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Schaerlaekens S, Jacobs L, Stobbelaar K, Cos P, Delputte P. All Eyes on the Prefusion-Stabilized F Construct, but Are We Missing the Potential of Alternative Targets for Respiratory Syncytial Virus Vaccine Design? Vaccines (Basel) 2024; 12:97. [PMID: 38250910 PMCID: PMC10819635 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines12010097] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2023] [Revised: 01/12/2024] [Accepted: 01/13/2024] [Indexed: 01/23/2024] Open
Abstract
Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) poses a significant global health concern as a major cause of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs). Over the last few years, substantial efforts have been directed towards developing vaccines and therapeutics to combat RSV, leading to a diverse landscape of vaccine candidates. Notably, two vaccines targeting the elderly and the first maternal vaccine have recently been approved. The majority of the vaccines and vaccine candidates rely solely on a prefusion-stabilized conformation known for its highly neutralizing epitopes. Although, so far, this antigen design appears to be successful for the elderly, our current understanding remains incomplete, requiring further improvement and refinement in this field. Pediatric vaccines still have a long journey ahead, and we must ensure that vaccines currently entering the market do not lose efficacy due to the emergence of mutations in RSV's circulating strains. This review will provide an overview of the current status of vaccine designs and what to focus on in the future. Further research into antigen design is essential, including the exploration of the potential of alternative RSV proteins to address these challenges and pave the way for the development of novel and effective vaccines, especially in the pediatric population.
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Mattke S, Gustavsson A, Jacobs L, Kern S, Palmqvist S, Eriksdotter M, Skoog I, Winblad B, Wimo A, Jönsson L. Estimates of Current Capacity for Diagnosing Alzheimer's Disease in Sweden and the Need to Expand Specialist Numbers. J Prev Alzheimers Dis 2024; 11:155-161. [PMID: 38230728 PMCID: PMC10995070 DOI: 10.14283/jpad.2023.94] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/18/2023] [Accepted: 06/05/2023] [Indexed: 01/18/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The emergence of disease-modifying Alzheimer's (AD) treatments provides new hope to patients and families but concerns have been raised about the preparedness of healthcare systems to provide timely access to such treatments because of a combination of a complex diagnostic process and a large prevalent pool. OBJECTIVES We assess the preparedness of Sweden, a high-income country known for its dementia-friendly policies, to diagnose AD patients eligible for treatment within a six-month window, given current capacity for specialist evaluations and biomarker testing. We calculate the investment requirements for Sweden to achieve this target over a timeframe of 20 years. DESIGN Desk research to identify data for population, mortality, disease burden, cost of services and current capacity, expert consultation to inform assumptions about patient journey, and use of a Markov model to predict waiting times. The model simulates the patients' journey through different evaluation stages: initial evaluation by a primary care specialist, neurocognitive testing by an AD specialist, and confirmatory biomarker testing with PET scanning or cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) testing. The model assumes specialist appointments and PET scans are capacity constrained, and patients progress from cognitively normal to MCI and from MCI to dementia in the resulting waiting times. MEASUREMENTS Projected waiting times for diagnosis of eligibility for disease-modifying Alzheimer's treatment from 2023 to 2042 assuming current capacity, assuming 20% of Swedish residents aged 60 years and above would seek an evaluation for cognitive decline. Investments required to scale capacity up to reach target of providing diagnosis within six months on average. RESULTS Initial average waiting times for AD specialist appointments would be around 21 months in 2023 and remain around 55 months through 2042, as demand would continue to outstrip supply throughout the 20-year model horizon. Waiting times for biomarker testing would be stable at less than four weeks, as patients would be held up in the queue for their first specialist consultations, and use of CSF testing is widely accepted in Sweden. An additional 25% of AD specialists would have to be added above the current growth trend to reduce waiting times to less than 6 months at an average annual cost of approximately 805 million SEK. The increased cost of volume of biomarker testing would amount to about 106 million SEK per year. CONCLUSIONS At current capacity, the Swedish healthcare system is unable to provide timely diagnosis of patients eligible for disease-modifying AD treatment. Although future diagnostic technologies, such as digital cognitive assessments and blood tests for the AD pathology, might decrease demand for capacity-constrained services, substantial investments will be required to meet a target of less than six months of waiting time for a diagnosis.
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Neary JM, Guthrie AP, Jacobs L. Public and industry knowledge and perceptions of US swine industry castration practices. Anim Welf 2023; 32:e79. [PMID: 38487455 PMCID: PMC10936257 DOI: 10.1017/awf.2023.99] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/15/2022] [Revised: 10/18/2023] [Accepted: 11/21/2023] [Indexed: 03/17/2024]
Abstract
In the United States (US), surgical castration of male piglets is typically performed without any form of analgesia. This may raise concerns with the public; however, there is no information regarding current public knowledge on swine industry practices in the US. In this study we gained insight into public knowledge and perception on castration with and without analgesia in comparison to knowledge of industry stakeholders on these same topics. Through an online survey, 119 respondents were asked four questions about castration in the US swine industry. Industry respondents were contacted via social media and networking. The general public sample was accessed through Mechanical Turk. Survey responses were categorised by experience (industry vs public). Industry respondents were more aware of practices compared to the general public. Most public respondents were unaware of castration practices and the lack of analgesia use. Respondents from rural communities were more aware of castration practices than (sub)urban communities and more aware of analgesia use than those from urban communities. Those with more education had greater awareness of castration practices (occurrence not frequency). Based on the results from this first US sample, knowledge on industry practices was especially lacking for public respondents, but also for a minority of industry respondents, indicating opportunities for education and further research on the topic.
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Mamas MA, Roffi M, Fröbert O, Chieffo A, Beneduce A, Matetic A, Tonino PAL, Paunovic D, Jacobs L, Debrus R, El Aissaoui J, van Leeuwen F, Kontopantelis E. Predicting target lesion failure following percutaneous coronary intervention through machine learning risk assessment models. EUROPEAN HEART JOURNAL. DIGITAL HEALTH 2023; 4:433-443. [PMID: 38045434 PMCID: PMC10689920 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztad051] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/08/2023] [Revised: 08/22/2023] [Indexed: 12/05/2023]
Abstract
Aims Central to the practice of precision medicine in percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is a risk-stratification tool to predict outcomes following the procedure. This study is intended to assess machine learning (ML)-based risk models to predict clinically relevant outcomes in PCI and to support individualized clinical decision-making in this setting. Methods and results Five different ML models [gradient boosting classifier (GBC), linear discrimination analysis, Naïve Bayes, logistic regression, and K-nearest neighbours algorithm) for the prediction of 1-year target lesion failure (TLF) were trained on an extensive data set of 35 389 patients undergoing PCI and enrolled in the global, all-comers e-ULTIMASTER registry. The data set was split into a training (80%) and a test set (20%). Twenty-three patient and procedural characteristics were used as predictive variables. The models were compared for discrimination according to the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and for calibration. The GBC model showed the best discriminative ability with an AUC of 0.72 (95% confidence interval 0.69-0.75) for 1-year TLF on the test set. The discriminative ability of the GBC model for the components of TLF was highest for cardiac death with an AUC of 0.82, followed by target vessel myocardial infarction with an AUC of 0.75 and clinically driven target lesion revascularization with an AUC of 0.68. The calibration was fair until the highest risk deciles showed an underestimation of the risk. Conclusion Machine learning-derived predictive models provide a reasonably accurate prediction of 1-year TLF in patients undergoing PCI. A prospective evaluation of the predictive score is warranted. Registration Clinicaltrial.gov identifier is NCT02188355.
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Hill-Kayser CE, Szalda D, Vachani C, Ginsberg J, Hobbie W, Jacobs L, Hampshire MK, Metz JM, Schwartz L. Patterns of Independence in Adolescent/Young Adult (AYA) Survivors of Childhood Cancer Having Received Radiotherapy (RT). Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2023; 117:e235. [PMID: 37784935 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijrobp.2023.06.1154] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/04/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S) AYA cancer survivors are at risk for missed care opportunities due to transitions of care and movement towards independence. This study was undertaken to evaluate steps towards independence of AYA survivors voluntarily using a free, Internet-based tool for creation of survivorship care plans (SCP). MATERIALS/METHODS A free, publicly accessible tool, Smart-ALACC (Smart Adult Living after Childhood Cancer) was made available on Oncolink.org. Analysis of convenience sample frame was performed with IRB approval. RESULTS From 12/2017-12/2022, 676 AYA survivors utilized the tool; 55% (372) identified as female. Most (75%, 506) were white, 7% (48) Black, 7% (46) Asian, 6% (42) Hispanic, 5% other/ mixed race. Median age was 20y (R <16 - 46y) and median age at diagnosis was 11 y (R <1y - 21). Most common diagnoses were leukemia (31%, 212), lymphoma (21%, 140), sarcoma (14%, 95), CNS (9%, 54), and neuroblastoma (5%, 37). 311 pts (46%) reported having had RT, most commonly brain (PB) (19%, 60), "mantle" (14%, 43), craniospinal (CSI) (12%, 36), total body irradiation (TBI) (11%, 34), and head/ neck (8%, 26). Most (92%, 619) denied recurrence /secondary malignancy. Users reported being students (64%, 434) or working (24% (163)) full-time (20%) or part-time (4%); 4% (25) were neither. Most reported living with parents (71%, 482), 14% (92) with a partner/ spouse, 7% (46) alone, and 4% (30) with a roommate. Most reported using parental insurance (54%, 368), while 24% (163) had their own private insurance, 7% (49) public, and 2% uninsured. Of 466 users 18+ (466), more were employed (34%, 155, p = 0.04), living separately from parents (40%, 168, p < 0.001), and had independent insurance (52%, 184, p = 0.03). Of users 23+ (244), 141 (57%) were being employed (p < 0.001), 83% (153) living separately from parents (p < 0.001), and 165 (67%) had independent insurance (p < 0.001). Among users age 23+, survivors who had received brain RT (CSI, brain, or TBI) were less likely to live separately parents or with a spouse/ partner (p < 0.001), but equally likely to be employed (Table 1). CONCLUSION AYA survivors choosing to use a SCP tool have diagnoses reflective of diagnostic patterns in pediatric oncology; many have had RT expected to be associated with cognitive and developmental late effects. Despite this, trends towards employment and independence were evident in young adult population compared to adolescent; somewhat less so in survivors having had brain RT. These data suggest that AYA survivors display independence from parents and require population directed survivorship support; future efforts should aim to include a more diverse body of users.
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Jacobs L, Stobbelaar K, Heykers A, Cos P, Delputte P. Subtractive Immunization as a Method to Develop Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV)-Specific Monoclonal Antibodies. Antibodies (Basel) 2023; 12:62. [PMID: 37873859 PMCID: PMC10594476 DOI: 10.3390/antib12040062] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/21/2023] [Revised: 09/15/2023] [Accepted: 09/21/2023] [Indexed: 10/25/2023] Open
Abstract
Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) is a significant cause of lower respiratory tract infections in the young, the elderly, and in immunodeficient patients. As such, the virus represents an important cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Development of monoclonal antibodies against RSV has resulted in a commercial prophylaxis, palivizumab (Synagis®), and different antibodies that have improved our understanding of the structure of the viral proteins. In this study, a different immunization technique, subtractive immunization, was evaluated for its applicability to develop RSV-specific antibodies. One hybridoma which produced antibodies with the strongest staining of RSV infected cells, ATAC-0025, was selected for further characterization. This antibody belongs to the IgG1 class, has neutralizing capacity and recognizes the envelope F-protein. The antibody has a broad reactivity against a range of RSV reference strains and clinical isolates.
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Doolub G, Iannaccone M, Rab T, Routledge H, Aminian A, Chevalier B, Hildick-Smith D, Jacobs L, Kobo O, Roguin A, Chieffo A, Mamas MA. Sex-based treatment and outcomes for coronary bifurcation stenting: A report from the e-ULTIMASTER registry. Catheter Cardiovasc Interv 2023; 102:430-439. [PMID: 37464969 DOI: 10.1002/ccd.30770] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/19/2023] [Revised: 06/02/2023] [Accepted: 07/09/2023] [Indexed: 07/20/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for bifurcation lesions can be technically challenging and is associated with higher risk. There is little data on sex-based differences in strategy and outcomes in bifurcation PCI. AIMS We sought to assess whether differences exist between women and men in the treatment and outcomes of bifurcation PCI. METHODS We collected data on 4006 patients undergoing bifurcation PCI, from the e-ULTIMASTER study, a prospective, multicentre study enrolling patients from 2014 to 2018. We divided the bifurcation cohort according to sex, with 1-year follow-up of outcomes (target lesion failure [TLF], target vessel failure [TVF], and patient-oriented composite endpoint [POCE]). FINDINGS Women were older (69.2 ± 10.9 years vs. 64.4 ± 11.0 years), with a greater burden of cardiovascular comorbidities. For true and non-true bifurcation lesions, women and men were equally likely to undergo a single stent approach (true: 63.2% vs. 63.6%, p = 0.79, non-true: 95.4% vs. 94.3%, p = 0.32), with similar rates of final kissing balloon (FKB) (37.2% vs. 35.5%, p = 0.36) and proximal optimization (POT) (34.4% vs. 34.2%, p = 0.93) in cases where two stents were used. Lastly, after propensity score matching, there was no difference between women and men in the incidence of the composite endpoints of TLF (5.5% vs. 5.2%, RR 1.05 [95% CI 0.77-1.44], p = 0.75), TVF (6.2% vs. 6.3%, RR 0.99 [95% CI 0.74-1.32], p = 0.96), and POCE (9.9% vs. 9.5%, RR 1.05 [95% CI 0.83-1.31], p = 0.70). CONCLUSION In this contemporary, real-world study of bifurcation PCI, we report no difference in stent strategy between women and men, with similar outcomes at 1-year.
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Lourenço-Silva MI, Ulans A, Campbell AM, Almeida Paz ICL, Jacobs L. Social-pair judgment bias testing in slow-growing broiler chickens raised in low- or high-complexity environments. Sci Rep 2023; 13:9393. [PMID: 37296295 PMCID: PMC10256692 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-36275-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/24/2023] [Accepted: 05/31/2023] [Indexed: 06/12/2023] Open
Abstract
Impacts of environmental complexity on affective states in slow-growing broiler chickens (Gallus gallus domesticus) are unknown. Chickens' performance in judgment bias tests (JBT) can be limited as they are tested individually, causing fear and anxiety. The objectives were to apply a social-pair JBT to assess the effect of environmental complexity on slow-growing broiler chickens` affective states, and assess the impact of fearfulness, anxiety, and chronic stress on JBT performance. Six-hundred Hubbard Redbro broilers were housed in six low-complexity (similar to commercial) or six high-complexity (permanent and temporary enrichments) pens. Twelve chicken pairs were trained (1 pair/pen, n = 24 chickens) using a multimodal approach (visual and spatial cues), with reward and neutral cues of opposing color and location. Three ambiguous cues were tested: near-positive, middle, and near-neutral cues. Approach and pecking behavior were recorded. Eighty-three percent of chickens (20/24) were successfully trained in 13 days. Fearfulness, anxiety, and chronic stress did not impact chickens' performance. Chickens successfully discriminated between cues. Low-complexity chickens approached the middle cue faster than high-complexity chickens, indicating that they were in a more positive affective state. The environmental complexity provided in this study did not improve affective states in slow-growing broiler chickens compared to a control. A social-pair JBT resulted in excellent learning and testing outcomes in slow-growing broilers.
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Jacobs L, Blatchford RA, de Jong IC, Erasmus MA, Levengood M, Newberry RC, Regmi P, Riber AB, Weimer SL. Enhancing their quality of life: environmental enrichment for poultry. Poult Sci 2022; 102:102233. [PMID: 36351344 PMCID: PMC9647224 DOI: 10.1016/j.psj.2022.102233] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/08/2022] [Revised: 09/27/2022] [Accepted: 10/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
Providing environmental enrichments that increase environmental complexity can benefit poultry welfare. This Poultry Science Association symposium paper is structured around four themes on 1) poultry preferences and affective states 2) species-specific behavior, including play behavior and the relationship between behavior, activity level and walking ability, 3) environmental enrichment and its relationship with indicators of welfare, and 4) a case study focusing on the application of enrichments in commercial broiler chicken production. For effective enrichment strategies, the birds' perspective matters most, and we need to consider individual variation, social dynamics, and previous experience when assessing these strategies. Play behavior can be a valuable indicator of positive affect, and while we do not yet know how much play would be optimal, absence of play suggests a welfare deficit. Activity levels and behavior can be improved by environmental modifications and prior research has shown that the activity level of broilers can be increased, at least temporarily, by increasing the environmental complexity. However, more research on impacts of enrichments on birds' resilience, on birds in commercial conditions, and on slow(er)-growing strains is needed. Finally, incorporating farmers' expertise can greatly benefit enrichment design and implementation on commercial farms.
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Colombo VC, Sluydts V, Mariën J, Vanden Broecke B, Van Houtte N, Leirs W, Jacobs L, Iserbyt A, Hubert M, Heyndrickx L, Goris H, Delputte P, De Roeck N, Elst J, Ariën KK, Leirs H, Gryseels S. SARS-CoV-2 surveillance in Norway rats (Rattus norvegicus) from Antwerp sewer system, Belgium. Transbound Emerg Dis 2022; 69:3016-3021. [PMID: 34224205 PMCID: PMC8447303 DOI: 10.1111/tbed.14219] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/09/2021] [Revised: 06/30/2021] [Accepted: 07/02/2021] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
Abstract
SARS-CoV-2 human-to-animal transmission can lead to the establishment of novel reservoirs and the evolution of new variants with the potential to start new outbreaks in humans. We tested Norway rats inhabiting the sewer system of Antwerp, Belgium, for the presence of SARS-CoV-2 following a local COVID-19 epidemic peak. In addition, we discuss the use and interpretation of SARS-CoV-2 serological tests on non-human samples. Between November and December 2020, Norway rat oral swabs, faeces and tissues from the sewer system of Antwerp were collected to be tested by RT-qPCR for the presence of SARS-CoV-2. Serum samples were screened for the presence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies using a Luminex microsphere immunoassay (MIA). Samples considered positive were then checked for neutralizing antibodies using a conventional viral neutralization test (cVNT). The serum of 35 rats was tested by MIA showing three potentially positive sera that were later negative by cVNT. All tissue samples of 39 rats analysed tested negative for SARS-CoV-2 RNA. This is the first study that evaluates SARS-CoV-2 infection in urban rats. We can conclude that the sample of rats analysed had never been infected with SARS-CoV-2. However, monitoring activities should continue due to the emergence of new variants prone to infect Muridae rodents.
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Boyal R, Buhr R, Harris C, Jacobs L, Bourassa D. Evaluation of mechanical cervical dislocation, captive bolt, carbon dioxide, and electrical methods for individual on-farm euthanasia of broiler breeders. Poult Sci 2022; 101:102000. [PMID: 35901644 PMCID: PMC9334341 DOI: 10.1016/j.psj.2022.102000] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/04/2022] [Revised: 05/24/2022] [Accepted: 06/06/2022] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Abstract
Efficacious euthanasia by applying manual cervical dislocation can be difficult on large and mature poultry. The challenge with using manual cervical dislocation is that the strength required to hold heavy poultry and swiftly apply cervical dislocation can be physically impossible for most people. Therefore, alternative methods of euthanasia are needed for mature and large poultry. Mechanical cervical dislocation using the Koechner Euthanizing Device (KED), captive bolt using the Turkey Euthanasia Device (TED), carbon dioxide (CO2), and electrical euthanasia were evaluated for use on 65-wk-old broiler breeders at flock termination. Following application of each method, physiological reflexes including the eye nictitating membrane reflex, mouth gaping, and body movement, broken skin, blood loss, kill success, time to cessation of heartbeat, and blood plasma corticosterone levels were assessed. Birds euthanized using the KED had longer response durations for eye nictitating membrane (91 s) and reflexive mouth gaping (161 s) compared to TED, CO2, and electrical euthanasia (0–7 s). Body movement durations were also longer for KED (214 s) and TED (209 s) than for CO2 and electrical euthanasia (0–8 s). The highest percentages of broken skin (93%) and blood loss (96%) were observed for TED, followed by KED (71%, 68%), then CO2 (0%, 6%) and electrical euthanasia (0%, 3%). No significant differences (P = 0.1781) were observed for kill success rates with 98% for KED, 100% for TED, 97% for CO2, and 100% for electrical euthanasia at 4-min. Time to heartbeat cessation did not differ between KED (659 s), TED (427 s), or CO2 (583 s) euthanasia methods. No heartbeat was detected following electrical euthanasia. Blood plasma corticosterone levels did not differ between preeuthanasia or posteuthanasia from any of the methods applied. Based on these results each euthanasia method is acceptable for use with broiler breeders.
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Cimci M, Polad J, Mamas M, Iniguez-Romo A, Chevalier B, Abhaichand R, Aminian A, Roguin A, Maluenda G, Angioi M, Cassel G, Kuramitsu S, Jacobs L, Debrus R, Malik F, Hildick-Smith D, Laanmets P, Roffi M. Outcomes and regional differences in practice in a worldwide coronary stent registry. Heart 2022; 108:1310-1318. [PMID: 35012960 PMCID: PMC9340045 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2021-320116] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/15/2021] [Accepted: 11/08/2021] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The primary objective was to assess the performance of a new generation thin-strut sirolimus-eluting coronary stent with abluminal biodegradable polymer in an all comer population. The secondary objective was to detail differences in contemporary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) practice worldwide. METHODS e-Ultimaster was an all-comer, prospective, global registry (NCT02188355) with independent event adjudication enrolling patients undergoing PCI with the study stent. The primary outcome measure was target lesion failure (TLF) at 1 year, defined as the composite of cardiac death, target vessel myocardial infarction and clinically driven target lesion revascularisation. Data were stratified according to 4 geographical regions. RESULTS A total of 37 198 patients were enrolled (Europe 69.2%, Asia 17.8%, Africa/Middle East 6.6% and South America/Mexico 6.5%) and 1-year follow-up was available for 35 389 patients (95.1%). One-year TLF occurred in 3.2% of the patients, ranging from 2% (Africa/Middle East) to 4.1% (South America/Mexico). In patients with acute coronary syndrome, potent P2Y12 inhibitors were prescribed in 48% of patients at discharge, while at 1 year 72% were on any dual antiplatelet therapy. Lipid-lowering treatment was administered in 80.9% and 75.5% of patients at discharge and 1 year, respectively. Regional differences in the profile of the treated patients as well as in PCI practice were reported. CONCLUSIONS In this investigation with worldwide representation, contemporary PCI using a new generation thin-strut sirolimus-eluting coronary stent with abluminal biodegradable polymer was associated with low 1-year TLF across clinical presentations and continents. Suboptimal adherence to current recommendations around antiplatelet and lipid lowering treatments was detected.
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Boogaerts T, Jacobs L, De Roeck N, Van den Bogaert S, Aertgeerts B, Lahousse L, van Nuijs ALN, Delputte P. An alternative approach for bioanalytical assay optimization for wastewater-based epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2021; 789:148043. [PMID: 34323818 PMCID: PMC8152210 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148043] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2021] [Revised: 05/20/2021] [Accepted: 05/21/2021] [Indexed: 05/02/2023]
Abstract
Wastewater-based epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 could play a role in monitoring the spread of the virus in the population and controlling possible outbreaks. However, sensitive sample preparation and detection methods are necessary to detect trace levels of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in influent wastewater (IWW). Unlike predecessors, method optimization of a SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentration and detection procedure was performed with IWW samples with high viral SARS-CoV-2 RNA loads. This is of importance since the SARS-CoV-2 genome in IWW might have already been subject to in-sewer degradation into smaller genome fragments or might be present in a different form (e.g. cell debris, …). Centricon Plus-70 (100 kDa) centrifugal filter devices resulted in the lowest and most reproducible Ct-values for SARS-CoV-2 RNA. Lowering the molecular weight cut-off did not improve our limit of detection and quantification (approximately 100 copies/μL for all genes). Quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) was employed for the amplification of the N1, N2, N3 and E-gene fragments. This is one of the first studies to apply digital polymerase chain reaction (dPCR) for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in IWW. dPCR showed high variability at low concentration levels (100 copies/μL), indicating that variability in bioanalytical methods for wastewater-based epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 might be substantial. dPCR results in IWW were in line with the results found with qPCR. On average, the N2-gene fragment showed high in-sample stability in IWW for 10 days of storage at 4 °C. Between-sample variability was substantial due to the low native concentrations in IWW. Additionally, the E-gene fragment proved to be less stable compared to the N2-gene fragment and showed higher variability. Freezing the IWW samples resulted in a 10-fold decay of loads of the N2- and E-gene fragment in IWW.
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Anderson MG, Campbell AM, Crump A, Arnott G, Jacobs L. Environmental complexity positively impacts affective states of broiler chickens. Sci Rep 2021; 11:16966. [PMID: 34417475 PMCID: PMC8379235 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-95280-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/04/2021] [Accepted: 07/16/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Affective state can bias an animal's judgement. Animals in positive affective states can interpret ambiguous cues more positively ("optimistically") than animals in negative affective states. Thus, judgement bias tests can determine an animal's affective state through their responses to ambiguous cues. We tested the effects of environmental complexity and stocking density on affective states of broiler chickens through a multimodal judgement bias test. Broilers were trained to approach reinforced locations signaled by one color and not to approach unreinforced locations signaled by a different color. Trained birds were tested for latencies to approach three ambiguous cues of intermediate color and location. Broilers discriminated between cues, with shorter latencies to approach ambiguous cues closest to the reinforced cue than cues closest to the unreinforced cue, validating the use of the test in this context. Broilers housed in high-complexity pens approached ambiguous cues faster than birds in low-complexity pens-an optimistic judgement bias, suggesting the former were in a more positive affective state. Broilers from high-density pens tended to approach all cues faster than birds from low-density pens, possibly because resource competition in their home pen increased food motivation. Overall, our study suggests that environmental complexity improves broilers' affective states, implying animal welfare benefits of environmental enrichment.
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de Ronde W, Jacobs L, Smit DL. [Outpatient clinic for users of anabolic androgenic; experiences and practical tools]. NEDERLANDS TIJDSCHRIFT VOOR GENEESKUNDE 2021; 165:D5715. [PMID: 34346623] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
In the Netherlands, an estimated 20,000 men abuse illegal androgens. The confrontation with a patient who uses illegal substances can evoke questions and emotions. We advise not to moralize users of anabolic steroids, but to strive for harm reduction by starting a discussion about the pros and cons of androgen abuse, taking into account your assumptions and judgments about this subject. Underlying psychopathology should be recognized and treated if the user is open to it. We recommend against prescribing anabolic steroids without medical indication and not to perform health checks routinely while the patient continues using anabolic steroids as long as it is not established that this can prevent health damage. If the user reports with health problems, this should be used as a starting point to (re) open the conversation about the advantages and disadvantages of use. Harmful effects of use must be handled according to appropriate guidelines.
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Boogaerts T, Jacobs L, De Roeck N, Van den Bogaert S, Aertgeerts B, Lahousse L, van Nuijs ALN, Delputte P. An alternative approach for bioanalytical assay optimization for wastewater-based epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2021; 789:148043. [PMID: 34323818 DOI: 10.1101/2021.02.12.21251626] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2021] [Revised: 05/20/2021] [Accepted: 05/21/2021] [Indexed: 05/18/2023]
Abstract
Wastewater-based epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 could play a role in monitoring the spread of the virus in the population and controlling possible outbreaks. However, sensitive sample preparation and detection methods are necessary to detect trace levels of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in influent wastewater (IWW). Unlike predecessors, method optimization of a SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentration and detection procedure was performed with IWW samples with high viral SARS-CoV-2 RNA loads. This is of importance since the SARS-CoV-2 genome in IWW might have already been subject to in-sewer degradation into smaller genome fragments or might be present in a different form (e.g. cell debris, …). Centricon Plus-70 (100 kDa) centrifugal filter devices resulted in the lowest and most reproducible Ct-values for SARS-CoV-2 RNA. Lowering the molecular weight cut-off did not improve our limit of detection and quantification (approximately 100 copies/μL for all genes). Quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) was employed for the amplification of the N1, N2, N3 and E-gene fragments. This is one of the first studies to apply digital polymerase chain reaction (dPCR) for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in IWW. dPCR showed high variability at low concentration levels (100 copies/μL), indicating that variability in bioanalytical methods for wastewater-based epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 might be substantial. dPCR results in IWW were in line with the results found with qPCR. On average, the N2-gene fragment showed high in-sample stability in IWW for 10 days of storage at 4 °C. Between-sample variability was substantial due to the low native concentrations in IWW. Additionally, the E-gene fragment proved to be less stable compared to the N2-gene fragment and showed higher variability. Freezing the IWW samples resulted in a 10-fold decay of loads of the N2- and E-gene fragment in IWW.
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Boyal R, Buhr R, Harris C, Jacobs L, Bourassa D. Equipment and methods for poultry euthanasia by a single operator. J APPL POULTRY RES 2020. [DOI: 10.1016/j.japr.2020.09.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
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Jacobs L, Gorovets D, Burleson S, Happersett L, Zhang Z, Hunt M, McBride S, Kollmeier M, Zelefsky M. Predictors of Intra-Fraction Prostate Motion during Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy (SBRT). Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2019. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijrobp.2019.06.1914] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
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Hill-Kayser C, Szalda D, Vachani C, Virgilio L, Psihogios A, O'Hagan B, Cope C, velazquez-Martin B, Hobbie W, Ginsberg J, Daniel L, Barakat L, Fleisher L, Jacobs L, Hampshire M, Metz J, Lunsford N, Sabatino S, Schwartz L. Feasibility and Acceptability of Survivorship Care Plans for Adolescent/ Young Adult Survivors of Childhood Cancer. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2019. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijrobp.2019.06.1214] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/26/2022]
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Pontillo C, Jacobs L, Staessen JA, Schanstra JP, Rossing P, Heerspink HJL, Siwy J, Mullen W, Vlahou A, Mischak H, Vanholder R, Zürbig P, Jankowski J. A urinary proteome-based classifier for the early detection of decline in glomerular filtration. Nephrol Dial Transplant 2018; 32:1510-1516. [PMID: 27387473 DOI: 10.1093/ndt/gfw239] [Citation(s) in RCA: 40] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2016] [Accepted: 05/02/2016] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression is currently assessed by a decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and/or an increase in urinary albumin excretion (UAE). However, these markers are considered either to be late-stage markers or to have low sensitivity or specificity. In this study, we investigated the performance of the urinary proteome-based classifier CKD273, compared with UAE, in a number of different narrow ranges of CKD severity, with each range separated by an eGFR of 10 mL/min/1.73 m 2 . Methods A total of 2672 patients with different CKD stages were included in the study. Of these, 394 individuals displayed a decline in eGFR of >5 mL/min/1.73 m 2 /year (progressors) and the remaining individuals were considered non-progressors. For all samples, UAE values and CKD273 classification scores were obtained. To assess UAE values and CKD273 scores at different disease stages, the cohort was divided according to baseline eGFRs of ≥80, 70-79, 60-69, 50-59, 40-49, 30-39 and <29 mL/min/1.73 m 2 . In addition, areas under the curve for CKD273 and UAE were calculated. Results In early stage CKD, the urinary proteome-based classifier performed significantly better than UAE in detecting progressors. In contrast, UAE performed better in patients with late-stage CKD. No significant difference in performance was found between CKD273 and UAE in patients with moderately reduced renal function. Conclusions These results suggest that urinary peptides, as combined in the CKD273 classifier, allow the detection of progressive CKD at early stages, a point where therapeutic intervention is more likely to be effective. However, late-stage disease, where irreversible damage of the kidney is already present, is better detected by UAE.
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Jacobs L, van der Vlies E, Ten Bokkel Huinink D, Bloemendal H, Intven M, Smits AB, Weusten BLAM, Siersema PD, van Lelyveld N, Los M. Tolerability, Safety, and Outcomes of Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy With Capecitabine for Patients Aged ≥ 70 Years With Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer. Clin Colorectal Cancer 2018; 17:179-186. [PMID: 29661620 DOI: 10.1016/j.clcc.2018.03.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2017] [Revised: 02/17/2018] [Accepted: 03/05/2018] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION In studies of colorectal cancer, the elderly have been frequently underrepresented because comorbid conditions and functional status often lead to study exclusion. For elderly patients with an indication for neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT), physicians usually decide using clinical factors whether nCRT should be offered. The aim of the present retrospective study was to assess the tolerability of nCRT with capecitabine and the surgical outcomes in patients aged ≥ 70 years with locally advanced rectal cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS Data from 1372 rectal cancer patients diagnosed from 2002 to 2012 at 4 Dutch hospitals were used. Patients aged ≥ 70 years were included if they had received nCRT, and their data were analyzed for treatment deviations, postoperative complications, mortality, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS). The data were stratified into 3 age groups (ie, 70-74, 75-79, and ≥ 80 years). RESULTS We identified 447 patients aged ≥ 70 years. Of these patients, 42 had received nCRT, and 37 (88%) had completed nCRT. Radiation dermatitis, fatigue, and diarrhea were reported in 62%, 57%, and 43% of the 42 patients, respectively. Of the 42 patients, 40 (95%) underwent surgery, 1 patient refused resection, and 1 patient died during nCRT of severe mucositis due to dihydropyrimidine dehydrogenase deficiency. The postoperative complication rate was 30%, and the 30-day mortality rate was 0%. A pathologic complete response was found in 7.5%. The 2- and 5-year DFS and OS rates were 58.5% and 40.7% and 81.0% and 58.2%, respectively. CONCLUSION The results of the present multicenter study have shown that if selected on clinical factors, nCRT with capecitabine is safe and well tolerated in elderly patients. No negative effect on surgical outcome was measured, and the beneficial effect (pathologic complete response, DFS, and OS) seemed comparable to that for younger age groups. We believe that elderly patients should not be excluded from nCRT on the basis of age only.
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Raaijmakers A, Zhang ZY, Levtchenko E, Simons SH, Cauwenberghs N, Heuvel LPVD, Jacobs L, Staessen JA, Allegaert K. Ibuprofen exposure in early neonatal life does not affect renal function in young adolescence. Arch Dis Child Fetal Neonatal Ed 2018; 103:F107-F111. [PMID: 28615304 DOI: 10.1136/archdischild-2017-312922] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2017] [Revised: 04/27/2017] [Accepted: 04/27/2017] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Ibuprofen exposure results in acute transient renal dysfunction in preterm neonates, but we are unaware of data on long-term renal safety. METHODS In a previously studied cohort of extreme low birth weight (ELBW, <1000 g) cases, the PREMATurity as predictor of children's Cardiovascular-renal Health study generated data on renal function (renal length, estimated glomerular filtration rate based on cystatin C (eGFRcysC) at the age of 11 years. This data set in 93 ELBW cases may also generate data on long-term drug safety on ibuprofen. In this post hoc analysis, we linked markers of renal function in young adolescence in ELBW cases with their perinatal (prenatal maternal, setting at birth, treatment modalities including drug prescription during neonatal stay, neonatal creatinine values, postdischarge growth) characteristics, including but not limited to ibuprofen exposure during neonatal stay. RESULTS Ibuprofen exposure was not associated with significant differences in renal length or eGFRcysC. Moreover, we were unable to identify any other risk factor (perinatal characteristics, postnatal creatinine trends, postdischarge growth) on renal outcome in this cohort. CONCLUSIONS Neonatal exposure to ibuprofen did not affect renal function. Larger studies are needed to explore the confounders of variability in renal function in former ELBW cases. This matters since ELBW relates to risk for hypertension, cardiovascular events and renal disease in later life and identification of risk factors holds the promise of secondary prevention. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER NCT02147457.
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Wei FF, Thijs L, Zhang ZY, Jacobs L, Yang WY, Salvi E, Citterio L, Cauwenberghs N, Kuznetsova T, E A Drummen N, Hara A, Manunta P, Li Y, Verhamme P, Allegaert K, Cusi D, Vermeer C, Staessen JA. The risk of nephrolithiasis is causally related to inactive matrix Gla protein, a marker of vitamin K status: a Mendelian randomization study in a Flemish population. Nephrol Dial Transplant 2018; 33:514-522. [PMID: 28340119 DOI: 10.1093/ndt/gfx014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2016] [Accepted: 01/15/2017] [Indexed: 01/12/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Vitamin K (VK)-dependent γ-glutamate carboxylation and serine phosphorylation activate matrix Gla protein (MGP) to a potent locally acting inhibitor of calcification. Nephrolithiasis represents a process of unwanted calcification associated with substantial mortality and high recurrence rates. We hypothesized that the risk of nephrolithiasis increases with VK shortage, as exemplified by higher plasma levels of desphospho-uncarboxylated MGP (dp-ucMGP). Methods In 1748 randomly recruited Flemish individuals (51.1% women; mean age 46.8 years), we determined dp-ucMGP and the prevalence of nephrolithiasis at baseline (April 1996-February 2015) and its incidence during follow-up until March 2016. We estimated the multivariable-adjusted relative risk associated with the doubling of dp-ucMGP, using logistic or Cox regression. We did a Mendelian randomization analysis using four MGP genotypes as instrumental variables. Results With adjustments applied for sex, age and 24-h urinary volume and calcium excretion, the odds of having prevalent nephrolithiasis [n = 144 (8.2%)] associated with dp-ucMGP was 1.31 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-1.64; P = 0.022]. dp-ucMGP levels were associated (P ≤ 0.001) with MGP variants rs2098435, rs4236 and rs2430692. In the Mendelian analysis, the causal odds ratio was 3.82 (95% CI 1.15-12.7; P = 0.029). The incidence of nephrolithiasis over 12.0 years (median) was 37 cases (0.2%). With similar adjustments as before, the hazard ratio in relation to dp-ucMGP was 2.48 (95% CI 1.71-3.61; P < 0.001). Additional adjustment for a nephrolithiasis propensity score produced consistent results. Conclusion Higher levels of inactive dp-ucMGP may be causally associated with the risk of nephrolithiasis. Whether or not VK deficiency plays a role in these observations remains to be firmly established.
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Odili AN, Thijs L, Yang WY, Ogedengbe JO, Nwegbu MM, Jacobs L, Wei FF, Feng YM, Zhang ZY, Kuznetsova T, Nawrot TS, Staessen JA. Office and Home Blood Pressures as Determinants of Electrocardiographic Left Ventricular Hypertrophy Among Black Nigerians Compared With White Flemish. Am J Hypertens 2017; 30:1083-1092. [PMID: 29059302 PMCID: PMC5861556 DOI: 10.1093/ajh/hpx114] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2017] [Accepted: 06/15/2017] [Indexed: 01/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The association of electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy (ECG-LVH) with blood pressure (BP) in Blacks living in sub-Saharan Africa remains poorly documented. METHODS In 225 Black Nigerians and 729 White Flemish, we analyzed QRS voltages and voltage-duration products and 12 criteria diagnostic of ECG-LVH in relation to office BP (mean of 5 consecutive readings) and home BP (duplicate morning and evening readings averaged over 1 week). RESULTS In multivariable analyses, QRS voltage and voltage-duration indexes were generally higher in Blacks than Whites. By using any of 12 criteria, ECG-LVH was more prevalent among Black than White men (54.4% vs. 36.0%) with no ethnic difference among women (17.1%). Precordial voltages and voltage-duration products increased with office and home systolic BP (SBP), and increases were up to 3-fold steeper in Blacks. In Blacks vs. Whites, increases in the Sokolow–Lyon voltage associated with a 10-mm Hg higher SBP were 0.18 mV (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.09–0.26) vs. 0.06 mV (0.02–0.09) and 0.17 mV (0.07–0.28) vs. 0.11 mV (CI, 0.07–0.15) for office and home BP, respectively, with a significant ethnic gradient (P < 0.05). The risk of ECG-LVH increased more with office and home BP in Blacks than Whites. CONCLUSIONS Associations of ECG voltages and voltage-duration products and risk of ECG-LVH with BP are steeper in Black Nigerians compared with a White reference population. In resource-poor settings of sub-Saharan Africa, the ECG in combination with office and home BP is an essential instrument in risk stratification across the entire BP range.
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Pontillo C, Zhang ZY, Schanstra JP, Jacobs L, Zürbig P, Thijs L, Ramírez-Torres A, Heerspink HJ, Lindhardt M, Klein R, Orchard T, Porta M, Bilous RW, Charturvedi N, Rossing P, Vlahou A, Schepers E, Glorieux G, Mullen W, Delles C, Verhamme P, Vanholder R, Staessen JA, Mischak H, Jankowski J. Prediction of Chronic Kidney Disease Stage 3 by CKD273, a Urinary Proteomic Biomarker. Kidney Int Rep 2017; 2:1066-1075. [PMID: 29130072 PMCID: PMC5669285 DOI: 10.1016/j.ekir.2017.06.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 69] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/13/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction CKD273 is a urinary biomarker, which in advanced chronic kidney disease predicts further deterioration. We investigated whether CKD273 can also predict a decline of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) to <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Methods In analyses of 2087 individuals from 6 cohorts (46.4% women; 73.5% with diabetes; mean age, 46.1 years; eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2, 100%; urinary albumin excretion rate [UAE] ≥20 μg/min, 6.2%), we accounted for cohort, sex, age, mean arterial pressure, diabetes, and eGFR at baseline and expressed associations per 1-SD increment in urinary biomarkers. Results Over 5 (median) follow-up visits, eGFR decreased more with higher baseline CKD273 than UAE (1.64 vs. 0.82 ml/min per 1.73 m2; P < 0.0001). Over 4.6 years (median), 390 participants experienced a first renal endpoint (eGFR decrease by ≥10 to <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2), and 172 experienced an endpoint sustained over follow-up. The risk of a first and sustained renal endpoint increased with UAE (hazard ratio ≥ 1.23; P ≤ 0.043) and CKD273 (≥ 1.20; P ≤ 0.031). UAE (≥20 μg/min) and CKD273 (≥0.154) thresholds yielded sensitivities of 30% and 33% and specificities of 82% and 83% (P ≤ 0.0001 for difference between UAE and CKD273 in proportion of correctly classified individuals). As continuous markers, CKD273 (P = 0.039), but not UAE (P = 0.065), increased the integrated discrimination improvement, while both UAE and CKD273 improved the net reclassification index (P ≤ 0.0003), except for UAE per threshold (P = 0.086). Discussion In conclusion, while accounting for baseline eGFR, albuminuria, and covariables, CKD273 adds to the prediction of stage 3 chronic kidney disease, at which point intervention remains an achievable therapeutic target.
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