Vegetation-fire feedbacks increase subtropical wildfire risk in scrubland and reduce it in forests

Climate dictates wildfire activity around the world. But East and Southeast Asia are an apparent exception as fire-activity variation there is unrelated to climatic variables. In subtropical China, fire activity decreased by 80% between 2003 and 2020 amid increased fire risks globally. Here, we assessed the fire regime, vegetation structure, fuel flammability and their interactions across subtropical Hubei, China. We show that tree basal area (TBA) and fuel flammability explained 60% of fire-frequency variance. Fire frequency and fuel flammability, in turn, explained 90% of TBA variance. These results reveal a novel system of scrubland-forest stabilized by vegetation-fire feedbacks. Frequent fires promote the persistence of derelict scrubland through positive vegetation-fire feedbacks; in forest, vegetation-fire feedbacks are negative and suppress fire. Thus, we attribute the decrease in wildfire activity to reforestation programs that concurrently increase forest coverage and foster negative vegetation-fire feedbacks that suppress wildfire.

Bioactivity and genome analysis of Bacillus amyloliquefaciens GL18 isolated from the rhizosphere of Kobresia myosuroides in an alpine meadow

The unique eco-environment of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau breeds abundant microbial resources. In this research, Bacillus amyloliquefaciens GL18, isolated from the rhizosphere of Kobresia myosuroides from an alpine meadow, and the antagonistic activity, bacteriostatic hydrolase activity, and low temperature, salt, and drought resistance of it were determined and analysed. The seedlings of Avena sativa were root-irrigated using bacteria suspensions (cell concentration 1 × 107 cfu/mL) of GL18, and the growth-promoting effect of GL18 on it was determined under cold, salt and drought stress, respectively. The whole genome of GL18 was sequenced, and its functional genes were analysed. GL18 presented significant antagonistic activity to Fusarium graminearum, Fusarium acuminatum, Fusarium oxysporum and Aspergillus niger (inhibition zone diameter > 17 mm). Transparent zones formed on four hydrolase detection media, indicating that GL18 secreted cellulase, protease, pectinase and β-1,3-glucanase. GL18 tolerated conditions of 10 °C, 11% NaCl and 15% PEG-6000, presenting cold, salt and drought resistance. GL18 improved the cold, salt and drought tolerance of A. sativa and it showed significant growth effects under different stress. The total length of the GL18 genome was 3,915,550 bp, and the number of coding DNA sequence was 3726. Compared with the clusters of orthologous groups of proteins, gene ontology and kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes databases, 3088, 2869 and 2357 functional genes were annotated, respectively. GL18 contained gene clusters related to antibacterial substances, functional genes related to the synthesis of plant growth-promoting substances, and encoding genes related to stress resistance. This study identified an excellent Bacillus strain and provided a theoretical basis for improving stress resistance and promoting the growth of herbages under abiotic stress.

[Schistosomiasis control in Sichuan Province since the 12th Five - Year Plan period: progress and prospects]

An ambitious goal has been set for elimination of schistosomiasis in all endemic counties (districts) in Sichuan Province by 2023. To achieve this goal, and to continue to consolidate the control achievements, it is necessary to understand the current endemic status of schistosomiasis, identify the challenges and analyze the experiences and lessons from the schistosomiasis control program, and develop targeted control strategies and interventions in the province. This paper reviews the progress of schistosomiasis control in Sichuan Province since the 12th Five-Year Plan period, analyzes the challenges in the schistosomiasis elimination program, and proposes recommendations for future directions and priorities.

[Infant glycogen storage disease type Ⅳ: a clinicopathological and genetic characteristics analysis of five cases]

Objective: To investigate the clinical pathology and gene mutation characteristics of patients with glycogen storage disease type Ⅳ (GSD Ⅳ). Methods: The clinical data, liver histopathology and ultrastructural morphology, and gene sequencing results of 5 GSD Ⅳ cases diagnosed in the Children's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine and the Children's Hospital of Fudan University from January 2015 to February 2022 were collected and analyzed retrospectively. Results: Among the 5 cases, 3 were male and 2 were female, ranging in age from 4 months to 1 year and 9 months. The clinical manifestations included fever, hepatosplenomegaly, liver insufficiency, growth retardation and hypotonia. Four cases had liver biopsy showing ground-glass-like changes in hepatocytes with intracytoplasmic inclusion bodies and varying degrees of fibrosis. Liver electron microscopy in 2 cases showed that the level of glycogen increased to varying degrees, and the cytoplasm was filled with low electron density substances. Genetic testing revealed that 3 cases had compound heterozygous variants in GBE1 gene; 1 case had a single pathogenic variant in GBE1 gene; and 1 case was deceased with no genetic testing, but each parent was tested for a heterozygous variant in the GBE1 gene. A total of 9 GBE1 gene mutations were detected, 3 of which were reported mutations and 6 novel mutations. One case died of liver cirrhosis, and 1 case underwent autologous liver transplantation. After transplantation, the liver function basically returned to normal, and the growth and development improved; the other 3 cases were managed through diet control and symptomatic treatment. Conclusions: CSD Ⅳ is an extremely rare inherited metabolic disease caused by GBE1 gene mutation, often presenting with hepatic and neuromuscular disorders, with heterogeneous clinical manifestations. The diagnosis mainly depends on histopathology and a pedigree gene analysis.

[A preliminary study on the establishment of a subcutaneous allergen-specific immunotherapy center]

Allergic diseases can notably affect a patient's quality of life. World Health Organization (WHO) has identified these diseases as one of the key areas for research and prevention in the 21st century. Currently, allergen-specific immunotherapy is viewed as a potential treatment approach that could modify the natural progression of allergic diseases, thus being recognized as a crucial tactic in their prevention and treatment. Nonetheless, the broad implementation of allergen-specific immunotherapy in clinical settings continues to confront challenges. One significant issue is the absence of standardized centers for subcutaneous allergen-specific immunotherapy. This article presents several perspectives and recommendations for establishing a standardized subcutaneous allergen-specific immunotherapy center.

Neural correlates of appetite in adolescents

Appetitive characteristics are associated with child adiposity, but their biological underpinnings are unclear. We sought to investigate the neural correlates of psychometric and behavioral measures of appetitive characteristics in youth. Adolescents (14-18y; 39F, 37M) varying in familial obesity risk and body weight (20% with overweight, 24% with obesity) viewed pictures of high energy-density (ED) foods, low-ED foods and non-foods during fMRI scanning on two separate days. On one day participants consumed a 474 ml preload of water (0 kcal, fasted) and on another (counter-balanced) 474 ml milkshake (480 kcal, fed), before scanning. A multi-item ad libitum meal (ALM) followed scanning. Parents completed Child Eating Behavior Questionnaire (CEBQ) sub-scales assessing food approach and food self-regulation. Caloric compensation was calculated as the percentage of preload intake compensated for by down-regulation of ALM intake in the fed vs. fasted condition. Analyses correcting for multiple comparisons demonstrated that, for the fasted condition, higher CEBQ Food Responsiveness scores were associated with greater activation to high-ED (vs. low-ED) foods in regions implicated in food reward (insula, rolandic operculum, putamen). In addition, higher caloric compensation was associated with greater fed vs. fasted activations in response to foods (vs. non-foods) in thalamus and supramarginal gyrus. Uncorrected analyses provided further support for associations of different measures of appetitive characteristics with brain responses to food cues in each condition. Measures of appetitive characteristics demonstrated overlapping and distinct associations with patterns of brain activation elicited by food cues in fasted and fed states. Understanding the neural basis of appetitive characteristics could aid development of biobehaviorally-informed obesity interventions.

Characterization of a novel Tn6485h transposon carrying both blaIMP-45 and blaAFM-1 integrated into the IncP-2 plasmid in a carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa

OBJECTIVES

To characterize a carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa (CRPA) with an IncP-2 plasmid containing a novel transposon, Tn6485h, which carries both blaIMP-45 and blaAFM-1.

METHODS

Antimicrobial susceptibility testing and filter mating experiment were performed on PA942. The stability of the plasmid carrying both blaIMP-45 and blaAFM-1 was carried out. We determined the growth rate of the transconjugant to investigate fitness cost. Additionally, whole-genome sequencing and genomic analysis were performed on PA942.

RESULTS

PA942 strain was resistant to most antibiotics except for ciprofloxacin and colistin. Bioinformatics analysis confirmed that PA942 contains an IncP-2 plasmid with a novel transposon Tn6485h carrying both blaIMP-45 and blaAFM-1. The plasmid pPA942-IMP45 can be transferred into recipient bacteria PAO1Rif with an efficiency of 2.2 × 10-7 and the transconjugant PAO1Rif/ pPA942-IMP45 can be stably inherited for 10 generations in the absence of antibiotics.

CONCLUSION

We report a carbapenem-resistant P. aeruginosa strain with an IncP-2 plasmid containing a novel transposon, Tn6485h, which carries both blaIMP-45 and blaAFM-1. The IncP-2 plasmid and transposon Tn6485h may contribute to the spread of MBL genes. Therefore, effective measures to prevent the spread of these plasmids should be taken.

Histogram analysis of diffusion kurtosis imaging of deep brain nuclei in Parkinson's disease with different motor subtypes

AIM

To evaluate the diagnostic and differential efficacy of diffusion kurtosis imaging (DKI) histogram analysis for different motor subtypes of Parkinson's disease (PD).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Seventy PD patients including 40 with postural instability and gait disorder (PIGD) and 30 with tremor-dominant (TD) and 36 healthy controls (HC) were enrolled prospectively and underwent MRI examinations. The regions of interest (ROI) in the deep brain nuclei were delineated and features were extracted on the map of mean kurtosis (MK), axial kurtosis (Ka), and radial kurtosis (Kr), respectively. The differences in histogram features between PD patients and HC and between patients with PIGD and TD were compared. The areas under the curve (AUCs) were calculated to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of all histogram features. The correlations between histogram features and clinical indicators were evaluated.

RESULTS

Some DKI histogram features were significantly different between PD patients and HC, and also different between patients with PIGD and TD (all p<0.05). MK of the substantia nigra pars reticulate (SNprkurtosis), Ka of the substantia nigra pars compacta (SNpc) 50 percentile (SNpcP50), and Kr of SNpc 90th percentile showed the highest AUC for distinguishing patients with PIGD from HC. MK-SNpc 10th percentile, Ka-SNpc 25th percentile, and Kr of the head of the caudate nucleus (CN) 90th percentile had the highest AUC for distinguishing patients with TD from HC. MK of the putamen 10th percentile combined with Ka of the bilateral red nucleus RNkurtosis yielded the highest diagnostic performance with an AUC of 0.762 for distinguishing patients with PIGD from TD. Certain DKI histogram features were correlated with Hoehn-Yahr (H&Y) stage, Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) score, tremor score, and PIGD score (all p<0.05).

CONCLUSION

DKI histogram analysis was useful to diagnose and discriminate different motor subtypes of PD. Certain DKI histogram features correlated with clinical indicators.

Genome-wide association study identifies variants associated with semen volume in white-feathered broilers

Semen is a measure of the reproductive efficiency of roosters, which affects the economic benefits of white-feathered broilers. Over the years, research in this field has mainly focused on hens, while there have been fewer studies on the reproductive traits of roosters. To identify the genes related to the semen traits of roosters, we used a chicken 55 K SNP chip to genetically type the white-feathered population (220) and performed imputation with resequencing data from 97 roosters. In total, 1 048 576 SNPs were obtained and used for genome-wide association analysis of semen volume, from which 197 genome-wide significant markers were identified, all within the interval of 13.82-16.12 Mb on chromosome 7. By combining our results with the biological functions of genes in the interval, four candidate genes were identified that potentially relate to semen volume: FAPP1, OSBPL6, SESTD1 and SSFA2. Our findings may provide a basis for further research on the genetic mechanism and marker-assisted selection of semen volume in white-feathered broilers.

Absolute and relative iodine concentrations in the spot sign and haematoma for prediction of haematoma expansion in spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage

AIM

To explore the predictive value of absolute and relative iodine concentrations in the spot sign (SS) and haematoma on gemstone spectral imaging (GSI) for haematoma expansion (HE).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) who underwent computed tomography (CT) angiography using GSI were divided into an SS-positive group and an SS-negative group. In the SS-positive group, absolute and relative iodine concentrations in the SS (aICIS and rICIS, respectively) were measured. In the SS-negative group, absolute and relative iodine concentrations in haematoma (aICIH and rICIH, respectively) were measured. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) was used to investigate the HE predictive performance of aICIS, rICIS, and their combination in the SS-positive group, as well as the HE predictive performance of aICIH, rICIH, and their combination in the SS-negative group. The risk variables for HE in the two groups were investigated separately using logistic regression.

RESULTS

A total of 123 spontaneous ICH patients were enrolled. In the SS-positive group, the AUC of aICIS, rICIS, and their combination for predicting HE were 0.853, 0.893, and 0.922, respectively. rICIS was demonstrated to be a standalone predictor of HE via logistic regression. In the SS-negative group, aICIH, rICIH, and their combination had AUC-ROC values of 0.552, 0.783, and 0.851, respectively, to predict HE. According to multivariate analysis, rICIH was a reliable predictor of HE.

CONCLUSION

Absolute and relative iodine concentrations in the SS and haematoma can predict HE.

[New technology and research progress in neurosurgery diagnosis and treatment]

Neurosurgery is a vital branch of medicine that deals with the surgical management of brain disorders. The increasing demand for clinical solutions drives technological innovation, and the rapid progress in science and technology enables new discoveries, knowledge, techniques, and instruments in neurosurgery, expanding the scope and accuracy of diagnosis and treatment, and enhancing therapeutic outcomes. The author team combines domestic and international literature and previous clinical and scientific research experience, focusing on practical clinical problems in several subspecialties, including neuroimaging, neuronavigation and surgical robot assistance, central nervous system tumors, surgical treatment of cerebrovascular disease, functional neurosurgery, neuroinjury and neural repair, and digital neurosurgery. The paper summarizes in detail the research hotspots and puts forward the research direction prospects, including the innovative application of imaging technology, the development of fine surgery, the innovation of neuro-oncology diagnosis and treatment, the surgical standardization of cerebrovascular disease, the progress of neuromodulation, the individualized neurological alternative treatment and the digitalization of multi-dimensional information in neurosurgery.

Factors associated with early failure of the femoral neck system (FNS) in patients with femoral neck fractures

BACKGROUND

Femoral neck system (FNS) is a new type of internal fixation system which has been widely used for treating femoral neck fractures (FNFs).Compared with other internal fixation methods, FNS is minimally invasive and stable, and often achieves satisfactory short-term efficacy.Early failure of FNS (EFFNS) is not uncommon, however, there are few literatures and reports on factors associated with EFFNS.This study aimed to survey the prevalence and risk factors of EFFNS.

METHODS

We retrospectively analysed 62 patients with FNFs and underwent FNS fixation between 2019 and 2021. Demographic data, clinical characteristics, radiographic features and treatment process were described. Multifactor logistic regression analysis was used to analyse the different influencing factors.

RESULTS

Out of the 62 FNFs patients, 10 patients (16.1%) developed EFFNS, including 6 cases of severe femoral neck shortening, 2 cases of screw-out, 1 case of avascular necrosis of the femoral head and 1 case of nonunion. In the failure group, all patients were younger than 65 years old, which was significantly higher than 59.6% in the healing group (P = 0.012). There were no significant differences in sex(P = 0.490), BMI (P = 0.709), injured side (P = 0.312), injury mechanism (P = 0.617), reduction method(P = 0.570),femoral neck-shaft angle(P = 0.545), Pauwels classification (P = 0.564) and Garden classification (P = 0.195). Moreover, we not found that Garden classification (P = 0.464) and age (P = 0.128) were statistically significant risk factors for EFFNS at multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

In this study, sex, BMI, injury side, injury mechanism, reduction method, Pauwels angle, femoral neck-shift angle, Pauwels classification and Garden classification were excluded as EFFNS risk factors. Moreover, our study demonstrated that age and Garden classification were not significant risk factors at multivariate analysis.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ChiCTR, ChiCTR2100051360. Registered on 21 September, 2021. https://www.chictr.org.cn/index.aspx .

Impact of COVID-19 infection experience on mental health status of intensive care unit patients' family members: a real-world study

PURPOSE

Family members of patients hospitalized in intensive care unit (ICU) are susceptible to adverse psychological outcomes. However, there is a paucity of studies specifically examining the mental health symptoms in ICU patients' family members with a prior history of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection.

AIM

This study aimed to investigate mental health status and its influencing factors of ICU patients' family members with previous COVID-19 infection experience in China.

DESIGN

Nationwide, cross-sectional cohort of consecutive participants of family members of ICU patients from 10 provinces randomly selected in mainland China conducted between October 2022 and May 2023.

METHODS

The basic information scale, Self-rating depression scale, Self-rating Anxiety Scale, Impact of Event Scale-Revised, Pittsburgh sleep quality index, Perceived Stress Scale, Connor-Davidson resilience scale, Simplified Coping Style Questionnaire were employed to explore mental health status among participants.

RESULTS

A total of 463 participants, comprising 156 individuals in Covid-19 family member cohort (infection group) and 307 individuals in control family member cohort (control group), met inclusion criteria. The infection group exhibited significantly higher incidence of composite mental health symptoms compared to control group (P = 0.017). Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that being female, engaging in physical/mental labor, residing in rural areas, and having children were identified as risk factors for the development of depression, anxiety, and post-traumatic stress disorder symptoms, while medical history of surgery was protective factor. A predictive model demonstrated a favorable discriminative ability and excellent calibration.

CONCLUSION

COVID-19 infection experience regarded as new traumatic stressors worsen mental health status of ICU patients' family members.

Purtscher-like retinopathy in systemic lupus erythematosus: clinical features, risk factors and prognosis

BACKGROUND

Purtscher-like retinopathy (PLR) is a rare ocular manifestation in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) with poor prognosis, but its clear risk factors and treatment consensus are still lacking.

AIM

To investigate the clinical features, risk factors and prognosis of PLR in SLE patients.

DESIGN AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on SLE patients with PLR admitted at Peking Union Medical College Hospital from 2013 to 2022. Clinical data, including demographic characteristics, lupus-related features, laboratory findings and ophthalmologic examinations, were collected and analyzed. The prognosis was evaluated based on best-corrected visual acuity and ophthalmologic outcomes.

RESULTS

Seventeen SLE patients (32 eyes) diagnosed with PLR were included, along with a random selection of 100 SLE patients without retinopathy and 100 with retinal microvasculopathy as controls. Patients with PLR had a significantly younger age, a higher proportion of hemolytic anemia, a shorter duration of SLE, a higher SLE disease activity index-2000 (SLEDAI-2K) score, higher erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) values and lower hemoglobin (HGB) values than the group without retinopathy (P < 0.05). They also had a significantly higher SLEDAI-2K score, higher ESR values and higher white blood cell values (P < 0.05) than the Microvasculopathy group. The majority of eyes (22/26, 84.62%) achieved stabilization at the last follow-up, with different therapeutic strategies, while a few (4/26, 15.38%) experienced complications or progression.

CONCLUSION

This is the largest reported case series of PLR in SLE, which was associated with higher disease activity and poor visual prognosis. It was also associated with younger age, shorter SLE duration, concomitant hemolytic anemia, lower HGB and higher ESR value. Early recognition and prompt treatment are crucial for improving visual outcomes.

[Preliminary application of recombinase -aided amplification in detection of Clonorchis sinensis metacercariae in freshwater fish]

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the performance of recombinase-aided amplification (RAA) assay in detection of Clonorchis sinensis metacercariae in freshwater fish samples, so as to provide insights into standardization and field application of this assay.

METHODS

Wild freshwater fish samples were collected in the rivers of administrative villages where C. sinensis-infected residents lived in Jiangyan District, Xinghua County and Taixing County of Taizhou City, Jiangsu Province from June to September 2022. Genomic DNA was extracted from six freshwater fish specimens (5 g each) containing 0, 1, 2, 4, 8 and 16 C. sinensis metacercariae for fluorescent RAA assay, and the diagnostic sensitivity was evaluated. Fluorescent RAA assay was performed with genomic DNA from C. sinensis, Metorchis orientalis, Haplorchis pumilio and Centrocestus formosanus metacercariae as templates to evaluate its cross-reactions. In addition, the detection of fluorescent RAA assay and direct compression method for C. sinensis metacercariae was compared in field-collected freshwater fish samples.

RESULTS

Positive amplification was found in fresh-water fish specimens containing different numbers of C. sinensis metacercariae, and fluorescent RAA assay was effective to detect one C. sinensis metacercaria in 5 g freshwater fish specimens within 20 min. Fluorescent RAA assay tested negative for DNA from M. orientalis, H. pumilio and C. formosanus metacercariae. Fluorescent RAA assay and direct compression method showed 5.36% (93/1 735) and 2.88% (50/1 735) detection rates for C. sinensis metacercariae in 1 735 field-collected freshwater fish samples, with a statistically significant difference seen (χ2 = 478.150, P < 0.001). There was a significant difference in the detection of C. sinensis metacercariae in different species of freshwater fish by both the direct compression method (χ2 = 11.20, P < 0.05) and fluorescent RAA assay (χ2 = 20.26, P < 0.001), and the detection of C. sinensis metacercariae was higher in Pseudorasbora parva than in other fish species by both the direct compression method and fluorescent RAA assay (both P values < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Fluorescent RAA assay has a high sensitivity for detection of C. sinensis metacercariae in freshwater fish samples, and has no cross-reactions with M. orientalis, H. pumilio or C. formosanus metacercariae. Fluorescent RAA assay shows a higher accuracy for detection of C. sinensis infections in field-collected freshwater fish than the direct compression method.

[Interaction of SENP6 with PINK1 Promotes Temozolomide Resistance in Neuroglioma Cells via Inducing the Mitophagy]

Temozolomide resistance is a major cause of recurrence and poor prognosis in neuroglioma. Recently, growing evidence has suggested that mitophagy is involved in drug resistance in various tumor types. However, the role and molecular mechanisms of mitophagy in temozolomide resistance in glioma remain unclear. In this study, mitophagy levels in temozolomide-resistant and -sensitive cell lines were evaluated. The mechanisms underlying the regulation of mitophagy were explored through RNA sequencing, and the roles of differentially expressed genes in mitophagy and temozolomide resistance were investigated. We found that mitophagy promotes temozolomide resistance in glioma. Specifically, small ubiquitin-like modifier specific protease 6 (SENP6) promoted temozolomide resistance in glioma by inducing mitophagy. Protein-protein interactions between SENP6 and the mitophagy executive protein PTEN-induced kinase 1 (PINK1) resulted in a reduction in small ubiquitin-like modifier 2 (SUMO2)ylation of PINK1, thereby enhancing mitophagy. Our study demonstrates that by inducing mitophagy, the interaction of SENP6 with PINK1 promotes temozolomide resistance in glioblastoma. Therefore, targeting SENP6 or directly regulating mitophagy could be a potential and novel therapeutic target for reversing temozolomide resistance in glioma.

The value of serum lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2, ischemia-modified albumin, and cystatin C in predicting coronary heart disease risk: a single center retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to explore the value of serum lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2), ischemia-modified albumin (IMA), and cystatin C (Cys-C) in predicting the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Clinical data from 104 CHD patients admitted to our hospital from January 2020 to December 2022 were analyzed. Of them, 31 patients had stable angina (Group-S), 36 patients were diagnosed with unstable angina (Group-U), and 37 patients had acute myocardial infarction (Group-A). Additionally, clinical data from 35 healthy individuals undergoing physical examination during the same time period were selected as the control group. Levels of blood lipid indicators and serum Lp-PLA2, IMA, and Cys-C levels were compared between the groups.

RESULTS

The rates of diabetes, hypertension, and smoking in Group-S, Group-U, and Group-A were significantly higher than those in the control group (p<0.05). Levels of Lp-PLA2, IMA, and Cys-C in Group-S, Group-U, and Group-A were significantly higher than those in the control group (p<0.05). Levels of Lp-PLA2, IMA, and Cys-C in Group-U and Group-A were significantly higher than those in Group-S, and Group-A had the highest value of these indexes (p<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that Lp-PLA2, Cys-C, and IMA were important risk factors for the onset of CHD (p<0.05). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of Lp-PLA2, IMA, and Cys-C predicting the occurrence of CHD was 0.775, 0.835, and 0.735, respectively. The combined prediction of the three factors has an AUC of 0.920, which is higher than the individual prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

Lp-PLA2, IMA, and Cys-C are closely related to the onset and progression of CHD. These indicators, therefore, can be used in clinical practice to predict and evaluate CHD.

[Construction of a prediction model for predicting rebleeding in patients with obscure gastrointestinal bleeding after capsule endoscopy]

Objective: To explore the risk factors of rebleeding in patients with obscure gastrointestinal bleeding (OGIB) after capsule endoscopy (CE), and construct a model to predict rebleeding. Methods: The data of patients with OGIB who underwent CE in Zhongda Hospital Affiliated to Southeast University from July 2018 to September 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Follow-up data were obtained via electronic medical records or telephone interviews. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were performed to figure out the risk factors of rebleeding in OGIB patients. Then the optimal prediction model was determined and presented as a nomogram. The model was evaluated by C statistic, calibration curve and decision curve analysis. Results: One hundred and thirty patients with OGIB were included, including 64 females and 66 males, aged (55.8±17.2) years (18-87 years), and 39 (30.0%) cases developed rebleeding during follow-up. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression model analysis showed the duration of more than 2 weeks OGIB (HR=3.70, 95%CI: 1.85-7.42, P<0.001), a history of previous gastrointestinal bleeding (HR=5.25, 95%CI: 2.00-13.81, P<0.001), positive CE findings (HR=3.72, 95%CI: 1.66-8.33, P=0.001), and the lowest hemoglobin level before CE<80 g/L (HR=2.00, 95%CI: 1.02-3.84, P=0.044) were risk factors for rebleeding, while specific treatment (HR=0.25, 95%CI: 0.11-0.54, P<0.001) was a protective factor. The corresponding scores of the above five predictive factors were: OGIB duration>2 weeks: 79 points; Previous history of gastrointestinal bleeding: 100 points; The result of CE was positive: 79 points; Specific treatment:-85 points; Minimum hemoglobin before CE<80 g/L: 41 points. The prediction model constructed from the above five variables had good discriminative capability (concordance index=0.798, 95%CI: 0.732-0.865). The calibration curves showed high consistency between nomogram-predicted probabilities and actual observations. The decision curves showed that when the threshold probability was above 0.04, the use of the nomogram to predict rebleeding provided a greater net benefit than the assumption of "all patients rebleeding or no patients rebleeding". Conclusion: The prediction model established in this study has a good ability to predic rebleeding in patients with OGIB after CE examination.