Low-dose aspirin and risks of cataract in a randomized trial of US physicians

Observational studies have raised the question of a possible benefit of aspirin on the development of cataract. The Physicians' Health Study, a randomized double-masked placebo-controlled trial among 22,071 male physicians, aged 40 to 84 years, provided the opportunity to collect information about whether low-dose aspirin therapy (325 mg on alternate days) affects the development or extraction of cataract. There were 173 age-related cataracts among those physicians assigned to aspirin therapy and 180 among those given placebo (relative risk, 0.95; 95% confidence interval, 0.74 to 1.22). Cataract extractions were less frequent in the aspirin than in the placebo group, but this difference was not statistically significant (relative risk, 0.80; 95% confidence interval, 0.56 to 1.15). Among younger men (aged 40 to 59 years), the relative risks were 0.62 (95% confidence interval, 0.40 to 0.94) for cataract development and 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.38 to 1.31) for cataract extraction. These randomized trial data tend to exclude any large benefit of aspirin. While the overall findings concerning cataract development seem to be null, the data on extraction of age-related cataract, while not statistically significant, cannot exclude a possible small to moderate benefit of alternate-day aspirin therapy on the extraction of age-related cataract.

Evaluation of an iris color classification system. The Eye Disorders Case-Control Study Group

A system for classification of iris color based on standard photographs, developed for use in a multicenter study, is described. Categories of iris color are distinguished based on predominant color (blue, gray, green, light brown, or brown) and the amount of brown or yellow pigment present in the iris. Two trained readers independently graded 339 iris photographs; discrepancies in grades were adjudicated. Measures of interobserver reliability were 0.76 by kappa for exact agreement and 0.97 for weighted kappa. The distribution of iris color grades demonstrates that the system achieved an appropriate level of detail within the authors' study population, which included patients with various racial backgrounds from five urban clinical centers. This simple, reliable classification system for iris color is offered for use in clinical research.

Distribution of lens opacities in the Italian-American Case-Control Study of Age-Related Cataract. The Italian-American Study Group

The Lens Opacities Classification System I (LOCS I) was used to classify lens opacities in the clinic-based Italian-American Case-Control Study of Age-Related Cataract. Data on the distribution of cataract types among the 1008 patients (age range, 45-79 years) are presented. A single type of cataract was found in 65% of all cases in whom both lenses could be graded. Among all patients and among patients with only one type of cataract, cortical opacities occurred most frequently and posterior subcapsular opacities least frequently. In patients with bilateral cataracts there was a high degree of concordance of cataract type and severity. The high degree of concordance of cataract type between eyes and the decreasing prevalence of unilateral cataract with increasing age suggest that patients with unilateral cataract are at high risk of developing the same opacity in the fellow eye. Cortical cataracts were found more frequently in women, and in patients with unilateral cataract, the left eye was more frequently affected. Clinic-based data on the distribution of cataract may be of assistance in planning future clinical studies of cataract.

Measurement error in assessing the size of posterior subcapsular cataracts from retroillumination photographs

Twenty-six eyes with posterior subcapsular opacities of various sizes were photographed with the Neitz-Kawara Retroillumination camera. The outline of the opacity in a single photograph of each opacity was traced onto a transparent plastic overlay twice by two independent outliners. Two methods were used to estimate the area within the outlines of the opacities. In the first, a transparent overlay with a standard grid was used to count the number of boxes within the outlines. The second method used computer planimetry to estimate the area within the tracings. We estimated the measurement error associated with a single outlining of an opacity and the contribution of the measurement error to overall sample size requirements in studies comparing the mean areas of posterior subcapsular opacities. Variability in the measurement techniques contributed fewer than 20 additional subjects to overall sample size estimates, a small contribution to total sample size requirements in most studies. An outliner's inherent variability in outlining an opacity was a much larger contributor to the measurement error than was variability in assessing the area of the outline of the opacity. While within outliner variability was similar for the two persons outlining the opacities, there were systematic differences in the way the two traced the outlines. Variability from the use of separate photographs of the same opacity taken by different photographers was minimal.

Age-related cataract in the Tibet Eye Study

The Tibet Eye Study was designed to estimate the prevalence of age-related cataract in Duilong-Deqing County, west of Lhasa, China (altitude, 4000 m). Previous reports have suggested an unusually high prevalence of age-related cataract in Tibet. A two-stage probability sample of persons aged 20 years or older from the 35 townships of the county targeted 2884 persons for inclusion in the study; 2665 (92.4%) were examined. Age-related cataract was diagnosed when (1) visual acuity was worse than 6/12 (20/40) because of nuclear or cortical (including posterior subcapsular) opacities, or (2) aphakia associated with a history of age-related cataract was present in either eye. The prevalence of age-related cataract among persons aged 20 to 39 years was 0.2%; among persons 40 years old or older, the prevalence was 11.8%. Cortical cataracts were by far the most common type of cataract diagnosed. Age- and sex-adjusted prevalence in Tibet was 60% higher than the prevalence in a similar, previously conducted study of 6951 person in Shunyi County, northeast of Beijing (altitude, 50 m). A second, independent slit-lamp classification of lens status was conducted in the Tibet Eye Study using standard photographs previously described. Age-specific cataract prevalence was similar with the two examination techniques. Results from the Tibet Eye Study support previous suggestions of a high prevalence of age-related cataract in Tibet.

An independent evaluation of the Lens Opacities Classification System II (LOCS II). The Italian-American Cataract Study Group

The Lens Opacities Classification System II (LOCS II) has been offered for use in clinical studies of cataract. The system uses slit lamp and retroillumination photographic standards to grade lens opacities into classes of increasing severity. The authors evaluated the reproducibility and validity of LOCS II before its possible use in a natural history study of age-related cataract. The authors found excellent inter- and intraobserver reproducibility when the LOCS II standard photographs were used for clinical or photographic gradings of cataract. There was a tendency to underestimate posterior subcapsular cataracts on photographic gradings compared with slit-lamp gradings. The accuracy of the photographic gradings of posterior subcapsular opacities tended to decrease as the severity of coexisting opacities increased.

India-US case-control study of age-related cataracts. India-US Case-Control Study Group

In a hospital-based case-control study of 1441 patients with age-related cataracts and 549 controls, we studied associations between types of cataract--nuclear, cortical, posterior subcapsular, and mixed--and a number of physiologic, behavioral, environmental, and biochemical variables. Using polychotomous logistic regression analysis, we found an increased risk of cataract with lower educational achievement (all types of cataract), decreased cloud cover at place of residence (all types), use of aspirin less than once a month (posterior subcapsular and mixed), diets low in selected nutrients (posterior subcapsular, nuclear, and mixed), higher blood pressure (nuclear and mixed), lower body mass index (nuclear and mixed), use of cheaper cooking fuels (cortical, nuclear, and mixed), and lower levels of an antioxidant index based on red blood cell levels of glutathione peroxidase and glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase and plasma levels of ascorbic acid and vitamin E (posterior subcapsular and mixed). All risks cited were significantly different from those for the other cataract types, a finding that emphasizes the need to investigate the epidemiology of specific types of cataract.

Lens changes and the incidence of cardiovascular events among persons with diabetes

Previous analysis of data from the Framingham Heart Study and the Framingham Eye Study showed that the "all-cause" death rate for diabetic persons with lens opacities was more than twice that of diabetic persons without lens opacities. Additional follow-up information was used to investigate whether these lens changes were associated with cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in particular. At the eye examination (1973 to 1975) there were 133 diabetic persons with no cardiovascular disease, of whom 41% had lens changes. Of these 133 persons, 57 had at least one cardiovascular event by the time of the most recent follow-up examination (1981 to 1983). Regression analyses suggested an increased risk of cardiovascular events among diabetic persons with lens changes (incidence rate ratio = 1.8; p = 0.07). Specifically there were associations of lens changes with the development of congestive heart failure (incidence rate ratio = 3.6; p = 0.01) and coronary heart disease (incidence rate ratio = 2.4; p = 0.08). Thus lens changes, in addition to being early prognostic signs of mortality, appear to be predictors of cardiovascular disease in adult-onset diabetes.

Diabetic retinopathy and cardiovascular disease in type II diabetics. The Framingham Heart Study and the Framingham Eye Study

Data from the Framingham Heart Study and the Framingham Eye Study were used to examine the association between diabetic retinopathy and the occurrence of cardiovascular events (coronary heart disease, intermittent claudication, congestive heart failure, and stroke). Among the 206 persons with Type II diabetes in the Framingham Eye Study, the odds ratios for diabetic retinopathy and cardiovascular disease were 14.3 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.7-101.9), 2.0 (95% CI = 0.5-8.1), and 0.3 (95% CI = 0.05-1.3) for ages 52-64, 65-74, and 75-85 years, respectively. The test for homogeneity indicated highly significant differences for the odds ratios across age groups. The associations were similar when sex, duration of diabetes, age at diagnosis of diabetes, and history of insulin treatment were accounted for by logistic regression. Our data suggest an association in younger diabetics between diabetic retinopathy, a small vessel complication of diabetes, and a group of cardiovascular events commonly thought to result from large vessel disease. The finding may merely indicate that diabetics with large vessel disease are also more likely to have small vessel disease. However, it is also consistent with the hypothesis, suggested by histologic data, that a more generalized microangiopathy affecting not only the eye but also organs such as the heart may play a role in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular disease in diabetics.

Factors affecting outcome and predictability of radial keratotomy in the PERK Study

The Prospective Evaluation of Radial Keratotomy (PERK) study used a standardized surgical technique that included a central clear zone with a diameter of 4.0, 3.5, or 3.0 mm. Multiple regression analysis of the outcome in one eye from each of 411 patients disclosed that the diameter of the central clear zone, patient age, and depth of the incision scar were the major factors affecting the change in refraction one year after surgery. Preoperative factors examined that did not have a significant influence on the outcome were sex, average central keratometric power, corneal thickness, corneal diameter, intraocular pressure, and ocular rigidity. The predictability of radial keratotomy, ie, the precision with which the outcome can be estimated, was measured by the 90% confidence interval for the change in refraction based on the regression equation. The width of this interval within each clear zone group was as follows: 4.0 mm, 2.49 diopters; 3.5 mm, 3.38 D; 3.0 mm, 4.12 D. For all 411 eyes, the 90% confidence interval was approximately 3.50 D wide. Thus, the surgeon could be 90% certain that an individual patient's refraction would be within 1.75 D of the predicted value one year after surgery.

Relationship between refractive error and visual acuity in the Prospective Evaluation of Radial Keratotomy (PERK) Study

As part of the Prospective Evaluation of Radial Keratotomy (PERK) study, we examined the relationship between post-operative refractive error and visual acuity without correction. We included 394 eyes (one eye per patient) with refractive errors ranging from -3.00 to +3.00 diopters one year after radial keratotomy. Within each 1-D range of the spherical equivalent of the refractive error, the visual acuity spanned five to ten Snellen lines. For visual acuities of 20/16 to 20/50, the refractive error spanned 3 to 5 D. Additionally, operated eyes had a better average uncorrected visual acuity than unoperated eyes with a similar refractive error. Within the narrow range of refraction between -2.00 and -2.50 D, the mean uncorrected visual acuity was 20/125 for 56 unoperated eyes and 20/63 for 29 operated eyes, a difference of three Snellen lines.

Epidemiologic associations with nuclear, cortical, and posterior subcapsular cataracts

Data from the 1971-1972 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were used to examine the associations between specific cataract types and age, race, sex, number of years spent in school, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, urban versus rural residence, and average daily ultraviolet spectrum B (UV-B) radiation counts at the site of examination. Separate comparisons were made of persons with no lens changes (n = 1,299) and persons with cortical (n = 55), nuclear (n = 104), and posterior subcapsular cataracts (n = 18). Persons with more than one type of cataract were excluded from the analysis. Cortical cataracts were associated with age (relative risk (RR) = 11.4 for age 70 years vs. age 50 years), race (RR = 3.5 for blacks vs. whites), sex (RR = 3.0 for women vs. men), educational achievement (RR = 1.8 for less than nine years of schooling vs. college), and UV-B count (RR = 3.6 for 6.0 X 10(3) counts vs. (2.6 X 10(3) counts). Nuclear cataracts were associated with age (RR = 38.6 for age 70 years vs. age 50 years), race (RR = 1.8 for black vs. white), and residence (RR = 1.6 for rural vs. urban). Posterior subcapsular cataracts were associated with diabetes (RR = 6.6 for diabetes present vs. diabetes absent) and systolic blood pressure (RR = 2.2 for 160 mmHg vs. 120 mmHg). Cortical cataracts were more common in women and more often found in locations with increased UV-B radiation counts than either nuclear or posterior subcapsular cataracts. In diabetics, the risk of posterior subcapsular cataracts was greater than the risk of nuclear cataracts (p less than 0.05) and also appeared to be greater than the risk of cortical cataracts (p = 0.06).

Comparability of ophthalmic diagnoses by clinical and Reading Center examiners in the Visual Acuity Impairment Survey Pilot Study

Technologic advances in ophthalmic equipment offer the possibility of replacing direct clinical examinations with Reading Center evaluations of data recorded in epidemiologic studies. Clinical and Reading Center examiners made independent ophthalmic diagnoses of 133 right and 132 left eyes of 138 adults in the Visual Acuity Impairment Survey Pilot Study, carried out in three US cities, Boston, Detroit, and Minneapolis, in August 1981-December 1982. The Reading Center diagnosed eye conditions using only photographic and visual field data collected at the time of the clinical examination. In the comparisons of clinical and Reading Center evaluations reported here, only eyes judged by the examiners to have pathology severe enough to reduce visual acuity to 6/9 or worse were classified as having pathology. (No visual acuity criterion was required for the diagnosis of glaucoma or diabetic retinopathy.) There was agreement in diagnostic assessments between clinical and Reading Center examiners in about 80% of eyes. The kappa statistic, which adjusts for chance agreement, was in the fair to good range: 0.60 for 133 right eyes and 0.62 for 132 left eyes. When the Reading Center examiners were provided with additional information on medical history, refractive error and best corrected visual acuity, the agreement between clinical and Reading Center assessments among the subset of eyes with 6/9 or worse vision again was in the fair to good range, with kappas of 0.61 for 45 right eyes and 0.68 for 48 left eyes. Inter-observer agreement between Reading Center examiners in diagnosing pathology was in the good to excellent range. Use of Reading Centers in future epidemiologic studies should be considered, but elimination of the clinical examinations is not recommended until modifications in the protocol described here have been made and shown to improve levels of agreement between clinical and Reading Center examiners.

Systemic hypertension and age-related maculopathy in the Framingham Study

Analysis of data on 1,828 subjects from the Framingham Heart and Eye Studies shows a small and consistent significant association between age-related maculopathy and systemic hypertension. The association was found using blood pressure and medical history data collected both 25 years before the eye examination and concurrently with the eye examination. Prevalence of age-related maculopathy progressively increases with increasing duration of systemic hypertension. Previous epidemiologic studies of the association between systemic blood pressure and age-related maculopathy have produced conflicting results. The failure of some studies to detect an association may have resulted from inadequate sample sizes to detect the small relative risks and problems in determining the duration of the systemic hypertension.

The prevalence of nuclear, cortical, and posterior subcapsular lens opacities in a general population sample

Data from the 1973 to 1975 Framingham Eye Study were used to estimate the prevalence rates of nuclear, cortical, and posterior subcapsular lens opacities in persons between ages 52 and 85 years. The rates for each of the opacities increased rapidly with age, so that for the oldest age group, 75 years and over, nuclear, cortical, and posterior subcapsular opacities were found in 65.5%, 27.7% and 19.7% of persons, respectively. Nuclear opacities were the most commonly diagnosed lens change. Each of the opacities was found more often in women than in men. Among persons with senile lens changes, the proportion with more than one type of change increased from 26.5% for ages 52 to 64 years, to 47.1% for ages 75 to 85 years. The high prevalence rates for senile lens opacities (over 75% for persons aged 75 to 85 years) and the frequent occurrence of opacities in combination create methodological problems for epidemiologic studies of lens opacities.

Epidemiologic associations with cataract in the 1971-1972 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey

Data from the 1971-1972 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were used to examine the associations between cataract and age, race, sex, education, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, urban vs. rural residence, and average daily ultraviolet spectrum B (UV-B) radiation counts at the site of examination. The multivariate logistic risk function was applied to data on 2225 persons, aged 45-74, who had resided for at least half their lifetime in the state where their examination was conducted. Cataracts (cortical, nuclear or posterior subcapsular opacities consistent with best corrected visual acuity of 6/9 (20/30) or worse or aphakic status) were present in 413 persons. The multivariate analysis showed that they were more common among blacks, diabetics, and rural dwellers, and were positively associated with increasing age, increasing UV-B radiation counts at the site of the examination, and decreasing number of years spent in school. The association with cataracts was also present when latitude or sunlight hours was substituted for UV-B radiation counts.

Prevalence of myopia in the United States

Data from the 1971 to 1972 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were used to estimate myopia prevalence rates for persons in the United States between the ages of 12 and 54 years. When persons were classified by the refractive status of their right eye, 25% were myopic. Significantly lower prevalence rates were found for male subjects than for female subjects and for blacks than for whites. Myopia prevalence rose with family income and educational level. The importance of income and educational level may result from their association with near work, a factor that has been implicated in the pathogenesis of myopia.

Pseudoexfoliation, intraocular pressure, and senile lens changes in a population-based survey

The prevalence rate of pseudoexfoliation among persons in the Framingham Eye Study, a population-based survey, increased from 0.6% for ages 52 to 64 years to 2.6% for ages 65 to 74 years to 5.0% for ages 75 to 85 years. Age-adjusted rates showed a statistically significant 2.3 to 1.0 female to male ratio. Pseudoexfoliation was associated with higher intraocular pressure levels and more frequent senile lens changes, but the latter relationship was not statistically significant. The age-specific prevalence rates for the Framingham population are similar to those reported from a mass screening of subjects in Norway, where the condition is thought to be especially common. Some of the previously reported geographic variations in prevalence rates may be due to differences in disease definitions, subject selection, and examination conditions.

Race, iris pigmentation, and intraocular pressure

The association of intraocular pressure with age, sex, race, iris pigmentation, systemic blood pressure, and family income was evaluated using data from the Health and Nutrition Examination Survey of 1971-1972. In general, mean intraocular pressure was highest for blacks with brown irides and progressively lower for whites with brown irides, whites with neither brown nor blue irides, and whites with blue irides. Multilinear regression analysis showed positive associations of intraocular pressure with systolic blood pressure (p less than 0.0001), age (p less than 0.0001) and amount of iris pigmentation (p less than 0.0001). The association with iris pigmentation held for both a combined race/iris color variable and for iris color among white persons. When race rather than iris pigmentation was used in the regression equation, it was a weaker (p less than 0.03) but still significant risk factor for higher levels of intraocular pressure. Intraocular pressure was negatively associated with family income (p less than 0.004). Despite the significant associations, the proportion of variance in intraocular pressure that was explained by these variables was small (R2 = 0.06).