Defibrotide for the treatment of veno-occlusive disease after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

Veno-occlusive disease (VOD) after liver transplantation is associated with acute rejection and poor outcome. The use of antithrombotic and thrombolytic agents is limited by their toxicity. Defibrotide is a polydeoxyribonucleotide with thrombolytic and antithrombotic properties and no systemic anticoagulant effect.

METHODS

Defibrotide, 35-40 mg/kg/day, was administered intravenously for 21 days on a compassionate-use basis to two patients aged 66 and 49 years. VOD had developed 6 weeks and 4 months after orthotopic liver transplantation for hepatitis C and hepatitis B infection, respectively. VOD was diagnosed clinically by findings of weight gain (8.5% and 16%), ascites, jaundice (serum bilirubin 5.4 mg/dl and 21.7 mg/dl), and severe coagulopathy (in one patient), and histologically by the presence of hemorrhagic centrilobular necrosis and fibrous stenosis of the hepatic venules. One of the patients had received azathioprine as part of the immunosuppressive regimen. There was no evidence of acute cellular rejection histologically.

RESULTS

After 3 weeks of defibrotide administration, the first patient showed complete clinical resolution of the VOD, and serum bilirubin level normalized. He is alive 6 months after transplantation. The second patient, treated at a later stage of disease, showed marked improvement in the coagulopathic state, but there was no resolution of the VOD. He died 2 months later of multiorgan failure due to Escherichia coli sepsis. Neither patient had side effects from the drug.

CONCLUSIONS

Defibrotide is a promising drug for the treatment of VOD after liver transplantation and needs to be evaluated in large, prospective studies.

Primary hyperoxaluria type 1: improved outcome with timely liver transplantation: a single-center report of 36 children

BACKGROUND

The appropriate use of liver transplantation in children with type-1 primary hyperoxaluria (PH-1) is not well established. We reviewed our experience with 36 children with PH-1, including 12 who underwent liver transplantation.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

From 1989-1998, 36 children from 10 families in northern Israel were diagnosed with PH-1. Eight children presented with renal failure; seven of these eight had the severe infantile form of the disease. One child was treated with kidney transplantation alone. Combined liver-kidney transplantation has been performed in nine children and preemptive liver transplantation in three children. A review of the patients' charts for the following parameters was performed: age, clinical signs, and renal sonographic findings at diagnosis, age at onset of dialysis, and current status. Type of transplant, pre- and posttransplant urine oxalate excretion, current renal function, survival, and complications were recorded in liver recipients.

RESULTS

Of the 23 nontransplanted children, 9 died of complications related to severe systemic oxalosis and 14 are alive (mean follow-up, 7.4 years), including 2 who are candidates for transplantation. The child who underwent only kidney transplantation died of unrelated causes. Of the 12 liver recipients, 2 died within the first 3 months posttransplant and another child underwent retransplantation due to hepatic arterial thrombosis. At intervals after transplant ranging from 6-54 months, 10 recipients are alive (7 of the 9 recipients of combined liver-kidney transplants and all 3 recipients of preemptive liver transplants). Mean GFR in the 10 survivors is 77 ml/min/m2. In 9 of these 10, daily urinary oxalate excretion normalized. Renal function has improved (mean GFR 86 vs. 58 ml/min/m2) but renal oxalate deposits remain in the three recipients of isolated liver grafts.

CONCLUSIONS

Our decade-long experience with children with PH-1 supports strategies for early diagnosis and timely liver transplantation. Preemptive isolated liver transplantation should be considered in children who develop the disease during infancy or in those with slowly progressive disease when significant symptoms develop. Combined liver-kidney transplantation is suggested for children with end-stage renal disease.

Efficacy of lamivudine for the treatment of hepatitis B virus infection after liver transplantation in children

BACKGROUND

There is at present very little information about hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in children after liver transplantation. This is the first study to assess the safety and efficacy of lamivudine in this patient population.

METHODS

We describe three children aged 5-14 years who underwent liver transplantation for fulminant hepatitis A, hyperoxaluria, and cystic fibrosis. Despite adequate immunoprophylaxis, two of the children who were serum hepatitis B surface antigen-positive before transplantation (HBV DNA-negative by hybridization) had a reactivation of the disease, and one had a de novo HBV infection, at 12-18 months after transplantation. Lamivudine 3 mg/kg was administered on a compassionate-use basis for 14-36 months.

RESULTS

After 1 month of therapy, HBV DNA disappeared from the serum in all patients by hybridization and in two patients by polymerase chain reaction. In all three children, alanine transaminase levels normalized. One child developed lamivudine resistance after 22 months with no evidence of hepatic decompensation. Repeated liver histological studies revealed progression of hepatic fibrosis in one child. All children remained serum hepatitis B surface antigen- and hepatitis B e antigen-positive. No adverse effects of the drug were noted.

CONCLUSION

Lamivudine is beneficial and well tolerated in children with HBV infection after liver transplantation.

Basal and post-methionine serum homocysteine and lipoprotein abnormalities in patients with chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Lipoprotein abnormalities are commonly found in chronic liver diseases (CLDs), particularly hypercholesterolemia in primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC). However, affected patients may not be at increased risk of coronary heart disease. Cirrhotic patients display impaired methionine clearance, and an increased level of homocysteine, a methionine metabolite, is an independent risk factor for coronary heart disease. Thus, we hypothesized that the low risk of coronary heart disease in patients with CLD may be related to low serum levels of homocysteine. The aim of this study was to test this hypothesis after methionine load and to describe the serum lipoprotein profile in patients with PBC and in patients with hepatocellular liver disease.

METHODS

Fifteen female patients (mean age, 58.2 +/- 11.7 years) with PBC, 15 female patients (mean age, 54.5 +/- 9.6 years) with other causes of CLD, and 15 healthy sex- and age-matched controls were given L-methionine (50 mg/kg of ideal body weight). Basal fasting serum homocysteine level and 2, 4, and 6 hours of post-methionine load were determined using high-performance liquid chromatography with a fluorometric detector. Levels of fasting serum cholesterol, triglycerides, high-density lipoprotein (HDL), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), lipoprotein (a) (Lp(a)), and apoprotein B were also determined.

RESULTS

Results showed that mean basal and post-methionine load (6 hours) serum homocysteine levels were statistically significantly higher in the patients with PBC and with CLD than in the control group (P=0.04) and that levels of serum cholesterol, LDL, HDL, and apoprotein B were significantly higher in the PBC patients than in the other two groups (P < or = 0.05). There was no correlation between any of these parameters and the severity of liver disease. Serum HDL was significantly lower in the CLD group (P < or = 0.05) and correlated with severity of liver disease. There was no significant difference in serum cholesterol, LDL, or apoprotein B between the CLD group and the controls. Serum triglyceride and Lp(a) levels were similar for all three groups.

CONCLUSIONS

In contrast to previous reports, the site of the methionine metabolic impairment was found to be below the homocysteine synthesis level. For most patients with CLD, factors other than serum homocysteine or Lp(a) are responsible for the reduction in the risk of coronary heart disease. Further studies with larger samples are needed.

Role of cytokine gene polymorphism in hepatitis C recurrence and allograft rejection among liver transplant recipients

BACKGROUND

Cytokines play a key role in the regulation of immune responses. The maximal capacity of cytokine production varies between individuals and was shown to correlate with polymorphism in cytokine gene promoters. The objective of this study was to analyze the role of cytokine allelic variations in susceptibility to early graft rejection episodes and recurrence of hepatitis C infection in liver transplant (LTx) recipients.

METHODS

The genetic profile of five cytokines was studied in 68 LTx recipients and 49 controls using polymerase chain reaction sequence specific primers. All individuals were genotyped as high or low producers of TNF-alpha and IL-6 and high, intermediate, or low producers of transforming growth factor beta (TGF-beta), interferon gamma (IFN-gamma), and interleukin 10 (IL-10) based on single nucleotide substitutions.

RESULTS

No statistically significant differences were observed between patients with or without early rejection episodes. A significant proportion of patients more prone to rejection were genotyped as having a low production profile of IL-10 compared with the control population (P=0.04). These data are in accordance with reports regarding other solid-organ transplant recipients. Patients with no recurrence of hepatitis C had the inherent ability to produce higher TGF-beta levels than did patients with recurrent disease (P=0.042). Among nonrecurrent patients, the percentage of genetically low IL-10 producers was higher than among recurrent patients (P=0.07). Furthermore, a genetic tendency to produce higher levels of IFN-gamma was noted among LTx recipients with nonrecurrent hepatitis C than among those with recurrent hepatitis C.

CONCLUSIONS

While no significant correlation was detected between particular cytokine profile and early rejection episodes, our data strongly suggest an association between cytokine gene polymorphism of TGF-beta, IL-10, and INF-gamma and recurrence of hepatitis C in LTx recipients.

Long-term experience with lamivudine therapy for hepatitis B virus infection after liver transplantation

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) is associated with a high recurrence rate and poor prognosis. This is the first study of the efficacy of long-term lamivudine therapy for patients with HBV infection after OLT. Eight patients (5 men, 3 women) aged 35 to 63 years (mean, 50 years) with HBV infection after OLT (6 patients, recurrent infection; 2 patients, de novo infection) were treated with lamivudine, 100 mg/d, on a compassionate-use basis. Before treatment, all had detectable HBV DNA in serum, and 5 patients (62.5%) had detectable serum hepatitis Be antigen (HBeAg). Duration of treatment was 24 to 50 months (mean, 36 months). Patients were monitored for serum alanine aminotransferase level (ALT), HBV DNA (by hybridization), hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), and HBeAg before and after therapy, and liver histological findings were scored for inflammation and fibrosis. After treatment, 3 patients (32.5%) had undetectable HBV DNA by hybridization assay. None of the patients lost serum HBeAg and HBsAg, except for 1 patient who lost serum HBeAg and became serum antibody to HBeAg-positive. Serum ALT levels normalized in 5 patients (62.5%). Blinded histological assessment showed improvement in 1 patient, no change in 2 patients, and worsening in 5 patients. YMDD variants of HBV were detected in 5 patients (62.5%) within 9 to 20 months (mean, 13 months) of lamivudine therapy. Of these, 2 patients (40%) had hepatic failure (1 patient died of massive variceal bleed) and 3 patients remain clinically stable. Lamivudine therapy was continued in the latter patients. Although lamivudine is a potentially effective therapy for HBV infection after OLT, emergence of high mutation rates with long-term therapy, histological progression, and the possibility of hepatic failure point to the need to investigative combinations of antiviral therapy.

The addition of mycophenolate mofetil for suppressing hepatitis B virus replication in liver recipients who developed lamivudine resistance--no beneficial effect

BACKGROUND

Mycophenolate mofetil is used as an immunosuppressive agent in liver transplant recipients. Its active compound, mycophenolic acid, also inhibits the replication of Epstein-Barr virus and human immunodeficiency virus. Based on a study indicating the effectiveness of mycophenolate mofetil on hepatitis B virus (HBV) replication in infected human hepatocyte cells in culture, we examined the efficacy of mycophenolate mofetil in suppressing HBV replication in lamivudine-resistant liver allograft recipients with recurrent HBV infection.

METHOD

The study population included four liver allograft recipients (three males, one female), median age 51 years (range 41-57 years), with recurrent HBV infection who proved to be resistant to lamivudine. All received standard maintenance immunosuppression therapy. Median pretreatment serum alanine aminotransferase level was 75 mu/L (range 39-182 mu/L) and HBV DNA level (quantitative dot blot), 70 pg/ml (range: 10-5,000 pg/ml). Mycophenolate mofetil, 1.0 g p.o. twice daily, was administered for 8 weeks, concomitant with a reduction in the maintenance corticosteroid and cyclosporine doses.

RESULTS

After mycophenolate mofetil was administered, the serum alanine aminotransferase level increased in two patients, did not change in one, and decreased in one. Serum HBV DNA levels increased in three patients and decreased (nonsignficantly) in only one patient. Two patients complained of abdominal pain and nausea.

CONCLUSIONS

Mycophenolate mofetil at the dosage used is not effective in suppressing HBV replication after liver transplantation.

An open-label study of lamivudine for chronic hepatitis B in six patients with chronic renal failure before and after kidney transplantation

OBJECTIVE

The course of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection after kidney transplantation is aggressive, with a high mortality rate from liver disease mainly in patients who were serum hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) or HBV DNA-positive before transplantation. Lamivudine has been shown to be a potent inhibitor of HBV replication. The aim of the study was to examine the efficacy and safety of lamivudine therapy in patients with chronic renal failure and chronic HBV infection.

METHODS

The study population consisted of six potential candidates for kidney or combined kidney and liver transplantation aged 25-49 yr (four patients had already undergone a kidney transplantation and developed chronic rejection). All were serum HBeAg and/or HBV DNA-positive and had been maintained on hemodialysis for 3 months to 3 yr. The duration of HBV infection was 7 months to 14 yr. Serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels ranged from 72 to 610 U/L (median, 158 U/L). Liver histological evaluation showed mild to moderate chronic hepatitis (n = 4) or liver cirrhosis (n = 2). None of the patients was infected with hepatitis C or D viruses. In four patients, treatment consisted of 10 mg of oral lamivudine per day. In the other two patients, a virological and biochemical response could be achieved only when the dose was increased to 40 mg/day.

RESULTS

Lamivudine treatment was associated with 1) normalization of serum ALT levels and rapid disappearance of serum HBV DNA (by hybridization) (five patients, one of whom died from sepsis); 2) seroconversion: disappearance of HBeAg (three patients) and HBsAg (two patients); 3) minor side effects: abdominal pain and nausea (one patient); 4) clinically asymptomatic lamivudine resistance 8 months after treatment (one patient); and 5) successful combined kidney and liver transplantation with no evidence of recurrent HBV infection at 6-8 months postoperatively (two patients with cirrhosis).

CONCLUSIONS

Lamivudine therapy is effective as an HBV replication inhibitor in patients with chronic renal failure and HBV infection. Prospective studies of lamivudine pharmacokinetics and dosing in renal failure are needed to be able to treat patients appropriately. Although our study is small and further follow-up is needed, our data suggest that lamivudine therapy may enable selected patients with chronic hepatitis B to undergo kidney or combined kidney and liver transplantation in patients with established cirrhosis.

Mutations at vicinity of catalytic sites of hepatitis C virus NS3 serine protease gene isolated from hepatocellular carcinoma tissue

The mechanism of hepatitis C virus (HCV) -induced hepatotocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still unknown, but in vitro studies clearly suggest that HCV proteins exert a direct effect on liver carcinogenesis. HCV NS3 serine protease is known to play a key role in the life cycle of the virus and may interact with the host cellular regulatory proteins. The aim of the present study was to conduct a genetic analysis of the HCV NS3 gene coding for the serine protease isolated from serum, tumor, and nontumor tissue of HCC patients. RNA was extracted and HCV cDNA was amplified by nested reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). Sequence comparison yielded unique changes at the vicinity of the catalytic sites of the NS3 clones isolated only from HCC tissue. These changes included the insertion of a "large" and charged amino acid, substitution of a polar with a hydrophobic amino acid, and substitution of a charged with a polar amino acid. Those changes affect the electrostatic charge around the active site, and thus the activity and substrate specificity of the serine protease. This is the first study to define significant amino acid changes at the catalytic domain of the NS3 serine protease gene isolated from HCC tissue.

[Experience with 100 liver transplant recipients at the Rabin Medical Center and the Schneider Children's Medical Center]

Liver transplantation is the treatment of choice for end-stage liver disease. During the past 8 years we performed 102 liver transplants in 84 adults and 16 children. In the adults, 9 were combined transplants: 1 a liver-pancreas transplant for type I diabetes, and 8 liver-kidney transplants. In the children, transplants included 5 whole-livers, 5 left-lateral liver segments from living-related donors, 4 reduced-grafts of right or left lobes, and 2 split left-lateral segments. At a mean follow-up of 31 months (range 1-96) 70 were alive, 3 had died during surgery and 15 during the first postoperative months. Mortality was due to primary graft non-function (7), sepsis (10), intracranial hemorrhage (1), tumors (4), recurrent hepatitis B (2), biliary strictures (2) and chronic rejection (1). The 1- and 4-year survival rates were 79.5% and 69.6%, respectively. After transplantation, 10 developed biliary stricture (5 corrected by balloon dilatation) and 8 anastomotic stricture (7 corrected by surgery), and there were 2 multiple intrahepatic strictures. There was hepatic artery thrombosis in 5, including 4 children. In 3, grafts were salvaged by thrombectomy and 2 others underwent re-transplantation. In those who survived transplantation by more than 1-month, recurrent hepatitis B was seen in 6 of 17 (35%) and recurrent hepatitis C in 12 of 19 (63%). Thus, results of our first 100 liver transplants are similar to those reported by larger centers, showing that in an appropriate setting good results can be achieved by small transplant programs.

Extension of transplantation free time by lamivudine in patients with hepatitis B-induced decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation for hepatitis B virus (HBV)-induced cirrhosis carries a high risk of graft reinfection and poor prognosis. Active viral replication is considered a contraindication for transplantation in most centers. Lamivudine, a new nucleoside analog, is a potent inhibitor of HBV replication that has been used safely for pretransplantation suppression of HBV replication.

METHODS

We report the pattern of response to lamivudine treatment in three consecutive patients with decompensated cirrhosis due to the replicative phase of chronic HBV infection.

RESULTS

In addition to virological and biochemical response, impressive clinical improvement was noted in all three patients, with disappearance of the ascites and marked improvement of synthetic liver function tests. One patient converted to anti-hepatitis B surface and is free of symptoms 20 months after initiation of treatment. The other two patients experienced significant clinical improvement for 8 to 9 months and were removed from the waiting list for transplantation. However, progressive liver disease recurred in both patients--one underwent liver transplantation and the other is a candidate for the procedure.

CONCLUSION

The administration of lamivudine for pretransplantation HBV suppression was associated with impressive clinical and biochemical improvement. Lamivudine may extend the transplantation free time in such patients. The mechanism of this desirable effect should be explored.

N-acetylcysteine in acute hepatic failure (non-paracetamol-induced)

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Acute liver failure is a serious condition associated with poor prognosis. It may be associated with changes in systemic hemodynamics, i.e., tissue hypoxia, which contributes to multiple-organ failure. Recent studies have shown that N-acetylcysteine administered to patients with fulminant hepatic failure (paracetamol-induced) increases oxygen delivery and improves survival. The aim of this pilot study was to evaluate N-acetylcysteine administration to patients with non-paracetamol-induced acute liver failure and assess its effect on the clinical course and outcome.

METHODOLOGY

N-acetylcysteine was administered at presentation to 7 patients with non-paracetamol-induced acute liver failure. Patients were followed for changes in clinical parameters (grade of encephalopathy), coagulation factors, biochemical parameters and outcome.

RESULTS

Clinically, 3 patients who initially had grade O/II encephalopathy, did not progress, and have fully recovered. The mean peak prothrombin time, serum factor V, aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase levels, all significantly improved. Four patients (57%) have recovered fully (1 patient, although fully recovered, died later from an unrelated cause). Two patients required orthotopic liver transplantation and 1 patient died. N-acetylcysteine administration may have prevented progression to grade III/IV encephalopathy and improved serum coagulation factors. This may account for its beneficial effect on survival in patients who had poor prognostic criteria at base-line. No side effects of the drug were noted.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that N-acetylcysteine administration should be considered in all patients with acute liver failure.

Syncytial giant-cell hepatitis due to autoimmune hepatitis type II (LKM1+) presenting as subfulminant hepatitis

Giant cell hepatitis (GCH) in adults is a rare event. The diagnosis of GCH is based on findings of syncytial giant hepatocytes. It is commonly associated with either viral infection or autoimmune hepatitis type I. A patient with GCH due to autoimmune hepatitis type II (LKM1+) is described, a combination that has not been previously reported. Corticosteroid therapy was effective in decreasing serum liver enzymes; however, the patient deteriorated rapidly and developed subfulminant hepatic failure. Although an emergency orthotopic liver transplantation was performed, the patient died because of reperfusion injury. Interestingly, only a few giant hepatocytes were noted in the explanted liver. This case stresses the association of GCH with autoimmune disorders, the possible immune mechanism involved in the formation of giant cell hepatocytes, and illustrates the rapidly progressive course and unfavorable prognosis that these patients can develop.

Fulminant non--A-G viral hepatitis leading to liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

All hepatotropic viruses are known to cause fulminant hepatic failure (FHF). However, in 30% to 40% of patients with FHF, the precise cause remains unknown. We aimed to better define this subgroup.

METHODS

We evaluated the clinical course and outcome of 7 patients admitted during a 22-month period with fulminant viral hepatitis leading to liver transplantation; none had serologic or molecular evidence of hepatitis A, B, C, D, E, or G viral infection, thus the term non-A-G viral hepatitis. All known etiologies of FHF were excluded.

RESULTS

All patients had prodromal symptoms suggestive of viral causes. Mean age was 30 years. The interval between onset of jaundice and appearance of encephalopathy was 23 days (range, 4-50 days). Five patients had grade III/IV encephalopathy. Serum alanine aminotransferase levels showed a single peak of activity. The duration between first symptoms and liver transplantation was 28 days (range, 12-71 days). Results of histological study of the explanted liver showed submassive (4 patients) or massive (3 patients) hepatocyte necrosis. In all patients, results of polymerase chain reaction analysis did not detect hepatitis B virus DNA, hepatitis C virus RNA, or hepatitis G virus RNA in the explanted liver. After transplantation, 2 patients showed (6 months later) increased liver enzyme levels of undetermined cause, and results of a liver biopsy showed mild lobular hepatitis; 1 patient had lymphoproliferative disorder (Epstein-Barr virus-originated); and 1 patient, aplastic anemia, which is known to be associated with seronegative viral hepatitis. The latter patient died, whereas the other 6 patients are alive (survival rate, 86%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our patients with non-A-G viral hepatitis had a severe acute onset with progressive FHF requiring liver transplantation. There is some suggestion of recurrent viral disease after transplantation implicating other unknown viruses in the etiology.

Disseminated intravascular coagulation in liver cirrhosis: fact or fiction?

OBJECTIVE

Cirrhosis is commonly associated with haemostatic dysfunction. The similarities of laboratory tests of disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) to those found in cirrhosis has led to the belief that DIC is a feature of the haemostatic failure of cirrhosis.

METHODS

The aim of this study was to determine whether DIC is part of the coagulopathy of cirrhosis by applying quantitative tests for prothrombin fragment 1 + 2, antithrombin III, thrombin-antithrombin complex, and specific fribrinogen degradation products levels (XDP), as well as the thrombelastograph for detecting the Clot Lysis Index.

RESULTS

Fifty-two stable cirrhotic patients (33 men, 19 women; mean age, 58.8 yr; range, 24-72 yr) with differing etiologies were studied. On tests of thrombin generation: thrombin-antithrombin complexes, fibrin(ogen) degradation products, and prothrombin fragments 1 + 2 were not found to be significantly different from an age- and gender-matched control group (p = 0.18, 0.3, and 0.67, respectively), whereas albumin, Factor V, fibrinogen, antithrombin III, and alpha2-antiplasmin were all significantly low (p = 0.0004, 0.002, 0.06, 0.004, and 0.004, respectively), reflecting reduced synthetic function and correlation in ascitic and non-ascitic patients. There was no correlation between impaired synthesis (antithrombin III and alpha2-antiplasmin) and indices of DIC (prothrombin fragment 1 + 2, thrombin-antithrombin complexes, and XDP) (p = not significant). The percentage of patients with high prothrombin fragments 1 + 2 and thrombin antithrombin levels in each Child grade group was similar. Thrombin time was significantly elevated in the cirrhotic group (a manifestation of low fibrinogen levels). The Clot Lysis Index as measured by thrombelastography was significantly abnormal, indicating mild hyperfibrinolysis.

CONCLUSION

We conclude that DIC is not part of the coagulopathy in stable liver cirrhosis without recent complications.

A predictive model for failure to control bleeding during acute variceal haemorrhage

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Variceal bleeding is a frequent complication of cirrhosis and is associated with a high risk of early rebleeding. In patients with peptic ulcers, continued bleeding or early rebleeding are risk factors for mortality and can be predicted by statistical models; however, no such models exist for acute variceal bleeding.

METHODS

We prospectively evaluated failure to control bleeding in 695 consecutive patients with cirrhosis, admitted for haematemesis and/or melaena. Criteria were defined for failure to control bleeding, which comprised both continued bleeding or early rebleeding within 5 days of admission. There were 2 sequential groups of patients: (i) those with variceal bleeding initially treated with blood transfusion and vasoactive drugs, and if these failed followed by sclerotherapy (n = 385); (ii) those with variceal bleeding treated with injection sclerotherapy at diagnostic endoscopy (n = 144). The third group was those with bleeding from other sources related to portal hypertension (n = 166).

RESULTS

Failure to control bleeding was noted in 169 (44%) patients in group 1, 55 (38%) in group 2 and 44 (25%) in group 3. Twenty variables that were evaluable within 6 h of admission, pertaining to severity of bleeding, severity of type of liver disease, mode of admission, and time of diagnostic endoscopy, were entered into a multivariate Cox model. Independent predictors of early rebleeding in group 1 were: active bleeding at endoscopy (irrespective of interval from admission) (p<0.0001), encephalopathy (p = 0.007), platelet count (p = 0.002), history of alcoholism (p = 0.002), presentation with haematemesis (p = 0.02), log urea (p = 0.03) and (shorter) interval to admission (p = 0.007). The variables predictive of 30-day mortality were: early bleeding (p<0.0007), bilirubin (p = 0.0006), encephalopathy (p<0.0001), (shorter) interval to admission (p<0.0001), and log urea (p = 0.004); a model based on these variables was also a good predictor of mortality in the other 2 groups. However, the model derived from group 1 for failure to control variceal bleeding was different in group 2, despite similar patient characteristics and a similar failure rate (following a single injection). This could suggest that sclerotherapy may induce bleeding in some patients independently of the baseline risk for failure to control bleeding.

CONCLUSIONS

In cirrhotic patients who present with haematemesis or melaena, active variceal bleeding at diagnostic endoscopy is predictive of failure to control bleeding (continued bleeding or early rebleeding within 5 days of admission), and this failure is predictive of 30-day mortality.