Ecological analysis of collectivity of alcohol consumption in England: importance of average drinker

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether the average consumption of alcohol is associated with the prevalence of heavy drinking, problem drinking, and abstention in England.

DESIGN

Ecological analysis using data from a cross sectional household based survey of English adults.

SUBJECTS

Random sample of 32,333 adults from the English population who participated in the 1993 and 1994 health surveys for England.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Association, expressed as the correlation coefficient, between the regional mean and median alcohol consumption and the regional prevalence of heavy drinking, problem drinking, and abstention.

RESULTS

Mean consumption of alcohol in light to moderate drinkers was strongly positively associated with the prevalence of heavy drinking (r = 0.75 in men and r = 0.62 in women for drinking more than 21 and 14 units per week respectively). A similar association was found between median consumption and prevalence of heavy drinking. Abstention was not significantly associated with mean consumption in drinkers (r = 0.08 for men and r = -0.29 for women). Both the median and mean consumption in drinkers were positively associated with the prevalence of problem drinking as defined by the CAGE questionnaire on alcohol use (r = 0.53 for men and r = 0.42 for women for the association with mean consumption).

CONCLUSION

Factors that increase the average consumption of alcohol in the population may result in an increase in the prevalence of heavy drinking and related problems.

The epidemiology of Parkinson's disease

Epidemiological research has confirmed that Parkinson's disease (PD) is found throughout the world and increases exponentially with age. Few good-quality data on the temporal incidence of PD are available, although both mortality and incidence data suggest that the disease may be less common today in younger age groups. Differences in prevalence between identical ethnic groups in different countries support the role of an environmental factor. Any postulated factor must be found commonly in developed countries, among which there appears to be little difference in incidence or prevalence rates. A wide variety of aetiological agents have been considered from infectious, toxic and other exposures. The most robust finding is that non-smokers have a greater risk of disease, although the reason for this is unclear and may relate to differences in pre-morbid personality. Pesticides and head injuries also show consistently elevated risk but are prone to biased measurement. Dietary anti-oxidants require further evaluation. Future research needs to improve on current limited methods of exposure measurement and to attempt more novel designs to overcome bias. More attention should be made on examining what factors determine prognosis and using epidemiological and qualitative methods to determine the needs of patients with PD.

Survival of patients with pathologically proven multiple system atrophy: a meta-analysis

A systematic review of the neurologic literature identified 433 cases of pathologically proven multiple system atrophy over a 100-year period. Earlier case reports included patients younger in age with more frequent cerebellar involvement. Mean age of onset was 54.2 years (range 31 to 78) and survival was 6.2 years (range 0.5 to 24). Survival analysis showed a secular trend from a median duration of 4.9 years for publications between 1887 and 1970 to 6.8 years between 1991 and 1994. Older age of onset was associated with shorter survival; the hazard ratio for patients with onset after 60 years was 1.8 (95% CI 1.4 to 2.3) compared with patients between 31 and 49 years. Cerebellar features were associated with marginally increased survival (6.1 years versus 5.4 years; p = 0.04). There were no difference in survival according to gender, parkinsonian, or pyramidal features or whether the patient was classified as striatonigral degeneration or olivopontocerebellar atrophy type. These results demonstrate the poor prognosis for patients with multiple system atrophy but may be biased toward the worst cases. Future research needs to recruit more representative samples.

Counting the cost of social disadvantage in primary care: retrospective analysis of patient data

OBJECTIVE

To cost the relation between socioeconomic status and various measures of primary care workload and assess the adequacy of current "deprivation" payments in relation to actual costings for patients living in qualifying areas.

DESIGN

Retrospective data on primary care were collected over a 4.5 year period from both computerised and manually filed records. Standardised data on socioeconomic status were obtained by postal questionnaire.

SETTING

Inner city group practice with a socioeconomically diverse population.

SUBJECTS

382 male and female subjects of all ages, with a total of 1296 person years of observation.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Primary care costs resulting from consultations with a general practitioner or a practice nurse and both new and repeat prescriptions.

RESULTS

Morbidity, workload, and costs of drug treatment increased with decreasing socioeconomic status. The difference in cost for patients in social classes IV and V combined compared with those in I and II combined was about 150 Pounds per person year at risk (47 Pounds for workload and 103 Pounds for drugs). Deprivation payments met only half the extra workload cost for patients from qualifying wards.

CONCLUSIONS

The greater workload caused by social disadvantage has been previously underestimated by simple consultation rates. The absolute difference in costs for socially disadvantaged patients increase as more detailed measures of workload and drug treatment are included. Current deprivation payments only partially offset the increased expenditure on workload. This shortfall will have to be addressed to attract general practitioners to, or retain them in, deprived areas.

Frequency of the apolipoprotein E epsilon 4 allele in a case-control study of early onset Parkinson's disease

OBJECTIVES

It has been suggested that Parkinson's disease and Alzheimer's disease may share a common or at least overlapping aetiology. The prevalence of dementia among cases of Parkinson's disease is known to be greater than expected in the general population. The frequency of the apolipoprotein epsilon 4 allele in a large case-control study of early onset Parkinson's disease has been examined.

METHODS

215 patients and 212 population based controls were recruited from the Republic of Ireland between 1992 and 1994. Cases had to have disease onset at 55 years or younger and be born after 1925.

RESULTS

The frequency of the epsilon 4 allele was almost identical between cases of Parkinson's disease (14.6%) and healthy controls (13.3%). There was no relation between epsilon 4 status and disease onset, disease duration, Hoehn and Yahr score, and disease progression. The frequency of the epsilon 4 allele was not increased among 10 patients with Parkinson's disease with dementia (10.0%) compared with the other patients without dementia (14.8%). There was no association between epsilon 4 allele status and either a history of smoking, family history of dementia, or Parkinson's disease, or being born in a rural area. The odds ratio for the ApoE epsilon 4 allele associated with Parkinson's disease was 1.10 (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.68-1.79), adjusting for age group, sex, and residential status. The pooled odds ratio from a meta-analysis of six studies of ApoE epsilon 4 status and Parkinson's disease was 0.94 (95% CI 0.69-1.27).

CONCLUSIONS

The results from our study as well as the pooled meta-analysis exclude any important role for ApoE epsilon 4 status in the development of Parkinson's disease. Our results similarly do not support its role either in dementia associated with Parkinson's disease or disease prognosis.

The effects of caring for a spouse with Parkinson's disease on social, psychological and physical well-being

BACKGROUND

Several previous studies have examined the health of carers, but they have usually focused on elderly subjects and have often not had representative control samples.

AIM

To determine whether caring for a partner with Parkinson's disease is associated with a worsening social, psychological and physical well-being than people with partners who do not suffer with Parkinson's disease.

METHOD

One hundred and fifty-four carer spouses of subjects with Parkinson's disease, and 124 non-carer spouses of randomly selected population controls recruited from a national case-control study of early-onset Parkinson's disease in the Republic of Ireland, between 1992-1994, were studied. Outcome was measured along three dimensions: social functioning, assessed by the frequency of social contacts, outings and holidays; psychological well-being, measured by the General Health Questionnaire; and physical health, measured by the career's use of medical services, medications and episodes of chronic illness.

RESULTS

Carer spouses were less likely to get out of the house once a week at least (odds ratio 1.79, 95% confidence intervals 1.00-3.20) or to have had a holiday in the last year (odds ratio 1.71, 95% confidence intervals 1.01-2.90). Contact with friends and neighbours decreased with increasing care provision. For spouses providing a lot of care, there was an almost fivefold increase in psychiatric morbidity (odds ratio 4.86, 95% confidence intervals 1.5-15.9) after adjusting for other variables. Most of the medical outcomes were less favourable among carers, but only the use of tranquilizers (odds ratio 3.73, 95% confidence intervals 1.18-11.8) and episodes of chronic illness (odds ratio 2.96, 95% confidence intervals 1.27-6.94) were significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, career spouses have slightly worse social, psychological and physical profiles. For social outcomes, increasing care provision is associated with fewer contacts, outings and holidays. For psychological and physical measures, carers providing a lot of care experience worse health. These results have implications for targeting appropriate interventions.

Idiopathic Parkinson's disease: epidemiology, diagnosis and management

Since the introduction of levodopa therapy for idiopathic Parkinson's disease over 20 years ago, there has been an awakening of research interest in this chronic neuro-degenerative disorder. This paper describes current understanding of the role of genetic and environmental factors in the aetiology of idiopathic Parkinson's disease and problems associated with both diagnosis and management. It briefly outlines both pharmacological and non-pharmacological options for treatment. Despite an increasing armoury of available treatments, the optimum management for this condition remains controversial.

Assessing equity in access to health care provision in the UK: does where you live affect your chances of getting a coronary artery bypass graft?

STUDY OBJECTIVES

Equity should be monitored routinely for all health care services, but ideal studies for each service would be prohibitively expensive and time consuming. A simple, quick, and cheap method for the preliminary exploration of equity in health care provision using routine data was devised. This method was illustrated by examining whether coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) operations reflect socioeconomic differences in ischaemic heart disease (IHD) mortality.

DESIGN

Ecological comparison of operation rates was undertaken for CABG for 1991 and IHD mortality for 1981-85 by quartiles of Townsend deprivation score.

SETTING

North East Thames Regional Health Authority, London, UK.

SUBJECTS

All residents of this region aged 35-74 were the denominator population. Numerators were 26,834 IHD deaths and 1041 CABG operations for the defined time periods.

MAIN RESULTS

IHD mortality showed a steady, significant increase with increasing area deprivation scores for both men and women. CABG rate ratios increased linearly for women, while for men there was a U shaped pattern, being lowest for the second and third quartiles. This pattern was attenuated, but not abolished, when adjusted for geographical proximity to cardiothoracic surgical units. The ratio of CABG operations to IHD mortality by deprivation was relatively constant in women suggesting equitable provision. In men, this ratio was significantly lower for the third quartile.

CONCLUSIONS

Inequities may exist in the provision of CABG operations for men in this region and this finding should be the stimulus for further detailed studies. Other health care systems should also examine equity in provision.

Survival and cause of death in a cohort of patients with parkinsonism: possible clues to aetiology?

Most previous studies that have examined the survival of patients with parkinsonism have recruited them from specialist centres. No previous study has ever reported cause specific mortality. We report on the mortality of a cohort of 220 parkinsonian patients recruited between 1970 and 1972 from 40 primary health care practices all over England and Wales and matched to 421 controls. At 20 years of follow up, 195 cases (88.6%) and 295 controls (70.1%) were no longer alive (P < 0.001). The median age at death for cases was 77.6 (range 53.8-97.3) and 83.5 (range 55.0-100.1) for controls (P < 0.001). The all cause hazard ratio for cases compared with controls was 2.6 (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 2.2-3.2) controlling for age, sex, and geographical region. There was little difference between men and women. Differences for cause specific mortality also emerged. Both ischemic heart disease (2.3, 95% CI 1.5-3.4) and cerebrovascular disease (3.6, 95% CI 2.2-6.1) showed significantly increased hazard ratios. Possible reasons for these findings are discussed in terms of (a) competing causes of death, (b) a secondary effect of drug treatment, and (c) common aetiological factors for both parkinsonism and cardiovascular disease.

From the surgery to the surgeon: does deprivation influence consultation and operation rates?

BACKGROUND

Concern about equity of access to health care has increased since the health care reforms implemented in the 1990s. Access to specialist health care is controlled by general practitioners; assessing and ensuring equity should therefore begin in general practice.

AIM

This study set out to determine whether there are socioeconomic differences in the relationship between expressed need for possible surgical intervention (consulting a general practitioner) and surgical provision.

METHOD

Information on the social class distribution of expressed need was obtained from the third national morbidity survey (1981-82) for 140,049 patients consulting a general practitioner. The conditions examined were: inguinal hernia, gallstones, tonsillitis, varicose veins, cataract and osteoarthritis. This expressed need was compared with the appropriate operation for all residents of North East Thames Regional Health Authority from January 1991 to July 1992 classified, according to area of residence, by the Townsend deprivation score.

RESULTS

The relationship between expressed need and provision by deprivation was concordant for some conditions, but discordant for others. For cataract and tonsillitis, there was an inverse U pattern between increasing deprivation and both patient consultation and operation ratios. For varicose veins, deprivation was associated with higher patient consultation and operation ratios. For hernia, gallstones and osteoarthritis, consultations increased with deprivation, but operation ratios were either unrelated to deprivation scores (hernia and gallstones) or decreased by deprivation score (hip operations).

CONCLUSION

There are marked socioeconomic differences in consultation ratios for these common conditions which may not be matched by operation ratios. For discordant comparisons, people in the most deprived quartiles were generally least likely to receive surgery despite being most likely to consult a general practitioner with symptoms. If validated, these findings have important implications for general practice and service providers.

Clinicopathological study of 35 cases of multiple system atrophy

The clinical and pathological features of 35 cases with multiple system atrophy collected in the United Kingdom Parkinson's Disease Society Brain Bank (UKPDSBB) between 1985 and 1992 have been analysed. The median age of onset was 55 (range 33.3-75.8) years and median survival was 7.3 (range 2.1-11.5) years. Parkinsonism, usually asymmetric, occurred in all, and autonomic failure in all but one case. Cerebellar signs were noted in 34% and pyramidal features in 54% of the cases. Glial cytoplasmic inclusions were found in all cases with adequate fixation. Lewy bodies were detected in three cases. The substantia nigra was (usually severely) depleted of cells in all cases. With two exceptions the putamen was atrophic; the caudate and pallidum were less commonly and less severely affected. Overall nigrostriatal cell loss correlated with severity of disease at the time of death. The latest, but not the best, recorded levodopa response tended to be inversely related to the degree of putaminal degeneration. The olivopontocerebellar system was involved in 88% of the cases, the cerebellar vermis usually being more severely affected than the hemispheres. The presence of associated cerebellar pathology was, however, unrelated to the presence of cerebellar signs in life.

What determines mortality risk in male former cigarette smokers?

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to examine what factors determine the mortality experience of male ex-cigarette smokers, those who no longer smoke at all and those who changed to pipe or cigar smoking.

METHODS

A cohort study was undertaken with 18-year mortality data on 19,018 men.

RESULTS

Ex-cigarette smokers had an intermediate mortality risk compared with never and current smokers. Ex-cigarette smokers who switched to pipe smoking had higher mortality than those who no longer smoked at all. The mortality rates for pipe and cigar smokers who were former cigarette smokers were higher than those for pipe or cigar smokers who had never smoked cigarettes. Ex-cigarette smokers who consumed more than 20 cigarettes per day for more than 20 years experienced increased mortality for both coronary heart disease and neoplasms, even after 30 years of cessation.

CONCLUSIONS

These results support the notion that an elevated mortality risk may be seen for ex-cigarette smokers, even after they have given up smoking for many years. Ex-cigarette smokers who change to a pipe have a greater mortality risk than those who no longer smoke at all.

Equity in the NHS. Monitoring and promoting equity in primary and secondary care

Although need is often assumed to be the most important factor in determining the use of health services, there are many inequities in the provision and use of NHS services in both primary and secondary care. For example, existing data from district child health information services have been combined with census data for small areas to show wide variations in immunisation rates between affluent and deprived areas. Purchasers of health care are already responsible for assessing health needs and evaluating services, and the process of monitoring equity is a logical extension of these activities. Routine data sources used to collect activity data in both primary and secondary care can be used to assess needs for care and monitor how well these needs are met. Purchasers and providers should collaborate to improve the usefulness of these routine data and to develop a framework for monitoring and promoting equity more systematically.

The epidemiology of Parkinson's disease in the Republic of Ireland: observations from routine data sources

Routine data sources can provide clues to the temporal and geographical patterns of Parkinson's disease. Mortality trends show divergent age specific rates, with decreasing mortality for younger age-groups and increasing mortality for older age-groups. Cohort analysis showed a pattern consistent with the hypothesis that Parkinson's disease may have increased after the encephalitis lethargica pandemic. Hospital admission data suggest a rural excess of cases. The interpretation of this finding is complicated by the role of a variety of potential biases. Research is needed to examine urban-rural differences and environmental risk factors.

Social deprivation and premature mortality: regional comparison across England

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the pattern and size of the relationship between social deprivation in electoral wards and premature mortality for each health region in England.

DESIGN

Ecological study using 1981 census variables and data on mortality for 1981-5.

SETTING

14 regional health authorities in England.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Mortality under the age of 65 years from all causes, coronary heart disease, and smoking related diseases in men and women.

RESULTS

Increasing deprivation was significantly associated with mortality from all causes, coronary heart disease, and smoking related diseases. The relationship was linear with no apparent threshold. Correlation coefficients were generally greater for deaths from all causes and smoking related diseases and for men compared with women. The slope of the relationship between deprivation and mortality varied among regions. Variations in mortality still existed between regions for equal levels of deprivation.

CONCLUSION

Deprivation of an area and premature mortality are strongly linked. The effects of deprivation can be seen throughout the range of affluence and are not limited to the poorest areas. Current targets for reducing coronary heart disease mortality may be achievable if the mortality in poor areas can be reduced to the rates in affluent areas.

Magnitude and causes of mortality differences between married and unmarried men

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To determine the effect of marital status on mortality for men. In particular, to examine whether subgroups of unmarried men (widowed, single, and divorced/separated men) have a similar mortality to married men.

DESIGN

Cohort study.

SETTING

Whitehall civil service, London, between 1967 and 1969.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 18,403 men aged 40-64 years with 18 years' follow up.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Cause-specific mortality rates and risk factors at baseline were determined. Overall mortality was greater for all groups of unmarried men. Patterns of mortality were different in the subgroups of unmarried men. Widowed men had a significantly greater risk of dying from ischaemic heart disease (relative risk (RR) 1.46, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08, 1.97) which persisted after exclusion of deaths that occurred in the first two years. Divorced men had greater cancer mortality (RR 1.49; 95% CI 1.06, 2.10) that could not be explained simply by their greater consumption of cigarettes. The initial increased mortality for single men was no longer evident after adjustment for other risk factors, suggesting that single status in itself may not increase the risk. The risk for single men may have been underestimated, however, by over adjustment for possible intermediary factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Previous studies, which have examined total mortality only or have grouped all unmarried men, have masked interesting differences in the cause of death between subgroups of unmarried men. The extent to which the findings are explicable by psychosocial factors or the role of other environmental factors, which may also differ in relation to marital status, is unclear. Future work should not assume that all unmarried men have similar mortality risks and must examine the life course of each subgroup to advance our understanding of the possible causal role of marital status in disease aetiology.

Prediction of general practice workload from census based social deprivation scores

STUDY OBJECTIVE

The aim was to compare the ability of census based social deprivation scores devised by Jarman, Carstairs, and Townsend to predict workload in general practice.

DESIGN

This was a prospective study of 140,050 patients registered with general practices over one year from 1 July 1981 (Third National Morbidity Survey). Main outcome measures were workload score for each patient, defined as a weighted sum of consultations at the surgery and consultations elsewhere, excluding preventive procedures.

SETTING

25 general practices in England and Wales.

MAIN RESULTS

In multivariate analyses the Jarman, Carstairs, and Townsend indices all predicted workload, but the Townsend index was the best predictor, with both housing tenure and car ownership being strong predictors of workload. The overcrowding and geographical mobility variables used in the Jarman index did not predict increased workload. The weighting assigned to children under five by the Jarman index underestimated the additional workload this group generated.

CONCLUSIONS

For identifying social pressures on general practice workload the Jarman index is less valid than other census based scores because it fails to include car ownership and housing tenure. A more rational scheme for compensating general practitioners would directly weight the capitation fee for children aged under five years and allocate current deprivation payments according to the Townsend index or a similar score. This would redistribute resources from London to deprived areas in northern England.

Stroke risk from alcohol consumption using different control groups

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Our aim in this study was to investigate the relation between chronic alcohol consumption and stroke.

METHODS

A case-control study was carried out using two hospital-based control groups and the results of a community-based survey of alcohol consumption. Hospital-based control subjects were chosen either from "general" medical admissions or a subset of "select" admissions that excluded possible alcohol-related admissions. Cases were selected from hospital inpatients.

RESULTS

The relative risk for stroke associated with alcohol consumption greater than 300 grams per week for general control subjects was 0.73 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.54-3.49) compared with 1.30 (95% CI, 0.42-4.05) for select control subjects. The odds ratio was further increased to 1.93 (95% CI, 0.87-4.28) using data from the community-based survey. None of these estimates were statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

These results illustrate how the risk associated with alcohol consumption varies depending on the choice of control groups and may explain the contradictory results from previous case-control studies. Because of different biases associated with control selection, we believe that the results of this study are consistent with those of other studies that demonstrate a modest increased risk for stroke associated with alcohol consumption.

What features improve the accuracy of clinical diagnosis in Parkinson's disease: a clinicopathologic study

Many authorities have drawn attention to the difficulties in clinically distinguishing Parkinson's disease (PD) from other parkinsonian syndromes. We assessed the clinical features of 100 patients diagnosed prospectively by a group of consultant neurologists as having idiopathic PD according to their pathologic findings. Seventy-six percent of these cases were confirmed to have PD. By using selected criteria (asymmetrical onset, no atypical features, and no possible etiology for another parkinsonian syndrome) the proportion of true PD cases identified was increased to 93%, but 32% of pathologically confirmed cases were rejected on this basis. These observations suggest that studies based on consultant diagnosis of PD, using standard diagnostic criteria, will include cases other than PD, thus distorting results from clinical trials and epidemiologic studies. The strict use of additional criteria can reduce misdiagnosis but at the cost of excluding genuine PD cases.

Serum cholesterol concentration and primary malignant brain tumors: a prospective study

Case-control studies and a prospective study have suggested a positive relation between serum cholesterol and brain tumors. To examine this association further, mortality from malignant brain tumors among men who participated in the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial (a prospective study, 1973-1986) who indicated they were not black were examined. No relation was seen between age-standardized mortality rates and baseline serum cholesterol. Excluding deaths occurring during the first 5 years or adjusting for median census tract income did not alter this finding. This suggests that no generalizable relation between serum cholesterol and primary malignant brain tumors exists. An environmental factor associated with serum cholesterol in some, but not all populations, may explain the apparently contradictory results.

Dietary fat in the epidemiology of multiple sclerosis: has the situation been adequately assessed?

Epidemiological studies have demonstrated that environmental influences contribute to determining the risk of multiple sclerosis (MS). The nature of this influence has not been established, although infectious agents have received the most attention with relative neglect of alternative hypotheses. This paper critically reviews the evidence implicating dietary fat in altering susceptibility to MS. It is concluded that a dietary theory accords with current knowledge regarding MS as well as an infective theory and thus should not be dismissed in research examining the aetiology of MS.

Deprivation in infancy or in adult life: which is more important for mortality risk?

Previous ecological studies have suggested that early life factors are important causes of adult cardiovascular and respiratory disease, by showing geographic correlations between past infant mortality rates and present adult mortality rates. However, these studies inadequately take account of the fact that areas which were severely deprived earlier this century remain the most deprived today. Thus the ecological relation between infant and adult mortality rates could simply reflect persistence in the geographic distribution of poor socioeconomic circumstances. To explore this hypothesis further infant mortality rates for 1895-1908 for 43 counties in England and Wales were correlated with cause-specific adult mortality for 1969-73 in people aged 65-74 years, with and without adjustment for present-day social deprivation and social class. The strong simple correlations found between infant mortality in 1895-1908 and adult mortality from various causes in 1969-73 were generally much attenuated or abolished by controlling for indices of present-day socioeconomic circumstances. Our results suggest that previous studies give no strong support for any direct influence of factors acting in early life on adult coronary heart disease mortality risk. Studies which gather data about infancy, childhood, and the full course of adult life are required to clarify this issue.