Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

O-008 Low grade blastocysts result in healthy live births and should not be discarded

Study question

Does transfer of low grade blastocysts results in acceptable live birth rates the birth of healthy babies?

Summary answer

While BC/CB/CC blastocysts have a reduced chance of live birth compared with AA/AB/BA/BB blastocysts, the absolute chances are still reasonable.

What is known already

Transfer of poorer quality embryos and blastocysts result in lower live birth rates, though to what extent is unclear, nor if there is an absolute threshold below which live births are very rare or even do not occur. Further, the developmental competence of the inner cell mass (ICM) or trophectoderm (TE) could at least theoretically impact the pregnancy and/or the health of the baby. Many clinics do not transfer or freeze poor quality embryos and blastocysts, and prefer to submit the patient to a further stimulation cycle.

Study design, size, duration

We performed a retrospective analysis of 10,978 couples undergoing singleton blastocyst transfers between 2009 and March 2020. We included all single blastocyst transfers for which there was complete data on blastocyst quality, singleton or twin births, birthweight and gestation at delivery, irrespective of blastocyst grading, female age, cause of infertility, ovarian response or endometrial thickness. We recorded live birth rates, birth weight and gestational age.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

Data from 14 clinics in 3 countries, 8 from China, 5 from New Zealand, and 1 from Australia were included in the final dataset. We compared the impact of blastocyst grading using multiple logistic regression. Blastocyst grading was based on the Gardner classification, in which the first letter denotes the grade of the inner cell mass (A is best), and the second letter the grade of the trophectoderm.

Main results and the role of chance

Overall, 10,978 single blastocyst cycles resulted in 4,261 live births (38.8%) (4195 singletons and 132 twins). Live birth rates were 47% after transfer of AA blastocysts (n = 2306); 42% after AB/BA (n = 2088); 33% after BC (n = 1973); 25% after CB (n = 715) and 14% after CC (n = 117). There were too few AC (n = 27) or CA (n = 12) blastocysts to include in the analysis. The odds of live birth for BC/CB/CC blastocysts compared with AA/AB/BA blastocysts, vary between 0.8 and 0.9.

The live birth rate appears to be more dependent on ICM quality (C grade, n = 844, 23.2%) rather than TE quality (C grade, n = 2117, 32.1%), with the odds of live birth 0.43 and 0.57 respectively compared to A grade ICM or TE.

The average birth weight (singleton only) was 3336.9+/-570.3 g (range 3323 to 3386 g), and the average gestation at delivery (singleton only) was 38+6+/-2.0 weeks (range 38+2 to 39+1). There was no significant difference for birth weight or gestational age at delivery between blastocysts of different grades.

Limitations, reasons for caution

This was a retrospective study. Grading was based on inner cell mass and trophectoderm and not on degree of expansion, or on day of transfer.

It is likely that higher quality blastocysts were transferred first, in a fresh cycle, and poorer quality blastocysts frozen for later transfer.

Wider implications of the findings

The most important finding is that reasonable live birth rates are obtained in CC-blastocysts.

We therefore advocate that CC-blastocysts should be replaced or frozen for later transfer. It is reassuring that there was no impact of blastocyst quality on birth weights or gestational age at the time of delivery.

Trial registration number

Not applicable

O-133 Association between normal-range paternal serum free thyroxine concentrations and outcomes of assisted reproductive technologies

Study question

Are paternal serum free thyroxine (FT4) concentrations within the reference range associated with outcomes of assisted reproductive technologies (ART)?

Summary answer

Men of older reproductive age (≥ 35 years old) with low FT4 concentrations within the reference range are associated with a decreased live birth rate.

What is known already

The impact of maternal thyroid dysfunction on ART outcomes has been widely elucidated. However, few studies have investigated the impact of paternal thyroid dysfunction on ART outcomes. Our previous study showed a detrimental impact of paternal subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH) on the clinical outcomes of ART. Patients with SCH had relatively lower concentrations of FT4 compared to those with euthyroidism. Therefore, it remains to be determined whether the detrimental impacts of paternal SCH on ART outcomes arise from low concentrations of FT4.

Study design, size, duration

This retrospective cohort study included 4,066 couples who received 4,894 ART treatment cycles in our clinic between 1 April 2016 and 31 August 2021.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

The differences in sperm parameters and ART outcomes across the paternal FT4 tertiles were compared using generalised linear models or generalised estimation equation models. The primary outcomes were the clinical pregnancy rate (CPR) and live birth rate (LBR), and the secondary outcomes were sperm parameters, fertilisation rate, good-quality embryo rate, blastocyst formation rate, and implantation rate.

Main results and the role of chance

The mean ages of the males and their female partners were 33.0 and 31.0 years, respectively. No significant differences are observed in the sperm parameters and ART outcomes across the paternal FT4 tertiles in the overall population. However, stratified analysis of men aged ≥ 35 shows a non-significantly lower CPR in the lower paternal FT4 tertile (adjusted rate: 0.36, 95% CI: 0.27–0.45) relative to the middle (adjusted rate: 0.45, 95% CI: 0.38–0.53) and upper (adjusted rate: 0.43, 95% CI: 0.36–0.51) tertiles. The adjusted LBR is 0.21 (95% CI: 0.15–0.30) for men aged ≥ 35 in the lower FT4 tertile (p = 0.024, with reference to the upper tertile), 0.27 (95% CI: 0.21–0.35) for those in the middle tertile and 0.30 (95% CI: 0.23–0.38) for those in the upper tertile. No differences in these outcomes are seen among men aged < 35. The nonlinear smoothing curve obtained by using FT4 as a continuous variable further supports these findings.

Limitations, reasons for caution

Due to the retrospective design of the study, a causal relationship between paternal FT4 concentrations and ART outcomes could not be established. In addition, the study participants were patients who sought fertility treatment, which may have biased the results when we analysed the associations between FT4 concentrations and sperm parameters.

Wider implications of the findings

These results suggest that in older men, low paternal FT4 concentrations, although within the reference range, are associated with worse ART outcomes, especially LBR. Future prospective studies are warranted to confirm the detrimental effects of low paternal FT4 concentrations on ART outcomes.

Trial registration number

Not applicable

Abstract 1628: Application of conditionally reprogrammed cell in cancer model establishment and new target identification

Tumor cell immortalization through conditional reprogramming, particularly from limited biopsy specimen, is an invaluable tool to generate propagating tumor cells for cell-based drug sensitivity assay and bio-banking in vitro. We have successfully reprogrammed primary tumor cells from a number of tumor types, including lung carcinoma, breast cancer and glioma .etc. The conditionally reprogrammed cells exhibited typical colonized growth, which is well maintained upon cryopreservation. In some cases, the cells can be passaged for multiple times and likely become stable cell lines. We attempt to extend conditional reprogrammed tumor cells to reconstitute and grow PDX models in vivo and find the tumor formation rate is much higher than the primary tissue’s. This attempt provides a new process for establishing PDX models from variant types of cancer, especially the cancer types with low success rate in PDX establishment. We also establish PDX-derived cell lines by conditional reprogramming, which could be used in in vitro drug efficacy study and anti-cancer drug target identification. Functional library screening, such as genome-wide CRISPR/Cas9 library or specific pro-siRNA library screening, could discover new targets directly by evaluating the effect of the knockout/knockdown of specific genes. We have established several cell lines from drug resistant PDX, including Osimertinib and other targeted drugs resistant models, and found potential targets by pro-siRNA library screening. These potential targets could be validated on the matching cell line and PDX and the matching in vitro and in vivo tools will also enhance the further research of new targeted small molecules or antibodies.

Citation Format: Yuan Long, Le Li, Shizhu Zhao, Song Xi, Danyi Wen. Application of conditionally reprogrammed cell in cancer model establishment and new target identification [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 1628.

Abstract 3103: Liquid tumor orthotopic PDX models of acute leukemia

Liquid tumor orthotopic xenograft models were established by intra femoral injection on NCG mice using freshly prepared leukemia cells from peripheral blood (PB) or bone marrow (BM) of AML/ALL patient samples. The establishment of the orthotopic models were monitored by the flow cytometry analysis of peripheral blood of engrafted mice:CD45+/CD33+ for AML and CD45+/CD19+ for B-ALL. The double positive cells in the peripheral blood of the successfully transplanted model can reach 5-15%. Typically, it takes 120 -170 days to establish the P0 AML orthotopic model. It takes 45-60 days to establish the P0 ALL orthotopic model. Spleen from engrafted P0 mice was used for P1-P3 reconstitution of the orthotopic model. On these orthotopic models, we tested whether medicines such as etoposide, cytarabine, vincristine, ibrutinib and imatinib are sensitive. And anti-CD47 antibody was also tested on these models. NGS profiling was used to confirm the genotype of established orthotopic PDX.

Citation Format: Hongkui Chen, Lintao Bi, Shizhu Zhao, Shuai Wang, Wenqiang Huang, Josh Caggiula, Loc Van, Danyi Wen. Liquid tumor orthotopic PDX models of acute leukemia [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 3103.

[Global guidelines for cervical cancer and precancerous lesions treatment: a systematic review]

Objective: To systematically summarize current status and recommendations of the global cervical cancer and precancerous lesions treatment guidelines. Methods: The retrieval for all the Chinese and English literature published before July 8, 2021 was conducted in PubMed, Embase, SinoMed Database, CNKI and Wanfang Database, supplemented by a search of health websites of countries worldwide, with"uterine cervical neoplasms""cervix cancer""cervical neoplasm""cervical precancerous lesions""treat*""guideline*""practice guideline*""consensus" "recommendation*""guidebook*"in English as well as"cervical precancerous lesions""cervical neoplasm""treatment""guideline*""consensus"in Chinese as search keywords. A total of 38 guidelines were included for data extraction and analysis. Results: Guidelines covered Asia, Europe, North America, South America and Oceania. Conservative observation was recommended for the CIN1 population. For the women with CIN2/CIN3, ablation or excision was recommended according to the specific situation and guidelines of developed countries give priority to the latter. In low and middle resource countries, given the availability of medical resources, ablative treatment was recommended as an alternative to excisional treatment if the women were eligible. For women with adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS), cervical conization or total hysterectomy was recommended depending on the patient's desire of fertility. For patients with cervical cancer, most guidelines recommended surgery for early disease and smaller lesions, otherwise concurrent chemoradiotherapy was usually the main treatment modality for advanced cancers. All guidelines recommended long-term follow-up to monitor disease recurrence after treatment. Follow-up methods included human papillomavirus (HPV) testing and/or cytology or colposcopy. Most guidelines recommended follow-up at 6 or 12 months after treatment for cervical precancerous lesions, and 3~4 months for cervical cancer. Conclusions: There are some differences in the treatment and management recommendations for cervical cancer and precancerous lesions issued by different countries and regions around the world. Based on the global treatment guidelines and medical resource of different regions, the treatment and management guidelines for cervical cancer and precancerous lesions suitable for different regions of China should be developed, so as to achieve effective treatment.

[Clinicopathological features of clear cell carcinoma of salivary gland in the head and neck]

Objective: To investigate the clinical, histologic, immunohistochemical (IHC) and molecular genetic features of clear cell carcinoma (CCC) of salivary gland in the head and neck regions. Methods: Seven cases of CCC diagnosed in the Department of Pathology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from 2018 to 2021 were included. The clinical and pathologic data, HE sections and IHC staining were reviewed, and EWSR1 gene translocation was detected by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH). The relevant literature was also reviewed. Results: There were five males and two females, with an age range of 32 to 71 years (mean 50 years). The tumors were located in the palate, base of tongue, subglottic, right submaxillary and nasopharynx. Histologically the tumors were composed of sheets, nests, and trabecular of large, monomorphic cells which possessed abundant clear and eosinophilic cytoplasm. The stroma was characterized by abundant hyalinized fibrous strands admixed with cellular fibrous (desmoplastic) tissue. The tumor growth was infiltrative. IHC staining revealed positivity for CKpan and squamous cell immunophenotypic markers (CK5/6, p63 and p40), but negativity for myoepithelial markers (SMA, calponin, GFAP and CD10). The EWSR1 gene translocation was detected by FISH. The prognosis was excellent, with the follow-up periods ranging from 8 months to 33 months. During this period, six patients survived without tumor, only one patient with cervical lymph node metastasis. Conclusions: CCC of salivary gland is rare and needs to be differentiated from various other types of tumors containing clear cells. Awareness of the histopathologic characteristics, and combined with IHC and molecular genetic examination can avoid misdiagnosis. The biological behavior of the tumor is indolent with a good overall prognosis.

[ Ⅲ ]

Objective: To investigate the clinical efficacy of long-segment pedicle screw reduction and internal fixation combined with kyphoplasty in the treatment of stage Ⅲ reducible Kummell disease. Methods: The clinical data of 32 patients with stage Ⅲ reducible Kummell disease treated at the Department of Orthopedics, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University College of Medicine from January 2012 to March 2017 were analyzed retrospectively.There were 7 males and 25 females,aged (71.8±6.7)years(range:61 to 86 years).The injured segment was T₁₀ in 1 patient,T₁₁ in 8 patients,T₁₂ in 13 patients,L₁ in 7 patients,L₂ in 2 patients and L₃ in 1 patient.Preoperative American spinal injury association(ASIA) classification of patients all showed grade D.Bone mineral density (BMD),spinal X-ray,CT and MRI were examined before operation.All patients were treated with postural reduction, long-segment pedicle screw reduction and internal fixation combined with kyphoplasty.The operation time,intraoperative blood loss,length of stay and postoperative complications were recorded.The visual analogue scale (VAS) and Oswestry dysfunction index (ODI) as well as the BMD of hip were collected before and after operation.The Cobb angle of involved segment kyphosis and the height of anterior edge of diseased vertebrae were measured before operation,3 days and 12 months after operation.CT-related parameters were measured before and 3 days after operation,including sagittal anterior and posterior diameter of spinal canal,cross-sectional anterior and posterior diameter of spinal canal and cross-sectional spinal canal area.Paired sample t test and repeated measures were used to compare the data before and after operation. Results: All patients received the operation successfully.The operation time was (131.3±16.9) minutes (range:95 to 180 minutes),the blood loss was (82.5±27.1) ml (range:50 to 150 ml),and the length of stay was (8.3±2.4) days (range:5 to 14 days).All patients were followed up for more than 12 months.The VAS decreased gradually at 3 days,3 months,6 months and 12 months after operation,and the differences were statistically significant compared with the VAS before surgery (all P<0.01).ODI at 3,6 and 12 months after surgery was significantly improved compared with that before surgery(All P<0.01).The CT-related parameters at 3 days after operation were significantly higher than those before operation (All P<0.05).At 12 months after surgery,the Cobb angle decreased from (35.2±7.6) ° preoperatively to (4.3±1.7) ° (t=22.630,P<0.01),the height of anterior edge of diseased vertebrae increased from (4.3±1.0) mm preoperatively to (16.9±2.5) mm(t=-25.845,P<0.01),the bone mineral density of hip increased from -(2.2±0.6) preoperatively to -(2.8±0.6)(t=-0.040,P<0.01).Up to the last follow-up,2 patients had distal pedicle screw loosening, 1 patient had proximal junctional kyphosis,and there was no new vertebral fracture. Conclusions: Based on postural reduction,long-segment pedicle screw reduction and internal fixation combined with kyphoplasty is a safe and effective treatment method for stage Ⅲ reducible Kummell disease,which can reconstruct the stability of the diseased vertebrae.Postoperative standard anti-osteoporosis treatment is the basis to ensure the efficacy.

Significance of soil moisture on temperature dependence of Hg emission

Soil moisture is a key factor for mercury (Hg) emission from soil. Despite its significance for Hg emissions, the effect of soil moisture on Hg flux and fractions has not been thoroughly investigated. The objective of this study was to elucidate the influences of soil moisture and temperature on Hg fluxes from soils and Hg fractions. A kinetic study was performed to measure Hg emission fluxes of six soil samples under different temperature (T) (15 °C, 20 °C, 25 °C, 30 °C, and 35 °C) and moisture conditions (0%, 10%, and 20% added water). The results showed that the Hg fluxes increased with increases in T and soil moisture. A linear correlation was found between ln (Hg emission flux) and 1/T for the six soil samples at different moisture contents (R² = 0.73-0.99). The range of activation energy (Ea) values was 25.31-57.86 kJ/mol. The Hg fractions in soils of different moisture content were determined by a sequential extraction method. The results demonstrated that soil moisture affected the Hg fractions in soils. The Ea values had different relationships with soil moisture in different soils. There were correlations between Ea and the elemental and mercuric sulfide fractions for air-dried soils. However, for moist soils, Ea was negatively correlated with the water-soluble and acid-soluble fractions. Collectively, the combination of the Hg emission kinetics and Hg fraction measurement of different moist soils indicated that Hg emission was affected by both total Hg concentration and Hg fractions.

[Performance of point-of-care testing for cervical cancer screening]

Objective: To evaluate the performance of point-of-care testing for cervical cancer and precancerous lesions screening. Methods: In September 2020, 197 and 273 women were selected by using simple random sampling method from "self-sampling" cohort and "physician-sampling" cohort established in Xiangyuan county, Shanxi Province, China, respectively. Cervical exfoliated cells were collected by women themselves or gynecologists. All samples were detected by POCT and women with positive result were directly referred for colposcopy. Subsequently, all the samples were detected by careHPV and PCR test. Colposcopy and punch biopsy were performed for women with POCT negative but careHPV or PCR test positive at another visit. Using histopathological diagnosis as the gold standard, we calculated sensitivity, specificity and drew the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The accuracy of POCT was analyzed and compared to that of careHPV and conventional PCR test in cervical cancer and precancerous lesions screening. Results: The median (Q₁ , Q₃) age of 470 women was 51 (45, 57) years old. Based on self-sampling, the sensitivity and specificity of POCT for CIN2+ were 100.00% (95%CI: 56.56%-100.00%) and 28.95% (95%CI: 22.97%-35.76%), respectively. Compared with POCT, POCT HPV16/18 test had similar sensitivity and higher specificity of 89.47% (95%CI: 84.30%-93.08%). Self-sampling POCT HPV16/18 test had an AUC of 0.947 (95%CI:0.910-0.985), which was higher than that of careHPV and PCR test. Physician-sampling POCT test had 100.00% sensitivity (95%CI: 64.57%-100.00%) and 55.85% specificity (95%CI: 49.83%-61.70%) for detecting CIN2+. POCT HPV16/18 test had lower sensitivity (71.43%, 95%CI: 35.90%-91.76%) and higher specificity (92.45%, 95%CI: 88.63%-95.06%). POCT HPV16/18 test generally showed similar AUC on both self-collected samples and clinician-collected samples (0.947 vs 0.819, P=0.217). Conclusion: POCT HPV16/18 test is an effective method with relatively high sensitivity and specificity for cervical cancer screening.

[Identification of traditional Chinese drugs containing active ingredients for treating myocardial infarction and analysis of their therapeutic mechanisms by network pharmacology and molecular docking]

OBJECTIVE

To identify traditional Chinese drugs that contain active ingredients for treatment of myocardial infarction (MI) and explore their therapeutic mechanisms using network pharmacology and molecular docking technology.

METHODS

The TCMSP database was used for screening the traditional Chinese drugs containing active ingredients for treating MI, and the related targets of MI and the candidate drugs were obtained from Genecards, OMIM, PharmGkb and PharmMapper databases. The common target network of the drug targets and disease targets was established using Venny2.1.0 software. GO and KEGG signal pathway enrichment analysis of the common targets was performed, and the protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed for the targets. The targets in the PPI network were analyzed to identify the key targets, for which GO and KEGG pathway enrichment analyses were performed. Molecular docking was performed for the candidate ingredients and the key targets, and a total score ≥6 was used as the criteria for screening the therapeutic ingredients and their docking binding with key targets was verified. A human umbilical vein endothelial cell (HUVEC) model of oxygen-glucose deprivation (OGD) was used to validate the candidate ingredients and the key therapeutic targets for MI by Western blotting.

RESULTS

Our analysis identified Salvia miltiorrhiza and Dalbergiae odoriferae as the candidate drugs rich in active ingredients for treatment of MI. These ingredients involved 16 key therapeutic targets for MI, which participated in such biological processes as inflammatory response, angiogenesis, energy metabolism and oxidative stress and the pathways including HIF-1, VEGF, and TNF pathways. Sclareol and PTGS2 in Salvia miltiorrhiza and formononetin and KDR in Dalbergiae odoriferae all had high docking total scores. Western blotting showed that at medium and high doses, sclareol significantly inhibited PTGS2 expression and formononetin promoted KDR expressions in the cell models in a dose-dependent manner (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Both Salvia miltiorrhiza and Dalbergiae odoriferae have good therapeutic effects on MI. Sclareol in Salvia miltiorrhiza and formononetin in Dalbergiae odoriferae regulate the expressions of KDR and PTGS2, respectively, to modulate the inflammatory response, angiogenesis, oxidative stress and energy metabolism and thus produce myocardial protective effects.

Establishment of prediction models for COVID-19 patients in different age groups based on Random Forest algorithm

BACKGROUND

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has rapidly become a global pandemic. Age is an independent factor in death from the disease, and predictive models to stratify patients according to their mortality risk are needed.

AIM

To compare the laboratory parameters of the younger (≤70) and the elderly (>70) groups, and develop death prediction models for the two groups according to age stratification.

DESIGN

A retrospective, single-center observational study.

METHODS

This study included 437 hospitalized patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 from Tongji Hospital in Wuhan, China, 2020. Epidemiological information, laboratory data and outcomes were extracted from electronic medical records and compared between elderly patients and younger patients. First, recursive feature elimination (RFE) was used to select the optimal subset. Then, two random forest (RF) algorithms models were built to predict the prognoses of COVID-19 patients and identify the optimal diagnostic predictors for patients' clinical prognoses.

RESULTS

Comparisons of the laboratory data of the two age groups revealed many different laboratory indicators. RFE was used to select the optimal subset for analysis, from which 11 variables were screened out for the two groups. The RF algorithm were built to predict the prognoses of COVID-19 patients based on the best subset, and the area under ROC curve (AUC) of the two groups is 0.874 (95% CI: 0.833-0.915) and 0.842 (95% CI: 0.765-0.920).

CONCLUSION

Two prediction models for COVID-19 were developed in the patients with COVID-19 based on random forest algorithm, which provides a simple tool for the early prediction of COVID-19 mortality.

Characterization of genetic fundamentals for piglet mortality at birth in Yorkshire, Landrace, and Duroc sows

Piglet mortality is an economically important complex trait that impacts sow prolificacy. Genetic analyses for piglet mortality at weaning have been reported in dozens of studies, but not for piglet mortality at birth. In this study, we used multi-breed data sets from Yorkshire, Landrace, and Duroc sows to characterize the genetic fundamentals of piglet mortality at birth. The heritabilities from parity I to III were estimated to be 0.0630, 0.1031, and 0.1140 respectively. By using a combined strategy, a total of 21 SNPs were detected in three parities, of which six were observed in parity I, five in parity II and 10 in parity III. Genome annotation revealed that these SNPs were harbored within or close to 19 candidate genes. The candidate genes were found to associate with the reproductive system and embryonic development in the tissue expression database, which are reasonably related to piglet mortality. These findings are expected to provide much information for understanding the genetic and genomic fundamentals of farrowing mortality.

Molecular characterisation and function analysis of NOD1 gene from Yangzhou goose (Anser cygnoides domesticus)

1. NOD1 is a significant member of the NOD-like receptor (NLR) family. Its main role is to identify microorganisms that invade the body, transmit immune signals and regulate innate immune responses. However, the expression and role of the NOD1 in immune defence against infection in geese remain unknown.2. The RT-PCR method and rapid amplification of cDNA ends (RACE) was used to obtain the full-length goose NOD1 (gNOD1) cDNA series. The cDNA for gNOD1 contains 2856-bp nucleotides, i.e. 47-bp 5' UTR, 135-bp 3' UTR, and 1275-bp ORF region, and encodes a 951-amino-acids (AAs) polypeptide chain. The nucleotide sequence of gNOD1 was found more than 90% similar to its homologs from other avian organisms.3. The qRT-PCR results showed that gNOD1 mRNA was widely distributed in different tissues, but highly expressed in liver, spleen, lung and caecum tissues.4. Following stimulation of goose embryo fibroblasts (GEFs) with lipopolysaccharide (LPS) and polyriboinosinic polyribocytidylic acid (poly(I:C)), the expression of gNOD1 and cytokines, such as IL-1β, IL-6, IL-18, and TNF-α, changed with the response-efficacy correlation at 24 and 48 h post-infection (hpi).5. When the goslings were challenged with Salmonella entertidis (SE) and LPS, the expression of gNOD1 was up-regulated at 3 and 6 hpi in the spleen and caecum tissues, respectively. However, after SE infection, the expression level of gNOD1 fluctuated, while in the LPS group, gNOD1 mRNA increased immediately at a peak time of 6 hpi and then steadily declined. These results indicated that NOD1 was associated with the potency to resist bacterial and viral infections in the goose, both in vivo and in vitro.

Planktonic bacteria in white shrimp (Litopenaeus vannamei) and channel catfish (Letalurus punetaus) aquaculture ponds in a salt-alkaline region

Aquaculture in salt-alkaline regions is encouraged in China, and culture of many aquatic species has been introduced into these areas. In this study, we cultured two species, white shrimp (Litopenaeus vannamei) and channel catfish (Letalurus punetaus) separately in aquaculture ponds in a salt-alkaline region in northwest China and assessed the impacts of the aquaculture operations on the planktonic bacterial community in the culture ponds. Culture of both species decreased the planktonic bacterial diversity and altered the bacterial community structure in the aquaculture ponds compared with the source water. Among the 10 dominant bacterial phyla, 8 were significantly correlated with environmental parameters; the exception was Actinobacteriota, the most dominant phylum, and Firmicutes. Proteobacteria and Bacteroidota abundances showed significant positive correlations with alkalinity, whereas Patescibacteria, Cyanobacteria, Planctomycetota, and Verrucomicrobiota abundance were positively correlated with salinity. Linear regression analysis showed that alkalinity was positively correlated with bacterial beta diversity and salinity was negatively correlated with that. In addition, white shrimp aquaculture significantly lowered the alkalinity, which suggests that culture of this species in inland salt-alkaline regions is a potential dealkalization solution.

[Development of a fluorescent recombinase-aided isothermal amplification-based nucleic acid assay for detection of Leishmania]

OBJECTIVE

To develop a fluorescent recombinase-aided isothermal amplification (RAA)-based nucleic acid assay for detection of Leshimania.

METHODS

Specific primers and probes were designed targeting Leishmania internal transcribed spacer 1 (ITS1) gene for RAA assay, and a fluorescent RAA assay was developed for detection of Leishmania following screening of primer pairs and optimization of primer and probe concentrations. The sensitivity of RAA assay for detection of Leishmania was evaluated using recombinant plasmid containing Leishmania ITS1 gene sequences at different copies and Leshimania genomic DNA at different concentrations as templates, and the specificity of RAA assay for detection of Leishmania was evaluated using the genomic DNA of transfusion-transmitted parasites, including Babesia microti, Toxoplasma gondii, Plamodium vivax, P. ovale, P. falciparum, P. malariae, L. donovani and L. infantum.

RESULTS

After the optimal primer pair was screened from 9 pairs of primer combinations, the final primer and probe concentrations were optimized as 0.3 μmol/L and 0.08 μmol/L, respectively. Nucleic acid detection of Leishmania was completed by the fluorescent RAA assay at an isothermal temperature of 39 °C within 20 min. Remarkable florescent signals were seen within 5 min following RAA detection of genomic DNA of L. donovani and L. infantum, and no cross-reactions were observed with B. microti, T. gondii, P. vivax, P. ovale, P. falciparum or P. malariae. The lowest limitation of detection of the fluorescent RAA assay was 10 copies/μL recombinant plasmid containing Leishmania ITS1 gene sequences and 1 fg/μL Leishmania genomic DNA.

CONCLUSIONS

A rapid, simple, sensitive and specific fluorescent RAA assay is successfully developed for detection of L. donovani and L. infantum, which is effective for field screening of leishmaniasis.

Cloning, genome structure and expression analysis of MHC class I gene in Korean quail

1. The major histocompatibility complex (MHC) is a highly polymorphic region of the genome essential to immune responses and animal health. However, avian MHC genetic structure is different from that of mammals. In this study, the structure and expression of Korean quail MHC class I gene was analysed.2. The quail MHC gene consisted of eight exons and seven introns. The open reading frame of the cDNA was 353 amino acids, and the molecular weight was about 38.91 kDa. Exons 1 and 2 coded for leading peptides and alpha 1 regions, respectively. Exons 3 and 4 encoded alpha 2 and alpha 3 regions. Exons 5 to 8 coded for connecting peptides and transmembrane regions/cytoplasmic regions (TM/CY). The Korean quail MHC class I amino acid sequence shared 87% to 99% homology with Japanese quail and 71% to 75% with chicken. The amino acid shared 40% and 43% homology with humans and mice, respectively.3. Real-time quantitative PCR showed that MHC-I was highly expressed in immune tissues such as the bursa of Fabricius. Moreover, the constructed evolutionary tree was consistent with accepted evolutionary pathways.4. MHC-I is closely related to the host's immune system, and these findings may help to better understand the role of Korean quail MHC-I in the immune system.

Esophagectomy combined with off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting through left posterolateral incision is safe and feasible for esophageal cancer associated with coronary artery disease

Controversy still exists as to whether surgical treatment has any impact on the long-term survival of esophageal cancer (EC) patients with coronary artery disease treated with curative esophagectomy combined with off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCABG). Therefore, the aim of this study was to introduce and assess the effect of esophagectomy combined with OPCABG on both short- and long-term outcomes. From January 2010 to January 2015, 1428 EC or esophagogastric junction cancer patients underwent surgical treatment at Henan Chest Hospital, Zhengzhou, China. The clinical data of 25 patients who underwent EC resection through a left thoracotomy following OPCABG and the perioperative characteristics and follow-up results were analyzed. The majority of the patients were male, and the EC stage was predominantly cT2N0-1M0 II. The most common pathological types were squamous cell carcinoma. The EC surgeries consisted of 15 chest anastomosis procedures and 10 cervical anastomosis procedures with aortocoronary graft implantation (mean: 2.36 grafts per patient). The mean total operative time was 330.8 ± 83.5 minutes. The median intensive care unit and hospital lengths of stay were 1.72 and 21.16 days, respectively. Resection without macroscopic residual disease (R0) was achieved in all of the patients. The most frequent complications included pulmonary infections (24%), arrhythmias (24%), pleural effusion (12%), and esophageal anastomotic leakage (8%). There were no postoperative deaths or myocardial infarctions within 30 days after the surgery. The overall 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates were 88%, 40%, and 24%, respectively, with a median survival time of 43 months. In the short-term, radical resection of EC following OPCABG is a safe and feasible treatment with low postoperative mortality rates. In the long-term, simultaneous surgery is acceptable and is associated with favorable overall and disease-free survival.

Modified anterior midline approach to treat hyperextension bicondylar tibial plateau fractures: Surgical technique and clinical experience with 18 cases

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the modified anterior midline approach and its efficacy for hyperextension bicondylar tibial plateau (HEBTP) fractures.

METHODS

From 2015 to 2019, 18 patients with HEBTP fractures with just little posterior cortical displacement were treated using the modified anterior midline approach. The operative protocols are fully described in this article, and the following parameters: articular step-off height (ASH), posterior tibial slope angle (pTSA), and medial tibial plateau angle (mTPA) were measured perioperatively and at the final follow-up. We also recorded the Rasmussen score and range of motion (ROM) to assess knee joint function at the final follow-up.

RESULTS

No complications, such as percutaneous nerve damage, infection, skin necrosis, and internal fixation breakage or loosening occurred perioperatively. The mean time for bony union was 13.7 weeks, and the mean preoperative ASH of the anterior cortex was 4.49 mm; this was restored to its normal height after surgery. The mean preoperative pTSA and mTPA were - 5.89° and 81.69°, respectively, compared with 3.89° and 87.91°, respectively, postoperatively. Comparing the postoperative and final follow-up radiographs, there were no significant differences in ASH, pTSA, and mTPA (P < 0.05). The average Rasmussen score was 27.2 (range, 23-29) at the final follow-up. Excellent results were achieved in 14 (77.8%) patients and good in 4 (22.2%) patients. The mean ROM in flexion was 123.2° and 2.9° in extension at the final follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggested that the modified anterior midline approach is a reasonable alternative for HEBTP fracture repair.

Spatiotemporal distribution, source apportionment and combined pollution of antibiotics in natural waters adjacent to mariculture areas in the Laizhou Bay, Bohai Sea

The spatiotemporal distribution, source apportionment and combined pollution of 14 antibiotics in natural waters adjacent to mariculture farms of Laizhou Bay in the Bohai Sea were studied. The contribution proportion and quantity of each potential pollution source to antibiotics in natural water bodies were quantitatively described. The correlations between heavy metals and antibiotics and their underlying mechanisms in natural and aquaculture water environment were analyzed. Fourteen antibiotics were detected in natural water and sediment in the coastal area of Laizhou Bay. The maximum concentrations of sulfamethazine and trimethoprim in water reached tens or even hundreds of μg/L in winter. Trimethoprim was the main antibiotic in natural water bodies in winter and summer, and enrofloxacin was the principal antibiotic in sediments. Enrofloxacin, ciprofloxacin and oxytetracycline were detected in all underground water samples; thus, control of these antibiotics needs to be made a priority to mitigate groundwater contamination. PCA-MLR revealed that the potential sources of antibiotics in natural waters of Laizhou Bay include the mariculture wastewater (18.3%), the domestic sewage (63.3%) and the livestock wastewater (18.4%). Therefore, the antibiotic burden of Laizhou Bay was principally from the domestic sewage. In natural water, the concentration of Cu was positively correlated with antibiotics, which might be related to the common sources, the competitive adsorption in sediments and the easy complexation characteristic of Cu and antibiotics. Positive correlations among antibiotics and heavy metals were observed in mariculture sediments, while negative relationships were observed in natural sediments.

[Establishment of a nucleic acid dipstick test for detection of Schistosoma japonicum specific gene fragments based on the recombinase-aided isothermal amplification assay]

OBJECTIVE

To develop a rapid test for detection of Schistosoma japonicum specific gene fragments based on the recombinase-aided isothermal amplification assay (RAA) and nucleic acid dipstick test.

METHODS

The S. japonicum SjG28 gene fragment was selected as the target gene fragment, and the primers and fluorescent probe were designed and synthesized. Then, a S. japonicum nucleic acid dipstick test was established. The sensitivity of this dipstick test was evaluated by detecting different copies of recombinant plasmids containing the S. japonicum SjG28 gene fragment and different concentrations of genomic DNA from adult worms of S. japonicum, and the specificity of the dipstick test was evaluated by detecting the genomic DNA from Clonorchis sinensis, S. mansoni, Ancylostoma duodenale, S. haematobium, Babesia and Paragonimus westermani.

RESULTS

The S. japonicum nucleic acid dipstick test based on the S. japonicum SjG28 gene fragment showed the minimum detectable limit of 10 copies/μL of the recombinant plasmid containing the S. japonicum SjG28 gene fragment and the minimum detectable limit of 1 pg/μL of S. japonicum genomic DNA, and the dipstick assay tested negative for the genomic DNA from C. sinensis, S. mansoni, A. duodenale, S. haematobium, Babesia and P. westermani.

CONCLUSIONS

A rapid, simple, and visualized assay is established for detection of S. japonicum specific gene fragments based on RAA and nucleic acid dipstick test.

P–138 When is low quality really low? Should we transfer low-grade blastocysts?

Study question

What is the live birth rate after single, low-grade blastocyst (LGB) transfer?

Summary answer

The live birth rate for LGBs is 28%, ranging between 15–31% for the different inner cell mass (ICM) and trophectoderm (TE) subgroups of LGBs.

What is known already

Live birth rates following LGB transfer are varied and have been reported to be in the range of 5–39%. However, these estimates are inaccurate as studies investigating live birth rates following LGB transfer are inherently limited by sample size (n = 10–440 for LGB transfers) due to LGBs being ranked last for transfer. Further, these studies are heterogenous with varied LGB definitions and design. Collating LGB live birth data from multiple clinics is warranted to obtain sufficient numbers of LGB transfers to establish reliable live birth rates, and to allow for delineation of different LGB subgroups, including blastocyst age and female age.

Study design, size, duration

We performed a multicentre, multinational retrospective cohort study in 9 IVF centres in China and New Zealand from 2012 to 2019. We studied the outcome of 6966 single blastocyst transfer cycles on days 5–7 (fresh and frozen) according to blastocyst grade, including 875 transfers from LGBs (&lt;3bb, this being the threshold typically applied to LGB studies). Blastocysts with expansion stage 1 or 2 (early blastocysts) were excluded.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

The main outcome measured was live birth rate. Blastocysts were grouped according to quality grade: good-grade blastocysts (GGBs; n = 3849, aa, ab and ba), moderate-grade blastocysts (MGBs; n = 2242, bb) and LGBs (n = 875, ac, ca, bc, cb and cc) and live birth rates compared using the Pearson Chi-squared test. A logistic regression analysis explored the relationship between blastocyst grade and live birth after adjustment for the confounders: clinic, female age, expansion stage, and blastocyst age.

Main results and the role of chance

The live birth rates for GGBs, MGBs and LGBs were 45%, 36% and 28% respectively (p &lt; 0.0001). Within the LGB group, the highest live birth rates were for grade c TE (30%) and the lowest were for grade c ICM (19%). The lowest combined grade (cc) maintained a 15% live birth rate (n = 7/48). After accounting for confounding factors, including female age and blastocyst characteristics, the odds of live birth were 2.33 (95% CI = 1.88–2.89) for GGBs compared to LGBs and 1.56 (95% CI = 1.28–1.92) for MGBs compared to LGBs following fresh and frozen blastocyst transfers (p &lt; 0.0001, odds ratios confirmed in exclusively frozen blastocyst transfer cycles). When stratified by individual ICM and TE grade, the odds of live birth according to ICM grade were 1.31 (a versus b; 95% CI = 1.15–1.48), 2.82 (a versus c; 95% CI = 1.91–4.18) and 2.16 (b versus c; 95% CI = 1.48–3.16; all p &lt; 0.0001). The odds of live birth according to TE grade were 1.33 (a versus b; 95% CI = 1.17–1.50, p &lt; 0.0001), 1.85 (a versus c; 95% CI = 1.45–2.34, p &lt; 0.0001) and 1.39 (b versus c; 95% CI = 1.12–1.73, p = 0.0024).

Limitations, reasons for caution

Despite the large multicentre design of the study, analyses of transfers occurring within the smallest subsets of the LGB group were limited by sample size. The study was not randomised and had a retrospective character.

Wider implications of the findings: LGBs maintain satisfactory live birth rates (averaging 28%) in the general IVF population. Even those in the lowest grading tier maintain modest live birth rates (15%; cc). It is recommended that LGBs not be universally discarded, and instead considered for subsequent frozen embryo transfer to maximize cumulative live birth rates.

Trial registration number

Not applicable

[Relationship between clinicopathological features and prognosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma]

Objective: To investigate the relationship between clinicopathologic features and prognosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma located in the head of pancreas. Methods: A retrospective study was performed on 169 patients undergoing radical resection for pancreatic head cancer collected in the First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University from January 2018 to April 2019. Univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were performed. Results: Patient's age, tumor differentiation, tumor maximum diameter, resection margin (several resection margins including portal vein groove resection margin, posterior resection margin, and uncinate resection margin), number of positive lymph nodes, number of regional lymph node dissected, and some preoperative and postoperative indicators were associated with prognosis (P<0.05). Direct tumor invasion of organs and surrounding tissues, perineural and vascular invasion, pathologic variants etc. had no statistical significance for survival time. Patient's age, maximum tumor diameter, degree of differentiation, uncinate incision margin, number of regional lymph nodes dissected, and preoperative CA19-9 were independent factors affecting prognosis. Patients older than 74 years of age, with tumors larger than 3 cm in diameter, poorly differentiated, less than 7 regional lymph node dissected, positive uncinate margin, and preoperative CA19-9 higher than 1.5×10⁵ U/L were independent risk factors in patients with pancreatic head cancer. Conclusions: Old age, tumor lager than 3 cm, poor differentiation, low examined lymph nodes, direct uncinate margin involvement and (or) with preoperative CA19-9 higher than 1.5×10⁵ U/L are related to poor prognosis of head pancreatic cancer.

Determining the DNA Fingerprinting Profiles of Salmonella Isolates from Raw Poultry Meats and Human Clinical Samples from the Same Geographic Area Using Pulsed-Field Gel Electrophoresis

ABSTRACT

Foods of animal origin, such as poultry, eggs, and pork, are recognized sources of Salmonella infections, but determination of the proportion of foodborne infections associated with various food sources has been challenging. In the present study, 141 Salmonella isolates recovered from 1,322 poultry product samples purchased over a 1-year period from retail stores across Seattle, WA were subtyped by pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) using restriction enzyme XbaI. The objectives of the study were (i) to analyze the longitudinal distribution of Salmonella PFGE profiles throughout the sampling period and their clonality within and between poultry processing establishments, (ii) to determine the association between PFGE profiles of Salmonella isolates from locally distributed poultry products and those of clinical isolates submitted to the Washington State Department of Health (WA-DOH) laboratories, and (iii) to compare the PFGE profiles of Salmonella isolates from the National Antimicrobial Resistance Monitoring System (NARMS) retail meats program. During the 1-year sampling period, multiple indistinguishable PFGE patterns were found across multiple poultry processing establishments. Twelve of the 30 unique PFGE profiles of Salmonella isolates from locally purchased poultry products were indistinguishable from the PFGE profiles of clinical Salmonella isolates submitted to the WA-DOH. When the PFGE profiles from the poultry samples were compared with those found in the NARMS database, eight indistinguishable PFGE matches were found with isolates recovered from chicken breasts, ground turkey, and ground beef from multiple states. Although this study revealed some association between PFGE profiles from raw poultry products and those of clinical isolates from the same geographical area, these results do not prove that all of those clinical isolates were from infections acquired through consumption or handling of poultry.

HIGHLIGHTS

[Effectiveness of the thermal ablation in the treatment of human papillomavirus infection and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia in Chinese women]

Objective: To evaluate the effectiveness of thermal ablation in the treatment of human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) in Chinese women. Methods: The high-risk HPV-positive women aged 20-65 who were detected through a cervical cancer screening project implemented in three rural sites (Etuoke counties in Inner Mongolia, Xiangyuan and Yangcheng counties in Shanxi Province) and one urban site (Shenzhen) in China were included in this prospective study. Follow up evaluation was performed on HPV positive women who underwent thermal ablation (n=166) as well as received no treatment (n=2 716) in cervical cancer screening program. For women with thermal ablation treatment, HPV test and cytology were used for follow-up with the interval of 6 months or longer after treatment. For women without treatment, HPV test was used for annual follow-up. Women with positive results in either of the HPV tests or abnormal cytology were referred for a colposcopy or biopsy if necessary. The HPV clearance rate and the cure rate of CIN were compared between the two groups. Results: A total of 152 women treated with thermal ablation and 2 539 women without treatment reported for follow-up evaluation with the age M(Q1, Q3) of 42 (36, 48) and 47 (41, 54) years old, and the median time to follow-up time of 23.4 (12.4, 24.5) and 23.5 (12.4, 24.0)months, respectively. The HPV clearance rate in women undergoing thermal ablation was significantly higher than that in women with no treatment (73.0% vs 46.1%, P<0.001). The HPV16, HPV52 and HPV58 clearance rates among women receiving thermal ablation were higher than that in women without treatment with the OR (95%CI) of 2.8 (1.3-6.1), 3.2 (1.3-7.9) and 5.8 (2.1-15.6). For women with histologically confirmed CIN at baseline, cure rates were 77.4%(n=72) for thermal ablation. Cure rates of the thermal ablation were 81.0%(n=47) for CIN grade one (CIN1) and 71.4% (n=25) for CIN grade two or worse (CIN2+). Conclusions: Thermal ablation is effective to clear the HPV infection as well as to treat CIN. Particularly for the HPV genotypes with the paramount attributable proportion to cervical cancer and precancerous in China, the HPV clearance rate was significantly higher than that reported in the women without treatment.

The acoustical properties of tetraethyl orthosilicate based granular silica aerogels

Available data suggests that granulated aerogels can be of interest in terms of their sound absorption performance in the audio frequency range. However, there is still no thorough understanding of the complex physical phenomena which are responsible for their observed acoustical properties. This work is an attempt to address this gap through advanced material characterization methods and mathematical modelling. Aerogel samples are produced through a two-step, acid-base sol-gel process, with sol silica concentration and density being the main variables. Their pore structure is carefully characterized by nitrogen sorption analysis and scanning electron microscopy. The acoustical properties of hard-backed granular silica aerogels are measured in an impedance tube and the results predicted accurately with the adopted theoretical model. Although silica aerogels have over 90% of open interconnected pores, this was neither reflected in the measured acoustical properties nor the parameter values predicted with the model. Novel results show that only a proportion of the micro and mesopores in the direct vicinity of the grain surface influenced the acoustical properties of aerogels. Further work in the hierarchical pore structure of aerogels is required to better understand the roles of different pore scales on the measured acoustical properties of a granulated aerogel.

[Performance of a recombinase - aided amplification assay for detection of Schistosoma japonicum infections in Oncomelania hupensis]

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the efficiency of a recombinase-aided amplification (RAA) assay for the detection of Schistosoma japonicum infections in Oncomelania hupensis snails.

METHODS

A group test was employed. Fifty Oncomelania snails were collected as a detection sample. The detection samples without infected snails were designated as negative specimens, while the detection samples that contained different numbers of infected snails were designated as positive specimens. A total of 10 negative specimens, 10 positive specimens containing 1 infected snail, 20 positive specimens containing 2 infected snails and 10 positive specimens containing 3 infected snails were assigned. Following random grouping, 40 specimens were subject to the florescent RAA assay using a blind method. The miradium shedding method served as a gold standard, and the sensitivity, specificity, Youden's index and coincidence rate of the florescent RAA assay were estimated. In addition, 20 samples consisted of 5 negative specimens and 15 positive specimens with 1, 2 and 3 infected snails respectively were grouped randomly. The same specimens were detected using the crushing method and fluorescent RAA assay with the blind method in a paired-design manner. Then, the test results were compared and analyzed.

RESULTS

Florescent RAA assay detected 29 positives in the 30 specimens containing different numbers of infected snails, with a sensitivity of 96.67%, and 8 negatives in the 10 detection specimens without infected snails, with a specificity of 80.00%, showing a Youden's index of 0.77. The coincidence rate was 100% among 10 repeated assays for a detection specimen. In addition, there was no significant difference in the detection of infected snails between the florescent RAA assay and the crushing method (χ² = 0, P > 0.05), and the actual coincidence rates of the florescent RAA assay and crushing method were 95.00% (19/20) and 90.00% (18/20) with the real results, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Fluorescent RAA assay has a favorable efficiency for the detection of S. japonicum infections in Oncomelania snails, which shows a potential in screening of S. japonicum-infected Oncomelania snails.

[Association of status of mismatch repair protein expression and EB virus infection with clinicopathological parameters in 886 gastric adenocarcinoma patients]

Objective: To analyze the expression of mismatch repair (MMR) protein and the EB virus infection in gastric adenocarcinoma, and to examine the association of MMR expression and EB virus infection with clinicopathological parameters. Methods: A case-control study was performed. Clinicopathological data of patients who was pathologically diagnosed as gastric adenocarcinoma, received radical gastrectomy and had complete clinicopathological data from August 2017 to April 2020 in Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital were retrospectively collected and analyzed. The immunohistochemistry (IHC) of MMR proteins and in situ hybridization (ISH) of Epstein-Barr virus encoded RNA (EBER) were reviewed. The associations of MMR and EBER results with clinicopathological parameters were analyzed. The main observations of the study were MMR and EBER expression, and association of MMR and EBER results with clinicopathological parameters. Results: Eight hundred and eighty-six patients were enrolled, including 98 patients who received preoperative neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Of 886 patients, 613 (69.2%) were males and the median age was 60 (22-83) years; 831 (93.8%) were mismatch repair proficiency (pMMR), and 55 (6.2%) were mismatch repair deficiency (dMMR). In dMMR group, 47 cases (85.5%) had the deficiency of both MLH1 and PMS2, 1 case (1.8%) had the deficiency of both MSH2 and MSH6, 4 cases (7.3%) had the deficiency only in PMS2, 2 cases (3.6%) had the deficiency only in MSH6, and 1 case (1.8%) had the deficiency only in MSH2. The deficiency rates of PMS2, MLH1, MSH6 and MSH2 were 5.8% (51/886), 5.3% (47/886), 0.3% (3/886) and 0.2% (2/886), respectively. Among the 871 cases with EBER results, 4.9% (43/871) were positive EBER. Univariate analysis showed that dMMR was more frequently detected in female patients (χ(2)=10.962, P=0.001), cancer locating in the antrum (χ(2)=9.336,P=0.020), Lauren intestinal type (χ(2)=9.718, P=0.018), stage T3 (χ(2)=25.866, P<0.001) and TNM stage II (χ(2)=15.470, P=0.002). The ratio of dMMR was not significantly associated with age, tumor differentiation, histological type, lymph node metastasis, distant metastasis or Her-2 immunohistochemical score (all P>0.05). Compared with negative EBER, positive EBER was more frequent in male patients (χ(2)=9.701, P=0.002), cancer locating in gastric fundus and corpus (χ(2)=17.964, P<0.001), gastric cancer with lymphoid stroma (χ(2)=744.073, P<0.001) and poorly differentiated cancer (χ(2)=13.739, P=0.010). Positive EBER was not significantly associated with age, depth of invasion, lymph node metastasis, distant metastasis, TNM stage or Her-2 immunohistochemical score (all P>0.05). In addition, all dMMR cases were EBER negative, and all cases of positive EBER were pMMR. Conclusions: The positive EB virus status is mutually exclusive with dMMR, indicating that different molecular subtypes of gastric adenocarcinoma are involved in different molecular pathways in tumorigenesis and progression. The overlapping of dMMR or positive EBER status and positive Her-2 expression is found in some cases of gastric adenocarcinoma. Patients with gastric adenocarcinoma after radical surgery should be tested for MMR status if they are female, the tumor locates in gastric antrum, the TNM staging is stage II or T3, or if the Lauren classification is intestinal type. And if patients are male, the tumor locates in the gastric fundus and corpus, the cancer is lymphoid stroma, or poor differentiated, the expression of EBER should be detected. Results of our study may provide evidence for further decision-making of clinical treatment.

Association between serum elastin-derived peptides and abdominal aortic calcification in peritoneal dialysis patients: a cross-sectional study

Background

Peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients experience accelerated arterial aging, which is characterized by elastin degradation. Elastin-derived peptides (EDPs) are direct products of elastin fragmentation. This study tried to explore the association between serum EDPs and abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) in PD patients.

Methods

Serum levels of EDPs were analyzed in 126 eligible PD patients and 30 controls. PD patients were grouped according to the annularity of AAC evaluated by an abdominal computed tomography (CT) scan. Serum EDPs were analyzed in relation to the presence of AAC or severe AAC in PD patients by logistic regression analysis.

Results

Serum EDPs in PD patients were significantly higher than age-matched controls. In 126 PD patients, higher EDPs was associated with greater risk of present AAC (OR = 1.056, 95%CI 1.010–1.103) and severe AAC (OR = 1.062, 95%CI 1.004–1.123). A combination of EDPs substantially improved the accuracy of diagnostic performance for AAC and severe AAC.

Conclusions

EDPs can predict the presence and extent of AAC in PD patients, indicating its possible role to recognize PD patients at risk for AAC and severe AAC.

Association of waist circumstance with long-term all-cause mortality and cardiac death in patients with a pacemaker

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Objective

To explore the association of abdominal obesity with long-term prognosis in patients with a pacemaker.

Methods

Patients in the Summit study were enrolled and divided into groups according to baseline waist circumference: with obesity, normal, and lean. Regular follow-up was performed. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality, and the secondary endpoint was cardiac death.

Results

In total, 492 patients were included in the analysis. The average baseline waist circumference was 84.2 ± 12.7 cm, and abdominal obesity was observed in 37.6% of patients. During a mean follow-up of 67.2 ± 17.5 months,71 all-cause mortality (14.40%) and 24 cardiac death (4.87%) events occurred. All-cause mortality was associated with higher waist circumference (87.6 versus 83.6 cm, P = 0.014), but not body mass index (23.6 versus 23.5, P= 0.930). Multivariate Cox analysis showed compared with patients with abdominal obesity, lean patients had a significant survival benefit in both all-cause mortality (HR 0.188, 95%CI 0.070-0.505, P = 0.001) and cardiac death (HR 0.097, 95% CI 0.012-0.792, P = 0.029).

Conclusions

Waist circumference was associated with long-term all-cause mortality and cardiac death. Baseline waist circumference less than 80 cm for men and less than 75 cm for women had a significant survival benefit.

Development and validation of novel diagnostic nomogram for tuberculous pleurisy based on TB-IGRA results

OBJECTIVE: To establish the diagnostic nomogram for tuberculous pleurisy (TP) based on TB-interferon-gamma release assays (TB-IGRA), as well as clinical and peripheral blood characteristics.MATERIAL AND METHODS: Patients who underwent TB-IGRA tests during hospitalisation and were finally diagnosed, were retrospectively and continuously enrolled. TP was divided into confirmed TP (cTP) and presumptive TP (pTP), and corresponding diagnostic nomograms were established.RESULTS: A total of 1283 patients were enrolled (median age 49 years, range 14-96; males: 63.1%). The area under the curve (AUC) of TB-IGRA was 0.81 (95%CI 0.77-0.84) for cTP (n = 272) and 0.74 (95%CI 0.71-0.78) for pTP (n = 644). The false-positive and negative rates of TB-IGRA among non-TP and cTP were respectively 32.4% and 16.8%. Based on LASSO analysis, we then selected respectively 12 and 10 predictors from clinical and peripheral blood characteristics to establish cTP and pTP nomograms (TB-IGRA was selected). The cTP and pTP nomograms had an AUC of 0.93 (95%CI 0.90-0.95) and 0.92 (95%CI 0.90-0.94) in the training group, and 0.91 (95%CI 0.87-0.96) and 0.93 (95%CI 0.89-0.96) in the validation group, respectively, which were superior to TB-IGRA test alone.CONCLUSION: Novel predictive nomograms with less invasiveness were provided based on TB-IGRA test to assist differential diagnosis of TP and non-TP patients.

[Clinical effect evaluation of anodized and sandblasted, large-grit, acid-etched implants within 10 years: a meta-analysis]

Objective: To systematically evaluate the clinical effect of anodized implants and sandblasted, large-grit, acid-etched (SLA) implants in the recent 10 years, so as to provide a reference for the selection and evaluation of implants. Methods: The data from Pubmed, Cochrane Library, Embase, CNKI, and Wanfang Data database from January 2010 to April 2020 were searched, to find clinical studies on anodized and SLA implants. According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, literature was strictly screened, and data was extracted. Included studies were evaluated by using the methodological index for non-randomized studies (MINORS) and were analyzed by Stata14.0. The outcome of interest was cumulative survival rate (CSR) and marginal bone loss (MBL). Heterogeneity and publication bias among included literature was evaluated comprehensively. Results: A total of 22 articles, including 6 276 anodized implants, were collected for the analysis of anodized implants. Meta-analysis of proportions showed that anodized implants CSR were 98% (95%CI: 97%-98%, P<0.05) in total, at 5 years were 98% (95%CI: 98%-99%, P<0.05), and at 10 years were 97% (95%CI: 96%-98%, P<0.05). MBL change was 1.02 mm (95%CI: 0.69-1.34, P<0.05) in total. A total of 17 articles, including 4 567 SLA implants, were collected for the analysis of SLA implants. Meta-analysis of proportions showed that SLA implants CSR were 99% (95%CI: 98%-100%, P<0.05) in total, 99% at 5 years (95%CI: 98%-100%, P<0.05), and 99% at 10 years (95%CI: 97%-100%, P<0.05). MBL change was 0.69 mm (95%CI: 0.44-0.95, P<0.05) in total. The results of the above two studies were tested for bias (P>0.05), indicating no significant publication bias. Conclusions: Meta-analysis suggested that SLA implants have higher CSR and lower MBL than anodized implants.

Epidemiology of and risk factors for mortality due to carbapenemase-producing organisms (CPO) in healthcare facilities

BACKGROUND

Carbapenemase-producing organisms (CPO) have been largely responsible for the extensive spread of carbapenem resistance, and their prevalence is increasing in many parts of the world.

AIM

To evaluate clinical and molecular epidemiology and mortality associated with CPO among patients.

METHODS

All CPO from clinical and long-term healthcare surveillance cultures across Scotland in 2003-2017 were reviewed retrospectively. Polymerase chain reaction was used to detect genes coding for carbapenemases. A generalized linear mixed model was used to identify risk factors for mortality.

FINDINGS

In total, 290 individuals with CPO were identified. The overall incidence increased over time (P<0.001) from 0.02 to 1.38 per 100,000 population between 2003 and 2017. A total of 243 distinct CPO isolates were obtained from 269 isolations in 214 individuals with available metadata. The majority of the isolates were Enterobacterales (206/243, 84.8%), and Klebsiella pneumoniae (65/206, 31.6%) and Enterobacter cloacae (52/206, 25.2%) were the most common species. VIM (75/243, 30.9%) and NDM (56/243, 23.0%) were the most common carbapenemases. The crude 30-day mortality rate was 11.8% (25/211), while the case fatality rate was 5.7% (12/211). Age >60 years [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 3.36, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-10.63; P=0.033], presence of non-fermenters (aOR 4.88, 95% CI 1.64-14.47; P=0.005), and systemic infection or organ failure (aOR 4.21, 95% CI 1.38-12.81; P=0.032) were independently associated with 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of CPO in Scotland is low but increasing. Awareness is required that inpatients aged >60 years, patients with systemic infection or organ failure, and patients presenting with non-fermenters are at higher risk of death from CPO.

Early-life Exposures and Age at Breast Development in the Sister Study Cohort

Purpose: Early age at breast development (thelarche) has been associated with increased breast cancer risk. Average age at thelarche has declined over time, but there are few established risk factors for early thelarche. We examined associations between pre- and postnatal exposures and age at thelarche in a U.S. cohort of women born between 1928 and 1974. Methods: Breast cancer-free women ages 35–74 years who had a sister diagnosed with breast cancer were enrolled in the Sister Study from 2003–2009 (N = 50,884). At enrollment, participants reported their age at thelarche, which we categorized as early (≤10 years), average (11–13 years), and late (≥14 years), as well as information on early-life exposures. We estimated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for early and late thelarche relative to average age at thelarche using polytomous logistic regression for each early-life exposure, adjusted for birth cohort, race/ethnicity and family income level in childhood. We examined modification by birth cohort, race/ethnicity, family income, relative weight at age 10, and extent of breast cancer family history through stratification. Results: Early thelarche was more common in recent birth cohorts and among non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic women. Early thelarche (≤10 years) was associated with multiple prenatal exposures: gestational hypertensive disorder (OR = 1.25, 95% CI, 1.09–1.43), maternal diethylstilbestrol (DES) use (OR = 1.23, 95% CI, 1.04–1.45), maternal smoking during pregnancy (OR = 1.20, 95% CI, 1.13–1.27), and young maternal age (OR 1.30, 95% CI, 1.16–1.47 for &lt;20 vs 25–29 years). Being firstborn was also associated with early thelarche (OR = 1.25, 95% CI, 1.17–1.33). Low birthweight (&lt;2500 vs 2500–3999g) was suggestively associated with both early (OR = 1.06, 95% CI, 0.96–1.17) and late (OR = 1.15, 95% CI, 1.05–1.25) thelarche, as was use of soy formula in infancy (Early: OR = 1.10, 95% CI, 0.93–1.30; Late: OR = 1.07, 95% CI, 0.92–1.25). Patterns were generally similar across strata of modifiers of interest. Conclusion: Associations between pre- and postnatal exposures and age at thelarche suggest that the early-life environment may influence breast development and therefore may also affect breast cancer risk by altering the timing of pubertal breast development.

Antibiotics in marine aquaculture farms surrounding Laizhou Bay, Bohai Sea: Distribution characteristics considering various culture modes and organism species

This study mainly investigated the distribution characteristics and risk assessment of 14 antibiotics in typical marine aquaculture farms surrounding the Bohai Sea. The effects of various culture modes (outdoor pond culture, recirculating water culture, greenhouse pond culture, raft culture, cage culture and bottom sowing culture), and diverse cultured organism species such as fish (grouper, bass, pike and turbot), mollusk (oyster, scallop, conch and mussel) and sea cucumber on the distribution of antibiotics in different mariculture pond matrices (seawater, sediment/biofilm and organism) were studied. In addition, antibiotic pollution levels in various matrices (water, sediment, organism and feed) from different mariculture areas surrounding the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea were compared. The biofilm on the inner wall of greenhouse pond was more capable of accumulating antibiotics than the biofilm attached to the rope for raft culture and net for cage culture, and other culture sediments. The antibiotic concentration level in the culture matrices (water, sediment/biofilm and organism) was the highest under greenhouse pond culture mode, and that under the industrial recirculating water culture mode was the lowest. Antibiotic concentration in culture matrices of fish ponds was higher than that of sea cucumber ponds and mollusk ponds. The levels of antibiotics in water and sediment from marine aquaculture farms in Laizhou (Bohai Sea coast) were higher than those in Haiyang and Jimo (Yellow Sea coast). Enrofloxacin in turbot might cause considerable harm to human health, and the risk of antibiotics in other seafood could be ignored. Antibiotic ecological risks and resistance risks were generally low in water. Fluoroquinolones posed medium to high ecological risks in the natural receiving water around the mariculture farm. Trimethoprim and enrofloxacin showed relatively high antibiotic resistance risks in mariculture water and natural water, which might exert selective pressure on the bacterial community in the environment.