Clinically Relevant Findings on 24-hour Head CT after Acute Stroke Therapy: the 24-hour CT Score

BACKGROUND

Routine head computed tomography (CT) is performed 24 hours post-acute stroke thrombolysis and thrombectomy, even in patients with stable or improving clinical deficits. Predicting CT results that impact management could help prioritize patients at risk and potentially reduce unnecessary imaging.

METHODS

In this IRB-approved retrospective study, data from 1461 consecutive acute ischemic stroke patients at our Comprehensive Stroke Center (n=8943, 2012-2022) who received intravenous thrombolysis or endovascular therapy, exhibited stable or improving 24-hour exams, and underwent 24-hour follow-up head CT per standard acute stroke care guidelines. CT reports 24 hours post-stroke were reviewed for edema, mass effect, herniation, and hemorrhage. The primary outcome was any clinically relevant 24-hour CT finding that led to changes in antithrombotic treatment or blood pressure goals, extended ICU stays or hospitalizations, neurosurgical interventions, or administration of mannitol or hypertonic saline. Multivariable logistic regression identified independent predictors of clinically meaningful CT abnormalities. A 24-hour CT Score was developed and cross-validated.

RESULTS

The mean age was 70 years, with 47% women. The median NIH Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score at admission was 12 (IQR 6-18). Stroke-related abnormalities on 24-hour CT were present in 325 patients (22.2%), with 183 (12.5%) showing clinically relevant findings. Age, admission NIHSS, and blood glucose levels were independent predictors of clinically relevant 24-hour CT findings. The final model C statistic was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.68-0.76) in the derivation cohort and 0.72 (95% CI, 0.67-0.75) in bootstrapping validation. The 24-hour CT score was developed using these predictors: NIHSS score 5-15 (+3); NIHSS score ≥16 (+5); age <75 years (+1); admission glucose ≥140mg/dL (+1). The prevalence of clinically relevant CT findings was 4.3% in the low-risk group (24-hour CT score ≤4), 11.3% in the medium-risk group (score 5), and 21.4% in the high-risk group (score ≥6). The 24-hour CT score demonstrated good calibration.

CONCLUSION

In patients undergoing thrombolysis or thrombectomy who undergo routine 24-hour head CT despite remaining clinically stable or improving, only 1 in 8 prove to have 24-hour head CT findings that impact management. The 24-hour CT score provides risk stratification that may improve resource utilization.

Effectiveness of metformin pretreatment for stroke severity: A propensity score matching study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Metformin pretreatment might have neuroprotective effects. We aimed to determine the therapeutic effects of the antidiabetic medication metformin on ischemic stroke severity and discharge outcomes.

METHODS

We analyzed data on 1303 ischemic stroke patients who were on antidiabetic medications from the Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) Advanced Comprehensive Stroke Center dataset (n = 8943, 2012-2022). We applied propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) analyses to investigate the effect of current usage of metformin (versus alternate antidiabetic treatment) on acute stroke clinical severity and discharge outcomes.

RESULTS

Of the 1303 patients who were on antidiabetic medications at the time of stroke admission, 730 (56%) were taking metformin. Metformin users were younger and more frequently had hypertension, whereas less frequently had prior CAD, AFib, and chronic kidney disease. The clinical features and laboratory values of the two groups were evenly distributed after PSM. Metformin-treated patients had statistically significant lower stroke severity on admission [National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) (median, interquartile range) 3.0 (1.0-8.0) vs. 4.0 (2.0-11.3), p = 0.011], better functional independence at discharge (modified Rankin scale score 0-2, 36.3% vs. 25.4%, p < 0.001) and less in-hospital mortality (4.5% vs. 11.3%, p = 0.018). IPTW analysis results were consistent with PSM results.

CONCLUSIONS

Among diabetic patients with acute ischemic stroke, metformin appears to confer neuroprotection. Our results extend previous findings to the general stroke population. Stroke patients with diabetes mellitus who were treated with metformin prior to stroke, even when combined with additional antidiabetic medications, experienced less severe strokes upon admission and had better functional outcomes during hospitalization.

Impact of osteoporosis and osteoporosis medications on fracture healing: a narrative review

Antiresorptive medications do not negatively affect fracture healing in humans. Teriparatide may decrease time to fracture healing. Romosozumab has not shown a beneficial effect on human fracture healing.

BACKGROUND

Fracture healing is a complex process. Uncertainty exists over the influence of osteoporosis and the medications used to treat it on fracture healing.

METHODS

Narrative review authored by the members of the Fracture Working Group of the Committee of Scientific Advisors of the International Osteoporosis Foundation (IOF), on behalf of the IOF and the Société Internationale de Chirurgie Orthopédique et de Traumatologie (SICOT).

RESULTS

Fracture healing is a multistep process. Most fractures heal through a combination of intramembranous and endochondral ossification. Radiographic imaging is important for evaluating fracture healing and for detecting delayed or non-union. The presence of callus formation, bridging trabeculae, and a decrease in the size of the fracture line over time are indicative of healing. Imaging must be combined with clinical parameters and patient-reported outcomes. Animal data support a negative effect of osteoporosis on fracture healing; however, clinical data do not appear to corroborate with this. Evidence does not support a delay in the initiation of antiresorptive therapy following acute fragility fractures. There is no reason for suspension of osteoporosis medication at the time of fracture if the person is already on treatment. Teriparatide treatment may shorten fracture healing time at certain sites such as distal radius; however, it does not prevent non-union or influence union rate. The positive effect on fracture healing that romosozumab has demonstrated in animals has not been observed in humans.

CONCLUSION

Overall, there appears to be no deleterious effect of osteoporosis medications on fracture healing. The benefit of treating osteoporosis and the urgent necessity to mitigate imminent refracture risk after a fracture should be given prime consideration. It is imperative that new radiological and biological markers of fracture healing be identified. It is also important to synthesize clinical and basic science methodologies to assess fracture healing, so that a convergence of the two frameworks can be achieved.

The potential for carbon dioxide removal by enhanced rock weathering in the tropics: An evaluation of Costa Rica

Tropical environments show great potential to sequester CO2 by enhanced rock weathering (ERW) of powdered mafic rocks applied to agricultural fields. This study seeks to assess carbon dioxide reduction (CDR) potential in the humid tropics (1) by experimental weathering of mafic rock powders in conditions simulating humid tropical soils, and (2) from weathering rates determined from a Holocene tropical soil chronosequence where parent material is andesitic sediments. Experimentally determined weathering rates by leaching of basaltic andesites from Costa Rica (Arenal and Barva) for 50 t ha-1 applications indicate potential sequestration of 2.4 to 4.5 t CO2 ha-1 yr-1, whereas the USGS basalt standard BHVO-1 yields a rate of 11.9 t ha-1 yr-1 (influenced by more mafic composition and finer particle size). The chronosequence indicates a rate of 1.7 t CO2 ha-1 yr-1. The weathering experiment consisted of 0.6 mm of powdered rock applied atop 12 mm of Ultisol at 35 °C. To simulate a tropical soil solution, 100-mL aliquots of a dilute solution of oxalic acid in carbonated DI water were rained onto soils over a 14-day period to simulate soil moisture in the humid tropics. Solutions were collected and analyzed by ICPMS for concentrations of leached cations. A potential ERW scenario for Costa Rica was assessed assuming that one-half of lowland agricultural kaolinitic soils (mainly Ultisols, common crop and pasture soils, excluding protected areas) were to receive 50 t ha-1 of annual or biennial applications of powdered mafic rock. With an experimentally determined humid tropical CDR rate for basaltic andesite (3.5 t ha-1 yr-1) and allowances for carbon costs (e.g. emissions from processing and delivery) that reduce CDR to a net 3.2 t ha-1 yr-1, potential annual CDR of this tropical nation is ∼2-4 million tons, amounting to ∼25-50 % of annual CO2 emissions (mainly from transportation in Costa Rica).

Safety and Feasibility of an Emergency Department-to-Outpatient Pathway for Patients With TIA and Nondisabling Stroke

Background and Objectives

Evaluation of transient ischemic attack/nondisabling ischemic strokes (TIA/NDS) in the emergency department (ED) contributes to capacity issues and increasing health care expenditures, especially high-cost duplicative imaging.

Methods

As an institutional quality improvement project, we developed a novel pathway to evaluate patients with TIA/NDS in the ED using a core set of laboratory tests and CT-based neuroimaging. Patients identified as 'low risk' through a safety checklist were discharged and scheduled for prompt outpatient tests and stroke clinic follow-up. In this prespecified analysis designed to assess feasibility and safety, we abstracted data from patients consecutively enrolled in the first 6 months.

Results

We compared data from 106 patients with TIA/NDS enrolled in the new pathway from April through September 2020 (age 67.9 years, 45% female), against 55 unmatched historical controls with TIA encountered from April 2016 through March 2017 (age 68.3 years, 47% female). Both groups had similar median NIHSS scores (pathway and control 0) and ABCD2 scores (pathway and control 3). Pathway-enrolled patients had a 44% decrease in mean ED length of stay (pathway 13.7 hours, control 24.4 hours, p < 0.001) and decreased utilization of ED MRI-based imaging (pathway 63%, control 91%, p < 0.001) and duplicative ED CT plus MRI-based brain and/or vascular imaging (pathway 35%, control 53%, p = 0.04). Among pathway-enrolled patients, 89% were evaluated in our stroke clinic within a median of 5 business days; only 5.5% were lost to follow-up. Both groups had similar 90-day rates of ED revisits (pathway 21%, control 18%, p = 0.84) and recurrent TIA/ischemic stroke (pathway 1%, control 2%, p = 1.0). Recurrent ischemic events among pathway-enrolled patients were attributed to errors in following the safety checklist before discharge.

Discussion

Our TIA/NDS pathway, implemented during the initial outbreak of COVID-19, seems feasible and safe, with significant positive impact on ED throughput and ED-based high-cost duplicative imaging. The safety checklist and option of virtual telehealth follow-up are novel features. Broader adoption of such pathways has important implications for value-based health care.

Estimating the economic burden of osteoporotic fractures in a multinational study: a real-world data perspective

Fracture-related costs vary by country. A standardized methodology and presentations were proposed to fairly assess the economic burden of osteoporotic fracture. Results indicated substantial costs of osteoporotic fractures for pharmacy, hospitalization, emergency care, and outpatient visits in women aged ≥ 50 years in Australia, Germany, South Korea, Spain, and the USA.

PURPOSE

The objective of this multinational, retrospective matched cohort study was to use a standardized methodology across different healthcare systems to estimate the burden of osteoporotic fracture (OF) in women aged ≥ 50 years in Australia, Germany, South Korea, Spain, and the USA.

METHODS

Within each country, healthcare resource utilization and direct costs of care were compared between patients with newly identified OF and a propensity score-matched cohort without OF during follow-up periods of up to 5 years.

RESULTS

Across all five countries, the OF cohort had significantly higher rates and length of inpatient admissions compared with the non-OF cohort. In each country, the adjusted total costs of care ratio between OF and non-OF cohorts were significant. The adjusted cost ratios for pharmacy, inpatient care, emergency care, and outpatient visits were similarly higher in the OF cohort across countries.

CONCLUSION

The current study demonstrates the substantial economic burden of OF across different countries when compared with matched non-OF patients. The findings would assist stakeholders and policymakers in developing appropriate health policies.

Abstract WP134: Long-Term Spontaneous Recanalization Rates Of Symptomatic Cervical Carotid Artery Occlusions

Background: Long-term rates of spontaneous recanalization of a previously acutely symptomatic cervical internal carotid artery occlusion (ICAO) have not been well characterized. The purpose of this study was to determine the rate of ICAO recanalization after index transient ischemic attack (TIA)/stroke in patients with serial vessel imaging, and the clinical factors associated with recanalization.

Methods: This was a single-center, retrospective analysis from 2012-2020 of patients presenting with TIA/stroke due to an acute cervical ICAO. Patients were included if follow-up neck vessel imaging (CTA, MRA or ultrasound) was performed after index TIA/stroke. Recanalization was classified as the presence of continuous flow within the cervical carotid artery on repeat imaging. Patients were excluded if they received catheterization of the occluded artery during index admission or if the occlusion was previously documented (i.e., chronic).

Results: Fifty-five patients were included in this study (mean age 61 ± 12 years, 27% female). The most common etiology for cervical ICAO was atherosclerosis (71%), followed by dissection (22%). Twelve patients (22%) demonstrated recanalization on follow-up imaging at a median of 125 days from index TIA/stroke (range 2-1072 days). Three patients with recanalization underwent carotid revascularization with endarterectomy or stenting. The administration of intravenous alteplase during index stroke admission was associated with recanalization (p=0.008). However, discharge antithrombotic regimen (antiplatelet or anticoagulation) or the etiology of the occlusion were not associated with recanalization (p=0.48 and p=0.73, respectively). There was no difference in 6-month recurrent TIA/stroke rates between those with recanalization (1 patient, 8.3%) and those without recanalization (4 patients, 9.3%), p=1.0.

Conclusion: Cervical ICAO recanalization occurred in 12 (22%) patients in our cohort at follow-up and allowed for carotid revascularization procedures in 3 (25%) of these patients. Outpatient follow-up cervical vessel imaging should be considered after symptomatic cervical ICAO, as identifying spontaneous recanalization can alter management.

Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Stroke Attributed to Large- or Small-Vessel Disease: A Prespecified Secondary Analysis of the STROKE AF Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

The Stroke of Known Cause and Underlying Atrial Fibrillation (STROKE AF) trial found that approximately 1 in 8 patients with recent ischemic stroke attributed to large- or small-vessel disease had poststroke atrial fibrillation (AF) detected by an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) at 12 months. Identifying predictors of AF could be useful when considering an ICM in routine poststroke clinical care.

Objective

To determine the association between commonly assessed risk factors and poststroke detection of new AF in the STROKE AF cohort monitored by ICM.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This was a prespecified analysis of a randomized (1:1) clinical trial that enrolled patients between April 1, 2016, and July 12, 2019, with primary follow-up through 2020 and mean (SD) duration of 11.0 (3.0) months. Eligible patients were selected from 33 clinical research sites in the US. Patients had an index stroke attributed to large- or small-vessel disease and were 60 years or older or aged 50 to 59 years with at least 1 additional stroke risk factor. A total of 496 patients were enrolled, and 492 were randomly assigned to study groups (3 did not meet inclusion criteria, and 1 withdrew consent). Patients in the ICM group had the index stroke within 10 days before insertion. Data were analyzed from October 8, 2021, to January 28, 2022.

Interventions

ICM monitoring vs site-specific usual care (short-duration external cardiac monitoring).

Main Outcomes and Measures

The ICM device automatically detects AF episodes 2 or more minutes in length; episodes were adjudicated by an expert committee. Cox regression multivariable modeling included all parameters identified in the univariate analysis having P values <.10. AF detection rates were calculated using Kaplan-Meier survival estimates.

Results

The analysis included the 242 participants randomly assigned to the ICM group in the STROKE AF study. Among 242 patients monitored with ICM, 27 developed AF (mean [SD] age, 66.6 [9.3] years; 144 men [60.0%]; 96 [40.0%] women). Two patients had missing baseline data and exited the study early. Univariate predictors of AF detection included age (per 1-year increments: hazard ratio [HR], 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.09; P = .02), CHA2DS2-VASc score (per point: HR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.15-2.06; P = .004), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (HR, 2.49; 95% CI, 0.86-7.20; P = .09), congestive heart failure (CHF; with preserved or reduced ejection fraction: HR, 6.64; 95% CI, 2.29-19.24; P < .001), left atrial enlargement (LAE; HR, 3.63; 95% CI, 1.55-8.47; P = .003), QRS duration (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.00-1.04; P = .04), and kidney dysfunction (HR, 3.58; 95% CI, 1.35-9.46; P = .01). In multivariable modeling (n = 197), only CHF (HR, 5.06; 95% CI, 1.45-17.64; P = .05) and LAE (HR, 3.32; 1.34-8.19; P = .009) remained significant predictors of AF. At 12 months, patients with CHF and/or LAE (40 of 142 patients) had an AF detection rate of 23.4% vs 5.0% for patients with neither (HR, 5.1; 95% CI, 2.0-12.8; P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

Among patients with ischemic stroke attributed to large- or small-vessel disease, CHF and LAE were associated with a significantly increased risk of poststroke AF detection. These patients may benefit most from the use of ICMs as part of a secondary stroke prevention strategy. However, the study was not powered for clinical predictors of AF, and therefore, other clinical characteristics may not have reached statistical significance.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02700945.

Frequency, predictors and cardiovascular outcomes associated with transthoracic echocardiographic findings during acute ischaemic stroke hospitalisation

OBJECTIVE

To characterise the clinical utility of transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) at the time of acute ischaemic stroke (AIS).

BACKGROUND

The utility of obtaining a TTE during AIS hospitalisation is uncertain.

METHODS

We studied AIS hospitalisations at a single centre (2002-2016). TTE abnormalities were classified as findings associated with: high stroke risk (Category I), cardiac events (Category II) and of unclear significance (Category III). We performed logistic regressions to predict Category I, II and III abnormalities. The odds of 1 year recurrent stroke hospitalisation captured by ICD 9 and 10 codes as a function of Category I, II and III abnormalities were assessed. Improvement in predictive capacity for 1 year recurrent ischaemic stroke hospitalisation beyond stroke risk factors was evaluated by net reclassification improvement.

RESULTS

There were 5523 AIS hospitalisations. Nearly 81% of admission TTEs were abnormal (18.7% Category I, 32.7% Category II, 72.8% Category III). Older patients with coronary artery disease, atrial fibrillation, hypertension, diabetes, and patent intracranial and extracranial vessels were likely to have an abnormal TTE. Category I finding was associated with lower odds of 1-year recurrent stroke hospitalisation (OR 0.54, 95% CI 0.30 to 0.96). Category I data significantly improved the predictive value for 1-year recurrent ischaemic stroke hospitalisation beyond stroke risk factors (net reclassification improvement 0.1563, 95% CI 0.0465 to 0.2661).

CONCLUSIONS

TTE abnormalities associated with stroke and cardiac event risk were commonly detected during AIS hospitalisation. Detection of Category I TTE findings reduced the risk of recurrent stroke, potentially due to neutralisation of the cardioembolic source by targeted therapy, indicating the clinical utility of TTE.

Is it time to consider population screening for fracture risk in postmenopausal women? A position paper from the International Osteoporosis Foundation Epidemiology/Quality of Life Working Group

The IOF Epidemiology and Quality of Life Working Group has reviewed the potential role of population screening for high hip fracture risk against well-established criteria. The report concludes that such an approach should strongly be considered in many health care systems to reduce the burden of hip fractures.

INTRODUCTION

The burden of long-term osteoporosis management falls on primary care in most healthcare systems. However, a wide and stable treatment gap exists in many such settings; most of which appears to be secondary to a lack of awareness of fracture risk. Screening is a public health measure for the purpose of identifying individuals who are likely to benefit from further investigations and/or treatment to reduce the risk of a disease or its complications. The purpose of this report was to review the evidence for a potential screening programme to identify postmenopausal women at increased risk of hip fracture.

METHODS

The approach took well-established criteria for the development of a screening program, adapted by the UK National Screening Committee, and sought the opinion of 20 members of the International Osteoporosis Foundation's Working Group on Epidemiology and Quality of Life as to whether each criterion was met (yes, partial or no). For each criterion, the evidence base was then reviewed and summarized.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSION

The report concludes that evidence supports the proposal that screening for high fracture risk in primary care should strongly be considered for incorporation into many health care systems to reduce the burden of fractures, particularly hip fractures. The key remaining hurdles to overcome are engagement with primary care healthcare professionals, and the implementation of systems that facilitate and maintain the screening program.

The global approach to rehabilitation following an osteoporotic fragility fracture: A review of the rehabilitation working group of the International Osteoporosis Foundation (IOF) committee of scientific advisors

PURPOSE

To conduct a review of the current state of the evidence for rehabilitation strategies post-fragility fracture.

METHODS

Narrative review conducted by the Rehabilitation Working Group of the International Osteoporosis Foundation Committee of Scientific Advisors characterizing the range of rehabilitation modalities instrumental for the management of fragility fractures.

RESULTS

Multi-modal exercise post-fragility fracture to the spine and hip is strongly recommended to reduce pain, improve physical function, and improve quality of life. Outpatient physiotherapy post-hip fracture has a stronger evidence base than outpatient physiotherapy post-vertebral fracture. Appropriate nutritional care after fragility fracture provides a large range of improvement in morbidity and mortality. Education increases understanding of osteoporosis which in turn increases utilization of other rehabilitation services. Education may improve other health outcomes such as pain and increase a patient's ability for self-advocacy.

CONCLUSION

Rehabilitation interventions are inter-reliant, and research investigating the interaction of exercise, nutrition, and other multi-modal therapies may increase the relevance of rehabilitation research to clinical care.

Abstract 150: Safety And Feasibility Of An ED-To-Outpatient Pathway For Transient Ischemic Attack Or Non-Disabling Stroke

Introduction: The evaluation and risk stratification of patients with TIA/non-disabling ischemic stroke (TIA/NDS) arriving to the Emergency Department (ED) incurs high-cost imaging and increases ED length of stay (EDLOS). We evaluated the safety and feasibility of an ED-to-Outpatient Pathway for TIA/NDS.

Methods: In April 2020, we developed a risk stratification algorithm for TIA/NDS in the ED using features of the clincal presentation, limited blood tests, telemetry, and head-neck CT/CTA. Patients deemed low risk based on a “safety checklist” were discharged with plans for expedited outpatient testing as warranted (e.g., brain MRI, echocardiogram) followed by rapid outpatient follow-up. To assess safety/feasibility of this pathway, we analyzed data of the first 101 patients prospectively enrolled through October 2020.

Results: Mean age 68 years (range, 33-99); 53% men; median NIHSS score 0 (range 0-3). Symptom duration was classified as <10 min (24%), 10-59 min (23%), >60 min (49%), unclear (4%). Deficits included isolated weakness (16%), isolated aphasia (15%), amaurosis fugax (6%), numbness/combined deficits/other (63%). Median ABCD2 score 3 (range 1-7). Outpatient follow-up included stroke clinic (82%), primary care (4%), not required or patient declined (6%), other hospital (1%); 7% were lost to follow-up; 43% had follow-up within 7 days. Imaging performed in the ED included CT/CTA only (39%), MRI/MRA only (27%), both (33%), or no imaging (1%). EDLOS was significantly less for patients when CT/CTA only was performed, as per pathway (12.8 versus 16.8 hours, p<0.05). The safety checklist was followed in 69% of patients. When the checklist was used properly, there were 0 recurrent strokes or TIAs within 90-days (versus 2 when not used correctly, p<0.05). Return rates to the ED were 8% with use of checklist and 6% without use (p=0.76).

Conclusion: Our TIA/NDS pathway, implemented shortly after the outbreak of Covid-19 in the USA, significantly decreased EDLOS, and still allowed for TIA/NDS patients to be safely discharged from the ED. Acceptable risk stratification and safety is suggested by the low rates of recurrent events when the pathway was followed properly. More education is needed to ensure consistent and proper use of the pathway.

Cost effectiveness of romosozumab versus teriparatide for severe postmenopausal osteoporosis in Japan

This study assessed the cost effectiveness of romosozumab versus teriparatide, both sequenced to alendronate, for the treatment of severe postmenopausal osteoporosis in Japan, using bone mineral density (BMD) efficacy data. Results show that romosozumab/alendronate produces greater health benefits at a lower cost than teriparatide/alendronate.

INTRODUCTION

This study aims to assess the cost effectiveness of romosozumab versus teriparatide, both sequenced to alendronate, for the treatment of severe postmenopausal osteoporosis in Japanese women previously treated with bisphosphonates.

METHODS

A Markov model was used to assess the relative cost effectiveness of 1 year of romosozumab versus 2 years of teriparatide, both sequenced to alendronate for a total treatment duration of 5 years. Outcomes for a cohort of women with a mean age of 78 years, a T-score ≤-2.5 and a previous fragility fracture were simulated over a lifetime horizon. The analysis was conducted from the perspective of the Japanese healthcare system and used a discount rate of 2% per annum. To inform relative fracture incidence, the bone mineral density (BMD) advantage of romosozumab over teriparatide was translated into relative risks of fracture, using relationships provided by a meta-regression of osteoporosis therapy trials. Outcomes were assessed in terms of lifetime costs (2020 US dollars) and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs).

RESULTS

Base case results showed that, compared with teriparatide/alendronate, romosozumab/alendronate reduced costs by $5134 per patient and yielded 0.045 additional QALYs. Scenario analyses and probabilistic sensitivity analysis confirmed that results are robust to uncertainty in model assumptions and inputs.

CONCLUSION

Results show that romosozumab/alendronate produces greater health benefits at a lower total cost than teriparatide/alendronate.

Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio and Absolute Lymphocyte Count as Prognostic Markers in Patients Treated with Curative-intent Radiotherapy for Non-small Cell Lung Cancer

AIMS

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) have been proposed as prognostic markers in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The objective of this study was to examine the association of NLR/ALC before and after curative-intent radiotherapy for NSCLC on disease recurrence and overall survival.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective study of consecutive patients who underwent curative-intent radiotherapy for NSCLC across nine sites in the UK from 1 October 2014 to 1 October 2016. A multivariate analysis was carried out to assess the ability of pre-treatment NLR/ALC, post-treatment NLR/ALC and change in NLR/ALC, adjusted for confounding factors using the Cox proportional hazards model, to predict disease recurrence and overall survival within 2 years of treatment.

RESULTS

In total, 425 patients were identified with complete blood parameter values. None of the NLR/ALC parameters were independent predictors of disease recurrence. Higher pre-NLR, post-NLR and change in NLR plus lower post-ALC were all independent predictors of worse survival. Receiver operator curve analysis found a pre-NLR > 2.5 (odds ratio 1.71, 95% confidence interval 1.06-2.79, P < 0.05), a post-NLR > 5.5 (odds ratio 2.36, 95% confidence interval 1.49-3.76, P < 0.001), a change in NLR >3.6 (odds ratio 2.41, 95% confidence interval 1.5-3.91, P < 0.001) and a post-ALC < 0.8 (odds ratio 2.86, 95% confidence interval 1.76-4.69, P < 0.001) optimally predicted poor overall survival on both univariate and multivariate analysis when adjusted for confounding factors. Median overall survival for the high-versus low-risk groups were: pre-NLR 770 versus 1009 days (P = 0.34), post-NLR 596 versus 1287 days (P ≤ 0.001), change in NLR 553 versus 1214 days (P ≤ 0.001) and post-ALC 594 versus 1287 days (P ≤ 0.001).

CONCLUSION

NLR and ALC, surrogate markers for systemic inflammation, have prognostic value in NSCLC patients treated with curative-intent radiotherapy. These simple and readily available parameters may have a future role in risk stratification post-treatment to inform the intensity of surveillance protocols.

POS0283 TREATMENT PATTERNS AND CLINICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF PATIENTS WITH OSTEOARTHRITIS OF THE HIP AND/OR KNEE TREATED WITH TRADITIONAL NSAIDS VS COX-2S: A REAL-WORLD STUDY OF COMMERCIALLY-INSURED PATIENTS

Background:

The 2019 American College of Rheumatology (ACR) guidelines strongly recommend oral nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) for management of hip and knee osteoarthritis (OA) and strongly recommend topical NSAIDs for knee OA. There are, however, important safety considerations with NSAIDs in terms of increased rates of gastrointestinal, cardiovascular, and renal events. Given these risks, it is important to understand the characteristics and drug utilization of the patients who start treatment on these different treatments (i.e., traditional NSAIDs [tNSAIDs] and cyclooxygenase-2 inhibitors [COX-2s]).

Objectives:

The goal of this research was to describe and compare baseline characteristics of commercially-insured patients diagnosed with OA of the hip and/or knee who started treatment on different types of NSAIDs (i.e., oral tNSAIDs, topical tNSAIDs, and COX-2s).

Methods:

The Optum Healthcare Solutions, Inc. claims database (1/2012-3/2017) was used to identify patients ≥18 years old, with ≥2 diagnoses of hip and/or knee OA, and ≥90 days supply of oral tNSAIDs, topical tNSAIDs, or COX-2s during the one-year follow up period. The index date was defined as the first prescription after the first OA diagnosis. Patients were assigned to cohorts based on the type of NSAID prescribed on index date. Patients were required to be continuously-enrolled six months before (baseline period) and 36 months after (follow-up period) the index date. Demographic and clinical characteristics including age, sex, comorbidities, and healthcare resource use (HRU) were summarized during baseline. Drug utilization characteristics including days supply and number of prescriptions for the different NSAIDs types were summarized during follow-up period.

Results:

Data for 23,796 patients were analyzed: 18,100 patients received oral tNSAIDs, 4,825 received COX-2s, and 871 topical tNSAIDs. Patients who initiated treatment on oral tNSAIDs were the youngest (mean age of 60.6 vs. 64.6 for COX-2s and 65.0 for topical tNSAIDs) and topical tNSAIDs had the highest proportion of female patients (71% vs. 62% for oral tNSAIDs and 63% for COX-2s). The topical tNSAIDs cohort had the highest presence of chronic kidney disease (2.6% vs. 1.0% and 1.5% for oral tNSAIDs and COX-2s, respectively) and congestive heart failure (2.5% vs. 0.8% and 1.7% for oral tNSAIDs and COX-2s, respectively) at baseline. In terms of HRU during baseline, topical tNSAIDs had the most patients with emergency department visits (20.8% vs. 16.7% in both COX-2s and oral tNSAIDs), and COX-2 had the most patients with inpatient visits (18.1% vs. 15.4% for topical tNSAIDs and 11.8% for oral tNSAIDs). Oral tNSAIDs had the lowest total all-cause cost ($6,504), and the topical tNSAIDs cohort had the highest costs ($8,455), but fairly comparable with COX-2s ($8,289). During follow-up, oral tNSAIDs patients stayed mostly on oral tNSAIDs as less than 15% of oral tNSAIDs patients later had a prescription for COX-2s or topical tNSAIDs. 37% of COX-2 patients and 56% of topical tNSAIDs patients later took oral tNSAIDs. Topical tNSAIDs patients had an average of 184.4 days of supply for topical tNSAIDs yet also extensively used oral NSAIDs during follow-up (average days of supply for oral tNSAIDs was 315.5 days and for COX-2s was 383.5 days).

Conclusion:

This study suggests that patients with more complex comorbidity profiles, including higher rates of adverse effects, often start pharmacological treatment with topical tNSAIDs. However, patients who start treatment with topical tNSAIDs switch to other types of NSAIDs; oral tNSAIDs were the most frequently prescribed treatment across the cohorts. Thus, despite the safety concerns with oral tNSAIDs and COX-2s, patients are still placed on these treatments to manage their OA pain. There is a need for new innovative treatments as there is currently a lack of other options.

Disclosure of Interests:

Stuart Silverman Consultant of: Stuart Silverman is a paid consultant to Pfizer and Eli Lilly and Company in connection with this study, Patricia Schepman Shareholder of: Patricia Schepman is an employee of Pfizer with stock and/or stock options, Employee of: Pfizer, James B Rice Consultant of: Brad Rice is an employee of Analysis Group, who were paid consultants to Pfizer and Eli Lilly and Company for this study, Craig Beck Shareholder of: Craig Beck is an employee of Pfizer with stock and/or stock options, Employee of: Pfizer, Alan White Consultant of: Alan White is an employee of Analysis Group, who were paid consultants to Pfizer and Eli Lilly and Company for this study, Sheena Thakkar Shareholder of: Sheena Thakkar is an employee of Pfizer with stock and/or stock options, Employee of: Pfizer, Michaela Johnson Consultant of: Michaela Johnson is an employee of Analysis Group, who were paid consultants to Pfizer and Eli Lilly and Company for this study, Rebecca Robinson Shareholder of: Rebecca Robinson is an employee and minor stockholder of Eli Lilly and Company, Employee of: Eli Lilly and Company, Birol Emir Shareholder of: Birol Emir is an employee of Pfizer with stock and/or stock options, Employee of: Pfizer

Predicting the Risk of Disease Recurrence and Death Following Curative-intent Radiotherapy for Non-small Cell Lung Cancer: The Development and Validation of Two Scoring Systems From a Large Multicentre UK Cohort

AIMS

There is a paucity of evidence on which to produce recommendations on neither the clinical nor the imaging follow-up of lung cancer patients after curative-intent radiotherapy. In the 2019 National Institute for Health and Care Excellence lung cancer guidelines, further research into risk-stratification models to inform follow-up protocols was recommended.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective study of consecutive patients undergoing curative-intent radiotherapy for non-small cell lung cancer from 1 October 2014 to 1 October 2016 across nine UK trusts was carried out. Twenty-two demographic, clinical and treatment-related variables were collected and multivariable logistic regression was used to develop and validate two risk-stratification models to determine the risk of disease recurrence and death.

RESULTS

In total, 898 patients were included in the study. The mean age was 72 years, 63% (562/898) had a good performance status (0-1) and 43% (388/898), 15% (134/898) and 42% (376/898) were clinical stage I, II and III, respectively. Thirty-six per cent (322/898) suffered disease recurrence and 41% (369/898) died in the first 2 years after radiotherapy. The ASSENT score (age, performance status, smoking status, staging endobronchial ultrasound, N-stage, T-stage) was developed, which stratifies the risk for disease recurrence within 2 years, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for the total score of 0.712 (0.671-0.753) and 0.72 (0.65-0.789) in the derivation and validation sets, respectively. The STEPS score (sex, performance status, staging endobronchial ultrasound, T-stage, N-stage) was developed, which stratifies the risk of death within 2 years, with an AUROC for the total score of 0.625 (0.581-0.669) and 0.607 (0.53-0.684) in the derivation and validation sets, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

These validated risk-stratification models could be used to inform follow-up protocols after curative-intent radiotherapy for lung cancer. The modest performance highlights the need for more advanced risk prediction tools.

FRI0423 CLINICAL BURDEN OF TREATING COMMERCIALLY-INSURED OSTEOARTHRITIS PATIENTS WITH PRESCRIPTION NSAIDS

Background:

Prescription NSAIDs/Cox-2s (“NSAIDs”) are commonly prescribed by physicians to treat patients with chronic pain, and much is known about the potential negative outcomes associated with their use1. Such negative outcomes include gastrointestinal (“GI”) issues and hepatorenal toxicity.1In addition, CV risk of Cox-2s has not been completely clarified.1,2However, less is known about the extent to which these outcomes are pervasive and problematic in specific patient populations such as those diagnosed with osteoarthritis (“OA”).

Objectives:

The goal of this research is to assess the clinical burden of commercially-insured patients diagnosed with OA of the hip and/or knee before and after treatment with prescription NSAIDs, in a large, national database in recent years.

Methods:

The Optum Healthcare Solutions, Inc. data (1/2012-3/2017) were used to identify patients ≥18 years old with ≥2 diagnoses of hip and/or knee OA, and ≥90 days supply of NSAIDs during the three-year period from first prescription (index date) after their first OA diagnosis. Patients were required to be continuously-enrolled during the six months before (baseline period) and 36 months after (follow-up period) the index date. Selected clinical outcomes such as GI issues, CV events, and renal toxicity were compared between the baseline and follow-up periods. Costs and resource use were normalized to account for differential duration in analytic time periods.

Results:

Data for 22,435 patients (60.8% as female, with an average age of 62) with hip and/or knee OA were analyzed. On average, patients were prescribed NSAIDs for 489 days during the follow-up period. From the baseline period to follow-up period, negative clinical outcomes associated with GI issues increased by 393% (1.5% v 7.5%), driven by a 667% (0.3% v 2.3%) increase in acute GI hemorrhages. Additionally, negative clinical outcomes associated with CV events increased by 73% (40.7% v 70.6%), largely due to a 600% (0.3% v 2.1%) increase in acute myocardial infarction. Lastly, negative clinical outcomes associated with renal toxicity increased by 433% (1.5% v 8.0%), with a 740% (0.5% v 4.2%) increase in acute renal failure being the most substantial.

Conclusion:

These findings suggest that prescribing of NSAIDs among OA patients is associated with an increase in negative clinical outcomes. This suggests that new treatment options other than NSAIDs should be evaluated.

References:

[1]van Laar M, et al. Pain treatment in arthritis-related pain: beyond NSAIDs.Open Rheumatol J. 2012;6:320–330.

[2]Nissen SE, et al. Cardiovascular safety of celecoxib, naproxen, or ibuprofen for arthritis.NEJM2016;2519-2529.

Disclosure of Interests:

Stuart Silverman Consultant of: Pfizer and Eli Lilly for this project., Speakers bureau: Amgen, Radius, James Rice Consultant of: Pfizer and Eli Lilly have funded this project., Alan White Consultant of: Pfizer and Eli Lilly have funded this project., Nguyen Le Consultant of: Pfizer and Eli Lilly have funded this project., Michael Somma Consultant of: Eli Lilly and Pfizer have funded this project., Craig Beck Shareholder of: Pfizer, Employee of: Pfizer, Rebecca Robinson Shareholder of: Eli Lilly, Employee of: Eli Lilly, Patricia Schepman Shareholder of: Pfizer, Employee of: Pfizer

Trends in Telestroke Care Delivery: A 15-Year Experience of an Academic Hub and Its Network of Spokes

BACKGROUND

Telestroke provides access to vascular neurology expertise for hospitals lacking stroke coverage, and its use has risen rapidly in the past decade. We aim to characterize consultations, spoke behavior, and the relationship between spoke telestroke utilization (number of telestroke consults per year) and spoke alteplase treatment metrics in an academic telestroke network.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analyzed prospectively collected data on all telestroke consults from 2003 to 2018. Trends in network performance and spoke characteristics were analyzed using generalized estimating equations and Kendall τβ nonparametric tests as appropriate. Unadjusted and adjusted linear regression models determined associations between telestroke utilization and treatment metrics. The network included 2 hubs and 43 spokes with 12 803 consults performed during the study period. Network growth overall was +1.8 spokes per year, and median duration of spoke participation was 7.9 years. The numbers of consults and alteplase-treated patients increased annually, even after adjusting for the number of spokes in the network (P<0.01 for both). Although times from last seen well to spoke emergency department arrival and to consult request increased, door-to-needle time, time from teleconsult request to callback, and time from teleconsult to alteplase administration all decreased (all P<0.01). With time, the network included more spokes without a Primary Stroke Center designation. In adjusted analyses, for every 10 telestroke consults requested by a spoke, the spoke door-to-needle decreased by 1.8 minutes (P=0.02), number of patients treated with alteplase was an additional 1.7 (P<0.01), and the percent of eligible patients treated with alteplase increased by 8% (P=0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Telestroke network size and utilization increased over time. Increased use of teleconsults was associated with increased and timely use of alteplase. Over time, the delivery of timely emergency care has improved significantly among emergency departments participating in this telestroke network. Replication of these findings in other networks is warranted.

Harmonization of commercial assays for PINP; the way forward

International Federation of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine and The International Osteoporosis Foundation Joint Committee on Bone Metabolism believes that the harmonization of PINP assays is an achievable and practical goal.

INTRODUCTION

In order to examine the agreement between current commercial assays, a multi-center study was performed for PINP in serum and plasma.

METHODS

The automated methods for PINP (Roche Cobas and IDS iSYS) gave similar results. A significant proportional bias was observed between the two automated assays and the Orion radioimmunoassay (RIA) for PINP.

RESULTS

Results from other published studies comparing PINP values among these three assays broadly support our findings. Taken together, these results confirm that harmonized PINP measurements exist between the two automated assays (Roche Cobas and IDS iSYS) when the eGFR is > 30 mL/min/1.73m², but a significant bias exists between the Orion RIA and the two automated assays.

CONCLUSION

Therefore, in subjects with normal renal function, PINP results reported by the Roche Cobas and IDS iSYS assays are similar and may be used interchangeably, and similar reference intervals and treatment targets could be applied for the two automated assays. Harmonization between the automated assays and the RIA is potentially possible with the use of common calibrators and the development of a reference method for PINP. This should also help ensure that any new commercial assay developed in the future will attain similar results. IOF and IFCC are committed to working together towards this goal with the cooperation of the reagent manufacturing industry.

Management of Asymptomatic Carotid Artery Stenosis

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The goal of this paper is to provide the reader with a review of the evidence supporting the surgical and medical management of patients with asymptomatic internal carotid artery (ICA) stenosis.

RECENT FINDINGS

Based on the results of earlier clinical trials, surgical intervention with carotid endarterectomy (CEA) has long been the preferred method of management for patients with asymptomatic severe carotid stenosis. Carotid artery stenting (CAS) is another less invasive surgical option that has similar outcomes over the long-term. However, more recent improvements in medical management have reduced the risk of stroke in this population to comparable rates seen with CEA. As a result, medical management alone is advocated as well for patients with asymptomatic carotid stenosis. In addition to stenosis severity, there are a number of features of plaque morphology associated with vulnerable plaque that predict future stroke risk. Rates of stroke in patients with asymptomatic severe carotid stenosis with modern surgical techniques, CEA and CAS, are similar to modern medical therapy alone. Both surgery and medical therapy are good treatment options but it is not known which treatment is superior. The Carotid Revascularization and Medical Management for Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis Trial (CREST-2), an NIH-sponsored, multicenter, randomized trial that aims to answer this important management decision.

Fracture risk following intermission of osteoporosis therapy

Given the widespread practice of recommending drug holidays, we reviewed the impact of medication discontinuation of two common anti-osteoporosis therapies (bisphosphonates and denosumab). Trial evidence suggests the risk of new clinical fractures, and vertebral fracture increases when osteoporosis treatment with bisphosphonates or denosumab is stopped.

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this paper was to review the available literature to assess what evidence exists to inform clinical decision-making with regard to drug holidays following treatment with bisphosphonates (BiP) or denosumab.

METHODS

Systematic review.

RESULTS

Differing pharmacokinetics lead to varying outcomes on stopping therapy. Prospective and retrospective analyses report that the risk of new clinical fractures was 20-40% higher in subjects who stopped BiP treatment, and vertebral fracture risk was approximately doubled. Rapid bone loss has been well described following denosumab discontinuation with an incidence of multiple vertebral fractures around 5%. Studies have not identified risk factors for fracture after stopping treatment other than those that provide an indication for treatment (e.g. prior fracture and low BMD). Studies that considered long-term continuation did not identify increased fracture risk, and reported only very low rates of adverse skeletal events such as atypical femoral fracture.

CONCLUSIONS

The view that patients on long-term treatment with bisphosphonates or denosumab should always be offered a drug holiday is not supported by the existing evidence. Different pharmacokinetic properties for different therapies require different strategies to manage drug intermission. In contrast, long-term treatment with anti-resorptives is not associated with increased risk of fragility fractures and skeletal adverse events remain rare.