The electrocardiographic exercise test in a population with reduced workup bias: diagnostic performance, computerized interpretation, and multivariable prediction. Veterans Affairs Cooperative Study in Health Services #016 (QUEXTA) Study Group. Quantitative Exercise Testing and Angiography

BACKGROUND

Empirical scores, computerized ST-segment measurements, and equations have been proposed as tools for improving the diagnostic performance of the exercise test.

OBJECTIVE

To compare the diagnostic utility of these scores, measurements, and equations with that of visual ST-segment measurements in patients with reduced workup bias.

DESIGN

Prospective analysis.

SETTING

12 university-affiliated Veterans Affairs Medical Centers.

PATIENTS

814 consecutive patients who presented with angina pectoris and agreed to undergo both exercise testing and coronary angiography.

MEASUREMENTS

Digital electrocardiographic recorders and angiographic calipers were used for testing at each site, and test results were sent to core laboratories.

RESULTS

Although 25% of patients had previously had testing, workup bias was reduced, as shown by comparison with a pilot study group. This reduction resulted in a sensitivity of 45% and a specificity of 85% for visual analysis. Computerized measurements and visual analysis had similar diagnostic power. Equations incorporating nonelectrocardiographic variables and either visual or computerized ST-segment measurement had similar discrimination and were superior to single ST-segment measurements. These equations correctly classified 5 more patients of every 100 tested (areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, 0.80 for equations and 0.68 for visual analysis; P < 0.001) in this population with a 50% prevalence of disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Standard exercise tests had lower sensitivity but higher specificity in this population with reduced work-up bias than in previous studies. Computerized ST-segment measurements were similar to visual ST-segment measurements made by cardiologists. Considering more than ST-segment measurements can enhance the diagnostic power of the exercise test.

Relationship of left ventricular structure to maximal heart rate during exercise

Previous investigators using clinical, hemodynamic, or exercise parameters to predict maximal exercise heart rate (HRmax) have demonstrated age to be the major determinant. Regression coefficients have ranged from -0.3 to -0.6, leaving approximately two thirds of the variance in HRmax unexplained. Because cardiac size and function are directly related to stroke volume and should influence HRmax, we studied 114 male subjects (aged 19 to 73 years) with two-dimensional and M-mode echocardiography who underwent maximal treadmill testing with respiratory gas analysis. Seventy-three were normotensive (diastolic BP < 95 mm Hg) and 41 were hypertensive. As in previous studies, HRmax was inversely related to age (HRmax = 199-0.63[age], r = -0.47, p < 0.001). M-mode left ventricular (LV) diastolic dimension (LVD) added significantly to the explanation of the variance in HRmax (r = -0.57, p < 0.001) (HRmax = 236 - 0.72 [age]-6.8 [LVD]). Thus, the larger the heart, the lower the HRmax. No other echocardiographic measurement or derived parameter added significantly to the explanation of the variance in HRmax. To evaluate the effects of hypertension on HRmax, we studied hypertensives and normotensives separately. Only age was significantly related to HRmax in the normotensives (r = -0.50, p < 0.001). In the hypertensive subjects, however, both age and relative wall thickness (RWT) (which describes LV wall thickness in relation to LV chamber size) were significantly related to HRmax. Age explained 45% of the observed variance in HRmax (r = 0.67, p < 0.001) and RWT added modestly (9%) but significantly to the relationship (HRmax = 173-0.96[age]+94 [RWT], p < 0.001), together explaining 54% of the variance observed in HRmax. Thus, HRmax is inversely related to LVD and patients with larger ventricles achieve lower HRmax. In hypertensives, the amount of LV muscle mass in relation to chamber size is an additional predictor of HRmax. However, despite controlling for age, sex, and cardiovascular disease, and the inclusion of echocardiographic indices of cardiac size and function, a large portion of the variance in HRmax could not be explained. The unexplained variance in HRmax is most likely due to intersubject variability in resting cardiac size, volume, function, and other as yet undefined factors.

Exercise capacity and prognosis in patients with chronic atrial fibrillation

To evaluate the response of patients with chronic atrial fibrillation (AF) to exercise and to demonstrate if prognosis could be predicted, 200 male patients (64 +/- 1 years) with AF were identified retrospectively who underwent resting echocardiography and symptom-limited treadmill testing. They were classified by underlying disease into three subgroups: hypertension or no underlying disease (LONE; n = 102), ischemic heart disease (IHD; n = 45) and history of congestive heart failure or valvular disease (CHF-VD; n = 53). Maximal exercise capacities for LONE, IHD and CHF-VD were (mean +/- 1 SEM) 8.0 +/- 0.3, 6.4 +/- 0.4 and 6.0 +/- 0.3 metabolic equivalents, respectively (p < 0.01), and resting left ventricular ejection fractions were 61.7 +/- 1.6, 60.1 +/- 2.2 and 49.5 +/- 1.9%, respectively (p < 0.01). Stepwise multiple regression analysis demonstrated that, except for group classification (R2 = 0.13, p < 0.01), no clinical, exercise or morphologic variables could predict exercise capacity. After a mean 39.1-month follow-up (range 1-78), 17 of the 200 had died from cardiovascular causes. The rate of cardiac death using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was significantly greater in CHF-VD patients (p < 0.01). However, Cox hazard function and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated that neither echocardiographic measurements of cardiac size or function at rest, nor exercise or clinical variables were significant predictors of outcome. AF patients with a history of CHF and/or VD demonstrated a reduced exercise tolerance ad a worse prognosis than those without morphologic heart disease or those with IHD.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Clinical and exercise test markers of prognosis in patients with stable coronary artery disease

Current management of coronary artery disease has taken a very aggressive approach in which cardiac catheterization plays a prominent role in patient evaluation and in which bypass and angioplasty are commonly used for therapy. The number of cardiac catheterizations and procedures, not surprisingly, have grown in tandem because angiography provides anatomic information that becomes the substrate for justifying interventions. Bypass surgery has been shown to confer a survival benefit compared with medical therapy in patients with multiple-vessel disease and left ventricular dysfunction, but it also is still used in other patient populations with equivocal indications. Comparison studies of percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty with medical management have indicated a slight advantage with percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty in limiting symptoms, but no evidence yet supports its survival benefit. Angioplasty, however, has become much more common in the last decade, particularly as the initial revascularization technique. Because cardiac catheterization is frequently the nodal branch point between invasive and noninvasive (i.e., medical) management, its application should be limited to high-risk candidates who would receive a survival benefit from these procedures or to those with intractable symptoms. Those who propose that catheterization is the best method for risk stratification argue that noninvasive testing requires physiologically significant disease and that morbid or fatal events can occur with rapid progression of minimal disease. From the studies reviewed, however, the extent of coronary angiographic disease is not clearly predictive of future cardiovascular events. Although some studies found the number of diseased vessels to be independent prognostic variables, most found that it did not add any additional prognostic information beyond that provided from noninvasive testing. Furthermore, there has been an argument that silent ischemia puts patients at higher risk of sudden death or infarction, and these patients need to be catheterized. However, numerous studies have shown that this concern is exaggerated. The studies reviewed found that except for patients with diabetes, those with "silent" or painless exercise-induced ST depression do not have a worse prognosis than those with symptomatic ST depression when cardiovascular death, sudden death, or acute myocardial infarction are considered Clinical and exercise test variables have been underused in estimating prognosis. Specifically, they are rarely used systematically to stratify patients into low-risk groups who do not need catheterization and high-risk groups who should undergo angiography because of possible lesions amenable to bypass or angioplasty.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

Diagnostic and prognostic accuracy of the exercise electrocardiogram in patients with preexisting right bundle branch block

The value of exercise testing in patients with right bundle branch block (RBBB) is uncertain. A retrospective review of 3609 patients who underwent exercise testing identified 163 (4.5%) with preexisting RBBB. After excluding those with coronary artery bypass graft(s), 133 patients remained and 48 (36%) had a prior myocardial infarction. Angiograms were available for 30 (23%) patients. After a mean follow-up of 33 +/- 23 months, seven patients had a fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction. Twenty five (19%) patients had > or = 1 mm of non-upsloping ST depression in leads V5 or V6. With angiographic disease or previous myocardial infarction used as endpoints of coronary artery disease, the exercise test had a sensitivity of 27% (15/56), a specificity of 87% (67/77), and a predictive accuracy of 62% (82/133), (chi 2 = 4.04, p = 0.04). There were 24 deaths, a 10% annual mortality rate. Univariate analysis of clinical, exercise, and angiographic data revealed that nonsurvivors had a lower peak systolic blood pressure, a lower exercise capacity in METS, and a higher prevalence of coronary artery disease (p = 0.0001, p = 0.02, p = 0.03, respectively). Left ventricular ejection fraction and the amount of additional ST depression during exercise did not differ significantly (p = NS). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that systolic blood pressure (area = 0.741, z = 5.22, p < 0.001) and exercise capacity (area = 0.66, z = 3.12, p = 0.009) were predictive of mortality, whereas additional ST depression during exercise (area = 0.588, z = 0.70, p = 0.24) was not.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

A nomogram to predict exercise capacity from a specific activity questionnaire and clinical data

Recent investigations suggested that clinical exercise testing can be optimized by individualizing the protocol, depending on the purpose of the test and the subject tested. This requires some knowledge of a patient's exercise capacity before beginning the test. The accuracy of a simple physical activity questionnaire and readily available clinical data in predicting subsequent treadmill performance was examined. A brief, self-administered questionnaire (VSAQ) was developed for veterans who were referred to exercise testing for clinical reasons. The VSAQ was designed to determine which specific daily activities were associated with symptoms of cardiovascular disease (fatigue, chest pain and shortness of breath). Two hundred twelve consecutive patients (mean age 62 +/- 8 years) referred for maximal exercise testing were studied. Clinical and demographic variables were added to VSAQ responses in a stepwise regression model to determine their ability to predict treadmill performance. Only metabolic equivalents by VSAQ, and age were significant predictors of treadmill performance; these 2 variables yielded R = 0.82 (SEE 1.43; p < 0.001), and explained 67% of the variance in exercise capacity. The regression equation reflecting the relation between age, VSAQ and exercise capacity was: achieved metabolic equivalents = 4.7 + 0.97 (VSAQ) - 0.06 (age). Using this equation, a nomogram was developed. Incorporating the VSAQ with the nomogram requires only a few minutes, and yields a reasonably accurate estimate of a patient's exercise capacity. Although the present equation is population-specific, a similar approach in different populations may be useful for individualizing protocols for clinical exercise testing.

Influence of right coronary artery stenosis on exercise test responses and survival in patients with left main or left main equivalent disease

Forty-two patients with angiographically documented left main coronary artery (LM) disease (luminal occlusion > or = 50%) and 30 patients with left main equivalent (LMEQ) disease (> or = 70% luminal occlusion of both the proximal left anterior descending artery and proximal left circumflex artery) were studied to determine the role of right coronary artery (RCA) involvement on exercise test responses and survival. Significant (> or = 70%) RCA stenosis was present in 30 (72%) of the 42 LM patients and 16 (53%) of the 30 LMEQ patients. No significant differences were observed between LM and LMEQ patients in any clinical or exercise variables or survival. Thus both groups were combined for analysis of the influence of RCA involvement (i.e., LM/LMEQ with RCA versus LM/LMEQ without RCA disease). Greater ischemic responses were observed in the LM/LMEQ group with significant stenosis of the RCA. The presence of RCA stenosis was associated with significantly greater horizontal or downsloping ST-segment depression during exercise (2.4 +/- 1.2 mm vs 1.3 +/- 1.4 mm; p < 0.001), and prolonged recovery time until normalization of the ST segment (3.2 +/- 1.4 min vs 2.0 +/- 1.9 min; p < 0.01). The LM/LMEQ without RCA disease group behaved like the subgroup with two-vessel disease, and responses of the LM/LMEQ group with RCA disease were similar to the group with three-vessel disease. The annual survival in LM/LMEQ with RCA disease was worse than that in LM/LMEQ without RCA disease (average annual mortality rates = 7.5% vs 1.0%, respectively; p = 0.05). Infarct-free survival in LM/LMEQ with RCA disease was also lower than that in LM/LMEQ without RCA disease. Thus although patients with LM and LMEQ were similar in terms of survival and exercise responses, the presence of RCA stenosis was associated with significantly greater ST-segment depression, a prolonged recovery time until normalization of the ST segment, a fivefold increase in the death rate, and higher morbidity from myocardial infarction over a 5-year period of follow-up. Involvement of the RCA should be considered when making decisions concerning medical-surgical management of patients with severe coronary artery disease.

Predictors of disease severity and survival in patients with coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study was to determine whether coronary angiographic findings and survival could be predicted using standard clinical and exercise-test data.

METHODS

Five hundred and ninety-five men who had undergone both exercise treadmill testing and cardiac catheterization were followed for up to 5 years. Left main (LM) disease (> or = 50% stenosis) was present in 42 patients, whereas 30 patients had LM equivalent disease (> or = 70% stenosis of both the proximal left anterior descending and circumflex coronary artery disease (n = 152), one-vessel disease (n = 186), two-vessel disease (n = 118), three-vessel disease (n = 67), LM or LM equivalent disease without significant (> or = 70%) right coronary artery involvement (n = 26), and LM or LM equivalent disease with right coronary artery involvement (n = 46).

RESULTS

ST-segment depression was more marked, whereas ejection fraction, maximal heart rate, maximal systolic blood pressure, and exercise capacity were lower in each group as disease severity worsened. Using Kaplan-Meier analysis, the subgroup with the poorest survival was found to be those with LM or LM equivalent disease with right coronary artery disease, and the next worse was the three-vessel disease group, in which survival was poorer than in all other subgroups (P < 0.01). Stepwise regression analysis revealed that the most powerful predictor for coronary artery disease severity was exercise-induced ST depression (P < 0.001), but it predicted survival poorly. History of congestive heart failure, low ejection fraction (50% or lower), and poor exercise capacity (5 metabolic equivalents or less) emerged as strong predictors of survival using stepwise Cox regression analysis (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Exercise-induced ST depression predicted the severity of angiographic disease but not survival, whereas the strongest predictors of survival were history of congestive heart failure, low ejection fraction, and poor exercise capacity.

Cardiovascular benefits of improved exercise capacity

The evidence suggesting that regular exercise can help to prevent coronary artery disease is overwhelming. While some studies have suggested that exercise will not provide health benefits, our inactive population needs to pay heed to the substantial data presented by the many international health organisations suggesting the opposite. The American Heart Association Medical/Scientific Statement on Exercise emphasised the large role regular aerobic physical activity plays in the prevention of cardiovascular disease. Several human studies have also demonstrated the positive effects of long term exercise on the human heart. For example, it has been shown that a consistent exercise programme can lessen the impact of atherosclerotic plaques through increasing coronary artery diameter. Echocardiography studies on a training group of competitive swimmers have shown that exercise training can induce rapid changes in left ventricular dimensions and mass, which can ultimately lead to an increased stroke volume and increased maximal oxygen consumption. Studies on sedentary individuals have also demonstrated an increase in maximal oxygen uptake with a regular endurance exercise programme. In addition to these health benefits, habitual dynamic exercise can also decrease the likelihood of a cardiac event. Others have demonstrated a 50% lower incidence of coronary events in those individuals maintaining rigorous activity 2 days a week. With the preponderance of evidence revealing the health benefits of habitual exercise, it is striking to learn that more than 50% of the US population exercises for less than 20 minutes, 3 days a week. The widespread nature of this sedentary lifestyle makes inactivity an attributable fraction of the total risk factors associated with cardiac disease. The amount of exercise needed to reduce the risk of coronary artery disease is a minimum aerobic workout of 30 minutes, 4 to 5 times a week, such as a vigorous walk. Comprehensive programmes promoting exercise training should be implemented at a level appropriate to an individual's capacity and need.

Nomogram based on metabolic equivalents and age for assessing aerobic exercise capacity in men

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to create a nomogram, based on maximal exercise capacity (in metabolic equivalents [METs]) and age, for assessing a patient's ability to perform dynamic exercise to quantify the level of physical disability or relative capacity for physical activity.

BACKGROUND

Providing an estimation of exercise capacity relative to age is clinically useful. Such an estimate can be derived from measured or estimated maximal oxygen uptake (in METs) from treadmill exercise testing and age. It is an effective means of communicating to patients their cardiopulmonary status, encouraging improvement in exercise capacity and quantifying disability.

METHODS

Exercise test results of 1,388 male patients (mean age 57 years, range 21 to 89) free of apparent heart disease who were referred for exercise testing for clinical reasons were retrospectively reviewed. This referral group as well as subgroups of active (n = 346) and sedentary (n = 253) patients were analyzed to determine norms for age and for age by decades for exercise test responses, including METs, maximal heart rate and maximal systolic blood pressure. Regression equations were calculated from this information, and a nomogram for calculating degree of exercise capacity from age and MET level achieved by a patient was created. A similar analysis was performed in a separate group of 244 apparently healthy, normal male volunteers (mean age 45 +/- 14 years, range 18 to 72) who underwent exercise testing with direct measurement of expired gases.

RESULTS

Equations for predicted METs for age were derived for the entire clinical referral group (METs = 18.0-0.15[Age]) and for the subgroups of active (METs = 18.7-0.15[Age]) and sedentary (METs = 16.6-0.16[Age]) patients. All results achieved statistical significance, with p values < 0.001. In the volunteer group of normal men who performed exercise testing with ventilatory gas exchange, the decline in maximal heart rate and METs with age was not as steep as in the referral group. Although the normal group confirmed nomograms published previously among similar subjects, the equations derived from the patients differed from those previously reported; in contrast to previous studies using healthy volunteers, the equations and nomograms for the referral group are more appropriate for patients typically referred for testing in a hospital or office-based internal medicine practice.

CONCLUSIONS

Norms for METs based on age are presented as well as population-specific nomograms that enable physicians to assess patients' exercise capacity relative to their age group.

Improved exercise test accuracy using discriminant function analysis and "recovery ST slope"

The objective of the study was to optimize the accuracy of the exercise test for predicting the presence of significant angiographic coronary artery disease. A retrospective analysis of stored digital exercise electrocardiographic data on 147 men who had undergone exercise testing and cardiac catheterization was performed. With significant coronary artery disease defined as > or = 70% stenosis, 95 patients had one or more vessel(s) diseased. None were receiving digoxin, had a myocardial infarction or previous coronary artery bypass graft, or exhibited left bundle branch block, left ventricular hypertrophy, Q waves, or ST depression on their resting electrocardiogram. Analysis was performed using the authors' averaging and measurement software at rest and at each 30 seconds throughout the exercise and recovery in leads II, V2, and V5. Discriminant function analysis was used to analyze pretest variables, as well as hemodynamic and electrocardiographic changes and symptoms during exercise. A discriminant function score was developed and compared to other treadmill scores. The setting was a 1,000 bed Veterans Affairs Medical Center (Long Beach, CA). Discriminant function analysis chose age, smoking status, presenting chest pain characteristics, and lead V5 ST slope in recovery to have independent power for separating those with and without coronary artery disease. A discriminant function score using these four variables was used to form a receiver operating characteristics curve (and derive receiver operating characteristics curve areas) for comparison to other exercise test methods and scores: (discriminant function score = .81; slope 3.5 minutes into recovery in lead V5 = .73; traditional ST amplitude method = .72; ST60/HR index (amplitude of ST depression 60 ms after the J point/delta heart rate) = .66; traditional ST amplitude/HR index (traditional method/delta heart rate) = .75; Hollenberg score = .68; Hollenberg areas only = .66; and ST integral = .66. Receiver operating characteristics curve analysis revealed a trend for the discriminant function score to be superior to all other measurements and scores. Recovery ST slope in lead V5 performed as well as or better than all other electrocardiographic criteria or treadmill scores except for the authors' discriminant function score.

Prediction of cardiovascular death by means of clinical and exercise test variables in patients selected for cardiac catheterization

The objective of this report is the development of a population-specific prediction rule based on clinical and exercise test data that would estimate the risk of cardiovascular death in patients selected for cardiac catheterization. Prospective data and follow-up information were obtained from patients who underwent cardiac catheterization soon after clinical assessment and exercise testing. Males (n = 588) referred for evaluation of coronary heart disease from 1984 to 1990 were selected after exclusion of patients with significant valvular heart disease and patients with prior cardiac surgery. Half had a prior myocardial infarction and half complained of typical angina pectoris. All patients performed a treadmill test and were selected for clinical reasons to undergo coronary angiography within 3 months. Over a mean follow-up period of 2.5 years (+/- 1.4 years), there were 39 cardiovascular deaths and 45 nonfatal myocardial infarctions. The Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated the following characteristics to be statistically significant independent predictors of time until cardiovascular death: history of congestive heart failure (hazards ratio of 4), ST depression on the resting ECG (hazards ratio of 3), and a drop in systolic blood pressure below the resting value during exercise (hazards ratio of 5). Exercise-induced ST depression was not associated with either death or nonfatal myocardial infarction. A simple score based on one item of clinical information (history of congestive heart failure), a resting ECG finding (ST depression), and an exercise test response (exertional hypotension) stratified our patients for 4 years after testing from 75% with a low risk (annual cardiac mortality rate of 1%), 17% with a moderate risk (annual mortality rate of 7%), and 1% with a high risk (annual cardiac mortality rate of 12%, with a hazards ratio of 20 and 95% confidence interval from 6 to 70X). It was concluded that the variables available from the usual noninvasive workup of patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease enable prediction of risk of cardiovascular death. Three quarters of those usually undergoing cardiac catheterization can be identified by simple noninvasive variables as being at such low risk that invasive intervention is unlikely to improve prognosis.