Stochastic and Statistical Analysis of Utility Revenues and Weather Data Analysis for Consumer Demand Estimation in Smart Grids

In smart grid paradigm, the consumer demands are random and time-dependent, owning towards stochastic probabilities. The stochastically varying consumer demands have put the policy makers and supplying agencies in a demanding position for optimal generation management. The utility revenue functions are highly dependent on the consumer deterministic stochastic demand models. The sudden drifts in weather parameters effects the living standards of the consumers that in turn influence the power demands. Considering above, we analyzed stochastically and statistically the effect of random consumer demands on the fixed and variable revenues of the electrical utilities. Our work presented the Multi-Variate Gaussian Distribution Function (MVGDF) probabilistic model of the utility revenues with time-dependent consumer random demands. Moreover, the Gaussian probabilities outcome of the utility revenues is based on the varying consumer n demands data-pattern. Furthermore, Standard Monte Carlo (SMC) simulations are performed that validated the factor of accuracy in the aforesaid probabilistic demand-revenue model. We critically analyzed the effect of weather data parameters on consumer demands using correlation and multi-linear regression schemes. The statistical analysis of consumer demands provided a relationship between dependent (demand) and independent variables (weather data) for utility load management, generation control, and network expansion.

Qualitative adaptation of child behaviour problem instruments in a developing-country setting

A key barrier to epidemiological research on child behaviour problems in developing countries is the lack of culturally relevant, internationally recognized psychometric instruments. This paper proposes a model for the qualitative adaptation of psychometric instruments in developing-country settings and presents a case study of the adaptation of 3 internationally recognized instruments in Pakistan: the Child Behavior Checklist, the Youth Self-Report and the Teacher's Report Form. This model encompassed a systematic procedure with 6 distinct phases to minimize bias and ensure equivalence with the original instruments: selection, deliberation, alteration, feasibility, testing and formal approval. The process was conducted in collaboration with the instruments' developer. A multidisciplinary working group of experts identified equivalence issues and suggested modifications. Focus group discussions with informants highlighted comprehension issues. Subsequently modified instruments were thoroughly tested. Finally, the instruments' developer approval further validated the qualitative adaptation. The study proposes a rigorous and systematic model to effectively achieve cultural adaptation of psychometric instruments.

Evaluation of Pakgen 99mTc generators loaded with indigenous fission 99Mo

Fission produced 99Mo/99mTc generators, called Pakgen, have been manufactured at the PINSTECH generator production facility since 2000 for nuclear medicine applications in Pakistan. These generators were loaded with fission 99Mo imported from NTP South Africa. Recently production of fission 99Mo has begun in the Molybdenum-99 Production Facility at PINSTECH. Prior to use in the clinic, eight sets of generators were produced, 23 GBq and 74 GBq at time of calibration, and they were subjected to various quality control procedures recommended in the pharmacopoeia to assess their performance. The elution profile, volume, activity, pH, radionuclidic, chemical, radiochemical and biological purity, and expiry time of the eluates were examined. Labeling efficiency tests were also carried out with a number of the more widely used in vivo radiopharmaceutical kits like DTPA, MDP and MIBI. Performance of 99mTc generators loaded with locally produced and imported fission 99Mo was comparable, and the users of Pakgen generators were fully satisfied. The effect of a wet vs. a dry column on 99mTc yields of generators loaded with low and high activity was also studied for the first time.

Non-conventional hemostatic risk factors for coronary heart disease in individuals with spinal cord injury

STUDY DESIGN

Review.

OBJECTIVES

In subjects with spinal cord injury (SCI), there is strong evidence for platelet hyperactivity, which may stimulate atherosclerosis and coronary heart disease (CHD). The literature was reviewed.

BACKGROUND

Individuals with SCI develop premature CHD. In addition to the conventional risk factors associated with CHD, there are pathologic hematological factors involved in atherogenesis that are similar to those that have been demonstrated in individuals with diabetes, and these hematological factors might affect individuals with SCI. One such hematological factor, platelet aggregation, is essential for the development of CHD, which results from thrombus formation in the coronary vasculature. Prostacyclin (PGI(2)) is a potent inhibitor of platelet aggregation and is thought to have a beneficial role in inhibiting atherogenesis; therefore, it is possible that individuals with SCI have impaired PGI(2) receptor function.

METHODS

We reviewed the literature by conducting a search using PubMed (1970-2007).

RESULTS

Acute thrombosis is emerging as an important factor in the etiology of CHD and therefore could mediate the risk of CHD in persons with SCI, in addition to previously known risk factors such as hyperlipidemia, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes mellitus and hyperinsulinemia. Because PGI(2) may retard atherogenesis through its inhibitory effects on platelet function, we discuss the effects of PGI(2) on platelets in persons with SCI in this review.

CONCLUSIONS

Subjects with chronic SCI develop abnormal platelet function, resulting in the production of atherogenic and thrombogenic factors for the following reasons: (1) the PGI(2) and insulin receptors on their platelets are impaired; (2) thrombin generation and platelet-derived growth factor release are elevated; (3) insulin-induced nitric oxide production by platelets is markedly impaired; and (4) a circulating antibody (immunoglobulin G (IgG)) blocks the antithrombotic effect of both insulin and PGI(2) receptors. Thus, this IgG molecule is thought to be one of the pathological mediators of the increased incidence of CHD in individuals with SCI.