Precision Determination of the Neutral Weak Form Factor of ^{48}Ca

We report a precise measurement of the parity-violating (PV) asymmetry A_{PV} in the elastic scattering of longitudinally polarized electrons from ^{48}Ca. We measure A_{PV}=2668±106(stat)±40(syst) parts per billion, leading to an extraction of the neutral weak form factor F_{W}(q=0.8733  fm^{-1})=0.1304±0.0052(stat)±0.0020(syst) and the charge minus the weak form factor F_{ch}-F_{W}=0.0277±0.0055. The resulting neutron skin thickness R_{n}-R_{p}=0.121±0.026(exp)±0.024(model)  fm is relatively thin yet consistent with many model calculations. The combined CREX and PREX results will have implications for future energy density functional calculations and on the density dependence of the symmetry energy of nuclear matter.

Deeply Virtual Compton Scattering Cross Section at High Bjorken x_{B}

We report high-precision measurements of the deeply virtual Compton scattering (DVCS) cross section at high values of the Bjorken variable x_{B}. DVCS is sensitive to the generalized parton distributions of the nucleon, which provide a three-dimensional description of its internal constituents. Using the exact analytic expression of the DVCS cross section for all possible polarization states of the initial and final electron and nucleon, and final state photon, we present the first experimental extraction of all four helicity-conserving Compton form factors (CFFs) of the nucleon as a function of x_{B}, while systematically including helicity flip amplitudes. In particular, the high accuracy of the present data demonstrates sensitivity to some very poorly known CFFs.

POS0146 INCREASED RISKS OF AORTIC REGURGITATION AND ATRIAL FIBRILLATION IN RADIOGRAPHIC AXIAL SPONDYLOARTHRITIS PATIENTS: A 10 YEAR NATIONWIDE COHORT STUDY

Background

Radiographic axial spondyloarthritis (r-axSpA) has increased risk of cardiovascular disease. Other cardiac manifestations such as conduction disturbance and valvular diseases were also suggested as co-morbidities in r-axSpA patients, however, the risk of these cardiac manifestation in r-axSpA were seldomly evaluated in large cohort.

Objectives

To compare the incidences of aortic regurgitation, atrial fibrillation (AF), and atrioventricular (AV) block II–III between r-axSpA patients and the general population (GP).

Methods

National Health Insurance Services data were used. R-axSpA patients (N = 8,877) and the age- and sex-matched GP (N = 26,631) were followed from August, 2006 to December, 2019. Incidence rates and standardized incidence ratios (SIR) of aortic regurgitation, AF, and AV block II–III were compared between these groups. Ten year incidence rates and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated by the Kaplan–Meier method and Cox regression analysis.

Results

Incidence rates of aortic regurgitation, AV block II–III, and AF in the r-axSpA group were 0.42, 0.21, and 4.0 per 1000 person-years, respectively. In the r-axSpA group, the SIR for aortic regurgitation was highest among 40–49-year-old men (4.11). Incidence rates of aortic regurgitation and AF were higher in the r-axSpA group than in the GP group (both p < 0.001), whereas the difference was insignificant for AV block II–III. In multivariate analysis, HRs for aortic regurgitation and AF were higher in the r-axSpA group than in the GP group (HR (95% confidence interval) = 2.55 (1.49–4.37) and 1.20 (1.04–1.39), respectively), but the difference was insignificant for AV block II–III.

Conclusion

Compared with the GP, r-axSpA patients are at increased risk of aortic regurgitation and AF, but not AV block II–III. These patients should be carefully monitored for occurrence of aortic regurgitation and AF.

References

[1]Agca R, Heslinga SC, Rollefstad S, et al. EULAR recommendations for cardiovascular disease risk management in patients with rheumatoid arthritis and other forms of inflammatory joint disorders: 2015/2016 update. Ann Rheum Dis 2017; 76: 17-28.

[2]Szabo SM, Levy AR, Rao SR, et al. Increased risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in individuals with ankylosing spondylitis: a population-based study. Arthritis Rheum 2011; 63: 3294-3304.

[3]Morovatdar N, Watts GF, Bondarsahebi Y, et al. Ankylosing Spondylitis and risk of Cardiac Arrhythmia and Conduction Disorders: A systematic review and meta analysis. Curr Cardiol Rev 2021.

[4]Bengtsson K, Forsblad-d’Elia H, Lie E, et al. Risk of cardiac rhythm disturbances and aortic regurgitation in different spondyloarthritis subtypes in comparison with general population: a register-based study from Sweden. Ann Rheum Dis 2018; 77: 541-548.

[5]Dik VK, Peters MJ, Dijkmans PA, et al. The relationship between disease-related characteristics and conduction disturbances in ankylosing spondylitis. Scand J Rheumatol 2010; 39: 38-41.

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

AB0307 MERKEL CELL CARCINOMA RECURRENCE RISK IS LOWER IN PATIENTS WITH AUTOIMMUNE DISEASE THAN IN THOSE WITH OTHER TYPES OF IMMUNE SUPPRESSION

Background

Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) is twice as likely to recur in immunosuppressed (IS) patients as in immunocompetent (IC) patients. Iatrogenic IS due to autoimmune disease (AD) may influence prognosis differently than intrinsic IS such as due to hematologic malignancy. Moreover, modification of IS medication may improve prognosis.

Objectives

Our objective was to evaluate the risk of MCC recurrence among patients with AD diseases relative to other immunosuppressive conditions among 762 MCC patients from an Institutional review board-approved registry.

Methods

We categorized patients into 3 groups: IS due to AD (ISAD); IS from other causes (lSnon-AD) such as hematologic malignancy, solid organ transplant, human immunodeficiency virus; or immune competent (n=31, 70, and 661 respectively). ISAD patients were subcategorized into rheumatoid arthritis (RA) (ADRA, n=13) vs. AD except for RA (ADnon-RA, n=18). Descriptive statistics were used to compare the features of different characteristics in each group. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were constructed to assess the cumulative incidence of recurrence in different patient groups. In order to estimate the associations between baseline patient characteristics and the risk of MCC recurrence, Fine and Gray regression models were used with death as a competing risk for recurrence. The multivariable models adjusted for age, sex, and extent of MCC at initial presentation.

Results

Patients with ISAD had lower stage disease (local disease: 58% vs. 36%, p = 0.003) and smaller primary tumors than ISnon-AD (<= 2 cm: 83% vs. 57%, p=0.023). After adjusting for age, sex, and stage, ISAD patients (ADRA and ADnon-RA) overall had a 54% higher recurrence rate (hazard ratio (HR): 1.54, p=0.21) than IC patients. In comparison, ISnon-AD group had a 165% higher recurrence rate (HR: 2.65, p<0.001) than IC patients (Figure 1). When considered separately, ADRA pts appeared to have a similar recurrence rate as IC pts (HR: 1.19, p=0.76) while ADnon-RA pts had a higher recurrence rate (HR: 1.83, p=0.16) relative to IC pts. At the time of MCC diagnosis, 80% (n=24) of AD pts were on IS medication including conventional disease modifying drugs, biologics, or oral steroids. After MCC diagnosis, 22% (5 patients) stopped all immunosuppressive medications. Among patients on biologics, 89% (8/9 pts) elected to stop the drug. Eleven pts with AD experienced recurrences. Our study was underpowered to demonstrate associations regarding use of a particular immunosuppressive medication and MCC recurrence.

Figure 1.

Cumulative incidence of Merkel cell carcinoma recurrence in different patient groups.

AD = autoimmune disease; IS = immunosuppressed; RA = rheumatoid arthritis.There were 4/13, 8/18, 49/70, and 217/661 recurrences in the RA, ADnon-RA, other immunosuppressed, and not chronically immunosuppressed groups, respectively. Follow-up time ranged from 26 days to 16 years, with median follow-up times of 4.7 years, 1.6 years, 1.6 years, and 3.9 years for the RA, ADnon-RA, other immunosuppressed and not chronically immunosuppressed groups, respectively.

Conclusion

In this cohort, pts with AD appeared to have a better prognosis than intrinsic IS, with RA conferring very little risk above that for immune competent pts.

Acknowledgements

I have no acknowledgements to declare.

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

COVID-19 susceptibility and clinical outcomes in autoimmune inflammatory rheumatic diseases (AIRDs): a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

This meta-analysis aims to assess the susceptibility to and clinical outcomes of COVID-19 in autoimmune inflammatory rheumatic disease (AIRD) and following AIRD drug use.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We included observational and case-controlled studies assessing susceptibility and clinical outcomes of COVID-19 in patients with AIRD as well as the clinical outcomes of COVID-19 with or without use of steroids and conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (csDMARDs).

RESULTS

Meta-analysis including three studies showed that patients with AIRD are not more susceptible to COVID-19 compared to patients without AIRD or the general population (OR: 1.11, 95% CI: 0.58 to 2.14). Incidence of severe outcomes of COVID-19 (OR: 1.34, 95% CI: 0.76 to 2.35) and COVID-19 related death (OR: 1.21, 95% CI: 0.68 to 2.16) also did not show significant difference. The clinical outcomes of COVID-19 among AIRD patients with and without csDMARD or steroid showed that both use of steroid (OR: 1.69, 95% CI: 0.96 to 2.98) or csDMARD (OR: 1.35, 95% CI: 0.63 to 3.08) had no effect on clinical outcomes of COVID-19.

CONCLUSIONS

AIRD does not increase susceptibility to COVID-19, not affecting the clinical outcome of COVID-19. Similarly, the use of steroids or csDMARDs for AIRD does not worsen the clinical outcome.

New Measurements of the Beam-Normal Single Spin Asymmetry in Elastic Electron Scattering over a Range of Spin-0 Nuclei

We report precision determinations of the beam-normal single spin asymmetries (A_{n}) in the elastic scattering of 0.95 and 2.18 GeV electrons off ^{12}C, ^{40}Ca, ^{48}Ca, and ^{208}Pb at very forward angles where the most detailed theoretical calculations have been performed. The first measurements of A_{n} for ^{40}Ca and ^{48}Ca are found to be similar to that of ^{12}C, consistent with expectations and thus demonstrating the validity of theoretical calculations for nuclei with Z≤20. We also report A_{n} for ^{208}Pb at two new momentum transfers (Q^{2}) extending the previous measurement. Our new data confirm the surprising result previously reported, with all three data points showing significant disagreement with the results from the Z≤20 nuclei. These data confirm our basic understanding of the underlying dynamics that govern A_{n} for nuclei containing ≲50 nucleons, but point to the need for further investigation to understand the unusual A_{n} behavior discovered for scattering off ^{208}Pb.

Measurement of the Nucleon F_{2}^{n}/F_{2}^{p} Structure Function Ratio by the Jefferson Lab MARATHON Tritium/Helium-3 Deep Inelastic Scattering Experiment

The ratio of the nucleon F_{2} structure functions, F_{2}^{n}/F_{2}^{p}, is determined by the MARATHON experiment from measurements of deep inelastic scattering of electrons from ^{3}H and ^{3}He nuclei. The experiment was performed in the Hall A Facility of Jefferson Lab using two high-resolution spectrometers for electron detection, and a cryogenic target system which included a low-activity tritium cell. The data analysis used a novel technique exploiting the mirror symmetry of the two nuclei, which essentially eliminates many theoretical uncertainties in the extraction of the ratio. The results, which cover the Bjorken scaling variable range 0.19<x<0.83, represent a significant improvement compared to previous SLAC and Jefferson Lab measurements for the ratio. They are compared to recent theoretical calculations and empirical determinations of the F_{2}^{n}/F_{2}^{p} ratio.

Measurement of Lepton-Jet Correlation in Deep-Inelastic Scattering with the H1 Detector Using Machine Learning for Unfolding

The first measurement of lepton-jet momentum imbalance and azimuthal correlation in lepton-proton scattering at high momentum transfer is presented. These data, taken with the H1 detector at HERA, are corrected for detector effects using an unbinned machine learning algorithm (multifold), which considers eight observables simultaneously in this first application. The unfolded cross sections are compared with calculations performed within the context of collinear or transverse-momentum-dependent factorization in quantum chromodynamics as well as Monte Carlo event generators.

Form Factors and Two-Photon Exchange in High-Energy Elastic Electron-Proton Scattering

We present new precision measurements of the elastic electron-proton scattering cross section for momentum transfer (Q^{2}) up to 15.75  (GeV/c)^{2}. Combined with existing data, these provide an improved extraction of the proton magnetic form factor at high Q^{2} and double the range over which a longitudinal or transverse separation of the cross section can be performed. The difference between our results and polarization data agrees with that observed at lower Q^{2} and attributed to hard two-photon exchange (TPE) effects, extending to 8  (GeV/c)^{2} the range of Q^{2} for which a discrepancy is established at >95% confidence. We use the discrepancy to quantify the size of TPE contributions needed to explain the cross section at high Q^{2}.

A new benchmark of soft X-ray transition energies of Ne , CO 2 , and SF 6 : paving a pathway towards ppm accuracy

ABSTRACT

A key requirement for the correct interpretation of high-resolution X-ray spectra is that transition energies are known with high accuracy and precision. We investigate the K-shell features of Ne , CO 2 , and SF 6 gases, by measuring their photo ion-yield spectra at the BESSY II synchrotron facility simultaneously with the 1s-np fluorescence emission of He-like ions produced in the Polar-X EBIT. Accurate ab initio calculations of transitions in these ions provide the basis of the calibration. While the CO 2 result agrees well with previous measurements, the SF 6 spectrum appears shifted by ∼ 0.5 eV, about twice the uncertainty of the earlier results. Our result for Ne shows a large departure from earlier results, but may suffer from larger systematic effects than our other measurements. The molecular spectra agree well with our results of time-dependent density functional theory. We find that the statistical uncertainty allows calibrations in the desired range of 1-10 meV, however, systematic contributions still limit the uncertainty to ∼ 40-100 meV, mainly due to the temporal stability of the monochromator energy scale. Combining our absolute calibration technique with a relative energy calibration technique such as photoelectron energy spectroscopy will be necessary to realize its full potential of achieving uncertainties as low as 1-10 meV.

Adjuvant durvalumab for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a placebo-controlled, randomized, double-blind, phase II study

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the efficacy of adjuvant durvalumab after neoadjuvant concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This randomized, double-blind, phase II study included patients with ESCC who underwent curative surgery after neoadjuvant CCRT. Patients were randomized to receive either durvalumab (20 mg/kg/i.v. every 4 weeks for 12 months) or placebo in a 1:1 ratio and were stratified by age and pathologic tumor stage. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

Between March 2016 and June 2018, 86 patients were randomized to the durvalumab (n = 45) or placebo (n = 41) arm. The median follow-up duration was 38.7 months. There was no difference in DFS [hazard ratio (HR) 1.18, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.62-2.27, P = 0.61] or overall survival (HR 1.08, 95% CI 0.52-2.24, P = 0.85) between the two arms. Subgroup analysis was performed for patients for whom the post-CCRT programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression profile could be assessed (n = 54). In the PD-L1-positive group, based on tumor proportion score ≥1%, durvalumab was associated with longer overall survival compared with the placebo (36-month survival rate: 94% versus 64%; HR 0.42, 95% CI 0.10-1.76), while in the PD-L1-negative group, it was associated with shorter overall survival (42% versus 55%; HR 1.53, 95% CI 0.48-4.83), showing the tendency of interaction between post-CCRT PD-L1 status and adjuvant durvalumab therapy for overall survival (interaction P = 0.18).

CONCLUSIONS

We failed to demonstrate that adjuvant durvalumab improved survival after neoadjuvant CCRT in patients with ESCC. However, post-CCRT PD-L1 expression could predict the survival of patients who receive adjuvant durvalumab after neoadjuvant CCRT, which needs to be validated.

An improved nonlinear ultrasonic technique for detecting and monitoring impact induced damage in composite plates

An improved technique for sensing damage initiation and progression in thermoplastic resin composite plate specimens is presented in this study. The composite plate specimens are investigated by using a nonlinear ultrasonic (NLU) technique called Sideband Peak Count Index or SPC-I. The technique presented in this paper is an improvement from the previous SPC-I technique. This improved technique provides more reliable and consistent results and can monitor the damage progression over a wide range. In this paper the narrow band SPC-I technique is introduced to replace the conventional wide band SPC-I technique. The method implemented here is improved in three ways. First and foremost the narrow band SPC-I technique is introduced. Secondly, the non-permanently adhered gel coupled Lead-Zirconate-Titanate (PZT) transducers are used to reduce inconsistency in transducer adhesion and manufacturing. Lastly, higher sampling rate equipment is used for better signal resolution and peak counting. The experiments are performed on 4 sets of composite plate specimens fabricated using two composite fiber materials (Glass and Basalt) that have increasing levels of damage. The composite plate specimens were damaged by a falling weight impact machine with increasing impact energy (0 J, 10 J, 20 J and 30 J). The composite plate specimens were examined by propagating a narrow band chirp signal through the specimens using gel coupled transducers in a transmission mode setup. The received signals were recorded and analyzed using the NLU SPC-I technique. The modified SPC-I technique proposed in this paper can reliably and consistently detect both initiation and progression of damage in the composite plate specimens.

Study of Λn FSI with Λ quasi-free productions on the 3H(e, e′K+)X reaction at JLab

Abstract. An nnΛ is a neutral baryon system with no charge. The study of the pure Λ-neutron system such as nnΛ gives us information on the Λn interaction. The nnΛ search experiment (E12-17-003) was performed at JLab Hall A in 2018. In this article, the Λn FSI was investigated by a shape analysis of the 3H(e, e′K+)X missing mass spectrum, and a preliminary result for the Λn FSI study is given.

Cross-section measurement of virtual photoproduction of iso-triplet three-body hypernucleus, Λnn

Missing-mass spectroscopy with the 3H(e, e′K+) reaction was carried out at Jefferson Lab’s (JLab) Hall A in Oct–Nov, 2018. The differential cross section for the 3H(γ∗, K+)Λnn was deduced at ω = Ee − Ee′ = 2.102 GeV and at the forward K+-scattering angle (0° ≤ θγ∗K ≤ 5°) in the laboratory frame. Given typical predicted energies and decay widths, which are (BΛ, Γ) = (−0.25, 0.8) and (−0.55, 4.7) MeV, the cross sections were found to be 11.2 ± 4.8(stat.)+4.1−2.1(sys.) and 18.1 ± 6.8(stat.)+4.2−2.9(sys.) nb/sr, respectively. The obtained result would impose a constraint for interaction models particularly between Λ and neutron by comparing to theoretical calculations.

Study of the Λ/Σ0 electroproduction in the low-Q2 region at JLab

We performed an experiment using tritium and hydrogen cryogenic gas targets at Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Facility (JLab) in 2018 (E12-17-003)[1, 2]. In this article, we discuss the Λ/Σ0 hyperon electroproduction from hydrogen target. Elementary Λ/Σ0 hyperon production processes are important not only for an absolute mass scale calibration in our experiment, but also for the study of the electroproduction mechanisms themselves. In this article, we reported the results of the differential cross section for the p(e, e’K+)Λ/Σ0 reaction at Q2 ∼ 0.5 (GeV/c)2.

The role of intraoperative frozen section analysis in joint arthroplasty with CD66b immunohistochemical staining

The preoperative diagnosis of infection during joint arthroplasty is important for clinical management. However, the evaluation of polymorphonuclear leukocytes (PMNs) during frozen section analysis is sometimes difficult due to frozen artifacts. In the present study, we sought to investigate the utility of intraoperative fresh frozen section (FFS) examination for diagnosis of infection and to evaluate whether the neutrophil-specific surface marker CD66b helps to improve the diagnostic accuracy of infection. A consecutive series of 65 original frozen sections at the time of resection arthroplasty was retrospectively reviewed compared with corresponding permanent sections. The presence of PMNs was determined using intraoperative FFS and permanent sections. Furthermore, CD66b staining was performed to identify PMNs clearly. The ratio of male to female patients was 21:42. The mean age was 70 years. Postoperatively, 25 of 65 cases were histologically diagnosed with infection (25/65; 39%). The sensitivity and specificity of intraoperative FFS relative to permanent section histology were 100% (25/25) and 95% (38/40), respectively. Among 40 patients without infection, two showed false-positive results during intraoperative FFS diagnosis (2/40, 5%). In addition, on CD66b staining, six cases (9%) experienced changes in results, which altered the sensitivity and specificity of intraoperative FFS compared with permanent histology only to 87% and 87%, respectively. In conclusion, the diagnostic performance of intraoperative FFS is high and comparable to yields of permanent section histology. Therefore, intraoperative FFS is highly suitable diagnostic method for detection of infection during joint arthroplasty. And CD66b immunostaining facilitates delicate identification of PMNs, especially in equivocal cases.

The dynamic theory of reasoned action: evidence for a reverse causal process in the context of WHO handwashing guidelines

OBJECTIVE

This study provided a first empirical test of the Reverse Dynamic Theory of Reasoned Action (RDTRA) developed by Boster et al.

DESIGN

In a longitudinal experiment, 169 participants were exposed to a WHO handwashing-guidelines behavioural induction, followed by an immediate posttest and a follow-up one week later.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The study measured attitudes and norms about WHO handwashing guidelines, as well as self-reported handwashing behaviour.

RESULTS

The experimental induction produced variance in self-reported handwashing behaviour, allowing a test of the RDTRA using path analysis and structural equation modelling (SEM). Results were consistent with the RDTRA, with a positive effect of behaviour on both the attitude and norm coupled with excellent model fit. Results were inconsistent with behaviour as an outcome of attitudes and norms in this context.

CONCLUSION

For health behaviours, such as the WHO handwashing technique, initial behavioural adoption may promote subsequent shaping of attitudes and perceived norms. Boundary conditions for this effect may include the degree of spontaneity and consent involved in behaviour adoption.

Probing Gluon Spin-Momentum Correlations in Transversely Polarized Protons through Midrapidity Isolated Direct Photons in p^{↑}+p Collisions at sqrt[s]=200 GeV

Studying spin-momentum correlations in hadronic collisions offers a glimpse into a three-dimensional picture of proton structure. The transverse single-spin asymmetry for midrapidity isolated direct photons in p^{↑}+p collisions at sqrt[s]=200  GeV is measured with the PHENIX detector at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC). Because direct photons in particular are produced from the hard scattering and do not interact via the strong force, this measurement is a clean probe of initial-state spin-momentum correlations inside the proton and is in particular sensitive to gluon interference effects within the proton. This is the first time direct photons have been used as a probe of spin-momentum correlations at RHIC. The uncertainties on the results are a 50-fold improvement with respect to those of the one prior measurement for the same observable, from the Fermilab E704 experiment. These results constrain gluon spin-momentum correlations in transversely polarized protons.

Multicentre validation of point-of-care screening tool for heart failure: single-lead ECG recorded by smart stethoscope predicts low ejection fraction using artificial intelligence

Background/Introduction

Artificial intelligence (AI) applied to 12-lead ECG can identify left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) ≤35% with a sensitivity and specificity of 86.3% and 85.7%, respectively. Whether AI algorithms trained on 12-lead can accurately predict EF from single-lead ECGs (recorded by a smart stethoscope) remains unknown. This could facilitate point-of-care screening for low EF during routine clinical examination.

Purpose

First independent multicentre real-world UK National Health Service (NHS) prospective validation of 12-lead-ECG-trained AI algorithm applied to single-lead ECG recorded by a smart stethoscope, with AI algorithm tuned to detect EF ≤40%.

Methods

Prospective recruitment of unselected patients attending for echocardiography across six urban NHS hospital sites (UK). In addition to transthoracic echocardiogram (routine care), all participants had 15 seconds of supine, single-lead ECG recorded at six different positions (figure), encompassing standard anatomical positions for cardiac auscultation. A convolutional neural network (CNN) previously trained on 35,970 independent pairings of 12-lead-ECG and echocardiograms was retrained to use the single-lead ECG as input. Accuracy of CNN detection of low EF (binary ≤40%) is reported at a threshold of 0.5 against gold-standard; echo-determined percentage EF.

Results

Among 353 patients recruited (mean age 63±17; 58% male, 43.1% non-white), 309 (87.5%) had an EF &gt;40%, and 44 (12.5%) had EF ≤40%. The best single recording position in isolation was position 3 (sensitivity 57.9% [42.2–73.6], specificity 86.3% [82.2–90.3]). Taking any of the six positions performed during the examination as predicting EF ≤40%, this achieved a sensitivity of 81.2% and specificity of 61.5%.

Conclusion(s)

In this first prospective multicentre validation study the retrained AI algorithm reliably detected low EF from single-lead ECGs acquired using a novel ECG-enabled stethoscope in standard auscultation positions. The ability to identify patients with possible low EF during routine physical examination addresses a significant unmet clinical need in point-of-care ruling in/out of heart failure, and has potential to provide broader population-level screening for asymptomatic cardiovascular disease.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): National Institute of Health Research, Accelerated Access Collaborative & NHSX: Artificial Intelligence in Health & Social Care Award

Triage-HF plus: 12-month study of remote monitoring pathway for triage of heart failure risk initiated during the Covid-19 pandemic

Background

The Covid-19 pandemic necessitated rapid adoption of remote monitoring across cardiovascular patient cohorts. Most patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) are now able to be remotely monitored using either scheduled, patient- or threshold-triggered transmissions. The validated “Triage Heart Failure Risk Score” (Triage-HFRS) is a medical algorithm within company-specific CIEDs that can risk-stratify patients as low-, medium- or high-risk of worsening heart failure (WHF) in the next 30 days based on integrated monitoring of physiological parameters. Building on a previous proof-of-concept of the Triage-HF Plus pathway, we integrated remote data with simple 5-question telephone triage within a clinical pathway to identify WHF during the first year of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Purpose

Prospective evaluation of clinical remote monitoring pathway integrating Triage-HFRS with protocolised telephone triage (Triage-HF Plus pathway).

Methods

Prospective, real-world evaluation of clinical pathway serving a large urban region over a 12-month period, using data from April 2020 to April 2021 (initiated during the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic in the UK). From a population of 435 patients with CIEDs, 87 “high” Triage-HFRS alerts were received and patients contacted for telephone triage assessment. Screening questions were designed to identify episodes of WHF and non-HF events. Intervention was at discretion of the clinical practitioner and in line with guideline-directed practice. A consecutive sample of 115 “medium” risk scores received the same triage.

Results

Successful contact was made with 72 (82.8%) high-risk patients. Classification for high scoring patients confirmed on triage included isolated heart failure (18.3%), heart failure concurrent to medical problem (5.7%), alternative medical problem (10.3%), and recent hospital admission (8.0%); triage reassured absence of acute cause of high score in 40.2%. The sensitivity and specificity for detection of WHF was 87.9% (0.77–0.99) and 59.4% (0.50–0.69) respectively. Positive and negative predictive values were 40.3% and 94.0%, respectively. Overall accuracy was 66.2%.

Conclusions

The Triage-HF Plus pathway served as a useful remote monitoring tool for identifying patients with WHF whose care had been otherwise disrupted by the Covid-19 pandemic, allowing timely intervention and cementing the longer-term role for such models of care delivery. Crucially, in this multimorbid, high-cost population, relevant non-HF issues were also identified. The high negative predictive value further highlights the potential of proactive surveillance over conventional, periodic follow up.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Imperial Health Charity

Deep Exclusive Electroproduction of π^{0} at High Q^{2} in the Quark Valence Regime

We report measurements of the exclusive neutral pion electroproduction cross section off protons at large values of x_{B} (0.36, 0.48, and 0.60) and Q^{2} (3.1 to 8.4  GeV^{2}) obtained from Jefferson Lab Hall A experiment E12-06-014. The corresponding structure functions dσ_{T}/dt+εdσ_{L}/dt, dσ_{TT}/dt, dσ_{LT}/dt, and dσ_{LT^{'}}/dt are extracted as a function of the proton momentum transfer t-t_{min}. The results suggest the amplitude for transversely polarized virtual photons continues to dominate the cross section throughout this kinematic range. The data are well described by calculations based on transversity generalized parton distributions coupled to a helicity flip distribution amplitude of the pion, thus providing a unique way to probe the structure of the nucleon.

Impact of COVID-19 on TB epidemiology in South Korea

SETTING: Five referral hospitals, South Korea.OBJECTIVE: To assess epidemiological changes in TB before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.DESIGN: This was a multicentre cohort study of 3,969 patients diagnosed with TB.RESULTS: We analysed 3,453 patients diagnosed with TB prior to the COVID-19 pandemic (January 2016-February 2020) and 516 during the pandemic (March-November 2020). During the pandemic, the number of patients visits declined by 15% from the previous 4-year average, and the number of patients diagnosed with TB decreased by 17%. Patients diagnosed during the pandemic were older than those diagnosed before the pandemic (mean age, 60.2 vs. 56.6 years, P < 0.001). The proportion of patients to have primary TB at a younger age (births after 1980) among those diagnosed with TB was significantly lower during the pandemic than before (17.8% in 2020 vs. 23.5% in 2016, 24.0% in 2017, 22.5% in 2018, 23.5% in 2019; P = 0.005).CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a reduction in the number of visits to respiratory departments, leading to fewer patients being diagnosed with TB. However, our results suggest that universal personal preventive measures help to suppress TB transmission in regions with intermediate TB burden.

Associations of particulate matter with atopic dermatitis and chronic inflammatory skin diseases in South Korea

BACKGROUND

Particulate matter (PM) is a mixture of solid and liquid particles suspended in air, which originates from industrial plants or vehicle emissions. Although the skin is the primary body area of contact with air pollutants, the associations between PM and chronic inflammatory skin diseases has not been well established.

AIM

To investigate associations between PM and atopic dermatitis (AD) and between PM and other chronic inflammatory dermatoses, using data from the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service.

METHODS

Monthly disease statistics from the seven largest cities in South Korea (Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan) and from Jeju Island (in total, a population of 23 288 000 for all eight areas) were included. Based on daily air pollution level and weather forecast from 2015 to 2019, multivariate negative binomial regression analysis was conducted to estimate monthly visits of AD with respect to outdoor air pollutants: coarse PM with a diameter of ≤ 10 μm (PM10) and fine PM with a diameter of ≤ 2.5 μm (PM2.5) ozone (O₃ ), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂ ), sulphur dioxide (SO₂ ) and carbon monoxide (CO).

RESULTS

Increases in the levels of PM2.5, PM10, SO₂ and CO were associated with significant increases in monthly patient visits for AD. Every 10 μg/m³ increase in PM2.5 and PM10 resulted in patient visit increases of 2.71% (95% CI 0.76-4.71; P < 0.01) and 2.01% (95% CI 0.92-3.11, P < 0.001), respectively, while every 1 part per billion (ppb) increase in SO₂ and every 100 ppb increase in CO resulted in visit increases of 2.26% (95% CI 1.35-3.17; P < 0.001) and 2.86% (95% CI 1.35-4.40; P < 0.001), respectively. O₃ and NO₂ were not associated with increased patient visits for AD. Increases in PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations were also significantly associated with increases in patient visits for psoriasis, seborrhoeic dermatitis and rosacea.

CONCLUSION

Our data suggest that PM is associated with AD and other chronic inflammatory skin diseases.