Increasing age is associated with faster progression to neoplasms but not opportunistic infections in HIV-infected homosexual men

OBJECTIVE

To characterize the associations of age and progression rates to AIDS-defining neoplasms and opportunistic infections (OI) in HIV-infected homosexual men.

METHODS

Data from 407 homosexual men with documented dates of HIV seroconversion participating in cohort studies from four geographic locations were merged. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses were conducted with respect to the association of age with time from seroconversion to the first AIDS-defining neoplasm and OI.

RESULTS

Among the 407 participants, 139 (34%) were diagnosed with AIDS; 45 (11%) with neoplasms and 90 (22%) with OI. Older age at seroconversion was significantly associated with faster progression to neoplasms, but not to OI. For each 10-year increase in age the risk for neoplasms increased 1.65-fold [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.12-2.43], after adjustment for clinical treatments. For OI this risk estimate was 0.98 (95% CI, 0.72-1.34).

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing age is associated with faster progression to AIDS-defining neoplasms, but not with progression to OI. This has not been previously reported and may explain conflicting results in other studies among homosexual men that considered AIDS as a single entity. Our findings suggest that age and AIDS manifestations should be considered, particularly in the context of natural history studies, clinical trials and mathematical modelling.

The changing spectrum of AIDS index diseases in Canada

OBJECTIVE

To describe the changing spectrum of AIDS index diseases in Canada over a 10-year period from 1981 to 1991.

DESIGN

A descriptive, population-based study.

SETTING

Canada.

PATIENTS

All cases of AIDS in Canada reported by the Division of HIV/AIDS Epidemiology of the Department of National Health and Welfare.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Age-standardized rates of initial AIDS manifestations (1987 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention case definition), by year of diagnosis among adults in Canada.

RESULTS

A total of 6641 adult AIDS cases were examined. The rate of Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP) peaked in 1989 with a rate of 3.18 per 100,000, declining to 2.74 per 100,000 in 1991 (P = 0.894). Similarly, the rate of Kaposi's sarcoma (KS) stabilized during this interval from 1.06 per 100,000 in 1987 to 1.14 per 100,000 in 1991 (P = 0.189). In contrast, the rates of all other AIDS-defining illnesses increased from 1.48 per 100,000 in 1987 to 3.43 per 100,000 in 1991 (P = 0.001). For these other AIDS index diseases, significant rate increases were observed for esophageal candidiasis, cytomegalovirus (CMV) diseases, wasting syndrome, toxoplasmosis, and Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC) disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study shows a leveling and decline in incidence of KS and PCP, respectively, and a concomitant increase of other diagnoses, especially esophageal candidiasis, CMV, wasting syndrome, toxoplasmosis, and MAC disease in Canada. These findings highlight the importance of developing specific strategies to prevent emerging AIDS index diseases and serve as a cautionary note to practicing clinicians, indicating the relative widening of the spectrum of HIV index diseases.