A phase Ib/II dose expansion study of subcutaneous sasanlimab in patients with locally advanced or metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer and urothelial carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Sasanlimab is an antibody to the programmed cell death protein 1 receptor. We report updated data of subcutaneous sasanlimab in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and urothelial carcinoma dose expansion cohorts from a first-in-human phase Ib/II study.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients were ≥18 years of age with NSCLC or urothelial carcinoma, and no prior immunotherapies, who progressed on or were intolerant to systemic therapy, or for whom systemic therapy was refused or unavailable. Patients received subcutaneous sasanlimab at 300 mg every 4 weeks (q4w). Primary objectives were to evaluate safety, tolerability, and clinical efficacy by objective response rate (ORR).

RESULTS

Sixty-eight and 38 patients with NSCLC and urothelial carcinoma, respectively, received subcutaneous sasanlimab. Overall, sasanlimab was well tolerated; 13.2% of patients experienced grade ≥3 treatment-related adverse events. Confirmed ORR was 16.4% and 18.4% in the NSCLC and urothelial carcinoma cohorts, respectively. ORR was generally higher in patients with high programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression (≥25%) and high tumor mutational burden (TMB; >75%). In the NSCLC and urothelial carcinoma cohorts, median progression-free survival (PFS) was 3.7 and 2.9 months, respectively; corresponding median overall survival (OS) was 14.7 and 10.9 months. Overall, longer median PFS and OS correlated with high PD-L1 expression and high TMB. Longer median PFS and OS were also associated with T-cell inflamed gene signature in the urothelial carcinoma cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Subcutaneous sasanlimab at 300 mg q4w was well tolerated with promising clinical efficacy observed. Phase II and III clinical trials of sasanlimab are ongoing to validate clinical benefit. Subcutaneous sasanlimab may be a potential treatment option for patients with NSCLC or urothelial carcinoma.

Adverse childhood experiences and clustering of high-risk behaviors among high school students: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVES

This study assessed the association between adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) and clustering of high-risk behaviors in a sample of high school students.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a cross-sectional study.

METHODS

A sample of students who attended randomly selected classes in 99 high schools completed the 2019 Nevada Youth Risk Behavior Survey (N = 4959). The survey included six ACE measures: (1) physical abuse, (2) sexual abuse, (3) verbal abuse, (4) household physical abuse, (5) household mental illness, and (6) household substance abuse. Students were assigned a cumulative ACE score (range = 0-6). A count of high-risk behavior domains was created using multiple questions across the following domains: (1) violence behaviors, (2) suicidal indicators, (3) non-suicidal self-injury, (4) substance use, (5) high-risk sexual behaviors, (6) poor diet, (7) physical inactivity, and (8) high screen time (range = 0-8). The relationship between ACEs and the count of high-risk behavior domains was assessed using weighted negative binomial regression; incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were calculated adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics.

RESULTS

More than 40% of the sampled students reported high-risk behaviors across two or more domains. There was a strong, graded relationship between cumulative ACE score and the count of high-risk behavior domains. Compared with students who experienced zero ACEs, there was an increase in the count of high-risk behavior domains among students who experienced one ACE (adjusted IRR [aIRR] = 1.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.12-1.33), two ACEs (aIRR = 1.57, 95% CI = 1.42-1.73), three ACEs (aIRR = 1.73, 95% CI = 1.54-1.94), four ACEs (aIRR = 2.07, 95% CI = 1.84-2.33), five ACEs (aIRR = 2.69, 95% CI = 2.34-3.10), and six ACEs (aIRR = 2.91, 95% CI = 2.34-3.62).

CONCLUSION

Trauma-informed prevention efforts may be an efficient way to address multiple adolescent risk behaviors that cluster.

Exploring the link between adverse childhood experiences and mental and physical health conditions in pregnant Palestine refugee women in Jordan

OBJECTIVES

Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) are linked to negative pregnancy outcomes. However, little is known about the prevalence of ACEs and their relationship to mental and health outcomes among pregnant Palestine refugee women.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a cross-sectional study.

METHODS

Data were collected from 772 pregnant Palestine refugee women with a median (interquartile range) age of 27 (23, 32) years, attending five antenatal clinics in Jordan between February and June 2021. The modified 33-item ACE International Questionnaire was used to assess eight domains of ACEs: (1) marriage and family, (2) relationship with parents, (3) neglect, (4) household dysfunction/domestic violence, (5) abuse, (6) peer violence, (7) community violence, and (8) collective violence. Multivariate logistic regression was used to examine the association between ACEs and mental and health outcomes. The ethical approval was obtained from United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) Research Review Board in May 2020.

RESULTS

Eighty-eight percent of women experienced at least one type of ACE, and 26% of women experienced ≥4 types of ACEs. Compared with women with 0-3 types of ACE exposure, those with ≥4 types of ACEs had 1.58 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10-2.28) times higher prevalence of obesity before pregnancy, 3.28 (95% CI 1.79-6.03) times higher prevalence of depression during pregnancy, and 2.01 (95% CI 1.39-2.91) times higher prevalence of ever been smoking cigarettes or hookah.

CONCLUSIONS

Exposure to ACEs is prevalent among pregnant Palestine refugee women. Exposure to multiple types of ACEs was associated with obesity, mental health conditions, and smoking.

Genotype-degree of hemolysis correlation in hereditary spherocytosis

BACKGROUND

Hereditary spherocytosis (HS) is a common inherited hemolytic anemia, caused by mutations in five genes that encode erythrocyte membrane skeleton proteins. The red blood cell (RBC) lifespan could directly reflect the degree of hemolysis. In the present cohort of 23 patients with HS, we performed next-generation sequencing (NGS) and Levitt's carbon monoxide (CO) breath test to investigate the potential genotype-degree of hemolysis correlation.

RESULTS

In the present cohort, we identified 8 ANK1,9 SPTB,5 SLC4A1 and 1 SPTA1 mutations in 23 patients with HS, and the median RBC lifespan was 14(8-48) days. The median RBC lifespan of patients with ANK1, SPTB and SLC4A1 mutations was 13 (8-23), 13 (8-48) and 14 (12-39) days, respectively, with no statistically significant difference (P = 0.618). The median RBC lifespan of patients with missense, splice and nonsense/insertion/deletion mutations was 16.5 (8-48), 14 (11-40) and 13 (8-20) days, respectively, with no significant difference (P = 0.514). Similarly, we found no significant difference in the RBC lifespan of patients with mutations located in the spectrin-binding domain and the nonspectrin-binding domain [14 (8-18) vs. 12.5 (8-48) days, P = 0.959]. In terms of the composition of mutated genes, 25% of patients with mild hemolysis carried ANK1 or SPTA1 mutations, while 75% of patients with mild hemolysis carried SPTB or SLC4A1 mutations. In contrast, 46.7% of patients with severe hemolysis had ANK1 or SPTA1 mutations and 53.3% of patients with severe hemolysis had SPTB or SLC4A1 mutations. However, there was no statistically significant difference in the distribution of mutated genes between the two groups (P = 0.400).

CONCLUSION

The present study is the first to investigate the potential association between genotype and degree of hemolysis in HS. The present findings indicated that there is no significant correlation between genotype and degree of hemolysis in HS.

MRI manifestations of central nervous system leukaemia and cytological analysis of the cerebrospinal fluid

AIM

To investigate the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features and explore the value of MRI in the diagnosis of central nervous system leukaemia (CNSL).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective study was performed in 68 patients with leukaemia who underwent cranial MRI between January 2020 and June 2022 at Institute of Hematology and Blood Diseases Hospital.

RESULTS

A total of 33 patients fulfilled the requirements for inclusion. The findings showed that 87.9% patients exhibited neurological symptoms, and 23 patients showed abnormal MRI findings. No differences were observed between the MRI+ and MRI- groups in terms of age, sex, neurological symptoms, glucose in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), chloride in the CSF, abnormal cells detected using conventional cytology (CC), bone marrow status at the diagnosis of CNSL, signal intensity ratio, and mortality, except for protein concentration and the number of leukaemic cells detected using flow cytometry (FCM) in the CSF. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis in patients with leukaemia revealed no statistical differences in the median survival times between the MRI+ group and MRI- group. Cox regression analysis and multivariate analysis showed no significant difference in survival rate between the MRI+ and MRI- groups. Kappa consistency test shows weak diagnostic consistency between MRI and CC, and weak diagnostic inconsistency between MRI and FCM.

CONCLUSION

MRI could serve as an important complementary tool to CC and FCM in the diagnosis of CNSL, especially in patients without leptomeningeal involvement.

Factors of Dental Care Utilization in Foreign-Born Older Chinese Americans

Good oral health is essential for healthy aging. Regular dental care utilization is instrumental to good oral health. Older immigrants tend to experience poorer oral health and less dental care use as compared with their native-born counterparts in the host country. Older immigrants are particularly vulnerable to interrupted or lost social ties and acculturation challenges after immigration to a new country. This study examined whether and to what extent social relations, acculturation, and perceived oral health needs are associated with dental care utilization in foreign-born older Chinese Americans. Data came from the Population Study of Chinese Elderly in Chicago, which were collected between 2017 and 2019 (N = 3,000). Dental care utilization was dichotomized into "yes" versus "no" in the past 2 y. Social relations were measured by positive and negative relations with spouse, family, and friends. Acculturation was measured by length of stay, behavioral acculturation, and residence in Chinatown. Perceived oral health needs were measured by the presence of problems related to teeth, gums, or bleeding. As guided by the Andersen model, separate logistic regression models were used to investigate factors of dental care utilization. An overall 23.1% reported dental care utilization. Individuals with no negative relations with spouse, family, and friends were 31%, 36%, and 38% less likely to visit a dentist, respectively. Individuals with higher levels of behavioral acculturation were 4% more likely to visit a dentist; individuals living in Chinatown were 45% less likely; and individuals with perceived oral health needs were 2.5 times more likely. Findings illustrate the importance of understanding social relations, immigration-related factors, and perceived oral health needs in dental care utilization in older immigrants.

[EHHADH is a key gene in fatty acid metabolism pathways in hepatocellular carcinoma: a transcriptomic analysis]

OBJECTIVE

To explore the driving gene of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence and progression and its potential as new therapeutic target of HCC.

METHODS

The transcriptome and genomic data of 858 HCC tissues and 493 adjacent tissues were obtained from TCGA, GEO, and ICGC databases. Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) identified EHHADH (encoding enoyl-CoA hydratase/L-3-hydroxyacyl-CoA dehydrogenase) as the hub gene in the significantly enriched differential pathways in HCC. The downregulation of EHHADH expression at the transcriptome level was found to correlate with TP53 mutation based on analysis of the TCGA- HCC dataset, and the mechanism by which TP53 mutation caused EHHADH downregulation was explored through correlation analysis. Analysis of the data from the Metascape database suggested that EHHADH was strongly correlated with the ferroptosis signaling pathway in HCC progression, and to verify this result, immunohistochemical staining was used to examine EHHADH expression in 30 HCC tissues and paired adjacent tissues.

RESULTS

All the 3 HCC datasets showed signficnatly lowered EHHADH expression in HCC tissues as compared with the adjacent tissues (P < 0.05) with a close correlation with the degree of hepatocyte de-differentiation (P < 0.01). The somatic landscape of HCC cohort in TCGA dataset showed that HCC patients had the highest genomic TP53 mutation rate. The transcriptomic level of PPARGC1A, the upstream gene of EHHADH, was significantly downregulated in HCC patients with TP53 mutation as compared with those without the mutation (P < 0.05), and was significantly correlated with EHHADH expression level. GO and KEGG enrichment analyses showed that EHHADH expression was significantly correlated with abnormal fatty acid metabolism in HCC. The immunohistochemical results showd that the expression level of EHHADH in HCC tissues was down-regulated, and its expression level was related to the degree of hepatocytes de-differentiation and the process of ferroptosis.

CONCLUSION

TP53 mutations may induce abnormal expression of PPARGC1A to cause downregulation of EHHADH expression in HCC. The low expression of EHHADH is closely associated with aggravation of de-differentiation and ferroptosis escape in HCC tissues, suggesting the potential of EHHADH as a therapeutic target for HCC.

[Current status of diagnosis and treatment of chronic lymphocytic leukemia in China: A national multicenter survey research]

Objective: To understand the current status of diagnosis and treatment of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) /small lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL) among hematologists, oncologists, and lymphoma physicians from hospitals of different levels in China. Methods: This multicenter questionnaire survey was conducted from March 2021 to July 2021 and included 1,000 eligible physicians. A combination of face-to-face interviews and online questionnaire surveys was used. A standardized questionnaire regarding the composition of patients treated for CLL/SLL, disease diagnosis and prognosis evaluation, concomitant diseases, organ function evaluation, treatment selection, and Bruton tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitor was used. Results: ①The interviewed physicians stated that the proportion of male patients treated for CLL/SLL is higher than that of females, and the age is mainly concentrated in 61-70 years old. ②Most of the interviewed physicians conducted tests, such as bone marrow biopsies and immunohistochemistry, for patient diagnosis, in addition to the blood test. ③Only 13.7% of the interviewed physicians fully grasped the initial treatment indications recommended by the existing guidelines. ④In terms of cognition of high-risk prognostic factors, physicians' knowledge of unmutated immunoglobulin heavy-chain variable and 11q- is far inferior to that of TP53 mutation and complex karyotype, which are two high-risk prognostic factors, and only 17.1% of the interviewed physicians fully mastered CLL International Prognostic Index scoring system. ⑤Among the first-line treatment strategy, BTK inhibitors are used for different types of patients, and physicians have formed a certain understanding that BTK inhibitors should be preferentially used in patients with high-risk factors and elderly patients, but the actual use of BTK inhibitors in different types of patients is not high (31.6%-46.0%). ⑥BTK inhibitors at a reduced dose in actual clinical treatment were used by 69.0% of the physicians, and 66.8% of the physicians had interrupted the BTK inhibitor for >12 days in actual clinical treatment. The use of BTK inhibitors is reduced or interrupted mainly because of adverse reactions, such as atrial fibrillation, severe bone marrow suppression, hemorrhage, and pulmonary infection, as well as patients' payment capacity and effective disease progression control. ⑦Some differences were found in the perceptions and behaviors of hematologists and oncologists regarding the prognostic assessment of CLL/SLL, the choice of treatment options, the clinical use of BTK inhibitors, etc. Conclusion: At present, a gap remains between the diagnosis and treatment of CLL/SLL among Chinese physicians compared with the recommendations in the guidelines regarding the diagnostic criteria, treatment indications, prognosis assessment, accompanying disease assessment, treatment strategy selection, and rational BTK inhibitor use, especially the proportion of dose reduction or BTK inhibitor discontinuation due to high adverse events.

Long-term outcomes of aplastic anemia with cytogenetic abnormalities at diagnosis

OBJECTIVES

To elucidate the clinical characteristics of AA patients with cytogenetic abnormalities.

METHODS

We retrospectively screened 30 patients (30/1206, 2.5%) with cytogenetic abnormalities from 1206 patients with severe and very severe AA who received immunosuppressive therapy (IST) during the years 2012-2019.

RESULTS

The most common abnormalities were trisomy 8 (+8, 10/30, 33.3%) and loss of Y (-Y, 8/30, 26.7%). The abnormal clones disappeared 6 months after IST in 14 patients and sustained in 12 patients. Patients with sustained abnormal clones had a lower hematologic response at 6 months after IST than the disappeared (33.3% vs. 64.3%, p = .116). The hematologic response after IST, 5-year overall survival, 5-year event-free survival, myelodysplastic syndrome or acute myeloid leukemia transformation in AA patients with cytogenetic abnormalities were not statistically different from those in normal cytogenetic patients.

CONCLUSION

For AA patients with chromosome abnormalities but ineligible for hematopoietic stem cell transplant, IST is effective and appropriate as first-line treatment.

Comparison of hematopoietic stem cell transplantation and immunosuppressive therapy as the first-line treatment option for patients with severe hepatitis−associated aplastic anemia

Hepatitis-associated aplastic anemia (HAAA) is a rare variant of acquired aplastic anemia characterized with a syndrome of bone marrow failure after hepatitis. We retrospectively analyzed the outcomes of consecutive severe HAAA patients who received immunosuppressive therapy (IST, n = 70), matched-sibling donor hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (MSD-HSCT, n = 26) or haploidentical-donor (HID) HSCT (n = 11) as the first-line treatment. In the IST group, the hematologic response (HR) rate was 55.71% at 6 months. In contrast, HSCT recipients exhibited significantly more rapid and sustained hematopoiesis (HR 76.92%, 96.15% and 96.15% at 3, 6 and 12months, respectively). The 5-year overall survival (OS) was not different among IST (83.7 ± 4.9%), MSD-HSCT (93.3 ± 6.4%) and HID-HSCT group (80.8 ± 12.3%). Compared with IST, MSD and HID-HSCT demonstrated a trend of superiority in the estimated 5-year failure-free survival rates (93.3 ± 6.4% vs 64.3 ± 6.0%, p = 0.05; 80.8 ± 12.3% vs 64.3 ± 6.0%, p = 0.57). In subsequent stratified analysis on age, we found that HID-HSCT showed its efficacy and safety among young patients. In sum, MSD-HSCT remains first-line treatment choice for HAAA, whereas HID-HSCT represents an alternative treatment choice in addition to IST for young patients (&lt; 40 years) without a matched sibling donor.

[Clinical and genetic characteristics of young patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms]

Objectives: To investigate the clinical and genetic features of young Chinese patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN). Methods: In this cross-sectional study, anonymous questionnaires were distributed to patients with MPN patients nationwide. The respondents were divided into 3 groups based on their age at diagnosis: young (≤40 years) , middle-aged (41-60 years) , and elderly (>60 years) . We compared the clinical and genetic characteristics of three groups of MPN patients. Results: 1727 assessable questionnaires were collected. There were 453 (26.2%) young respondents with MPNs, including 274 with essential thrombocythemia (ET) , 80 with polycythemia vera (PV) , and 99 with myelofibrosis. Among the young group, 178 (39.3%) were male, and the median age was 31 (18-40) years. In comparison to middle-aged and elderly respondents, young respondents with MPN were more likely to present with a higher proportion of unmarried status (all P<0.001) , a higher education level (all P<0.001) , less comorbidity (ies) , fewer medications (all P<0.001) , and low-risk stratification (all P<0.001) . Younger respondents experienced headache (ET, P<0.001; PV, P=0.007; MF, P=0.001) at diagnosis, had splenomegaly at diagnosis (PV, P<0.001) , and survey (ET, P=0.052; PV, P=0.063) . Younger respondents had fewer thrombotic events at diagnosis (ET, P<0.001; PV, P=0.011) and during the survey (ET, P<0.001; PV, P=0.003) . JAK2 mutations were found in fewer young people (ET, P<0.001; PV, P<0.001; MF, P=0.013) ; however, CALR mutations were found in more young people (ET, P<0.001; MF, P=0.015) . Furthermore, mutations in non-driver genes (ET, P=0.042; PV, P=0.043; MF, P=0.004) and high-molecular risk mutations (ET, P=0.024; PV, P=0.023; MF, P=0.001) were found in fewer young respondents. Conclusion: Compared with middle-aged and elderly patients, young patients with MPN had unique clinical and genetic characteristics.

Hetrombopag plus porcine ATG and cyclosporine for the treatment of aplastic anaemia: early outcomes of a prospective pilot study

Hetrombopag, a small molecular thrombopoietin-receptor agonist, has shown encouraging efficiency in immunosuppressive therapy refractory or relapsed severe aplastic anaemia. To investigate the response rate of hetrombopag combined with IST as first-line treatment, we designed a prospective pilot study including 32 patients with SAA treated with anti-human T lymphocyte porcine immunoglobulin (p-ATG), cyclosporine, and hetrombopag. In addition, 96 patients with SAA treated with p-ATG and cyclosporine alone were matched as controls. In total, 21.9% of patients treated with hetrombopag achieved complete response (CR) at 3 months, while 5.2% of patients achieved CR in the control group (P = 0.005). At 6 months, the CR rates were 34.4% in the hetrombopag group and 14.6% in the control group (P = 0.015). The overall response rates at 6 months were 68.7% and 50.0% in the hetrombopag and control groups, respectively. The median time to haematologic response was 56 days and 77 days, and to CR was 96 days and 214 days in the hetrombopag and control groups, respectively. In conclusion, adding hetrombopag to IST as first-line treatment resulted in faster and better haematologic response in SAA.

Antihuman T lymphocyte porcine immunoglobulin combined with cyclosporine as first-line immunosuppressive therapy for severe aplastic anemia in China: a large single-center, 10-year retrospective study

Background

Antihuman T lymphocyte porcine immunoglobulin (p-ATG) has been the most common ATG preparation in immunosuppressive therapy (IST) in Chinese patients with severe aplastic anemia (SAA) since 2009.

Objectives

This study aimed to evaluate the early hematologic response and long-term outcomes of a large cohort of patients with SAA who received p-ATG plus cyclosporine (CsA) as first-line therapy from 2010 to 2019.

Design

This is a single-center retrospective study of medical records.

Methods

We analyzed the data of 1023 consecutive patients with acquired aplastic anemia (AA) who underwent p-ATG combined with CsA as a first-line IST treatment from 2010 to 2019 at our department.

Results

The median age of the patients was 24 (4-75) years, and the median follow-up time was 57.2 months (3 days-137.5 months). There was an early mortality rate of 2.8% with a median death time of 0.9 months (3 days-2.9 months). The overall response rates were 40.6% and 56.1% at 3 and 6 months, respectively. The 5-year cumulative incidences of relapse and clonal evolution were 9.0% [95% confidence interval (CI) = 4.2-16.0%] and 4.5% (95% CI = 1.4-10.6%), respectively. The 5-year overall survival (OS) and event-free survival rates were 83.7% (95% CI = 81.1-86.0%) and 50.4% (95% CI = 47.1-53.5%), respectively.

Conclusion

p-ATG combined with CsA for the treatment of AA is effective and safe, and p-ATG can be used as an alternative ATG preparation for the standard IST regimen in areas in which h-ATG is not available.

Assessment of a compounded synthetic adrenocorticotropic hormone product in 17 healthy dogs

OBJECTIVES

Synthetic adrenocorticotropic hormone or tetracosactide is routinely used in the diagnosis of hypoadrenocorticism and frequently in the diagnosis and treatment of hyperadrenocorticism. There have been repeated shortages of tetracosactide in recent years in Australia. This study investigated the agreement of serum cortisol after a compounded tetracosactide (Bova Aus), compared to commercial tetracosactide (Synacthen®) in healthy dogs.

METHODS

Prospective crossover study using 20 dogs. Ten dogs received 5 μg/kg Synacthen® on day 1 and 5 μg/kg compounded tetracosactide on Day 2. The other 10 dogs received the reverse order. Cortisol concentrations in each dog 1 h after injection were compared for agreement, which was defined as the limits of agreement of the Bland-Altman ratio to be within a range of 0.8-1.25. Passing-Bablok regression analysis examined for constant and proportional biases.

RESULTS

Three dogs were excluded with post-stimulation serum cortisol concentrations markedly outside reference interval. For the remaining 17 dogs, Bland-Altman ratio analysis of cortisol concentration (tetracosactide/Synacthen®) at 1 h found virtually no constant bias (mean of ratios 1.01;95% CI 0.97-1.05) and 95% limits of agreement were 0.88 (95% CI 0.78-0.90) and 1.17 (95% CI 1.13-1.25). This met our criteria for agreement between cortisol concentrations. Bias of the Bland-Altman difference was 2.8 nmol/L (95% CI -7.2 to 12.8); 95% limits of agreement -35.2 nmol/L (95% CI -57.0 to -26.1) and 40.8 nmol/L (95% CI 31.7-62.6). Passing-Bablok regression analysis did not identify bias.

CONCLUSION

In healthy dogs, cortisol concentrations were in agreement after compounded tetracosactide compared to commercial tetracosactide, Synacthen®.

Development and validation of early death risk score model for emergency status prediction in very severe aplastic anemia

This study developed and validated the Early Death Risk Score Model for early identification of emergency patients with very severe aplastic anemia (VSAA). All 377 patients with VSAA receiving first-line immunosuppressive therapy (IST) were categorized into training (n=252) and validation (n=125) cohorts. In the training cohort, age >24 years, absolute neutrophil count ≤0.015×10⁹/L, serum ferritin >900ng/mL and times of fever before IST >1 time were significantly associated with early death. Covariates were assigned scores and categorized as: low (score 0-4), medium (score 5-7) and high (score ≥8) risk. Early death rate was significantly different between risk groups and the validation cohort results were consistent with those of the training cohort. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the model was 0.835 (0.734,0.936) in the training cohort and 0.862 (0.730,0.994) in the validation cohort. The calibration plots showed high agreement, and decision curve analysis showed good benefit in clinical applications. The VSAA Early Death Risk Score Model can help with early identification of emergency VSAA and optimize treatment strategies. Emergency VSAA with high risk is associated with high early death rate, and alternative donor hematopoietic stem cell transplantation could be a better treatment than IST even without HLA-matching.