OP0302-HPR IDENTIFYING THE CONTEXTUAL FACTORS IN THE PATIENT-PRACTITIONER ENCOUNTER THAT HAVE THERAPEUTIC EFFECT: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

Background:

Placebo or contextual effect is an integral part of the treatment effect (1). The factors related to this effect are “contextual factors” (CFs) (2). CFs may be categorised into five groups as factors related to practitioner, patient, practitioner-patient interaction, treatment and therapeutic environment (3). Several CFs have demonstrated their therapeutic effect, whereas others not (4). The majority of musculoskeletal pain relief result from CFs (5). Identifying the key CFs may encourage health practitioners to optimize the contextual aspects of care.

Objectives:

To identify the modifiable CFs that can improve clinical outcomes in published randomised controlled trials (RCTs).

Methods:

A systematic search was carried out, up until April 18th 2019, on the following databases: MEDLINE via Ovid, EMBASE, AMED, PsycINFO and Cochrane library. RCTs comparing contextual enhanced interventions versus non-enhanced control in adults for any health conditions were searched. The outcomes included both self-reported outcomes and objectively measured outcomes. The effect size and 95%confidence interval were calculated using the standard mean difference. Risk of bias was evaluated using the modified Cochrane tool. The random effects model was used to pool the results.

Results:

Of 3900 records generated from the systematic search, 15 trials (4615 participants) met the inclusion criteria, and 13 were included in this meta-analysis (Figure 1). Conditions studied included musculoskeletal [4], cardiovascular [2], irritable bowel syndrome [1], diabetes [1], asthma [1], GP or hospital patients [6]. Three CFs have been identified from these trials, including empathy, patient involvement and positive communication. All were found to be effective for patient experience i.e. satisfaction. Positive communication was also effective for symptoms but not objective outcomes (Table 1).

Table 1.

Summary of results.

OutcomeInterventionNumber of studies (Number of participants) SMD (95% CI)I2Patient experience outcomes,e.g. satisfactionEmpathy2 (137)0.45 (0.11, 0.79)42.2 %Patient involvement4 (1596)0.31 (0.21, 0.41)93.0 %Positive communication3 (793)0.38 (0.24, 0.52)93.9 %Symptomatic outcomes,e.g. painEmpathy1 (221)-0.18 (-0.45, 0.08)0.0 %Patient involvement1 (314)-0.05 (-0.27, 0.17)0.0 %Positive communication3 (658)0.20 (0.05, 0.35)64.8 %Objective outcomes,e.g. peak expiratory flowPositive communication2 (266)0.10 (-0.14, 0.34)66.6 %

Positive SMD favours intervention group. SMD= Standard mean difference, CI= Confidence interval, I2= heterogeneity.

Figure 1.

Summary of screening process.

Conclusion:

This systematic review has identified three CFs (empathy, patient involvement and positive communication) that have therapeutic effects for different conditions in trials, especially for self-reported outcomes. More research is needed to examine the clinical outcomes of CFs and to understand the influence of health practitioners on disease processes.

References:

[1]Zou K, Wong J, Abdullah N, Chen X, Smith T, Doherty M et al. Examination of overall treatment effect and the proportion attributable to contextual effect in osteoarthritis: meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials. Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases. 2016;75(11):1964-1970.

[2]Miller F, Kaptchuk T. The power of context: reconceptualizing the placebo effect. Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine. 2008;101(5):222-225.

[3]Di Blasi Z, Harkness E, Ernst E, Georgiou A, Kleijnen J. Influence of context effects on health outcomes: a systematic review. The Lancet. 2001;357(9258):757-762.

[4]Howick J, Moscrop A, Mebius A, R Fanshawe T, Lewith G, L Bishop F et al. Effects of empathic and positive communication in healthcare consultations: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine. 2018;111(7):240–252.

[5]Rossettini G, Carlino E, Testa M. Clinical relevance of contextual factors as triggers of placebo and nocebo effects in musculoskeletal pain. BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders. 2018;19(1).

Disclosure of Interests:

None declared.

Synergistic of antimicrobial activities of lactic acid bacteria in fermented Tilapia nicoliticus incorporated with selected spices

Fermented tilapia (Tilapia nicoliticus) is one of the famous fermented food in Malaysia. Lactic acid bacteria (LAB) which well known as GRAS (Generally Regarded as Safe) are present in most fermented foods and they are well-known non-pathogenic bacteria that play an important role in everyday life. Apart from LAB, spices have also been used for centuries across different regions of the world to improve aroma, flavour and food preservative. This research was aimed to explore a potential natural food preservative using LAB isolated from fermented Tilapia nicoliticus incorporated with various spices (9% turmeric, 6% chilli and 9% black pepper) against foodborne pathogens. The isolation of LAB in different media (MRS, MRS+CaCO3, M17 and Tomato Juice Agar) showed the highest LAB count on day-9 and day-15 during the fermentation period in fermented Tilapia incorporated with black pepper, turmeric and chilli. The highest antimicrobial activity by LAB against Bacillus cereus was observed in fermented tilapia incorporated with black pepper. On the other hand, fermented fish incorporated with chilli showed the highest antimicrobial activity against Staphylococcus aureus, Escherichia coli and Salmonella enterica serovar Typhimurium. Higher antimicrobial activity was detected in fermented Tilapia in the presence of LAB together with the spices, in comparison to the presence of LAB alone, suggesting synergistic effects between LAB in fermented fish with spices could enhance stronger antimicrobial activities against food pathogens and therefore, served as a natural food preservative.

The Missing Uterus, the Missed Diagnosis, and the Missing Care. Mayer-Rokitansky-Küster-Hauser Syndrome in the Lives of Women in Malaysia

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To explore the effect of the diagnosis of Mayer-Rokitansky-Küster-Hauser (MRKH) syndrome on affected Malaysian women.

DESIGN

Qualitative study with a quantitative component.

SETTING

Pediatric and adolescent gynecology unit at Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia Medical Centre, Malaysia.

PARTICIPANTS

Twelve women with MRKH.

INTERVENTIONS

Face-to-face interview and short questionnaire.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Thematic analysis was used to understand participants' experiences.

RESULTS

There were 7 themes identified: (1) delayed diagnoses; (2) doctors' roles and attitudes; (3) gender identity; (4) family and society's response; (5) reaction toward infertility; (6) managing sexual intimacy; and (7) coping mechanisms. Several participants consulted their physicians regarding their primary amenorrhea at an opportunistic setting. When they were referred to the gynecologists, they were dismayed at the lack of information given. The term, "MRKH" plays an important role to ease information-seeking. Participants felt that the doctors were insensitive toward them. Mental illness is a significant complication of MRKH. All participants acknowledged that infertility was the hardest part of the condition. The importance of blood lineage affects their outlook on childbearing options. Some were afraid of sexual intimacy and worried that they would not be able to satisfy their partners. Participants gained support and bonded with their counterparts in the MRKH support group.

CONCLUSION

A multidisciplinary approach including medical, psychological, and social support is essential for the management of MRKH. Adequate information and sexual education plays the utmost importance in preventing social-related complications of MRKH.

Global longitudinal strain predicts survival and response in patients with systemic AL amyloidosis. analysis of 915 patients from the ALchemy prospective trial

Background

Cardiac involvement determines prognosis in systemic AL amyloidosis. The extent is assessed by biomarker-based staging systems. This a prospective report of a large cohort of patients assessing the utility of changes in longitudinal function by 2D strain (GLS%), impairment - a hallmark of amyloidosis.

Purpose

To evaluate the prognostic role of GLS% and other echocardiographic parameters in systemic AL amyloidosis.

Methods

915 newly diagnosed patients seen at the UK National Amyloidosis Centre (February 2010–August 2017) were included. All patients underwent 6-monthly comprehensive assessments inclusive of echocardiogram. The European modification of the Mayo 2004 staging was used with Mayo stage III patients stratified into IIIa (NT-proBNP <8500ng/L) and IIIb (NT-proBNP ≥8500ng/L).

Results

653/915 (71.4%) patients had cardiac involvement. Mayo stage 1, 2, 3a and 3b in 144 (15.7%), 302 (33.0%) 344 (37.6%) and 125 (13.7%) respectively. The median NT-proBNP was 2228ng/L and TNT was 0.54ng/ml. The GLS% significantly worsened with increasing Mayo stage (p<0.0001 between GLS% for each Mayo stage). Poorer baseline GLS% associated with significantly worse OS and stratified patients into three groups: GLS% <−12.8%: OS 69.1 months; GLS% −12.8% to −9%: OS 54.5 months; GLS% >−9%: OS 45.3 months (p<0.0001). On univariate analysis, 11/14 parameters predicted survival (LV wall thickness, LV ejection fraction, systolic velocities of the septal (s'sep) and lateral mitral annulus (s' lat), mitral annulus movement at the lateral corner (e' lat), transmitral early peak flow velocity (E) divided by tissue Doppler mitral annular motion velocity (e') – E/e' and mitral annular plane systolic excursion (MAPSE)). Baseline GLS% >−17% was independent of Mayo stage in predicting survival [Mayo II: Hazard ratio (HR) 2.10 (95% CI: 1.12–3.92) p=0.02, Mayo III: HR 3.94 (95% CI: 2.13–7.32) p<0.0001, Mayo IV: HR 7.49 (95% CI: 3.94–14.21) p<0.0001, GLS <17%: HR 2.14 (95% CI: 1.59–2.88) p<0.0001]. At 12 months, only patients in a haematological complete response (CR) had significant improvement in overall GLS% (p=0.02) as well as baso-lateral (p=0.0004) and baso-septal (p=0.0001) GLS% and MAPSE (p=0.002). The OS was significantly better in patients who achieved a minimum absolute improvement in GLS% of 1.5% improvement (not reached in those with improved GLS% vs. 72 mo in those without) (p=0.034)).

Conclusion

These data show that baseline GLS% is an independent predictor of survival in AL amyloidosis. GLS% is the first functional marker that is independent of the Mayo staging in predicting outcomes and should be incorporated in prognostic staging for patients with AL amyloidosis. GLS% shows improvement in patients who achieve a complete haematologic response to treatment and improvement in GLS% of 1.5% is associated with improved outcomes. An absolute improvement in GLS% should be considered as a criterion for cardiac response in AL amyloidosis.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

EVALUATION OF RADIATION DOSE IN DIFFERENT POSITIONS AROUND THE PATIENT TABLE DURING INTERVENTIONAL CARDIOLOGY PROJECTIONS

The aim of the present study was to evaluate the radiation exposure around the patient table as relative to the cardiologist position dose value. The dose rates at eight points presuming staff positions were measured for PA, LAO 30° and RAO 30° radiographic projections, and then normalized to the cardiologist's position dose-rate value. The results show that in PA and RAO 30° projections, the normalized dose rate was higher by 9-22% at the right side of the table at a distance of 50 cm, while it was higher up to 31% at the left side for the same measured points in the LAO 30°. The differences of normalized dose rates for the both table sides were lower and decreased at farther positions. The obtained results correspond to the recommendations of staff radiation protection in Cath-labs with regards to X-ray tube and detector positions.

AB0956 VERTICAL NAIL RIDGING IN PATIENTS WITH FIBROMYALGIA: FREQUENCY, PROPOSED GRADING AND CORRELATION WITH OTHER DISEASE FEATURES

Background:

The vertical nail ridging (VNR) has long been reported to be related to stressful conditions1

Objectives:

to evaluate the frequency of VNS in FM patients and its relation to other disease parameters depending on a proposed grading.

Methods:

VNR has been searched for in 212 FM patients (2016 criteria). The number of fingers, the degree of VNR according to this proposed grading (0: no ridging, 1: ridging only detected by a magnifying lens, 2: ridging seen by naked eye and 3: ridging that can be seen and felt) and other FM features according to the new and old ACR criteria have been recorded. 80 subjects of those consulting for knee osteoarthritis have been examined for VNR and those found positive were asked about the FM features and examined for tender points. Patients aged >50 years and those with psoriasis and fungal infections were excluded.

Results:

the mean age of patients was 32.4±9.9 (73.6% were female). The mean disease duration was 5.8±3.7, while the means of WPI, SSS and tender points were 9.4±2.9, 7.3±1.2 and 14.7±2.3 respectively. VNR was found in 209 patients (98.6%). Of 80 controls, VNR has been found in 61 subjects, of whom FM has been diagnosed in 32 patients (52.4%) by 2016 FM criteria and in 46 (75.4%) by 1990 criteria. The number of fingers with VNR has been found only correlated with the disease duration (r= 0.276, P = 0.000). The severity of VNR was significantly correlating with fatigue (P= 0.002), sleep disturbance (P= 0.001), awaking unrefreshed (P = 0.000), WPI (p = 0.01) and mean tender points (P =0.02). Considering the 2016 criteria as a gold standard, the sensitivity of VNR was 98.37%, the specificity was 9.68% and the diagnostic accuracy was 82.8%.

Conclusion:

vertical nail ridging is a frequent finding and can be considered helpful for diagnosis of patients with FM. Further studies are needed to validate this sign for diagnosis and follow up of FM patients.

References:

[1]American Academy of Dermatology. (2007, November 12). Feeling Stressed? How Your Skin, Hair And Nails Can Show It.Science Daily. Retrieved December 30, 2019 fromwww.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/11/071109194053.htm

Disclosure of Interests:

None declared

Effect of drying methods and parameters on the antioxidant properties of tea (Camellia sinensis) leaves

Background

Conventional drying using heated air oven is commonly used as a method for preserving the product but often affects the nutritional value, taste, and texture. However, the heat from the drying method can oxidize and destroy heat-sensitive compounds. Superheated steam (SHS) drying uses superheated steam instead of hot air or combustion gases in a direct dryer and was reported better at preserving the nutritional values of food products.

Aim

To evaluate the effect of SHS drying on antioxidant properties of tea leaves. The study also compared SHS drying with conventional and freeze-drying methods.

Results

Tea leaves dried using freeze drying retained the highest level of antioxidant properties compared to other drying methods. The leaves dried using SHS exhibited significantly higher radical scavenging activity, ORAC and FRAP values compared to oven drying method. At different drying temperatures (150 °C and 175 °C), oven dried leaves showed significantly higher (p < 0.05) antioxidant properties than that of SHS dried ones. Tea leaves dried for 60, 75, and 90 min using SHS showed significantly higher (p < 0.05) FRAP and ORAC values, and also total phenolic content compared to oven dried tea leaves.

Conclusion

Tea leaves dried using SHS drying method retained higher level of antioxidant properties compared to oven drying. The drying method also retained lower antioxidant properties as drying time increased. Further study involving SHS drying in food-related fields should be conducted to support its usefulness.

Graphical abstract

Role of TGF-β1 and C-Kit Mutations in the Development of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Hepatitis C Virus-Infected Patients: in vitro Study

Transforming growth factor beta (TGF-β) acts as a tumor-suppressing cytokine in healthy tissues and non-malignant tumors. Yet, in malignancy, TGF-β can exert the opposite effects that can promote proliferation of cancer cells. C-Kit plays a prominent role in stem cell activation and liver regeneration after injury. However, little is known about the cross-talk between TGF-β and C-Kit and its role in the progression of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Here, we studied the effect of increasing doses of TGF-β1 on CD44⁺CD90⁺ liver stem cells (LSCs) and C-Kit gene expression in malignant and adjacent non-malignant liver tissues excised from 32 HCC patients. The percentage of LSCs in malignant tumors was two times higher compared to their counterparts from the non-malignant tissues. When treated with increasing doses of TGF-β1, proliferation of both malignant and non-malignant LSCs was progressively suppressed, but low TGF-β1 dose failed to suppress the growth of malignant LSCs. Moreover, C-Kit exons 9 and 11 were expressed in malignant LSCs, but not in their non-malignant counterparts. Analysis of C-Kit detected mutations in exon 9 (but not in exon 11) in some malignant liver cells resulting in the changes in the amino acid sequence and dysregulation of protein structure and function. Interestingly, in malignant liver cells, mutations in exon 9 were associated with high-viremia hepatitis C virus (HCV), and expression of this exon was not suppressed by the TGF-β1 treatment at all doses. To our knowledge, this is the first report that mutations in the C-Kit gene in HCC patients are associated with high- viremia HCV. Our study emphasizes the need for investigation of the TGF-β1 level and C-Kit mutations in patients with chronic HCV for HCC prevention and better therapy management.

Prevalence of malaria and its risk factors in Sabah, Malaysia

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of malaria in Sabah and its potential risk factors.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study analysed secondary data obtained from the health clinics in Sabah, Malaysia from January to August 2016. The Pearson Chi-square test was used to analyse the relationships between malaria infection and socio-demographic characteristics. Multivariable logistic regression was performed in order to determine the risk factors for malaria in Sabah.

RESULTS

Out of 1222 patients, 410 (33.6%) had a laboratory-confirmed malaria infection. Infection by Plasmodium knowlesi accounted for the majority of malaria reports in Sabah (n=340, 82.9%). Multivariable analysis indicated that males (prevalence odds ratio 0.023, 95% confidence interval 0.012-0.047) and those living in a rural area (prevalence odds ratio 0.004, 95% confidence interval 0.002-0.009) were at higher risk 24.0-95.9) and those living in a rural area (adjusted odds ratio 212.6, 95% confidence interval 105.8-427.2) were at higher risk of acquiring a malaria infection.

CONCLUSIONS

Malaria infections in Sabah, Malaysia are common, with P. knowlesi being the most common malaria parasite. The infection was associated with several socio-demographic and geographical factors. Thus, mitigation measures should be considered to address modifiable risk factors for malaria infection.

OS9.5 Evidence that adult glioblastoma adapts to standard therapy though chromatin remodeling

BACKGROUND

Glioblastoma (GBM) tumours recur following standard treatment in almost all cases. We use ‘omics technologies to simultaneously profile pairs of primary and matched recurrent GBM to specifically identify and characterise the cells that resisted treatment, with the aim of determining how to more effectively kill them.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We have analysed high coverage RNAseq data from pairs of GBM tumours: primary de novo tumour and matched local recurrence from patients that underwent standard therapy. Our original cohort constituted 23 pairs and our validation cohort was an additional 22 pairs. We also cultured two plates of spheroids directly from a patient’s GBM, treating one with radiation and temozolomide. We monitored growth and captured and sequenced RNA from single cells at two time-points: one week post-treatment when the deviation between untreated and treated spheroid growth curves was most pronounced; and three weeks post-treatment when the growth rate of treated spheroids had recovered. We investigated differential gene expression between primary and recurrent pairs, and single cells pre- and post-treatment, and performed a bespoke per patient gene set enrichment analysis.

RESULTS

Differential gene expression analysis in 23 tumour pairs indicated a treatment-induced shift in cell states linked to normal neurogenesis and prompted us to develop a novel gene set enrichment analysis approach to identify gene regulatory factors that may orchestrate such a shift. This revealed the significant and universal dysregulation of genes, through therapy, that are targeted by a specific chromatin remodeling machinery. This finding was validated in an independent cohort of 22 further GBM pairs. To understand the therapeutic potential of this finding we must determine whether genes are dysregulated through therapy owing to a) their fixed expression in inherently treatment resistance cells in the primary tumour which get selected during therapy to increase the signal of that profile, or b) changes in expression during the process of cells acquiring treatment resistance. To inspect this, we analysed single cell gene expression data from GBM spheroids pre- and post-treatment. We found that there was significant dysregulation of the genes associated with the chromatin remodeling complex but only at the three-week post-treatment time-point.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that GBM cells are being transcriptionally reprogrammed in response to treatment; the mechanism of which may represent a therapeutic opportunity.

Dynamic and morphologic evaluation of erectile dysfunction on penile doppler sonography and contrast cavernosography

BACKGROUND

Penile erection is a complex phenomenon that involves coordinated interaction of the psychologic, hormonal, nervous, arterial, venous, and sinusoidal systems. Erectile dysfunction (ED) is the persistent inability to attain or maintain penile erection sufficient for sexual intercourse. This study aims to determine the real-time morphologic vascular abnormalities in men with ED using penile Doppler sonography in Kano, Nigeria.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Twenty-one patients who were referred from urology clinics on account of suspected vasculogenic ED were reviewed. The cavernorsal arteries were examined with 7.5 MHz linear transducer in gray scale and duplex Doppler modes before and after intracavernosal injection of 60 mg papevarine. Serial peak systolic velocity (PSV), end diastolic velocity (EDV), and diameter measurements were performed at 5-min intervals for 30 min.

RESULTS

The mean age of the patients was 43.14 ± 9.84 years. Out of the 21 patients examined, 5 showed normal findings while 10 had evidence of venous leakage. Five patients had arterial insufficiency; out of which 3 patients showed calcifications of the tunica albuginea, suggesting Peyronie's disease. Interestingly, 1 patient showed combining features of arterial insufficiency and of venous leakage. Those with arterial insufficiency were relatively older than other patients. They also had compounding medical conditions of diabetes and hypertension.

CONCLUSION

Vascular etiologies are important contributors of ED in our setting. Papavarine-induced Doppler sonography and cavernosography shows promise in accurate assessment and overall care of these patients.

Doppler sonographic evaluation of venogenic extremity swellings: Analysis of 170 patients from Kano, Nigeria

INTRODUCTION

Deep venous thrombosis (DVT) is a serious problem that can potentially lead to many complications including life-threatening pulmonary arterial thrombosis. Screening and confirmation of the diagnosis are critical in the care of this condition.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to evaluate the role of Doppler sonography in diagnosing DVT and to illustrate the pattern in 170 suspected cases from our local environment.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study was conducted at our department over 18 months. A total of 170 patients with clinical suspicion of limb DVT were recruited. The characteristics of the patients, risk factor for DVT, and the site of the lesion were documented. Sonographic examination was done using 7.5 MHz linear and 3.5 MHz convex transducers.

RESULTS

Out of the 170 patients, there are 89 (52.35%) males and 81 (47.65%) females. Their mean age was 50.6 years (+17.9 years). The common risk factors for DVT include chronic medical illness (28.8%), long distance travel (15.3%), previous DVT (8.8%), stroke/paralysis (5.3%), neoplasms (5.9%), pregnancy (5.9%), and trauma/surgery (5.9%). About 55.8% (95) of them were confirmed to have DVT on ultrasound while 44.2% (75) had normal ultrasound findings. There was a female preponderance among the 95 cases of DVT, 58.9% of them were females while 41.1% of them were males. It was found that contiguous femoro-popliteal and ilio-femoro-popliteal segments were most commonly thrombosed. These lesions were predominantly left sided (59.5%).

CONCLUSION

There was a predominance of females and femoro-popliteal segments in DVT. Doppler ultrasound is very useful in the evaluation of extremity DVT. All clinically suspected cases should be evaluated with this modality due to limited sensitivity of clinical evaluation in the diagnosis of DVT. Further correlative studies in comparison to venography and hematologic indices are also recommended.

Outcomes and Cost of Patients With Terminal Cancer Admitted to Acute Care in the Final 2 Weeks of Life: A Retrospective Chart Review

BACKGROUND

Patients with terminal conditions are often admitted to the emergency department (ED) for acute medical services, but studies have suggested that multiple ED admissions may negatively impact end-of-life (EOL) care. Research have shown that incorporating palliative care (PC) is integral to optimal EOL care, but it is an aspect of medical practice that is often neglected. The current study sought to provide an overview of health outcomes and hospital costs of patients with cancer admitted to The Ottawa Hospital and/or received acute medical services during their final 2 weeks of life. Cost comparisons and estimates were made between hospital and hospice expenditures.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective chart review of palliative patients who died at The Ottawa Hospital in 2012. A total of 130 patients who visited the ED within 2 weeks of death were included in the analyses.

RESULTS

In this cohort of patients, 71% of admitted patients did not have advanced care directives and 85% experienced a metastasis, but only 18% had a PC medical doctor. Patients were hospitalized, on average, for 7 days and hospitalization costs exceeded the estimated hospice cost by approximately 2.5 times (Can$1 041 170.00 at Can$8009.00/patient vs Can$401 570.00 at Can$3089.00/patient, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Our study highlighted the importance of PC integration in high-risk patients, such as those in oncology. Patients in our sample had minimal PC involvement, low advanced care directives, and accrued high costs. Based on our analyses, we concluded that these patients would have likely benefited more from hospice care rather than hospitalization.

Varietal improvement options for higher rice productivity in salt affected areas using crop modelling

The rice model ORYZA v3 has been recently improved to account for salt stress effect on rice crop growth and yield. This paper details subsequent studies using the improved model to explore opportunities for improving salinity tolerance in rice. The objective was to identify combinations of plant traits influencing rice responses to salinity and to quantify yield gains by improving these traits. The ORYZA v3 model was calibrated and validated with field experimental data collected between 2012 and 2014 in Satkhira, Bangladesh and Infanta, Quezon, Philippines, then used for simulations scenario considering virtual varieties possessing different combinations of crop model parameter values related to crop salinity response and the soil salinity dynamic observed at Satkhira site. Simulation results showed that (i) short duration varieties could escape end of season increase in salinity, while long duration varieties could benefit from an irrigated desalinization period occurring during the later stages of crop growth in the Satkhira situation; (ii) combining short duration growth with salt tolerance (bTR and bPN) above 12 dS m-1 and a resilience trait (aSalt) of 0.11 in a variety, allows maintenance of 65-70% of rice yield under increasing salinity levels of up to 16 dS m-1; and (iii) increasing the value of the tolerance parameter b by 1% results in 0.3-0.4% increase in yield. These results are relevant for defining directions to increase rice productivity in saline environments, based on improvements in phenology and quantifiable salt tolerance traits.