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Haile TG, Getachew T, Negash AI. The burden and impact of COVID-19 among newborns in African countries: a study protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis. Int Health 2024; 16:380-386. [PMID: 38078740 PMCID: PMC11218874 DOI: 10.1093/inthealth/ihad112] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2023] [Revised: 10/29/2023] [Accepted: 11/23/2023] [Indexed: 07/04/2024] Open
Abstract
The WHO, on 30 January 2020, declared the Chinese outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) a global community health emergency that poses a serious threat to vulnerable healthcare systems. This review protocol will be conducted to systematically review and to perform a meta-analysis on the impact of COVID-19 among newborns in Africa. All observational studies on the impact of COVID-19 among newborns in Africa will be included. A standard quest strategy to retrieve studies was conducted on several databases (Google Scholar, PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, HINARI, Cochrane Library, WHO COVID-19 database, Africa Wide Knowledge and Web of Science). Two independent authors were tasked to extract key data and to assess the risk of bias. To assess possible publication bias, funnel plot test and Egger's test methods will be used. The description will be used to show the COVID-19 distribution data by interest variables such as residence, setting and person-level characteristics. The findings of this review will notify healthcare professionals about the burden and impact of COVID-19 and provide evidence to bring about the requisite improvements in clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Teklehaimanot Gereziher Haile
- Department of Maternity and Neonatal Nursing, School of Nursing, College of Health Sciences and Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Aksum University, Aksum, Tigray, Ethiopia
| | - Tamirat Getachew
- School of Nursing and Midwifery, College of Health and Medical Sciences, Haramaya University, Harar, Ethiopia
| | - Assefa Iyasu Negash
- Department of Adult Health Nursing, School of Nursing, College of Health Sciences and Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Aksum University, Aksum, Tigray, Ethiopia
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2
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Testing Our Way Out of Pandemics. HEALTH POLICY AND TECHNOLOGY 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/j.hlpt.2022.100714] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
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3
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Quinn CR, Johnson S, Jones K, Parekh R, Munshi A, Boyd DT. Social Work and the Next Frontier of Racial Justice: Using COVID-19 as a Vehicle for Healing. SOCIAL WORK IN PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 37:703-718. [PMID: 35656717 DOI: 10.1080/19371918.2022.2084197] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has put the United States and the world into a state of uncertainty. Before the onset of the coronavirus, awareness of health disparities across cities in the United States was questionable at best. As the world continues to grapple with the fallout of the pandemic and the response to it, several states and developed and developing countries created and implemented response efforts that were used as a guide, which social workers are most qualified to address but have not been a focus on a national nor international stage. This commentary focuses on two American states - Texas and Ohio as well as other global countries, and their responses that gained worldwide attention related to healthcare accessibility, service provision, and the role social workers should play moving forward and beyond the pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Camille R Quinn
- College of Social Work, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA
| | - Shavonda Johnson
- Ohio Department of Rehabilitation and Correction, Columbus, Ohio, USA
| | - Kristian Jones
- School of Social Work, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Ravi Parekh
- College of Human Ecology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA
| | - Additti Munshi
- College of Social Work, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA
| | - Donte T Boyd
- College of Social Work, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA
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Shi Y, Lin Y, Li B, Yi Man Li R. A bi-objective optimization model for the medical supplies' simultaneous pickup and delivery with drones. COMPUTERS & INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING 2022; 171:108389. [PMID: 35791409 PMCID: PMC9245375 DOI: 10.1016/j.cie.2022.108389] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/30/2021] [Revised: 05/19/2022] [Accepted: 06/27/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
In the COVID-19 pandemic, it is essential to transport medical supplies to specific locations accurately, safely, and promptly on time. The application of drones for medical supplies delivery can break ground traffic restrictions, shorten delivery time, and achieve the goal of contactless delivery to reduce the likelihood of contacting COVID-19 patients. However, the existing optimization model for drone delivery is cannot meet the requirements of medical supplies delivery in public health emergencies. Therefore, this paper proposes a bi-objective mixed integer programming model for the multi-trip drone location routing problem, which allows simultaneous pick-up and delivery, and shorten the time to deliver medical supplies in the right place. Then, a modified NSGA-II (Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II) which includes double-layer coding, is designed to solve the model. This paper also conducts multiple sets of data experiments to verify the performance of modified NSGA-II. Comparing with separate pickup and delivery modes, this study demonstrates that the proposed optimization model with simultaneous pickup and delivery mode achieves a shorter time, is safer, and saves more resources. Finally, the sensitivity analysis is conducted by changing some parameters, and providing some reference suggestions for medical supplies delivery management via drones.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuhe Shi
- School of Management Science and Real Estate, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400000, People's Republic of China
| | - Yun Lin
- School of Management Science and Real Estate, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400000, People's Republic of China
| | - Bo Li
- Chakrabongse Bhuvanarth International Institute for Interdisciplinary Studies, Rajamangala University of Technology Tawan-Ok, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
| | - Rita Yi Man Li
- Sustainable Real Estate Research Center, Hong Kong Shue Yan University, Hong Kong, China
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5
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Saveko A, Brykov V, Kitov V, Shpakov A, Tomilovskaya E. Adaptation in Gait to Lunar and Martian Gravity Unloading During Long-Term Isolation in the Ground-Based Space Station Model. Front Hum Neurosci 2022; 15:742664. [PMID: 35095445 PMCID: PMC8790089 DOI: 10.3389/fnhum.2021.742664] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/16/2021] [Accepted: 12/08/2021] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
The aim of the experiment was to evaluate the adaptive responses of biomechanical and electromyographic parameters to vertical unloading (Lunar—0.15 G and Martian—0.35 G) when walking during the 4-month isolation experiment SIRIUS-19 in the ground-based space station model (GBI). The study involved 6 healthy international crew members of the SIRIUS-19 project aged 34 ± 6.2 years (3 women and 3 men). Body Weight Unloading (BWU) conditions was created by the h/p/cosmos airwalk system. The locomotor test included walking (3.5 ± 0.3 km/h) with a sequential change of BWU modes: 5-min walking with 0% BWU (1 G), 5-min walking with 65% BWU (0.35 G) and 5-min walking with 85% BWU (0.15 G). Ground Reaction Force was recorded by the h/p/cosmos treadmill device. Muscle Lab Model 4000e device was used to record the electromyographic signals of the hip and shin muscles. The locomotor test was performed twice before GBI, monthly during GBI and 1 week after leaving isolation. The results obtained before GBI demonstrate that the changes of support and proprioceptive afferentation signals play significant role in reorganizing of the biomechanical structure of motor acts and the development of new movement patterns. The results of the study are consistent with the previously obtained results of other studies in this direction. Despite the fact that during the GBI the participants of the experiment performed regular physical training, a decrease in the performance indicators values was detected, especially pronounced after 100 days of GBI. This is probably due to limited space of a space station model, as well as the development of a special motor stereotype in it. Noteworthy are the results obtained after the 4th session of the experiment, indicating the effect of sensorimotor learning. We think that the data obtained in this study will be useful in research both in gravitational physiology and in clinical medicine.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alina Saveko
- Russian Federation State Scientific Center, Institute of Biomedical Problems of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
| | - Vitaly Brykov
- Russian Federation State Scientific Center, Institute of Biomedical Problems of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
| | - Vladimir Kitov
- Russian Federation State Scientific Center, Institute of Biomedical Problems of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
| | - Alexey Shpakov
- Russian Federation State Scientific Center, Institute of Biomedical Problems of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia.,Federal Science Center of Physical Culture and Sport (VNIIFK), Moscow, Russia
| | - Elena Tomilovskaya
- Russian Federation State Scientific Center, Institute of Biomedical Problems of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
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Assessment of Hygiene Indicators When Using Gloves by Transport Workers in Russia during the COVID-19 Pandemic. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:ijerph19031198. [PMID: 35162223 PMCID: PMC8834553 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19031198] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2021] [Revised: 01/13/2022] [Accepted: 01/19/2022] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
The COVID-19 outbreak represents a global public health emergency. National governments have gradually introduced restrictive measures. Using respiratory protective equipment (face masks) and gloves was essential practice without specific infection control measures or guidelines. This study aimed to assess hygiene indicators when using gloves by transport workers in Russia during the COVID-19 pandemic and to develop integral indicators and recommendations for wearing gloves for workers for whom this is a mandatory requirement. For this purpose, 1103 transport workers were surveyed using a questionnaire. We investigated the hygiene aspects of gloves and evaluated the bacterial contamination of the contact side of the gloves based on the wash results. We assessed the socio-demographic characteristics of the respondents, the duration of the work shift, the frequency of use of types of gloves, skin manifestations, the degree of comfort, and bacterial growth. We carried out the ranking according to comfort, the absence of adverse dermatological reactions when wearing gloves, and bacterial contamination of the inner surface of the gloves. It has been identified that it is necessary to use a comprehensive assessment of gloves to create a register of protective equipment, taking into account the frequency with which it was worn, the severity of the skin condition, comfort, and bacterial contamination.
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Riza E, Kakalou E, Nitsa E, Hodges-Mameletzis I, Goggolidou P, Terzidis A, Cardoso E, Puchner KP, Solomos Z, Pikouli A, Stoupa EP, Kakalou C, Karamagioli E, Pikoulis E. Appraisal of a Contact Tracing Training Program for COVID-19 in Greece Focusing on Vulnerable Populations. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:9257. [PMID: 34501844 PMCID: PMC8431650 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18179257] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2021] [Revised: 08/15/2021] [Accepted: 08/19/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Contact tracing as an epidemiological strategy has repeatedly contributed to the containment of various past epidemics and succeeded in controlling the spread of disease in the community. Systematic training of contact tracers is crucial in ensuring the effectiveness of epidemic containment. METHODS An intensive training course was offered to 216 health and other professionals who work with vulnerable population groups, such as Roma, refugees, and migrants in Greece, by the scientific team of the postgraduate programme "Global Health-Disaster Medicine" of the Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, with the support of the Swiss embassy in Greece. The course was delivered online due to the pandemic restriction measures and was comprised of 16 h over 2 days. The course curriculum was adapted in Greek using, upon agreement, a similar training course to what was developed by the Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health. Evaluation of the course was conducted in order to determine the short term satisfaction from participating in this training course. RESULTS A total of 70% of the course participants completed the evaluation questionnaires and all trainers gave feedback on the course. The training modules were ranked as extremely useful by the majority of the participants and over 50% of the participants specifically stated that the course content was directly related to their work with vulnerable groups. Content about the ethics of contact tracing and the effective communication skills presented were deemed most useful. CONCLUSION The course was well organised and provided the required skills for effective contact tracing. Many course participants intend to use some components in their work with vulnerable populations groups. Contact tracing efforts work best in a systematic and coordinated way and the provision of systematic and organised training can greatly increase its effectiveness.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elena Riza
- Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology & Medical Statistics, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Mikras Asias 75, 11527 Athens, Greece; (E.R.); (E.N.)
| | - Eleni Kakalou
- Postgraduate Programme “Global Health-Disaster Medicine”, Medical School National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Dilou 1 Street, 11527 Athens, Greece; (E.K.); (I.H.-M.); (A.T.); (E.C.); (K.P.P.); (A.P.); (E.-P.S.); (C.K.); (E.P.)
| | - Evangelia Nitsa
- Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology & Medical Statistics, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Mikras Asias 75, 11527 Athens, Greece; (E.R.); (E.N.)
| | - Ioannis Hodges-Mameletzis
- Postgraduate Programme “Global Health-Disaster Medicine”, Medical School National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Dilou 1 Street, 11527 Athens, Greece; (E.K.); (I.H.-M.); (A.T.); (E.C.); (K.P.P.); (A.P.); (E.-P.S.); (C.K.); (E.P.)
| | - Paraskevi Goggolidou
- Faculty of Science and Engineering, University of Wolverhampton, Wolverhampton WV1 1LY, UK;
| | - Agis Terzidis
- Postgraduate Programme “Global Health-Disaster Medicine”, Medical School National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Dilou 1 Street, 11527 Athens, Greece; (E.K.); (I.H.-M.); (A.T.); (E.C.); (K.P.P.); (A.P.); (E.-P.S.); (C.K.); (E.P.)
| | - Eleni Cardoso
- Postgraduate Programme “Global Health-Disaster Medicine”, Medical School National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Dilou 1 Street, 11527 Athens, Greece; (E.K.); (I.H.-M.); (A.T.); (E.C.); (K.P.P.); (A.P.); (E.-P.S.); (C.K.); (E.P.)
| | - Karl Philipp Puchner
- Postgraduate Programme “Global Health-Disaster Medicine”, Medical School National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Dilou 1 Street, 11527 Athens, Greece; (E.K.); (I.H.-M.); (A.T.); (E.C.); (K.P.P.); (A.P.); (E.-P.S.); (C.K.); (E.P.)
| | | | - Anastasia Pikouli
- Postgraduate Programme “Global Health-Disaster Medicine”, Medical School National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Dilou 1 Street, 11527 Athens, Greece; (E.K.); (I.H.-M.); (A.T.); (E.C.); (K.P.P.); (A.P.); (E.-P.S.); (C.K.); (E.P.)
| | - Eleni-Panagiota Stoupa
- Postgraduate Programme “Global Health-Disaster Medicine”, Medical School National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Dilou 1 Street, 11527 Athens, Greece; (E.K.); (I.H.-M.); (A.T.); (E.C.); (K.P.P.); (A.P.); (E.-P.S.); (C.K.); (E.P.)
| | - Christina Kakalou
- Postgraduate Programme “Global Health-Disaster Medicine”, Medical School National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Dilou 1 Street, 11527 Athens, Greece; (E.K.); (I.H.-M.); (A.T.); (E.C.); (K.P.P.); (A.P.); (E.-P.S.); (C.K.); (E.P.)
| | - Evika Karamagioli
- Postgraduate Programme “Global Health-Disaster Medicine”, Medical School National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Dilou 1 Street, 11527 Athens, Greece; (E.K.); (I.H.-M.); (A.T.); (E.C.); (K.P.P.); (A.P.); (E.-P.S.); (C.K.); (E.P.)
| | - Emmanouil Pikoulis
- Postgraduate Programme “Global Health-Disaster Medicine”, Medical School National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Dilou 1 Street, 11527 Athens, Greece; (E.K.); (I.H.-M.); (A.T.); (E.C.); (K.P.P.); (A.P.); (E.-P.S.); (C.K.); (E.P.)
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Koshta N, Devi Y, Patra S. Aerial Bots in the Supply Chain: A New Ally to Combat COVID-19. TECHNOLOGY IN SOCIETY 2021; 66:101646. [PMID: 34177005 PMCID: PMC8214327 DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2021.101646] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2021] [Revised: 06/14/2021] [Accepted: 06/16/2021] [Indexed: 05/09/2023]
Abstract
The rapid global spread of COVID-19 has caused disruptions in various supply chains and people's lives. At the same time, it has paved the way for drone technology (Aerial bots). With the countries gone into lockdown for an unspecified time, it is self-evident that people will run out of food, medicine, and other essentials because of the middleman's unavailability to move products from supply to demand point. Lack of medical infrastructure and distant testing laboratories is another challenge faced by the countries, which result in a delayed testing report leading to delay in medical treatment-such critical problems arising in the fight against COVID-19 highlight the need for improving the efficiency of supply chains. Recently used for commercial purposes, drone technology has already proved its utility in inventory and logistics management. Therefore, we argue that drones could be a viable option to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the supply chains working for humanitarian aid to combat COVID-19. Specifically, the focus is on food, administrative, and healthcare supply chains that are the core to combat the pandemic. Moreover, in this article, we highlight various present and future application areas for drone technology, which could pave the way for future research and industry applications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nitin Koshta
- Indian Institute of Management Kashipur, Kashipur, Udham Singh Nagar, Uttarakhand, 244713, India
| | - Yashoda Devi
- Indian Institute of Management Kashipur, Kashipur, Udham Singh Nagar, Uttarakhand, 244713, India
| | - Sabyasachi Patra
- Indian Institute of Management Kashipur, Kashipur, Udham Singh Nagar, Uttarakhand, 244713, India
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Ranabhat CL, Jakovljevic M, Kim CB, Simkhada P. COVID-19 Pandemic: An Opportunity for Universal Health Coverage. Front Public Health 2021; 9:673542. [PMID: 34395361 PMCID: PMC8358071 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.673542] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/27/2021] [Accepted: 06/29/2021] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Chhabi Lal Ranabhat
- Global Center for Research and Development, Kathmandu, Nepal
- Manmohan Memorial Institute for Health Science, Department of Public Health, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | - Mihajlo Jakovljevic
- Institute of Comparative Economic Studies, Hosei University Chiyoda, Tokyo, Japan
- Department of Global Health Economics and Policy, University of Kragujevac, Kragujevac, Serbia
| | - Chun-Bae Kim
- Yonsei University, Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju, South Korea
- Hongcheon County Hypertension and Diabetes Registration and Education Center, Hongcheon, South Korea
| | - Padam Simkhada
- University of Huddersfield, School of Human and Health Sciences, Huddersfield, United Kingdom
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Carvalho K, Vicente JP, Jakovljevic M, Teixeira JPR. Analysis and Forecasting Incidence, Intensive Care Unit Admissions, and Projected Mortality Attributable to COVID-19 in Portugal, the UK, Germany, Italy, and France: Predictions for 4 Weeks Ahead. BIOENGINEERING (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2021. [PMID: 34208000 DOI: 10.20944/preprints202105.0116.v1)] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/18/2023]
Abstract
The use of artificial neural networks (ANNs) is a great contribution to medical studies since the application of forecasting concepts allows for the analysis of future diseases propagation. In this context, this paper presents a study of the new coronavirus SARS-COV-2 with a focus on verifying the virus propagation associated with mitigation procedures and massive vaccination campaigns. There were two proposed methodologies in making predictions 28 days ahead for the number of new cases, deaths, and ICU patients of five European countries: Portugal, France, Italy, the United Kingdom, and Germany. A case study of the results of massive immunization in Israel was also considered. The data input of cases, deaths, and daily ICU patients was normalized to reduce discrepant numbers due to the countries' size and the cumulative vaccination values by the percentage of population immunized (with at least one dose of the vaccine). As a comparative criterion, the calculation of the mean absolute error (MAE) of all predictions presents the best methodology, targeting other possibilities of use for the method proposed. The best architecture achieved a general MAE for the 1-to-28-day ahead forecast, which is lower than 30 cases, 0.6 deaths, and 2.5 ICU patients per million people.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kathleen Carvalho
- Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI)-Instituto Politecnico de Braganca, 5300-253 Bragança, Portugal
- Campus Cornélio Procópio, Federal Technological University of Paraná, Paraná 86300-000, Brazil
| | - João Paulo Vicente
- Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI)-Instituto Politecnico de Braganca, 5300-253 Bragança, Portugal
- Campus Cornélio Procópio, Federal Technological University of Paraná, Paraná 86300-000, Brazil
| | - Mihajlo Jakovljevic
- Department of Global Health Economics and Policy, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Kragujevac, 34000 Kragujevac, Serbia
- Institute of Comparative Economic Studies, Hosei University, Tokyo 102-8160, Japan
| | - João Paulo Ramos Teixeira
- Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI)-Instituto Politecnico de Braganca, 5300-253 Bragança, Portugal
- Applied Management Research Unit (UNIAG), Instituto Politecnico de Braganca, 5300-253 Bragança, Portugal
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Carvalho K, Vicente JP, Jakovljevic M, Teixeira JPR. Analysis and Forecasting Incidence, Intensive Care Unit Admissions, and Projected Mortality Attributable to COVID-19 in Portugal, the UK, Germany, Italy, and France: Predictions for 4 Weeks Ahead. Bioengineering (Basel) 2021; 8:84. [PMID: 34208000 PMCID: PMC8230711 DOI: 10.3390/bioengineering8060084] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2021] [Revised: 06/04/2021] [Accepted: 06/07/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
The use of artificial neural networks (ANNs) is a great contribution to medical studies since the application of forecasting concepts allows for the analysis of future diseases propagation. In this context, this paper presents a study of the new coronavirus SARS-COV-2 with a focus on verifying the virus propagation associated with mitigation procedures and massive vaccination campaigns. There were two proposed methodologies in making predictions 28 days ahead for the number of new cases, deaths, and ICU patients of five European countries: Portugal, France, Italy, the United Kingdom, and Germany. A case study of the results of massive immunization in Israel was also considered. The data input of cases, deaths, and daily ICU patients was normalized to reduce discrepant numbers due to the countries' size and the cumulative vaccination values by the percentage of population immunized (with at least one dose of the vaccine). As a comparative criterion, the calculation of the mean absolute error (MAE) of all predictions presents the best methodology, targeting other possibilities of use for the method proposed. The best architecture achieved a general MAE for the 1-to-28-day ahead forecast, which is lower than 30 cases, 0.6 deaths, and 2.5 ICU patients per million people.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kathleen Carvalho
- Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI)—Instituto Politecnico de Braganca, 5300-253 Bragança, Portugal; (K.C.); (J.P.V.)
- Campus Cornélio Procópio, Federal Technological University of Paraná, Paraná 86300-000, Brazil
| | - João Paulo Vicente
- Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI)—Instituto Politecnico de Braganca, 5300-253 Bragança, Portugal; (K.C.); (J.P.V.)
- Campus Cornélio Procópio, Federal Technological University of Paraná, Paraná 86300-000, Brazil
| | - Mihajlo Jakovljevic
- Department of Global Health Economics and Policy, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Kragujevac, 34000 Kragujevac, Serbia;
- Institute of Comparative Economic Studies, Hosei University, Tokyo 102-8160, Japan
| | - João Paulo Ramos Teixeira
- Research Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics (CeDRI)—Instituto Politecnico de Braganca, 5300-253 Bragança, Portugal; (K.C.); (J.P.V.)
- Applied Management Research Unit (UNIAG), Instituto Politecnico de Braganca, 5300-253 Bragança, Portugal
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12
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Indoor Environmental Quality in Dwellings and Lifestyle Behaviors during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Russian Perspective. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:ijerph18115975. [PMID: 34199589 PMCID: PMC8199671 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18115975] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/08/2021] [Revised: 05/15/2021] [Accepted: 05/31/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak is a public health emergency of international concern, and as a response, public health authorities started enforcing preventive measures like self-isolation and social distancing. The enforcement of isolation has consequences that may affect the lifestyle-related behavior of the general population. Quarantine encompasses a range of strategies that can be used to detain, isolate, or conditionally release individuals or populations infected or exposed to contagious diseases and should be tailored to circumstances. Interestingly, medical students may represent an example of how the COVID-19 pandemic can form new habits and change lifestyle behaviors. We conducted a web-based survey to assess changes in lifestyle-related behavior of self-isolated medical students during the COVID-19 pandemic. Then we analyzed the sanitary-hygienic regulations of the Russian Federation to determine the requirements for healthy buildings. Results showed that during the pandemic, the enforcement of isolation affects medical students’ lifestyle-related behavior and accompanies an increase in non-communicable diseases (NCDs). Indoor environmental quality (IEQ) and healthy buildings are cutting-edge factors in preventing COVID-19 and NCDs. The Russian sanitary-hygienic regulations support improving this factor with suitable requirements for ventilation, sewage, waste management, and disinfection. Herein, assessing isolation is possible through the hygienic self-isolation index.
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13
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Leung H, Shek DTL, Dou D. Evaluation of Service-Learning in Project WeCan under COVID-19 in a Chinese Context. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:3596. [PMID: 33808448 PMCID: PMC8036497 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18073596] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2021] [Revised: 03/26/2021] [Accepted: 03/26/2021] [Indexed: 01/07/2023]
Abstract
Service-learning is a widely adopted educational pedagogy and philosophy. With the support from the Wharf (Holdings) Limited (Group), service-learning was conducted in the "Project WeCan" in Hong Kong. Prior to COVID-19, traditional service-learning was implemented with students learning in the classroom and applying their knowledge and skills to the community through providing direct face-to-face service. With the COVID-19 outbreak in the 2019-20 academic year, school lockdown measures appeared. Students had to learn online and to design and implement service offsite. As the impacts of this rapid shift in paradigm remain unknown, this study examined changes in university students using a pretest-posttest design (n = 124) and perceptions of service-learning experience via the subjective outcome evaluation design (n = 192) under COVID-19. The authors also investigated service recipients' (n = 56) satisfaction with service activities they participated in during the pandemic. Both objective outcome evaluation and subjective outcome evaluation findings revealed that service providers (university students) and recipients (secondary school students) experienced benefits from the Project. Findings support the benefits of online service-learning in "Project WeCan" even during unprecedented times such as COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hildie Leung
- Women’s Leadership Center, Princess Nourah Bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh 11671, Saudi Arabia;
| | - Daniel T. L. Shek
- Department of Applied Social Sciences, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China;
| | - Diya Dou
- Department of Applied Social Sciences, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China;
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Public Health Policy of India and COVID-19: Diagnosis and Prognosis of the Combating Response. SUSTAINABILITY 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/su13063415] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
(1) Background: Society and public policy have been remained interwoven since the inception of the modern state. Public health policy has been one of the important elements of the public administration of the Government of India (GOI). In order to universalize healthcare facilities for all, the GOI has formulated and implemented the national health policy (NHP). The latest NHP (2017) has been focused on the “Health in All” approach. On the other hand, the ongoing pandemic COVID-19 had left critical impacts on India’s health, healthcare system, and human security. The paper’s main focus is to critically examine the existing healthcare facilities and the GOI’s response to combat the COVID-19 apropos the NHP 2017. The paper suggests policy options that can be adopted to prevent the further expansion of the pandemic and prepare the country for future health emergency-like situations. (2) Methods: Extensive literature search was done in various databases, such as Scopus, Web of Science, Medline/PubMed, and google scholar search engines to gather relevant information in the Indian context. (3) Results: Notwithstanding the several combatting steps on a war-footing level, COVID-19 has placed an extra burden over the already overstretched healthcare infrastructure. Consequently, infected cases and deaths have been growing exponentially, making India stand in second place among the top ten COVID-19-infected countries. (4) Conclusions: India needs to expand the public healthcare system and enhance the expenditure as per the set goals in NHP-17 and WHO standards. The private healthcare system has not been proved reliable during the emergency. Only the public health system is suitable for the country wherein the population’s substantial size is rural and poor.
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