause and cause-specific mortality stratified by NAFLD status.

METHODS

The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) III from 1988 to 1994 and NHANES III-linked mortality data through 2015 were used. NAFLD was defined as ultrasonographically diagnosed hepatic steatosis without coexisting liver diseases. Subclinical hypothyroidism was defined as a TSH level over 4.5 mIU/L and "low-normal" thyroid function as higher TSH level (2.5-4.5 mIU/L) within the euthyroid reference range. The Cox proportional hazard model analyzed the all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality.

RESULTS

In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, individuals with low thyroid function demonstrated an association with NAFLD in a dose-dependent manner. During a median follow-up of 23 years, low thyroid function was associated with increased all-cause mortality only in the univariate model. Low thyroid function was associated with a higher risk for all-cause mortality in individuals with NAFLD and not in those without NAFLD. Furthermore, low thyroid function was associated with a higher risk for cardiovascular mortality in the entire population and among those with NAFLD but demonstrated no association with the non-NAFLD group.

DISCUSSION

In this large nationally representative sample of American adults, low thyroid function was associated with NAFLD and a predictor of higher risk for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in individuals with NAFLD.

Elevated urinary bisphenol A levels are associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease among adults in the United States

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The relationship between bisphenol A (BPA) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is undefined. We studied the impact of BPA on NAFLD.

METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional analysis of data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2005-2014 among adults in the United States (US). NAFLD was diagnosed using the hepatic steatosis index (HSI) and the US fatty liver index (USFLI) in the absence of other causes of chronic liver diseases. The first sample using HSI consisted of 7605 adults. The second sample using USFLI consisted of 3631 participants with availability of fasting data.

RESULTS

Of the first 7605 participants (mean age 47 years, 48.4% male), the prevalence of NAFLD and abnormally elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels was correlated with urinary BPA levels (P < 0.05). Compared to the reference group with lowest quartile of urinary BPA levels, those with the third and fourth quartiles were 81% and 53% more likely to develop NAFLD defined by HSI. In a multivariate model, the ORs for NAFLD in the third and fourth quartiles were 1.69 (95% CI 1.39-2.04) and 1.44 (95% CI 1.19-1.76) respectively (P for trend <0.001). In the second sample using USFLI, high BPA levels (fourth quartile) remained an independent predictor of NAFLD (OR 1.44, 95% CI 1.05-1.98, P for trend = 0.012).

CONCLUSIONS

High levels of urinary BPA were associated with NAFLD in a nationally representative sample of adults in the US. The pathophysiology remains unclear and warrants further investigation.

Prevalence of Fatty Liver Disease and Fibrosis Detected by Transient Elastography in Adults in the United States, 2017-2018

Fatty liver disease is a clinicopathologic spectrum that encompasses simple steatosis, steatohepatitis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis. Transient elastography has evolved as an accurate technique and noninvasive tool for assessing hepatic fibrosis in clinical practice.1 The controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) score has been added to elastography, which computes ultrasound attenuation related to hepatic steatosis and improves the measurement of hepatic steatosis.1,2 Given the unmet need to reckon the current burden of disease, it is essential to estimate the recent prevalence of fatty liver disease and fibrosis assessed by transient elastography in the United States. We investigated the sex-, race/ethnicity-, and body mass index-based prevalence of fatty liver disease and hepatic fibrosis by CAP-enhanced transient elastography in the United States.

Predictors of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and significant fibrosis in non-obese nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

AIMS

We compared (a) demographic and clinical characteristics and (b) determinants of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and significant fibrosis in non-obese and obese nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study of 664 Asian subjects (mean age 53.1 years; men 50.3%) with biopsy-proven nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and controls was conducted. Subjects were divided by their body mass index into obese (body mass index ≥25 kg/m2 ) and non-obese (body mass index <25 kg/m2 ).

RESULTS

Observations in subjects with non-obese nonalcoholic fatty liver disease were in between non-obese controls and subjects with obese nonalcoholic fatty liver disease for body mass index, sagittal abdominal diameter, aminotransferase levels, insulin resistance and abdominal visceral adipose tissue area. There was no significant difference in histology between non-obese and obese subjects with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease except for lower grade of hepatic steatosis in nonobese nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and higher severity of hepatic fibrosis in nonobese nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. Predictors of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis in nonobese subjects included females (odds ratio 2.49), higher alanine aminotransferase (odds ratio 1.03), lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (odds ratio 0.96), higher prevalence of diabetes (odds ratio 3.65) and higher visceral adipose tissue area (odds ratio 1.63 per standard deviation increase of visceral adipose tissue area) while age (odds ratio 1.04), higher aspartate aminotransferase (odds ratio 1.02), diabetes (odds ratio 2.76) and higher visceral adipose tissue area (odds ratio 1.57 per standard deviation increase) were associated with significant fibrosis in the non-obese. Sagittal abdominal diameter was independently associated with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis or significant fibrosis among subjects with non-obese nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

CONCLUSION

While there were a few phenotypic differences from obese subjects, non-obese subjects with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease displayed a similar severity of histological liver damage. Potential factor(s) beyond obesity may play a role as non-obese nonalcoholic fatty liver disease advances to more severe disease.

Physical Activity, Measured Objectively, Is Associated With Lower Mortality in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The association between physical activity (PA) and all-cause and cause-specific mortality from nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) requires investigation. We studied whether PA, measured by accelerometer, is associated with all-cause and cause-specific mortality among individuals with NAFLD.

METHODS

We performed a longitudinal analysis using the 2003 to 2006 US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data of adults (age, ≥20 y) and collecting mortality data through December 2015. NAFLD was defined based on the hepatic steatosis index or US fatty liver index scores, in the absence of other causes of chronic liver disease. PA was measured from participants who wore accelerometers 10 h/d for a minimum of 4 days over a 7-day period and were classified as total PA, moderate to vigorous PA (MVPA), and sedentary behavior.

RESULTS

Over an average follow-up period of 10.6 years, increasing the duration of total PA was associated with a reduced risk of death, from any cause, in an age- and sex-adjusted model (hazard ratio [HR], 0.52; 95% CI, 0.32-0.86 for highest quartile vs lowest quartile; P for trend = .001) and multivariable model (HR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.28-0.75; P for trend < .001) among individuals with NAFLD. Increasing the duration of MVPA was associated with a lower risk of death from any cause in individuals with NAFLD. Furthermore, longer total PA was associated with a lower risk for cardiovascular disease-related death in individuals with NAFLD (HR, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.08-0.98 for highest quartile vs lowest quartile; P for trend = .007). We did not find this association for cancer-related mortality in individuals with NAFLD. Increasing the duration of sedentary behavior did not affect all-cause or cause-specific mortality in individuals with NAFLD.

CONCLUSIONS

Longer total PA and MVPA, measured by accelerometers over a 7-day period, are associated with lower all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in individuals with NAFLD.

Trends in hospitalizations for chronic liver disease-related liver failure in the United States, 2005-2014

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Current estimates of the population-based disease burden of liver failure or end-stage liver disease (ESLD) are lacking. We investigated recent trends in hospitalizations and in-hospital mortality among patients with ESLD in the United States (US).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed utilizing the National Inpatient Sample from 2005 to 2014. We defined ESLD as either decompensated cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), criteria obtained from the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision. Nationwide rates of hospitalization and in-hospital mortality were analysed from 2005 to 2014.

RESULTS

Hospitalization rates for decompensated cirrhosis during this period increased from 105.3/100 000 persons to 159.9/100 000 persons. In terms of HCC, hospitalization rates increased from 13.6/100 000 to 22.1/100 000. In patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related decompensated cirrhosis, the hospitalization rate increased from 13.4/100 000 to 32.1/100 000 with an annual incremental increase of 10.6%, a magnitude twofold higher than other aetiologies. The proportion of NAFLD among hospitalizations with ESLD steadily increased from 12.7% to 20.1% for decompensated cirrhosis while the proportion of chronic hepatitis C (HCV) and alcoholic liver disease (ALD) declined (from 29.3% to 27.6% for HCV; from 39.0% to 37.4% for ALD). Although the overall in-hospital mortality rates for ESLD declined during the study, mortality rates for NAFLD-related decompensated cirrhosis showed no significant change.

CONCLUSIONS

Among aetiologies of chronic liver disease, NAFLD demonstrated the fastest growing rate of hospitalizations in non-HCC patients with ESLD in the US. Our study highlights the need for a focus on NAFLD-related hospitalizations and its impact on resource utilization.

Low-Normal Thyroid Function Is Associated With Advanced Fibrosis Among Adults in the United States

The pathogenetic pathways leading to increasing prevalence of advanced fibrosis in the setting of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and resulting in higher rates of liver-related and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in the United States are multifactorial.1 The negative health impact of "low-normal" thyroid function, which is defined as a higher level of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) within the euthyroid reference range, may be comparable with overt and subclinical hypothyroidism.2-4 We reported a strong association between biopsy-proven advanced fibrosis in NAFLD with increasing TSH levels in a dose-dependent manner even within the euthyroid reference range.5 To generalize our findings across all ethnicities, we examined the association of both low-normal thyroid function and subclinical hypothyroidism with advanced fibrosis in the US general population.

Trends in Etiology-based Mortality From Chronic Liver Disease Before and During COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States

BACKGROUND & AIMS

During the global coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, patients with pre-existing chronic liver disease may represent a vulnerable population. We studied the etiology-based temporal trends in mortality of chronic liver disease and the underlying cause of death in the United States before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

Population-based analyses were performed on United States national mortality records (2017-2020). Temporal trends in quarterly age-standardized mortality were obtained by joinpoint analysis with estimates of quarterly percentage change (QPC).

RESULTS

Quarterly age-standardized all-cause mortality due to alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) initially increased at a quarterly rate of 1.1% before the COVID-19 pandemic, followed by a sharp increase during the COVID-19 pandemic at a quarterly rate of 11.2%. Likewise, steady increase in mortality of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease before the COVID-19 pandemic (QPC, 1.9%) accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic (QPC, 6.6%). Although ALD-related mortality increased steeply compared with viral hepatitis-related mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic, the proportion of mortality due to COVID-19 among individuals with ALD was the lowest at 2.5%; more than 50% lower than viral hepatitis. The significant decline in all-cause mortality due to viral hepatitis before the COVID-19 pandemic plateaued during the COVID-19 pandemic due to increase in COVID-19-related mortality in individuals with viral hepatitis. Mortality due to cirrhosis increased markedly during the COVID-19 pandemic, mainly attributable to ALD.

CONCLUSION

All-cause mortality for ALD and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease rapidly accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic compared with the pre-COVID-19 era. There has been a significant decline in viral hepatitis; however, a significant increase in COVID-related death in this population.