Malnutrition and risk of procedural complication in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing catheter ablation

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Ministry of Health and Welfare of Korea Ministry of Science, ICT & Future Planning of Korea

Background

Malnutrition is common in the elderly, even in developed countries, and increases mortality.

Purpose

 To investigate the prevalence and prognostic value of malnutrition among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) which is a type of metabolic disease.

Methods

We included 3,239 patients (age 58.5 ± 10.8 years, 73.2% male, 67.7% paroxysmal type) undergoing de novo AF catheter ablation (AFCA) between 2009 and 2020. Nutritional status was assessed using controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score. The associations between malnutrition and the risk of AFCA complications or long-term rhythm outcome were evaluated by multivariable logistic regression.

Results

Among 3,239 patients, 1,005 (31.0%) patients had malnutrition; 991 (30.6%) with mild (CONUT scores 2-4) and 14 (0.4%) with moderate-to-severe (CONUT scores ≥5) malnutrition. Overall complication rates after AFCA were 3.3% in normal nutrition, 4.2% in mild malnutrition, and 21.4% in moderate to severe malnutrition, respectively (P for trend = 0.031). Major complication rates were 1.9%, 2.6%, and 14.3% in normal nutrition, mild malnutrition, and moderate to severe malnutrition (P for trend = 0.042). After multivariable adjustment, moderate-to-severe malnutrition status was associated with increased risks of overall (OR 8.215 [2.199-30.691], P = 0.002) and major (OR 7.392 [1.568-34.837], P = 0.011) complications compared with normal nutrition. However, CONUT score did not affect the long-term rhythm outcome during the mean follow-up of 40 (interquartile range 18-74) months (log-rank P = 0.760).

Conclusion

Malnutrition is common in patients undergoing AFCA. Those with moderate-to-severe malnutrition status were at substantially higher risk of complications after AFCA. Abstract Figure. Overall and major complication rates

Sex differences in mapping and rhythm outcomes of a repeat atrial fibrillation ablation

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Introduction

The risk of procedure-related complications and rhythm outcomes differ between men and women after atrial fibrillation catheter ablation (AFCA). We evaluated whether consistent sex differences existed in mapping and rhythm outcomes in repeat ablation procedures.

Methods

Among 3,282 patients in the registry, we analysed 443 consecutive patients (24.6% female, 58.5 ± 10.3 years old, 61.5% paroxysmal AF) who underwent a second AFCA. We compared the clinical factors, mapping, left atrial (LA) pressure, complications, and long-term clinical recurrences after propensity score matching.

Results

The LA volume index (43.1 ± 18.6 vs. 35.8 ± 11.6 ml/m2, p < 0.001) was higher, but LA dimension (40.0 ± 6.8 vs. 41.6 ± 6.3mm, p = 0.018), LA voltage (0.94 ± 0.55 vs. 1.20 ± 0.68 mV, p = 0.002), and pericardial fat volume (89.5 ± 43.1 vs. 122.1 ± 53.9 cm3, p < 0.001) lower in women with a repeat ablation than in their male counterparts. The pulmonary vein (PV) reconnections were lower (58.7% vs. 74.9%, p = 0.001), but the proportion of extra-PV triggers (27.5% vs. 17.0%, p = 0.026) and elevated LA pulse pressures (79.7% vs. 63.7%, p = 0.019) was significantly higher in women than men. There was no significant sex difference in the procedure-related complication rate (4.6% vs. 4.2%, p = 0.791). During a 31(8∼60) month median follow-up, clinical recurrences were significantly higher in women after both the de novo procedure (log rank p = 0.039, antiarrhythmic drug [AAD]-free log rank p < 0.001) and second procedure (log rank p = 0.006, AAD-free log rank p = 0.093). A female sex (HR 1.51 [1.06-2.15], p = 0.023), non-paroxysmal AF (HR 1.78 [1.30-2.34], p < 0.010), and extra-PV triggers (HR 1.88 [1.28-2.75], p = 0.001) were independently associated with clinical recurrences after repeat procedures.

Conclusions

During the repeat AFCA procedures, PV reconnections were lower in women than men, and the existence of extra-PV triggers and an LA pressure elevation was more significant, which resulted in poor rhythm outcomes.

Artificial intelligence-predicted poor responders to catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Introduction

Although atrial fibrillation (AF) catheter ablation is effective for rhythm control, in some patients it is hard to maintain sinus rhythm in spite of repeated AF catheter ablation (AFCA) procedures and anti-arrhythmic drugs (AADs). We explored the pre-procedural predictors for poor responders to AFCA and tested whether artificial intelligence (AI) assists the prediction of poor responders in the independent cohort by determining the invasive parameters.

Methods

Among 1,214 patients who underwent AFCA and regular rhythm follow-up for 56.2 ± 33.8 months (59 ± 11 years, 73.5% male, 68.6% paroxysmal AF), we differentiated 92 poor responders defined as those with sustained AF despite repeat AFCAs, AADs, or electrical cardioversion. Using the Youden index, we identified advanced LA remodeling with lower LA voltage under 1.109mV. AI model, which was derived from development cohort using medical record, was applied to predict LA voltage <1.109mV in the independent cohort (n = 634, poor responders = 24) using a grad-cam score.

Results

The patients with lower LA voltage under 1.109mV showed significantly poorer rhythm outcomes (Log-rank p < 0.001). We determined invasive parameter LA voltage by using the multiple variables (age, female sex, AF type, CHA2DS2VASc score, LA dimension, E/em, hemoglobin, PR interval) and achieved relatively good prediction power of AI for LA voltage <1.109mV (AUC = 0.734, sensitivity 0.729, specificity 0.643) in the test cohort. In the independent cohort, the AI model showed good discrimination power for poor responders (AUC 0.751, p < 0.001) by estimating LA voltage, which is an invasive variable. The patients with predicted lower LA voltage (grad-cam score <0) showed poorer rhythm outcome after active rhythm control (Log-rank p < 0.001)

Conclusions

The patients with advanced atrial remodeling with low LA voltage, which can be predicted by an AI, showed significantly higher recurrence of AF after AFCA with AADs or cardioversion. AI may assist to select these poor responder patients before the AFCA procedure. Abstract Figure.

Left atrial wall stress and the outcome of catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation: artificial intelligence-based prediction of clinical outcome

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background/Introduction: Left atrial (LA) wall stress (LAW-str) may contribute to the mechanism of atrial fibrillation (AF).

Purpose

We explored the clinical characteristics and the rhythm outcome of AF depending on LAW-str among the patients who underwent AF catheter ablation (AFCA). We also tested whether artificial intelligence (AI) properly estimate LAW-str without invasive parameters.

Methods

We included 2223 patients (72.8% male, 59.0 [52.0–67.0] years old, 28.7% with persistent AF [PeAF]) who underwent radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA). LAW-str was calculated by the Law of Laplace using LA diameter (echocardiogram), peak LA pressure, and mean LA wall thickness (computed tomography) measured by customized software. Based on the quartile (Q1–4) or AI-estimated values of LAW-str, we compared clinical characteristics and rhythm outcome.

Results

LAW-str was independently associated with PeAF (p < 0.001), diabetes (p = 0.012) and vascular disease (p = 0.002), body mass index (p < 0.001), E/Em (p < 0.001), and mean LA voltage (p < 0.001). During 26.0 (12.0–52.0) months follow-up, clinical recurrence of AF was significantly higher in the Q4 of LAW-str group (log rank p = 0.001). LAW-str was independently associated with clinical recurrence after AFCA (HR 1.001 [1.000–1.002], p = 0.013). AI-based model using non-invasive parameters predicted Q4 of LAW-str with area under the curve (AUC) 0.734, which was similar to logistic regression based predictive model using all data including invasive parameters (AUC 0.726). Patients in Q4 of LAW-str showed consistently worse rhythm outcome regardless of the type of AF, sex, or AI-based prediction (p = 0.039).

Conclusions

The LAW-str seems to be associated with rhythm outcome of AFCA and AI can predict this complex parameter with moderate accuracy. TableMultivariateβ (95% CI)PPersistent AF31.08 (21.77-40.39)<0.001Diabetes mellitus15.36 (3.35-27.38)0.012Vascular disease22.27 (8.4-36.14)0.002Body mass index2.91 (1.53-4.29)<0.001E/Em4.95 (3.87-6.02)<0.001Mean LA voltage-22.24 (-27.96–16.52)<0.001Linear regression analysis for clinical variables predictive of LA wall stress (10^3 dyn/cm2).Abstract Figure. AF recurrence by LAW-str, AI-prediction

The reduction of body mass index and risk of incidence of cardiovascular events in the elderly population

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Introduction

Obesity is known to be risk factor for incidence of cardiovascular (CV) events. However, the association between the reduction of body mass index (BMI) and incidence of cardiovascular event is not well established in elderly Asian population.

Methods

From the National Health Insurance Service-Senior (≥60 years) cohort from 2002 to 2013, 13,038 participants over 75 years old without baseline comorbidities (mean age: 78.4 ± 3.2 years 5243 (40.2%) male) were included in this study. We measured the change of BMI from first to second visit for health check-up within mean 23.6 ± 5.8months of follow-up. We categorized the reduction of BMI as five group according to the amount of change in BMI in overall patients (group 1: BMI change <-10%, group 2: -10%≤BMI change<-3%, group 3: -3% ≤ BMI change < 3%, group 4: 3% ≤BMI change < 10%, group 5: 10% ≤BMI change). We investigated the influence of change in BMI on the incidence of new-onset AF, stroke, acute myocardial infarction (MI), and CV mortality

Results

In the overall patients, new-onset AF, stroke, acute MI, and CV death was occurred in the 494 patients (3.5%), 775 patients (5.9%), 16 patients (0.1%), and 458 patients (3.5%) respectively. The Kaplan-Meier curve showed significant cumulative incidence rate of CV death in group 1 (Log rank p < 0.001). The multivariate cox regression after adjusting for compound clinical covariates showed the risk of stroke (HR 1.43, 95% CI [1.09-1.89], p = 0.01) and CV death (HR 2.06, 95% CI [1.49-2.84] were significant higher in the group 1 as compared with group 3. In the high BMI (≥25) group, the risk of AF was significant higher in the group 5 as compared with group 3 (HR 2.38, 95% CI [1.02-5.54], p = 0.04). In contrast, the risk of stroke (HR 1.70, 95% CI [1.07-2.71], p = 0.02) and CV death (HR 3.27, 95% CI [1.66-6.41], p < 0.001) was significant higher in the group 1 than in group 3.

Conclusions

In the elderly Asian population over 75 years old, the reduction of body weight affected worse effect on the incidence of stroke and CV death in overall patient and high BMI (≥25) group. It needs careful consideration to reduce BMI in the elderly Asian population even with high BMI (≥25) for purpose of CV events.

19 Colectomy Rate for Moderate to Severe Ulcerative Colitis with Biologics

Introduction

Biologics are recommended by both the ACG and ECCO community for the treatment of ulcerative colitis. Yet, current literature has yet to estimate the rate of colectomies after biologic therapy, and thus a pooled meta-analysis was conducted the rate of colectomies in 1month, 6 months, 1 year, 2years and five years after biologics.

Method

Medline and Embase were searched for articles examining biologics use in moderate to severe UC or acute severe UC (ASUC) from inception to 21st May 2020. Analysis of proportions were undertaken after a freeman-tukey double arcsine transformation.

Results

The pooled overall colectomy rates of ASUC and moderate to severe UC were 9% (CI: 4% - 14%) at one month, 18% (CI: 13% - 25%) at six months, 21% (CI:16% - 27%) at one year, 29% (CI:24% - 34%) at two years and 38% (CI:30% - 45%) at five years. Additionally, colectomy rates were consistently lower comparing between articles before and after 2010. At one-year, overall colectomy rate following infliximab use was at 25%, golimumab at 15%, vedolizumab at 14%, and adalimumab at 3%.

Conclusions

Colectomy rates in the era of biologics ranged from 8% to 38% and lower post-2010 showing significant improvement in management and supporting the utility of biologics in Ulcerative colitis management.

Radiological hazard associated with amang processing industry in Peninsular Malaysia and its environmental impacts

Continuous depletion in tin productions has led to a newly emerging industry that is a tin by-product (amang) processing industry to harness mega tons of tin by-products produced in the past. Amang composed of profitable multi-heavy minerals and rare-earth elements. With poorly established safety and health practices in operating plant, amang poses extremely high radioactivity problem associated with high occupational ionizing radiation exposures to workers and continuously impacting the local environment with radioactive contamination from industrial effluent and solid waste into lithosphere and water bodies. The radioactivity level of ²³⁸U and ²³²Th series in the mineral varies from few hundreds up to ~200,000 and ~400,000 Bq kg^-1 respectively and are potential to yield more than ~ 30,000 nGy h^-1 of gamma (γ) radiation exposure to plant workers. The study found out that for 8 h of work time, a worker is estimated to receive an average effective dose of 0.1 mSv per day from external γ radiation source with a maximum up to 2 mSv per day for extreme exposure situation. Interferences of different exposure routes for examples inhalation of equivalent equilibrium concentration (ECC) of ²²²Rn and ²²⁰Rn progenies and airborne long-lived α particles from the dusty working environment could pose a higher total effective dose as much as 5 mSv per day and 115 mSv per year. The value is 5 times higher than the annual dose limit for designated radiation worker (20 mSv) in Peninsular Malaysia. The study found that 41% of the total received an effective dose received by a worker is contributed by ²²²Rn, 32% of airborne particulates and dust, 23% from external γ exposure and 4% from ²²⁰Rn. Based on radioecological risk assessment, the study found out that the aquatic environment is the highly exposed group to ionizing radiation from industrial effluent discharge and sand residues. With the impotent establishment of radiation protection in the industry, plus the country newly introduced long-term plan to revive tin mining as well as its accessory amang mineral, it is necessary for the government to harmonize current regulation to improve the worker safety and health as well as sustaining local environment.

QSAR model for predicting neuraminidase inhibitors of influenza A viruses (H1N1) based on adaptive grasshopper optimization algorithm

High-dimensionality is one of the major problems which affect the quality of the quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) modelling. Obtaining a reliable QSAR model with few descriptors is an essential procedure in chemometrics. The binary grasshopper optimization algorithm (BGOA) is a new meta-heuristic optimization algorithm, which has been used successfully to perform feature selection. In this paper, four new transfer functions were adapted to improve the exploration and exploitation capability of the BGOA in QSAR modelling of influenza A viruses (H1N1). The QSAR model with these new quadratic transfer functions was internally and externally validated based on MSE_train, Y-randomization test, MSE_test, and the applicability domain (AD). The validation results indicate that the model is robust and not due to chance correlation. In addition, the results indicate that the descriptor selection and prediction performance of the QSAR model for training dataset outperform the other S-shaped and V-shaped transfer functions. QSAR model using quadratic transfer function shows the lowest MSE_train. For the test dataset, proposed QSAR model shows lower value of MSE_test compared with the other methods, indicating its higher predictive ability. In conclusion, the results reveal that the proposed QSAR model is an efficient approach for modelling high-dimensional QSAR models and it is useful for the estimation of IC₅₀ values of neuraminidase inhibitors that have not been experimentally tested.

Quantitative structure-activity relationship model for classifying the diverse series of antifungal agents using ratio weighted penalized logistic regression

One of the most challenging issues when facing a Quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) classification model is to deal with the descriptor selection. Penalized methods have been adapted and have gained popularity as a key for simultaneously performing descriptor selection and QSAR classification model estimation. However, penalized methods have drawbacks such as having biases and inconsistencies that make they lack the oracle properties. This paper proposes an adaptive penalized logistic regression (APLR) to overcome these drawbacks. This is done by employing a ratio (BWR) of the descriptors between-groups sum of squares (BSS) to the within-groups sum of squares (WSS) for each descriptor as a weight inside the L₁-norm. The proposed method was applied to one dataset that consists of a diverse series of antimicrobial agents with their respective bioactivities against Candida albicans. By experimental study, it has been shown that the proposed method (APLR) was more efficient in the selection of descriptors and classification accuracy than the other competitive methods that could be used in developing QSAR classification models. Another dataset was also successfully experienced. Therefore, it can be concluded that the APLR method had significant impact on QSAR analysis and studies.

Heredity of type 2 diabetes confers increased susceptibility to oxidative stress and inflammation

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE

Heredity of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is associated with greater risk for developing T2DM. Thus, individuals who have a first-degree relative with T2DM (FDRT) provide a natural model to study factors of susceptibility towards development of T2DM, which are poorly understood. Emerging key players in T2DM pathophysiology such as adverse oxidative stress and inflammatory responses could be among possible mechanisms that predispose FDRTs to develop T2DM. Here, we aimed to examine the role of oxidative stress and inflammatory responses as mediators of this excess risk by studying dynamic postprandial responses in FDRTs.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

In this open-label case-control study, we recruited normoglycemic men with (n=9) or without (n=9) a family history of T2DM. We assessed plasma glucose, insulin, lipid profile, cytokines and F₂-isoprostanes, expression levels of oxidative and inflammatory genes/proteins in circulating mononuclear cells (MNC), myotubes and adipocytes at baseline (fasting state), and after consumption of a carbohydrate-rich liquid meal or insulin stimulation.

RESULTS

Postprandial glucose and insulin responses were not different between groups. Expression of oxidant transcription factor NRF2 protein (p<0.05 for myotubes) and gene (p_group=0.002, p_time×group=0.016), along with its target genes TXNRD1 (p_group=0.004, p_time×group=0.007), GPX3 (p_group=0.011, p_time×group=0.019) and SOD-1 (p_group=0.046 and p_time×group=0.191) was upregulated in FDRT-derived MNC after meal ingestion or insulin stimulation. Synergistically, expression of target genes of inflammatory transcription factor nuclear factor kappa B such as tumor necrosis factor alpha (p_group=0.001, p_time×group=0.007) was greater in FDRT-derived MNC than in non-FDRT-derived MNC after meal ingestion or insulin stimulation.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings shed light on how heredity of T2DM confers increased susceptibility to oxidative stress and inflammation. This could provide early insights into the underlying mechanisms and future risk of FDRTs for developing T2DM and its associated complications.

P4758Label adherence of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants and clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: A nationwide study

Background

Dose adjustment of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) is indicated in some patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), based on selected patient factors or concomitant medications.

Purpose

We assessed the frequency of label adherence of NOAC dosing among AF patients and the associations between off-label NOAC dosing and clinical outcomes in real-world clinical practice.

Methods

We evaluated 53,649 AF patients treated with a NOAC using Korean National Health Insurance Service database during the period from January 2013 to December 2016. NOAC doses were classified as either underdosed or overdosed, consistent with U.S. Food and Drug Administration labeling. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to investigate the effectiveness and safety outcomes including stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality.

Results

Overall, 16,757 NOAC-treated patients (31.2%) were underdosed, 4,492 were overdosed (8.4%), and 32,400 (60.4%) were dosed appropriately according to drug labeling. Compared with patients with label adherence, those who were underdosed or overdosed were older (71±8 and 75±7 years of age vs. 70±9 years of age, respectively; p<0.001), more likely female (39% and 53% vs. 38%, respectively; p<0.001), and had higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores (4.6±1.7 and 5.3±1.7 vs. 4.5±1.8, respectively; p<0.001). NOAC overdosing was associated with increased risk for stroke or systemic embolism (5.76 vs. 4.03 events/100 patient-years, p<0.001), major bleeding (4.77 vs. 2.94 events/100 patient-years, p<0.001), and all-cause mortality (5.43 vs. 3.05 events/100 patient-years, p<0.001) compared with label-adherent use.

Figure 1

Conclusion

In routine clinical practice, a significant proportion (almost 2 in 5) of AF patients received NOAC doses inconsistent with drug labeling. NOAC overdosing is associated with increased risk for stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality in Asian patient with AF.

P1012Radiofrequency catheter ablation of accessory pathways at the site of prior valve surgery

Background

Radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) for accessory pathways (APs) at the site of prior valve surgery remains challenging. We aimed to clarify the factors associated with successful RFCA for such APs.

Methods

Upon reviewing a RFCA registry and previous case reports, we included nine patients who underwent RFCA of APs at the site of prior valve surgery (total-VS group; age, 34.0 [24.5–45.0] years; men, 4/9) and 196 patients who underwent RFCA of APs with no history of valve surgery (no-VS group; age, 40.5 [23.0–54.0] years; men, 114/196). Electrophysiological features, procedural details, and outcomes were examined.

Results

AP exhibited decremental conduction in four of nine patients in the total-VS group. The number of RFCA attempts was significantly higher in the total-VS group than in the no-VS group (10.0 [4.5–14.5] vs 2.0 [1.0–3.0]; p<0.001). In four patients who underwent mitral valve surgery, successful RFCA was achieved using the transaortic approach, coronary sinus approach, or bipolar ablation. In three patients who underwent tricuspid valve surgery, successful RFCA was achieved using the above-prosthetics or trans-prosthetics approach. In two patients, RFCA failed. The trans-prosthetics approach and bipolar ablation technique were effective. The transaortic and coronary sinus approaches were occasionally effective. The transseptal approach was ineffective. Based on the success rate and accessibility, we suggest a stepwise approach to RFCA of APs at the site of prior mitral or tricuspid valve surgery (Figure).

Stepwise approach to AP at valve surgery

Conclusions

Successful RFCA of APs at the site of prior valve surgery can be achieved by detailed mapping of the areas both above and below the prosthetic valve, as well as by ensuring effective radiofrequency energy delivery using various catheter approaches and RFCA techniques.

P5660Clinical impact of polycythemia on cardiovascular outcome from the general population: a nationwide cohort study

Background

Although adverse effect of anemia had been reported, effect of polycythemia on cardiovascular outcome from the general population had not been revealed yet.

Methods

We included 451,107 subjects who received national health examinations from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-based National Sample Cohort from 2009–2013. Medical records were screened from January 2002 to investigate the subjects' disease-free baseline period. They were followed until December 2013. We divided male and female subjects into four categories each based on hemoglobin level (normal, moderate to severe and mild anemia, polycythemia) to assess each outcome.

Results

During 1,735,964 person·years, 12,107 major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), 862 incident acute myocardial infarction (MI), 5,850 incident ischemic stroke, and 2,430 incident atrial fibrillation (AF) were observed. Compared to normal hemoglobin range group, polycythemia group showed higher MACCE (HR=1.23 [1.12–1.35] in male, HR=1.79 [1.20–2.67] in female, each p<0.001), incident MI (HR=1.37 [1.05–1.79] in male, HR=3.46 [1.06–14.00] in female, each p<0.001), incident ischemic stroke (HR=1.27 [1.10–1.46] in male, HR=1.72 [1.02–2.91] in female, each p<0.001), and incident AF (HR=1.46 [1.21–1.74] in male, HR=2.13 [1.03–4.77] in female, each p<0.001). Each outcome was linearly increased with the increase of hemoglobin among subjects with polycythemia (p<0.001), and with the decrease of hemoglobin among subjects with anemia (each p<0.001, U-shaped relationship). These relationship was more profound in obese female younger than 60-year-old.

Conclusion

Not only anemia but also polycythemia were significantly associated with higher rate of MACCE including death, incident MI, ischemic stroke, and AF among the general population.

P1875Nonspecific intraventricular conduction delay is associated with future occurrence of atrial fibrillation in patients with structurally normal heart and sinus rhythm

Background

This study aimed to elucidate long-term prognosis of nonspecific intraventricular conduction delay (NIVCD) in patients with structurally normal heart.

Methods

We included 107,838 patients (age, 52.1±15.5 years; men, 46.8%) who underwent electrocardiography in outpatient clinics or medical checkup (model 1). NIVCD was defined as QRS duration ≥110 ms and incompatibility with bundle branch block. The patients with structurally normal heart and sinus rhythm were assigned to the NIVCD group and normal QRS group according to propensity score with matching variables of age, sex, hypertension, and diabetes (model 2), and additional PR interval (model 3). Baseline characteristics, electrocardiographic parameters, and clinical outcomes were compared in model 1, 2, and 3, respectively.

Results

In model 1, the frequencies of male and preexisting atrial fibrillation (AF) were significantly higher in the NIVCD group than in the normal QRS group. In model 2, sinus rate and PR interval were significantly slower and longer in the NIVCD group than in the normal QRS group. In model 3, cumulative incidence of AF was significantly higher in the NIVCD group than in the normal QRS group during follow-up of 8.8±2.9 years (Figure). NIVCD significantly increased risk of AF (hazard ratio, 2.571; 95% confidence interval, 1.074–6.156; p=0.034). NIVCD did not significantly increase risk of sick sinus syndrome, complete atrioventricular block, and heart failure.

Atrial fibrillation-free survival

Conclusions

NIVCD is associated with slow sinus rate and prolonged PR interval. NIVCD is an independent risk factor of AF in patients with structurally normal heart.

208Effect of hypertension duration and systolic blood pressure on dementia in patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with a higher risk for cognitive impairment and dementia, with or without a history of clinical stroke. There are a paucity of data on the associations of hypertension duration and blood pressure (BP) level with risk of dementia in patients with AF.

Purpose

We examined associations of duration of hypertension and secondly, systolic blood pressure (SBP) levels with incidence of dementia among patients with AF.

Methods

We enrolled a total 196,388 patients aged ≥50 years who were newly diagnosed as AF and undergoing hypertension treatment from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database (2005–2016). Starting from AF diagnosis, participants were followed up until the date of dementia, death, or December 31, 2016. To incorporate the effect of BP level and hypertension duration changes over time on dementia incidence, we constructed time-updated multivariable Cox models in which BP levels and hypertension duration were updated at each participants' regular national health examination visits (at 0–7 years of follow-up). Similarly, age, BP medications, and health-related behaviors were included as time-varying covariates in these models.

Results

During 1,016,744 person-years of follow-up, there were 32,692 dementia events. A cubic spline curve using continuous hypertension duration measures suggested a linear association between increase of hypertension duration and dementia risk. One-year increase of hypertension duration increased the adjusted risk of dementia with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.17 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13–1.22]. In patients with hypertension duration <6 years, SBP of ≥140 mmHg was significantly associated with higher dementia risk, compared to SBP of <130 mmHg (in patients with hypertension duration <3 years: adjusted HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.01–1.16; and in those with 3 ≤ hypertension duration <6 years: adjusted HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.07–1.20), whereas no significant association between SBP and dementia risk in those with hypertension duration ≥6 years.

SBP and dementia in different duration

Conclusion

In patients with AF, the increase of hypertension duration was strongly associated with increased risk of dementia. Uncontrolled SBP was also associated with higher dementia risk. But, this effect of SBP might be attenuated in patients with longer hypertension duration. These findings suggest more emphasis needed on BP control in AF patients with earlier phase of hypertension (duration <6 years).

Acknowledgement/Funding

The Korean Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (NRF-2017R1A2B3003303) and the Korean Ministry of Health & Welfare (HI16C0058, HI15C1200)

P5710Clinical applications of machine learning for prediction of incident atrial fibrillation from the general population: a nationwide cohort study

Background

To evaluate the ability of machine learning algorithms to predict incident atrial fibrillation (AF) from the general population using health examination items.

Methods

We included 483,343 subjects who received national health examinations from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-based National Sample Cohort (NHIS-NSC). We trained deep neural network model (DNN) of a deep learning system and decision tree model (DT) of a machine learning system using clinical variables and health examination items (including age, sex, body mass index, history of heart failure, hypertension or diabetes, baseline creatinine, and smoking and alcohol intake habits) to predict incident AF using a training dataset of 341,771 subjects constructed from the NHIS-NSC database. The DNN and DT were validated using an independent test dataset of 141,572 remaining subjects. C-indices of DNN and DT for prediction of incident AF were compared with that of conventional logistic regression model.

Results

During 1,874,789 person·years (mean±standard-deviation age 47.7±14.4 years, 49.6% male), 3,282 subjects with incident AF were observed. In the validation dataset, 1,139 subjects with incident AF were observed. The c-indices of the DNN and DT for incident AF prediction were 0.828 [0.819–0.836] and 0.835 [0.825–0.844], and were significantly higher (p<0.01) than conventional logistic regression model (c-index=0.789 [0.784–0.794]).

Conclusions

Application of machine learning using simple clinical variables and health examination items was helpful to predict incident AF in the general population. Prospective study is warranted to construct an individualized precision medicine.

64Risk of dementia in patients treated with non-vitamin k antagonist oral anticoagulant or warfarin for nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

Background

Evidence is accumulating that use of oral anticoagulants (OACs) decreases the risk of dementia in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), but it is unclear if there is a difference between non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) and warfarin in protecting against dementia.

Purpose

To compare the risk of dementia between patients taking either NOAC or warfarin using a nationwide cohort data covering the entire Korean population.

Methods

Using the Korean national health insurance service database, 68,984 new OAC users with non-valvular AF aged ≥50 years and no prior diagnosis of dementia were identified during the period of 2013–2016 (39,687 NOAC users and 29,297 warfarin users). Starting from OAC initiation, participants were followed up until the date of dementia, death, or December 31, 2016. We compared the rates of dementia in 1:1 propensity score-matched cohorts of NOAC (n=18,925) and warfarin users (n=18,925).

Results

During the 52,259 person-years of follow-up, there were 2,750 dementia events. Use of NOAC was associated with significant lower risk of dementia [hazard ratio (HR) 0.75, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69–0.81], compared with warfarin. The risk reduction was prominent for vascular dementia (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.52–0.71), whereas there was no significant difference in the risk of Alzheimer dementia (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.83–1.02). Restricting the analyses to patients with no stroke diagnosis prior to OAC initiation (primary prevention) showed no significant difference between NOAC and warfarin in any types of dementia, but in the subgroup with prior stroke (secondary prevention), NOAC significantly reduced the risk of overall (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.63–0.78) and vascular dementia (HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.49–0.69).

Subgroup analysis according to stroke Hx Patient N Overall dementia Alzheimer dementia Vascular dementia HR (95% CI) P for interaction HR (95% CI) P for interaction HR (95% CI) P for interaction Total 37,850 0.75 (0.69–0.81) 0.92 (0.83–1.02) 0.60 (0.52–0.71) Without prior stroke 24,773 0.90 (0.78–1.05) 0.948 0.98 (0.83–1.15) 0.235 0.85 (0.56–1.28) 0.863 With prior stroke 13,077 0.70 (0.63–0.78) 0.90 (0.79–1.03) 0.59 (0.49–0.69) CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio.

KM curves of dementia incidence

Conclusion

In this propensity-weighted nationwide cohort of non-valvular AF patients, NOAC was associated with reduced risk of dementia, compared with warfarin. This association was the most pronounced for vascular dementia in patients with prior stroke.

Acknowledgement/Funding

The Korean Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (NRF-2017R1A2B3003303) and the Korean Ministry of Health & Welfare (HI16C0058, HI15C1200)

P345Catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation is associated with lower incidence of stroke, major bleeding and death: data from Korean health registries

Background

Compared with antiarrhythmic drug therapy, catheter ablation of AF reduces the number of AF episodes, prolongs the time in sinus rhythm, and improves quality of life. However, it is still unclear if catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) affects the prognosis or merely is a symptomatic treatment. Our objective was to compare long-term outcome regarding stroke, major bleeding and death in AF patients with and without ablation, and in relation to long-term exposure to anticoagulants.

Methods

We identified all 800,084 patients with a diagnosis of AF from 2006 to 2015 in the Korean national health insurance service database. During a 10-year period, 10,979 AF ablations were performed among 9,768 individuals. Propensity scores for the likelihood of AF ablation were obtained by logistic regression. Propensity score (PS) matching was used to construct two cohorts of equal size (n=9,768) with similar characteristics in 16 dimensions.

Results

Patients who had undergone catheter ablation were younger (57.2 vs. 65.6 years, P<0.001) and healthier (mean CHA2DS2-VASc scores 2.5±1.7 vs. 3.6±2.1, P<0.001) than other patients with AF. Mean follow-up was 5.5±3.1 years. After propensity score matching, in the ablated group, 472 patients suffered ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (SE) compared with 1,682 in the matched non-ablated (annual rates 2.92 vs. 1.10%, P<0.001). Major bleeding occurred in 439 and 1,219 patients in ablated and non-ablated (annual rates 2.07 vs. 1.01%, P<0.001). A total of 306 ablated and 1,439 non-ablated patients died (annual rates 2.31 vs. 0.69%, P<0.001). After multivariable adjustments, catheter ablation was associated with lower risk of ischemic stroke [hazard ratio (HR) 0.51, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.38–0.67), lower risk of major bleeding (HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.57–0.75) and with lower mortality risk (HR 0.39, 95% CI 0.34–0.46). The reduction of stroke/SE and mortality was observed after AF ablation regardless thromboembolic risk. Major bleeding was reduced only among patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2 (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.59–0.84).

Conclusion

We found a strong association between ablation and survival. Ablation may be associated with lower incidence of ischemic stroke and major bleeding in patients with AF. The reduction of stroke/SE and mortality was observed regardless thromboembolic risk after AF ablation. But the risk of major bleeding was reduced only in patients with high thromboembolic risk factors.

P1027The risk of dementia and catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation: a nationwide cohort study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with all forms of dementia, including Alzheimer's disease. Catheter ablation of AF reduces the number of AF episodes, prolongs the time in sinus rhythm, and improves quality of life. However, it is still unclear if catheter ablation for AF improve cognitive function and prevent dementia. Our objective was to compare long-term outcome regarding dementia and type of dementia in AF patients with and without ablation, and about long-term exposure to anticoagulants.

Methods

We identified all 801,701 patients with a diagnosis of AF from 2006 to 2015 in the Korean national health insurance service database. During ten years, 10,979 AF ablations were performed among 9,768 individuals. Propensity scores for the likelihood of AF ablation were obtained by logistic regression. Propensity score (PS) matching was used to construct two cohorts of equal size (n=9,768) with similar characteristics in 16 dimensions.

Results

Patients who had undergone catheter ablation were younger (57.2 vs. 65.6 years, P<0.001) and healthier (mean CHA2DS2-VASc scores 2.5±1.7 vs. 3.6±2.1, p<0.001) than other patients with AF. Mean follow-up was 5.5±3.1 years. After propensity score matching, in the ablated group, 184 patients suffered dementia compared with 650 in the matched non-ablated (annual rates 0.42 vs. 1.08%, P<0.001). While a total of 134 ablated and 379 non-ablated patients had Alzheimer disease (annual rates 0.31 vs. 0.62%, p<0.001), 40 ablated and 191 non-ablated patients had vascular disease (annual rates 0.09 vs. 0.31%, p<0.001). After multivariable adjustments, catheter ablation was associated with lower risk of dementia (hazard ratio [HR] 0.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.37–0.58), lower risk of Alzheimer disease (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.46–0.79) and lower risk of vascular dementia (HR 0.27, 95% CI 0.19–0.38). Although the reduction of dementia and Alzheimer disease was observed after AF ablation regardless of thromboembolic risk, vascular dementia was reduced only among patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2 (HR 0.29, 95% CI 0.20–0.42).

The risk of dementia, RFCA vs. no-RFCA Type Propensity score matched ablation group vs. no ablation group adjusted HR (95% CI) P-value Overall dementia 0.46 (0.37–0.58) <0.001 Alzheimer dementia 0.61 (0.46–0.79) <0.001 Vascular dementia 0.27 (0.19–0.38) <0.001

Conclusion

Ablation may be associated with a lower incidence of dementia and both type of dementia in patients with AF. This finding appears more pronounced in patients with high thromboembolic risk factors.

Search for a Dark Matter-Induced Annual Modulation Signal in NaI(Tl) with the COSINE-100 Experiment

We present new constraints on the dark matter-induced annual modulation signal using 1.7 years of COSINE-100 data with a total exposure of 97.7 kg yr. The COSINE-100 experiment, consisting of 106 kg of NaI(Tl) target material, is designed to carry out a model-independent test of DAMA/LIBRA's claim of WIMP discovery by searching for the same annual modulation signal using the same NaI(Tl) target. The crystal data show a 2.7  cpd/kg/keV background rate on average in the 2-6 keV energy region of interest. Using a χ-squared minimization method we observe best fit values for modulation amplitude and phase of 0.0092±0.0067  cpd/kg/keV and 127.2±45.9  d, respectively.

A QSAR model for predicting antidiabetic activity of dipeptidyl peptidase-IV inhibitors by enhanced binary gravitational search algorithm

Time-varying binary gravitational search algorithm (TVBGSA) is proposed for predicting antidiabetic activity of 134 dipeptidyl peptidase-IV (DPP-IV) inhibitors. To improve the performance of the binary gravitational search algorithm (BGSA) method, we propose a dynamic time-varying transfer function. A new control parameter, μ , is added in the original transfer function as a time-varying variable. The TVBGSA-based model was internally and externally validated based on Qint2 , QLGO2 , QBoot2 , MSEtrain , Qext2 , MSEtest , Y-randomization test, and applicability domain evaluation. The validation results indicate that the proposed TVBGSA model is robust and not due to chance correlation. The descriptor selection and prediction performance of TVBGSA outperform BGSA method. TVBGSA shows higher Qint2 of 0.957, QLGO2 of 0.951, QBoot2 of 0.954, Qext2 of 0.938, and lower MSEtrain and MSEtest compared to obtained results by BGSA, indicating the best prediction performance of the proposed TVBGSA model. The results clearly reveal that the proposed TVBGSA method is useful for constructing reliable and robust QSARs for predicting antidiabetic activity of DPP-IV inhibitors prior to designing and experimental synthesizing of new DPP-IV inhibitors.

Fibronectin fragment inhibits xylosyltransferase-1 expression by regulating Sp1/Sp3- dependent transcription in articular chondrocytes

OBJECTIVE

We investigated the effects of 29-kDa amino-terminal fibronectin fragment (29-kDa FN-f) on xylosyltransferase-1 (XT-1), an essential anabolic enzyme that catalyzes the initial and rate-determining step in glycosaminoglycan chain synthesis, in human primary chondrocytes.

METHODS

Proteoglycan and XT-1 expression in cartilage tissue was analyzed using safranin O staining and immunohistochemistry. The effects of 29-kDa FN-f on XT-1 expression and its relevant signaling pathway were analyzed by quantitative real-time-PCR, immunoblotting, chromatin immunoprecipitation, and immunoprecipitation assays. The receptors for 29-kDa FN-f were investigated using small interference RNA and blocking antibodies.

RESULTS

The expression of XT-1 was significantly lower in human osteoarthritis cartilage than in normal cartilage. Intra-articular injection of 29-kDa FN-f reduced proteoglycan levels and XT-1 expression in murine cartilage. In addition, in 29-kDa FN-f-treated cells, XT-1 expression was significantly suppressed at both the mRNA and protein levels, modulated by the transcription factors specificity protein 1 (Sp1), Sp3, and activator protein 1 (AP-1). The 29-kDa FN-f suppressed the binding of Sp1 to the promoter region of XT-1 and enhanced the binding of Sp3 and AP-1. Inhibition of mitogen-activated protein kinase and nuclear factor kappa B signaling pathways restored the 29-kDa FN-f-inhibited XT-1 expression, along with the altered expression of Sp1 and Sp3. Blockading toll-like receptor 2 (TLR-2) and integrin α5β1 via siRNA and blocking antibodies revealed that the effects of 29-kDa FN-f on XT-1 expression were mediated through the TLR-2 and integrin α5β1 signaling pathways.

CONCLUSION

These results demonstrate that 29-kDa FN-f negatively affects cartilage anabolism by regulating glycosaminoglycan formation through XT-1.

First Direct Search for Inelastic Boosted Dark Matter with COSINE-100

A search for inelastic boosted dark matter (IBDM) using the COSINE-100 detector with 59.5 days of data is presented. This relativistic dark matter is theorized to interact with the target material through inelastic scattering with electrons, creating a heavier state that subsequently produces standard model particles, such as an electron-positron pair. In this study, we search for this electron-positron pair in coincidence with the initially scattered electron as a signature for an IBDM interaction. No excess over the predicted background event rate is observed. Therefore, we present limits on IBDM interactions under various hypotheses, one of which allows us to explore an area of the dark photon parameter space that has not yet been covered by other experiments. This is the first experimental search for IBDM using a terrestrial detector.