A Randomised Controlled Trial to Compare a Nurse Practitioner to Medical Staff in the Preparation of Patients for Diagnostic Cardiac Catheterisation: The Study of Nursing Intervention in Practice (SNIP)

BACKGROUND

A number of initiatives have employed nurses in roles traditionally associated with the medical profession but few have been evaluated in prospective randomised studies. This paper reports the results of a randomised controlled trial to assess the performance of a nurse practitioner (NP), trained to prepare patients for diagnostic cardiac catheterisation.

METHODS

Eligible and consenting patients were randomised to preparation by either the NP or junior medical staff (JMS). The safety outcome measure was the rate of in-hospital major adverse clinical events including death, myocardial infarction and emergency bypass coronary surgery. Other outcome measures included rate of minor adverse events, cardiologist assessment of case preparation and presentation, patient satisfaction and duration of pre-admission clinic.

RESULTS

From April 1997 to May 1998 a series of 355 patients scheduled for elective, day-case, diagnostic cardiac catheterisation were screened. Of these, 345 patients were eligible for the study. A total of 339 patients consented to participate and were randomised. Major adverse clinical events occurred in 0/175 (0%) patients in the NP group and 2/161 (1.2%) patients in the JMS group. (Risk difference = -1.2%, upper boundary of the 95% confidence interval = +2.0%) The cardiologist's evaluation that the patient's preparation was acceptable was high in both groups: NP group 98.3% vs. JMS group 98.8%: P = 1.0). Patient satisfaction, assessed by questionnaire, was greater in the NP group (P = 0.04). The median duration of the pre-admission clinic visit was lower in the NP group 165 min vs. 185 min in the JMS group, P = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The preparation of patients for diagnostic cardiac catheterisation can be safely performed by an appropriately trained NP. This approach may be associated with improved patient satisfaction and reduced clinic duration times.

New Unintended Adverse Consequences of Electronic Health Records

Although the health information technology industry has made considerable progress in the design, development, implementation, and use of electronic health records (EHRs), the lofty expectations of the early pioneers have not been met. In 2006, the Provider Order Entry Team at Oregon Health & Science University described a set of unintended adverse consequences (UACs), or unpredictable, emergent problems associated with computer-based provider order entry implementation, use, and maintenance. Many of these originally identified UACs have not been completely addressed or alleviated, some have evolved over time, and some new ones have emerged as EHRs became more widely available. The rapid increase in the adoption of EHRs, coupled with the changes in the types and attitudes of clinical users, has led to several new UACs, specifically: complete clinical information unavailable at the point of care; lack of innovations to improve system usability leading to frustrating user experiences; inadvertent disclosure of large amounts of patient-specific information; increased focus on computer-based quality measurement negatively affecting clinical workflows and patient-provider interactions; information overload from marginally useful computer-generated data; and a decline in the development and use of internally-developed EHRs. While each of these new UACs poses significant challenges to EHR developers and users alike, they also offer many opportunities. The challenge for clinical informatics researchers is to continue to refine our current systems while exploring new methods of overcoming these challenges and developing innovations to improve EHR interoperability, usability, security, functionality, clinical quality measurement, and information summarization and display.

Twin pregnancy in a liver transplant recipient with HIV infection

We are not aware of a report detailing the complex obstetrical and medical management of twin pregnancy in the context of HIV infection and early post-liver transplantation period. Here we describe the successful outcome of a twin pregnancy in a 28-year-old HIV-positive female receiving antiretroviral therapy and immunosuppressive therapy who was the recipient of a liver transplant for previous drug-induced liver failure.

Contact radiotherapy boost in association with 'watch and wait' for rectal cancer: initial experience and outcomes from a shared programme between a district general hospital network and a regional oncology centre

AIM

Recent data have highlighted the potential of more intensive neoadjuvant protocols to increase and sustain the rate of complete response in rectal cancer managed nonoperatively. This study aimed to review the outcome of all patients from our district general hospitals network who had received standard neoadjuvant therapy and were additionally referred to a centre of excellence for contact X-ray brachytherapy or high-dose-rate brachytherapy boost.

METHOD

A retrospective, chart-based review of all patients co-managed in this manner was performed. Patient details were retrieved from a prospectively maintained departmental database. Indications for treatment, patient outcome and serial data from follow-up clinical and radiological assessment were analysed.

RESULTS

Seventeen patients treated over a 6-year period were identified. Median follow-up was 20 (5-54) months. Fourteen patients were clinically staged as T2 or T3 and eight were clinically node positive. Three patients died, of whom only one was initially a surgical candidate but refused an exenteration. Of the 14 patients who remain alive, 11 (79%) have a sustained complete (n = 8) or partial (n = 3) response. Two patients had an incomplete response, one is being palliated and the other awaits salvage surgery. One patient underwent abdominoperineal excision for suspected local recurrence. Currently 13 (93%) surviving patients are stoma free.

CONCLUSIONS

This series shows that the addition of a radiotherapy boost offered sustained responses and stoma-free survival even in advanced disease and adverse patient populations whilst providing the majority of care closer to home.

Nanoparticle Based Combination Treatments for Targeting Multiple Hallmarks of Cancer

Treatment of cancer remains one of the most challenging tasks facing the healthcare system. Cancer affects the lives of millions of people and is often fatal. Current treatment methods include surgery, chemotherapy, radiation therapies or some combinations of these. However, recurrence is a major problem. These treatments can be invasive with severe side effects. Inefficacies in treatments are a result of the complex and variable biology of cancerous cells. Malignant tumor cells and normal functioning cells share many of the same biological characteristics but the main difference is that in cancer cells there is in an overuse and over expression of these biological characteristics. These pertinent characteristics can be grouped into eight hallmarks, as illustrated by Hanahan and Weinberg. These characteristics include sustaining proliferative signaling, evading growth suppressors, resisting cell death, enabling replicative immortality, inducing angiogenesis, activating invasion and metastasis, reprogramming energy metabolism, and evading immune destruction. In order to provide a noninvasive, effective treatment, delivery methods must be explored in order to transport cytotoxic agents used for targeting the hallmarks of cancer in a safer and more effective fashion. The use of nanoparticles as drug delivery carriers provides an effective method in which multiple cytotoxic agents can be safely delivered to cancer tissue to simultaneously target multiple hallmarks. By targeting multiple hallmarks of cancer at once, the efficacy of cancer treatments could be improved drastically. This review explores the uses and efficacy of combination therapies using nanoparticles that can simultaneously target multiple hallmarks of cancer.

Clinical Decision Support: a 25 Year Retrospective and a 25 Year Vision

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this review is to summarize the state of the art of clinical decision support (CDS) circa 1990, review progress in the 25 year interval from that time, and provide a vision of what CDS might look like 25 years hence, or circa 2040.

METHOD

Informal review of the medical literature with iterative review and discussion among the authors to arrive at six axes (data, knowledge, inference, architecture and technology, implementation and integration, and users) to frame the review and discussion of selected barriers and facilitators to the effective use of CDS.

RESULT

In each of the six axes, significant progress has been made. Key advances in structuring and encoding standardized data with an increased availability of data, development of knowledge bases for CDS, and improvement of capabilities to share knowledge artifacts, explosion of methods analyzing and inferring from clinical data, evolution of information technologies and architectures to facilitate the broad application of CDS, improvement of methods to implement CDS and integrate CDS into the clinical workflow, and increasing sophistication of the end-user, all have played a role in improving the effective use of CDS in healthcare delivery.

CONCLUSION

CDS has evolved dramatically over the past 25 years and will likely evolve just as dramatically or more so over the next 25 years. Increasingly, the clinical encounter between a clinician and a patient will be supported by a wide variety of cognitive aides to support diagnosis, treatment, care-coordination, surveillance and prevention, and health maintenance or wellness.

Competing-risks model in screening for pre-eclampsia by maternal factors and biomarkers at 35-37 weeks' gestation

OBJECTIVE

To develop a model for prediction of term pre-eclampsia (PE) based on a combination of maternal factors and late third-trimester biomarkers.

METHODS

Data were derived from prospective screening for adverse obstetric outcomes in women attending their routine hospital visit at 35-37 weeks' gestation in two maternity hospitals in the UK. Uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) was measured in 5362 pregnancies, mean arterial pressure (MAP) in 5386 and serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) in 3920. Bayes' theorem was used to combine the a-priori risk of PE from maternal factors with various combinations of biomarkers, expressed as multiples of the median (MoM). Five-fold cross-validation was used to estimate the performance of screening for PE, requiring delivery at some stage after assessment. The empirical performance of screening was compared to model predictions.

RESULTS

In pregnancies that developed PE, the values of MAP, UtA-PI and sFlt-1 were increased and PlGF was decreased compared to unaffected pregnancies. For all biomarkers evaluated, the deviation from normal was inversely related to the gestational age at which delivery became necessary for maternal or fetal indications. Screening by maternal factors and by a combination of maternal factors with all biomarkers predicted 35% and 84% of PE, respectively, at a 10% false-positive rate.

CONCLUSION

A combination of maternal factors and biomarkers at 35-37 weeks' gestation can provide effective screening for term PE. Copyright © 2015 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Esophageal hypermotility: cause or effect?

Nutcracker esophagus (NE), Jackhammer esophagus (JHE), distal esophageal spasm (DES), and hypertensive lower esophageal sphincter (HTLES) are defined by esophageal manometric findings. Some patients with these esophageal motility disorders also have abnormal gastroesophageal reflux. It is unclear to what extent these patients' symptoms are caused by the motility disorder, the acid reflux, or both. The aim of this study was to determine the effectiveness of laparoscopic Nissen fundoplication (LNF) on esophageal motility disorders, gastroesophageal reflux, and patient symptoms. Between 2007 and 2013, we performed high-resolution esophageal manometry on 3400 patients, and 221 patients were found to have a spastic esophageal motility disorder. The medical records of these patients were reviewed to determine the manometric abnormality, presence of gastroesophageal symptoms, and amount of esophageal acid exposure. In those patients that underwent LNF, we compared pre- and postoperative esophageal motility, gastroesophageal symptom severity, and esophageal acid exposure. Of the 221 patients with spastic motility disorders, 77 had NE, 2 had JHE, 30 had DES, and 112 had HTLES. The most frequently reported primary and secondary symptoms among all patients were: heartburn and/or regurgitation, 69.2%; respiratory, 39.8%; dysphagia, 35.7%; and chest pain, 22.6%. Of the 221 patients, 192 underwent 24-hour pH monitoring, and 103 demonstrated abnormal distal esophageal acid exposure. Abnormal 24-hour pH monitoring was detected in 62% of patients with heartburn and regurgitation, 49% of patients with respiratory symptoms, 36.8 % of patients with dysphagia, and 32.6% of patients with chest pain. Sixty-six of the 103 patients with abnormal 24-hour pH monitoring underwent LNF. Thirty-eight (13NE, 2JHE, 6 DES, and 17 HTLES) of these 66 patients had a minimum of 6-month postoperative follow-up that included clinical evaluation, esophageal manometry, and 24-hour pH monitoring. Postoperatively, all 38 patients had normal distal esophageal acid exposure. Of these 38 patients, symptoms resolved in 28 and improved in 10. Of six patients (one with NE, two JHE, and three with HTLES) that underwent postoperative esophageal manometry, five exhibited normal motility. Typical reflux symptoms are common among patients with esophageal hypermotility disorders. Abnormal 24-hour pH monitoring is present in the majority of patients with who report typical reflux symptoms and almost half of patients who report respiratory symptoms. Conversely, the majority of patients who report dysphagia or chest pain have normal distal esophageal acid exposure. Based on a small number of patients in this study, it also appears that motility disorders often improve after LNF. LNF is associated with resolution or improvement in reflux related symptoms and esophageal motility parameters in patients exhibiting abnormal esophageal acid exposure. This suggests that patient symptoms are due to abnormal acid exposure and not the motility disorder.

Abnormalities in left inferior frontal gyral thickness and parahippocampal gyral volume in young people at high genetic risk for bipolar disorder

BACKGROUND

Fronto-limbic structural brain abnormalities have been reported in patients with bipolar disorder (BD), but findings in individuals at increased genetic risk of developing BD have been inconsistent. We conducted a study in adolescents and young adults (12-30 years) comparing measures of fronto-limbic cortical and subcortical brain structure between individuals at increased familial risk of BD (at risk; AR), subjects with BD and controls (CON). We separately examined cortical volume, thickness and surface area as these have distinct neurodevelopmental origins and thus may reflect differential effects of genetic risk.

METHOD

We compared fronto-limbic measures of grey and white matter volume, cortical thickness and surface area in 72 unaffected-risk individuals with at least one first-degree relative with bipolar disorder (AR), 38 BD subjects and 72 participants with no family history of mental illness (CON).

RESULTS

The AR group had significantly reduced cortical thickness in the left pars orbitalis of the inferior frontal gyrus (IFG) compared with the CON group, and significantly increased left parahippocampal gyral volume compared with those with BD.

CONCLUSIONS

The finding of reduced cortical thickness of the left pars orbitalis in AR subjects is consistent with other evidence supporting the IFG as a key region associated with genetic liability for BD. The greater volume of the left parahippocampal gyrus in those at high risk is in line with some prior reports of regional increases in grey matter volume in at-risk subjects. Assessing multiple complementary morphometric measures may assist in the better understanding of abnormal developmental processes in BD.

Maternal serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 at 22 and 32 weeks in the prediction of pre-eclampsia

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the potential value of repeat measurements of maternal serum concentration of soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) at 22 and 32 weeks' gestation in the prediction of pre-eclampsia (PE) in women delivering after 32 weeks.

METHODS

The data were derived from prospective screening for adverse obstetric outcomes in women attending their routine hospital visit at 19-24 and/or 30-34 weeks' gestation in one of two maternity hospitals in England. Serum sFlt-1 was measured in 7565 and 8264 singleton pregnancies at 19-24 and 30-34 weeks, respectively. Bayes' theorem was used to combine the a-priori risk from maternal factors with sFlt-1 multiples of the median (MoM) values. The performance of screening for PE developing after the 30-34-week visit by sFlt-1, measured at 19-24, 30-34 and at both 19-24 and 30-34 weeks was examined.

RESULTS

In pregnancies with PE, sFlt-1 in both the second and third trimesters was increased and the deviation from normal was inversely related to the gestational age at which delivery became necessary for maternal or fetal indications. Serum sFlt-1 at 19-24 weeks was not useful in predicting PE beyond the 30-34-week visit, but the addition of sFlt-1 at 19-24 weeks improved the prediction of PE provided by sFlt-1 at 30-34 weeks. Screening by maternal factors and sFlt-1 at 30-34 weeks predicted 94% of preterm PE and 54% of term PE, at a false-positive rate of 10%; this was improved to 99% and 64%, respectively, by the additional measurement of sFlt-1 at 19-24 weeks.

CONCLUSIONS

Measurement of sFlt-1 in the second trimester improves the prediction of PE provided by screening in the early third-trimester. Copyright © 2016 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Maternal serum PAPP-A and free β-hCG at 12, 22 and 32 weeks' gestation in screening for pre-eclampsia

OBJECTIVE

To examine the distribution of maternal serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) at 12, 22 and 32 weeks' gestation in singleton pregnancies which develop pre-eclampsia (PE) and examine the performance of these biomarkers in screening for PE.

METHODS

Serum PAPP-A and free β-hCG were measured in 94 989 cases at 11-13 weeks, 7597 at 19-24 weeks and 8088 at 30-34 weeks' gestation. Bayes' theorem was used to combine the a-priori risk from maternal characteristics and medical history with PAPP-A and free β-hCG. The empirical and model-based performance of screening for preterm PE requiring delivery < 37 weeks' gestation and term PE with delivery ≥ 37 weeks was estimated.

RESULTS

Combined screening with maternal factors and serum PAPP-A at 11-13 and 30-34 weeks and with maternal factors and serum free β-hCG at 19-24 and 30-34 weeks improved the prediction provided by maternal factors alone for preterm PE. The detection rate, at a 10% false-positive rate, for preterm PE by screening with maternal factors was about 45% which improved to 51% and 53% by combined screening with PAPP-A at 11-13 weeks and 30-34 weeks, respectively, and 55% and 54% by combined screening with free β-hCG at 19-24 weeks and 30-34 weeks, respectively. Measurement of serum PAPP-A and free β-hCG was not useful in the prediction of term PE.

CONCLUSIONS

Measurement of serum PAPP-A and free β-hCG could improve the prediction of preterm PE provided by maternal characteristics and medical history alone. Copyright © 2016 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Uterine artery pulsatility index at 12, 22, 32 and 36 weeks' gestation in screening for pre-eclampsia

OBJECTIVE

To examine the distribution of uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) at 12, 22, 32 and 36 weeks' gestation in singleton pregnancies which develop pre-eclampsia (PE) and examine the performance of this biomarker in screening for PE.

METHODS

UtA-PI was measured in 92 712 singleton pregnancies at 11-13 weeks, in 67 605 cases at 19-24 weeks, in 31 741 at 30-34 weeks and in 5523 at 35-37 weeks. Bayes' theorem was used to combine the a-priori risk from maternal characteristics and medical history with UtA-PI. The performance of screening for PE requiring delivery < 32, at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6, < 37 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation was estimated. The results of combined screening were compared to those of screening by UtA-PI and by maternal factors alone.

RESULTS

In pregnancies that developed PE, UtA-PI was increased and the separation in multiples of the median (MoM) values from normal was greater with earlier, compared to later, gestational age at which delivery for PE became necessary. Additionally, the slope of regression lines of UtA-PI MoM with gestational age at delivery in pregnancies that developed PE increased with increasing gestational age at screening. The detection rate (DR), at a 10% false-positive rate (FPR), for PE delivering < 32 weeks was 71% and 88% with combined screening at 11-13 and 19-24 weeks, respectively, and the DR for PE delivering at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks was 52%, 63% and 71% with screening at 11-13, 19-24 and 30-34 weeks, respectively. However, the DR of PE delivering ≥ 37 weeks was only about 40%, irrespective of the gestational age at screening. The performance of screening by the approach utilizing Bayes' theorem was superior to that of using a percentile cut-off of UtA-PI for gestational age.

CONCLUSIONS

The performance of combined screening with maternal factors and UtA-PI is superior for detection of early, compared to late, PE and, to a certain extent, improves with advancing gestational age at screening. Copyright © 2015 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Mean arterial pressure at 12, 22, 32 and 36 weeks' gestation in screening for pre-eclampsia

OBJECTIVE

To examine the distribution of mean arterial pressure (MAP) at 12, 22, 32 and 36 weeks' gestation in singleton pregnancies which develop pre-eclampsia (PE) and examine the performance of this biomarker in screening for PE.

METHODS

MAP was measured in 77 343 cases at 11-13 weeks, in 31 120 cases at 19-24 weeks, in 29 802 at 30-34 weeks and 5543 at 35-37 weeks. Bayes' theorem was used to combine the a-priori risk from maternal characteristics and medical history with MAP. The performance of screening for PE requiring delivery < 32, at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation was estimated.

RESULTS

In pregnancies that developed PE, MAP was increased and the separation in multiples of the median (MoM) values from normal was greater with an earlier, compared to later, gestational age at which delivery for PE became necessary. Additionally, the slope of the regression lines of MAP MoM with gestational age at delivery in pregnancies that developed PE increased with advancing gestational age at screening. The detection rate (DR), at a false-positive rate of 10%, for PE delivering < 32 weeks was 66% and 72% with screening at 12 and 22 weeks, respectively. The DR for PE delivering at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks was 54%, 56% and 81% with screening at 12, 22 and 32 weeks. The DR for PE delivering ≥ 37 weeks was 45%, 43%, 49% and 59% with screening at 12, 22, 32 and 36 weeks, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The performance of combined screening with maternal factors and MAP is superior in screening for early, compared to late, PE and, to a certain extent, improves with advancing gestational age at screening. Copyright © 2015 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Outcome-Based Comparison of Percutaneous Procedures for Urinary Lithiasis with Calibre of Instrumentation less than 12Fr

Renal stone disease is becoming increasingly prevalent globally. With a rise in stone disease worldwide, there is also a relative increase in the rates of surgical intervention. Technological advances have allowed a move towards minimising the complications rates and length of stay with a reduction in invasiveness and size of instruments. A trend for minimising the percutaneous tract size has been noted in percutaneous nephrolithotomy (PCNL) for renal stones. The management has shifted from open surgery to standard PCNL, mini-PCNL and the latest ultra-mini and micro-PCNL techniques. There is a need to compare outcomes for the ever-advancing technologies, such as the smaller calibre of instruments, to assess risk-benefit in practice. This review looks at outcome-based comparison of percutaneous procedures for urinary lithiasis with instruments <12Fr in size.

Maternal serum placental growth factor at 12, 22, 32 and 36 weeks' gestation in screening for pre-eclampsia

OBJECTIVE

To examine the distribution of maternal serum placental growth factor (PlGF) at 12, 22, 32 and 36 weeks' gestation in singleton pregnancies which develop pre-eclampsia (PE) and examine the performance of this biomarker in screening for PE.

METHODS

Serum PlGF was measured in 40 212 cases at 11-13 weeks, in 10 282 cases at 19-24 weeks, in 10 400 at 30-34 weeks and 4043 at 35-37 weeks. Bayes' theorem was used to combine the a-priori risk from maternal characteristics and medical history with serum PlGF. The performance of screening for PE requiring delivery < 32, at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation was estimated.

RESULTS

In pregnancies that developed PE, serum PlGF was decreased and the separation in multiples of the median (MoM) values from normal was greater with earlier, compared to later, gestational age at which delivery for PE became necessary. Additionally, the slope of the regression lines of PlGF MoM with gestational age at delivery in pregnancies that developed PE increased with advancing gestational age at screening. The detection rates (DRs), at a false-positive rate (FPR) of 10%, for PE delivering < 32 weeks were 79% and 97% with screening at 12 and 22 weeks, respectively. The DRs for PE delivering at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks were 57%, 65% and 90% with screening at 12, 22 and 32 weeks. The DRs for PE delivering ≥ 37 weeks were 40%, 37%, 54% and 64% with screening at 12, 22, 32 and 36 weeks, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The performance of combined screening with maternal factors, medical history and PlGF is superior in screening for early, compared to late, PE and improves with advancing gestational age at screening. Copyright © 2015 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Maternal serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 at 12, 22, 32 and 36 weeks' gestation in screening for pre-eclampsia

OBJECTIVE

To examine the distribution of maternal serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) at 12, 22, 32 and 36 weeks' gestation in singleton pregnancies that develop pre-eclampsia (PE) and examine the performance of this biomarker in screening for PE.

METHODS

Serum sFlt-1 was measured in 7066 cases at 11-13 weeks, 8079 cases at 19-24 weeks, 8472 at 30-34 weeks and 4043 at 35-37 weeks. Bayes' theorem was used to combine the a-priori risk from maternal characteristics and medical history with serum levels of sFlt-1. The performance of screening for PE in women requiring delivery < 32, between 32 + 0 and 36 + 6 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation was estimated.

RESULTS

In pregnancies that developed PE, serum sFlt-1 was increased and the separation in multiples of the median (MoM) values from normal was greater with earlier, compared to later, gestational age at which delivery for PE became necessary. In pregnancies that developed PE, the slope of the regression lines of sFlt-1 MoM with gestational age at delivery increased with advancing gestational age at screening. Measurement of sFlt-1 at 11-13 weeks did not improve the prediction of PE achieved by maternal factors alone, sFlt-1 at 19-24 weeks improved the prediction of PE delivering < 37 weeks but not for PE delivering ≥ 37 weeks, sFlt-1 at 30-34 weeks improved the prediction of PE delivering < 37 and PE delivering ≥ 37 weeks and sFlt-1 at 35-37 weeks improved the prediction of PE delivering ≥ 37 weeks. The detection rates (DRs), at a false-positive rate (FPR) of 10%, of PE delivering < 32 weeks were 52% and 65% with screening at 12 and 22 weeks, respectively. The DRs for PE delivering between 32 + 0 and 36 + 6 weeks were 44%, 44% and 93% with screening at 12, 22 and 32 weeks. The DR for PE delivering ≥ 37 weeks were 37%, 37%, 52% and 69% with screening at 12, 22, 32 and 36 weeks, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The performance of combined screening with maternal factors, medical history and serum sFlt-1 is superior for detection of early, compared to late, PE and improves with advancing gestational age at screening. Copyright © 2015 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein at 12, 22 and 32 weeks' gestation in screening for pre-eclampsia

OBJECTIVE

To examine the distribution of maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) at 12, 22 and 32 weeks' gestation in singleton pregnancies which develop pre-eclampsia (PE) and examine the performance of this biomarker in screening for PE.

METHODS

Serum AFP was measured in 17 071 cases at 11-13 weeks, in 8583 cases at 19-24 weeks and 8609 cases at 30-34 weeks' gestation. Bayes' theorem was used to combine the a-priori risk from maternal characteristics and medical history with AFP. The performance of screening for PE requiring delivery < 32, at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6, < 37 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation was estimated.

RESULTS

In pregnancies that developed PE, serum AFP multiples of the median (MoM) was increased at 11-13 and 19-24 weeks' gestation, but not at 30-34 weeks, and the values were inversely related to gestational age at delivery. Combined screening with maternal factors and serum AFP improved the prediction provided by maternal factors alone for PE delivering < 37 weeks, but not for PE delivering ≥ 37 weeks. The performance of screening for preterm PE was better at 19-24 weeks than at 11-13 weeks and the detection rate (DR) for a given false-positive rate (FPR) was higher for PE delivering < 32 weeks than for PE delivering at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks. The DRs, at 10% FPR, of combined screening at 11-13 weeks for PE delivering < 32 and at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks were 54% and 45%, respectively, and these improved to 72% and 53% with screening at 19-24 weeks.

CONCLUSIONS

Measurement of serum AFP at 11-13 and 19-24 weeks' gestation improves the prediction of preterm PE provided by maternal factors alone. Copyright © 2015 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Ethnic differences in cross-sectional associations between impaired glucose regulation, identified by oral glucose tolerance test or HbA1c values, and cardiovascular disease in a cohort of European and South Asian origin

AIMS

We contrasted impaired glucose regulation (prediabetes) prevalence, defined according to oral glucose tolerance test or HbA1c values, and studied cross-sectional associations between prediabetes and subclinical/clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) in a cohort of European and South Asian origin.

METHODS

For 682 European and 520 South Asian men and women, aged 58-85 years, glycaemic status was determined by oral glucose tolerance test or HbA1c thresholds. Questionnaires, record review, coronary artery calcification scores and cerebral magnetic resonance imaging established clinical plus subclinical coronary heart and cerebrovascular disease.

RESULTS

Prediabetes was more prevalent in South Asian participants when defined by HbA1c rather than by oral glucose tolerance test criteria. Accounting for age, sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, triglycerides and waist-hip ratio, prediabetes was associated with coronary heart disease and cerebrovascular disease in European participants, most obviously when defined by HbA1c rather than by oral glucose tolerance test [odds ratios for HbA1c -defined prediabetes 1.60 (95% CI 1.07, 2.39) for coronary heart disease and 1.57 (95% CI 1.00, 2.51) for cerebrovascular disease]. By contrast, non-significant associations were present between oral glucose tolerance test-defined prediabetes only and coronary heart disease [odds ratio 1.41 (95% CI 0.84, 2.36)] and HbA1c -defined prediabetes only and cerebrovascular disease [odds ratio 1.39 (95% CI 0.69, 2.78)] in South Asian participants. Prediabetes defined by HbA1c or oral glucose tolerance test criteria was associated with cardiovascular disease (defined as coronary heart and/or cerebrovascular disease) in Europeans [odds ratio 1.95 (95% CI 1.31, 2.91) for HbA1c prediabetes criteria] but not in South Asian participants [odds ratio 1.00 (95% CI 0.62, 2.66); ethnicity interaction P = 0.04].

CONCLUSIONS

Prediabetes appeared to be less associated with cardiovascular disease in the South Asian than in the European group. These findings have implications for screening, and early cardiovascular prevention strategies in South Asian populations.

Neuropsychological and social cognitive function in young people at genetic risk of bipolar disorder

BACKGROUND

Impairments in key neuropsychological domains (e.g. working memory, attention) and social cognitive deficits have been implicated as intermediate (endo) phenotypes for bipolar disorder (BD), and should therefore be evident in unaffected relatives.

METHOD

Neurocognitive and social cognitive ability was examined in 99 young people (age range 16-30 years) with a biological parent or sibling diagnosed with the disorder [thus deemed to be at risk (AR) of developing BD], compared with 78 healthy control (HC) subjects, and 52 people with a confirmed diagnosis of BD.

RESULTS

Only verbal intelligence and affective response inhibition were significantly impaired in AR relative to HC participants; the BD participants showed significant deficits in attention tasks compared with HCs. Neither AR nor BD patients showed impairments in general intellectual ability, working memory, visuospatial or language ability, relative to HC participants. Analysis of BD-I and BD-II cases separately revealed deficits in attention and immediate memory in BD-I patients (only), relative to HCs. Only the BD (but not AR) participants showed impaired emotion recognition, relative to HCs.

CONCLUSIONS

Selective cognitive deficits in the capacity to inhibit negative affective information, and general verbal ability may be intermediate markers of risk for BD; however, the extent and severity of impairment in this sample was less pronounced than has been reported in previous studies of older family members and BD cases. These findings highlight distinctions in the cognitive profiles of AR and BD participants, and provide limited support for progressive cognitive decline in association with illness development in BD.

Genome-wide analysis implicates microRNAs and their target genes in the development of bipolar disorder

Bipolar disorder (BD) is a severe and highly heritable neuropsychiatric disorder with a lifetime prevalence of 1%. Molecular genetic studies have identified the first BD susceptibility genes. However, the disease pathways remain largely unknown. Accumulating evidence suggests that microRNAs, a class of small noncoding RNAs, contribute to basic mechanisms underlying brain development and plasticity, suggesting their possible involvement in the pathogenesis of several psychiatric disorders, including BD. In the present study, gene-based analyses were performed for all known autosomal microRNAs using the largest genome-wide association data set of BD to date (9747 patients and 14 278 controls). Associated and brain-expressed microRNAs were then investigated in target gene and pathway analyses. Functional analyses of miR-499 and miR-708 were performed in rat hippocampal neurons. Ninety-eight of the six hundred nine investigated microRNAs showed nominally significant P-values, suggesting that BD-associated microRNAs might be enriched within known microRNA loci. After correction for multiple testing, nine microRNAs showed a significant association with BD. The most promising were miR-499, miR-708 and miR-1908. Target gene and pathway analyses revealed 18 significant canonical pathways, including brain development and neuron projection. For miR-499, four Bonferroni-corrected significant target genes were identified, including the genome-wide risk gene for psychiatric disorder CACNB2. First results of functional analyses in rat hippocampal neurons neither revealed nor excluded a major contribution of miR-499 or miR-708 to dendritic spine morphogenesis. The present results suggest that research is warranted to elucidate the precise involvement of microRNAs and their downstream pathways in BD.

Evaluating digital diabetic retinopathy screening in people aged 90 years and over

PURPOSE

To evaluate the effectiveness of digital diabetic retinopathy screening in patients aged 90 years and over.

METHODS

This is a retrospective analysis of 200 randomly selected patients eligible for diabetic retinopathy screening aged 90 years and over within the Birmingham, Solihull, and Black Country Screening Programme.

RESULTS

One hundred and seventy-nine (90%) patients attended screening at least once.

OUTCOMES

133 (74%) annual screening after their first screen, of whom 59% had no detectable diabetic retinopathy; 38 (21%) were referred for ophthalmology clinical assessment-36 for nondiabetic retinopathy reasons and two for diabetic maculopathy. Cataract accounted for 50% of all referrals for ophthalmology clinical assessment. Of the 133 patients placed on annual screening, 93 (70%) were screened at least once more. In terms of level of diabetic retinopathy, assessability or other ocular pathologies, 8 improved, 51 remained stable, and 31 deteriorated. Of the latter, 19 patients were referred for ophthalmology clinical assessment; none of these for diabetic retinopathy.

CONCLUSIONS

Screening provides opportunistic identification of important nondiabetic retinopathy eye conditions. However, in view of the low identification rate of sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy in patients aged 90 years and over, and the current mission statement of the NHS Diabetic Eye Screening Programme, systematic annual diabetic retinopathy screening may not be justified in this age group of patients, but rather be performed in optometric practice.

Serum alpha-fetoprotein in the three trimesters of pregnancy: effects of maternal characteristics and medical history

OBJECTIVE

To define the contribution of maternal variables which influence the measured level of maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in screening for pregnancy complications.

METHODS

Maternal characteristics and medical history were recorded and serum AFP was measured in women with a singleton pregnancy attending for three routine hospital visits at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6, 19 + 0 to 24 + 6 and 30 + 0 to 34 + 6 weeks' gestation. For pregnancies delivering phenotypically normal live births or stillbirths ≥ 24 weeks' gestation, variables from maternal demographic characteristics and medical history that are important in the prediction of AFP were determined from a linear mixed-effects multiple regression.

RESULTS

Serum AFP was measured in 17 071 cases in the first trimester, 8583 in the second trimester and 8607 in the third trimester. Significant independent contributions to serum AFP were provided by gestational age, maternal weight, racial origin, gestational age at delivery and birth-weight Z-score of the neonate of the previous pregnancy and interpregnancy interval. Cigarette smoking was found to significantly affect serum AFP in the first trimester only. The machine used to measure serum AFP was also found to have a significant effect. Random-effects multiple regression analysis was used to define the contribution of maternal variables that influence the measured level of serum AFP and express the values as multiples of the median (MoMs). The model was shown to provide an adequate fit of MoM values for all covariates, both in pregnancies that developed pre-eclampsia and in those without this pregnancy complication.

CONCLUSIONS

A model was fitted to express measured serum AFP across the three trimesters of pregnancy as MoMs, after adjusting for variables from maternal characteristics and medical history that affect this measurement.

The Impact of a 24-h Ultra-Marathon on Circulatory Endotoxin and Cytokine Profile

The study aimed to determine circulatory endotoxin concentration, cytokine profile, and gastrointestinal symptoms of ultra-endurance runners (UER, n=17) in response to a 24-h continuous ultra-marathon competition (total distance range: 122-208 km) conducted in temperate ambient conditions (0-20 °C) in mountainous terrain. Body mass and body temperature were measured, and venous blood samples were taken before and immediately after competition. Samples were analysed for gram-negative bacterial endotoxin, C-reactive protein, cytokine profile, and plasma osmolality. Gastrointestinal symptoms were also monitored throughout competition. Mean exercise-induced body mass loss was (mean±SD) 1.7±1.8% in UER. Pre- and post-competition plasma osmolality in UER was 286±11 mOsmol·kg(-1) and 286±9 mOsmol·kg(-1), respectively. Pre- to post-competition increases (p<0.05) were observed for endotoxin (37%), C-reactive protein (2832%), IL-6 (3 436%), IL-1β (332%), TNF-α (35%), IL-10 (511%), and IL-8 (239%) concentrations in UER, with no change in the control group (CON; n=12) observed (p>0.05). Gastrointestinal symptoms were reported by 75% of UER, with no symptoms reported by CON. IL-10 (r=0.535) and IL-8 (r=0.503) were positively correlated with gastrointestinal symptoms. A 24-h continuous ultra-marathon competition in temperate ambient conditions resulted in a circulatory endotoxaemia and pro-inflammatory cytokinaemia, counteracted by a compensatory anti-inflammatory response.

Serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A in the three trimesters of pregnancy: effects of maternal characteristics and medical history

OBJECTIVE

To define the contribution of maternal variables which influence the measured level of maternal serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) in screening for pregnancy complications.

METHODS

Maternal characteristics and medical history were recorded and serum PAPP-A was measured in women with a singleton pregnancy attending for three routine hospital visits at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6, 19 + 0 to 24 + 6 and 30 + 0 to 34 + 6 weeks' gestation. For pregnancies delivering phenotypically normal live births or stillbirths ≥ 24 weeks' gestation, variables from maternal demographic characteristics and medical history that are important in the prediction of PAPP-A were determined from a linear mixed-effects multiple regression.

RESULTS

Serum PAPP-A was measured in 94,966 cases in the first trimester, 7785 in the second trimester and 8286 in the third trimester. Significant independent contributions to serum PAPP-A were provided by gestational age, maternal weight, height, racial origin, cigarette smoking, diabetes mellitus, method of conception, previous pregnancy with or without pre-eclampsia (PE) and birth-weight Z-score of the neonate in the previous pregnancy. The effects of some variables were similar and those for others differed in the three different trimesters. Random-effects multiple regression analysis was used to define the contribution of maternal variables that influence the measured level of serum PAPP-A and express the values as multiples of the median (MoMs). The model was shown to provide an adequate fit of MoM values for all covariates, both in pregnancies that developed PE and in those without this pregnancy complication.

CONCLUSIONS

A model was fitted to express the measured serum PAPP-A across the three trimesters of pregnancy as MoMs, after adjusting for variables from maternal characteristics and medical history that affect this measurement.

Serum free β-human chorionic gonadotropin in the three trimesters of pregnancy: effects of maternal characteristics and medical history

OBJECTIVE

To define the contribution of maternal variables which influence the measured level of maternal serum free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) in screening for pregnancy complications.

METHODS

Maternal characteristics and medical history were recorded and serum free β-hCG was measured in women with a singleton pregnancy attending for three routine hospital visits at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6, 19 + 0 to 24 + 6 and 30 + 0 to 34 + 6 weeks' gestation. For pregnancies delivering phenotypically normal live births or stillbirths ≥ 24 weeks' gestation, variables from maternal demographic characteristics and medical history that are important in the prediction of free β-hCG were determined from a linear mixed-effects multiple regression.

RESULTS

Serum free β-hCG was measured in 94 985 cases in the first trimester, 7879 in the second trimester and 8424 in the third trimester. Significant independent contributions to serum free β-hCG were provided by gestational age, maternal weight, age and racial origin, cigarette smoking, method of conception, diabetes mellitus and family history of pre-eclampsia (PE) in the mother of the patient. The effects of some variables were similar and those for others differed in each trimester. Random-effects multiple regression analysis was used to define the contribution of maternal variables that influence the measured level of serum free β-hCG and express the values as multiples of the median (MoMs). The model was shown to provide an adequate fit of MoM values for all covariates both in pregnancies that developed PE and in those without this pregnancy complication.

CONCLUSIONS

A model was fitted to express measured serum free β-hCG across the three trimesters of pregnancy as MoMs after adjusting for variables from maternal characteristics and medical history that affect this measurement.

Mean arterial pressure in the three trimesters of pregnancy: effects of maternal characteristics and medical history

OBJECTIVE

To define the contribution of maternal variables that influence the measured mean arterial pressure (MAP) in screening for pregnancy complications.

METHODS

Maternal characteristics and medical history were recorded, and MAP was measured, in women with a singleton pregnancy attending for three routine hospital visits at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks, 19 + 0 to 24 + 6 weeks and 30 + 0 to 34 + 6 weeks or 35 + 0 to 37 + 6 weeks' gestation. For pregnancies delivering phenotypically normal live births or stillbirths at ≥ 24 weeks' gestation, variables from maternal demographic characteristics and medical history that are important in the prediction of MAP were determined from linear mixed-effects multiple regression analysis.

RESULTS

MAP was measured in 75 841 cases in the first trimester, 30 447 in the second trimester and 31 673 in the third trimester. Significant independent contributions to MAP were provided by gestational age, maternal age, weight, height, Afro-Caribbean racial origin, cigarette smoking, family history of pre-eclampsia (PE), history of PE in the previous pregnancy, interpregnancy interval, chronic hypertension and diabetes mellitus. The effects of some variables were similar, and for others differed, in the three different trimesters. Random-effects multiple regression analysis was used to define the contribution of maternal variables that influence the measured MAP and express the values as multiples of the median (MoMs). The model was shown to provide an adequate fit of MoM values for all covariates, both in pregnancies that developed PE and in those without this complication.

CONCLUSIONS

A model was fitted to express the measured MAP as MoMs after adjustment for variables from maternal characteristics and medical history that affect this measurement.

Uterine artery pulsatility index in the three trimesters of pregnancy: effects of maternal characteristics and medical history

OBJECTIVE

To define the contribution of maternal variables that influence the measured uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) in screening for pregnancy complications.

METHODS

Maternal characteristics and medical history were recorded, and UtA-PI was measured, in women with a singleton pregnancy attending for three routine hospital visits at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks, 19 + 0 to 24 + 6 weeks and 30 + 0 to 34 + 6 weeks or 35 + 0 to 37 + 6 weeks' gestation. For pregnancies delivering phenotypically normal live births or stillbirths at ≥ 24 weeks' gestation, variables from maternal demographic characteristics and medical history that are important in the prediction of UtA-PI were determined from linear mixed-effects multiple regression.

RESULTS

UtA-PI was measured in 90 484 cases in the first trimester, 66 862 cases in the second trimester and 33 470 cases in the third trimester of pregnancy. Significant independent contributions to UtA-PI were provided by gestational age, maternal age, weight, racial origin and a history of pre-eclampsia (PE) in the previous pregnancy. Random-effects multiple regression analysis was used to define the contribution of maternal variables that influence the measured UtA-PI and express the values as multiples of the median (MoM). The model was shown to provide an adequate fit of MoM values for all covariates both in pregnancies that developed PE and in those that did not.

CONCLUSIONS

A model was fitted to express the measured UtA-PI as MoMs after adjustment for variables from maternal characteristics and medical history that affect this measurement.

Validation of a Crowdsourcing Methodology for Developing a Knowledge Base of Related Problem-Medication Pairs

BACKGROUND

Clinical knowledge bases of problem-medication pairs are necessary for many informatics solutions that improve patient safety, such as clinical summarization. However, developing these knowledge bases can be challenging.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to validate a previously developed crowdsourcing approach for generating a knowledge base of problem-medication pairs in a large, non-university health care system with a widely used, commercially available electronic health record.

METHODS

We first retrieved medications and problems entered in the electronic health record by clinicians during routine care during a six month study period. Following the previously published approach, we calculated the link frequency and link ratio for each pair then identified a threshold cutoff for estimated problem-medication pair appropriateness through clinician review; problem-medication pairs meeting the threshold were included in the resulting knowledge base. We selected 50 medications and their gold standard indications to compare the resulting knowledge base to the pilot knowledge base developed previously and determine its recall and precision.

RESULTS

The resulting knowledge base contained 26,912 pairs, had a recall of 62.3% and a precision of 87.5%, and outperformed the pilot knowledge base containing 11,167 pairs from the previous study, which had a recall of 46.9% and a precision of 83.3%.

CONCLUSIONS

We validated the crowdsourcing approach for generating a knowledge base of problem-medication pairs in a large non-university health care system with a widely used, commercially available electronic health record, indicating that the approach may be generalizable across healthcare settings and clinical systems. Further research is necessary to better evaluate the knowledge, to compare crowdsourcing with other approaches, and to evaluate if incorporating the knowledge into electronic health records improves patient outcomes.

The Impact of a 24-h Ultra-Marathon on Circulatory Endotoxin and Cytokine Profile

The study aimed to determine circulatory endotoxin concentration, cytokine profile, and gastrointestinal symptoms of ultra-endurance runners (UER, n=17) in response to a 24-h continuous ultra-marathon competition (total distance range: 122-208 km) conducted in temperate ambient conditions (0-20 °C) in mountainous terrain. Body mass and body temperature were measured, and venous blood samples were taken before and immediately after competition. Samples were analysed for gram-negative bacterial endotoxin, C-reactive protein, cytokine profile, and plasma osmolality. Gastrointestinal symptoms were also monitored throughout competition. Mean exercise-induced body mass loss was (mean±SD) 1.7±1.8% in UER. Pre- and post-competition plasma osmolality in UER was 286±11 mOsmol·kg(-1) and 286±9 mOsmol·kg(-1), respectively. Pre- to post-competition increases (p<0.05) were observed for endotoxin (37%), C-reactive protein (2832%), IL-6 (3 436%), IL-1β (332%), TNF-α (35%), IL-10 (511%), and IL-8 (239%) concentrations in UER, with no change in the control group (CON; n=12) observed (p>0.05). Gastrointestinal symptoms were reported by 75% of UER, with no symptoms reported by CON. IL-10 (r=0.535) and IL-8 (r=0.503) were positively correlated with gastrointestinal symptoms. A 24-h continuous ultra-marathon competition in temperate ambient conditions resulted in a circulatory endotoxaemia and pro-inflammatory cytokinaemia, counteracted by a compensatory anti-inflammatory response.

Serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 in the three trimesters of pregnancy: effects of maternal characteristics and medical history

OBJECTIVE

To define the contribution of maternal variables which influence the measured level of maternal serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) in screening for pregnancy complications.

METHODS

Maternal characteristics and medical history were recorded and serum sFlt-1 was measured in women with a singleton pregnancy attending for three routine hospital visits at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6, 19 + 0 to 24 + 6 and 30 + 0 to 34 + 6 or 35 + 0 to 37 + 6 weeks' gestation. For pregnancies delivering phenotypically normal live births or stillbirths ≥ 24 weeks' gestation, variables from maternal demographic characteristics and medical history that are important in the prediction of sFlt-1 were determined from a linear mixed-effects multiple regression.

RESULTS

Serum sFlt-1 was measured in 7066 cases in the first trimester, 8078 in the second trimester and 10,464 in the third trimester. Significant independent contributions to serum sFlt-1 were provided by gestational age, maternal weight, racial origin, cigarette smoking, birth-weight Z-score of the neonate in the previous pregnancy and interpregnancy interval. Random-effects multiple regression analysis was used to define the contribution of maternal variables that influence the measured level of serum sFlt-1 and express the values as multiples of the median (MoMs). The model was shown to provide an adequate fit of MoM values for all covariates, both in pregnancies that developed pre-eclampsia and in those without this pregnancy complication.

CONCLUSIONS

A model was fitted to express measured serum sFlt-1 across the three trimesters of pregnancy as MoMs, after adjusting for variables from maternal characteristics and medical history that affect this measurement.

Serum placental growth factor in the three trimesters of pregnancy: effects of maternal characteristics and medical history

OBJECTIVE

To define the contribution of maternal variables which influence the measured level of maternal serum placental growth factor (PlGF) in screening for pregnancy complications.

METHODS

Maternal characteristics and medical history were recorded and serum levels of PlGF were measured in women with a singleton pregnancy attending for three routine hospital visits at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6, 19 + 0 to 24 + 6 and 30 + 0 to 34 + 6 or 35 + 0 to 37 + 6 weeks' gestation. For women delivering phenotypically normal live births or stillbirths ≥ 24 weeks' gestation, variables from maternal demographic characteristics and medical history important in the prediction of PlGF were determined from a linear mixed-effects multiple regression.

RESULTS

Serum levels of PlGF were measured in 38,002 cases in the first trimester, 10,281 in the second trimester and 12,392 in the third trimester. Significant independent contributions to serum PlGF were provided by gestational age, maternal age, weight and racial origin, cigarette smoking, diabetes mellitus, and gestational age at delivery and birth-weight Z-score of the neonate in the previous pregnancy. The machine used to measure serum PlGF was also found to have a significant effect. Allowing for other factors, the effect of maternal age on PlGF changed over the three trimesters, whereas other variables had constant effects over the three trimesters. Random-effects multiple regression analysis was used to define the contribution of maternal variables that influence the measured serum PlGF and express the values as multiples of the median (MoMs). The model was shown to provide an adequate fit of MoM values for all covariates, both in pregnancies that developed pre-eclampsia and in those without this complication.

CONCLUSIONS

A model was fitted to express the measured level of maternal serum PlGF across the three trimesters of pregnancy as MoMs, after adjusting for variables of maternal characteristics and medical history that affect this measurement.

Fetal middle cerebral artery and umbilical artery pulsatility index: effects of maternal characteristics and medical history

OBJECTIVE

To define the contribution of maternal variables which influence the measured fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA) and umbilical artery (UA) pulsatility index (PI) in the assessment of fetal wellbeing.

METHODS

Maternal characteristics and medical history were recorded and fetal MCA-PI and UA-PI (n = 36,818) were measured in women with singleton pregnancies attending a routine hospital visit at 30 + 0 to 37 + 6 weeks' gestation. For pregnancies delivering phenotypically normal live births or stillbirths ≥ 30 weeks' gestation, variables among maternal demographic characteristics and medical history that are important in the prediction of MCA-PI and UA-PI were determined by multiple linear regression analysis.

RESULTS

Significant independent contributions to MCA-PI were provided by gestational age at assessment, East Asian racial origin, being parous and birth-weight Z-score of the neonate of the previous pregnancy. Significant independent contributions to UA-PI were provided by gestational age at assessment, Afro-Caribbean, East Asian and mixed racial origin, cigarette smoking, being parous and birth-weight Z-score of the neonate of the previous pregnancy. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to define the contribution of maternal variables that influence the measured MCA-PI and UA-PI and express the values as multiples of the median (MoMs). The cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) MoM was calculated by dividing MCA-PI MoM by UA-PI MoM. The model was shown to provide an adequate fit of MoM values for all covariates, both in pregnancies that delivered small-for-gestational-age neonates and in those without this pregnancy complication.

CONCLUSIONS

A model was fitted to express MCA-PI, UA-PI and CPR as MoMs after adjusting for variables from maternal characteristics and medical history that affect this measurement.

Trends in the selection of insecticide resistance in Anopheles gambiae s.l. mosquitoes in northwest Tanzania during a community randomized trial of longlasting insecticidal nets and indoor residual spraying

Anopheles gambiae s.l. (Diptera: Culicidae) in Muleba, Tanzania has developed high levels of resistance to most insecticides currently advocated for malaria control. The kdr mutation has almost reached fixation in An. gambiae s.s. in Muleba. This change has the potential to jeopardize malaria control interventions carried out in the region. Trends in insecticide resistance were monitored in two intervention villages using World Health Organization (WHO) susceptibility test kits. Additional mechanisms contributing to observed phenotypic resistance were investigated using Centers for Disease Control (CDC) bottle bioassays with piperonylbutoxide (PBO) and S,S,S-tributyl phosphorotrithioate (DEF) synergists. Resistance genotyping for kdr and Ace-1 alleles was conducted using quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR). In both study villages, high phenotypic resistance to several pyrethroids and DDT was observed, with mortality in the range of 12-23%. There was a sharp decrease in mortality in An. gambiae s.l. exposed to bendiocarb (carbamate) from 84% in November 2011 to 31% in December 2012 after two rounds of bendiocarb-based indoor residual spraying (IRS). Anopheles gambiae s.l. remained susceptible to pirimiphos-methyl (organophosphate). Bendiocarb-based IRS did not lead to the reversion of pyrethroid resistance. There was no evidence for selection for Ace-1 resistance alleles. The need to investigate the operational impact of the observed resistance selection on the effectiveness of longlasting insecticidal nets and IRS for malaria control is urgent.

Computerised physician order entry-related medication errors: analysis of reported errors and vulnerability testing of current systems

IMPORTANCE

Medication computerised provider order entry (CPOE) has been shown to decrease errors and is being widely adopted. However, CPOE also has potential for introducing or contributing to errors.

OBJECTIVES

The objectives of this study are to (a) analyse medication error reports where CPOE was reported as a 'contributing cause' and (b) develop 'use cases' based on these reports to test vulnerability of current CPOE systems to these errors.

METHODS

A review of medication errors reported to United States Pharmacopeia MEDMARX reporting system was made, and a taxonomy was developed for CPOE-related errors. For each error we evaluated what went wrong and why and identified potential prevention strategies and recurring error scenarios. These scenarios were then used to test vulnerability of leading CPOE systems, asking typical users to enter these erroneous orders to assess the degree to which these problematic orders could be entered.

RESULTS

Between 2003 and 2010, 1.04 million medication errors were reported to MEDMARX, of which 63 040 were reported as CPOE related. A review of 10 060 CPOE-related cases was used to derive 101 codes describing what went wrong, 67 codes describing reasons why errors occurred, 73 codes describing potential prevention strategies and 21 codes describing recurring error scenarios. Ability to enter these erroneous order scenarios was tested on 13 CPOE systems at 16 sites. Overall, 298 (79.5%) of the erroneous orders were able to be entered including 100 (28.0%) being 'easily' placed, another 101 (28.3%) with only minor workarounds and no warnings.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Medication error reports provide valuable information for understanding CPOE-related errors. Reports were useful for developing taxonomy and identifying recurring errors to which current CPOE systems are vulnerable. Enhanced monitoring, reporting and testing of CPOE systems are important to improve CPOE safety.

A unified approach to risk assessment for fetal aneuploidies

OBJECTIVE

To examine the potential impact of combining measures from cell-free DNA (cfDNA) testing with maternal age and first-trimester biomarkers in screening for fetal trisomies.

METHODS

This was a theoretical study using Bayes' theorem to combine the a priori risk for fetal trisomy 21 derived from maternal age with likelihoods from nuchal translucency thickness, serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A, serum free β-human chorionic gonadotropin and plasma cfDNA. We adopted a binomial counting model for the cfDNA likelihoods and developed a model to account for errors in estimating fetal fraction.

RESULTS

When Bayes' theorem was used to combine the a priori risk for trisomy 21 derived from the first-trimester combined test with likelihoods from the cfDNA test, and when the true fetal fraction was known, the detection rate increased from 62% at a fetal fraction of 4% to 100% at a fetal fraction of ≥ 9%; the positive likelihood ratio (trisomic/euploid) increased from 620 to 1000 and the negative likelihood ratio (euploid/trisomic) increased from 3 to > 10 000. When the fetal fraction is < 4%, the cfDNA test has traditionally been considered to be a failure, but the cfDNA results can be used to improve the performance of screening by the combined test.

CONCLUSIONS

In contingent policies that use the first-trimester combined test for first-line screening to select the subgroup for cfDNA testing, the data from the latter should be used to update the risk from the former. Individual patient results from cfDNA testing depend crucially on the fetal fraction and the precision of its measurement.

Lifetimes of (214)Po and (212)Po measured with Counting Test Facility at Gran Sasso National Laboratory

The decays of (214)Po into (210)Pb and of (212)Po into (208)Pb tagged by the previous decays from (214)Bi and (212)Bi have been studied inserting quartz vials inside the Counting Test Facility (CTF) at the underground laboratory in Gran Sasso (LNGS). We find that the mean lifetime of (214)Po is (236.00 ± 0.42(stat) ± 0.15(syst)) μs and that of (212)Po is (425.1 ± 0.9(stat) ± 1.2(syst)) ns. Our results are compatible with previous measurements, have a much better signal to background ratio, and reduce the overall uncertainties.