Smoking initiation among Israeli adolescents: a 24-year time-to-event analysis

INTRODUCTION

Preventing smoking initiation will protect future generations from smoking-attributable death and disease. This study examines the correlates and patterns of initiation among Israeli youth using time-to-event analysis and other methods.

METHODS

Twenty-four consecutive representative samples (1986-2009) of new military recruits (N=50,254) were analyzed. Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis were used to identify factors associated with smoking initiation, and logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with smoking status.

RESULTS

The most hazardous age for smoking initiation was seventeen, subsequent to the mean age of smoking initiation (males: 15.7, females: 16.0). Age of initiation and age of greatest hazard for initiation declined among recruits between the years 1986 and 2009. Earlier smoking initiation among boys and girls was significantly associated with low education levels (<12years) (males: HR=2.98, CI: [2.79, 3.18]; females: HR=3.35, CI: [2.96, 3.80]), low paternal education levels, Russian birthplace, and religion. Earlier initiation in boys was associated with high fitness levels and low/medium socio-economic status. Earlier initiation in girls was associated with being Western-born and ever-use of contraception.

CONCLUSIONS

Smoking initiation among Israeli youth recruited to the armed forces is associated with individual and family characteristics, particularly low education levels. Time-to-event analysis complements traditional means of understanding smoking initiation by identifying ages at which initiation hazard is high.

Review of postoperative CT and ultrasound for endovascular aneurysm repair using Talent stent graft: can we simplify the surveillance protocol and reduce the number of CT scans?

BACKGROUND

Simplifying a postoperative surveillance protocol for endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) requires quality control comparing computerized tomography (CT) and ultrasound (US) results of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) diameter measurements and endoleaks.

PURPOSE

To test if US is comparable to CT, then assess a simplified follow-up with our conventional surveillance to assess patient safety.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

During 2001-2006, data on 56 patients treated with Talent stent graft were prospectively registered. Median follow-up was 41.5 months (range, 2-94 months), with CT, US, and plain film abdomen X-rays (PFA) at 1, 6, and 12 months, then yearly. Bland-Altman plot was used to assess the agreement between CT and US measuring the AAA diameters and mixed model by the time effect to assess the difference in diameter over time. Sensitivity and specificity for detection of endoleaks by US, with CT as 'gold standard' were calculated. A simplified surveillance protocol with US/PFA at 6 and 8 weeks, CT/US/PFA at 1 year, and yearly US/PFA thereafter, was evaluated. CT was carried out when poor visibility, endoleak detected, AAA diameter increase (≥5 mm) on US or migration (≥10 mm) on PFA. This regime was compared with our conventional follow-up protocol.

RESULTS

Diameter measurements on US appear comparable to CT with 91% specificity and 85% sensitivity for endoleaks detected by US. Using the simplified surveillance protocol no endoleaks, migrations, or endotension requiring treatment were overlooked. The simplified protocol generated 53 selective CT scans, avoiding approximately 144 CT scans. If further simplified by omitting the 1-year CT scan, one type II endoleak would be missed with a 1-year delay, eliminating a further 45 CT scans.

CONCLUSION

US appears comparable to CT in the follow-up of Talent stent grafts in our institution. The proposed simplified surveillance protocol seems safe and can lead to a significant reduction in the number of CT scans.

Are postoperative complications more common following colon and rectal surgery in patients with chronic kidney disease?

AIM

According to National Kidney Foundation guidelines, early stages of chronic kidney disease (CKD) can be detected through the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). We assessed complications following colorectal surgery (CRS) in patients with CKD Stages 3 and 4, as defined by the eGFR.

METHOD

Patients with CKD were identified within our database. Patients with an eGFR of 15-59 ml/min (CKD Stages 3 and 4) formed the CKD group and were compared with American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) score-matched controls with an eGFR of ≥ 60 ml/min. Assessments included demographics, comorbidity, ASA score, operative details and 30-day postoperative outcome.

RESULTS

Seventy patients in the CKD group were matched with 70 controls. ASA scores and length of stay did not differ significantly between the groups. CKD patients were older (mean age 76.5 years vs 71.1 years; P < 0.001) and had a lower mean body mass index (24.3 vs 28.2; P < 0.001) compared with controls. Compared with the CKD group, the mean operation time was longer in the control group (181.5 min vs 151.6 min; P = 0.02) and the estimated blood loss was greater (232 ml vs 165 ml; P = 0.004). Postoperative infection was more common in the CKD group (60%vs 40%; P = 0.01). There were no significant differences in reoperation rates, 30-day readmissions or the incidence of acute renal failure (ARF).

CONCLUSION

Patients with CKD Stages 3 and 4 had a higher incidence of postoperative infections than matched controls after colorectal surgery. ARF developed in 18.6% of patients. Preoperative optimization should include adequate hydration and assessment of potentially nephrotoxic substances for bowel preparation, preoperative antibiotics and pain control.