The impact of rurality on racial disparities in costs of bowel obstruction treatment

Background

Black race has been associated with increased resource utilization after operation for small bowel obstruction (SBO). While prior literature has similarly demonstrated differences between urban and rural institutions, limited work has defined the impact of rurality on resource utilization by race.

Methods

The 2016-2020 National Inpatient Sample was used to identify adults undergoing adhesiolysis after non-elective admission for SBO. The primary endpoint was hospitalization costs. Additional outcomes included surgical delay (≥ hospital day 3), length of stay (LOS), and nonhome discharge. Regression models were developed to identify the impact of Black race and rurality on the outcomes of interest with an interaction term to examine the incremental association of Black race on rurality.

Results

Of an estimated 132,390 patients, 11.4 % were treated at an annual average of 377 rural hospitals (18.5 % of institutions). After adjustment, rural hospitals had higher costs (β + $4900, 95 % Confidence Interval [CI] [4200, 5700]), compared to others. However, rurality was associated with reduced odds of surgical delay (Adjusted Odds Ratio [AOR] 0. 76, CI[0.69, 0.85]), decreased LOS (β -1.66 days, CI[-1.99, -1.36]), and nonhome discharge (AOR 0.78, CI[0.70, 0.87]). While White patients experienced significant cost reductions at urban centers ($26,100 [25,800-26,300] vs $31,000 [30,300-31,700]), this was not noted for Black patients ($30,100 [29,400-30,700] vs $30,800 [29,300-32,400]).

Conclusions

We found that Black patients do not benefit from the same cost protection afforded by urban settings as White patients after operative SBO admission. Future work should focus on setting-specific interventions to address drivers of disparities within each community.

Interhospital variation in the non-operative management of uncomplicated appendicitis in adults

Background

Recent randomized trials have suggested non-operative management to be a safe alternative to appendectomy for acute uncomplicated appendicitis. Yet, there remains significant variability in treatment approach. This study sought to characterize center-level variation in non-operative management within a national cohort of adults presenting with appendicitis.

Methods

The 2016-2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database was queried to identify all adult (≥18 years) hospitalizations for acute uncomplicated appendicitis. Hierarchical, mixed-effects models were developed to ascertain factors linked with non-operative management. Bayesian methodology was applied to predict random effects, which were then used to rank centers by increasing hospital-attributed rate of non-operative management. Institutions with high center-specific rates of non-operative management (>90th percentile) were considered low-operating hospitals (LOH).

Results

Of an estimated 447,500 patients, 52,523 (11.7 %) were managed non-operatively. Compared to those undergoing appendectomy, the non-operative cohort was older, more commonly male, and of a higher comorbidity burden. Approximately 30 % in the variability of non-operative management was attributable to hospital effects, with absolute, risk-adjusted rates ranging from 0.5 to 22.5 %. Centers with non-operative management rates ≥90th percentile were considered LOH.Following risk adjustment, among patients undergoing appendectomy, care at LOH was linked with greater odds of postoperative infection, resource utilization, and non-elective readmission.

Conclusions

We identified significant interhospital variation in the utilization of non-operative management for acute uncomplicated appendicitis. Further, we found LOH to be associated with inferior outcomes following surgical management. Future work is needed to assess the care pathways that contribute to increased utilization of non-operative strategies, and disseminate best practices across institutions.

Association of severe obesity with risk of conversion to open in laparoscopic cholecystectomy for acute cholecystitis

Background

Obesity is a known risk factor for cholecystitis and is associated with technical complications during laparoscopic procedures. The present study seeks to assess the association between obesity class and conversion to open (CTO) during laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC).

Methods

Adult acute cholecystitis patients with obesity undergoing non-elective LC were identified in the 2017-2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Patients were stratified by obesity class; class 1 (Body Mass Index [BMI] = 30.0-34.9), class 2 (BMI = 35.0-39.9), and class 3 (BMI ≥ 40.0). Multivariable regression models were developed to assess factors associated with CTO and its association with perioperative complications and resource utilization.

Results

Of 89,476 patients undergoing LC, 40.6 % had BMI ≥ 40.0. Before adjustment, class 3 obesity was associated with increased rates of CTO compared to class 1-2 (4.6 vs 3.8 %; p < 0.001). Following adjustment, class 3 remained associated with an increased likelihood of CTO (Adjusted Odds Ratio [AOR] 1.45, 95 % Confidence Interval [CI] 1.31-1.61; ref.: class 1-2). Patients undergoing CTO had increased risk of blood transfusion (AOR 3.27, 95 % CI 2.54-4.22) and respiratory complications (AOR 1.36, 95 % CI 1.01-1.85). Finally, CTO was associated with incremental increases in hospitalization costs (β + $719, 95 % CI 538-899) and length of stay (LOS; β +2.20 days, 95 % CI 2.05-2.34).

Conclusions

Class 3 obesity is a significant risk factor for CTO. Moreover, CTO is associated with increased hospitalization costs and LOS. As the prevalence of obesity grows, improved understanding of operative risk by approach is required to optimize clinical outcomes. Our findings are relevant to shared decision-making and informed consent.

Trends in the adoption of diverting loop ileostomy for acute complicated diverticulitis in the United States

BACKGROUND

Acute complicated diverticulitis poses a substantial burden to individual patients and the health care system. A significant proportion of the cases necessitate emergency operations. The choice between Hartmann's procedure and primary anastomosis with diverting loop ileostomy remains controversial.

METHODS

Using American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program patient user file data from 2012 to 2020, patients undergoing Hartmann's procedure and primary anastomosis with diverting loop ileostomy for nonelective sigmoidectomy for complicated diverticulitis were identified. Major adverse events, 30-day mortality, perioperative complications, operative duration, reoperation, and 30-day readmissions were assessed.

RESULTS

Of 16,921 cases, 6.3% underwent primary anastomosis with diverting loop ileostomy, showing a rising trend from 5.3% in 2012 to 8.4% in 2020. Primary anastomosis with diverting loop ileostomy patients, compared to Hartmann's procedure, had similar demographics and fewer severe comorbidities. Primary anastomosis with diverting loop ileostomy exhibited lower rates of major adverse events (24.6% vs 29.3%, P = .001). After risk adjustment, primary anastomosis with diverting loop ileostomy had similar risks of major adverse events and 30-day mortality compared to Hartmann's procedure. While having lower odds of respiratory (adjusted odds ratio 0.61, 95% confidence interval 0.45-0.83) and infectious (adjusted odds ratio 0.78, 95% confidence interval 0.66-0.93) complications, primary anastomosis with diverting loop ileostomy was associated with a 36-minute increment in operative duration and increased odds of 30-day readmission (adjusted odds ratio 1.30, 95% confidence interval 1.07-1.57) compared to Hartmann's procedure.

CONCLUSION

Primary anastomosis with diverting loop ileostomy displayed comparable odds of major adverse events compared to Hartmann's procedure in acute complicated diverticulitis while mitigating infectious and respiratory complication risks. However, primary anastomosis with diverting loop ileostomy was associated with longer operative times and greater odds of 30-day readmission. Evolving guidelines and increasing primary anastomosis with diverting loop ileostomy use suggest a shift favoring primary anastomosis, especially in complicated diverticulitis. Future investigation of disparities in surgical approaches and patient outcomes is warranted to optimize acute diverticulitis care pathways.

Utilization of minimally invasive colectomy at safety-net hospitals in the United States

BACKGROUND

Prior literature has reported inferior surgical outcomes and reduced access to minimally invasive procedures at safety-net hospitals. However, this relationship has not yet been elucidated for elective colectomy. We sought to characterize the association between safety-net hospitals and likelihood of minimally invasive resection, perioperative outcomes, and costs.

METHODS

All adult (≥18 years) hospitalization records entailing elective colectomy were identified in the 2016-2020 National Inpatient Sample. Centers in the top quartile of safety-net burden were considered safety-net hospitals (others: non-safety-net hospitals). Multivariable regression models were developed to assess the impact of safety-net hospitals status on key outcomes.

RESULTS

Of ∼532,640 patients, 95,570 (17.9%) were treated at safety-net hospitals. The safety-net hospitals cohort was younger and more often of Black race or Hispanic ethnicity. After adjustment, care at safety-net hospitals remained independently associated with reduced odds of minimally invasive surgery (adjusted odds ratio 0.92; 95% confidence interval 0.87-0.97). The interaction between safety-net hospital status and race was significant, such that Black race remained linked with lower odds of minimally invasive surgery at safety-net hospitals (reference: White race). Additionally, safety-net hospitals was associated with greater likelihood of in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio 1.34, confidence interval 1.04-1.74) and any perioperative complication (adjusted odds ratio 1.15, confidence interval 1.08-1.22), as well as increased length of stay (β+0.26 days, confidence interval 0.17-0.35) and costs (β+$2,510, confidence interval 2,020-3,000).

CONCLUSION

Care at safety-net hospitals was linked with lower odds of minimally invasive colectomy, as well as greater complications and costs. Black patients treated at safety-net hospitals demonstrated reduced likelihood of minimally invasive surgery, relative to White patients. Further investigation is needed to elucidate the root causes of these disparities in care.

Association of prior bariatric surgery with outcomes following emergency general surgery

BACKGROUND

Despite the favorable outcomes and safety profile associated with metabolic and bariatric surgery (MBS), complications may occur postoperatively, necessitating emergency general surgery (EGS) intervention.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the association of outcomes in patients with prior MBS following EGS interventions.

SETTING

Academic, University-affiliated; USA.

METHODS

All adults undergoing nonelective EGS operations were identified using the 2016 to 2020 Nationwide Readmission Database. Patients with a history of MBS were subsequently categorized as Bariatric, with the remainder of patients as NonBariatric. The primary outcome of interest was in-hospital mortality, while perioperative complications, length of stay (LOS), hospitalization costs, non-home discharge, and 30-day readmission were secondarily assessed. Multivariable regression models were developed to evaluate the association of history of MBS with outcomes of interest.

RESULTS

Of an estimated 632,375 hospitalizations for EGS operations, 29,112 (4.6%) had a history of MBS. Compared to Nonbariatric, Bariatric were younger, more frequently female and more commonly had severe obesity. Following risk adjustment, Bariatric had significantly lower odds of in-hospital mortality (AOR .83, 95%CI .71-.98). Compared to others, Bariatric had reduced LOS by .5 days (95%CI .4-.7) and hospitalization costs by $1600 (95%CI $900-2100). Patients with prior MBS had reduced odds of nonhome discharge (AOR .89, 95%CI .85-.93) and increased likelihood of 30-day readmissions (AOR 2.32, 95%CI 1.93--2.79) following EGS.

CONCLUSIONS

Prior MBS is associated with decreased mortality and perioperative complications as well as reduced resource utilization in select EGS procedures. Our findings suggest that patients with a history of MBS can be managed effectively by acute surgical interventions.

Development and preliminary assessment of a machine learning model to predict myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest after major operations

INTRODUCTION

Accurate prediction of complications often informs shared decision-making. Derived over 10 years ago to enhance prediction of intra/post-operative myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest (MI/CA), the Gupta score has been criticized for unreliable calibration and inclusion of a wide spectrum of unrelated operations. In the present study, we developed a novel machine learning (ML) model to estimate perioperative risk of MI/CA and compared it to the Gupta score.

METHODS

Patients undergoing major operations were identified from the 2016-2020 ACS-NSQIP. The Gupta score was calculated for each patient, and a novel ML model was developed to predict MI/CA using ACS NSQIP-provided data fields as covariates. Discrimination (C-statistic) and calibration (Brier score) of the ML model were compared to the existing Gupta score within the entire cohort and across operative subgroups.

RESULTS

Of 2,473,487 patients included for analysis, 25,177 (1.0%) experienced MI/CA (55.2% MI, 39.1% CA, 5.6% MI and CA). The ML model, which was fit using a randomly selected training cohort, exhibited higher discrimination within the testing dataset compared to the Gupta score (C-statistic 0.84 vs 0.80, p < 0.001). Furthermore, the ML model had significantly better calibration in the entire cohort (Brier score 0.0097 vs 0.0100). Model performance was markedly improved among patients undergoing thoracic, aortic, peripheral vascular and foregut surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

The present ML model outperformed the Gupta score in the prognostication of MI/CA across a heterogenous range of operations. Given the growing integration of ML into healthcare, such models may be readily incorporated into clinical practice and guide benchmarking efforts.

Clinical Outcomes and Resource Utilization in Patients With Peripheral Arterial Disease Hospitalized for Acute Coronary Syndrome

Previous studies have shown an association between acute limb ischemia and higher mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction. Although peripheral artery disease (PAD) is a well-known risk factor for development of macrovascular pathology, the effect of its severity is not well investigated in patients hospitalized for acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Using a national cohort of patients with various degrees of PAD, we investigated in-hospital outcomes in patients who were admitted for ACS. Using the 2016 to 2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database, we queried all patients who were hospitalized for ACS (unstable angina, non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction, and ST-elevation myocardial infarction). Patients were further divided into 3 groups, either no PAD (non-PAD), PAD, or critical limb ischemia (CLI). Multivariable models were designed to adjust for patient and hospital factors and examine the association between ACS and PAD severity. Of approximately 3,834,181 hospitalizations for ACS, 6.4% had PAD, 0.2% had CLI, and all others were non-PAD. After risk adjustment, in-hospital mortality was higher by 24% in PAD (adjusted odds ratio 1.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.21 to 1.28) and 86% in CLI (adjusted odds ratio 1.86, 95% CI 1.62 to 2.09) compared with non-PAD. Furthermore, PAD and CLI were linked to 1.23-fold (95% CI 1.20 to 1.26) and 1.67-fold (95% CI 1.45 to 1.86) greater odds of cardiogenic shock compared with non-PAD. Additionally, PAD and CLI were linked with higher odds of mechanical circulatory support usage, cardiac arrest and acute kidney injury compared with non-PAD. Lastly, duration of hospital stay, hospitalization costs and odds of non-home discharge and 30-day readmissions were greater in patients with PAD and CLI compared with non-PAD. PAD severity was associated with worse clinical outcomes in patients with ACS, including in-hospital mortality and resource utilization.

Association of rurality with short-term outcomes of peripheral vascular trauma

BACKGROUND

Peripheral vascular trauma is a major contributing factor to long-term disability and mortality among patients with traumatic injuries. However, an analysis focusing on individuals at a high risk of experiencing limb loss due to rural and urban peripheral vascular trauma is lacking.

METHOD

This was a retrospective analysis of the 2016 to 2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Patients (≥18 years) undergoing open or endovascular procedures after admission for peripheral vascular trauma were identified using the 2016 to 2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Patients from rural regions were considered Rural, whereas the remainder comprised Urban. The primary outcome of the study was primary amputation. Multivariable regression models were developed to evaluate rurality with outcomes of interest.

RESULTS

Of 29,083 patients, 4,486 (15.6%) were Rural. Rural were older (41 [28-59] vs 37 [27-54] years, P < .001), with a similar distribution of female sex (23.0 vs 21.3%, P = .09) and transfers from other facilities (2.8 vs 2.5%, P = .34). After adjustment, Rural status was not associated with the odds of mortality (P = .82), with urban as reference. Rural status was, however, associated with greater odds of limb amputation (adjusted odds ratio 1.85, 95% confidence interval 1.47-2.32) and reduced index hospitalization cost by $7,100 (95% confidence interval $3,500-10,800). Additionally, compared to patients from urban locations, rurality was associated with similar odds of non-home discharge and 30-day readmission. Over the study period, the marginal effect of rurality on the risk-adjusted rates of amputation significantly increased (P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Patients who undergo peripheral vascular trauma management in rural areas appear to increasingly exhibit a higher likelihood of amputation, with lower incremental costs and a lower risk of 30-day readmission. These findings underscore disparities in access to optimal trauma vascular care as well as limited resources in rural regions.

National trends and outcomes of robotic emergency general surgery in the United States

BACKGROUND

Robot-assisted surgery has seen exponential adoption over the last decade. Although the safety and efficacy of robotic surgery in the elective setting have been demonstrated, data regarding robotic emergency general surgery remains sparse.

METHODS

All adults undergoing non-elective appendectomy, cholecystectomy, small or large bowel resection, perforated ulcer repair, or lysis of adhesions were identified in the 2008 to 2020 National Inpatient Sample. Temporal trends were analyzed using a rank-based, non-parametric test developed by Cuzick (nptrend). Using laparoscopy as a reference, multivariable regressions were used to evaluate the association between robotic techniques and in-hospital mortality, major complications, and resource use for each emergency general surgery operation.

RESULTS

Of an estimated 4,040,555 patients undergoing emergency general surgery, 65,853 (1.6%) were performed using robotic techniques. The robotic proportion of minimally invasive emergency general surgery increased significantly overall, with the largest growth seen in robot-assisted large bowel resections and perforated ulcer repairs. After adjustment for various patient and hospital-level factors, robot-assisted large bowel resection (adjusted odds ratio 0.73, 95% confidence interval 0.58-0.91) and cholecystectomy (adjusted odds ratio 0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.55-0.81) were associated with significantly reduced odds of perioperative blood transfusion compared to traditional laparoscopy. Although robotic techniques were associated with modest reductions in postoperative length of stay, costs were uniformly higher by increments of up to $4,900.

CONCLUSION

Robotic surgery appears to be a safe and effective adjunct to laparoscopy in minimally invasive emergency general surgery, although comparable cost-effectiveness has yet to be realized. Increasing use of robotic techniques in emergency general surgery may be attributable in part to reduced complications, including blood loss, in certain operative contexts.

Association of hospital volume and operative approach with clinical and financial outcomes of elective esophagectomy in the United States

INTRODUCTION

Literature regarding the impact of esophagectomy approach on hospitalizations costs and short-term outcomes is limited. Moreover, few have examined how institutional MIS experience affects costs. We thus examined utilization trends, costs, and short-term outcomes of open and minimally invasive (MIS) esophagectomy as well as assessing the relationship between institutional MIS volume and hospitalization costs.

METHODS

All adults undergoing elective esophagectomy were identified from the 2016-2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Multiple regression models were used to assess approach with costs, in-hospital mortality, and major complications. Additionally, annual hospital MIS esophagectomy volume was modeled as a restricted cubic spline against costs. Institutions performing > 16 cases/year corresponding with the inflection point were categorized as high-volume hospitals (HVH). We subsequently examined the association of HVH status with costs, in-hospital mortality, and major complications in patients undergoing minimally invasive esophagectomy.

RESULTS

Of an estimated 29,116 patients meeting inclusion, 10,876 (37.4%) underwent MIS esophagectomy. MIS approaches were associated with $10,600 in increased incremental costs (95% CI 8,800-12,500), but lower odds of in-hospital mortality (AOR 0.76; 95% CI 0.61-0.96) or major complications (AOR 0.68; 95% CI 0.60, 0.77). Moreover, HVH status was associated with decreased adjusted costs, as well as lower odds of postoperative complications for patients undergoing MIS operations.

CONCLUSION

In this nationwide study, MIS esophagectomy was associated with increased hospitalization costs, but improved short-term outcomes. In MIS operations, cost differences were mitigated by volume, as HVH status was linked with decreased costs in the setting of decreased odds of complications. Centralization of care to HVH centers should be considered as MIS approaches are increasingly utilized.

Timing of Noncardiac Surgery Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement: A National Analysis

BACKGROUND

The optimal timing of noncardiac surgery (NCS) following transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) for aortic stenosis has not been elucidated by current national guidelines.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of the time interval between TAVR and NCS (Δt) on the perioperative risk of major adverse events (MAEs).

METHODS

All adult admissions for isolated TAVR for aortic stenosis were identified in the 2016 to 2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Patients who received NCS on subsequent admission were included for analysis and grouped by Δt as follows: ≤30, 31 to 60, 61 to 90, and >90 days. Multivariable regression models were constructed to examine the association of Δt with ensuing outcomes.

RESULTS

Of 3,098 patients (median age = 79 years, 41.6% female), 19.1% underwent NCS at ≤30 days, 22.9% at 31 to 60 days, 16.7% at 61 to 90 days, and 41.3% at >90 days. After adjustment, the odds of MAEs were similar for operations performed at ≤30 days (adjusted OR [AOR]: 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.74-1.50), 31 to 60 days (AOR: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.71-1.31), and 61 to 90 days (AOR: 0.95; 95% CI: 0.67-1.34), with those at >90 days as reference. When examining the average marginal effect of the interval to surgery, risk-adjusted MAE rates were statistically similar across Δt groups for elective status and NCS risk category combinations.

CONCLUSIONS

NCS within 30, 31 to 60, or 61 to 90 days after TAVR was not associated with increased odds of MAEs compared with operations after 90 days irrespective of NCS risk category or elective status. Our findings suggest that the interval between NCS and TAVR may not be an accurate predictor of MAE risk in this population.

Interhospital variation in the nonoperative management of acute cholecystitis

BACKGROUND

Cholecystectomy remains the standard management for acute cholecystitis. Given that rates of nonoperative management have increased, we hypothesize the existence of significant hospital-level variability in operative rates. Thus, we characterized patients who were managed nonoperatively at normal and lower operative hospitals (>90th percentile).

METHODS

All adult admissions for acute cholecystitis were queried using the 2016-2019 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Centers were ranked by nonoperative rate using multi-level, mixed effects modeling. Hospitals in the top decile of nonoperative rate (>9.4%) were classified as Low Operative Hospitals (LOH; others:nLOH). Separate regression models were created to determine factors associated with nonoperative management at LOH and nLOH.

RESULTS

Of an estimated 418,545 patients, 9.9% were managed at 880 LOH. Multilevel modeling demonstrated that 20.6% of the variability was due to hospital factors alone. After adjustment, older age (Adjusted Odds Ratio [AOR] 1.02/year, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.01-1.02) and public insurance (Medicare AOR 1.31, CI 1.21-1.43 and Medicaid AOR 1.43, CI 1.31-1.57; reference: Private Insurance) were associated with nonoperative management at LOH. These were similar at nLOH. At LOH, SNH status (AOR 1.17, CI 1.07-1.28) and small institution size (AOR 1.20, CI 1.09-1.34) were associated with increased odds of nonoperative management.

CONCLUSION

We noted a significant variability in the interhospital variation of the nonoperative management of acute cholecystitis. Nevertheless, comparable clinical and socioeconomic factors contribute to nonoperative management at both LOH and non-LOH. Directed strategies to address persistent non-clinical disparities are necessary to minimize deviation from standard protocol and ensure equitable care.

Association of substance-use disorder with outcomes of major elective abdominal operations: A contemporary national analysis

Background

Affecting >20million people in the U.S., including 4 % of all hospitalized patients, substance use disorder (SUD) represents a growing public health crisis. Evaluating a national cohort, we aimed to characterize the association of concurrent SUD with perioperative outcomes and resource utilization following elective abdominal operations.

Methods

All adult hospitalizations entailing elective colectomy, gastrectomy, esophagectomy, hepatectomy, and pancreatectomy were tabulated from the 2016-2020 National Inpatient Sample. Patients with concurrent substance use disorder, comprising alcohol, opioid, marijuana, sedative, cocaine, inhalant, hallucinogen, or other psychoactive/stimulant use, were considered the SUD cohort (others: nSUD). Multivariable regression models were constructed to evaluate the independent association between SUD and key outcomes.

Results

Of ∼1,088,145 patients, 32,865 (3.0 %) comprised the SUD cohort. On average, SUD patients were younger, more commonly male, of lowest quartile income, and of Black race. SUD patients less frequently underwent colectomy, but more often pancreatectomy, relative to nSUD.Following risk adjustment and with nSUD as reference, SUD demonstrated similar likelihood of in-hospital mortality, but remained associated with increased odds of any perioperative complication (Adjusted Odds Ratio [AOR] 1.17, CI 1.09-1.25). Further, SUD was linked with incremental increases in adjusted length of stay (β + 0.90 days, CI +0.68-1.12) and costs (β + $3630, CI +2650-4610), as well as greater likelihood of non-home discharge (AOR 1.54, CI 1.40-1.70).

Conclusions

Concurrent substance use disorder was associated with increased complications, resource utilization, and non-home discharge following major elective abdominal operations. Novel interventions are warranted to address increased risk among this vulnerable population and address significant disparities in postoperative outcomes.

Machine learning based predictive modeling of readmissions following extracorporeal membrane oxygenation hospitalizations

Background

Despite increasing utilization and survival benefit over the last decade, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) remains resource-intensive with significant complications and rehospitalization risk. We thus utilized machine learning (ML) to develop prediction models for 90-day nonelective readmission following ECMO.

Methods

All adult patients receiving ECMO who survived index hospitalization were tabulated from the 2016-2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) models were developed to identify features associated with readmission following ECMO. Area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC), mean Average Precision (mAP), and the Brier score were calculated to estimate model performance relative to logistic regression (LR). Shapley Additive Explanation summary (SHAP) plots evaluated the relative impact of each factor on the model. An additional sensitivity analysis solely included patient comorbidities and indication for ECMO as potential model covariates.

Results

Of ∼22,947 patients, 4495 (19.6 %) were readmitted nonelectively within 90 days. The XGBoost model exhibited superior discrimination (AUROC 0.64 vs 0.49), classification accuracy (mAP 0.30 vs 0.20) and calibration (Brier score 0.154 vs 0.165, all P < 0.001) in predicting readmission compared to LR. SHAP plots identified duration of index hospitalization, undergoing heart/lung transplantation, and Medicare insurance to be associated with increased odds of readmission. Upon sub-analysis, XGBoost demonstrated superior disclination compared to LR (AUROC 0.61 vs 0.60, P < 0.05). Chronic liver disease and frailty were linked with increased odds of nonelective readmission.

Conclusions

ML outperformed LR in predicting readmission following ECMO. Future work is needed to identify other factors linked with readmission and further optimize post-ECMO care among this cohort.

Impact of Early Tracheostomy After Lung Transplantation: A National Analysis

BACKGROUND

Prolonged mechanical ventilation is common among lung transplant recipients, affecting nearly one-third of patients. Tracheostomy has been shown as a beneficial alternative to endotracheal intubation, but delays in tracheostomy tube placement persist. To date, no large-scale study has investigated the effect of tracheostomy timing on posttransplant outcomes.

METHODS

All adults receiving tracheostomy after primary, isolated lung transplantation were identified in the 2016 to 2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Early tracheostomy was defined as placement before postoperative day 8 based on exploratory cohort analysis. Multivariable regression was used to evaluate the association of early tracheostomy with in-hospital mortality, select posttransplant complications, and resource utilization.

RESULTS

Of an estimated 11,048 patients undergoing first-time lung transplantation, 1509 required a tracheostomy in the postoperative period, with 783 (51.9%) comprising the early cohort. After entropy balancing and risk adjustment, early tracheostomy placement was associated with reduced odds of death (adjusted odds ratio, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.36-0.97) and posttransplant infection (adjusted odds ratio, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.35-0.82). Further, tracheostomy within 1 week of transplantation was associated with decreased length of stay (β-coefficient, -16.5 days; 95% CI, -25.3 to -7.6 days) and index hospitalization costs (β-coefficient, -$97,600; 95% CI, -$153,000 to -$42,100).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study supports the safety of early tracheostomy among lung transplant recipients and highlights several potential benefits. Among appropriately selected patients, tracheostomy placement before postoperative day 8 may facilitate early discharge, lower costs, and reduced odds of posttransplant infection.

A National Analysis of Alcohol Withdrawal Syndrome in Patients with Operative Trauma

Background

Alcohol withdrawal syndrome (AWS) presents with a complex spectrum of clinical manifestations that complicate postoperative management. In trauma setting, subjective screening for AWS remains challenging due to the criticality of injury in these patients. We thus identified several patient characteristics and perioperative outcomes associated AWS development.

Methods

The 2016-2020 National Inpatient Sample was queried to identify all non-elective adult (≥18 years) hospitalizations for blunt or penetrating trauma undergoing operative management with a diagnosis of AWS. Patients with traumatic brain injury or with a hospital duration of stay <2 days were excluded. Outcomes of interest included in-hospital mortality, perioperative complications, hospitalization costs, length of stay (LOS) and non-home discharge.

Results

Of an estimated 2,965,079 operative trauma hospitalizations included for analysis, 36,415 (1.23 %) developed AWS following admission. The AWS cohort demonstrated increased odds of mortality (Adjusted Odds Ratio [AOR] 1.46, 95 % Confidence Interval [95 % CI] 1.23-1.73), along with infectious (AOR 1.73, 95 % CI 1.58-1.88), cardiac (AOR 1.24, 95 % CI 1.06-1.46), and respiratory (AOR 1.96, 95 % CI 1.81-2.11) complications. AWS was associated with prolonged LOS, (β: 3.3 days, 95 % CI: 3.0 to 3.5), greater cost (β: +$8900, 95 % CI $7900-9800) and incremental odds of nonhome discharge (AOR 1.43, 95 % CI 1.34-1.53). Furthermore, male sex, Medicaid insurance status, head injury and thoracic operation were linked with greater odds of development of AWS.

Conclusion

In the present study, AWS development was associated with increased odds of in-hospital mortality, perioperative complications, and resource burden. The identification of patient and operative characteristics linked with AWS may improve screening protocols in trauma care.

Off-Pump Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Does Not Confer Superior Outcomes Among Frail Patients

Off-pump coronary revascularization (OPCAB) has been proposed to benefit patients who are at a greater surgical risk because it avoids the use of extracorporeal circulation. Although, historically, older patients were considered high-risk candidates, recent studies implicate frailty as a more comprehensive measure of perioperative fitness. Yet, the outcomes of OPCAB in frail patients have not been elucidated. Thus, using a national cohort of frail patients, we assessed the impact of OPCAB relative to on-pump coronary revascularization (ONCAB). Patients who underwent first-time elective coronary revascularization were tabulated from the 2010 to 2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Frailty was assessed using the previously-validated Johns Hopkins Adjusted Clinical Groups indicator. Multivariable models were used to consider the independent associations between OPCAB and the key outcomes. Of ∼26,529 frail patients, 6,322 (23.8%) underwent OPCAB. After risk adjustment and compared with ONCAB, OPCAB was linked with similar odds of in-hospital mortality but greater likelihood of postoperative cardiac arrest (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 1.53, confidence interval [CI] 1.13 to 2.07) and myocardial infarction (AOR 1.44, CI 1.23 to 1.69). OPCAB was further associated with greater odds of postoperative infection (AOR 1.22, CI 1.02 to 1.47) but decreased need for blood transfusion (AOR 0.68, CI 0.60 to 0.77). In addition, OPCAB faced a +0.86-day increase in length of stay (CI 0.21 to 1.51) but similar costs (β $1,610, CI -$1,240 to 4,460) relative to ONCAB. Although OPCAB was associated with no difference in mortality compared with ONCAB, it was linked with greater likelihood of postoperative cardiac arrest and myocardial infarction. Our findings demonstrate that ONCAB remains associated with superior outcomes, even in the growing population of frail patients who underwent coronary revascularization.

Persistent Racial Disparities in Morbidity Following Major Elective Operations

Introduction: Despite considerable national attention, racial disparities in surgical outcomes persist. We sought to consider whether race-based inequities in outcomes following major elective surgery have improved in the contemporary era. Methods: All adult hospitalization records for elective coronary artery bypass grafting, abdominal aortic aneurysm repair, colectomy, and hip replacement were tabulated from the 2016-2020 National Inpatient Sample. Patients were stratified by Black or White race. To consider the evolution in outcomes, we included an interaction term between race and year. We designated centers in the top quartile of annual procedural volume as high-volume hospitals (HVH). Results: Of ∼2,838,485 patients, 245,405 (8.6%) were of Black race. Following risk-adjustment, Black race was linked with similar odds of in-hospital mortality, but increased likelihood of major complications (Adjusted Odds Ratio [AOR] 1.41, 95%Confidence Interval [CI] 1.36-1.47). From 2016-2020, overall risk-adjusted rates of major complications declined (patients of White race: 9.2% to 8.4%; patients of Black race 11.8% to 10.8%, both P < .001). Yet, the delta in risk of adverse outcomes between patients of White and Black race did not significantly change. Of the cohort, 158,060 (8.4%) were treated at HVH. Following adjustment, Black race remained associated with greater odds of morbidity (AOR 1.37, CI 1.23-1.52; Ref:White). The race-based difference in risk of complications at HVH did not significantly change from 2016 to 2020. Conclusion: While overall rates of complications following major elective procedures declined from 2016 to 2020, patients of Black race faced persistently greater risk of adverse outcomes. Novel interventions are needed to address persistent racial disparities and ensure acceptable outcomes for all patients.

Heart Transplantation following Donation after Circulatory Death: Early United States Experience

BACKGROUND

Given the renewed interest in heart transplantation(HT) following donation after circulatory death(DCD), a contemporary analysis of trends, and longer-term survival is warranted.

METHODS

Adult HT recipients(December 2019-September 2023) were identified in the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network. Recipients were stratified as either donation after brain death(DBD) or DCD. DCD procurements were further classified as direct procurement and perfusion(DCD-DPP), or normothermic regional perfusion(DCD-NRP), based on the declaration of death to cross-clamp interval(≥40minutes DCD-NRP). The main outcome was post-transplant survival at 1- and 3-years.

RESULTS

Of 11,625 transplantations, 792(7%) involved DCD allografts(249 DCD-NRP, 543 DCD-DPP). The proportion of transplants involving DCD allografts significantly increased from 2%(December 2019) to 11%(January-September 2023, P<0.001). Upon adjusted analysis, 1-year post-transplant survival was similar for DBD versus DCD-DPP(HR 1.00, CI 0.66-1.66) or DCD-NRP(HR 0.92, CI 0.49-1.72). This remained true at 3-years(DCD-DPP HR 1.07, CI 0.77-1.48; DCD-NRP HR 1.04, CI 0.62-1.73). Incidence of postoperative stroke, dialysis, acute graft rejection, and primary graft dysfunction were similar across groups. Across various strata of recipient risk and center volume, survival was equivalent between the DBD and DCD cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Rates of DCD HT continue to rise. Across various recipient risk and center volume categories, DCD and DBD recipients show comparable post-transplant survival up to three years. These findings encourage broader utilization of such donors in attempts to expand the organ pool.

Trends and associated outcomes of fat embolism after trauma surgery

BACKGROUND

Fat embolism is a life-threatening complication often occurring in patients with traumatic injuries. However, temporal trends and perioperative outcomes of fat embolism remain understudied. Using a nationally representative cohort, we aimed to characterize temporal trends of fat embolism and its associated resource utilization in operatively managed trauma patients.

METHODS

All patients (≥18 years) undergoing any major operations after traumatic injuries were tabulated using the 2005 to 2020 National Inpatient Sample. Patients were stratified into those with fat embolism and those without. Multivariable logistic and linear regressions were developed to assess the association between fat embolism and outcomes of interest.

RESULTS

Of an estimated 10,600,000 hospitalizations, 7,479 (0.07%) patients had fat embolism. Compared to the non-fat embolism cohort, the fat embolism cohort was younger (55 [26-79] vs 69 [49-82] years, standard mean difference = 0.46) and more likely to receive treatment at a high-volume trauma center (42.9 vs 33.7%, standard mean difference = 0.19). Over the study period, there was an increase in annual mortality and hospitalization costs among the fat embolism group (nptrend <0.001). After risk adjustment, fat embolism was associated with greater odds of mortality (adjusted odds ratio: 2.65, 95% confidence interval: 2.24-3.14) compared to others. Additionally, fat embolism was associated with increased odds of cerebrovascular, infectious, and renal complications.

CONCLUSION

Among all operatively managed trauma patients, those who developed fat embolism had increased mortality, rates of complications, length of stay, and costs. Optimization of early and accurate identification of fat embolism is warranted to mitigate complications and improve resource allocation among trauma patients.

Association of socioeconomic vulnerability with clinical and financial outcomes following emergent hernia repair

BACKGROUND

While race and insurance have been linked with greater likelihood of hernia incarceration and emergent presentation, the association of broader social determinants of health (SDOH) with outcomes following urgent repair remains to be elucidated.

STUDY DESIGN

All adult hospitalizations entailing emergent repair for strangulated inguinal, femoral, and ventral hernias were identified in the 2016-2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Socioeconomic vulnerability was ascertained using relevant diagnosis codes. Multivariable models were developed to consider the independent associations between socioeconomic vulnerability and study outcomes.

RESULTS

Of ∼236,215 patients, 20,306 (8.6 ​%) were Vulnerable. Following risk-adjustment, socioeconomic vulnerability remained associated with greater odds of in-hospital mortality, any perioperative complication, increased hospitalization expenditures and higher risk of non-elective readmission.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients undergoing emergent hernia repair, socioeconomic vulnerability was linked with greater morbidity, expenditures, and readmission. As part of patient-centered care, novel screening, postoperative management, and SDOH-informed discharge planning programs are needed to mitigate disparities in outcomes.

Trends and clinical outcomes of abdominal compartment syndrome among intensive care hospitalizations

BACKGROUND

Abdominal compartment syndrome has been shown to be a highly morbid condition among patients admitted to the intensive care unit. The present study sought to characterize trends as well as clinical and financial outcomes of patients with abdominal compartment syndrome.

METHODS

The 2010 to 2020 National Inpatient Sample was used to identify adults (≥18 years) admitted to the intensive care unit. Standard mean differences were obtained to demonstrate effect size with >0.1 denoting significance. Hospitals were divided into tertiles based on annual institutional intensive care unit admissions. Multivariable regression models were used to evaluate the association of abdominal compartment syndrome on outcomes. The primary endpoint was in-hospital mortality, while complications, costs, and length of stay were secondarily considered.

RESULTS

Of 11,804,585 patients, 19,644 (0.17%) developed abdominal compartment syndrome. Over the study period, the incidence of abdominal compartment syndrome (2010-0.19%, 2020-0.20%, P < .001) remained similar. Those with abdominal compartment syndrome were more commonly admitted for gastrointestinal (22.8% vs 8.4%) and cardiovascular (22.6% vs 14.9%) etiologies and were more frequently managed at urban teaching hospitals (77.7% vs 65.1%) as well as high-volume intensive care units (85.2% vs 79.1%) (all standard mean differences >0.1). After adjustment, abdominal compartment syndrome was associated with higher odds of mortality (adjusted odds ratio: 3.84, 95% confidence interval: 3.57-4.13, reference: non-abdominal compartment syndrome). Incremental length of stay (β: +5.0 days, 95% confidence interval: 4.2-5.8) and costs (β: $49.3K, 95% confidence interval: 45.3-53.4) were significantly higher in abdominal compartment syndrome compared to non-abdominal compartment syndrome.

CONCLUSION

Abdominal compartment syndrome, while an uncommon occurrence among intensive care unit patients, remains highly morbid with significant resource burden. Further work exploring factors to mitigate its clinical and financial burden is needed.

Association of socioeconomic vulnerability with outcomes after emergency general surgery

PURPOSE

Social determinants of health are increasingly recognized to shape health outcomes. Yet, the effect of socioeconomic vulnerability on outcomes after emergency general surgery remains under-studied.

METHODS

All adult (≥18 years) hospitalizations for emergency general surgery operations (appendectomy, cholecystectomy, laparotomy, large bowel resection, perforated ulcer repair, or small bowel resection), within 2 days of non-elective admission were tabulated in the 2016 to 2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Socioeconomic vulnerability was defined using relevant diagnosis codes and comprised economic, educational, healthcare, environmental, and social needs. Patients demonstrating socioeconomic vulnerability were considered Vulnerable (others: Non-Vulnerable). Multivariable models were constructed to evaluate the independent associations between socioeconomic vulnerability and key outcomes.

RESULTS

Of ∼1,788,942 patients, 177,764 (9.9%) were considered Vulnerable. Compared to Non-Vulnerable, Vulnerable patients were older (67 [55-77] vs 58 years [41-70), P < .001), more often insured by Medicaid (16.4 vs 12.7%, P < .001), and had a higher Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (4 [3-5] vs 2 [1-3], P < .001). After risk adjustment and with Non-Vulnerable as a reference, Vulnerable remained linked with a greater likelihood of in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio 1.64, confidence interval 1.58-1.70) and any perioperative complication (adjusted odds ratio 2.02, confidence interval 1.98-2.06). Vulnerable also experienced a greater duration of stay (β+4.64 days, confidence interval +4.54-4.74) and hospitalization costs (β+$1,360, confidence interval +980-1,740). Further, the Vulnerable cohort demonstrated increased odds of non-home discharge (adjusted odds ratio 2.44, confidence interval 2.38-2.50) and non-elective readmission within 30 days of discharge (adjusted odds ratio 1.29, confidence interval 1.26-1.32).

CONCLUSION

Socioeconomic vulnerability is independently associated with greater morbidity, resource use, and readmission after emergency general surgery. Novel interventions are needed to build hospital screening and care pathways to improve disparities in outcomes.

Mortality and resource utilization in surgical versus transcatheter repeat mitral valve replacement: A national analysis

BACKGROUND

Transcatheter mitral valve replacement (TMVR) has garnered interest as a viable alternative to the traditional surgical mitral valve replacement (SMVR) for high-risk patients requiring redo operations. This study aims to evaluate the association of TMVR with selected clinical and financial outcomes.

METHODS

Adults undergoing isolated redo mitral valve replacement were identified in the 2016-2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database and categorized into TMVR or SMVR cohorts. Various regression models were developed to assess the association between TMVR and in-hospital mortality, as well as additional secondary outcomes. Transseptal and transapical catheter-based approaches were also compared in relation to study endpoints.

RESULTS

Of an estimated 7,725 patients, 2,941 (38.1%) underwent TMVR. During the study period, the proportion of TMVR for redo operations increased from 17.8% to 46.7% (nptrend<0.001). Following adjustment, TMVR was associated with similar odds of in-hospital mortality (AOR 0.82, p = 0.48), but lower odds of stroke (AOR 0.44, p = 0.001), prolonged ventilation (AOR 0.43, p<0.001), acute kidney injury (AOR 0.61, p<0.001), and reoperation (AOR 0.29, p = 0.02). TMVR was additionally correlated with shorter postoperative length of stay (pLOS; β -0.98, p<0.001) and reduced costs (β -$10,100, p = 0.002). Additional analysis demonstrated that the transseptal approach had lower adjusted mortality (AOR 0.44, p = 0.02), shorter adjusted pLOS (β -0.43, p<0.001), but higher overall costs (β $5,200, p = 0.04), compared to transapical.

CONCLUSIONS

In this retrospective cohort study, we noted TMVR to yield similar odds of in-hospital mortality as SMVR, but fewer complications and reduced healthcare expenditures. Moreover, transseptal approaches were associated with lower adjusted mortality, shorter pLOS, but higher cost, relative to the transapical. Our findings suggest that TMVR represent a cost-effective and safe treatment modality for patients requiring redo mitral valve procedures. Nevertheless, future studies examining long-term outcomes associated with SMVR and TMVR in redo mitral valve operations, are needed.