Performance comparison of a previously validated microhaplotype panel and a forensic STR panel for DNA mixture analysis

Short Tandem Repeats (STRs) are the most widespread markers in forensic genetics. However, STR stutter peaks can mask alleles from a minor contributor when analysing mixtures, hindering the interpretation of complex profiles. In this study we compared the performance of a previously described panel of microhaplotypes (MHs), an alternative type of forensic marker, against a standard STR kit. The parameters evaluated included: capability of determining the minimum number of contributors in the mixture; percentages of allele drop-outs and drop-ins; retrieval of alleles belonging to the minor contributor, and estimation of likelihood ratio (LR) values. In addition, the capacity of EuroForMix software to estimate each donor's percentage of contribution was tested, as well as the impact on results when using manually, or automatically prepared libraries. The MH panel showed better performance than STRs for the detection of 2-contributor mixtures, but the lower degree of polymorphism per MH marker hindered the task of deconvolution with multiple contributors. MHs presented higher drop-in rates and lower drop-out rates, a higher capability to recover the minor contributor's alleles and provided higher LR values than STRs, likely due to the much higher number of loci combined in the panel. Estimations of contributor ratios using EuroForMix showed promising results and marginal differences were found in these values between manually and automatically prepared libraries. Overall, results showed that the mixture detection performance of the MH panel was better or equal to the standard forensic autosomal STR panel, indicating microhaplotypes are informative markers for this purpose.

Exploring legal age estimation using DNA methylation

Minors (subjects under the legal age, established at this study at 18 years) benefit from a series of legal rights created to protect them and guarantee their welfare. However, throughout the world there are many minors who have no way to prove they are underaged, leading to a great interest in predicting legal age with the highest possible accuracy. Current methods, mainly involving X-ray analysis, are highly invasive, so new methods to predict legal age are being studied, such as DNA methylation. To further such studies, we created two age prediction models based on five epigenetic markers: cg21572722 (ELOVL2), cg02228185 (ASPA), cg06639320 (FHL2), cg19283806 (CCDC102B) and cg07082267 (no associated gene), that were analysed in blood samples to determine possible limitations regarding DNA methylation as an effective tool for legal age estimation. A wide age range prediction model was created using a broad set of samples (14-94 years) yielding a mean absolute error (MAE) of ±4.32 years. A second model, the constrained age prediction model, was created using a reduced range of samples (14-25 years) yielding an MAE of ±1.54 years. Both models, in addition to Horvath's Skin & Blood epigenetic clock, were evaluated using a test set comprising 732 pairs of 18-year-old twins (N=426 monozygotic (MZ) and N=306 dizygotic (DZ) pairs), representing a relevant age of study. Through analysis of the two former age prediction models, we found that constraining the age of the samples forming the training set around the desired age of study significantly reduced the prediction error (from MAE: ±4.07 and ±4.27 years for MZ and DZ twins, respectively; to ±1.31 and ±1.3 years). However, despite low prediction errors, DNA methylation models are still prone to classify same-aged individuals in different categories (minors or adults), despite each sample belonging to the same twin pair. Additional evaluation of Horvath's Skin & Blood model (391 CpGs) led to similar results in terms of age prediction errors than if using only five epigenetic markers (MAE: ±1.87 and ±1.99 years for MZ and DZ twins, respectively).

Inference of tobacco and alcohol consumption habits from DNA methylation analysis of blood

DNA methylation has become a biomarker of great interest in the forensic and clinical fields. In criminal investigations, the study of this epigenetic marker has allowed the development of DNA intelligence tools providing information that can be useful for investigators, such as age prediction. Following a similar trend, when the origin of a sample in a criminal scenario is unknown, the inference of an individual's lifestyle such as tobacco use and alcohol consumption could provide relevant information to help in the identification of DNA donors at the crime scene. At the same time, in the clinical domain, prediction of these trends of consumption could allow the identification of people at risk or better identification of the causes of different pathologies. In the present study, DNA methylation data from the UK AIRWAVE study was used to build two binomial logistic models for the inference of smoking and drinking status. A total of 348 individuals (116 non-smokers, 116 former smokers and 116 smokers) plus a total of 237 individuals (79 non-drinkers, 79 moderate drinkers and 79 drinkers) were used for development of tobacco and alcohol consumption prediction models, respectively. The tobacco prediction model was composed of two CpGs (cg05575921 in AHRR and cg01940273) and the alcohol prediction model three CpGs (cg06690548 in SLC7A11, cg0886875 and cg21294714 in MIR4435-2HG), providing correct classifications of 86.49% and 74.26%, respectively. Validation of the models was performed using leave-one-out cross-validation. Additionally, two independent testing sets were also assessed for tobacco and alcohol consumption. Considering that the consumption of these substances could underlie accelerated epigenetic ageing patterns, the effect of these lifestyles on the prediction of age was evaluated. To do that, a quantile regression model based on previous studies was generated, and the potential effect of tobacco and alcohol consumption with the epigenetic age was assessed. The Wilcoxon test was used to evaluate the residuals generated by the model and no significant differences were observed between the categories analyzed.

Adapting an established Ampliseq microhaplotype panel to nanopore sequencing through direct PCR

We have adapted an established Ampliseq microhaplotype panel for nanopore sequencing with the Oxford Nanopore Technologies (ONT) system, as a cost-effective and highly scalable solution for forensic genetics applications. For this purpose, we designed a protocol combining direct PCR amplification from unextracted DNA with ONT library construction and sequencing using the MinION device and workflow. The analysis of reference samples at input amounts of 5-10 ng of DNA demonstrates stable coverage patterns, allele balance, and strand bias, reaching profile completeness and concordance rates of ∼95%. Similar levels were achieved when using direct-PCR from blood, buccal and semen swabs. Dilution series results indicate sensitivity is maintained down to 250 pg of input DNA, and informative profiles are produced down to 62.5 pg. Finally, we demonstrated the forensic utility of the nanopore workflow by analyzing two third degree pedigrees that showed low likelihood ratio values after the analysis of an extended panel of 38 STRs, achieving likelihood ratios 2-3 orders of magnitude higher when testing with the MinION-based haplotype data.

Development of an epigenetic age predictor for costal cartilage with a simultaneous somatic tissue differentiation system

Age prediction from DNA has been a topic of interest in recent years due to the promising results obtained when using epigenetic markers. Since DNA methylation gradually changes across the individual's lifetime, prediction models have been developed accordingly for age estimation. The tissue-dependence for this biomarker usually necessitates the development of tissue-specific age prediction models, in this way, multiple models for age inference have been constructed for the most commonly encountered forensic tissues (blood, oral mucosa, semen). The analysis of skeletal remains has also been attempted and prediction models for bone have now been reported. Recently, the VISAGE Enhanced Tool was developed for the simultaneous DNA methylation analysis of 8 age-correlated loci using targeted high-throughput sequencing. It has been shown that this method is compatible with epigenetic age estimation models for blood, buccal cells, and bone. Since when dealing with decomposed cadavers or postmortem samples, cartilage samples are also an important biological source, an age prediction model for cartilage has been generated in the present study based on methylation data collected using the VISAGE Enhanced Tool. In this way, we have developed a forensic cartilage age prediction model using a training set composed of 109 samples (19-74 age range) based on DNA methylation levels from three CpGs in FHL2, TRIM59 and KLF14, using multivariate quantile regression which provides a mean absolute error (MAE) of ± 4.41 years. An independent testing set composed of 72 samples (19-75 age range) was also analyzed and provided an MAE of ± 4.26 years. In addition, we demonstrate that the 8 VISAGE markers, comprising EDARADD, TRIM59, ELOVL2, MIR29B2CHG, PDE4C, ASPA, FHL2 and KLF14, can be used as tissue prediction markers which provide reliable blood, buccal cells, bone, and cartilage differentiation using a developed multinomial logistic regression model. A training set composed of 392 samples (n = 87 blood, n = 86 buccal cells, n = 110 bone and n = 109 cartilage) was used for building the model (correct classifications: 98.72%, sensitivity: 0.988, specificity: 0.996) and validation was performed using a testing set composed of 192 samples (n = 38 blood, n = 36 buccal cells, n = 46 bone and n = 72 cartilage) showing similar predictive success to the training set (correct classifications: 97.4%, sensitivity: 0.968, specificity: 0.991). By developing both a new cartilage age model and a tissue differentiation model, our study significantly expands the use of the VISAGE Enhanced Tool while increasing the amount of DNA methylation-based information obtained from a single sample and a single forensic laboratory analysis. Both models have been placed in the open-access Snipper forensic classification website.

Vaginal laser therapy for GSM/VVA: where we stand now - a review by the EUGA Working Group on Laser

Vulvovaginal atrophy (VVA) is a chronic progressive condition that involves the genital and lower urinary tracts, related to the decrease of serum estrogenic levels when menopause occurs. The definition of genitourinary syndrome of menopause (GSM) is a medically more accurate, all-encompassing and publicly acceptable term than VVA. Due to the chronic progressive trend of GSM, symptoms tend to reappear after the cessation of therapy, and frequently long-term treatment is required. First-line therapies include vulvar and vaginal lubricant or moisturizers, and, in the case of failure, low-dose vaginal estrogens are the preferred pharmacological therapy. Populations of patients, such as breast cancer (BC) survivors, are affected by iatrogenic GSM symptoms with concerns about the use of hormonal therapies. The non-ablative erbium:YAG laser and the fractional microablative CO2 vaginal laser are the two main lasers evaluated for GSM treatment. The aim of this comprehensive review is to report the efficacy and safety of Er:YAG and CO2 vaginal lasers for GSM treatment. Vaginal laser therapy has been demonstrated to be effective in restoring vaginal health, improving VVA symptoms and sexual function. The data suggest that both Er:YAG and CO2 vaginal lasers are safe energy-based therapeutic options for management of VVA and/or GSM symptoms in postmenopausal women and BC survivors.

Minimum space requirements for cattle: An approach based on photographic records

BACKGROUND

The space requirements for accommodating cattle during confinement are based on assessment of both the physical space occupied by the animals and that needed for essential behaviours. The aim of this study was to estimate the area (m2 ) occupied by cattle of different liveweights in the static standing (ST), recumbency (SR) and sleeping (SL) postures.

METHODS

The study was conducted in Chile. The area (m2 ) occupied by 26 female beef cross cattle with liveweights between 45 and 642 kg was estimated in the ST, SR and SL postures through planimetry using overhead photographs. The allometric coefficient k value was obtained for each posture using linear regression equations from the measured weight (kg0.66 ) and area occupied.

RESULTS

Less but more variable space was occupied by each individual in the ST posture compared to SR or SL posture, with clear correlations between weight and occupied area. The k values obtained were 0.014 (ST), 0.023 (SR) and 0.021 (SL), which are all less than international recommendations for the same postures.

LIMITATIONS

The methodology needs refinement to reduce the distance to the object optical effect in the different postures. Further work is also needed to determine additional space requirements for behavioural needs and movements associated with each posture and change of posture, depending on the type of confinement.

CONCLUSIONS

We provide a scientific basis on which to objectively establish absolute minimum static space requirements for cattle of different breeds, types, weights and anatomical conformations and calculate k values.

Development and evaluations of the ancestry informative markers of the VISAGE Enhanced Tool for Appearance and Ancestry

The VISAGE Enhanced Tool for Appearance and Ancestry (ET) has been designed to combine markers for the prediction of bio-geographical ancestry plus a range of externally visible characteristics into a single massively parallel sequencing (MPS) assay. We describe the development of the ancestry panel markers used in ET, and the enhanced analyses they provide compared to previous MPS-based forensic ancestry assays. As well as established autosomal single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that differentiate sub-Saharan African, European, East Asian, South Asian, Native American, and Oceanian populations, ET includes autosomal SNPs able to efficiently differentiate populations from Middle East regions. The ability of the ET autosomal ancestry SNPs to distinguish Middle East populations from other continentally defined population groups is such that characteristic patterns for this region can be discerned in genetic cluster analysis using STRUCTURE. Joint cluster membership estimates showing individual co-ancestry that signals North African or East African origins were detected, or cluster patterns were seen that indicate origins from central and Eastern regions of the Middle East. In addition to an augmented panel of autosomal SNPs, ET includes panels of 85 Y-SNPs, 16 X-SNPs and 21 autosomal Microhaplotypes. The Y- and X-SNPs provide a distinct method for obtaining extra detail about co-ancestry patterns identified in males with admixed backgrounds. This study used the 1000 Genomes admixed African and admixed American sample sets to fully explore these enhancements to the analysis of individual co-ancestry. Samples from urban and rural Brazil with contrasting distributions of African, European, and Native American co-ancestry were also studied to gauge the efficiency of combining Y- and X-SNP data for this purpose. The small panel of Microhaplotypes incorporated in ET were selected because they showed the highest levels of haplotype diversity amongst the seven population groups we sought to differentiate. Microhaplotype data was not formally combined with single-site SNP genotypes to analyse ancestry. However, the haplotype sequence reads obtained with ET from these loci creates an effective system for de-convoluting two-contributor mixed DNA. We made simple mixture experiments to demonstrate that when the contributors have different ancestries and the mixture ratios are imbalanced (i.e., not 1:1 mixtures) the ET Microhaplotype panel is an informative system to infer ancestry when this differs between the contributors.

Neutron star mass estimates from gamma-ray eclipses in spider millisecond pulsar binaries

Reliable neutron star mass measurements are key to determining the equation of state of cold nuclear matter, but such measurements are rare. Black widows and redbacks are compact binaries consisting of millisecond pulsars and semi-degenerate companion stars. Spectroscopy of the optically bright companions can determine their radial velocities, providing inclination-dependent pulsar mass estimates. Although inclinations can be inferred from subtle features in optical light curves, such estimates may be systematically biased due to incomplete heating models and poorly understood variability. Using data from the Fermi Large Area Telescope, we have searched for gamma-ray eclipses from 49 spider systems, discovering significant eclipses in 7 systems, including the prototypical black widow PSR B1957+20. Gamma-ray eclipses require direct occultation of the pulsar by the companion, and so the detection, or significant exclusion, of a gamma-ray eclipse strictly limits the binary inclination angle, providing new robust, model-independent pulsar mass constraints. For PSR B1957+20, the eclipse implies a much lighter pulsar (1.81 ± 0.07 solar masses) than inferred from optical light curve modelling.

Development of a prototype modeling system to estimate the GHG mitigation potential of forest and wildfire management

Having recently experienced the three worst wildfire seasons in British Columbia's history in 2017, 2018 and 2021, and anticipating more severe impacts in the future, a key Carbon (C) research priority is to develop reliable models to explore options and identify a portfolio of regionally differentiated solutions for wildfire and forest management. We contribute to this effort by developing a prototype integrated C modeling framework which includes future wildfires that respond to forest stand characteristics and wildfire history. Model validation evaluated net GHG emissions relative to a 'do-nothing' baseline for several management scenarios and included emissions from forest ecosystems, harvested wood products and substitution benefits from avoided fossil fuel burning and avoided emissions-intensive materials. Data improvements are needed to accurately quantify the baseline and scenario GHG emissions, and to identify trade-offs and uncertainties. • A Fire Tolerant scenario included post-fire restoration with planting of climatically suitable fire-resistant species and salvage harvest in place of clearcut harvest.

Rare Presentation of Crescentic Glomerulonephritis in a 4-Week-Old Infant

Introduction/Objective

Rapidly progressive glomerulonephritis is characterized by sudden decline in renal function and glomerular crescents. Crescentic glomerulonephritis develops along three pathways: glomerular basement membrane antibody in situ deposition , circulating immune complex glomerular deposition, or pauci-immune (typically ANCA-associated). For the latter, histopathologic diagnosis is more frequently obtained in adults than in children. Therefore, tissue examination opportunities in infants and neonates is exceptionally rare.

Methods/Case Report

Here we report the autopsy findings from a 4-week-old infant who was part of dichorionic, diamniotic twin pregnancy and born prematurely at 34 weeks to a 30-year-old G6P4 mother. The infant initially presented with labored breathing and poor oral intake, but subsequently developed Enterobactor meningoencephalitis and sepsis, leading to extensive strokes andstatus epilepticus. An infectious source was not identified clinically, and evaluation for an underlying immunodeficiency was indeterminant. The mother had no known autoimmune diseases or antenatal infections. At autopsy, kidney histology showed focal fibrinoid necrosis and/or cellular and fibrocellular crescents (~5%), especially mid to deep cortex. Intracapillary hypercellularity was minimal to absent. Mesangial matrix was not expanded. The interstitium contained patchy inflammatory infiltrates (mononuclear > polymorphonuclear). Direct immunofluorescence (IF) on pronase-treated paraffin sections did not show glomerular deposition of IgG, IgA, or IgM. Electron microscopy (EM) did not show electron dense deposits despite autolysis.

Results (if a Case Study enter NA)

NA.

Conclusion

The absence of immune complex deposition by IF and dense deposits by EM favors the rare diagnosis of pauci-immune glomerulonephritis in this case of neonatal crescentic glomerulonephritis associated with Enterobactor meningoencephalitis and sepsis, with no associated maternal autoimmune disease or antenatal infections.

Eurasiaplex-2: Shifting the focus to SNPs with high population specificity increases the power of forensic ancestry marker sets

To compile a new South Asian-informative panel of forensic ancestry SNPs, we changed the strategy for selecting the most powerful markers for this purpose by targeting polymorphisms with near absolute specificity - when the South Asian-informative allele identified is absent from all other populations or present at frequencies below 0.001 (one in a thousand). More than 120 candidate SNPs were identified from 1000 Genomes datasets satisfying an allele frequency screen of ≥ 0.1 (10 % or more) allele frequency in South Asians, and ≤ 0.001 (0.1 % or less) in African, East Asian, and European populations. From the candidate pool of markers, a final panel of 36 SNPs, widely distributed across most autosomes, were selected that had allele frequencies in the five 1000 Genomes South Asian populations ranging from 0.4 to 0.15. Slightly lower average allele frequencies, but consistent patterns of informativeness were observed in gnomAD South Asian datasets used to validate the 1000 Genomes variant annotations. We named the panel of 36 South Asian-specific SNPs Eurasiaplex-2, and the informativeness of the panel was evaluated by compiling worldwide population data from 4097 samples in four genome variation databases that largely complement the global sampling of 1000 Genomes. Consistent patterns of allele frequency distribution, which were specific to South Asia, were observed in all populations in, or closely sited to, the Indian sub-continent. Pakistani populations from the HGDP-CEPH panel had markedly lower allele frequencies, highlighting the need to develop a statistical system to evaluate the ancestry inference value of counting the number of population-specific alleles present in an individual.

Reproductive behaviour before and after oestrus and oviposition in the captive short-beaked echidna (Tachyglossus aculeatus)

CONTEXT

Most of our current knowledge regarding echidna reproductive behaviour is based on qualitative measurements; therefore, it is unclear if specific behavioural cues could be utilised in their captive reproductive management.

AIMS

This study aimed to identify quantitative changes in general and reproductive behaviour of echidna breeding pairs and pregnant females that might facilitate the detection of oestrus and impending oviposition and provide a summary of reproductive behaviour observed in a captive colony over a three-year observation period.

METHODS

Three echidna breeding pairs and two trios were monitored daily for seven reproductive and eight general behaviours during the 2020 breeding season. After confirmed copulation, females were monitored for four egg-laying and eight general behaviours until egg incubation. General observations of reproductive behaviours during the 2018-2020 breeding seasons were recorded as part of routine husbandry.

KEY RESULTS

For breeding pairs, there was a significant rate of change over time before and after copulation for the behaviours 'urogenital sniffing', 'rolling' and 'copulation attempt'. For pregnant females, time engaged in 'pacing' significantly increased while 'time eating' and the 'quantity of food eaten' significantly decreased on the day of oviposition. We were not able to identify oestrus from specific behaviours, but our observations suggest that the female echidna's period of receptivity is less than 24h.

CONCLUSIONS

The frequency that males express 'urogenital sniffing', 'rolling' and 'copulation attempt' toward the female can be used to alert zookeepers that copulation has likely occurred. Increased pacing, reduced feeding time and quantity of food eaten can aid zookeepers to identify impending oviposition.

IMPLICATIONS

This study demonstrates that there are quantifiable changes in specific echidna behaviours that can be incorporated into zoo husbandry practices to improve the reproductive management of this species.

Effect of medical education on European psychiatrists’ knowledge in management of major depressive disorder and psychiatric emergencies

Introduction

The challenge for psychiatrists is keeping up to date with the latest clinical trial data in managing major depressive disorder (MDD) and psychiatric emergencies.

Objectives

We evaluated whether an online educational video lecture directed at psychiatrists, could improve knowledge and confidence regarding management of psychiatric emergencies associated with MDD.

Methods

Educational effect was assessed using a 3-question repeated pairs, pre/post assessment survey. A paired-samples t-test was conducted to assess overall number correct and confidence change. A McNemar’s test was conducted to assess question-level significance. P values < 0.05 are statistically significant. Cohen’s d test was used to estimate the magnitude of effect of education. The activity launched on 8 April 2021, and preliminary data analysed as of 24 June 2021.

Results

807 psychiatrists participated in the programme, of which 150 completed the pre- and post-assessment test. An average overall correct response rate of 44% pre- increased to 74% post- (67% relative increase, P<0.001; Cohen’s d = 0.91). Knowledge on the burden of suicide and MDD improved from 38% pre- to 85% post- (124% relative increase,P<0.001). Knowledge regarding clinical data for novel therapies for use in psychiatric emergencies improved from 47% pre- to 68% post- (45% relative increase, P<0.01). Knowledge regarding signs of suicidal intent in patients with MDD improved from 49% pre- to 71% (45% relative increase, P<0.001) following education.

Conclusions

This study demonstrates the positive effect of online medical education on psychiatrists’ knowledge in contemporary management of psychiatric emergencies associated with MDD in Europe.

Disclosure

The results of this study were from an educational programme that was developed through independent educational funding from Janssen Neuroscience.

Effect of medical education on European primary care physicians’ knowledge in management of major depressive disorder and psychiatric emergencies

Introduction

The challenge for primary care physicians (PCPs) is keeping up to date in managing major depressive disorder (MDD) and psychiatric emergencies.

Objectives

We evaluated whether an online educational video lecture directed at PCPs, could improve knowledge and confidence regarding management of psychiatric emergencies associated with MDD.

Methods

Educational effect was assessed using a 3-question repeated pairs, pre/post assessment survey. A paired-samples t-test was conducted to assess overall number correct and confidence change. A McNemar’s test was conducted to assess question-level significance. P values < 0.05 are statistically significant. Cohen’s d test was used to estimate the magnitude of effect of education. The activity launched on 8 April 2021, and preliminary data analysed as of 24 June 2021.

Results

511 PCPs participated in the programme, of which 86 PCPs completed the pre- and post-assessment test. An average overall correct response rate of 28% pre- increased to 64% post- (129% relative increase, P<0.001; Cohen’s d = 1.13). Knowledge on the burden of suicide and MDD improved from 23% pre- to 87% post- (278% relative increase,P<0.001). Knowledge regarding clinical data for novel therapies for use in psychiatric emergencies improved from 29% pre- to 50% post- (72% relative increase, P<0.01). Knowledge regarding signs of suicidal intent in patients with MDD improved from 31% pre- to 53% (71% relative increase, P<0.001) following education.

Conclusions

This study demonstrates the positive effect of online medical education on PCPs’ knowledge and confidence in contemporary management of psychiatric emergencies associated with MDD in Europe.

Disclosure

The results of this study were derived from an educational programme which was developed through independent educational funding from Janssen Neuroscience

Ethnic differences in success at application for consultant posts among United Kingdom physicians from 2011 to 2019: a retrospective cross-sectional observational study

OBJECTIVES

To identify associations between success following application for consultant physician posts and demographic factors.

DESIGN

Logistic regression analysis of nationwide survey data.

SETTING

United Kingdom (UK) physicians with a recent certificate of completion of training (CCT).

PARTICIPANTS

All UK trainee physicians who received a CCT between 2010 and 2019 were surveyed. Respondents were excluded if they had not applied for a consultant post or if application data were incomplete.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome measure was success over the entire consultant application process, i.e. shortlisted and offered the post following the first application. Secondary outcomes were: shortlisted following first application and offered a consultant post at first interview.

RESULTS

From 7037 CCT holders surveyed, 50.7% responded. While 1198 (59.7%) respondents were white, 760 (37.9%) were from minority ethnic groups and 50 (3.5%) were of unknown ethnicity. Primary medical qualification (PMQ) country was the UK in 75.3% (n = 1512). On multivariable logistic regression analysis the independent negative associations with success were: minority ethnicity (odds ratio [OR] 0.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.43-0.71); p < 0.001) vs. white; PMQ from Europe (OR 0.47, 95% CI 0.28-0.79; p = 0.004) or Asia (OR 0.68, 95% CI 0.49-0.96; p = 0.027) vs. UK PMQ; year of CCT 2012 (OR 0.40, 95% CI 0.24-0.68; p = 0.001), 2013 (OR 0.39, 95% CI 0.23-0.65; p < 0.001), and 2014 (OR 0.26, 95% CI 0.15-0.43; p < 0.001) vs. 2019. Specialties associated with lower success rates included Cardiology, Endocrinology, Genitourinary medicine, Palliative care, Renal and Respiratory, compared to Acute medicine.

CONCLUSIONS

Minority ethnic group candidates for consultant physician posts had lower success rates compared to white candidates after correction for important variables including specialty, time from and country of PMQ. This finding requires further evaluation to identify the causes for this variation.

Movement of Free-Ranging Koalas in Response to Male Vocalisation Playbacks

Simple Summary

Conservation management is critical for threatened wildlife species and an effective conservation approach relies on good understanding of animal behaviour in natural habitat. Currently, koalas are listed as vulnerable to extinction in Australia with declining populations, but their social and breeding system remains unclear. Male koala vocalisations, known as bellows, are believed to be closely related to their breeding behaviour. Bellows incorporate callers’ body size information which can be perceived by other koalas. In this study, we tested the behavioural responses of 20 GPS-collared free ranging koalas to bellow recordings collected from small (<6 kg) and large (>8.5 kg) adult male koalas. We report evidence of intra-male competition, with adult males approaching bellow playbacks, particularly those from small-sized males. In contrast, juvenile males under three years of age showed avoidance of the playbacks. No patterns in the response of females were detected. Our results provide the strongest evidence yet that bellows are primarily a means by which males occupy and control habitat space during the breeding season. Future studies are required to see if female response to bellows depends on their reproductive status.

Abstract

Effective conservation strategies rely on knowledge of seasonal and social drivers of animal behaviour. Koalas are generally solitary and their social arrangement appears to rely on vocal and chemical signalling. Male koala vocalisations, known as bellows, are believed to be closely related to their breeding behaviour. Previous research suggests that oestrous female koalas use bellows to locate unique males to mate with, and that males can similarly use bellows to evaluate the physical attributes of their peers. We tested the behavioural responses of 20 free ranging koalas to bellow recordings collected from small (<6 kg) and large (>8.5 kg) adult male koalas. Individual koala movement was reported by hourly-uploaded GPS coordinates. We report evidence of intra-male competition, with adult males approaching bellow playbacks, particularly those from small-sized males. In contrast, males under three years of age were averse to the playbacks. No patterns in the response of females were detected. Our results provide the strongest evidence yet that bellows are primarily a means by which males occupy and control space during the breeding season. Future studies are required to see if female response to bellows depends on their reproductive status.

COVID-19: using chest CT of major trauma patients to monitor and evaluate the second wave in London and the development of routine monitoring in practice

AIM

To follow-up previous work evaluating incidental findings of COVID-19 signs on computed tomography (CT) images of major trauma patients to include the second wave prior to any major effects from vaccines.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study population included all patients admitted following major trauma between 1 January 2020 and 28 February 2021 with CT including the lungs (n=1776). Major trauma patients admitted pre-COVID-19 from alternate months from January 2019 to November 2019 comprised a control group (n=837). The assessing radiologists were blinded to the time period and used double reading in consensus to determine if the patient had signs of COVID-19. Lung appearances were classified as no evidence of COVID-19, minor signs, or major signs.

RESULTS

The method successfully tracked the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in London. The estimated population affected by the disease based on those with major signs was similar to estimates of the proportion of the population in London with antibodies (around 30% by end February 2021) and the total of major and minor signs produced a much higher figure of 68%, which may include all those with both antibody and just T-cell responses.

CONCLUSIONS

Incidental findings on CT from major trauma patients may provide a novel and sensitive way of tracking the virus. It is recommended that all major trauma units include a simple question on signs of COVID-19 to provide an early warning system for further waves.

Evaluation of a custom QIAseq targeted DNA panel with 164 ancestry informative markers sequenced with the Illumina MiSeq

Introduction of new methods requires meticulous evaluation before they can be applied to forensic genetic case work. Here, a custom QIAseq Targeted DNA panel with 164 ancestry informative markers was assessed using the MiSeq sequencing platform. Concordance, sensitivity, and the capability for analysis of mixtures were tested. The assay gave reproducible and nearly concordant results with an input of 10 and 2 ng DNA. Lower DNA input led to an increase in both locus and allele drop-outs, and a higher variation in heterozygote balance. Locus or allele drop-outs in the samples with less than 2 ng DNA input were not necessarily associated with the overall performance of a locus. Thus, the QIAseq assay will be difficult to implement in a forensic genetic setting where the sample material is often scarce and of poor quality. With equal or near equal mixture ratios, the mixture DNA profiles were easily identified by an increased number of imbalanced heterozygotes. For more skewed mixture ratios, the mixture DNA profiles were identified by an increased noise level. Lastly, individuals from Great Britain and the Middle East were investigated. The Middle Eastern individuals showed a greater affinity with South European populations compared to North European populations.