P3771Validation of risk scoring system predicting for progression of atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risks of thromboembolism and death. Progression from paroxysmal to sustained types (persistent or permanent) of AF is sometimes seen in clinical practice. We recently reported that progression of AF was associated with increased risk of clinical adverse events in Japanese AF patients. However, risk stratification schemes of predicting the progression of AF has not been fully established.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey, was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, which is a typical urban district of Japan with a population of 283,000. Follow-up data were available for 4,454 patients. We investigated the risk factors of AF progression and validated the performance of various risk scoring systems predicting for progression of AF, such as APPLE, BASE-AF2, HATCH, and MB-LATER score, using data from 995 paroxysmal AF patients (mean age; 72.6±11.4 years, female; 42.2%, mean CHA2DS2-VASc score; 3.26±1.67) whose echocardiogram data were obtained at baseline.

Results

Of 995 AF patients, during the median follow-up of 1,477 days, progression from paroxysmal to sustained AF occurred in 160 patients (16.1%; 4.0 per 100 person-years). On a multivariate model, we indicated that history of AF ≥2 years (odds ratio [OR] 1.83; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28–2.61), left atrial diameter ≥40 mm (OR 1.45; 95% CI 1.02–2.08), daily drinker (OR 1.56; 95% CI 1.24–2.81), and cardiomyopathy (OR 2.58; 95% CI 1.17–5.69) were significantly associated with higher incidence of AF progression. Our model had better predictive potential for AF progression (area under curve [AUC] 0.612; 95% CI 0.566–0.658) than the APPLE (AUC 0.553; 95% CI 0.508–0.598; p=0.06), BASE-AF2 (AUC 0.571; 95% CI 0.526–0.617; p=0.04), CHADS2 (AUC 0.508; 95% CI 0.462–0.554; p<0.01), CHA2DS2-VASc (AUC 0.501; 95% CI 0.453–0.548; p<0.01), HATCH (AUC 0.502; 95% CI 0.456–0.548; p<0.01), and MB-LATER (AUC 0.528; 95% CI 0.483–0.572; p<0.01) score.

Conclusion

We identified 4 risk factors which may be useful to predict for progression of AF in Japanese patients. External validation of our model in other cohorts is needed.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Boehringer, Bayer, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers, Astellas, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis, MSD, Sanofi and Takeda. Japan Agency for Medical Research

P5431The relationship between pulse rate and the risk of cardiac events in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Relationship between pulse rate (PR) and cardiac events in patients with sustained (persistent and permanent) atrial fibrillation (AF) in routine clinical practice remains unclear.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Follow-up data were available for 4,454 patients, and we obtained PR at baseline in 2,209 patients of 2,248 sustained AF patients. We divided these patients into four groups based on their PR; G1 (PR≥100 bpm, n=249), G2 (80 bpm≤PR<100 bpm, n=821), G3 (60 bpm≤PR<80 bpm, n=986), and G4 (PR<60 bpm, n=153), and examined the relationship between PR and cardiac events (composite of cardiovascular death and hospitalization for heart failure (HF)).

Results

Proportion of female and symptomatic AF were more in G1 group, and diastolic blood pressure was higher in G1 group, despite that systolic blood pressure was similar between the four groups. Prevalence of anemia was higher in G1 group, and that of chronic kidney disease was higher in G4 group. Prevalence of HF and left ventricular dysfunction tended to be higher in G1 group but not statistically significant. Beta-blockers and non-dihydropyridine calcium blockers were more often prescribed in G1 group. During the median follow-up of 1,449 days, cardiac events occurred in 399 patients (358 hospitalization for HF and 41 cardiovascular death). In Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence of cardiac events were comparable between the four groups (p=0.3). The incidence of all cause death (p=0.06) and stroke or systemic embolism (p=0.4) was also similar between the four groups. The incidence of cardiac events did not differ between the four groups when we divided the patients based on the presence of HF at baseline, and the incidence of cardiac events was also comparable between the four groups after adjusting potential confounders. However, when we examined the impact of PR according to 10 bpm increment, patients with very low PR (<50 bpm) (hazard ratio [95% confidence intervals], 2.22 [1.04–4.15]) and very high PR (≥110 bpm) (hazard ratio [95% confidence intervals], 1.67 [1.00–2.64]) had higher incidence of cardiac events than patients with PR of 70–79 bpm (Figure). Furthermore, we acquired the annual follow-up data of PR. Mean PR during the follow-up periods was not different between patients with cardiac events and those without (with vs without, 79.5±15.3 bpm vs 79.7±12.7 bpm; p=0.8), whereas maximum PR was less in patients with cardiac events (85.2±17.5 bpm vs 89.3±16.2 bpm; p<0.0001). Patients with maximum PR<60 bpm showed higher incidence of cardiac events, and the incidence of cardiac events was the lowest in patients with maximum PR of 80 to 99 bpm (maximum PR<60 bpm: 31.3%, 60–79 bpm: 24.5%, 80–99 bpm: 14.5%, 100 bpm: 16.1%; P<ehz746.03881).

Conclusion

PR did not appear to have strong impact on cardiac events in patients with sustained AF. However, low PR might be a risk for developing cardiac events.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development, AMED (15656344, 16768811), Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb

P3755Left atrial enlargement as an independent risk factor for ischemic stroke in Japanese atrial fibrillation patients: pooled analysis of five major Japanese atrial fibrillation registries

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of ischemic stroke. It remains unknown whether left atrial diameter determined by routine trans-thoracic echocardiography is a risk factor for ischemic stroke in non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of left atrial enlargement (LAE) on the incidence of ischemic stroke in a large-scale cohort of Japanese NVAF patients.

Methods

We combined the data of 5 major AF registries in Japan, J-RHYTHM Registry, Fushimi AF Registry, Shinken Database, Keio interhospital Cardiovascular Studies, and Hokuriku AF Registry. After excluding patients without echocardiographic data, 7,672 NVAF patients were analyzed in the present study (mean age, 69.3±12.3 years; mean CHADS2 score, 1.6±1.3). We compared clinical characteristics and the incidence of ischemic stroke between NVAF patients with LAE (left atrial diameter >45 mm; LAE group) and those without (non-LAE group).

Results

The mean left atrial diameter was 43.1±8.6 mm, and the LAE group accounted for 40.0% (n=3,066) of the entire cohort. Compared with non-LAE group (60.0%, n=4,606), the LAE group was older (LAE vs. non-LAE; 70.3±12.0 vs. 68.0±12.5, p<0.01), more often non-paroxysmal type (73.7% vs. 32.1%, p<0.01), had higher CHADS2 (1.86±1.34 vs. 1.46±1.29, p<0.01) and CHA2DS2-VASc (3.02±1.83 vs. 2.53±1.78, p<0.01) scores, and more frequently received oral anticoagulant (72.9% vs. 55.0%, p<0.01).

During the median follow-up period of 774.5 days (interquartile range: 567–1466 days), ischemic stroke occurred in 241 patients (131 vs. 110 patients; 1.52 vs. 0.82 per 100 person-years). In Kaplan Meier analysis, LAE was associated with a higher incidence of ischemic stroke (unadjusted hazard ratio (HR): 1.83, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.42–2.36; log rank p<0.01) (Figure). LAE was independently associated with increased risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted HR: 1.63, 95% CI: 1.25–2.11; p<0.01) after adjustment by the components of CHADS2 score and the use of oral anticoagulant, on multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis.

Conclusion

In this large-scale cohort of Japanese patients with AF, LAE was an independent predictor of ischemic stroke, suggesting that this simple echocardiographic parameter could refine thromboembolic risk stratification of NVAF patients.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development, AMED

P824The clinical impact of polyunsaturated fatty acid on clinical outcomes in acute coronary syndrome with dyslipidemia: HIJ-PROPER sub-analysis

Background

Polyunsaturated fatty acids, especially omega-3 and -6 series, are key essential nutrients that play an important role in humans to maintain cell membranes and function. A recent randomized trial reported that adding eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) to statins was beneficial to cardiovascular disease patients who had a residual risk factor. Further, several studies have reported that the low baseline value for EPA to arachidonic acid (AA) ratio is related to worse clinical outcome and plaque vulnerability in coronary artery disease patients. However, effects of baseline EPA/AA ratio on clinical outcomes in ACS patients have not been thoroughly evaluated.

Objectives

This study aimed to examine the impact of baseline eicosapentaenoic acid to arachidonic acid (EPA/AA) ratio on clinical outcomes of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients and how lipid-lowering therapy affects serum EPA/AA levels in these patients.

Methods

This is a sub-analysis of HIJ-PROPER assessing the effect of aggressive low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C)-lowering treatment with pitavastatin+ezetimibe in 1,734 ACS patients with dyslipidemia. Patients were divided into two groups based on EPA/AA level on admission (cut-off: 0.34 μg/mL; median of baseline EPA/AA level) and clinical outcomes were examined.

Results

Percent reduction of LDL-C from baseline to follow-up and mean LDL-C level during follow-up were similar regardless of baseline EPA/AA ratio. In the low EPA/AA group, the Kaplan–Meier estimate for the primary endpoint at 3 years was 27.2% in the pitavastatin+ezetimibe group, compared with 36.6% in the pitavastatin-monotherapy group [hazard ratio (HR), 0.69; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.52–0.93; P=0.015). However, in the high EPA/AA group, there was no significant reduction in the primary endpoint by pitavastatin+ezetimibe therapy (HR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.70–1.20; P=0.52).

Conclusions

Aggressive lipid-lowering therapy with ezetimibe had a positive effect on clinical outcomes in the low EPA/AA group of ACS patients with dyslipidemia, but not in the high EPA/AA group. This effect was independent of LDL-C reduction and suggests that EPA/AA measurement on admission in ACS patients contributes to a “personalized” lipid-lowering approach.

P5502Comparison of clinical characteristics and prognosis between non-octogenarians and octogenarians with cardiac troponin positive acute myocardial infarction

Background

Cardiac troponin (cTn) is the preferred biomarker for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Octogenarians who presented cTn positive AMI are not usually recruited in clinical trials. Therefore, their clinical characteristics and prognosis are rarely investigated.

Objective

To study the characteristics and prognosis in octogenarians who presented cTn positive AMI.

Methods and results

The Japanese registry of acute Myocardial INfarction diagnosed by Universal dEfiniTion (J-MINUET) is a prospective and multicenter registry. A total of 3,283 consecutive AMI patients who were diagnosed by cTn-based criteria were included. The patients were divided into non-octogenarians (n=2,593) and octogenarians (n=690). Compared with non- octogenarians, octogenarians showed significantly lower incidence of diabetes mellitus (37.6% and 31.9%, p=0.006) and dyslipidemia (53.6% and 45.6%, p<0.001), and significantly higher incidence of hypertension (64.1% and 75.3%, p<0.001) and chronic kidney disease (38.7% and 68.7%, p<0.001). Octogenarians showed significantly longer onset to door time (p<0.001) and longer door to device time (p<0.001). Though, compared with non-octogenarians, octogenarians showed lower peak CK (2,506 and 1,926, p<0.001), LVEF was significantly lower in octogenarians (54.6% and 52.6%, p=0.005). The presentation of AMI was different between the two group. The incidence of ST-segment elevation MI (STEMI) was 70.7% in non-octogenarians and 62.0% in octogenarians. Non-STEMI with CK elevation and without CK elevation were 16.2% and 13.1% in non- octogenarians, and 20.9% and 17.1% in octogenarians. In-hospital mortality was higher in octogenarians (4.7% and 13.2%, P<0.001). Especially, octogenarians with STEMI and non-STEMI with CK elevation showed the highest in-hospital mortality. And octogenarians without CK elevation showed similar in hospital mortality with non-octogenarians with STEMI (Figure).

Conclusions

J-MINUET showed the poor prognosis of octogenarians who were diagnosed as AMI based on cTn.

Acknowledgement/Funding

None

6131Association between hospital care quality and readmission among Japanese patients with heart failure. From JROAD-DPC study

Background

Measuring the process of care has become a widely used practice to improve a quality of care. Recently, some studies have demonstrated poor to no correlation between 30-day readmission rates and quality of care for heart failure (HF) among hospitalized HF patients. However the investigation about relationships of care quality for HF and 1 year outcome is limited.

Purpose

To investigate the relationship between quality of care in each hospitals and readmission among HF patients in Japan.

Methods

From Japanese Registry of All cardiac and vascular diseases (JROAD-DPC) database in 2014, 84,325 HF patients hospitalized to 741 certificated hospitals by Japanese Circulation Society were analyzed. A primary endpoint was readmission for HF in one year. Five performance measures were defined as prescription rate of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker (ACEI/ARB), prescription rate of beta blocker and prescription rate of spironolactone, measurement rate of echocardiography and measurement rate of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) during hospitalization. For each of the five measures, a composite score was created by giving points ranging from 1 to 4 from the lower quartile of rates, with the score ranging from 5 to 20 points. Hazard ratios (HR) indicating the effects of the performance measures were estimated using Cox proportional hazard models. Covariates included age, gender, Charson score, and NYHA class.

Results

In Japanese HF patients (age; 78.1 years old, man 52%), the HF readmission rate in one year was 14,520 (17.2%). The readmission rate decreased with higher quartiles of prescription rate in each medications and performance rates. The highest quartile of each measurements was significantly lower risk for readmission compared to the lowest quartile (ACE/ARB, adjusted HR 0.87 [95% CI, 0.83–0.91], p<0.001; beta-blocker, 0.83 [0.79–0.88], p<0.001; spironolactone, 0.88 [0.83–0.92], p<0.001; echocardiography, 0.90 [0.86–0.94], p<0.001; BNP, 0.92 [0.87–0.96], p<0.001). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that readmission rates were better among higher composite score, compared to lower composite score (Log-rank test=p<0.001). (Figure) Higher composite scores were associated with statistically significant risk reduction of 23% for HF readmission (HR 0.77, 95% CI [0.73–0.81], p<0.001).

Figure 1

Conclusion

The hospital performance measures were associated with a significant risk reduction of readmission in Japanese patients with HF.

P3392Potential of imaging-guided PCI for event suppression in Japanese acute myocardial infarction patients: J-MINUET substudy

Background

Intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) and Optical Coherence Tomography (OCT) has been widely used in clinical settings. Although favorable results of imaging-guided percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) compared with angio-guided PCI were observed in several studies, impacts of institutional-based usage frequency, about imaging-guided PCI, have not been well elucidated.

Methods

To elucidate the impact of imaging-guided PCI and the effects of frequency of its usage, we analyzed data of the Japanese registry of acute Myocardial INfarction diagnosed by Universal dEfiniTion (J-MINUET). This was a prospective and multicenter registry consisting of 3,283 AMI patients, who were hospitalized within 48 hours of onset from July 2012 to March 2014. Clinical follow-up data was obtained for 3 years. In this sub-study, a total of 2,788 patients who underwent urgent PCI having detailed procedural information were enrolled. We analyzed the differences of utilization rates of imaging-guided PCI among the participating institutions and the impacts for the clinical events. The participating institutions were divided into 3 groups by the frequency of IVUS usage: low frequency institutions: under 50%; moderate frequency institutions: 50% to 90%; and, high frequency institutions: over 90%.

Results

In this cohort registry, patients were enrolled from 28 institutions. The utilization rate of coronary imaging varied widely depending on each institution from 15.4% to 100% (mean 85.7%±24.3, median 97.4%). When the institutions were divided into 3 groups by the frequency of intravascular imaging usage, four low frequency institutions enrolled 295 patients, five moderate frequency institutions enrolled 624 patients, and 19 high frequency institutions enrolled 1,491 patients. Although the incidence of MACE (death, MI, stroke, cardiac failure, or revascularization for unstable angina) decreased stepwise (33.2%, 23.7%, and 19.7%) (gray bar in the Figure), the event rates of the imaging-guided PCI cases among the 3 groups were comparable (21.6%, 21.9%, and 19.6%) (white bar in the Figure). On the other hand, a gradual event reduction between the 3 groups was observed in the angio-guided PCI cases (black bar in the Figure). In comparison of MACE rate between imaging-guided and angio-guided PCI, there were statistically significant differences in the low frequency and moderate frequency institutions (p=0.001 and p=0.012, respectively). In contrast, comparable event rates were observed in the high frequency institutions (p=0.441).

MACE rate by imaging usage frequency

Conclusions

In Japanese ACS patients treated with imaging-guided PCI, better suppression of clinical events during 3-year was found in the institutions with the more frequent use of intravascular imaging, mainly due to stepwise event suppression in the cases of angio-guided PCI. On the other hand, the clinical benefit of coronary imaging was obtained independently of the frequency of use and its experience.

P830Differences in the usefulness of aggressive lipid-lowering therapy among single-vessel and multi-vessel coronary artery disease patients: HIJ-PROPER sub-study

Background

Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients with multi-vessel disease (MVD) are at high risk of recurrent cardiovascular events. Previous study, examining stable atherosclerotic cardiac disease, reported that aggressive lipid-lowering therapy was more beneficial in MVD patients than in single-vessel disease (SVD) patients. However, no report has investigated the effects of aggressive lipid-lowering treatment according to the number of diseased coronary arteries in ACS patients.

Purpose

The purpose of the present study was to elucidate the efficacy of aggressive lipid-lowering therapy in ACS patients with MVD and SVD in modern early invasive strategy era.

Methods

The study population was derived from the HIJ-PROPER study, in which, ACS patients with dyslipidemia were randomized to pitavastatin + ezetimibe therapy (targeting LDL-C less than 70mg/dl) or pitavastatin-monotherapy (targeting LDL-C less than 90mg/dl). In the present study, the treatment efficacy was compared between patients with MVD and SVD. The primary end point was a composite of major advanced cardiovascular events (MACEs), including all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and ischemia driven revascularization.

Results

We identified 1702 eligible patients (mean age, 65.6 years; male, 75.6%); 869 patients (51.1%) had MVD and 833 (48.9%) patients had SVD. The rate of acute revascularization was 96.2%. The incidence of MACEs was significantly higher in MVD group compared to SVD group (43.7% vs 25.9%, hazard ratio 1.95, 95% confidence interval 1.65–2.31, p<0.001). In MVD group, there was no significant difference in MACEs between pitavastatin + ezetimibe therapy and pitavastatin-monotherapy group. (43.5% vs. 43.9%, 1.0, 0.82–1.23; p=0.95). However, in SVD group, pitavastatin + ezetimibe therapy showed significantly fewer MACEs than pitavastatin-monotherapy (34.6% vs. 47.4%, 0.72, 0.55–0.94, p=0.02). (Figure)

Conclusion

This study showed that ACS patients with SVD enjoyed significantly greater benefits from pitavastatin + ezetimibe therapy compared with pitavastatin monotherapy, whereas the patients with MVD did not. High rate of revascularization in acute phase of ACS might affect the efficacy of aggressive lipid-lowering therapy and our results in the present study suggest different treatment approach would be necessary in ACS patients with MVD in modern early invasive strategy era.

P3780Clinical characteristics and outcomes in Japanese atrial fibrillation patients with valvular heart disease: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Previous studies have suggested that valvular atrial fibrillation (VAF), defined as atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with prosthetic valve or rheumatic mitral stenosis, increased the risks of thromboembolism. However, clinical characteristics and outcomes of VAF and non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients with other valvular heart disease (VHD) has not been fully described.

Method

The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients. In the entire cohort (4,454 patients), follow-up data including echocardiography data were available for 3,566 patients. We compared clinical characteristics and outcomes between 131 VAF patients (3.7%), 583 NVAF with VHD (NVAF-VHD: 16.3%) and 2,852 without VHD (Non-VHD: 80.0%).

Result

Compared with Non-VHD, patients in VAF and NVAF-VHD were older (VAF vs. NVAF-VHD vs. Non-VHD: 74.3 vs. 76.9 vs. 72.9 years, respectively; p≤0.0001), more often female (56.5% vs. 51.1% vs. 36.9%, p≤0.0001), less in body weight (54.3 vs. 54.7 vs. 60.6 kg, p≤0.0001), more persistent/permanent type (64.1% vs. 65.4% vs. 45.8%, p≤0.0001), more likely to have heart failure (61.8% vs. 53.2% vs. 23.3%, p≤0.0001), had higher CHADS2 score (2.18 vs. 2.49 vs. 1.96, p≤0.0001) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (3.71 vs. 4.02 vs. 3.26, p≤0.0001), and received oral anticoagulant prescription more frequently (78.6% vs. 63.0% vs. 55.6%, p0.0001). NVAF-VHD was more likely to have previous stroke/systemic embolism (SE) than VHD or Non-VHD (14.5% vs. 23.5% vs. 19.6%, p=0.03). VAF or NVAF-VHD had larger left atrium than Non-VHD (50.5 vs. 47.2 vs. 42.4 mm, p<0.0001). Heart rate, diabetes mellitus and previous bleeding were comparable between the groups.

During the median follow-up of 1,471 days, the incidence rate of stroke/SE was not significantly different between three groups, however, NVAF-VHD showed modestly higher rate than Non-VHD (1.67 vs. 1.96 vs. 1.28 per 100 person-years, respectively, log rank p=0.054) (Figure). The incidence rates of all-cause death (4.62 vs. 5.74 vs. 3.21, p≤0.0001), cardiac death (1.07 vs. 1.01 vs. 0.44, p=0.0003), and those of hospitalization for heart failure (3.29 vs. 4.41 vs. 1.80, p≤0.0001) were higher in NVAF-VHD and VAF, than Non-VHD. After adjustment by relevant factors including the components of CHA2DS2-VASc score and oral anticoagulant use, NVAF-VHD, but not VAF, was an independent predictor for hospitalization for heart failure. Neither VAF nor NVAF-VHD was predictors for all-cause death, cardiac death or stroke/SE.

Figure 1. Incidence of stroke/SE

Conclusion

As compared with Non-VHD, the risk of stroke/SE in VAF and NVAF-VHD was not particularly high; although NVAF-VHD had modestly higher rate than Non-VHD. VAF and NVAF-VHD were associated with higher incidence rates of all-cause death, cardiac death and hospitalization for heart failure. NVAF-VHD was an independent predictor for hospitalization for heart failure in multivariate analysis.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare and Daiichi Sankyo

P1954Prognostic value of the CHADS2 score for adverse cardiovascular events in acute myocardial infarction patients without atrial fibrillation: J-MINUET Substudy

Background

The CHADS2score has mainly been used to predict the likelihood of cerebrovascular accidents in patients with atrial fibrillation. However, increasing attention is being paid to this scoring system for risk stratification of patients with coronary artery disease. We investigated the value of the CHADS2 score in predicting cardiovascular events in Japanese acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients without atrial fibrillation.

Methods

To elucidate the prognostic value of CHADS2score in AMI patients, we analysed data of the Japanese registry of acute Myocardial INfarction diagnosed by Universal dEfiniTion (J-MINUET). This was a prospective and multicenter registry consisting of 3,283 AMI patients, who were hospitalized within 48-hours of onset from July 2012 to March 2014. We calculated the CHADS2 scores for 3,044 patients without clinical evidence of atrial fibrillation. The presence of heart failure was substituted by Killip classification>2 on admission. Clinical follow-up data was obtained for 3 years. In addition to the in-hospital mortality,we evaluated cardiovascular events, defined as all cause deathor non-fatal MI during 3-year follow up periods.

Results

In this study, enrolled patients were classified into low- (point 0–1), intermediate- (point 2–3), and high-score (point 4–6) groups by calculating CHADS2 score. Overall patients with low, intermediate and high score were divided into 1,395, 1,393 and 256 patients, respectively. In-hospital mortality among low, intermediate, and high score groups were 2.8%, 7.4% and 14.8%, respectively (P<0.001). The incidence of cardiovascular eventsamong low, intermediate, and high score groups were 7.8%, 16.3%, 29.3%, respectively (P<0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a significant difference between the groups (Figure). The event rates were significantly higher in both high score and intermediate score group than in low score group (P<0.001). Multivariate Cox hazard analysis identified CHADS2 score (per 1 point) as an independent predictor of cardiovascular events in addition to chronic kidney disease and lower body mass index. (hazard ratio, 1.344; 95% CI, 1.239–1.459; P<0.001). Among the factors constituting CHADS2 score, heart failure and age were identified as independent predictors for in-hospital mortality. With respect to the cardiovascular event during 3 years, heart failure, age, and previous stroke were revealed as significant independent predictors.

Conclusion

This large cohort study indicated that the CHADS2 score is useful for the prediction of in-hospital mortality and the cardiovascular events during 3-year follow up in Japanese AMI patients without atrial fibrillation.

P5663Impact of proteinuria on cardiovascular outcomes in Japanese diabetic patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Previous studies have suggested that proteinuria is independently associated with clinical outcomes in diabetic patients, irrespective of the presence of renal dysfunction. However, data regarding the impact of proteinuria on clinical outcomes in diabetic patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are limited.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in our city in Japan. Follow-up data were available in 4,454 patients, and 634 diabetic patients with available data of proteinuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were examined. We compared the clinical background and outcomes between patients with proteinuria (n=251) and those without (n=383). Then, we divided the patients into 4 subgroups according to the presence of proteinuria and renal dysfunction, and compared the clinical outcomes between groups; group 1 (without proteinuria, eGFR ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m2; n=203), group 2 (with proteinuria, eGFR ≥60; n=96), group 3 (without proteinuria, eGFR <60; n=180), group 4 (with proteinuria, eGFR <60; n=155).

Results

Age was comparable between patients with or without proteinuria. Patients with proteinuria had higher prevalences of previous heart failure (HF), stroke/systemic embolism, hypertension and renal dysfunction. The prevalences of previous myocardial infarction, and major bleeding were similar between two groups. During the median follow-up of 1,505 days, the incidence rates of HF hospitalization (4.1/100 person-years vs. 2.5/100 person-years; p<0.01) and cardiovascular death (1.8/100 person-years vs. 0.4/100 person-years; p<0.01) were higher in patients with proteinuria. When we divided patients into 4 subgroups, the incidences of HF hospitalization (group 1: 1.8/100 person-years vs. group 2: 3.4/100 person-years vs. group 3: 3.8/100 person-years vs. group 4: 4.9/100 person-years; p<0.01) and cardiovascular death (group 1: 0.3/100 person-years vs. group 2: 1.8/100 person-years vs. group 3: 0.5/100 person-years vs. group 4: 2.2/100 person-years; p<0.01) tended to be higher in not only group 3 and group 4 but also group 2 than group 1 (Figure). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis including female gender, age (≥75 years), hypertension, pre-existing HF, renal dysfunction (eGFR <60),low left ventricular ejection fraction (<40%) and proteinuria revealed that proteinuria was an independent determinant of both of HF hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.57, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05–2.34) and cardiovascular death (HR: 3.76, 95% CI: 1.59–8.88).

Figure 1

Conclusion

In Japanese diabetic patients with AF, proteinuria was associated with higher incidences of HF hospitalization and cardiovascular death, irrespective of the presence of renal dysfunction.

P3406Validation of atherothrombotic risk score for secondary prevention in patients with acute myocardial infarction: the J-MINUET study

Background

Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) Risk Score for Secondary Prevention and CREDO-Kyoto Thrombotic Risk Score are contemporary secondary prevention risk scoring systems. However, these scoring systems have not been validated in other populations.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to validate of the TIMI Risk Score for Secondary Prevention and CREDO-Kyoto Thrombotic Risk Score in patients in the early phase of acute myocardial infarction (AMI).

Methods

The Japanese registry of acute Myocardial INfarction diagnosed by Universal dEfiniTion (J-MINUET) is a prospective multicenter registry conducted in 28 Japanese medical institutions. We enrolled 3,283 consecutive patients with AMI who were admitted to participating institutions within 48 hours of symptom onset between July 2012 and May 2014. Among them, 3,070 patients were included in this study after excluding 213 patients who died in the hospital. Clinical follow-up data were obtained up to 3 years. The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause death, non-fatal MI and non-fatal stroke. The patients were stratified by the TIMI Risk Score for Secondary Prevention and CREDO-Kyoto Thrombotic Risk Score.

Results

At the 3-year follow-up, the primary endpoint had occurred in 337 patients (11.0%). All-cause death, non-fatal MI and non-fatal stroke had occurred in 177 (5.8%), 80 (2.6%) and 80 (2.6%) patients, respectively. TIMI Risk Score for Secondary Prevention and CREDO-Kyoto Thrombotic Risk Score showed a graded association with the composite of all-cause death, non-fatal MI and non-fatal stroke at 3 years in the J-MINUET population (Figure).

Validation of atherothrombotic risk

Conclusions

TIMI Risk Score for Secondary Prevention and CREDO-Kyoto Thrombotic Risk Score were shown to be applicable to the patients in the early phase of AMI.

P3758Clinical characteristics and outcomes of atrial fibrillation patients with thrombocytopenia: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Thrombocytopenia is sometimes found in routine blood tests and is reported as a risk factor of major bleeding events and incidence of all-cause death after percutaneous coronary intervention. However, the influence of thrombocytopenia on clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unknown.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate relationship between baseline platelet count and clinical outcomes such as all-cause death, hospitalization for heart failure, and the major bleeding event in AF patients.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Fushimi-ku is densely populated with a total population of 283,000 and is assumed to represent a typical urban community in Japan. Follow-up data with baseline platelet counts were available in 4,179 patients from March 2011 to November 2018. We divided the entire cohort into 3 groups according to baseline platelet level: No thrombocytopenia (≥150,000/μL, n=3,323), Mild thrombocytopenia (100,000–149,999/μL, n=707), and Moderate/severe thrombocytopenia (≤99,999/μL, n=149).

Results

In the entire cohort, the mean age was 73 years, 40% were women, and the mean body weight and body mass index was 59 kg and 23.1 kg/m2, and the median platelet count were 192,000/μL (interquartile range 156,000 to 232,000/μL), respectively.

Compared to No thrombocytopenia, patients with thrombocytopenia were older (No vs. Mild vs. Moderate/severe; 73.3 years vs. 76.5 years vs. 75.8 years, p<0.0001), more likely to have heart failure (27.0% vs. 32.8% vs. 41.6%, p<0.0001), more likely to have chronic renal disease (35.7% vs. 42.6% vs. 57.7%, p<0.0001), and had higher CHADS2 score (2.05 vs. 2.17 vs. 2.34, p=0.0039) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (3.40 vs. 3.52 vs. 3.71, p=0.0416). Patients with thrombocytopenia had lower hemoglobin (13.0 vs. 12.8 vs. 11.6, p<0.0001) than No thrombocytopenia. However, prevalence of previous major bleeding events was comparable between three groups (4.66% vs. 4.67% vs. 5.37%, p=0.92)

On Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence of all-cause death was higher in Mild group (hazard ratio [HR] 1.51; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28–1.77) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.97; 95% CI 2.28–3.80) than No group (Figure 1). The incidence of hospitalization for heart failure was higher in Mild group (HR 1.62; 95% CI 1.31–1.99) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.64; 95% CI 1.76–3.81) than No group (Figure 2). The incidence of major bleeding event was higher in Mild group (HR 1.46; 95% CI 1.11–1.91) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.45; 95% CI 1.41–3.91) than No group (Figure 3).

Conclusion

Thrombocytopenia in AF patients was associated with higher incidence of all-cause death, hospitalization for heart failure, and major bleeding event in the Fushimi AF Registry.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare,and Daiichi-Sankyo

P884Short-term exposure to asian dust is associated with myocardial infarction with nonobstructive coronary arteries

Background

Asian dust (AD) is considered as one of air pollution that increases risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, it has not been elucidated whether AD might increase the risk of myocardial infarction with nonobstructive coronary arteries (MINOCA).

Methods

A time-stratified case-crossover design and conditional logistic regression models was used to investigate the association between short-term exposure to AD and admission of AMI during the spring months in a nationwide administrative Diagnostic Procedure Combination (DPC) database, the Japanese Of All cardiac and vascular Diseases (JROAD)-DPC, between April 2012 through March 2016. MINOCA was defined as AMI having angiography without revascularization and coronary atherosclerosis, whereas myocardial infarction with obstructive coronary artery disease (MI-CAD) was AMI with revascularization and/or coronary atherosclerosis. Data for AD events, air pollutants (PM2.5, Ox, NO2, SO2), and meteorological variables were obtained from the nearest monitoring station of the hospital.

Results

During the study period, 3,233 MINOCA and 27,202 MI-CAD patients were identified from 30,435 AMI patients. Although the occurrence of AD events 2 days before the admission was not associated with the admission of AMI and MI-CAD, the AD events was significantly associated with the admission of MINOCA with adjustment for meteorological variables and each air pollutant. In subgroup analysis of MINOCA, patients without low ADL was associated with higher risk of the admission due to AD exposure than those with low ADL, with significant interaction.

Conclusions

AD events might be more likely to trigger onset of MINOCA than MI-CAD.

Acknowledgement/Funding

None

Relationships between blood pressure lowering therapy and cardiovascular events in hypertensive patients with coronary artery disease and type 2 diabetes mellitus: The HIJ-CREATE sub-study

OBJECTIVE

The effects of intensive blood pressure (BP) lowering for hypertensive patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and diabetes mellitus on their clinical outcomes have not been fully evaluated. The aim was to explore the optimal systolic BP target in such patients in a substudy of a prospective, randomized trial.

METHODS

Of a total of 2049 hypertensive patients with CAD who were enrolled in the HIJ-CREATE study, type 2 diabetes was diagnosed in 780 (38.1%). Titration of antihypertensive agents was performed to reach the target BP of <130/85 mmHg. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of a first major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE). Achieved BP was defined as the mean value of systolic BP in patients who did not develop MACEs and as the mean value of systolic BP prior to MACEs in those who developed MACEs during follow-up.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 4.2 years, the primary outcome occurred in 259 (33.2%) diabetic patients and in 293 (23.1%) non-diabetic patients (p < 0.0001). The diabetic patients were divided into quartiles based on the mean systolic BP during follow-up. The relationships between achieved BP and the incidence of MACEs did not follow a J-shaped curve. Intensive systolic BP lowering to less than 120 mmHg did not correlate with an increased risk of MACEs.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that the intensive BP lowering may not impair patients' clinical courses even in a high-risk population. The establishment of an optimal management strategy for hypertensive patients with diabetes and CAD is essential.

Phase Angle Is a Useful indicator for Muscle Function in Older Adults

AIM

Phase angle (PhA) can be determined through bioelectrical impedance analysis and is a unique variable for skeletal muscle. The objective of this study was to evaluate the relationship between PhA and muscle mass/quality in older adults. In addition, we attempted to determine the cutoff value of PhA for poor muscle function.

METHODS

Community-dwelling Japanese older men (n=285, 81.1±7.1 years) and women (n=724, 80.4±6.8 years) participated in this study and were classified into four groups based on the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (normal, presarcopenia, dynapenia, and sarcopenia). We measured PhA using bioelectrical impedance analysis, muscle quantity and quality indicators using ultrasonography, muscle strength, and physical performance and compared them in four groups. We also tried to determine the cutoff value of PhA for poor muscle function.

RESULTS

We found a significant difference in PhA among the four groups in men (P<0.05), and the dynapenia (3.61±0.75°) and sarcopenia groups (3.40±0.74°) showed significantly lower values than the normal group (4.50±0.86°) (P<0.05), but not the presarcopenia group (4.12±0.85°). In women, a significant difference was also observed among the four groups (P<0.05), and the dynapenia (3.41±0.65°) and sarcopenia groups (3.31±0.66°) showed significantly lower measures than the normal group (4.14±0.71°) (P<0.05), but not the presarcopenia group (4.07±0.51°). The receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis indicated the best cutoff value of PhA (men: 4.05°, women: 3.55°) to discriminate sarcopenia and dynapenia from normal and presarcopenia.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that PhA is a useful indicator for muscle function.