Myocardial extracellular space expansion is related to burden of premature ventricular contractions in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy without non-sustained ventricular tachycardia

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

Current guidelines suggest the presence of non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (NSVT) as a risk factor of sudden cardiac death in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). However, high burden of premature ventricular contraction (PVC) may reflect myocardial fibrosis although the absence of NSVT.

Purpose

We investigated the association between PVC burden and myocardial extracellular space expansion in HCM patients without NSVT.

Methods

Of the 212 patients prospectively enrolled to the HCM registry of genetics, 84 patients were evaluated with both cardiac magnetic resonance and 24hr holter. Among them, 71 patients (58 males, mean age: 71 ± 13 years) have not been diagnosed with NSVT.

Results

Patients with NSVT (n = 13) showed more impaired LA functional indices and higher myocardial fibrosis burden compared with patients without NSVT (n = 71). Among patients who have not been diagnosed with NSVT, patients with late gadolinium enhancement (LGE, n = 46) had a higher total beats (109 ± 332 vs. 7 ± 13 beats per a day, p = 0.003) and burden (0.114 ± 0.225 vs. 0.008 ± 0.014 %, p = 0.003) of PVC during 24-hour compared with patients without LGE (n = 25). %LGE was correlated with total beats of PVC (r = 0.358, p = 0.002) and PVC burden (r = 0.377, p = 0.001). ECV also correlated with total beats of PVC (r = 0.387, p = 0.001) and PVC burden (r = 0.401, p = 0.001). The optimal cutoff value for PVC number was 45 (37.0% of sensitivity and 100% of specificity) with 0.733 of the area under the ROC curve (p < 0.001). Pathogenic or likely pathogenic sarcomere mutation was higher in NSVT group than no NSVT group (p < 0.05), and had a higher tendency in higher PVC burden group (0.05 < p < 0.1) than lower PVC burden group.

Conclusions

Total beats and burden of PVC are significantly related to increase in myocardial fibrosis in HCM patients without NSVT.

Abstract Figure. Mechanism of ventricular arrhythmia

Developing a predictive model for distinguishing invasive nail unit melanoma from nail unit melanoma in situ

BACKGROUND

Clinical information that distinguishes invasive nail unit melanoma from nail unit melanoma in situ before surgery would aid physicians in the decision-making process and estimating prognosis. However, limited information is available on the detailed demographic and dermoscopic features of invasive nail unit melanoma and nail unit melanoma in situ for differential diagnosis.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the demographic data and dermoscopic features of invasive nail unit melanoma and nail unit melanoma in situ and establish a predictive model for differentiating these two forms of nail unit melanoma.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study of ninety-seven patients diagnosed with nail unit melanoma (59 in situ and 38 invasive cases) in four healthcare centres in South Korea (three tertiary referral hospitals and one second referral hospital) from March 2014 to December 2019.

RESULTS

A multivariable analysis revealed that ulcer (odds ratio = 21.6, confidence interval = 2.1-219.8, P = 0.009), total melanonychia (odds ratio = 17.6, confidence interval = 3.0-104.0, P = 0.002), nail plate destruction (odds ratio = 10.9, confidence interval = 2.0-59.4, P = 0.006) and polychromia (odds ratio = 5.3, confidence interval = 1.36-20.57, P = 0.016) were distinctive dermoscopic features of invasive nail unit melanoma. A predictive model with scores ranging from 0 to 6 points demonstrated a reliable diagnostic value (C-statistic = 0.902) in differentiating invasive nail unit melanoma from nail unit melanoma in situ.

CONCLUSIONS

Invasive nail unit melanoma and nail unit melanoma in situ have different dermoscopic features. A predictive model based on morphologic dermoscopic features could aid in differentiating invasive nail unit melanoma from nail unit melanoma in situ.

Search for Sub-eV Sterile Neutrinos at RENO

We report a search result for a light sterile neutrino oscillation with roughly 2200 live days of data in the RENO experiment. The search is performed by electron antineutrino (ν[over ¯]_{e}) disappearance taking place between six 2.8 GW_{th} reactors and two identical detectors located at 294 m (near) and 1383 m (far) from the center of the reactor array. A spectral comparison between near and far detectors can explore reactor ν[over ¯]_{e} oscillations to a light sterile neutrino. An observed spectral difference is found to be consistent with that of the three-flavor oscillation model. This yields limits on sin^{2}2θ_{14} in the 10^{-4}≲|Δm_{41}^{2}|≲0.5  eV^{2} region, free from reactor ν[over ¯]_{e} flux and spectrum uncertainties. The RENO result provides the most stringent limits on sterile neutrino mixing at |Δm_{41}^{2}|≲0.002  eV^{2} using the ν[over ¯]_{e} disappearance channel.

Comparison of Dynamic Contrast-Enhancement Parameters between Gadobutrol and Gadoterate Meglumine in Posttreatment Glioma: A Prospective Intraindividual Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Differences in molecular properties between one-molar and half-molar gadolinium-based contrast agents are thought to affect parameters obtained from dynamic contrast-enhanced imaging. The aim of our study was to investigate differences in dynamic contrast-enhanced parameters between one-molar nonionic gadobutrol and half-molar ionic gadoterate meglumine in patients with posttreatment glioma.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This prospective study enrolled 32 patients who underwent 2 20-minute dynamic contrast-enhanced examinations, one with gadobutrol and one with gadoterate meglumine. The model-free parameter of area under the signal intensity curve from 30 to 1100 seconds and the Tofts model-based pharmacokinetic parameters were calculated and compared intraindividually using paired t tests. Patients were further divided into progression (n = 12) and stable (n = 20) groups, which were compared using Student t tests.

RESULTS

Gadobutrol and gadoterate meglumine did not show any significant differences in the area under the signal intensity curve or pharmacokinetic parameters of K ^trans, V_e, V_p, or K_ep (all P > .05). Gadobutrol showed a significantly higher mean wash-in rate (0.83 ± 0.64 versus 0.29 ± 0.63, P = .013) and a significantly lower mean washout rate (0.001 ± 0.0001 versus 0.002 ± 0.002, P = .02) than gadoterate meglumine. Trends toward higher area under the curve, K ^trans, V_e, V_p, wash-in, and washout rates and lower K_ep were observed in the progression group in comparison with the treatment-related-change group, regardless of the contrast agent used.

CONCLUSIONS

Model-free and pharmacokinetic parameters did not show any significant differences between the 2 gadolinium-based contrast agents, except for a higher wash-in rate with gadobutrol and a higher washout rate with gadoterate meglumine, supporting the interchangeable use of gadolinium-based contrast agents for dynamic contrast-enhanced imaging in patients with posttreatment glioma.

Effects of anti-resorptive drugs on implant survival and peri-implantitis in patients with existing osseointegrated dental implants: a retrospective cohort study

The effect of anti-resorptive drug (ARD) usage among patients with successful dental implant osseointegration is controversial. This study showed an increased risk of implant failure in ARD users. Risk factors included pre-existing marginal bone loss, overdenture, diabetes, and a short interval between implant placement and ARD administration.

INTRODUCTION

This retrospective study aimed to determine whether anti-resorptive drug (ARD) usage increased risk of implant failure among patients with successful implant osseointegration. Additionally, the study investigated risk factors that affected implant survival rate in ARD users.

METHODS

Eighty ARD users with 344 implants who had more than 12 months of follow-up from the initiation of ARD treatment during the period between 2008 and 2017 were included, along with 80 non-ARD users from the same period. The primary outcome was dental implant survival. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazard models were used for survival analysis.

RESULTS

Average follow-up was 85.3 months. Implant survival rates were 89.83% in ARD users and 96.03% in non-ARD users. In the univariate Cox proportional hazard model, risk of implant failure was significantly higher in patients with pre-existing marginal bone loss (MBL), diabetes, and concurrent bone augmentation. However, risk of implant failure was significantly lower when the interval between implant placement and ARD administration was < 36 months. Compared with overdenture, single crown and fixed splinted users had lower risk of implant failure. In multivariate analysis, variables including pre-existing MBL, diabetes, < 36-month interval between implant placement and ARD treatment, and usage of fixed splinted prosthesis were significantly associated with increased risk of implant failure.

CONCLUSIONS

ARD administration after implant osseointegration was correlated with a reduced implant survival rate. Pre-existing MBL, diabetes, type of final prosthesis, and the interval between implant placement and initiation of ARD administration influenced risk of implant failure.

Clinical features of subungual melanoma according to the extent of Hutchinson's nail sign: a retrospective single-centre study

BACKGROUND

Hutchinson's nail sign (HS) is among the diagnostic criteria for subungual melanoma (SUM). However, there is minimal evidence supporting the overall clinical significance of HS in SUM.

OBJECTIVES

To identify clinicopathological features of SUM according to the extent of HS.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study was performed with consecutive SUM patients at a single centre from January 2006 to December 2017. The extent of HS was defined by the number of affected nail folds (range 0-4). Comparison groups were organized as follows: patients with HS (affecting ≥1 nail folds) vs. without HS; patients with HS affecting ≥2 nail folds vs. HS affecting <2 nail folds; patients with HS affecting ≥3 nail folds vs. HS affecting <3 nail folds. Clinicopathological characteristics of SUM were compared between the groups.

RESULTS

Sixty-one SUM patients were included. Forty-six (75.4%) exhibited HS; 22 (47.8%) on a toe and 24 (52.2%) on a finger. In multivariate analysis, nail destruction [hazard ratio (HR), 10.00; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.61-38.30; P = 0.001] was significantly associated with the presence of HS and amputation was significantly associated with HS affecting ≥2 nail folds (HR, 4.75; 95% CI, 1.36-16.61; P = 0.015). High T stage (HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.20-2.85; P = 0.005, Fig. 2) was significantly associated with HS appearing in ≥3 nail folds.

CONCLUSION

Besides its value of detecting SUM, HS provides useful clinical information. The number of nail folds exhibiting HS could be a useful clinical clue for planning therapeutic strategies for SUM.

Effects of the chemical and physical reaction conditions on the formation of nanocomposites made of starch and stearic acid

To evaluate the reaction conditions on the physicochemical properties of composites of starch and stearic acid, composites were prepared under reaction conditions that varied the starch concentration (0.5, 1, 3%), stearic acid addition level (5, 10, 25 mg), stearic acid addition rate (2, 4, 8, 16 mL/min), and temperature (70, 80, 90 °C). All conditions significantly impacted the recovery, mean particle size, and zeta potential of samples. Specifically, a higher starch concentration and temperature significantly increased the recovery of stearic acid, but the mean particle size of the composite increased with higher stearic acid addition level and starch concentration. Stearic acid content in the composite exhibited a significant correlation with zeta potential (r = 0.818, p = 0.001). During enzymatic digestion for 20 min, 8% of the stearic acid was released from the composite. Approximately 10 % of the stearic acid was degraded after 36 h of storage at 50°C under 75 % relative humidity.

Characteristics of a "rebound" in smoking after a tobacco price increase

SETTING: In Korea, the price of a pack of cigarettes increased 80% from US$2.2 to US$4 in 2015. The smoking rate decreased in 2015. However, it rebounded in the following year.OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the characteristics associated with this rebound in smoking rate following the price increase.DESIGN: We analysed the KNHANES (Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey) data of 44 015 participants to evaluate current smoking rate and the proportion of smokers planning to quit within 6 months from 2010 to 2016. We also performed focused analysis of 18 303 participants between 2014 and 2016 KNHANES to determine the current smoking rate according to their demographic and socio-economic characteristics.RESULTS: Individuals who were older, female, unemployed, had a low household income or a shorter total smoking period, or smoked less per day were more likely to stop or reduce smoking after the price increase. The current smoking rate increased to 18.8% in 2016 from 17.7% in 2015; this difference was significant in men, those in the lower-middle quartile of household income, those with a middle-school or college education, and those who were employed.CONCLUSION: The rebound in smoking after the price increase was significantly related to the individual's sex, income, education and employment status.

Poor nutritional intake is a dominant factor for weight loss in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

<sec id="st1"> <title>SETTING</title> Increase in energy expenditure and/or decrease in nutritional intake leads to low body mass index (BMI). The balance between energy expenditure and nutritional intake has rarely been evaluated in a large population of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). </sec> <sec id="st2"> <title>OBJECTIVE</title> To evaluate BMI, nutritional intake and physical activity and the association of these factors with the severity of airflow obstruction in COPD patients. </sec> <sec id="st3"> <title>DESIGN</title> We analysed the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) data set from 2012 to 2015. </sec> <sec id="st4"> <title>RESULTS</title> Among the 9682 individuals (1601 with COPD and 8081 without COPD) recruited, BMI was lower in COPD patients than in non-COPD participants (males, 23.86 ± 2.76 vs. 24.28 ± 2.80, P < 0.001; females, 23.63 ± 2.94 vs. 23.98 ± 3.10, P < 0.05). As the stage of COPD advanced, BMI, intake of nutrients (food, water and carbohydrates) and total energy levels declined in COPD patients. Total time spent walking in the preceding week decreased with advancing COPD stage in male patients with COPD. COPD severity was an important risk factor for the limitation of physical activity due to respiratory problems (OR 3.92, 95%CI 2.77∼5.34, P < 0.001). </sec> <sec id="st5"> <title>CONCLUSION</title> Patients with COPD had a low nutritional intake with little physical activity, which worsened with advancing COPD stage. In late-stage COPD, impaired nutritional intake outweighed the decrease in physical activity, resulting in weight loss. </sec>.

STIM1 knock-down decreases the affinity of obinutuzumab for CD20 by altering CD20 localization to Triton-soluble membrane

Obinutuzumab is thought to exert its effects through its high antibody-dependent cellular cytotoxicity (ADCC) via glyco-engineering of the Fc region. In addition, obinutuzumab causes direct binding-induced cell death (DCD) only by specifically binding to its target CD20, a Ca²⁺ channel. However, the specific features of CD20 related to obinutuzumab binding-induction of cell death are not clearly understood. In this study, we evaluated the relationship between the Ca²⁺ channel features of CD20 as a store-operated Ca²⁺ channel (SOC) and obinutuzumab binding-induced cell death. Ca²⁺ channel function and biochemical analysis revealed that CD20 is an Orai1- and stromal interaction molecule (STIM1)-dependent Ca²⁺ pore. However, binding of obinutuzumab on CD20 did not have any effect on Ca²⁺ influx activity of CD20; the direct cell death rate mediated by obinutuzumab binding was almost equivalent with or without the extracellular Ca²⁺ condition. Given the apparent interaction between STIM1 and CD20, we observed Triton-X solubilized obinutuzumab-bound CD20 accompanied by STIM1. Subsequently, obinutuzumab binding and cell death were decreased by STIM1 knock-down in Ramos B cells. Thus, STIM1 directly contributes to cell death by increasing the affinity of cells for obinutuzumab by transferring CD20 to the Triton-soluble membrane region.

P4758Label adherence of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants and clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: A nationwide study

Background

Dose adjustment of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) is indicated in some patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), based on selected patient factors or concomitant medications.

Purpose

We assessed the frequency of label adherence of NOAC dosing among AF patients and the associations between off-label NOAC dosing and clinical outcomes in real-world clinical practice.

Methods

We evaluated 53,649 AF patients treated with a NOAC using Korean National Health Insurance Service database during the period from January 2013 to December 2016. NOAC doses were classified as either underdosed or overdosed, consistent with U.S. Food and Drug Administration labeling. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to investigate the effectiveness and safety outcomes including stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality.

Results

Overall, 16,757 NOAC-treated patients (31.2%) were underdosed, 4,492 were overdosed (8.4%), and 32,400 (60.4%) were dosed appropriately according to drug labeling. Compared with patients with label adherence, those who were underdosed or overdosed were older (71±8 and 75±7 years of age vs. 70±9 years of age, respectively; p<0.001), more likely female (39% and 53% vs. 38%, respectively; p<0.001), and had higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores (4.6±1.7 and 5.3±1.7 vs. 4.5±1.8, respectively; p<0.001). NOAC overdosing was associated with increased risk for stroke or systemic embolism (5.76 vs. 4.03 events/100 patient-years, p<0.001), major bleeding (4.77 vs. 2.94 events/100 patient-years, p<0.001), and all-cause mortality (5.43 vs. 3.05 events/100 patient-years, p<0.001) compared with label-adherent use.

Figure 1

Conclusion

In routine clinical practice, a significant proportion (almost 2 in 5) of AF patients received NOAC doses inconsistent with drug labeling. NOAC overdosing is associated with increased risk for stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality in Asian patient with AF.

P783Guideline-directed therapy at discharge is important in patients with heart failure and atrial fibrillation

Background

There are limited and conflicting data regarding the prognostic implication of guideline-directed therapy, especially in heart failure (HF) patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Thus, this study evaluated the relationship between guideline adherence to recommended therapy at discharge and relevant 60-day clinical outcomes in acute HF patients with AF having reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) or preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

Methods and results

Of 5,625 acute HF patients in the Korean Acute Heart Failure Registry, 2,071 with documented AF (HFrEF, n=986; HFpEF, n=1,085) were separately analysed. A guideline adherence score was calculated for the prescription of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, β-blockers, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, and anticoagulants. In HFrEF patients with AF, there was significant trend of increase in mortality (p for trend <0.001) and composite endpoint (p for trend = 0.002) according to guideline adherence. Poor adherence was associated with a significantly high risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 4.75; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.77–12.74) and composite endpoint (HR, 2.36; 95% CI, 1.33–4.18). In HFpEF patients with AF, there was a significant increasing trend for rehospitalization (p for trend = 0.04) and composite endpoint (p for trend = 0.03). However, the beneficial effect of good guideline adherence was statistically non-significant for all clinical outcomes

Conclusion

Better adherence to guidelines was associated with a better 60-day prognosis in both HFrEF and HFpEF patients with AF. However, the beneficial effect of guideline adherence was more pronounced in HFrEF patients with AF.

P5660Clinical impact of polycythemia on cardiovascular outcome from the general population: a nationwide cohort study

Background

Although adverse effect of anemia had been reported, effect of polycythemia on cardiovascular outcome from the general population had not been revealed yet.

Methods

We included 451,107 subjects who received national health examinations from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-based National Sample Cohort from 2009–2013. Medical records were screened from January 2002 to investigate the subjects' disease-free baseline period. They were followed until December 2013. We divided male and female subjects into four categories each based on hemoglobin level (normal, moderate to severe and mild anemia, polycythemia) to assess each outcome.

Results

During 1,735,964 person·years, 12,107 major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), 862 incident acute myocardial infarction (MI), 5,850 incident ischemic stroke, and 2,430 incident atrial fibrillation (AF) were observed. Compared to normal hemoglobin range group, polycythemia group showed higher MACCE (HR=1.23 [1.12–1.35] in male, HR=1.79 [1.20–2.67] in female, each p<0.001), incident MI (HR=1.37 [1.05–1.79] in male, HR=3.46 [1.06–14.00] in female, each p<0.001), incident ischemic stroke (HR=1.27 [1.10–1.46] in male, HR=1.72 [1.02–2.91] in female, each p<0.001), and incident AF (HR=1.46 [1.21–1.74] in male, HR=2.13 [1.03–4.77] in female, each p<0.001). Each outcome was linearly increased with the increase of hemoglobin among subjects with polycythemia (p<0.001), and with the decrease of hemoglobin among subjects with anemia (each p<0.001, U-shaped relationship). These relationship was more profound in obese female younger than 60-year-old.

Conclusion

Not only anemia but also polycythemia were significantly associated with higher rate of MACCE including death, incident MI, ischemic stroke, and AF among the general population.

P1875Nonspecific intraventricular conduction delay is associated with future occurrence of atrial fibrillation in patients with structurally normal heart and sinus rhythm

Background

This study aimed to elucidate long-term prognosis of nonspecific intraventricular conduction delay (NIVCD) in patients with structurally normal heart.

Methods

We included 107,838 patients (age, 52.1±15.5 years; men, 46.8%) who underwent electrocardiography in outpatient clinics or medical checkup (model 1). NIVCD was defined as QRS duration ≥110 ms and incompatibility with bundle branch block. The patients with structurally normal heart and sinus rhythm were assigned to the NIVCD group and normal QRS group according to propensity score with matching variables of age, sex, hypertension, and diabetes (model 2), and additional PR interval (model 3). Baseline characteristics, electrocardiographic parameters, and clinical outcomes were compared in model 1, 2, and 3, respectively.

Results

In model 1, the frequencies of male and preexisting atrial fibrillation (AF) were significantly higher in the NIVCD group than in the normal QRS group. In model 2, sinus rate and PR interval were significantly slower and longer in the NIVCD group than in the normal QRS group. In model 3, cumulative incidence of AF was significantly higher in the NIVCD group than in the normal QRS group during follow-up of 8.8±2.9 years (Figure). NIVCD significantly increased risk of AF (hazard ratio, 2.571; 95% confidence interval, 1.074–6.156; p=0.034). NIVCD did not significantly increase risk of sick sinus syndrome, complete atrioventricular block, and heart failure.

Atrial fibrillation-free survival

Conclusions

NIVCD is associated with slow sinus rate and prolonged PR interval. NIVCD is an independent risk factor of AF in patients with structurally normal heart.

208Effect of hypertension duration and systolic blood pressure on dementia in patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with a higher risk for cognitive impairment and dementia, with or without a history of clinical stroke. There are a paucity of data on the associations of hypertension duration and blood pressure (BP) level with risk of dementia in patients with AF.

Purpose

We examined associations of duration of hypertension and secondly, systolic blood pressure (SBP) levels with incidence of dementia among patients with AF.

Methods

We enrolled a total 196,388 patients aged ≥50 years who were newly diagnosed as AF and undergoing hypertension treatment from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database (2005–2016). Starting from AF diagnosis, participants were followed up until the date of dementia, death, or December 31, 2016. To incorporate the effect of BP level and hypertension duration changes over time on dementia incidence, we constructed time-updated multivariable Cox models in which BP levels and hypertension duration were updated at each participants' regular national health examination visits (at 0–7 years of follow-up). Similarly, age, BP medications, and health-related behaviors were included as time-varying covariates in these models.

Results

During 1,016,744 person-years of follow-up, there were 32,692 dementia events. A cubic spline curve using continuous hypertension duration measures suggested a linear association between increase of hypertension duration and dementia risk. One-year increase of hypertension duration increased the adjusted risk of dementia with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.17 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13–1.22]. In patients with hypertension duration <6 years, SBP of ≥140 mmHg was significantly associated with higher dementia risk, compared to SBP of <130 mmHg (in patients with hypertension duration <3 years: adjusted HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.01–1.16; and in those with 3 ≤ hypertension duration <6 years: adjusted HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.07–1.20), whereas no significant association between SBP and dementia risk in those with hypertension duration ≥6 years.

SBP and dementia in different duration

Conclusion

In patients with AF, the increase of hypertension duration was strongly associated with increased risk of dementia. Uncontrolled SBP was also associated with higher dementia risk. But, this effect of SBP might be attenuated in patients with longer hypertension duration. These findings suggest more emphasis needed on BP control in AF patients with earlier phase of hypertension (duration <6 years).

Acknowledgement/Funding

The Korean Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (NRF-2017R1A2B3003303) and the Korean Ministry of Health & Welfare (HI16C0058, HI15C1200)

P5710Clinical applications of machine learning for prediction of incident atrial fibrillation from the general population: a nationwide cohort study

Background

To evaluate the ability of machine learning algorithms to predict incident atrial fibrillation (AF) from the general population using health examination items.

Methods

We included 483,343 subjects who received national health examinations from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-based National Sample Cohort (NHIS-NSC). We trained deep neural network model (DNN) of a deep learning system and decision tree model (DT) of a machine learning system using clinical variables and health examination items (including age, sex, body mass index, history of heart failure, hypertension or diabetes, baseline creatinine, and smoking and alcohol intake habits) to predict incident AF using a training dataset of 341,771 subjects constructed from the NHIS-NSC database. The DNN and DT were validated using an independent test dataset of 141,572 remaining subjects. C-indices of DNN and DT for prediction of incident AF were compared with that of conventional logistic regression model.

Results

During 1,874,789 person·years (mean±standard-deviation age 47.7±14.4 years, 49.6% male), 3,282 subjects with incident AF were observed. In the validation dataset, 1,139 subjects with incident AF were observed. The c-indices of the DNN and DT for incident AF prediction were 0.828 [0.819–0.836] and 0.835 [0.825–0.844], and were significantly higher (p<0.01) than conventional logistic regression model (c-index=0.789 [0.784–0.794]).

Conclusions

Application of machine learning using simple clinical variables and health examination items was helpful to predict incident AF in the general population. Prospective study is warranted to construct an individualized precision medicine.

64Risk of dementia in patients treated with non-vitamin k antagonist oral anticoagulant or warfarin for nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

Background

Evidence is accumulating that use of oral anticoagulants (OACs) decreases the risk of dementia in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), but it is unclear if there is a difference between non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) and warfarin in protecting against dementia.

Purpose

To compare the risk of dementia between patients taking either NOAC or warfarin using a nationwide cohort data covering the entire Korean population.

Methods

Using the Korean national health insurance service database, 68,984 new OAC users with non-valvular AF aged ≥50 years and no prior diagnosis of dementia were identified during the period of 2013–2016 (39,687 NOAC users and 29,297 warfarin users). Starting from OAC initiation, participants were followed up until the date of dementia, death, or December 31, 2016. We compared the rates of dementia in 1:1 propensity score-matched cohorts of NOAC (n=18,925) and warfarin users (n=18,925).

Results

During the 52,259 person-years of follow-up, there were 2,750 dementia events. Use of NOAC was associated with significant lower risk of dementia [hazard ratio (HR) 0.75, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69–0.81], compared with warfarin. The risk reduction was prominent for vascular dementia (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.52–0.71), whereas there was no significant difference in the risk of Alzheimer dementia (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.83–1.02). Restricting the analyses to patients with no stroke diagnosis prior to OAC initiation (primary prevention) showed no significant difference between NOAC and warfarin in any types of dementia, but in the subgroup with prior stroke (secondary prevention), NOAC significantly reduced the risk of overall (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.63–0.78) and vascular dementia (HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.49–0.69).

Subgroup analysis according to stroke Hx Patient N Overall dementia Alzheimer dementia Vascular dementia HR (95% CI) P for interaction HR (95% CI) P for interaction HR (95% CI) P for interaction Total 37,850 0.75 (0.69–0.81) 0.92 (0.83–1.02) 0.60 (0.52–0.71) Without prior stroke 24,773 0.90 (0.78–1.05) 0.948 0.98 (0.83–1.15) 0.235 0.85 (0.56–1.28) 0.863 With prior stroke 13,077 0.70 (0.63–0.78) 0.90 (0.79–1.03) 0.59 (0.49–0.69) CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio.

KM curves of dementia incidence

Conclusion

In this propensity-weighted nationwide cohort of non-valvular AF patients, NOAC was associated with reduced risk of dementia, compared with warfarin. This association was the most pronounced for vascular dementia in patients with prior stroke.

Acknowledgement/Funding

The Korean Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (NRF-2017R1A2B3003303) and the Korean Ministry of Health & Welfare (HI16C0058, HI15C1200)

P1027The risk of dementia and catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation: a nationwide cohort study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with all forms of dementia, including Alzheimer's disease. Catheter ablation of AF reduces the number of AF episodes, prolongs the time in sinus rhythm, and improves quality of life. However, it is still unclear if catheter ablation for AF improve cognitive function and prevent dementia. Our objective was to compare long-term outcome regarding dementia and type of dementia in AF patients with and without ablation, and about long-term exposure to anticoagulants.

Methods

We identified all 801,701 patients with a diagnosis of AF from 2006 to 2015 in the Korean national health insurance service database. During ten years, 10,979 AF ablations were performed among 9,768 individuals. Propensity scores for the likelihood of AF ablation were obtained by logistic regression. Propensity score (PS) matching was used to construct two cohorts of equal size (n=9,768) with similar characteristics in 16 dimensions.

Results

Patients who had undergone catheter ablation were younger (57.2 vs. 65.6 years, P<0.001) and healthier (mean CHA2DS2-VASc scores 2.5±1.7 vs. 3.6±2.1, p<0.001) than other patients with AF. Mean follow-up was 5.5±3.1 years. After propensity score matching, in the ablated group, 184 patients suffered dementia compared with 650 in the matched non-ablated (annual rates 0.42 vs. 1.08%, P<0.001). While a total of 134 ablated and 379 non-ablated patients had Alzheimer disease (annual rates 0.31 vs. 0.62%, p<0.001), 40 ablated and 191 non-ablated patients had vascular disease (annual rates 0.09 vs. 0.31%, p<0.001). After multivariable adjustments, catheter ablation was associated with lower risk of dementia (hazard ratio [HR] 0.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.37–0.58), lower risk of Alzheimer disease (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.46–0.79) and lower risk of vascular dementia (HR 0.27, 95% CI 0.19–0.38). Although the reduction of dementia and Alzheimer disease was observed after AF ablation regardless of thromboembolic risk, vascular dementia was reduced only among patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2 (HR 0.29, 95% CI 0.20–0.42).

The risk of dementia, RFCA vs. no-RFCA Type Propensity score matched ablation group vs. no ablation group adjusted HR (95% CI) P-value Overall dementia 0.46 (0.37–0.58) <0.001 Alzheimer dementia 0.61 (0.46–0.79) <0.001 Vascular dementia 0.27 (0.19–0.38) <0.001

Conclusion

Ablation may be associated with a lower incidence of dementia and both type of dementia in patients with AF. This finding appears more pronounced in patients with high thromboembolic risk factors.

Fuel-Composition Dependent Reactor Antineutrino Yield at RENO

We report a fuel-dependent reactor electron antineutrino (ν[over ¯]_{e}) yield using six 2.8 GW_{th} reactors in the Hanbit nuclear power plant complex, Yonggwang, Korea. The analysis uses 850 666 ν[over ¯]_{e} candidate events with a background fraction of 2.0% acquired through inverse beta decay (IBD) interactions in the near detector for 1807.9 live days from August 2011 to February 2018. Based on multiple fuel cycles, we observe a fuel ^{235}U dependent variation of measured IBD yields with a slope of (1.51±0.23)×10^{-43}  cm^{2}/fission and measure a total average IBD yield of (5.84±0.13)×10^{-43}  cm^{2}/fission. The hypothesis of no fuel-dependent IBD yield is ruled out at 6.6σ. The observed IBD yield variation over ^{235}U isotope fraction does not show significant deviation from the Huber-Mueller (HM) prediction at 1.3 σ. The measured fuel-dependent variation determines IBD yields of (6.15±0.19)×10^{-43} and (4.18±0.26)×10^{-43}  cm^{2}/fission for two dominant fuel isotopes ^{235}U and ^{239}Pu, respectively. The measured IBD yield per ^{235}U fission shows the largest deficit relative to the HM prediction. Reevaluation of the ^{235}U IBD yield per fission may mostly solve the reactor antineutrino anomaly (RAA) while ^{239}Pu is not completely ruled out as a possible contributor to the anomaly. We also report a 2.9 σ correlation between the fractional change of the 5 MeV excess and the reactor fuel isotope fraction of ^{235}U.

Abstract P3-03-31: Is sentinel lymph node biopsy necessary in all patients with early breast cancer?

Background and objectives : Since the results of the American College of Surgeons Oncology Group Z0011 published, the criteria for applying axillary lymph node (ALN) dissection was relaxed among early breast cancer patients who were scheduled for breast conserving surgery, adjuvant chemotherapy therapy, and adjuvant radiation therapy. SLNB criteria may be established if pathologic nodal status can be predicted. The aim of this study was to develop a nomogram for preoperative prediction of axillary node metastasis.

Methods: The records of 1650 patients with T1, T2 primary invasive breast cancer who were treated between January 2013 and September 2016 were selected from the medical database of Yonsei University (Seoul, South Korea). Those whom a preoperative diagnosis of axillary node metastases were excluded. Two nomogram that predicted three or more axillary metastasis and one or more axillary metastasis were developed using a binary logistic regression model with a training cohort. Internal validation was carried out adopting bootstrap method by validation cohort 500 times resampling.

Result: A total of 82 (4.8%) patients had three or more ALNs metastasis. Three hundred seventy five (17.4%) patients had one or more ALNs metastasis. Axillary metastasis was associated with Preoperative ALN suspicious image findings, clinical tumor size, Number of neoplastic foci, estrogen receptor status, Ki-67 expression, tumor marker. The nomogram was developed based on the clinical and statistically significant predictors. It had good discrimination performance (AUC 0.79, 95% CI, 0.73–0.85), (AUC 0.71, 95% CI, 0.67–0.74) and calibration fit.

Conclusion:Our nomogram might help predict the ALN metastasis in breast cancer patients. Patients with a low probability of ALN metastasis could be spared SLNB.

Citation Format: Yoon KH, Lee KB, Lee H, Lee J, Kim JY, Park HS, Park S, Kim SI, Cho YU, Park B-W. Is sentinel lymph node biopsy necessary in all patients with early breast cancer? [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P3-03-31.

Abstract OT2-01-03: A prospective pilot study of simultaneous robotic assisted nipple sparing mastectomy and immediate reconstruction

Endoscopic breast surgery was expected to be an adequate technique to complete cancer clearance and preservation of the patient's body image. However, this technique has limitations including incomplete internal movements and unstable vision of a two dimensional camera due to inflexible endoscopic instruments especially during the skin flap formation. High resolution, ten-fold image magnification, and three-dimensional optics of robotic surgery help overcome the limitations of endoscopic surgery, and thus robotic surgery has been adopted in a wide range of intracorporeal procedures including breast surgery. However, few studies have evaluated feasibility and safety of robotic assisted nipple sparing mastectomy (RANSM) and immediate breast reconstruction (IBR) for the treatment of breast cancer. There were not any investigation to assess patients' satisfaction of cosmetic effect after performing RANSM and IBR. This study is aim to verify the feasibility and the safety of RANSM and IBR and to analyze cosmetic effect of the procedure and satisfaction of patients. The target number of enrollments is 15 patients. Patients who are diagnosed with early breast cancer or BRCA 1/2 mutation carriers are enrolled. Female patients over 20 years old who are candidates to preserve nipple areolar complex and considered to perform reconstruction with implants are prospectively collected. Written informed consents are mandatory. Patients who are considered the high possibility of postoperative radiation therapy according to preoperative stage are not included in this study. We exclude patients who want to undergo other methods of breast reconstruction than breast reconstruction with implants. Patients will undergo RANSM and IBR through a single axillary skin incision simultaneously. Regular follow-up at 1 month and 6 months after RANSM and IBR is scheduled to record recovery of a patient, amount of a drain, date of drain removal, and postoperative complications. Patient satisfaction questionnaire will be completed on the last follow-up day. To evaluate the safety of robotic assisted surgery, the oncologic safety (margin status of nipple areolar complex), postoperative recovery of a patient, and postoperative complications are investigated. We compare preoperative and postoperative 6 month photographs of patients and estimate the surgical outcome by objective indicators to evaluate the cosmetic grading by plastic surgeons. Patients' satisfaction are assessed by questionnaire (BREAST-Q) at the 6-month visit.

Citation Format: Lee J, Park HS, Kim JH, Lee DW, Song SY, Lew DH, Kim JY, Kim SI, Cho YU, Lee H, Lee KB, Yoon KH. A prospective pilot study of simultaneous robotic assisted nipple sparing mastectomy and immediate reconstruction [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr OT2-01-03.