Individual social class, area-based deprivation, cardiovascular disease risk factors, and mortality: the Renfrew and Paisley Study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the associations of individual and area-based socioeconomic indicators with cardiovascular disease risk factors and mortality.

DESIGN

Prospective study.

SETTING

The towns of Renfrew and Paisley in the west of Scotland.

PARTICIPANTS

6961 men and 7991 women included in a population-based cardiovascular disease screening study between 1972 and 1976.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Cardiovascular disease risk factors and cardiorespiratory morbidity at the time of screening: 15 year mortality from all causes and cardiovascular disease.

RESULTS

Both the area-based deprivation indicator and individual social class were associated with generally less favourable profiles of cardiovascular disease risk factors at the time of the baseline screening examinations. The exception was plasma cholesterol concentration, which was lower for men and women in manual social class groups. Independent contributions of area-based deprivation and individual social class were generally seen with respect to risk factors and morbidity. All cause and cardiovascular disease mortality rates were both inversely associated with socioeconomic position whether indexed by area-based deprivation or social class. The area-based and individual socioeconomic indicators made independent contributions to mortality risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Individually assigned and area-based socioeconomic indicators make independent contributions to several important health outcomes. The degree of inequalities in health that exist will not be demonstrated in studies using only one category of indicator. Similarly, adjustment for confounding by socioeconomic position in aetiological epidemiological studies will be inadequate if only one level of indicator is used. Policies aimed at reducing socioeconomic differentials in health should pay attention to the characteristics of the areas in which people live as well as the characteristics of the people who live in these areas.

A role for noradrenaline in pre-eclampsia: towards a unifying hypothesis for the pathophysiology

OBJECTIVE

To compare plasma catecholamine (noradrenaline and adrenaline) levels in pre-eclamptic to normotensive pregnancy, and to study the activity of synthetic enzymes for catecholamines in placental and trophoblastic cell cultures. We postulated that catecholamines might be an important signal secreted by the fetoplacental unit in pre-eclampsia.

METHODS

We recruited 12 women with pre-eclampsia and 12 pregnant women with nonproteinuric hypertension undergoing delivery by caesarean section, 23 normotensive women undergoing elective caesarean section at term, and 26 normotensive primigravid women with ongoing pregnancies at gestations equivalent to those women with pre-eclampsia. We measured venous blood concentrations of catecholamines. Following delivery, we studied tyrosine hydroxylase (the rate limiting enzyme for catecholamine synthesis) activity in placental tissue of these women as well as from four eclamptic women not in the observer study. We used Northern blot analysis to quantify mRNA for tyrosine hydroxylase and dopamine-beta-hydroxylase (D-beta-H, a non-rate-limiting synthetic enzyme for catecholamine) in placental tissue, as well as in trophoblast cells in primary culture and trophoblast cell lines.

RESULTS

Venous blood concentrations of noradrenaline were significantly higher in pre-eclamptic women compared with normotensive women. Tyrosine hydroxylase activity was greater in placental tissue from pre-eclamptic and eclamptic compared with normotensive pregnancies, as were mRNA levels for this enzyme. The mRNA levels for the non-rate-limiting D-beta-H in women with pre-eclampsia were similar to those in normotensive pregnancies. First trimester trophoblast cells in primary culture and trophoblast cell lines transcript mRNA for tyrosine hydroxylase and D-beta-H.

CONCLUSIONS

Trophoblasts have the capacity to secrete catecholamines, and we found increased activity of the rate-limiting synthetic enzyme in placental tissue from pre-eclamptic pregnancies. We postulate that the higher levels of catecholamines we found in the plasma of women with pre-eclampsia might be of placental origin. We hypothesise that in pre-eclampsia ischaemic trophoblast tissue secretes catecholamines as a physiological signal to increase maternal blood flow to the fetoplacental unit, which itself is spared the vasoconstrictor effects of catecholamines (placental vessels are known to be unresponsive to catecholamines). However, since the basic pathology--defective trophoblast invasion--is not corrected, the increased blood flow fails to resolve the ischaemia, and the secretion of catecholamines is therefore sustained or even enhanced. Noradrenaline is known to cause lipolysis. This results in breakdown of triglycerides to free fatty acids, which are oxidized to lipid peroxides. The latter are cytotoxic and cause widespread endothelial cell damage and dysfunction, culminating in the clinical syndrome of pre-eclampsia.

Adverse socioeconomic conditions in childhood and cause specific adult mortality: prospective observational study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between social circumstances in childhood and mortality from various causes of death in adulthood.

DESIGN

Prospective observational study.

SETTING

27 workplaces in the west of Scotland.

SUBJECTS

5645 men aged 35-64 years at the time of examination.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Death from various causes.

RESULTS

Men whose fathers had manual occupations when they were children were more likely as adults to have manual jobs and be living in deprived areas. Gradients in mortality from coronary heart disease, stroke, lung cancer, stomach cancer, and respiratory disease were seen (all P<0.05), generally increasing from men whose fathers had professional and managerial occupations (social class I and II) to those whose fathers had semiskilled and unskilled manual occupations (social class IV and V). Relative rates of mortality adjusted for age for men with fathers in manual versus non-manual occupations were 1.52 (95% confidence interval 1.24 to 1.87) for coronary heart disease, 1.83 (1.13 to 2. 94) for stroke, 1.65 (1.12 to 2.43) for lung cancer, 2.06 (0.93 to 4. 57) for stomach cancer, and 2.01 (1.17 to 3.48) for respiratory disease. Mortality from other cancers and accidental and violent death showed no association with fathers' social class. Adjustment for adult socioeconomic circumstances and risk factors did not alter results for mortality from stroke and stomach cancer, attenuated the increased risk of coronary heart disease and respiratory disease, and essentially eliminated the association with lung cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Adverse socioeconomic circumstances in childhood have a specific influence on mortality from stroke and stomach cancer in adulthood, which is not due to the continuity of social disadvantage throughout life. Deprivation in childhood influences risk of mortality from coronary heart disease and respiratory disease in adulthood, although an additive influence of adulthood circumstances is seen in these cases. Mortality from lung cancer, other cancer, and accidents and violence is predominantly influenced by risk factors that are related to social circumstances in adulthood.

Education and occupational social class: which is the more important indicator of mortality risk?

STUDY OBJECTIVES

In the UK, studies of socioeconomic differentials in mortality have generally relied upon occupational social class as the index of socioeconomic position, while in the US, measures based upon education have been widely used. These two measures have different characteristics; for example, social class can change throughout adult life, while education is unlikely to alter after early adulthood. Therefore different interpretations can be given to the mortality differentials that are seen. The objective of this analysis is to demonstrate the profile of mortality differentials, and the factors underlying these differentials, which are associated with the two socioeconomic measures.

DESIGN

Prospective observational study.

SETTING

27 work places in the west of Scotland.

PARTICIPANTS

5749 men aged 35-64 who completed questionnaires and were examined between 1970 and 1973.

FINDINGS

At baseline, similar gradients between socioeconomic position and blood pressure, height, lung function, and smoking behaviour were seen, regardless of whether the education or social class measure was used. Manual social class and early termination of full time education were associated with higher blood pressure, shorter height, poorer lung function, and a higher prevalence of smoking. Within education strata, the graded association between smoking and social class remains strong, whereas within social class groups the relation between education and smoking is attenuated. Over 21 years of follow up, 1639 of the men died. Mortality from all causes and from three broad cause of death groups (cardiovascular disease, malignant disease, and other causes) showed similar associations with social class and education. For all cause of death groups, men in manual social classes and men who terminated full time education at an early age had higher death rates. Cardiovascular disease was the cause of death group most strongly associated with education, while the non-cardiovascular non-cancer category was the cause of death group most strongly associated with adulthood social class. The graded association between social class and all cause mortality remains strong and significant within education strata, whereas within social class strata the relation between education and mortality is less clear.

CONCLUSIONS

As a single indicator of socioeconomic position occupational social class in adulthood is a better discriminator of socioeconomic differentials in mortality and smoking behaviour than is education. This argues against interpretations that see cultural--rather than material--resources as being the key determinants of socioeconomic differentials in health. The stronger association of education with death from cardiovascular causes than with other causes of death may reflect the function of education as an index of socioeconomic circumstances in early life, which appear to have a particular influence on the risk of cardiovascular disease.

Birth weight of offspring and mortality in the Renfrew and Paisley study: prospective observational study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between birth weight of offspring and mortality among fathers and mothers in the west of Scotland.

DESIGN

Prospective observational study.

PARTICIPANTS

794 married couples in Renfrew district of the west of Scotland.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Mortality from all causes and from cardiovascular disease over 15 year follow up.

RESULTS

Women who had heavier babies were taller, had higher body mass index and better lung function, and were less likely to be smokers than mothers of lighter babies. Fathers of heavier babies were taller and less likely to be smokers than fathers of lighter babies. Mortality was inversely related to offspring's birth weight for both mothers (relative rate for a 1 kg lower birth weight 1.82 (95% confidence interval 1.23 to 2.70)) and fathers (relative rate 1.35 (1.03 to 1.79)). For mortality from cardiovascular disease, inverse associations were seen for mothers (2.00 (1.18 to 3.33)) and fathers (1.52 (1.03 to 2.17)). Adjustment for blood pressure, plasma cholesterol, body mass index, height, social class, area based deprivation category, smoking, lung function, angina, bronchitis, and electrocardiographic evidence of ischaemia had little effect on these risk estimates, although levels of statistical significance were reduced.

CONCLUSIONS

Birth weight of offspring was related inversely to mortality, from all causes and cardiovascular disease, in this cohort. The strength of this association was greater than would have been expected by the degree of concordance of birth weights across generations, but an extensive range of potential confounding factors could not account for the association. Mortality is therefore influenced by a factor related to birth weight that is transmissible across generations.

Cutaneous malignant melanoma in Scotland: incidence, survival, and mortality, 1979-94. The Scottish Melanoma Group

OBJECTIVE

To determine the changing incidence of and mortality from cutaneous malignant melanoma in Scotland from 1979 to 1994.

DESIGN

Detailed registration of clinical and pathological features, surgical and other treatment, and follow up of all cases of cutaneous malignant melanoma diagnosed from 1979 to 1994 and registered with specialist database for Scotland.

SETTING

Scotland.

SUBJECTS

6288 patients with invasive primary cutaneous malignant melanoma diagnosed between 1 January 1979 and 31 December 1994.

RESULTS

The annual age standardised incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma rose significantly from 3.5 to 7.8 per 100,000 per year in men and from 6.8 to 12.3 per 100,000 per year in women (P < 0.001 for both). World standardised rates increased from 2.7 to 6.0 per 100,000 per year in men and 4.6 to 8.50 per 100,000 in women. The incidence of melanoma continued to increase significantly in men of all ages during the study, but the rate stabilised in women after 1986. Mortality from cutaneous malignant melanoma was 1.3 per million per annum in men in 1979, rising to 2.3 per million per annum in 1994 (P < 0.01); it was 2.4 per million per annum in women in 1979, falling to 1.9 per million per annum in 1994 (P = 0.09). The underlying mortality trends showed a continuing rise for men but a downward trend for women that was not significant (P = 0.09). In men, melanoma free survival was 69% at 5 years and 61% at 10 years; in women the corresponding rates were 82% and 75%. Younger patients had higher survival rates, which were not entirely explained by thinner tumours. Over the 15 year period, survival rates improved by 12% overall, only partly owing to thinner tumours.

CONCLUSIONS

In Scotland the incidence of melanoma in women has stabilised, while mortality associated with melanoma in women shows a downward trend.

Mortality in relation to tar yield of cigarettes: a prospective study of four cohorts

OBJECTIVE

To investigate relation between tar yield of manufactured cigarettes and mortality from smoking related diseases.

DESIGN

Prospective epidemiological study of four cohorts of men studied between 1967 and 1982.

SETTING

Combined data from British United Provident Association (BUPA) study (London), Whitehall study (London), Paisley-Renfrew study (Scotland), and United Kingdom heart disease prevention project (England and Wales).

SUBJECTS

Of the 56,255 men aged over 35 who were included in the studies, 2742 deaths occurred among 12,400 smokers. Average follow up was 13 years.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Relative mortality from smoking related diseases according to tar yields of cigarettes smoked.

RESULTS

Age adjusted mortality from smoking related diseases in smokers of filter cigarettes was 9% lower (95% confidence interval 1% to 17%) than in smokers related diseases consistently decreased with decreasing tar yield. Relative mortality in cigarette smokers for a 15 mg decrease in tar yield per cigarette was 0.75 (0.52 to 1.09) for lung cancer, 0.77 (0.61 to 0.97) for coronary heart disease, 0.86 (0.50 to 1.50) for stroke, 0.78 (0.40 to 1.48) for chronic obstructive lung diseases, 0.78 (0.65 to 0.93) for these smoking related diseases combined, and 0.77 (0.65 to 0.90) for all smoking related diseases.

CONCLUSION

About a quarter of deaths from lung cancer, coronary heart disease, and possibly other smoking related diseases would have been avoided by lowering tar yield from 30 mg per cigarette to 15 mg. Reducing cigarette tar yields in Britain has had a modest effect in reducing smoking related mortality.

The epidemiology of non-seminomatous germ cell tumours in the west of Scotland 1975-89

A total of 438 males resident in the six West of Scotland Health Board areas were notified to the cancer registry with a diagnosis of teratoma between 1 January 1975 and 31 December 1989. Non-registration was between 2% and 3.4%; a further 44 cases were ascertained through independent listings in the major tertiary referral centres. There were four (1%) duplicate registrations and 16 (4%) were incorrect on the basis of pathology (three) or residence (13). Of these, most (26) were registered with alternative diagnoses and eight were registered on the pre-1985 manual system. The positive correlation between socioeconomic status and incidence was confirmed by linking residential postcode at diagnosis to the Carstairs and Morris Deprivation Index. There was an increasing incidence, both overall and for men aged 15-44 years, with doubling times of 20 and 25 years respectively. The increase was confined to men resident in the more deprived postcode sectors; the incidence rate among men from the most affluent areas remained unchanged throughout the period of study.

Production and identification of primary trisomics in diploid Agropyron cristatum (crested wheatgrass)

Six of the seven possible primary trisomics in Agropyron cristatum were produced. Based on morphology, arm length ratios, and C-banding patterns, they were identified as primary trisomics for chromosomes A, B, C, D, E, and G. Agropyron cristatum is one of several species constituting the crested wheatgrass complex. All species in this complex contain one basic genome (P). A study was conducted to produce and identify a primary trisomic series that will be used to map genes to individual chromosomes. A population of 157 plants were generated by crossing autotriploids (PPP) with diploid (PP) A. cristatum: 58 were diploid (2n = 14), 76 were primary trisomies (2n = 15), 17 were double trisomic (2n = 16), 4 were triple trisomics (2n = 14 + 3), 1 was telocentric trisomic (2n = 14 + 1 telo), and 1 was tetratrisomic (2n = 14 + 4). Karyotype analysis of acetoorcein-stained chromosomes was carried out using the CHROMPAC III computer program; for analysis of C-banded karyotypes, the computer imaging analysis program PCAS (Plant Chromosome Analysis System) was used to identify the primary trisomics. Of the 47 primary trisomics analyzed, 21 plants had one extra satellited chromosome E, 18 with the satellited D chromosome, 3 each for chromosomes B and G, and 1 each for chromosomes C and A. Chromosome pairing was studied in trisomies B, D, E, and G. Trisomics for chromosomes B and G were similar in their mieotic behavior. Each had a trivalent frequency of about 60% and pollen stainability of less than 40%. Trisomics for chromosomes D and E had a trivalent frequency of about 30% and pollen stainability of over 70%.

Accelerated detection with prospective surveillance for cutaneous malignant melanoma in high-risk groups

In 1983 a classification scheme was proposed for patients with atypical naevi, according to their personal and family history of melanoma and atypical naevi. To assess the predictive value of these features we undertook prospective surveillance of patients at high risk of primary melanoma. We followed up 116 patients each with 3 or more clinically atypical naevi for at least 5 years. Patients are examined and naevi are photographed every 3-6 months; lesions showing disturbing change are excised for histopathology. Among 85 patients with no personal or family history of melanoma, 5 invasive (level 2 or deeper) melanomas developed during 583 person-years of follow up. The expected number of invasive melanomas in this population would be 0.054; the increased risk is significant (p < 0.001; relative risk 92 [95% CI 30-216]). There was a similarly increased risk of new melanoma also among 24 patients with atypical naevi plus a history of previous melanoma (observed 2, expected 0.022, p < 0.001; relative risk 91 [11-328]). By comparison, no second melanoma developed among 25 patients with previous melanoma but a normal naevus pattern during 213 person-years of similarly intensive follow-up. The risk of melanoma was highest among 7 patients with atypical naevi and a family history of melanoma (observed 6, expected 0.009, p < 0.001; relative risk 444 [121-1138]). The median thickness of surveillance-detected melanomas was 0.75 mm (range 0.40-1.05 mm) in this group. This study shows the value of clinical follow-up of high-risk patients to detect early thin melanomas.

Elective versus emergency surgery for patients with colorectal cancer

A prospective study of 570 patients presenting with colorectal cancer over a 6-year period was undertaken. Of these, 363 were admitted electively and 207 presented as emergencies. The outcome following elective admission was more favourable than after emergency admission. In the elective group the proportion of resected tumours was greater (77 versus 64 per cent, P less than 0.001), the operative mortality rate lower (9 versus 19 per cent, P less than 0.001) and the 5-year disease-related survival rate higher (37 versus 19 per cent, P less than 0.001). These differences may relate to the greater resection rates in the elective situation. Results of surgical intervention might be improved if emergency colorectal operations were undertaken by surgeons with more experience of this type of surgery.

Cutaneous malignant melanoma, Scotland, 1979-89. The Scottish Melanoma Group

The Scottish Melanoma Group (SMG) was established in 1979 to assess mortality from and incidence, features, pathological data, and management of cutaneous malignant melanoma in Scotland. Incidence during the first five years and five-year survival have already been reported. We now have data about incidence and mortality over eleven years in relation to anatomical site and pathological types. From 1979 to 1989, 1354 male and 2459 female patients with primary cutaneous malignant melanomas were first diagnosed in Scottish residents. The incidence rate per 100,000 population per year has increased from 3.4 in 1979 to 7.1 in 1989 for men, and from 6.6 to 10.4 for women. The overall increase over eleven years is 82% (7.4% per year). The greatest rates of increase are seen in lesions of the superficial spreading histogenetic type, arising on the female leg and the male trunk. Following public education programmes started in 1985, the proportion of all melanomas less than 1.5 mm thick has shown a sustained and significant increase. Mortality data for 1661 patients for whom a minimum of five-year follow-up is available shows five-year survival of 71.6% overall (77.6% for women, 58.7% for men). The survival advantage for women persists when appropriate statistical adjustment is made for thickness, ulceration, and histogenetic type. These data are useful in designing public education programmes aimed at both primary and secondary prevention of melanoma and in auditing changes in trends that might result from such education.

Audit of public education campaign to encourage earlier detection of malignant melanoma

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate a public campaign to encourage earlier referral and treatment of primary cutaneous malignant melanoma and thus reduce mortality related to melanoma.

DESIGN

Production and distribution of educational material aimed at adults. Update information sent to general practitioners before campaign. Analysis of data on melanoma before and after campaign in June 1985.

SETTING

West of Scotland, population 2.7 million.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Total numbers of referrals per month to melanoma clinic, numbers of melanomas diagnosed, change in distribution of thickness, and mortality before and after introducing the campaign.

RESULTS

Referrals to the pigmented lesion clinic increased by 278%, from five a week in June-July 1984 to 19 a week in June-July 1985. Twice as many women as men were referred to the clinic (49% of referrals were of women aged under 65). The numbers of newly diagnosed primary cutaneous melanoma were 63 (12/month) in January-May 1985 and 146 (21/month) in June-December 1985, an increase of 131%. The percentage of tumours detected that were less than 1.5 mm thick rose significantly by 16% (95% confidence interval 11% to 19%), from 38% (328) in 1979-84 to 54% (592) in 1985-9. Mortality began to fall in women from 1988.

CONCLUSIONS

The public education campaign succeeded in reducing the absolute number of thick tumours and melanoma related mortality in women.

Impact of variability among surgeons on postoperative morbidity and mortality and ultimate survival

OBJECTIVE

To assess the differences among surgeons in postoperative complications, postoperative mortality, and survival in patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer.

DESIGN

Prospective study of patients with colorectal cancer managed by one of 13 consultant surgeons, none of whom had a special interest in colorectal surgery.

SETTING

Royal Infirmary, Glasgow.

PATIENTS

645 sequential patients with colorectal cancer presenting over the six years from 1974 to 1979.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Postoperative complications, postoperative mortality (within 30 days), and survival (up to 10 years); predictive factors for postoperative mortality and survival; and relative hazard rate ratios for individual surgeons.

RESULTS

The proportion of patients undergoing apparently curative resection varied among surgeons from 40% to 76%; overall postoperative mortality varied from 8% to 30%. After curative resection postoperative mortality varied from 0% to 20%, local recurrence from 0% to 21%, and the rate of anastomotic leak from 0% to 25%. Survival at 10 years in patients who underwent curative resection varied from 20% to 63%, two year survival in those who underwent palliative resection varied from 7% to 32%, and median survival in those who underwent palliative diversion varied from one to eight months. The hazard rate ratios among individual surgeons, taking into account the identified risk factors, varied from 0.56 to 2.03, from 0.17 to 1.92, and from 0.57 to 1.50 for curative resection, palliative resection, and palliative diversion, respectively.

CONCLUSION

There were significant variations in patient outcome among surgeons after surgery for colorectal cancer; such differences compromise survival. A considerable improvement in overall survival might be achieved if such surgery were undertaken by surgeons with a special interest in colorectal surgery or surgical oncology.

Long term results of cyclophosphamide, adriamycin and platinum chemotherapy in advanced epithelial ovarian cancer

Between January 1980 and December 1983, 57 consecutive patients with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer (FIGO Stage IIc n = 5; III n = 45; IV n = 7) were treated with 6 cycles of cyclophosphamide 600 mg/m2, adriamycin 30-45 mg/m2 and platinum 50 mg/m2 (CAP) at 3 weekly intervals. Pathological complete remission (CR) was documented in 10 (18%) and 4 with no residual disease after primary cytoreductive surgery were free from progression (FFP). There were 19 partial remissions (PR) giving a 51% overall response rate. The median duration of CR was 33 months from second look surgery. Median survival (MS) for all patients was 22 months. Multivariate analysis indicated that response to chemotherapy was the most important prognostic factor, with MS for CR of 53 months, PR 23 months and stable or progressive disease 11 months (p = 0.001). Most CR (8 of 10) occurred in patients with minimal residual disease (no single lesion greater than 2.0 cm), but extent of disease, though significant in univariate analysis of prognostic factors was not an independent predictor of survival. Six patients (11%) are alive and tumour free with a minimum follow-up of 7 years. All had FIGO Stage III disease at presentation and four had no residual tumour after primary surgery.

Asian osteomalacia is determined by dietary factors when exposure to ultraviolet radiation is restricted: a risk factor model

Twenty-seven previously osteomalacic and 77 normal Asian women participated in a seven-day survey of dietary intake and daylight outdoor exposure. Individual levels of daylight outdoor exposure discriminated poorly between normal and osteomalacic women. The presence of osteomalacia was strongly related to varying degrees of vegetarianism. Lactovegetarianism (no meat, fish or egg consumption) was associated with significantly greater osteomalacic risk than ovolactovegetarianism (no meat or fish consumption). Unlike Asian rickets, high-extraction wheat cereal as chapatti was not a significant risk factor for osteomalacia in Asian women and dietary fibre was a less important risk factor than absent dietary meat, fish or egg. When exposure to ultraviolet radiation is limited, Asian osteomalacia (and Asian rickets) are determined by dietary factors.

Prospective study of colorectal cancer in the west of Scotland: 10-year follow-up

Six hundred and forty-five patients presenting with colorectal cancer over a 6-year period were studied prospectively. At the time of presentation almost half the patients had clinical evidence of local tumour fixity and over one-quarter had distant metastases. The overall resectability rate was 70.8 per cent, apparently curative resection being obtained in 52.5 per cent. Overall operative mortality rate was 13.8 per cent, increasing in the elderly. Approximately 70 per cent of patients undergoing 'curative' resections survived for 2 years, 50 per cent survived for 5 years and 40 per cent survived for 10 years. After palliative resection approximately 10 per cent of patients survived for 5 years; only six of 133 patients (4 per cent) undergoing palliative diversion survived for 2 years. This prospective study confirms the advanced stage of colorectal cancer as it presents to a non-specialist centre. Although the poor outlook is largely a consequence of the advanced nature of the disease, there is evidence to suggest that the results of surgical intervention could be improved.

Estrogen and progesterone receptors in ovarian cancer

To determine whether steroid hormone receptor expression is clinically relevant in ovarian cancer, cytoplasmic and nuclear estrogen (ER) and progesterone (PR) receptor levels have been measured and their concentration calculated by Scatchard analysis. Of 89 samples from patients with non-pretreated epithelial ovarian cancer, 33% were ER-positive, PR-positive (ER+PR+) and 40% ER-negative, PR-negative (ER-PR-); 20% were ER+PR-, and 7% ER-PR+. There was no correlation between receptor status and patient age, menopausal status, or tumor grade, although serous tumors were more likely to be ER+. The incidence of PR+ tumors was highest in early disease and decreased with increasing International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage. Survival of patients with advanced disease (FIGO Stages IIC, III, or IV) was significantly prolonged by optimal initial cytoreductive surgery (P = 0.002), platinum therapy (P = 0.003), and tumor expression of PR (P = 0.009). On multivariate analysis, PR positivity was still associated with improved survival, although this did not retain statistical significance (P = 0.09).