Posterior segment conditions associated with myopia and high myopia

Myopia, and especially high myopia, is associated with a number of posterior segment changes that are considered to be mostly a consequence of the increased axial elongation. This can result in mechanical strain, attendant vascular changes, stretching and thinning of tissues, and atrophy/deformation of tissues in later or more advanced stages. Such myopia-related changes are observed as changes and/or abnormalities in the vitreous, choroid, retina and peripheral retina, sclera and/or optic disc. Although many of these changes are benign, at times they may be associated with significant vision impairment that either requires active intervention or may suggest future progression of the disease. This review systematically addresses the posterior segment conditions seen in myopic eyes, describes the features associated with the condition and details management pathways.

Bayesian rank-based hypothesis testing for the rank sum test, the signed rank test, and Spearman's ρ

Bayesian inference for rank-order problems is frustrated by the absence of an explicit likelihood function. This hurdle can be overcome by assuming a latent normal representation that is consistent with the ordinal information in the data: the observed ranks are conceptualized as an impoverished reflection of an underlying continuous scale, and inference concerns the parameters that govern the latent representation. We apply this generic data-augmentation method to obtain Bayes factors for three popular rank-based tests: the rank sum test, the signed rank test, and Spearman's ρs.

Interocular asymmetry of the superonasal retinal nerve fibre layer thickness and blood vessel diameter in healthy subjects

Background

Optical coherence tomography is commonly used to measure the retinal nerve fibre layer thickness in both normal and diseased eyes; however, variation among normal eyes is common and may limit the usefulness of the results. The aim of this study was to explore the interocular asymmetries in retinal nerve fibre layer thickness in a group of normal eyes and to investigate the influence of blood vessel diameter on local retinal nerve fibre layer thickness.

Methods

In this prospective study, retinal nerve fibre layer thickness and blood vessel diameter across 100 healthy participants were measured using two optical coherence tomography instruments. Individuals were categorised into two groups based on the presence or absence of interocular retinal nerve fibre layer thickness asymmetry beyond the 75^th percentile of all participants.

Results

The superonasal sectoral retinal nerve fibre layer thickness was significantly greater in the left eye compared to the right, across all three sectors. Mean blood vessel diameter showed a corresponding difference in thickness at one of the superonasal sectors. Linear regression showed a positive and moderate correlation between blood vessel diameter and focal retinal nerve fibre layer thickness. This trend persisted across both arteries and veins, but veins showed larger variability between left and right eye in participants with marked superonasal retinal nerve fibre layer asymmetry.

Conclusion

Retinal nerve fibre layer thickness and blood vessel diameter vary significantly between eyes even in healthy individuals. These asymmetries in a normal population should be taken into consideration when interpreting the retinal nerve fibre layer thickness measurements from optical coherence tomography to assist in distinguishing normal variations from disease.

Impact of referral refinement on management of glaucoma suspects in Australia

BACKGROUND

In ageing populations, the prevalence of chronic diseases such as glaucoma is projected to increase, placing additional demands on limited health-care resources. In the UK, the demand for secondary care in hospital eye clinics was inflated by high rates of false positive glaucoma referrals. Collaborative care models incorporating referral refinement, whereby glaucoma suspect referrals are triaged by suitably trained optometrists through further testing, can potentially reduce false positive referrals. This study examined the impact of a referral refinement model on the accuracy of glaucoma referrals in Australia.

METHODS

Optometrist-initiated glaucoma suspect referrals to the Glaucoma Management Clinic (Sydney, Australia) were prospectively recruited. Glaucoma suspect referrals arising from two pathways were eligible for inclusion, either directly from a community optometrist (standard care) or following comprehensive assessment at the Centre for Eye Health (referral refinement). Main outcome measures were the positive predictive value and false positive rate of referrals. The impact of referral letter content on management outcomes was also investigated.

RESULTS

Of 464 referrals received between March 2015 and June 2018, 252 were for treatment of naïve glaucoma suspects and eligible for inclusion. Following ophthalmological assessment, 45.6 per cent (n = 115/252) were prescribed treatment for open angle glaucoma or ocular hypertension. Positive predictive value of community optometry referrals was 33.8 per cent (n = 25/74) and 50.6 per cent (n = 90/178) following referral refinement. The first visit discharge (false positive) rate was 26 per cent (n = 19/74) for community referrals compared to four per cent (n = 8/178) with referral refinement. Positive predictive value increased with the number of abnormal clinical examination findings associated with referral (χ² test, p < 0.0001). The number of abnormal findings reported in referrals was significantly higher with referral refinement compared to without (n = 1.9 versus 1.5, t-test, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Referral refinement can improve the diagnostic accuracy of optometry-initiated referrals for glaucoma suspects in Australia, thereby decreasing unnecessary referrals to hospital and other secondary clinics.

Multimodal imaging characteristics of congenital grouped hyper- and hypo-pigmented fundus lesions

BACKGROUND

The imaging characteristics of congenital grouped pigmentation of the retinal pigment epithelium (CGP-RPE) and its non-pigmented variant - grouped congenital albinotic retinal pigment epithelial spots (GCARPES) are poorly defined in the literature. Our case series reports their multimodal imaging characteristics across a spectrum of presentations.

METHODS

A retrospective review of patient records was conducted on patients seen at the Centre for Eye Health between January and December 2016. The multimodal imaging findings across four cases is described using optical coherence tomography (OCT), infrared imaging, ultra-widefield imaging, fundus photography and fundus autofluorescence (FAF).

RESULTS

Case 1 is a 55-year-old female with a bilateral presentation of CGP-RPE showing typical features. Case 2 is a 28-year-old male with a classical presentation of GCARPES in the left eye. Case 3 is a 33-year-old female with unilateral CGP-RPE and an atypical solitary congenital hypertrophy of the retinal pigment epithelium (CHRPE) in the same eye. Case 4 is a unilateral presentation in an 11-year-old female with unusual characteristics. Ocular imaging characteristics of CGP-RPE lesions varied between patients: OCT showed visible RPE changes in cases 3 and 4 but not case 1. The pattern of FAF and infrared imaging also varied with most lesions displaying a pattern of hypo-autofluorescence, but some central lesions in case 3 exhibited hyper-autofluorescence. All lesions were visible with fundus photography.

CONCLUSION

FAF can be helpful in alerting clinicians to the presence of lesions that may be difficult to visualise funduscopically and OCT can be helpful in differentiating between CGP-RPE and its variants from more sinister ocular conditions. All in all, these findings highlight the variable manifestation of CGP-RPE and its variants on multimodal imaging; the diagnosis of CGP-RPE and its variants should remain based on its characteristic funduscopic appearance.

Optometry Australia's chairside reference for the diagnosis and management of age-related macular degeneration

Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is the leading cause of irreversible vision loss in people over the age of 50 years in Australia. Optometry Australia has developed this AMD chairside reference in consultation with a member-based working group comprised of experienced practitioners. It provides an evidence-based approach to current best practice in the diagnosis and management of AMD. Optometrists should be competent in assessing patients with or at risk of developing AMD, so that they are able to provide evidence-based management including appropriate communication, diagnosis and referral when indicated. This AMD chairside reference covers risk factors for the development of AMD or progression to late-stage AMD; the current clinical classification of AMD; common signs and symptoms; optometric assessment including ocular imaging and biomarkers; differential diagnoses; and management of early, intermediate and late AMD. Optometry Australia's chairside reference is intended as a general guide for optometrists, and is not a formal management protocol.

Peripheral retinal findings in populations with macular disease are similar to healthy eyes

PURPOSE

Recent evidence suggests several macular diseases are associated with peripheral retinal changes. This study investigated the number, type and management consequences of peripheral retinal findings detected in patients attending a referral only, eye-care clinic, the Centre for Eye Health(CFEH) with macular disease.

METHODS

Records of 537 patients attending CFEH for a macular assessment were included in the study. Subjects were classified as having age-related macular degeneration (AMD), epiretinal membrane (ERM), central serous chorioretinopathy (CSCR), inherited macular dystrophy or no macular disease. Data extracted included reason for referral, macular findings, peripheral findings (based on examination by ultra-widefield scanning laser ophthalmoscopy), diagnosis and management.

RESULTS

After age-matching, the number of peripheral findings in subjects with AMD, ERM or CSCR was not significant different to normal subjects. The most common finding for all cohorts were non-specific, degenerative changes such as drusen or pigmentation (61-72%) except inherited macular dystrophy subjects who had mostly vascular findings (30%; p < 0.05). Subjects with AMD and ERM with peripheral findings were significantly more likely to be reviewed or referred to an ophthalmologist than discharged back to their community eye care provider compared to subjects without findings. However only 8% of subjects had altered management based specifically on peripheral findings suggesting the macular findings in most subjects dictated their management. For those with a change, it was significant (upgrade to referral to an ophthalmologist). Peripheral findings also flagged 5% of subjects with vascular findings for referral to their general practitioner (GP).

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, the percentage and distribution of peripheral retinal findings in some macular diseases was similar to normal subjects. However, subjects with peripheral findings appeared to have significant differences in management. Considering some common findings, such as peripheral drusen may be relevant to AMD pathogenesis and therefore affect management of this disease, assessment of the peripheral retina should not be overlooked when the clinical focus is on the posterior pole.

Multispectral Pattern Recognition Reveals a Diversity of Clinical Signs in Intermediate Age-Related Macular Degeneration

Purpose

To develop a proof-of-concept, computational method for the quantification and classification of fundus images in intermediate age-related macular degeneration (AMD).

Methods

Multispectral, unsupervised pattern recognition was applied to 184 fundus images from 10 normal and 36 intermediate AMD eyes. The imaging results of preprocessed, grayscale images from three modalities (infrared, green, and fundus autofluorescence scanning laser ophthalmoscopy) were automatically classified into various clusters sharing a common spectral signature, using a k-means clustering algorithm. Class separability was calculated by using transformed divergence (DT). The classification results for large drusen, pigmentary abnormalities, and areas unaffected by AMD were compared against three expert observers for concordance, and to calculate sensitivity and specificity.

Results

Multispectral, unsupervised pattern recognition successfully identified a finite number of AMD-specific, statistically separable signatures in eyes with intermediate AMD. By using a correct classification criterion of >83% for identical clusters and a total of 1693 expert annotations, the sensitivity and specificity of multispectral pattern recognition for the detection of AMD lesions was 74% and 98%, respectively. Large drusen and pigmentary abnormalities were correctly classified in 75% and 68% of instances, respectively.

Conclusions

We describe herein a novel approach for the classification of multispectral images in intermediate AMD. Automated classification of intermediate AMD, using multispectral pattern recognition, has moderate sensitivity and high specificity, when compared against clinical experts. The methods described may have a future role in AMD screening or monitoring.

An evidence-based approach to the routine use of optical coherence tomography

Optical coherence tomography is an imaging technology that has revolutionised the detection, assessment and management of ocular disease. It is now a mainstream technology in clinical practice and is performed by non-specialised personnel in some settings. This article provides a clinical perspective on the implications of that movement and describes best practice using multimodal imaging and an evidence-based approach. Practical, illustrative guides on the interpretation of optical coherence tomography are provided for three major diseases of the ocular fundus, in which optical coherence tomography is often crucial to management: age-related macular degeneration, diabetic retinopathy and glaucoma. Topics discussed include: cross-sectional and longitudinal signs in ocular disease, so-called 'red-green' disease whereby clinicians rely on machine/statistical comparisons for diagnosis in managing treatment-naïve patients, and the utility of optical coherence tomography angiography and machine learning.

Finding Adequate Information: A Major Challenge for Policy-Makers in the Field of Cancer

Background and context: A global cancer epidemic is developing (GLOBOCAN 2012). In the case of low- and-middle-income countries, difficulties are cumulative: inadequate health systems, lack of training for professionals. Drastic decisions have to be taken in a very complex field. Good decision needs good information. What about information dedicated to policy-makers: to decide a question, they need specific information, marked by these features: synthetic, clear, scientifically validated. Actually, this is not easy to find. Moreover policy-makers can't really benefit from: 1. Information for health professionals which is complex and overabundant (the request “cancer” on PubMed “out” nearly 1.5 millions references). 2. Documents or testimonials for patients. Written by scientific societies or patients' associations, they mostly focus on 2 topics “understand your disease” and “how to cope with”. 3. Information from the Web, not always reliable in terms of quality. Strategy/Tactics: While policy advisors and international organizations provide appropriate studies and reports, mostly focused on “what should be done”, we believe that knowledge of basic cancer data are necessary to understand the proposals. We talk about issues like “what is cancer”, “what exactly cover radiotherapy, oncological surgery…”. Regarding French speaking Africa, Alliance Ligues Africaines and Méditérranéennes (ALIAM) and The French League have produced targeted information for decision-makers. The document was presented in Brazzaville in June 2017. Access to this book is free: www.livre-cancer.aliam.org . The editorial method was discussed and we made the choice to write short sheets, to quickly understand the useful definitions and problems. Rather than comprehensiveness, a pedagogical will and a desire for clarity guided the writing. Diagrams and photos had to be abundant to facilitate understanding. Moreover, this format allows a permanent update of the subjects and the introduction of new topics as needed. What was learned: On the basis of this experience, ALIAM and the league are convinced that a pedagogic document with an international vocation would be useful for all policy makers. Proposal for action: UICC would be the perfect organizer of a working group to produce such a document. The goal would be to develop a consensus text which resume essential data on all common themes of cancer. About 25 themes could be identified, e.g., definition and mechanisms of development of cancers, risk factors, screening and early diagnosis, anatomic pathology and telepathology, molecular biology, imaging and interventional radiology, surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy and innovative therapies, palliative care etc. Moreover, focus on specific location of cancer (breast, cervix, lung…) and pediatric cancers should be developed. Then, it would be easier for any world regions to supplement this validated information with additional specific data describing the local situation. Hierarchizing action priorities would be facilitated.

The advantages of intermediate-tier, inter-optometric referral of low risk pigmented lesions

Purpose

Pigmented ocular lesions are commonly encountered by eye‐care professionals, and range from benign to sight or life‐threatening. After identifying a lesion, the primary care professional must establish the likely diagnosis and decide either to reassure, to monitor or to refer. The increasing use of ocular imaging technologies has contributed to an increase in the detection rate of pigmented lesions and a higher number of referrals, which may challenge existing pathways of health‐care delivery. Specialist services may be over‐burdened by referring all patients with pigmented lesions for an opinion, while inter‐optometric referrals are underutilised. The aim of this study was to describe the referral patterns of pigmented lesions to an optometry led intermediate‐tier collaborative care clinic.

Methods

We performed a retrospective review of patient records using the list of patients examined at Centre for Eye Health (CFEH) for an initial or follow up pigmented lesion assessment between the 1/7/2013 and the 30/6/2016. Analysis was performed on: patient demographic characteristics, the referrer's tentative diagnosis, CFEH diagnosis and recommended management plan.

Results

Across 182 patient records, the primary lesion prompting referral was usually located in the posterior segment: choroidal naevus (105/182, 58%), congenital hypertrophy of the retinal pigment epithelium (CHRPE; 11/182, 6%), chorioretinal scarring (10/182, 5%) or not specified (52/182, 29%). Referrals described a specific request for ocular imaging in 25 instances (14%). The number of cases with a non‐specific diagnosis was reduced after intermediate‐tier care assessment (from 29% to 10%), while the number of diagnoses with less common conditions rose (from 2% to 21%). There was a 2% false positive referral rate to intermediate‐tier care and a first visit discharge rate of 35%. A minority required on‐referral to an ophthalmologist (22/182, 12%), either for unrelated incidental ocular findings, or suspicious choroidal naevi. Conditions most amenable to optometric follow up included: 1) chorioretinal scarring, 2) choroidal naevus, and 3) CHRPE.

Conclusions

Intermediate‐tier optometric eye‐care in pigmented lesions (following opportunistic primary care screening) has the potential to reduce the number of cases with non‐specific diagnoses and to increase those with less common diagnoses. The majority of cases seen under this intermediate‐tier model required only ongoing optometric surveillance.

Developing prognostic biomarkers in intermediate age-related macular degeneration: their clinical use in predicting progression

Age-related macular degeneration is a common, complex and blinding eye disease. When early and intermediate levels of severity are detected in one or both eyes, there is a wide-ranging 0.4 to 53 per cent risk of progression to advanced disease in five years. In order to maximise visual outcomes for their patients, practising eye-care professionals must be able to stratify patients according to their risk of progression, intervene (for example by recommending smoking cessation or nutritional supplements and Amsler grid self-monitoring in intermediate disease) and monitor accordingly. With the aid of ocular imaging, a range of under-recognised yet meaningful risk factors have been identified. The purpose of this review is to assist the eye-care practitioner in stratifying the risk of progression in intermediate age-related macular degeneration using the range of established and emerging precursory signs that herald loss of vision.

Advanced imaging for the diagnosis of age-related macular degeneration: a case vignettes study

Background

The aim of this study is to evaluate the diagnosis, staging, imaging and management preferences, and the effect of advanced imaging among practising optometrists in age‐related macular degeneration (AMD).

Methods

Up to 20 case vignettes (computer‐based case simulations) were completed online in a computer laboratory in random order by 81 practising optometrists of Australia. Each case presented findings from a randomly selected patient seen previously at the Centre for Eye Health for a macular assessment in the following order: case history, preliminary tests and colour fundus photography. Participants were prompted to provide their diagnosis, management and imaging preference. One additional imaging result (either modified fundus photographs and infrared images, fundus autofluorescence, or optical coherence tomography [OCT]) was then provided and the questions repeated. Finally, all imaging results were provided and the questions repeated a third time.

Results

A total of 1,436 responses were analysed. The presence of macular pathology in AMD was accurately detected in 94 per cent of instances. The overall diagnostic accuracy of AMD was 61 per cent using colour fundus photography. This improved by one per cent using one additional imaging modality and a further four per cent using all imaging. Across all responses, a greater improvement in the diagnostic accuracy of AMD occurred following the presentation of OCT findings (versus other modalities). OCT was the most preferred imaging modality for AMD, while multimodal imaging was of greatest benefit in cases more often misdiagnosed using colour fundus photography alone. Overall, the cohort also displayed a tendency to underestimate disease severity.

Conclusion

Despite reports that imaging technologies improve the stratification of AMD, our findings suggest that this effect may be small when applied among practising optometrists without additional or specific training.

Collaborative care of non-urgent macular disease: a study of inter-optometric referrals

Purpose

Diseases involving the macula and posterior pole are leading causes of visual impairment and blindness worldwide and may require prompt ophthalmological care. However, access to eye‐care and timely patient management may be limited due to inefficient and inappropriate referrals between primary eye‐care providers and ophthalmology. Optometrists with a special interest in macular disease may be useful as a community aid to better stratify and recommend best‐practice management plans for suitable patients. This study assesses such a notion by appraising the optometric referral patterns of patients with suspected macular disease to an intermediate‐tier optometric imaging clinic.

Methods

We performed a retrospective review of patient records and referrals using patients examined at Centre for Eye Health (CFEH) for an initial or follow up macular assessment between the 1/7/2013 and 30/6/2014 (n = 291). The following data were analysed: patient demographic characteristics, primary reason for referral, diagnosed/suspected condition, CFEH diagnosis and recommended management plan.

Results

The number of referrals stipulating a diagnosis, confirmed after evaluation at CFEH was 121 of 291 (42%). After evaluation at CFEH, the number of cases without a specific diagnosis was approximately halved (reduced from 47% to 23%), while the number of cases with no apparent defect or normal aging changes rose from 1% to 15%. Overall diagnostic congruency for specified macular conditions was high (58–94%); cases were seldom (30/291, 10%) found to have a completely different macular condition. 244 of 291 (84%) patients seen at CFEH were recommended ongoing optometric care: either with the referring optometrist or through recall to CFEH. Referral to an ophthalmologist was recommended in 47 instances (16%).

Conclusions

More widespread adoption of intermediate‐tier optometric eye‐care referral pathways in macular disease (following opportunistic primary care screening) has the potential to reduce the number of cases with non‐specific diagnoses and to increase those with a diagnosis of normal aging changes or no apparent disease. The majority of cases seen under this intermediate‐tier model required ongoing optometric care only and did not require face‐to‐face consultation with an ophthalmologist.

Infrared reflectance imaging in age-related macular degeneration

PURPOSE

The purpose of this article is to describe the appearance of age-related macular degeneration (AMD) phenotypes using infrared (IR) reflectance imaging. IR reflectance imaging of the retina has the potential to highlight specific sub-retinal features and pathology. However, its role in macular disease, specifically AMD, is often underestimated and requires clarification.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent advances in clinical methods, imaging and scientific knowledge may be integrated to improve the accuracy of disease stratification in AMD. In particular, IR imaging holds an underutilised sensitivity to detect reticular pseudodrusen, which have been repeatedly described as a high-risk sign for late AMD.

SUMMARY

This article provides clinically relevant descriptions of AMD phenotypes using IR reflectance imaging. The findings are integrated with images from cases seen at the Centre for Eye Health. As primary eye-care providers assume a critical role in the detection, diagnosis and management of AMD, we also provide a chair-side reference to assist clinicians in interpreting IR images in AMD.

Self-reported optometric practise patterns in age-related macular degeneration

BACKGROUND

The use of advanced imaging in clinical practice is emerging and the use of this technology by optometrists in assessing patients with age-related macular degeneration is of interest. Therefore, this study explored contemporary, self-reported patterns of practice regarding age-related macular degeneration diagnosis and management using a cross-sectional survey of optometrists in Australia and New Zealand.

METHODS

Practising optometrists were surveyed on four key areas, namely, demographics, clinical skills and experience, assessment and management of age-related macular degeneration. Questions pertaining to self-rated competency, knowledge and attitudes used a five-point Likert scale.

RESULTS

Completed responses were received from 127 and 87 practising optometrists in Australia and New Zealand, respectively. Advanced imaging showed greater variation in service delivery than traditional techniques (such as slitlamp funduscopy) and trended toward optical coherence tomography, which was routinely performed in age-related macular degeneration by 49 per cent of respondents. Optical coherence tomography was also associated with higher self-rated competency, knowledge and perceived relevance to practice than other modalities. Most respondents (93 per cent) indicated that they regularly applied patient symptoms, case history, visual function results and signs from traditional testing, when queried about their management of patients with age-related macular degeneration. Over half (63 per cent) also considered advanced imaging, while 31 per cent additionally considered all of these as well as the disease stage and clinical guidelines. Contrary to the evidence base, 68 and 34 per cent rated nutritional supplements as highly relevant or relevant in early age-related macular degeneration and normal aging changes, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

These results highlight the emergence of multimodal and advanced imaging (especially optical coherence tomography) in the assessment of age-related macular degeneration by optometrists. Clinically significant variations in self-rated test competency and the understanding regarding nutritional supplements for different stages of age-related macular degeneration suggest that further work to up-skill optometrists may be required.

Abstract P2-05-06: Analytical and clinical validation of a fully automated tissue-based quantitative assay (MetaSite Breast™) to detect the likelihood of distant metastasis in hormone receptor (HR)-positive, HER2-negative early stage breast cancer (ESBC)

Background: MetaSite Breast™ is a validated assay to predict risk of distant breast cancer metastasis in patients with HR+/HER2- ESBC. The assay measures the number of MetaSites defined as tumor microanatomic structures composed of MENA protein expressing tumor cells in contact with CD31+ endothelial cells and CD68+ macrophages. Previous studies have demonstrated that an increased number of these microanatomic structures is associated with distant metastasis (DM) in HR+/HER2- ESBC independent of clinicopathologic features. Analytical validation of MetaSite Breast™ demonstrated precision of 97-99% (repeat image analysis of the same slide) and performance of 91-96% (staining and image analysis of serial tumor sections). We sought to further understand the importance of the MetaSite in predicting distant breast cancer metastasis utilizing a fully automated prognostic assay in an independent large patient cohort.

Methods: We conducted a nested case-control study within a cohort of 3,760 patients diagnosed between 1980 and 2000 with invasive breast cancer from the Kaiser Permanente Northwest health care system. Cases (n=259) were women who developed a subsequent distant metastasis; controls, selected using incidence density sampling, were matched closely to cases (1:1) on age at and calendar year of primary diagnosis. Of the 481 patient tumor samples evaluated in this study, 57% were HR+/HER2-, 19% were triple negative (TN), and 15% were HER2+ disease. Multivariate models were adjusted for clinical factors including: lymph node status, tumor size, tumor grade, and HRT; as well as matching variables: age and year of diagnosis. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using logistic regression.

Results: In the HR+/HER2- group, MetaSite Score (MS) ranged from 0-357 and the mean was 44.6. MS was a significant predictor of DM (P=0.039) in patients with HR+/HER2- disease. Cut-points based on tertiles of MS in all 259 controls defined intermediate (13-41) and high (&gt;41) risk groups that were significantly associated with risk of DM versus the low risk group (OR=2.24; 95%CI=1.23-4.13, P=0.009) and (OR=2.94; 95%CI=1.62-5.41, P=0.0005), respectively. Univariate estimates of absolute risk of DM with cutoffs based on 90% sensitivity and specificity were 9.4% for the low risk group (MS&lt;7), 14.1% for the intermediate (MS=7-91), and 23.4% for the high (MS&gt;91). When adjusted for clinical factors, estimates of absolute risk of DM were 6.6%, 14.1%, and 33.0% for the low, intermediate, and high risk groups, respectively. A binary cut-point for the high risk group was determined (MS&gt;14) and was significant with a 2-fold higher risk of DM versus the low risk group and adjusted for clinical covariates (P=0.036). MS was not positively associated with DM in TN or HER2+ disease.

Conclusions: MetaSite Breast™ significantly predicted the risk of distant breast cancer metastasis in ESBC patients with HR+/HER2-disease, independent of classical clinicopathologic features.

Citation Format: Donovan MJ, Jones JG, Entenberg DR, Condeelis JS, D'alfonso TM, Gustavson M, Molinaro A, Oktay MH, Xue X, Sparano JA, Peterson MA, Podznyakova O, Rohan TE, Shuber AP, Gertler FB, Ly A, Divelbiss ME, Hamilton DA. Analytical and clinical validation of a fully automated tissue-based quantitative assay (MetaSite Breast™) to detect the likelihood of distant metastasis in hormone receptor (HR)-positive, HER2-negative early stage breast cancer (ESBC) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2016 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2016 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-05-06.

Abstract P2-05-08: Impact of treatment history on prognostic ability of breast cancer index (BCI): Subset analysis from a validation study of patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+) breast cancer with 1-3 positive nodes

Background: A new BCI model integrating tumor size and grade (BCIN+) was specifically developed and validated for prediction of risk of overall (0-15y) and late (5-15y) distant recurrence (DR) in HR+ women with 1-3 positive nodes (N1). The objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of treatment history on the prognostic performance of BCIN+ in a large clinical validation cohort of pre- and post-menopausal HR+, N1 patients.

Methods: The validation cohort was comprised of 402 HR+, N1 patients diagnosed at Massachusetts General Hospital between 1993-2007 with at least 5y of follow-up. BCIN+ risk scores were determined and patients stratified into low or high risk categories using a pre-specified cut-point blinded to clinical outcome. Kaplan-Meier estimates of overall (0-15y) and late (5-15y) DR were estimated and the difference was evaluated by log-rank test. Treatment-specific subsets were analyzed based on adjuvant endocrine (tamoxifen [TAM] only vs any history of aromatase inhibitors [AI]), and adjuvant chemotherapy treatment history.

Results: Mean age of patients was 53y. 99% were ER+, 91% PR+, and 13% HER2+. The majority of tumors were T1 (62%) or T2 (35%). Adjuvant endocrine treatment included TAM only for 191 (48%) patients and either AI only or a sequence of TAM and an AI in 211 (52%) patients. Most patients received chemotherapy (n=324; 81%). BCIN+ classified 20% and 80% as low and high risk, respectively.

In patients treated with TAM only, BCIN+ low and high risk had significantly different 15y rates of DR (95% CI) of 4.0% (0.0-11.4%) vs 41.7% (33.0-49.3%), respectively (p=0.0005). For patients disease-free at year 5, rates of late DR (5-15y) were 4.0% (0.0-11.5%) vs 20.0% (11.4-27.8%), respectively (p=0.04). In patients treated with an AI, BCIN+ low and high risk had significantly different 15y rates of DR of 0% (0.0-0.0%) vs 15.0% (8.1-21.5%), respectively (p=0.006). For patients disease-free at year 5, rates of late DR were 0.0% (0.0-0.0%) vs 12.2% (5.6-18.3%), respectively (p=0.02). There was no statistically significant difference in the prognostic performance of BCIN+ between patients treated with TAM only versus those with treatment including any history of AI (interaction p=0.99).

In the subset of patients treated with chemotherapy, BCIN+ classified 19% and 81% of patients as low and high risk with significantly different 15y rates of DR of 1.7% (0.0-4.9%) vs 30.9% (24.4-36.8%), respectively (p&lt;0.0001). For patients disease-free at year 5, rates of late DR were 1.7% (0.0-4.9%) and 16.3% (10.2-21.9%), respectively (p=0.006).

Conclusions: In this subset analysis from a validation study of N1 patients, BCIN+ identified a significant proportion with a significantly low risk of late DR. This study confirms the ability of BCIN+ to identify a subset of patients with significantly low risk of recurrence across adjuvant endocrine and chemotherapy treatment backgrounds. BCIN+ may provide additional prognostic information to facilitate selection of N+ patients for extended endocrine treatment, wherein patients identified as BCIN+ low may be considered adequately treated with adjuvant therapy alone.

Citation Format: Zhang Y, Jerevall P-L, Schroeder BE, Ly A, Nolan H, Schnabel CA, Sgroi DC. Impact of treatment history on prognostic ability of breast cancer index (BCI): Subset analysis from a validation study of patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+) breast cancer with 1-3 positive nodes [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2016 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2016 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-05-08.