60 Post Inpatient Fall Medical Assessment (PIFMA) Performa Quality Improvement Project

Introduction

Inpatient falls are the most commonly reported patient safety incidents and in the United Kingdom, there are 250,000 reported falls per year 1. A rapid response report (RRR) issued in 2011 by the NPSA highlighted need for improvement in identifying fractures and neurological observations. These figures reflect significant implications to patients’ health and financial burden to the NHS.

Aims

To improve assessment and documentation of inpatient falls assessment.

Methods

Two PDSA cycles were completed. First PDSA cycle established a baseline of post fall assessment and documentation in which raising awareness and teaching (RAT) to junior doctors was done. Second PDSA cycle identified room for further improvement and post inpatient fall medical assessment (PIFMA) Performa was developed to aid assessment and documentation for use of junior doctors. Feedback regarding the usefulness of the PIFMA Performa was collected via survey.

Results

The RAT intervention involved 30 patients of the Elderly wards in November and December 2017 and the PIFMA intervention involved 29 patients in all Medical wards in January and February 2019. The PIFMA Performa improved the time taken to review patients as per doctors survey. On comparing the RAT against PIFMA Performa interventions, documentation improved in the categories of physical examination (from 80% to 97%), neurological observations (from 49% to 98%), medication review (from 53% to 83%), and measuring lying standing blood pressure (from 83% to 90%).

Conclusions

Feedback from junior doctors states that the PIFMA Performa was certainly a very useful guidance tool and help to speed up documentation. These improvements only translated if junior doctors utilize the PIFMA Performa and so this is now being implemented in the trust policy. Further PDSA cycle can reassess if improvements truly represent the population cross-section.

References

1. The incidence and costs of inpatient falls in hospitals (2017), NHS improvement.

2. National Patient Safety Agency NPSA/2011/RRR001 (13 January 2011).

107 Increased Hospitalisation Associated with Nasogastric Feeding in Advanced Dementia: Experience of A Geriatric Unit in Singapore

Introduction

Tube feeding is not recommended in persons with advanced dementia and dysphagia; it does not improve nutrition, reduce infections or mortality. In Singapore, limited data exists on the prevalence of oral versus tube feeding in persons with advanced dementia, and the alignment between the mode of administering food and fluids and a prior advanced care plan (ACP) discussion.

Methods

Retrospective review of 120 patients from January to October 2017 was conducted to examine the prevalence of oral and tube feeding in advanced dementia patients with ACP, and the alignment of the chosen mode of intake with their ACP. Outcomes include rates of readmission, pneumonia, ACP revisions and mortality at six months.

Results

42 subjects fulfilling criteria were analysed. 81.0% continued oral feeding. There was a statistically significant difference in the decision for tube insertion between oral and tube feeding groups (p=0.02), which was influenced by the ACP discussion. Concordance with ACP discussion in the tube feeding group was mixed, with 50% agreeing for tube insertion and 33.3% who were clinically guided. Surrogates made the decisions in 90.5% of the discussions.

Six-month readmission rate was 32.4% for orally-fed patients versus 75% for tube-fed patients (p=0.045). 52.9% of admissions were attributed to pneumonia. 8.8% of orally fed patients revised their ACP to opt for a trial of treatment in their own home instead of readmission to the hospital. There was no difference in 6-month mortality (p=0.123).

Conclusions

Oral feeding was continued for most advanced dementia patients. Tube feeding does not offer survival benefit or prevent aspiration at 6 months, yet is associated with increased hospitalisations. ACP discussion should be initiated earlier to provide persons with dementia the opportunity to express their preferences for the mode of food and fluid intake.

Environmental Exposures Such as Smoking and Low Vitamin D Are Predictive of Poor Outcome in Cutaneous Melanoma rather than Other Deprivation Measures

A lack of basic resources within a society (deprivation) is associated with increased cancer mortality, and this relationship has been described for melanoma. We have previously reported the association of smoking and low vitamin D levels with melanoma death. In this study, we further explored the associations of these with melanoma in addition to deprivation and socio-economic stressors. In this analysis of 2,183 population-ascertained primary cutaneous melanoma patients, clinical, demographic, and socio-economic variables were assessed as predictors of tumor thickness, melanoma death and overall death. Using the Townsend deprivation score, the most deprived group did not have thicker tumors compared to the least deprived. Of the World Health Organization 25x25 risk factors for premature death, smoking and body mass index (BMI) were independently associated with thicker tumors. Low vitamin D was also independently associated with thicker tumors. No socio-economic stressors were independent predictors of thickness. Smoking was confirmed as a key predictor of melanoma death and overall death, as were low vitamin D levels, independent of other measures of deprivation. Neither BMI nor the Townsend deprivation score were predictive in either survival analysis. We report evidence for the role of smoking, vitamin D, and BMI in melanoma progression independent of a postcode-derived measure of deprivation.

Prospects for observing and localizing gravitational-wave transients with Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA

We present our current best estimate of the plausible observing scenarios for the Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA gravitational-wave detectors over the next several years, with the intention of providing information to facilitate planning for multi-messenger astronomy with gravitational waves. We estimate the sensitivity of the network to transient gravitational-wave signals for the third (O3), fourth (O4) and fifth observing (O5) runs, including the planned upgrades of the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors. We study the capability of the network to determine the sky location of the source for gravitational-wave signals from the inspiral of binary systems of compact objects, that is binary neutron star, neutron star-black hole, and binary black hole systems. The ability to localize the sources is given as a sky-area probability, luminosity distance, and comoving volume. The median sky localization area (90% credible region) is expected to be a few hundreds of square degrees for all types of binary systems during O3 with the Advanced LIGO and Virgo (HLV) network. The median sky localization area will improve to a few tens of square degrees during O4 with the Advanced LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA (HLVK) network. During O3, the median localization volume (90% credible region) is expected to be on the order of 10 5 , 10 6 , 10 7 Mpc 3 for binary neutron star, neutron star-black hole, and binary black hole systems, respectively. The localization volume in O4 is expected to be about a factor two smaller than in O3. We predict a detection count of 1 - 1 + 12 ( 10 - 10 + 52 ) for binary neutron star mergers, of 0 - 0 + 19 ( 1 - 1 + 91 ) for neutron star-black hole mergers, and 17 - 11 + 22 ( 79 - 44 + 89 ) for binary black hole mergers in a one-calendar-year observing run of the HLV network during O3 (HLVK network during O4). We evaluate sensitivity and localization expectations for unmodeled signal searches, including the search for intermediate mass black hole binary mergers.

Longitudinal associations of active renal disease with irreversible organ damage accrual in systemic lupus erythematosus

Objective

To examine longitudinal associations of active lupus nephritis with organ damage accrual in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

Methods

This study was performed using data from a large multinational prospective cohort. Active lupus nephritis at any visit was defined by the presence of urinary casts, proteinuria, haematuria or pyuria, as indicated by the cut-offs in the SLE Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI)-2K, collected at each visit. Organ damage accrual was defined as a change of SLICC-ACR Damage Index (SDI) score >0 units between baseline and final annual visits. Renal damage accrual was defined if there was new damage recorded in renal SDI domains (estimated glomerular filtration rate <50%/proteinuria >3.5 g per 24 h/end-stage kidney disease). Time-dependent hazard regression analyses were used to examine the associations between active lupus nephritis and damage accrual.

Results

Patients ( N = 1735) were studied during 12,717 visits for a median (inter-quartile range) follow-up period of 795 (532, 1087) days. Forty per cent of patients had evidence of active lupus nephritis at least once during the study period, and active lupus nephritis was observed in 3030 (24%) visits. Forty-eight per cent of patients had organ damage at baseline and 14% accrued organ damage. Patients with active lupus nephritis were 52% more likely to accrue any organ damage compared with those without active lupus nephritis (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.52 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.16, 1.97), p < 0.02). Active lupus nephritis was strongly associated with damage accrual in renal but not in non-renal organ domains (hazard ratios = 13.0 (95% CI: 6.58, 25.5) p < 0.001 and 0.96 (95% CI: 0.69, 1.32) p = 0.8, respectively). There was no effect of ethnicity on renal damage accrual, but Asian ethnicity was significantly associated with reduced non-renal damage accrual.

Conclusion

Active lupus nephritis measured using the SLEDAI-2K domain cut-offs is associated with renal, but not non-renal, damage accrual in SLE.

Search for Subsolar Mass Ultracompact Binaries in Advanced LIGO's Second Observing Run

We present a search for subsolar mass ultracompact objects in data obtained during Advanced LIGO's second observing run. In contrast to a previous search of Advanced LIGO data from the first observing run, this search includes the effects of component spin on the gravitational waveform. We identify no viable gravitational-wave candidates consistent with subsolar mass ultracompact binaries with at least one component between 0.2  M_{⊙}-1.0  M_{⊙}. We use the null result to constrain the binary merger rate of (0.2  M_{⊙}, 0.2  M_{⊙}) binaries to be less than 3.7×10^{5}  Gpc^{-3} yr^{-1} and the binary merger rate of (1.0  M_{⊙}, 1.0  M_{⊙}) binaries to be less than 5.2×10^{3}  Gpc^{-3} yr^{-1}. Subsolar mass ultracompact objects are not expected to form via known stellar evolution channels, though it has been suggested that primordial density fluctuations or particle dark matter with cooling mechanisms and/or nuclear interactions could form black holes with subsolar masses. Assuming a particular primordial black hole (PBH) formation model, we constrain a population of merging 0.2  M_{⊙} black holes to account for less than 16% of the dark matter density and a population of merging 1.0  M_{⊙} black holes to account for less than 2% of the dark matter density. We discuss how constraints on the merger rate and dark matter fraction may be extended to arbitrary black hole population models that predict subsolar mass binaries.

P4639Plasma tissue factor coagulation activity in post-acute myocardial infarction patients

Background

Coagulation is involved in fibroproliferative responses following acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Left ventricular (LV) remodeling following AMI is closely associated with progression to heart failure.

Purpose

We aimed to evaluate the association of plasma tissue factor (TF) coagulation activity with LV remodeling prior to heart failure in post-AMI patients.

Methods

This study was conducted in 228 subjects from the Post-AMI Left Ventricular Remodeling Biomarker Analysis (PAMILA) study and 57 healthy subjects. The post-AMI patients were divided into two age- and sex-matched groups: patients with adverse LV remodeling defined as an increase in LV end systolic volume by ≥15% over 6 months and patients with reverse LV remodeling defined as an decrease in LV end systolic volume by ≥15% over 6 months. TF coagulation activity was determined using human coagulation factor Xa generation based TF chromogenic activity assay and converted into concentrations of active TF (pM). Sodium-citrate anticoagulated plasma was collected at baseline (within 3 days after revascularization), 30 days and 6 months post-AMI. Results are presented as mean±S.E.M. One-way or two-way repeated measures ANOVA or a multiple multi-level longitudinal data analysis with structural equation model was used to assess differences in coagulation activity. P<0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

Plasma from healthy subjects and post-AMI patients at baseline had similar concentrations of active TF (TFa): 29.0±1.4 versus 29.1±0.7 pM. Patients treated with warfarin (15 out of 228 patients) showed lower plasma levels of TFa (mean difference −15.2 pM, [95% CI: −18.7, −11.7], p<0.001). Compared to baseline, plasma levels of TFa in the patients was significantly lower at 30 days post-AMI (mean difference −6.9 pM, [95% CI: −4.8, −8.9], p<0.001) and 6 months post-AMI (mean difference −2.8 pM, [95% CI: −0.8, −4.8], p=0.003). Intriguingly, plasma levels of TFa tended to recover from 30 days to 6 months post-AMI (mean difference 4.1 pM, [95% CI: 2.8, 5.4], p<0.001) toward the baseline level and the level in healthy subjects. Similar trends of temporal changes of plasma TFa levels were observed in patients with adverse LV remodeling and those with reverse LV remodeling although TFa levels were slightly higher in patients with reverse LV remodeling (F(2,448)=3.112, p=0.045 for interaction). After adjusting for age, gender, ethnicity, medications, lipid profile and risk factors, the temporal changes of plasma TFa levels in patients remain significant, however, the difference between patients with adverse versus reverse LV remodeling was not significant.

Conclusion

Plasma TF coagulation activity decreased post-AMI but did not differ in patients with adverse versus reverse LV remodeling.

Acknowledgement/Funding

National University Health System Singapore (NUHS O-CRG 2016 Oct-23) to JW Wang

P2838The impact of anesthesia depth on catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies

Objectives

This meta-analysis and systematic review seeks to compare both characteristic parameters and procedural outcomes of catheter ablation in patients under GA/deep sedation and mild/moderate sedation.

Background

Catheter ablation has become a widely applied intervention for treating symptomatic AF and arrhythmias that are refractory to medical therapy. It can be conducted through from mild sedation to general anesthesia.

Methods

PubMed and Embase were searched up to July 2018 for randomized controlled trials, cohort and observational studies that assessed the outcomes of catheter ablation under GA/deep sedation or mild/moderate sedation. 12 studies were included in this meta-analysis after screening with the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Heterogeneity between studies and publication bias was evaluated by I2 index and Egger's regression, respectively.

Results

Our meta-analysis found catheter AF ablation with GA/deep sedation to be associated with reduced risk of recurrence (RR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.56 to 1.13, P=0.20) and complications (RR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.64 to 1.42, P=0.82), though statistically insignificant. In terms of procedural parameters, there was non-significant difference between the two groups when both procedural time (SMD: −0.13, 95% CI: −0.90 to 0.63, P=0.74) and fluoroscopy time (SMD: −0.41, 95% CI: −1.40 to 0.58, P=0.41) were considered. Multivariate meta-regression demonstrated hypertension as an independent moderating factor for complication risk.

Complications Comparison

Conclusion

Apart from an increased likelihood of procedural success, ablation by GA/deep sedation was found to be non-significantly different from the mild/moderate sedation approach in both procedural parameters and outcome measures.

Safety assessment of the biotechnologically produced human-identical milk oligosaccharide 3-Fucosyllactose (3-FL)

3-Fucosyllactose (3-FL), a highly abundant complex carbohydrate in human breast milk, functions as a prebiotic promoting early microbial colonization of the gut, increasing pathogen resistance and modulating immune responses. To investigate potential health benefits, 3-FL was produced by fermentation using a genetically modified E. coli K12 strain. The safety assessment of 3-FL included acute oral toxicity, in vitro and in vivo assessment of genetic toxicity, and a subchronic rodent feeding study. 3-FL was not acutely toxic at 5000 mg/kg bw, and there was no evidence of genetic toxicity in the bacterial reverse mutation test and chromosomal aberration assay. There was a repeatable statistically-significant trend in the 4-h S9-activated test conditions in the in vitro micronucleus assay; the confirmatory in vivo mouse micronucleus study was negative at all doses. Dietary subchronic exposure of rats to 3-FL (5% and 10%) did not produce any statistical or biologically-relevant differences in growth, food intake or efficiency, clinical observations, or clinical or anatomic pathology changes at average daily intakes of 5.98 and 7.27 g/kg bw/day for males and females, respectively. The weight of evidence from these studies support the safe use of 3-FL produced using biotechnology as a nutritional ingredient in foods.

C-51 Long Term Neuropsychological Follow-Up of Radiation Induced Cognitive Decline (RICD) in Cerebellar Medulloblastoma

Objective

We expanded upon an early case study suggesting long-term, sequential neurocognitive evaluation and academic interventions following pediatric cerebellar medulloblastoma. This five-year-old patient (now forty) has indeed undergone lifespan assessment and clearly benefitted from appropriate interventions to date.

Method

This left-handed, white, male is status post (s/p) gross total resection and whole brain radiation. In adulthood, he developed radiation necrosis with hemorrhage and refractory seizures (s/p right temporal lobectomy). More recently, radiation induced bilateral parietal meningiomas were identified (s/p gamma knife).

Results

We analyzed cognitive, medical/oncological, imaging and interventional data at developmentally meaningful time points and found consistent declines in intellectual skills and cognitive function spanning attention/concentration, processing speed, visual perceptual/organization and visually based learning/memory; however, we noted stabilization and even improvement in important areas. Areas of age-appropriate functioning were noted in expressive vocabulary, verbal abstract reasoning, delayed verbal memory, and problem-solving, among others.

Conclusions

Although some studies have addressed long-term outcomes in pediatric medulloblastoma, we provide a unique perspective to the literature by documenting serial neurocognitive findings in addition to interventions across the lifespan. Our findings suggest that appropriate academic interventions/neurocognitive rehabilitation strategies are in fact meaningful at the individual level and propose that a focus on strengths can improve outcomes. We propose that this previously recommended model of assessment/intervention truly become the available standard of care in all pediatric oncologic populations.

A comparison of four risk models for the prediction of cardiovascular complications in patients with a history of atrial fibrillation undergoing non-cardiac surgery

It is unclear how best to predict peri-operative cardiovascular risk in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing non-cardiac surgery. This study examined the accuracy of the revised cardiac risk index and three atrial fibrillation thrombo-embolic risk models for predicting 30-day cardiovascular events after non-cardiac surgery in patients with a pre-operative history of atrial fibrillation. We conducted a prospective cohort study in 28 centres from 2007 to 2013 of 40,004 patients ≥ 45 years of age undergoing inpatient non-cardiac surgery who were followed until 30 days after surgery for cardiovascular events (defined as myocardial injury, heart failure, stroke, resuscitated cardiac arrest or cardiovascular death). The 2088 patients with a pre-operative history of atrial fibrillation were at higher risk of peri-operative cardiovascular events compared with the 34,830 patients without a history of atrial fibrillation (29% vs. 13%, respectively, adjusted odds ratio 1.30 (95%CI 1.17-1.45). Compared with the revised cardiac risk index (c-index 0.60), all atrial fibrillation thrombo-embolic risk scores were significantly better at predicting peri-operative cardiovascular events: CHADS₂ (c-index 0.62); CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc (c-index 0.63); and R₂ CHADS₂ (c-index 0.65), respectively. Although the three thrombo-embolic risk prediction models were significantly better than the revised cardiac risk index for prediction of peri-operative cardiovascular events, none of the four models exhibited strong discrimination metrics. There remains a need to develop a better peri-operative risk prediction model.

Tests of General Relativity with GW170817

The recent discovery by Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo of a gravitational wave signal from a binary neutron star inspiral has enabled tests of general relativity (GR) with this new type of source. This source, for the first time, permits tests of strong-field dynamics of compact binaries in the presence of matter. In this Letter, we place constraints on the dipole radiation and possible deviations from GR in the post-Newtonian coefficients that govern the inspiral regime. Bounds on modified dispersion of gravitational waves are obtained; in combination with information from the observed electromagnetic counterpart we can also constrain effects due to large extra dimensions. Finally, the polarization content of the gravitational wave signal is studied. The results of all tests performed here show good agreement with GR.