A Rare Germline HOXB13 Variant Contributes to Risk of Prostate Cancer in Men of African Ancestry

A rare African ancestry-specific germline deletion variant in HOXB13 (X285K, rs77179853) was recently reported in Martinican men with early-onset prostate cancer. Given the role of HOXB13 germline variation in prostate cancer, we investigated the association between HOXB13 X285K and prostate cancer risk in a large sample of 22 361 African ancestry men, including 11 688 prostate cancer cases. The risk allele was present only in men of West African ancestry, with an allele frequency in men that ranged from 0.40% in Ghana and 0.31% in Nigeria to 0% in Uganda and South Africa, with a range of frequencies in men with admixed African ancestry from North America and Europe (0-0.26%). HOXB13 X285K was associated with 2.4-fold increased odds of prostate cancer (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.5-3.9, p = 2 × 10^-4), with greater risk observed for more aggressive and advanced disease (Gleason ≥8: odds ratio [OR] = 4.7, 95% CI = 2.3-9.5, p = 2 × 10^-5; stage T3/T4: OR = 4.5, 95% CI = 2.0-10.0, p = 2 × 10^-4; metastatic disease: OR = 5.1, 95% CI = 1.9-13.7, p = 0.001). We estimated that the allele arose in West Africa 1500-4600 yr ago. Further analysis is needed to understand how the HOXB13 X285K variant impacts the HOXB13 protein and function in the prostate. Understanding who carries this mutation may inform prostate cancer screening in men of West African ancestry. PATIENT SUMMARY: A rare African ancestry-specific germline deletion in HOXB13, found only in men of West African ancestry, was reported to be associated with an increased risk of overall and advanced prostate cancer. Understanding who carries this mutation may help inform screening for prostate cancer in men of West African ancestry.

Abstract PO-163: Genome-wide polygenic risk score of prostate cancer in African and European ancestry men

Genome-wide polygenic risk scores (PRS) are reported to have higher performance than standard genome-wide significant PRS across numerous complex traits. We evaluated the ability of genome-wide PRS to evaluate prostate cancer risk compared to our recently developed and highly predictive multi-ancestry PRS of 269 fine-mapped and established prostate cancer risk variants. Genome-wide PRS approaches included LDpred2, PRS-CSx, and EB-PRS. Models were trained using the largest and most diverse prostate cancer GWAS to date of 107,247 cases and 127,006 controls, which was previously used to develop the multi-ancestry PRS of 269 variants. For each approach, we constructed the PRS using population-specific weights (i.e., African or European) and multi-ancestry weights, which were calculated across men from African, European, East Asian, and Hispanic populations in our previous GWAS. Resulting models were tested in independent samples of 1,586 cases and 1,047 controls of African ancestry from the California Uganda Study and 8,045 cases and 191,835 controls of European ancestry from the UK Biobank. Across all approaches, multi-ancestry weighted PRS had either similar or stronger performance compared to population-specific weighted PRS, both in terms of area under the curve (AUC) and odds of prostate cancer. Among the genome-wide PRS approaches, PRS-CSx constructed with multi-ancestry weights had the best performance, with AUCs of 0.656 (95% CI=0.635-0.677) in African and 0.844 (95% CI=0.840-0.848) in European ancestry men. Based on PRS-CSx, African and European ancestry men in the top 90-100% PRS decile relative to men in the median 40-60% PRS category had odds of prostate cancer of 2.67 (95% CI=2.00-3.55) and 4.17 (95% CI=3.87-4.50), respectively. However, the PRS constructed using 269 fine-mapped variants had larger AUCs in both African (0.679, 95% CI=0.659-0.700) and European ancestry men (0.845, 95% CI=0.841-0.849), with African and European ancestry men in the top PRS decile having larger odds of prostate cancer (3.53, 95% CI=2.66-4.69 and 4.20, 95% CI=3.89-4.53, respectively). We are currently further validating these findings in diverse men from Million Veteran's Program. This investigation suggests that genome-wide PRS may not improve the ability to distinguish prostate cancer compared to our genome-wide significant PRS and that a multi-ancestry approach to constructing PRS leads to similar or better performance than a population-specific approach.

Citation Format: Burcu F. Darst, Ravi K Madduri, Alexis A. Rodriguez, Xin Sheng, Rosalind A. Eeles, Zsofia Kote-Jarai, John M. Gaziano, Amy C. Justice, David V. Conti, Christopher A. Haiman. Genome-wide polygenic risk score of prostate cancer in African and European ancestry men [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Virtual Conference: 14th AACR Conference on the Science of Cancer Health Disparities in Racial/Ethnic Minorities and the Medically Underserved; 2021 Oct 6-8. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2022;31(1 Suppl):Abstract nr PO-163.

A prospective prostate cancer screening programme for men with pathogenic variants in mismatch repair genes (IMPACT): initial results from an international prospective study

BACKGROUND

Lynch syndrome is a rare familial cancer syndrome caused by pathogenic variants in the mismatch repair genes MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, or PMS2, that cause predisposition to various cancers, predominantly colorectal and endometrial cancer. Data are emerging that pathogenic variants in mismatch repair genes increase the risk of early-onset aggressive prostate cancer. The IMPACT study is prospectively assessing prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening in men with germline mismatch repair pathogenic variants. Here, we report the usefulness of PSA screening, prostate cancer incidence, and tumour characteristics after the first screening round in men with and without these germline pathogenic variants.

METHODS

The IMPACT study is an international, prospective study. Men aged 40-69 years without a previous prostate cancer diagnosis and with a known germline pathogenic variant in the MLH1, MSH2, or MSH6 gene, and age-matched male controls who tested negative for a familial pathogenic variant in these genes were recruited from 34 genetic and urology clinics in eight countries, and underwent a baseline PSA screening. Men who had a PSA level higher than 3·0 ng/mL were offered a transrectal, ultrasound-guided, prostate biopsy and a histopathological analysis was done. All participants are undergoing a minimum of 5 years' annual screening. The primary endpoint was to determine the incidence, stage, and pathology of screening-detected prostate cancer in carriers of pathogenic variants compared with non-carrier controls. We used Fisher's exact test to compare the number of cases, cancer incidence, and positive predictive values of the PSA cutoff and biopsy between carriers and non-carriers and the differences between disease types (ie, cancer vs no cancer, clinically significant cancer vs no cancer). We assessed screening outcomes and tumour characteristics by pathogenic variant status. Here we present results from the first round of PSA screening in the IMPACT study. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00261456, and is now closed to accrual.

FINDINGS

Between Sept 28, 2012, and March 1, 2020, 828 men were recruited (644 carriers of mismatch repair pathogenic variants [204 carriers of MLH1, 305 carriers of MSH2, and 135 carriers of MSH6] and 184 non-carrier controls [65 non-carriers of MLH1, 76 non-carriers of MSH2, and 43 non-carriers of MSH6]), and in order to boost the sample size for the non-carrier control groups, we randomly selected 134 non-carriers from the BRCA1 and BRCA2 cohort of the IMPACT study, who were included in all three non-carrier cohorts. Men were predominantly of European ancestry (899 [93%] of 953 with available data), with a mean age of 52·8 years (SD 8·3). Within the first screening round, 56 (6%) men had a PSA concentration of more than 3·0 ng/mL and 35 (4%) biopsies were done. The overall incidence of prostate cancer was 1·9% (18 of 962; 95% CI 1·1-2·9). The incidence among MSH2 carriers was 4·3% (13 of 305; 95% CI 2·3-7·2), MSH2 non-carrier controls was 0·5% (one of 210; 0·0-2·6), MSH6 carriers was 3·0% (four of 135; 0·8-7·4), and none were detected among the MLH1 carriers, MLH1 non-carrier controls, and MSH6 non-carrier controls. Prostate cancer incidence, using a PSA threshold of higher than 3·0 ng/mL, was higher in MSH2 carriers than in MSH2 non-carrier controls (4·3% vs 0·5%; p=0·011) and MSH6 carriers than MSH6 non-carrier controls (3·0% vs 0%; p=0·034). The overall positive predictive value of biopsy using a PSA threshold of 3·0 ng/mL was 51·4% (95% CI 34·0-68·6), and the overall positive predictive value of a PSA threshold of 3·0 ng/mL was 32·1% (20·3-46·0).

INTERPRETATION

After the first screening round, carriers of MSH2 and MSH6 pathogenic variants had a higher incidence of prostate cancer compared with age-matched non-carrier controls. These findings support the use of targeted PSA screening in these men to identify those with clinically significant prostate cancer. Further annual screening rounds will need to confirm these findings.

FUNDING

Cancer Research UK, The Ronald and Rita McAulay Foundation, the National Institute for Health Research support to Biomedical Research Centres (The Institute of Cancer Research and Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust; Oxford; Manchester and the Cambridge Clinical Research Centre), Mr and Mrs Jack Baker, the Cancer Council of Tasmania, Cancer Australia, Prostate Cancer Foundation of Australia, Cancer Council of Victoria, Cancer Council of South Australia, the Victorian Cancer Agency, Cancer Australia, Prostate Cancer Foundation of Australia, Asociación Española Contra el Cáncer (AECC), the Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional (FEDER), the Institut Català de la Salut, Autonomous Government of Catalonia, Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, National Institutes of Health National Cancer Institute, Swedish Cancer Society, General Hospital in Malmö Foundation for Combating Cancer.

Marital status and prostate cancer incidence: a pooled analysis of 12 case-control studies from the PRACTICAL consortium

While being in a committed relationship is associated with a better prostate cancer prognosis, little is known about how marital status relates to its incidence. Social support provided by marriage/relationship could promote a healthy lifestyle and an increased healthcare seeking behavior. We investigated the association between marital status and prostate cancer risk using data from the PRACTICAL Consortium. Pooled analyses were conducted combining 12 case-control studies based on histologically-confirmed incident prostate cancers and controls with information on marital status prior to diagnosis/interview. Marital status was categorized as married/partner, separated/divorced, single, or widowed. Tumours with Gleason scores ≥ 8 defined high-grade cancers, and low-grade otherwise. NCI-SEER's summary stages (local, regional, distant) indicated the extent of the cancer. Logistic regression was used to derive odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between marital status and prostate cancer risk, adjusting for potential confounders. Overall, 14,760 cases and 12,019 controls contributed to analyses. Compared to men who were married/with a partner, widowed men had an OR of 1.19 (95% CI 1.03-1.35) of prostate cancer, with little difference between low- and high-grade tumours. Risk estimates among widowers were 1.14 (95% CI 0.97-1.34) for local, 1.53 (95% CI 1.22-1.92) for regional, and 1.56 (95% CI 1.05-2.32) for distant stage tumours. Single men had elevated risks of high-grade cancers. Our findings highlight elevated risks of incident prostate cancer among widowers, more often characterized by tumours that had spread beyond the prostate at the time of diagnosis. Social support interventions and closer medical follow-up in this sub-population are warranted.

Large-scale cross-cancer fine-mapping of the 5p15.33 region reveals multiple independent signals

Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have identified thousands of cancer risk loci revealing many risk regions shared across multiple cancers. Characterizing the cross-cancer shared genetic basis can increase our understanding of global mechanisms of cancer development. In this study, we collected GWAS summary statistics based on up to 375,468 cancer cases and 530,521 controls for fourteen types of cancer, including breast (overall, estrogen receptor [ER]-positive, and ER-negative), colorectal, endometrial, esophageal, glioma, head/neck, lung, melanoma, ovarian, pancreatic, prostate, and renal cancer, to characterize the shared genetic basis of cancer risk. We identified thirteen pairs of cancers with statistically significant local genetic correlations across eight distinct genomic regions. Specifically, the 5p15.33 region, harboring the TERT and CLPTM1L genes, showed statistically significant local genetic correlations for multiple cancer pairs. We conducted a cross-cancer fine-mapping of the 5p15.33 region based on eight cancers that showed genome-wide significant associations in this region (ER-negative breast, colorectal, glioma, lung, melanoma, ovarian, pancreatic, and prostate cancer). We used an iterative analysis pipeline implementing a subset-based meta-analysis approach based on cancer-specific conditional analyses and identified ten independent cross-cancer associations within this region. For each signal, we conducted cross-cancer fine-mapping to prioritize the most plausible causal variants. Our findings provide a more in-depth understanding of the shared inherited basis across human cancers and expand our knowledge of the 5p15.33 region in carcinogenesis.

Abstract NG03: Multiethnic prostate cancer GWAS meta-analysis identifies novel variants, improves genetic risk prediction across populations, and informs biological mechanisms of prostate cancer

Prostate cancer (PCa) is a highly heritable disease with large disparities in incidence rates across racial and ethnic populations. The inadequate representation of diverse populations in current genome-wide association studies (GWAS) limits the translational potential of findings to the world's populations and could result in biased risk prediction, further exacerbating health disparities. To improve our understanding of genetic risk of PCa, we conducted the largest multiethnic PCa GWAS meta-analysis to date with 107,247 cases and 127,006 controls from the Prostate Cancer Association Group to Investigate Cancer-Associated Alterations in the Genome (PRACTICAL) consortium, including 85,554 cases and 91,972 controls of European ancestry, 10,368 cases and 10,986 controls of African ancestry, 8,611 cases and 18,809 controls of Asian ancestry, and 2,714 cases and 5,239 controls of Hispanic ethnicity. We identified 269 genetic risk variants independently associated with PCa risk, 86 of which were novel. Of the 183 previously reported prostate cancer risk variants, we identified stronger markers of risk for 62 variants using fine-mapping. To understand the aggregate effect of the 269 variants, we constructed a genetic risk score (GRS) using the multiethnic weights of the risk variants. Compared to men in the average 40-60% GRS category, the estimated OR for men in the top GRS decile (90-100%) was 5.06 [95% CI 4.84-5.29] for men of European ancestry, 3.74 [95% CI 3.36-4.17] for men of African ancestry, 4.47 [95% CI 3.52-5.68] for men of Asian ancestry, and 4.15 [95% CI 3.33-5.17] for Hispanic men. Men of African ancestry were estimated to have a 2.18-times higher mean GRS [95% CI 2.14-2.22], and men of Asian ancestry 0.73-times lower [95% CI 0.71-0.76], than men of European ancestry. Age significantly modified the GRS association with PCa risk, such that in men of European ancestry, the top decile GRS category was associated with an OR of 6.71 [95 % CI 5.99-7.52] for men ages 55 years or younger and 4.39 [95% CI 4.19-4.60] for men older than 55 years. Similarly, in men of African ancestry, the top GRS decile category was associated with an OR of 4.70 [95 % CI 3.65-6.07] for men ages 55 years or younger and 3.37 [95% CI 2.99-3.80] for men older than 55 years. We found that 51% of aggressive cases of European ancestry and 45% of aggressive cases of African ancestry were within the top 20% of the GRS. The lifetime absolute risk of PCa for men in the top decile of the GRS reached 38% for both African Americans [95% CI 36-41%] and Whites [95% CI 37-39%], 31% [95% CI 27-36%] for Hispanics and 26% [95% CI 22-30%] for Asians. For comparison, we constructed a genome-wide GRS, including the 269 variants and variants associated with PCa with P<1.0 × 10−5. ORs calculated with genome-wide GRS were similar and had nearly identical discriminative ability as the 269 GRS in independent samples of 6,852 cases and 193,117 controls of European ancestry and 1,586 cases and 1,047 controls of African ancestry. This suggests that a genome-wide GRS may not have improved ability to predict PCa risk compared to the 269 GRS. To understand the biological mechanisms impacted by genetic risk of PCa, we conducted integrative analyses of the GRS and serum metabolomics in 611 African ancestry men from the Multiethnic Cohort. We found that a higher GRS was associated with lower sphingolipid levels (beta=-0.08, P=3.1 × 10−4), lower androgenic steroids (beta=-0.06, P=0.003), and higher sarcosine levels (beta=0.11, P=0.002). Further, using a latent clustering approach, we found that these metabolites in conjunction with the GRS contributed to the clustering of men with low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk of PCa. These findings support the role of germline variation contributing to racial and ethnic disparities in PCa risk, with the GRS offering an approach for personalized risk prediction across populations and informing the biological mechanisms underlying PCa risk.

Citation Format: Burcu F. Darst, Lilit Moss, Edward J. Saunders, Nicholas Mancuso, Xin Sheng, Alisha Chou, Tokhir Dadaev, Sonja I. Berndt, Stephen K. Van Den Eeden, Stephen J. Chanock, Michael B. Cook, Tracy M. Layne, Demetrius Albanes, Hidewaki Nakagawa, John S. Witte, Practical Consortium, Rosalind A. Eeles, Zsofia Kote-Jarai, David V. Conti, Christopher A. Haiman. Multiethnic prostate cancer GWAS meta-analysis identifies novel variants, improves genetic risk prediction across populations, and informs biological mechanisms of prostate cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2021; 2021 Apr 10-15 and May 17-21. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(13_Suppl):Abstract nr NG03.

Additional SNPs improve risk stratification of a polygenic hazard score for prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

Polygenic hazard scores (PHS) can identify individuals with increased risk of prostate cancer. We estimated the benefit of additional SNPs on performance of a previously validated PHS (PHS46).

MATERIALS AND METHOD

180 SNPs, shown to be previously associated with prostate cancer, were used to develop a PHS model in men with European ancestry. A machine-learning approach, LASSO-regularized Cox regression, was used to select SNPs and to estimate their coefficients in the training set (75,596 men). Performance of the resulting model was evaluated in the testing/validation set (6,411 men) with two metrics: (1) hazard ratios (HRs) and (2) positive predictive value (PPV) of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing. HRs were estimated between individuals with PHS in the top 5% to those in the middle 40% (HR95/50), top 20% to bottom 20% (HR80/20), and bottom 20% to middle 40% (HR20/50). PPV was calculated for the top 20% (PPV80) and top 5% (PPV95) of PHS as the fraction of individuals with elevated PSA that were diagnosed with clinically significant prostate cancer on biopsy.

RESULTS

166 SNPs had non-zero coefficients in the Cox model (PHS166). All HR metrics showed significant improvements for PHS166 compared to PHS46: HR95/50 increased from 3.72 to 5.09, HR80/20 increased from 6.12 to 9.45, and HR20/50 decreased from 0.41 to 0.34. By contrast, no significant differences were observed in PPV of PSA testing for clinically significant prostate cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Incorporating 120 additional SNPs (PHS166 vs PHS46) significantly improved HRs for prostate cancer, while PPV of PSA testing remained the same.

KLK3 SNP-SNP interactions for prediction of prostate cancer aggressiveness

Risk classification for prostate cancer (PCa) aggressiveness and underlying mechanisms remain inadequate. Interactions between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) may provide a solution to fill these gaps. To identify SNP-SNP interactions in the four pathways (the angiogenesis-, mitochondria-, miRNA-, and androgen metabolism-related pathways) associated with PCa aggressiveness, we tested 8587 SNPs for 20,729 cases from the PCa consortium. We identified 3 KLK3 SNPs, and 1083 (P < 3.5 × 10-9) and 3145 (P < 1 × 10-5) SNP-SNP interaction pairs significantly associated with PCa aggressiveness. These SNP pairs associated with PCa aggressiveness were more significant than each of their constituent SNP individual effects. The majority (98.6%) of the 3145 pairs involved KLK3. The 3 most common gene-gene interactions were KLK3-COL4A1:COL4A2, KLK3-CDH13, and KLK3-TGFBR3. Predictions from the SNP interaction-based polygenic risk score based on 24 SNP pairs are promising. The prevalence of PCa aggressiveness was 49.8%, 21.9%, and 7.0% for the PCa cases from our cohort with the top 1%, middle 50%, and bottom 1% risk profiles. Potential biological functions of the identified KLK3 SNP-SNP interactions were supported by gene expression and protein-protein interaction results. Our findings suggest KLK3 SNP interactions may play an important role in PCa aggressiveness.

Polygenic hazard score is associated with prostate cancer in multi-ethnic populations

Genetic models for cancer have been evaluated using almost exclusively European data, which could exacerbate health disparities. A polygenic hazard score (PHS1) is associated with age at prostate cancer diagnosis and improves screening accuracy in Europeans. Here, we evaluate performance of PHS2 (PHS1, adapted for OncoArray) in a multi-ethnic dataset of 80,491 men (49,916 cases, 30,575 controls). PHS2 is associated with age at diagnosis of any and aggressive (Gleason score ≥ 7, stage T3-T4, PSA ≥ 10 ng/mL, or nodal/distant metastasis) cancer and prostate-cancer-specific death. Associations with cancer are significant within European (n = 71,856), Asian (n = 2,382), and African (n = 6,253) genetic ancestries (p < 10-180). Comparing the 80th/20th PHS2 percentiles, hazard ratios for prostate cancer, aggressive cancer, and prostate-cancer-specific death are 5.32, 5.88, and 5.68, respectively. Within European, Asian, and African ancestries, hazard ratios for prostate cancer are: 5.54, 4.49, and 2.54, respectively. PHS2 risk-stratifies men for any, aggressive, and fatal prostate cancer in a multi-ethnic dataset.

The BARCODE1 pilot study targeting men with increased genetic risk of developing prostate cancer: Examining the feasibility of a community-based screening program using polygenic risk score to target screening

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Background: A significant proportion of Prostate cancer (PrCa) risk is attributable to heritable risk factors of which only a minority are high risk Mendelian traits. A greater proportion of PrCa is due to the combined effect of multiple low risk variants. There have been approximately 170 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) identified that are associated with PrCa risk in Europeans. Although each of these confer a low to moderate risk of PrCa, the cumulative risk (polygenic risk score, PRS) of increasing numbers of these risk alleles may confer a substantial relative risk. In PrCa genetic profiling, using PRS, could be used to target population screening to those at highest risk. BARCODE1 is the first study to prospectively review the use of a genetic profile in PrCa screening in the general population in the UK. Methods: Our study invited healthy males aged 55-69 to participate through their Primary Care physicians. Collection kits were mailed to retrieve saliva samples. Genotyping was carried out after DNA extraction using a study specific assay and the PRS was calculated for each participant using the sum of weighted alleles for 130 risk loci. Prostate MRI and Biopsy were then offered to men in the top 10% of the genetic risk profile. Results: 1434 men were invited by letter to participate. The uptake was 26%, of whom 87% of men were eligible for inclusion. Following DNA extraction, genotyping, and quality control checks, data were available for 297 men. 25 participants had PRS in the top 10% and were invited for screening; 19 underwent a prostate MRI, and 18 went on to have a systematic (+/- targeted prostate biopsy. There were 7 diagnoses of PrCa (38.9%). The cancers detected were low-risk and are being managed with Active Surveillance (AS). Results of the first year of follow up will be presented and an update of the main study which aims to recruit 5000 men. Conclusions: The BARCODE1 pilot has shown the feasibility of this population-based study, with an overall uptake of 26% and a cancer incidence of nearly 40%. We have identified approximately 70 Primary care providers who have contributed to the transition to the full BARCODE1 study, which will aim to recruit 5,000 men. The BARCODE1 study results will be important in defining the role of PRS genetic profiling in targeted PrCa population screening. Clinical trial information: IRAS257684.

Identification of Germline Genetic Variants that Increase Prostate Cancer Risk and Influence Development of Aggressive Disease

Prostate cancer (PrCa) is a heterogeneous disease, which presents in individual patients across a diverse phenotypic spectrum ranging from indolent to fatal forms. No robust biomarkers are currently available to enable routine screening for PrCa or to distinguish clinically significant forms, therefore late stage identification of advanced disease and overdiagnosis plus overtreatment of insignificant disease both remain areas of concern in healthcare provision. PrCa has a substantial heritable component, and technological advances since the completion of the Human Genome Project have facilitated improved identification of inherited genetic factors influencing susceptibility to development of the disease within families and populations. These genetic markers hold promise to enable improved understanding of the biological mechanisms underpinning PrCa development, facilitate genetically informed PrCa screening programmes and guide appropriate treatment provision. However, insight remains largely lacking regarding many aspects of their manifestation; especially in relation to genes associated with aggressive phenotypes, risk factors in non-European populations and appropriate approaches to enable accurate stratification of higher and lower risk individuals. This review discusses the methodology used in the elucidation of genetic loci, genes and individual causal variants responsible for modulating PrCa susceptibility; the current state of understanding of the allelic spectrum contributing to PrCa risk; and prospective future translational applications of these discoveries in the developing eras of genomics and personalised medicine.

Rare Germline Variants in ATM Predispose to Prostate Cancer: A PRACTICAL Consortium Study

BACKGROUND

Germline ATM mutations are suggested to contribute to predisposition to prostate cancer (PrCa). Previous studies have had inadequate power to estimate variant effect sizes.

OBJECTIVE

To precisely estimate the contribution of germline ATM mutations to PrCa risk.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

We analysed next-generation sequencing data from 13 PRACTICAL study groups comprising 5560 cases and 3353 controls of European ancestry.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Variant Call Format files were harmonised, annotated for rare ATM variants, and classified as tier 1 (likely pathogenic) or tier 2 (potentially deleterious). Associations with overall PrCa risk and clinical subtypes were estimated.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

PrCa risk was higher in carriers of a tier 1 germline ATM variant, with an overall odds ratio (OR) of 4.4 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.0-9.5). There was also evidence that PrCa cases with younger age at diagnosis (<65 yr) had elevated tier 1 variant frequencies (p_difference = 0.04). Tier 2 variants were also associated with PrCa risk, with an OR of 1.4 (95% CI: 1.1-1.7).

CONCLUSIONS

Carriers of pathogenic ATM variants have an elevated risk of developing PrCa and are at an increased risk for earlier-onset disease presentation. These results provide information for counselling of men and their families.

PATIENT SUMMARY

In this study, we estimated that men who inherit a likely pathogenic mutation in the ATM gene had an approximately a fourfold risk of developing prostate cancer. In addition, they are likely to develop the disease earlier.

Trans-ancestry genome-wide association meta-analysis of prostate cancer identifies new susceptibility loci and informs genetic risk prediction

Prostate cancer is a highly heritable disease with large disparities in incidence rates across ancestry populations. We conducted a multiancestry meta-analysis of prostate cancer genome-wide association studies (107,247 cases and 127,006 controls) and identified 86 new genetic risk variants independently associated with prostate cancer risk, bringing the total to 269 known risk variants. The top genetic risk score (GRS) decile was associated with odds ratios that ranged from 5.06 (95% confidence interval (CI), 4.84-5.29) for men of European ancestry to 3.74 (95% CI, 3.36-4.17) for men of African ancestry. Men of African ancestry were estimated to have a mean GRS that was 2.18-times higher (95% CI, 2.14-2.22), and men of East Asian ancestry 0.73-times lower (95% CI, 0.71-0.76), than men of European ancestry. These findings support the role of germline variation contributing to population differences in prostate cancer risk, with the GRS offering an approach for personalized risk prediction.

Abstract PO-146: Multiethnic GWAS meta-analysis identifies novel variants and informs genetic risk prediction for prostate cancer across populations

Prostate cancer (PCa) is a highly heritable disease with large disparities in incidence rates across racial and ethnic populations. The inadequate representation of diverse populations in current genome-wide association studies (GWAS) limits the translational potential of findings to the world’s populations and could result in biased risk prediction, further exacerbating health disparities. To improve our understanding of genetic risk of PCa, we conducted a multiethnic meta-analysis of PCa GWAS using 107,247 cases and 127,006 controls from the Prostate Cancer Association Group to Investigate Cancer-Associated Alterations in the Genome (PRACTICAL) consortium, including 85,554 cases and 91,972 controls of European ancestry, 10,368 cases and 10,986 controls of African ancestry, 8,611 cases and 18,809 controls of Asian ancestry, and 2,714 cases and 5,239 controls of Hispanic ancestry. We identified 269 genetic risk variants independently associated with PCa risk, 86 of which were novel. To understand the aggregate effect of the 269 variants, we constructed a genetic risk score (GRS) using the multiethnic weights of the risk variants. Compared to men in the average 40-60% GRS category, the estimated OR for men in the top GRS decile (90-100%) was 5.06 [95% CI 4.84-5.29] for men of European ancestry, 3.74 [95% CI 3.36-4.17] for men of African ancestry, 4.47 [95% CI 3.52-5.68] for men of Asian ancestry, and 4.15 [95% CI 3.33-5.17] for men of Hispanic ancestry. Men of African ancestry were estimated to have a 2.18-times higher mean GRS [95% CI 2.14-2.22], and men of Asian ancestry 0.73-times lower [95% CI 0.71- 0.76], than men of European ancestry. Age significantly modified the GRS association with PCa risk, such that in men of European ancestry, the top decile GRS category was associated with an OR of 6.71 [95 % CI 5.99-7.52] for men ages 55 years or younger and 4.39 [95% CI 4.19-4.60] for men older than 55 years. Similarly, in men of African ancestry, the top decile GRS category was associated with an OR of 4.70 [95% CI 3.65-6.07] for men ages 55 years or younger and 3.37 [95% CI 2.99-3.80] for men older than 55 years. We found that 51% of aggressive cases of European ancestry and 45% of aggressive cases of African ancestry were within the top 20% of the GRS. The lifetime absolute risk of PCa for men in the top decile of the GRS reached 38% for both African Americans [95% CI 36-41%] and Whites [95% CI 37-39%], 31% [95% CI 27-36%] for Hispanics and 26% [95% CI 22-30%] for Asians. For comparison, we constructed a genome-wide GRS, including the 269 variants and variants associated with PCa with P&lt;1.0 × 10-5. ORs calculated with genome-wide GRS were similar and had nearly identical discriminative ability as the 269 GRS in independent samples of 6,852 cases and 193,117 controls of European ancestry and 1,586 cases and 1,047 controls of African ancestry. These findings support the role of germline variation contributing to racial and ethnic disparities in PCa risk, with the GRS offering an approach for personalized risk prediction across populations.

Citation Format: David V. Conti, Burcu F. Darst, Lilit Moss, Edward J. Saunders, Xin Sheng, Alisha Chou, Tokhir Dadaev, Sonja I. Berndt, Stephen K. Van Den Eeden, Stephen J. Chanock, Michael B. Cook, Hidewaki Nakagawa, John S. Witte, Rosalind A. Eeles, Zsofia Kote-Jarai, Christopher A. Haiman. Multiethnic GWAS meta-analysis identifies novel variants and informs genetic risk prediction for prostate cancer across populations [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Virtual Conference: Thirteenth AACR Conference on the Science of Cancer Health Disparities in Racial/Ethnic Minorities and the Medically Underserved; 2020 Oct 2-4. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2020;29(12 Suppl):Abstract nr PO-146.

FRMD6 has tumor suppressor functions in prostate cancer

Available tools for prostate cancer (PC) prognosis are suboptimal but may be improved by better knowledge about genes driving tumor aggressiveness. Here, we identified FRMD6 (FERM domain-containing protein 6) as an aberrantly hypermethylated and significantly downregulated gene in PC. Low FRMD6 expression was associated with postoperative biochemical recurrence in two large PC patient cohorts. In overexpression and CRISPR/Cas9 knockout experiments in PC cell lines, FRMD6 inhibited viability, proliferation, cell cycle progression, colony formation, 3D spheroid growth, and tumor xenograft growth in mice. Transcriptomic, proteomic, and phospho-proteomic profiling revealed enrichment of Hippo/YAP and c-MYC signaling upon FRMD6 knockout. Connectivity Map analysis and drug repurposing experiments identified pyroxamide as a new potential therapy for FRMD6 deficient PC cells. Finally, we established orthotropic Frmd6 and Pten, or Pten only (control) knockout in the ROSA26 mouse prostate. After 12 weeks, Frmd6/Pten double knockouts presented high-grade prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia (HG-PIN) and hyperproliferation, while Pten single-knockouts developed only regular PIN lesions and displayed lower proliferation. In conclusion, FRMD6 was identified as a novel tumor suppressor gene and prognostic biomarker candidate in PC.

The CHEK2 Variant C.349A>G Is Associated with Prostate Cancer Risk and Carriers Share a Common Ancestor

The identification of recurrent founder variants in cancer predisposing genes may have important implications for implementing cost-effective targeted genetic screening strategies. In this study, we evaluated the prevalence and relative risk of the CHEK2 recurrent variant c.349A>G in a series of 462 Portuguese patients with early-onset and/or familial/hereditary prostate cancer (PrCa), as well as in the large multicentre PRACTICAL case-control study comprising 55,162 prostate cancer cases and 36,147 controls. Additionally, we investigated the potential shared ancestry of the carriers by performing identity-by-descent, haplotype and age estimation analyses using high-density SNP data from 70 variant carriers belonging to 11 different populations included in the PRACTICAL consortium. The CHEK2 missense variant c.349A>G was found significantly associated with an increased risk for PrCa (OR 1.9; 95% CI: 1.1-3.2). A shared haplotype flanking the variant in all carriers was identified, strongly suggesting a common founder of European origin. Additionally, using two independent statistical algorithms, implemented by DMLE+2.3 and ESTIAGE, we were able to estimate the age of the variant between 2300 and 3125 years. By extending the haplotype analysis to 14 additional carrier families, a shared core haplotype was revealed among all carriers matching the conserved region previously identified in the high-density SNP analysis. These findings are consistent with CHEK2 c.349A>G being a founder variant associated with increased PrCa risk, suggesting its potential usefulness for cost-effective targeted genetic screening in PrCa families.

Genomic Profiles of De Novo High- and Low-Volume Metastatic Prostate Cancer: Results From a 2-Stage Feasibility and Prevalence Study in the STAMPEDE Trial

PURPOSE

The STAMPEDE trial recruits men with newly diagnosed, high-risk, hormone-sensitive prostate cancer. To ascertain the feasibility of targeted next-generation sequencing (tNGS) and the prevalence of baseline genomic aberrations, we sequenced tumor and germline DNA from patients with metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa) starting long-term androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT).

METHODS

In a 2-stage approach, archival, formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded (FFPE) prostate tumor core biopsy samples were retrospectively subjected to 2 tNGS assays. Prospective enrollment enabled validation using tNGS in tumor and germline DNA.

RESULTS

In stage 1, tNGS data were obtained from 185 tumors from 287 patients (65%); 98% had de novo mPCa. We observed PI3K pathway aberrations in 43%, due to PTEN copy-number loss (34%) and/or activating mutations in PIK3 genes or AKT (18%) and TP53 mutation or loss in 33%. No androgen receptor (AR) aberrations were detected; RB1 loss was observed in < 1%. In stage 2, 93 (92%) of 101 FFPE tumors (biopsy obtained within 8 months) were successfully sequenced prospectively. The prevalence of DNA damage repair (DDR) deficiency was 14% (somatic) and 5% (germline). BRCA2 mutations and mismatch repair gene mutations were exclusive to high-volume disease. Aberrant DDR (22% v 15%), Wnt pathway (16% v 4%), and chromatin remodeling (16% v 8%) were all more common in high-volume compared with low-volume disease, but the small numbers limited statistical comparisons.

CONCLUSION

Prospective genomic characterization is feasible using residual diagnostic tumor samples and reveals that the genomic landscapes of de novo high-volume mPCa and advanced metastatic prostate cancer have notable similarities (PI3K pathway, DDR, Wnt, chromatin remodeling) and differences (AR, RB1). These results will inform the design and conduct of biomarker-directed trials in men with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer.

African-specific improvement of a polygenic hazard score for age at diagnosis of prostate cancer

Polygenic hazard score (PHS) models are associated with age at diagnosis of prostate cancer. Our model developed in Europeans (PHS46) showed reduced performance in men with African genetic ancestry. We used a cross-validated search to identify single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that might improve performance in this population. Anonymized genotypic data were obtained from the PRACTICAL consortium for 6253 men with African genetic ancestry. Ten iterations of a 10-fold cross-validation search were conducted to select SNPs that would be included in the final PHS46+African model. The coefficients of PHS46+African were estimated in a Cox proportional hazards framework using age at diagnosis as the dependent variable and PHS46, and selected SNPs as predictors. The performance of PHS46 and PHS46+African was compared using the same cross-validated approach. Three SNPs (rs76229939, rs74421890 and rs5013678) were selected for inclusion in PHS46+African. All three SNPs are located on chromosome 8q24. PHS46+African showed substantial improvements in all performance metrics measured, including a 75% increase in the relative hazard of those in the upper 20% compared to the bottom 20% (2.47-4.34) and a 20% reduction in the relative hazard of those in the bottom 20% compared to the middle 40% (0.65-0.53). In conclusion, we identified three SNPs that substantially improved the association of PHS46 with age at diagnosis of prostate cancer in men with African genetic ancestry to levels comparable to Europeans.

A Germline Variant at 8q24 Contributes to Familial Clustering of Prostate Cancer in Men of African Ancestry

Although men of African ancestry have a high risk of prostate cancer (PCa), no genes or mutations have been identified that contribute to familial clustering of PCa in this population. We investigated whether the African ancestry-specific PCa risk variant at 8q24, rs72725854, is enriched in men with a PCa family history in 9052 cases, 143 cases from high-risk families, and 8595 controls of African ancestry. We found the risk allele to be significantly associated with earlier age at diagnosis, more aggressive disease, and enriched in men with a PCa family history (32% of high-risk familial cases carried the variant vs 23% of cases without a family history and 12% of controls). For cases with two or more first-degree relatives with PCa who had at least one family member diagnosed at age <60 yr, the odds ratios for TA heterozygotes and TT homozygotes were 3.92 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.13-7.22) and 33.41 (95% CI = 10.86-102.84), respectively. Among men with a PCa family history, the absolute risk by age 60 yr reached 21% (95% CI = 17-25%) for TA heterozygotes and 38% (95% CI = 13-65%) for TT homozygotes. We estimate that in men of African ancestry, rs72725854 accounts for 32% of the total familial risk explained by all known PCa risk variants. PATIENT SUMMARY: We found that rs72725854, an African ancestry-specific risk variant, is more common in men with a family history of prostate cancer and in those diagnosed with prostate cancer at younger ages. Men of African ancestry may benefit from the knowledge of their carrier status for this genetic risk variant to guide decisions about prostate cancer screening.

Germline Sequencing DNA Repair Genes in 5545 Men With Aggressive and Nonaggressive Prostate Cancer

BACKGROUND

There is an urgent need to identify factors specifically associated with aggressive prostate cancer (PCa) risk. We investigated whether rare pathogenic, likely pathogenic, or deleterious (P/LP/D) germline variants in DNA repair genes are associated with aggressive PCa risk in a case-case study of aggressive vs nonaggressive disease.

METHODS

Participants were 5545 European-ancestry men, including 2775 nonaggressive and 2770 aggressive PCa cases, which included 467 metastatic cases (16.9%). Samples were assembled from 12 international studies and germline sequenced together. Rare (minor allele frequency < 0.01) P/LP/D variants were analyzed for 155 DNA repair genes. We compared single variant, gene-based, and DNA repair pathway-based burdens by disease aggressiveness. All statistical tests are 2-sided.

RESULTS

BRCA2 and PALB2 had the most statistically significant gene-based associations, with 2.5% of aggressive and 0.8% of nonaggressive cases carrying P/LP/D BRCA2 alleles (odds ratio [OR] = 3.19, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.94 to 5.25, P = 8.58 × 10-7) and 0.65% of aggressive and 0.11% of nonaggressive cases carrying P/LP/D PALB2 alleles (OR = 6.31, 95% CI = 1.83 to 21.68, P = 4.79 × 10-4). ATM had a nominal association, with 1.6% of aggressive and 0.8% of nonaggressive cases carrying P/LP/D ATM alleles (OR = 1.88, 95% CI = 1.10 to 3.22, P = .02). In aggregate, P/LP/D alleles within 24 literature-curated candidate PCa DNA repair genes were more common in aggressive than nonaggressive cases (carrier frequencies = 14.2% vs 10.6%, respectively; P = 5.56 × 10-5). However, this difference was non-statistically significant (P = .18) on excluding BRCA2, PALB2, and ATM. Among these 24 genes, P/LP/D carriers had a 1.06-year younger diagnosis age (95% CI = -1.65 to 0.48, P = 3.71 × 10-4).

CONCLUSIONS

Risk conveyed by DNA repair genes is largely driven by rare P/LP/D alleles within BRCA2, PALB2, and ATM. These findings support the importance of these genes in both screening and disease management considerations.

Abstract 3517: A germline variant at 8q24 contributes to familial clustering of prostate cancer in men of African ancestry

Germline variation at 8q24 is the strongest risk factor for prostate cancer (PCa) across all racial and ethnic populations. While most 8q24 associations have been observed across populations, rs72725854 [T risk allele frequency ~6%] is only found in men of African ancestry and is the strongest known genome-wide association signal for PCa in this population. We investigated whether the T allele of rs72725854 is associated with PCa family history and age at diagnosis, characteristics known to have a strong genetic component. Analyses were performed using a sample of 9,052 cases and 8,595 controls from the African Ancestry Prostate Cancer (AAPC) GWAS Consortium and the ELLIPSE/PRACTICAL OncoArray Consortium. Participants were unselected for PCa family history. Among cases, 23.7% carried at least one copy of the T allele versus 11.6% of controls. The OR was 2.29 (95% CI=2.10–2.49) for TA heterozygotes and 5.04 (95% CI=3.36–7.55) for TT homozygotes. The percentage of cases carrying the T allele was significantly greater for men with a PCa family history (27.4% vs. 22.7% without a family history, p=0.002) and for men diagnosed &lt;60 (28.2% vs. 21.6% if over ≥60, p=0.002). The mean age at diagnosis for men with the TT genotype was 61.1 years (sd=8.7), compared to 62.7 (sd=9.1) for TA heterozygotes and 64.3 (sd=8.9) for AA homozygotes (p=5.7E-14). Carrier frequency was highest among men with both a positive family history and an early diagnosis (30.8%). The T allele was also over-represented in cases with more advanced PCa, with carrier frequencies ranging from 26% for lethal PCa (metastatic disease, PSA&gt;100 ng/ml or death from PCa), 25.4% for high-risk disease (stage T3/T4, Gleason 8-10, or PSA=20-100 ng/ml), 24.6% for intermediate-risk disease (Gleason=7, stage T1/T2, and PSA=10-20 ng/ml), and 21.4% for low-risk disease (Gleason&lt;7, stage T1/T2, and PSA&lt;10 ng/ml) (p=0.026). We also examined whether the risk allele is over-represented in 144 men from PCa families, with multiple first- and/or second-degree relatives with PCa or men diagnosed with PCa ≤55 years old. Among affected probands, 32.7% carried the risk allele, with 3.5% being homozygous carriers. The OR for TA heterozygotes and TT homozygotes was 3.41 (95% CI=2.33–4.98) and 11.06 (95% CI=3.92–31.18), respectively. Among men without a family history, the absolute risk for PCa by age 60 for non-risk allele carriers was 4.3%, compared to 9.0% and 15.6% for TA heterozygotes and TT homozygotes, respectively. Absolute risks by age 60 were higher among men with a family history of prostate cancer, reaching 9.0% for non-risk allele carriers, compared to 20.8% and 37.7% for TA heterozygotes and TT homozygotes, respectively. Given the high PCa risk conveyed by rs72725854 and the greater frequency of the allele in men with more aggressive and lethal disease, carriers of the risk allele would benefit from earlier and more regular PSA screening.

Citation Format: Burcu F. Darst, Jeannette T. Bensen, Sue A. Ingles, Benjamin A. Rybicki, Barbara Nemesure, Esther M. John, Jay H. Fowke, Victoria L. Stevens, Sonja I. Berndt, Chad D. Huff, Jong Y. Park, Wei Zheng, Elaine A. Ostrander, Shiv Srivastava, John Carpten, Thomas A. Sellers, Maureen Sanderson, Dana C. Crawford, Olivier Cussenot, Jennifer Cullen, Rick A. Kittles, Jianfeng Xu, Zsofia Kote-Jarai, Luc Multigner, Marie-Elise Parent, Florence Menegaux, Geraldine Cancel-Tassin, Adam S. Kibel, Eric A. Klein, Phyllis J. Goodman, Jennifer J. Hu, Graham Casey, Anselm J. Hennis, Ian M. Thompson, Robin Leach, James L. Mohler, Elizabeth T. Fontham, Gary J. Smith, Jack A. Taylor, Rosalind A. Eeles, Laurent Brureau, Stephen J. Chanock, Stephen Watya, Janet L. Stanford, Diptasri Mandal, William B. Isaacs, Kathleen A. Cooney, William J. Blot, David V. Conti, Christopher A. Haiman. A germline variant at 8q24 contributes to familial clustering of prostate cancer in men of African ancestry [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research 2020; 2020 Apr 27-28 and Jun 22-24. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(16 Suppl):Abstract nr 3517.

Two-stage Study of Familial Prostate Cancer by Whole-exome Sequencing and Custom Capture Identifies 10 Novel Genes Associated with the Risk of Prostate Cancer

BACKGROUND

Family history of prostate cancer (PCa) is a well-known risk factor, and both common and rare genetic variants are associated with the disease.

OBJECTIVE

To detect new genetic variants associated with PCa, capitalizing on the role of family history and more aggressive PCa.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A two-stage design was used. In stage one, whole-exome sequencing was used to identify potential risk alleles among affected men with a strong family history of disease or with more aggressive disease (491 cases and 429 controls). Aggressive disease was based on a sum of scores for Gleason score, node status, metastasis, tumor stage, prostate-specific antigen at diagnosis, systemic recurrence, and time to PCa death. Genes identified in stage one were screened in stage two using a custom-capture design in an independent set of 2917 cases and 1899 controls.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Frequencies of genetic variants (singly or jointly in a gene) were compared between cases and controls.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Eleven genes previously reported to be associated with PCa were detected (ATM, BRCA2, HOXB13, FAM111A, EMSY, HNF1B, KLK3, MSMB, PCAT1, PRSS3, and TERT), as well as an additional 10 novel genes (PABPC1, QK1, FAM114A1, MUC6, MYCBP2, RAPGEF4, RNASEH2B, ULK4, XPO7, and THAP3). Of these 10 novel genes, all but PABPC1 and ULK4 were primarily associated with the risk of aggressive PCa.

CONCLUSIONS

Our approach demonstrates the advantage of gene sequencing in the search for genetic variants associated with PCa and the benefits of sampling patients with a strong family history of disease or an aggressive form of disease.

PATIENT SUMMARY

Multiple genes are associated with prostate cancer (PCa) among men with a strong family history of this disease or among men with an aggressive form of PCa.

An integrative multi-omics analysis to identify candidate DNA methylation biomarkers related to prostate cancer risk

It remains elusive whether some of the associations identified in genome-wide association studies of prostate cancer (PrCa) may be due to regulatory effects of genetic variants on CpG sites, which may further influence expression of PrCa target genes. To search for CpG sites associated with PrCa risk, here we establish genetic models to predict methylation (N = 1,595) and conduct association analyses with PrCa risk (79,194 cases and 61,112 controls). We identify 759 CpG sites showing an association, including 15 located at novel loci. Among those 759 CpG sites, methylation of 42 is associated with expression of 28 adjacent genes. Among 22 genes, 18 show an association with PrCa risk. Overall, 25 CpG sites show consistent association directions for the methylation-gene expression-PrCa pathway. We identify DNA methylation biomarkers associated with PrCa, and our findings suggest that specific CpG sites may influence PrCa via regulating expression of candidate PrCa target genes.

Author Correction: The evolutionary history of lethal metastatic prostate cancer

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.