Quantitative weight of evidence method for combining predictions of quantitative structure-activity relationship models

A method for combining statistical-based QSAR predictions of two or more binary classification models is presented. It was assumed that all models were independent. This facilitated the combination of positive and negative predictions using a quantitative weight of evidence (qWoE) procedure based on Bayesian statistics and the additivity of the logarithms of the likelihood ratios. Previous studies combined more than one prediction but used arbitrary strengths for positive and negative predictions. In our approach, the combined models were validated by determining the sensitivity and specificity values, which are performance metrics that are a point of departure for obtaining values that measure the weight of evidence of positive and negative predictions. The developed method was experimentally applied in the prediction of Ames mutagenicity. The method achieved a similar accuracy to that of the experimental Ames test for this endpoint when the overall prediction was determined using a combination of the individual predictions of more than one model. Calculating the qWoE value would reduce the requirement for expert knowledge and decrease the subjectivity of the prediction. This method could be applied to other endpoints such as developmental toxicity and skin sensitisation with binary classification models.

Nationwide survey on training and device utilization during tracheal intubation in French intensive care units

Background

Intubation is a lifesaving procedure that is often performed in intensive care unit (ICU) patients, but leads to serious adverse events in 20–40% of cases. Recent trials aimed to provide guidance about which medications, devices, and modalities maximize patient safety. Videolaryngoscopes are being offered in an increasing range of options and used in broadening indications (from difficult to unremarkable intubation). The objective of this study was to describe intubation practices and device availability in French ICUs.

Materials and methods

We conducted an online nationwide survey by emailing an anonymous 26-item questionnaire to physicians in French ICUs. A single questionnaire was sent to either the head or the intubation expert at each ICU.

Results

Of 257 ICUs, 180 (70%) returned the completed questionnaire. The results showed that 43% of intubators were not fully proficient in intubation; among them, 18.8% had no intubation training or had received only basic training (lectures and observation at the bedside). Among the participating ICUs, 94.4% had a difficult intubation trolley, 74.5% an intubation protocol, 92.2% a capnography device (used routinely to check tube position in 69.3% of ICUs having the device), 91.6% a laryngeal mask, 97.2% front-of-neck access capabilities, and 76.6% a videolaryngoscope. In case of difficult intubation, 85.6% of ICUs used a bougie (154/180) and 7.8% switched to a videolaryngoscope (14/180). Use of a videolaryngoscope was reserved for difficult intubation in 84% of ICUs (154/180). Having a videolaryngoscope was significantly associated with having an intubation protocol (P = 0.043) and using capnography (P = 0.02). Airtraq^® was the most often used videolaryngoscope (39.3%), followed by McGrath^®Mac (36.9%) then by Glidescope^® (14.5%).

Conclusion

Nearly half the intubators in French ICUs are not fully proficient with OTI. Access to modern training methods such as simulation is inadequate. Most ICUs own a videolaryngoscope, but reserve it for difficult intubations.

D-dimer levels and risk of recurrence following provoked venous thromboembolism: findings from the RIETE registry

BACKGROUND

Patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) secondary to transient risk factors may develop VTE recurrences after discontinuing anticoagulation. Identifying at-risk patients could help to guide the duration of therapy.

METHODS

We used the RIETE database to assess the prognostic value of d-dimer testing after discontinuing anticoagulation to identify patients at increased risk for recurrences. Transient risk factors were classified as major (postoperative) or minor (pregnancy, oestrogen use, immobilization or recent travel).

RESULTS

In December 2018, 1655 VTE patients with transient risk factors (major 460, minor 1195) underwent d-dimer measurements after discontinuing anticoagulation. Amongst patients with major risk factors, the recurrence rate was 5.74 (95% CI: 3.19-9.57) events per 100 patient-years in those with raised d-dimer levels and 2.68 (95% CI: 1.45-4.56) in those with normal levels. Amongst patients with minor risk factors, the rates were 7.79 (95% CI: 5.71-10.4) and 3.34 (95% CI: 2.39-4.53), respectively. Patients with major risk factors and raised d-dimer levels (n = 171) had a nonsignificantly higher rate of recurrences (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.14; 95% CI: 0.96-4.79) than those with normal levels. Patients with minor risk factors and raised d-dimer levels (n = 382) had a higher rate of recurrences (HR: 2.34; 95% CI: 1.51-3.63) than those with normal levels. On multivariate analysis, raised d-dimers (HR: 1.74; 95% CI: 1.09-2.77) were associated with an increased risk for recurrences in patients with minor risk factors, not in those with major risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with raised d-dimer levels after discontinuing anticoagulant therapy for VTE provoked by a minor transient risk factor were at an increased risk for recurrences.

Can environmental contamination be explained by particular traits associated with patients?

BACKGROUND

Little is known about patient risk factors associated with environmental contamination.

AIM

To evaluate the rate of environmental contamination and to investigate individual risk factors.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study was conducted. Each day, five rooms occupied by patients were selected. Five critical surfaces were systematically swabbed twice a day before and after cleaning. Clinical characteristics of all patients were collected. Logisitic regression was performed to evaluate the association between environmental contamination and patients' characteristics.

FINDINGS

A total of 107 consecutive patients were included and 1052 environmental samples were performed. Nineteen (18%) patients were known previously colonized/infected with a multidrug-resistant organism (MDRO). Respectively, 723 (69%) and 112 (11%) samples grew with ≥1 and >2.5 cfu/cm² bacteria, resulting in 62 (58%) contaminated rooms. Considering positive samples with at least one pathogenic bacterium, 16 (15%) rooms were contaminated. By univariate and multivariate analysis, no variables analysed were associated with the environmental contamination. Considering contaminated rooms with >2.5 cfu/cm², three factors were protective for environmental contamination: known MDRO carriers/infected patients (odds ratio: 0.25; 95% confidence interval: 0.09-0.72; P = 0.01), patients with urinary catheter (0.19; 0.04-0.89; P = 0.03) and hospitalization in single room (0.3; 0.15-0.6; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

This study was conducted in a non-outbreak situation and showed a low rate of environmental contamination with pathogenic bacteria. Only 11% of environmental samples grew with >2.5 cfu/cm², and they were related to non-pathogenic bacteria. No risk factors associated with environmental contamination were identified.

Bulk and grain boundary Li-diffusion in dense LiMn2O4 pellets by means of isotope exchange and ToF-SIMS analysis

Lithium diffusion in LiMn₂O₄ pellets is studied by means of isotope exchange and Time-of-Flight Secondary Ion Mass Spectrometry (ToF-SIMS). A ⁶Li-enriched film deposited by Pulsed Laser Deposition (PLD) on a dense LiMn₂O₄ pellet with natural abundance of lithium isotopes is used to study the tracer diffusion of lithium. The measured profiles are analyzed by numerical models describing the ⁶Li tracer diffusion from the film into the pellet. Experiments in the Harrison type B regime of diffusion kinetics allow for the distinction and simultaneous determination of bulk and grain boundary diffusion coefficients. Changing the experimental conditions to reach Harrison type A behavior yields effective diffusion coefficients for lithium tracer diffusion in LiMn₂O₄. Activation energies for bulk and grain boundary diffusion were obtained from experiments at different temperatures. Our values are critically compared to previous studies.

Impact of palbociclib plus letrozole on patient-reported health-related quality of life: results from the PALOMA-2 trial

Background

Patient-reported outcomes are integral in benefit-risk assessments of new treatment regimens. The PALOMA-2 study provides the largest body of evidence for patient-reported health-related quality of life (QOL) for patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) receiving first-line endocrine-based therapy (palbociclib plus letrozole and letrozole alone).

Patients and methods

Treatment-naïve postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor-positive (ER+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) MBC were randomized 2 : 1 to palbociclib plus letrozole (n = 444) or placebo plus letrozole (n = 222). Patient-reported outcomes were assessed at baseline, day 1 of cycles 2 and 3, and day 1 of every other cycle from cycle 5 using the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy (FACT)-Breast and EuroQOL 5 dimensions (EQ-5D) questionnaires.

Results

As of 26 February 2016, the median duration of follow-up was 23 months. Baseline scores were comparable between the two treatment arms. No significant between-arm differences were observed in change from baseline in FACT-Breast Total, FACT-General Total, or EQ-5D scores. Significantly greater improvement in pain scores was observed in the palbociclib plus letrozole arm (-0.256 versus -0.098; P = 0.0183). In both arms, deterioration of FACT-Breast Total score was significantly delayed in patients without progression versus those with progression and patients with partial or complete response versus those without. No significant difference was observed in FACT-Breast and EQ-5D index scores in patients with and without neutropenia.

Conclusions

Overall, women with MBC receiving first-line endocrine therapy have a good QOL. The addition of palbociclib to letrozole maintains health-related QOL and improves pain scores in treatment-naïve postmenopausal patients with ER+/HER2- MBC compared with letrozole alone. Significantly greater delay in deterioration of health-related QOL was observed in patients without progression versus those who progressed and in patients with an objective response versus non-responders. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01740427 (https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01740427).

[Inflammatory myopathy following acute meningoccemia in a properdin-deficient patient: A case report]

INTRODUCTION

Myalgia is a classical sign in invasive meningococcal diseases (IMD), but severe and persistent myalgia following an IMD have never been reported to date.

CASE REPORT

A 20-year-old man presented with purpura fulminans and meningitis caused by Neisseria meningitidis serogroup Y, revealing properdin deficiency. Although meningitis symptoms improved after antibiotherapy, initial myalgia of the lower limbs increased, associated with mild rhabdomyolysis. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) revealed an increased STIR (Short TI inversion recovery) signal of both quadriceps muscles, without abscess. After exclusion of other causes of myopathy, a post-infectious myositis was diagnosed. A four-week course of corticosteroids led to dramatic improvement.

CONCLUSION

Post-infectious inflammatory myopathy should be suspected in case of severe and persistent myalgia associated with rhabdomyolysis following an IMD, after exclusion of pyomyositis especially. A short course of corticosteroids seems to be effective.

Situation, challenges, and SEOM recommendations for the future of undergraduate education in Oncology in Spain

PURPOSE

The Spanish Society of Medical Oncology (SEOM, for its Spanish acronym) would like to attest to the relevance of training in Oncology as part of the undergraduate education in Medicine program and issue recommendations to improve said training, with the aim of responding better to the challenges that cancer poses to our society.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The curricula of 42 schools of medicine were reviewed with interviews with at least one teaching medical oncologist from each faculty. The qualitative and opinion analysis was completed by means of an online questionnaire targeting lecturers, resident tutors, and residents in Medical Oncology (MO), enabling the detection of needs and areas for improvement at an organizational level and in terms of skill acquisition.

RESULTS

While the number of medical schools with a specific, mandatory program in MO has grown by up to 90%, it has not been accompanied by an increase in independent programs. Instead, they largely consist of programs shared with other specialties (61% of the medical faculties). In most of the undergraduate education programs, Oncology contents are fragmented and approached from the perspective of each organ system.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the positive evolution in recent years, the heterogeneity in Oncology contents during undergraduate education training continues to be remarkable. Cross-sectional programs with an integral vision, taught in the final years of undergraduate medical education would be desirable. Among the recommendations for improvement of training in Medical Oncology, the SEOM proposes that updated, theoretical content be incorporated and clinical practice in Medical Oncology departments be promoted.

Randomised phase III trial of vinflunine plus capecitabine versus capecitabine alone in patients with advanced breast cancer previously treated with an anthracycline and resistant to taxane

Background

Capecitabine is an approved standard therapy for anthracycline- and taxane-pretreated locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer (BC). Vinflunine has demonstrated single-agent activity in phase II studies in this setting and activity and tolerability when combined with capecitabine. We compared the combination of vinflunine plus capecitabine (VC) with single-agent capecitabine.

Patients and methods

Patients with locally recurrent/metastatic BC previously treated or resistant to an anthracycline and resistant to taxane therapy were randomly assigned to either vinflunine (280 mg/m2, day 1) plus oral capecitabine [825 mg/m2 twice daily (b.i.d.), days 1-14] every 3 weeks (q3w) or single-agent oral capecitabine (1250 mg/m2 b.i.d., days 1-14) q3w. The primary end point was progression-free survival (PFS) assessed by an independent review committee. The study had 90% power to detect a 30% improvement in PFS.

Results

Overall, 770 patients were randomised. PFS was significantly longer with VC than with capecitabine alone [hazard ratio, 0.84, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.71-0.99; log-rank P = 0.043; median 5.6 versus 4.3 months, respectively]. Median overall survival was 13.9 versus 11.7 months with VC versus capecitabine alone, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.83-1.15; log-rank P = 0.77). No difference in quality of life was observed between the two treatment arms. The most common adverse events (NCI CTCAE version 3.0) in the combination arm were haematological and gastrointestinal. Grade 4 neutropenia was more frequent with VC (12% versus 1% with capecitabine alone); febrile neutropenia occurred in 2% versus 0.5%, respectively. Hand-foot syndrome was less frequent with VC (grade 3: 4% versus 19% for capecitabine alone). Peripheral neuropathy was uncommon in both arms (grade 3: 1% versus 0.3%).

Conclusions

Vinflunine combined with capecitabine demonstrated a modest improvement in PFS and an acceptable safety profile compared with capecitabine alone in patients with anthracycline- and taxane-pretreated locally recurrent/metastatic BC.

ClinicalTrials.gov

NCT01095003.

Influence of permafrost, rock and ice glaciers on chemistry of high-elevation ponds (NW Italian Alps)

Permafrost degradation, rock-glacier thawing, and glacier retreat are influencing surface water quality at high elevations. However, there is a lack of knowledge on the dominant geochemical reactions occurring in different cryospheric conditions and how these reactions change during the ice-free season. In the Col d'Olen area (LTER site, NW Italian Alps), four ponds with similar sizes, located in basins with different cryospheric features (glacier, permafrost, rock glacier, none of these), are present in a geographically limited area. All ponds were sampled weekly in 2015 and partially in 2014. Major ions, selected trace elements, and biotic parameters (dissolved organic carbon-DOC, fluorescence index-FI, and nitrate) are examined to evidence the effect of different cryospheric features on water characteristics. Where cryospheric conditions occur chemical weathering is more intensive, with strong seasonal increase of major ions. Sulphide oxidation dominates in glacier and permafrost lying on acid rocks, probably driven by enhanced weathering of freshly exposed rocks in subglacial environment and recently deglaciated areas, and active layer thickness increase. Differently, carbonation dominates for the rock glacier lying on ultramafic rocks. There, high Ni concentrations originate from dissolution of Mg-bearing rocks in the landform. In all settings, pH neutralisation occurs because of the presence of secondary carbonate lithology and ultramafic rocks. Nitrate highest concentrations and changes occur in cryospheric settings while DOC and FI do not show strong differences and seasonal variations. The establishment of more frequent monitoring for water quality in high-elevated surface waters is necessary to provide greater statistical power to detect changes on longer time scales.

Prokaryotic Diversity and Distribution in Different Habitats of an Alpine Rock Glacier-Pond System

Rock glaciers (RG) are assumed to influence the biogeochemistry of downstream ecosystems because of the high ratio of rock:water in those systems, but no studies have considered the effects of a RG inflow on the microbial ecology of sediments in a downstream pond. An alpine RG-pond system, located in the NW Italian Alps has been chosen as a model, and Bacteria and Archaea 16S rRNA genes abundance, distribution and diversity have been assessed by qPCR and Illumina sequencing, coupled with geochemical analyses on sediments collected along a distance gradient from the RG inflow. RG surface material and neighbouring soil have been included in the analysis to better elucidate relationships among different habitats.Our results showed that different habitats harboured different, well-separated microbial assemblages. Across the pond, the main variations in community composition (e.g. Thaumarchaeota and Cyanobacteria relative abundance) and porewater geochemistry (pH, DOC, TDN and NH₄⁺) were not directly linked to RG proximity, but to differences in water depth. Some microbial markers potentially linked to the presence of meltwater inputs from the RG have been recognised, although the RG seems to have a greater influence on the pond microbial communities due to its contribution in terms of sedimentary material.

Abaloparatide for risk reduction of nonvertebral and vertebral fractures in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis: a network meta-analysis

This network meta-analysis assessed the efficacy of abaloparatide versus other treatment options to reduce the risk of fractures in women with postmenopausal osteoporosis. The analysis indicates that abaloparatide reduces the risk of fractures in women with postmenopausal osteoporosis versus placebo and compared with other treatment options.

INTRODUCTION

This network meta-analysis (NMA) assessed the relative efficacy of abaloparatide versus other treatments to reduce the risk of fractures in women with postmenopausal osteoporosis (PMO).

METHODS

PubMed®, Embase®, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched for randomized controlled trials published before December 20, 2017, that included women with PMO who were eligible to receive interventions for primary or secondary fracture prevention. The NMA was conducted by fracture site (vertebral [VF], nonvertebral [NVF], and wrist), with the relative risk (RR) of fracture versus placebo the main clinical endpoint. The NMA used fixed-effects and random-effects approaches.

RESULTS

A total of 4978 articles were screened, of which 22 were included in the analysis. Compared with other treatments, abaloparatide demonstrated the greatest treatment effect relative to placebo in the VF network (RR = 0.13; 95% credible interval [CrI] 0.04-0.34), the NVF network (RR = 0.50; 95% CrI 0.28-0.85), and the wrist fracture network (RR = 0.39; CrI 0.15-0.90). Treatment ranking showed that abaloparatide had the highest estimated probability of preventing fractures in each of the networks (79% for VF, 70% for NVF, and 53% for wrist fracture) compared with other treatments. Individual networks demonstrated a good level of agreement with direct trial evidence and direct pair-wise comparisons.

CONCLUSIONS

This NMA indicates that abaloparatide reduces the RR of VF, NVF, and wrist fracture in women with PMO with or without prior fracture versus placebo, compared with other treatment options. Limitations include that adverse events and drug costs were not considered, and that generalizability is limited to the trial populations and endpoints included in the NMA.

Breast cancer PAM50 signature: correlation and concordance between RNA-Seq and digital multiplexed gene expression technologies in a triple negative breast cancer series

Background

Full RNA-Seq is a fundamental research tool for whole transcriptome analysis. However, it is too costly and time consuming to be used in routine clinical practice. We evaluated the transcript quantification agreement between RNA-Seq and a digital multiplexed gene expression platform, and the subtype call after running the PAM50 assay in a series of breast cancer patients classified as triple negative by IHC/FISH. The goal of this study is to analyze the concordance between both expression platforms overall, and for calling PAM50 triple negative breast cancer intrinsic subtypes in particular.

Results

The analyses were performed in paraffin-embedded tissues from 96 patients recruited in a multicenter, prospective, non-randomized neoadjuvant triple negative breast cancer trial (NCT01560663). Pre-treatment core biopsies were obtained following clinical practice guidelines and conserved as FFPE for further RNA extraction. PAM50 was performed on both digital multiplexed gene expression and RNA-Seq platforms. Subtype assignment was based on the nearest centroid classification following this procedure for both platforms and it was concordant on 96% of the cases (N = 96). In four cases, digital multiplexed gene expression analysis and RNA-Seq were discordant. The Spearman correlation to each of the centroids and the risk of recurrence were above 0.89 in both platforms while the agreement on Proliferation Score reached up to 0.97. In addition, 82% of the individual PAM50 genes showed a correlation coefficient > 0.80.

Conclusions

In our analysis, the subtype calling in most of the samples was concordant in both platforms and the potential discordances had reduced clinical implications in terms of prognosis. If speed and cost are the main driving forces then the preferred technique is the digital multiplexed platform, while if whole genome patterns and subtype are the driving forces, then RNA-Seq is the preferred method.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12864-019-5849-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Clinical considerations of the role of palbociclib in the management of advanced breast cancer patients with and without visceral metastases

Background

This report assesses the efficacy and safety of palbociclib plus endocrine therapy (ET) in women with hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer (ABC) with or without visceral metastases.

Patients and methods

Pre- and postmenopausal women with disease progression following prior ET (PALOMA-3; N = 521) and postmenopausal women untreated for ABC (PALOMA-2; N = 666) were randomized 2 : 1 to ET (fulvestrant or letrozole, respectively) plus palbociclib or placebo. Progression-free survival (PFS), safety, and patient-reported quality of life (QoL) were evaluated by prior treatment and visceral involvement.

Results

Visceral metastases incidence was higher in patients with prior resistance to ET (58.3%, PALOMA-3) than in patients naive to ET in the ABC setting (48.6%, PALOMA-2). In patients with prior resistance to ET and visceral metastases, median PFS (mPFS) was 9.2 months with palbociclib plus fulvestrant versus 3.4 months with placebo plus fulvestrant [hazard ratio (HR), 0.47; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.35–0.61], and objective response rate (ORR) was 28.0% versus 6.7%, respectively. In patients with nonvisceral metastases, mPFS was 16.6 versus 7.3 months, HR 0.53; 95% CI 0.36–0.77. In patients with visceral disease and naive to ET in the advanced disease setting, mPFS was 19.3 months with palbociclib plus letrozole versus 12.9 months with placebo plus letrozole (HR 0.63; 95% CI 0.47–0.85); ORR was 55.1% versus 40.0%; in patients with nonvisceral disease, mPFS was not reached with palbociclib plus letrozole versus 16.8 months with placebo plus letrozole (HR 0.50; 95% CI 0.36–0.70). In patients with prior resistance to ET with visceral metastases, palbociclib plus fulvestrant significantly delayed deterioration of QoL versus placebo plus fulvestrant, whereas patient-reported QoL was maintained with palbociclib plus letrozole in patients naive to endocrine-based therapy for ABC.

Conclusions

Palbociclib plus ET prolonged mPFS in patients with visceral metastases, increased ORRs, and in patients previously treated for ABC, delayed QoL deterioration, presenting a standard treatment option among patients with visceral metastases amenable to endocrine-based therapy.

Clinical trial registration

NCT01942135, NCT01740427

First Measurement of Charm Production in its Fixed-Target Configuration at the LHC

The first measurement of heavy-flavor production by the LHCb experiment in its fixed-target mode is presented. The production of J/ψ and D^{0} mesons is studied with beams of protons of different energies colliding with gaseous targets of helium and argon with nucleon-nucleon center-of-mass energies of sqrt[s_{NN}]=86.6 and 110.4 GeV, respectively. The J/ψ and D^{0} production cross sections in pHe collisions in the rapidity range [2, 4.6] are found to be σ_{J/ψ}=652±33(stat)±42(syst)   nb/nucleon and σ_{D^{0}}=80.8±2.4(stat)±6.3(syst)  μb/nucleon, where the first uncertainty is statistical and the second is systematic. No evidence for a substantial intrinsic charm content of the nucleon is observed in the large Bjorken-x region.

Effects of neratinib on health-related quality of life in women with HER2-positive early-stage breast cancer: longitudinal analyses from the randomized phase III ExteNET trial

BACKGROUND

We report longitudinal health-related quality-of-life (HRQoL) data from the international, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase III ExteNET study, which demonstrated an invasive disease-free survival benefit of extended adjuvant therapy with neratinib over placebo in human epidermal growth factor receptor-2-positive early-stage breast cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Women (N  = 2840) with early-stage HER2-positive breast cancer who had completed trastuzumab-based adjuvant therapy were randomly assigned to neratinib 240  mg/day or placebo for 12  months. HRQoL was an exploratory end point. Patients completed the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Breast (FACT-B) and EuroQol 5-Dimensions (EQ-5D) questionnaires at baseline and months 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12. Changes from baseline were compared using analysis of covariance with no imputation for missing values. Sensitivity analyses used alternative methods. Changes in HRQoL scores were regarded as clinically meaningful if they exceeded previously reported important differences (IDs).

RESULTS

Of the 2840 patients (intention-to-treat population), 2407 patients were evaluable for FACT-B (neratinib, N  = 1171; placebo, N  = 1236) and 2427 patients for EQ-5D (neratinib, N  = 1186; placebo, N  = 1241). Questionnaire completion rates exceeded 85%. Neratinib was associated with a decrease in global HRQoL scores at month 1 compared with placebo (adjusted mean differences: FACT-B total, -2.9 points; EQ-5D index, -0.02), after which between-group differences diminished at later time-points. Except for the FACT-B physical well-being (PWB) subscale at month 1; all between-group differences were less than reported IDs. The FACT-B breast cancer-specific subscale showed small improvements with neratinib at months 3-9, but all were less than IDs. Sensitivity analyses exploring missing data did not change the results.

CONCLUSIONS

Extended adjuvant neratinib was associated with a transient, reversible decrease in HRQoL during the first month of treatment, possibly linked to treatment-related diarrhea. With the exception of the PWB subscale at month 1, all neratinib-related HRQoL changes did not reach clinically meaningful thresholds. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT00878709.

[Hereditary diffuse gastric cancer : case serie of 8 patients from a single family and literature review]

Hereditary diffuse gastric cancer is a form of gastric cancer associated, in about 40 % of cases, with a germline mutation of the CDH1 gene. The management of patients with a pathogenic mutation of this gene is based on total prophylactic gastrectomy because, until proven otherwise, endoscopic monitoring is insufficient. We report a series of eight patients with pathogenic CDH1 mutation who underwent total prophylactic gastrectomy in our centre.

Abstract P6-18-16: Ribociclib (RIBO) + letrozole (LET) in older patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor-2–negative (HER2–) advanced breast cancer (ABC): Preliminary subgroup results from the phase 3b CompLEEment-1 trial

Background: The cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK)4/6 inhibitor RIBO is approved in combination with an aromatase inhibitor (AI) for HR+, HER2– ABC in postmenopausal women with no prior therapy for ABC, based on the MONALEESA-2 trial (Hortobagyi et al. NEJM 2016). Although a high proportion of patients with HR+, HER2– ABC are &gt;65 years of age, older patients are often under-represented in clinical trials. Furthermore, treatment decisions may be complicated by comorbidities, functional status, and concurrent medications. Here, we report early safety results for patients ≥65 years of age enrolled in CompLEEment-1, an open-label, phase 3b trial evaluating RIBO+LET as first-line endocrine-based therapy in an expanded patient population.

Methods: Patients with HR+, HER2– ABC, ≤1 line of prior chemotherapy (CT), and no prior endocrine therapy for ABC received RIBO (600 mg/day, 3 weeks on/1 week off) + LET (2.5 mg/day); men and premenopausal women received concomitant goserelin (3.6-mg subcutaneous implant every 28 days). The primary outcome was safety and tolerability. A pre-planned interim analysis was conducted ˜15 months after first patient first visit.

Results: Of the first 1,008 patients enrolled who completed 56 days of follow-up or discontinued before the data cut-off date, 377 were ≥65 years of age. Of these, 157 (41.6%) were 65-&lt;70 years, 107 (28.4%) were 70-&lt;75 years, and 113 (30%) were ≥75 years. The majority of patients (94.4%) had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ≤1; 33.2% presented with stage IV disease at diagnosis; 9 patients were male. The most common sites of metastasis were bone (70.0%), lung (44.8%), and lymph nodes (29.7%). The most common all-grade adverse events (AEs) were neutropenia (58.4%), nausea (31.8%), and fatigue (24.1%). The most common grade 3/4 AEs were neutropenia (37.7%) and alanine aminotransferase increase (4.2%). QT prolongation events were mild (majority grade 1/2) and occurred in 6.1% of patients (0.5% grade 3/4). Dose reduction or interruption due to AEs occurred in 54.5% of patients; 6.9% of patients had AEs leading to treatment discontinuation. In the overall patient population, the most frequent grade 3/4 AEs were neutropenia (42.8%), leukopenia (3.4%), and increased alanine aminotransferase (2.9%); QT prolongation occurred in 5.4% of patients (0.5% grade 3/4).

Conclusions: Initial safety results from CompLEEment-1, from the first 56 days of follow-up, demonstrate the tolerability of RIBO+LET in older patients, consistent with the overall patient population. NCT02941926.

Citation Format: Ring A, Borstnar S, Ferreira A, Azim HA, Cottu P, Lu J, Martin M, Zamagni C, Beck JT, Zhou K, Wu J, Menon L, De Laurentiis M. Ribociclib (RIBO) + letrozole (LET) in older patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor-2–negative (HER2–) advanced breast cancer (ABC): Preliminary subgroup results from the phase 3b CompLEEment-1 trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P6-18-16.

Abstract P2-07-05: A clinical calculator to predict disease outcomes in women with hormone receptor-positive advanced stage breast cancer treated with first-line endocrine therapy

Purpose: Endocrine based therapy is an effective strategy to manage hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2-) advanced breast cancer (ABC). However, nearly all patients exhibit/develop either de novo or acquired resistance. While prognostic biomarkers of endocrine responsiveness are well established for the adjuvant treatment in ER+ breast cancer, less is known regarding prognostic and predictive biomarkers of response in the first line ABC setting. We sought to develop a clinical calculator based on clinical criteria for predicting progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of women with HR+/HER2- ABC who will be receiving endocrine monotherapy as first-line treatment for ABC.

Methods: The development of the clinical calculator will be based on data from modern clinical trials in women with HR+/HER2- ABC. The studies to be included in the final analyses are given in Table 1. The control arm data from trials1-6 will form the training dataset (N = 1,223) and be used to construct the clinical prediction models. Variables considered include age, race, ECOG status, disease measurability, body mass index, disease-free interval, number of metastatic sites, locations of metastatic sites, prior endocrine therapy, and prior chemotherapy. Missing values will be imputed using single imputation with all variables included in the imputation model. For continuous variables, restricted cubic splines will be used to determine if non-linear effects may be more appropriate. The Lasso regression will be used as a variable selection technique to reduce the dimensionality of covariates; initially all pairwise interactions will be included in the model. Following Lasso regression, the multivariable Cox proportional hazards models will be constructed for PFS and OS including only variables retained in Lasso. The final model will be internally validated for discrimination and calibration using 10-fold cross-validation. External validation will be performed using control arm data from EGF 30008 (N = 536).

Results: To date, control arm data from four trials (trials 1-4) have been received. The preliminary results presented here are based on pooled data from C40503 and LEA, for which data elements have been harmonized. Models for predicting PFS and OS have good calibration and are associated with bias-corrected C-indices of 0.61 and 0.65, respectively. These models will be updated using pooled data from trials 1-6.

Conclusions: Our preliminary data demonstrate that clinical calculators based on baseline clinical factors can provide accurate prediction of PFS and OS in patients with HR+/HER2- ABC treated with first-line ET. If validated, these tools may be used for risk stratification in future clinical trials and to identify patients who may require more or less aggressive therapy.

Table 1:Studies to be includedTrial NumberTrial NameTrial PISample Size in Control Arm1C40503Maura Dickler152 (letrozole)2LEAMiguel Martin179 (letrozole)3FACTJonas Bergh188 (anastrozole)4FALCONJohn Robertson194 (anastrozole)5S0226Rita Mehta345 (anastrozole)6MONARCH 3Matthew Goetz165 (nonsteroidal AI)7EGF 30008Stephen Johnston536 (letrozole)

Citation Format: Polley M-YC, Dickler MN, Johnston S, Goetz MP, de la Haba J, Loibl S, Mehta RS, Bergh J, Roberston J, Barlow W, Liu H, Tenner K, Martin M. A clinical calculator to predict disease outcomes in women with hormone receptor-positive advanced stage breast cancer treated with first-line endocrine therapy [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-07-05.

Abstract P6-18-17: Ribociclib + letrozole in patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2–) advanced breast cancer (aBC) with no prior endocrine therapy (ET) for ABC: CompLEEment-1 trial, preliminary results from Spanish population

Background: The phase III Monaleesa-2, Monaleesa-3 and Monaleesa-7 trials have shown significantly improved PFS for the combination ribociclib + ET vs ET + placebo in pre-, peri-, and postmenopausal women with HR+/HER2–, first and second line aBC. The Compleement-1 trial is a phase IIIb, single-arm, open-label, international study to assess the safety and efficacy of ribociclib + letrozole in men and women who have not received prior ET for HR+, HER2– ABC [J Clin Oncol 36, 2018 (suppl; abstr 1056)].

Methods: 526 patients with HR+, HER2– ABC, ≤1 line of prior CT, and no prior ET for aBC were enrolled in the Compleement-1trial in Spain from April 2017 to January 2018. Patients received ribociclib (600 mg/day, 3 weeks on/1 week off) + letrozole (2.5 mg/day); men and premenopausal women received concomitant goserelin (3.6 mg subcutaneous implant every 28 days). The primary objective was safety and tolerability. Here we report on a sub-analysis from the Spanish population of Compleement-1 trial including baseline characteristics and early safety results for the first patients enrolled who completed at least 56 days of follow-up or discontinued before the cut-off date (3rd Oct 2017).

Results: One hundred fifty four patients constituted the analytical cohort for this sub-analysis. Demographics and baseline characteristics: median age was 52 years (range 24-82); 1% of patients were male, 31.8% female pre-menopausal and 67.5% female post-menopausal; 44.2% vs 38.3% of patients had visceral disease vs bone only disease; 49.9% patients had ≥2 metastatic sites; and 34.4% of patients presented as de novo stage IV. The median exposure for study treatment was 1.8 months (range 0.8-1.8). The grade 3/4 events reported &gt;1% included neutropenia (50%), increased GGT levels (3.2%), leukopenia (1.3%), and increased ALT (1.3%). QTcF prolongation &gt;480ms based on ECG data was reported in 1.2% patients. Median dose intensity for ribociclib was 600mg/day (range 476.5-600); 11% of patients required one dose reduction (8.4% due to AEs), 59.7% had at least one dose interruption (57.1% due to AEs) and 9.7% were permanently discontinued (4.5% due to AEs).

Conclusions: Preliminary safety results from this Compleement-1 sub-analysis including Spanish population are consistent with previous data presented from Monaleesa-2, Monaleesa-3, Monaleesa-7 and Compleement-1. These data support the predictable and manageable safety profile of ribociclib in combination with letrozole. Clinical trial information: NCT02941926

Citation Format: Salvador J, Ciruelos EM, Prat A, Jiménez-Rodríguez B, de la Cruz L, Martínez N, Villanueva Vázquez R, de Toro R, Antón A, Moreno F, Alvarez I, Gavila J, Quiroga V, Vicente E, de la Haba J, González-Santiago S, Díaz N, Barnadas A, Cantos Sánchez de Ibargüen B, Delgado JI, Bellet M, Gimeno A, Sanz S, Martin M. Ribociclib + letrozole in patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2–) advanced breast cancer (aBC) with no prior endocrine therapy (ET) for ABC: CompLEEment-1 trial, preliminary results from Spanish population [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P6-18-17.

Abstract P6-16-01: Health-related quality of life in MONARCH 3: Abemaciclib plus an aromatase inhibitor as initial therapy in women with HR+, HER2- advanced breast cancer

Background: In the MONARCH 3 trial, abemaciclib plus an aromatase inhibitor (AI) significantly improved progression free survival and overall response rate with a generally tolerable safety profile compared to placebo plus AI. Here we report patient-reported outcomes (PRO) including health-related quality of life (Qol), functioning, and symptoms.

Methods: MONARCH 3 was a double-blind, randomized phase III study of abemaciclib or placebo plus an AI in 493 post-menopausal women with hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) advanced breast cancer with no prior systemic therapy in the advanced setting. Two European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) questionnaires were included: Quality of Life Questionnaire (QLQ)-Core 30 (C30) and the EORTC QLQ-Breast 23 (BR23) that were assessed at baseline, every 2 cycles through cycle 19, then every 3 cycles until treatment discontinuation, and at short-term follow up. Higher scores on functional and health status/QoL outcomes indicate higher/better levels of functioning or health; conversely higher scores on symptom outcomes indicate higher/worse levels of symptom burden. Between-arm comparisons of change from baseline were conducted using mixed model methods. Statistical significance was set at 0.05 and clinical meaningfulness was set at ≥10 points on a 0-100 scale1.

Results: PRO completion rates were &gt;91% through cycle 19; duration of treatment was longer for abemaciclib plus AI patients (median number of cycles 19 vs.15). Compared to the placebo arm, diarrhea PRO scores in the abemaciclib arm showed a clinically (18.68 points) and statistically significant (p&lt;0.001) increase/worsening. By-cycle analysis showed group mean diarrhea scores returned to near-baseline levels post-therapy. Other symptom PROs showed statistically significant (&lt;0.05) but not clinically meaningful differences; fatigue (4.96; p=0.004), systemic therapy side effects (4.48, p&lt;0.001), appetite loss (4.03; p=0.034), and nausea/vomiting (2.77; p=0.013). These results were consistent with the investigator-reported treatment emergent adverse events (TEAEs). Several non-symptom results were also statistically significant but not clinically meaningful including global health/health status (-4.36; p=0.003), role function (-4.25; p=0.025), social function (-3.41, p=0.047), and body image (-5.11, p=0.009). No statistically significant between-treatment differences were observed for physical, emotional, and cognitive functioning or for symptoms of pain, dyspnea, insomnia, constipation, or financial difficulties.

Conclusions: The addition of abemaciclib to an AI resulted in clinically and statistically significant changes in diarrhea without clinically meaningful differences in other symptom scores. Increased GI-related symptoms were consistent with the manageable, reversible AE profile; the highest symptom burden was reported during early visits. No clinically meaningful differences in global health status or functional scores were observed.

ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02246621

Reference:

1. Osoba D et al. J Clin Oncol 2002;20(14):3106-13.

Citation Format: Goetz MP, Johnston S, Martin M, Tokunaga E, Park IH, Huober J, Toi M, Price GL, Boye M, Li L, Forrester T, Gainford C, Gable J, Carter GC, Sood A, DiLeo A. Health-related quality of life in MONARCH 3: Abemaciclib plus an aromatase inhibitor as initial therapy in women with HR+, HER2- advanced breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P6-16-01.

Abstract PD1-11: nextMONARCH 1: Phase 2 study of abemaciclib plus tamoxifen or abemaciclib alone in HR+, HER2- advanced breast cancer

Background

Abemaciclib is a selective CDK4 & 6 inhibitor approved on a continuous dosing schedule for HR+, HER2- advanced breast cancer (ABC) as monotherapy (MONARCH 1) and in combination with endocrine therapy (ET). A previous Phase 1b (NCT01394016) cohort of HR+ ABC patients (pts) demonstrated efficacy of abemaciclib monotherapy (150mg and 200mg Q12H starting dose); given the small sample size and nonrandomized design the impact of the starting dose was unclear. nextMONARCH 1 (NCT02747004) evaluated abemaciclib in 2 monotherapy arms, in a randomized setting. Abemaciclib has been associated with dose-dependent early onset diarrhea that is well managed with antidiarrheal therapy. nextMONARCH 1 also explored the 200mg Q12H abemaciclib dose in combination with prophylactic loperamide to reduce incidence/severity of diarrhea and dose adjustments. A third arm evaluated abemaciclib + tamoxifen as a strategy to overcome endocrine resistance.

Methods

nextMONARCH 1 is a multicenter, randomized, open-label, Phase 2 study of abemaciclib or abemaciclib + tamoxifen in women with HR+, HER2- ABC who have progressed on or after prior ET and previously received chemotherapy. Pts were stratified by presence of liver metastases and prior use of tamoxifen in the advanced setting. Randomization was 1:1:1 to abemaciclib 150mg Q12H + daily tamoxifen 20mg (Arm A) or abemaciclib 150mg Q12H (Arm B); or abemaciclib 200mg Q12H + prophylactic loperamide (Arm C). Key eligibilities were ≥2 chemotherapy regimens (1-2 administered in metastatic setting), measurable disease and no prior treatment with CDK4 & 6 inhibitors. Primary objective was progression free survival (PFS). Key secondary objectives included objective response rate (ORR), dclinical benefit rate (CBR), and safety. PFS analysis tested superiority of Arm A to C at ∼110 events across the 2 arms assuming a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.667 to achieve ∼80% power. Arm B would be considered non-inferior to Arm C if the observed PFS HR is &lt;1.2.

Results

234 pts were randomized to Arms A (n=78), B (n=79) and C (n=77). 166 PFS events have been observed (A: 57; B: 54; C: 55). Median PFS was 9.1 months in Arm A, 6.5 in Arm B and 7.4 in Arm C (A vs C: HR=.815, 95% CI, .556-1.193, p=.293; B vs C: HR=1.045, 95% CI, .711-1.535 p=.811). Investigator-assessed ORR was 34.6%, 24.1% and 32.5% (confirmed ORR: 25.6%, 19.0%, 28.6%) and CBR was 61.5%, 49.4% and 51.9% in Arms A, B and C, respectively. Prophylactic loperamide reduced the incidence and severity of diarrhea (C: 62.3%, Gr 3: 7.8%) compared to MONARCH 1 (90.2%, Gr 3: 19.7%, Dickler et al. 2017) resulting in similar rates of diarrhea with 150mg abemaciclib without prophylaxis (A: 53.8%, Gr 3: 1.3%; B: 67.1%, Gr 3: 3.8%). The adverse event profile across arms was generally consistent with other breast studies of abemaciclib.

Conclusions

nextMONARCH 1 confirmed single-agent activity of abemaciclib in heavily pretreated pts with HR+, HER2- ABC. Efficacy of abemaciclib monotherapy at 150mg was similar to 200mg. Combining tamoxifen with abemaciclib did not demonstrate a statistically significant improvement in PFS compared to abemaciclib monotherapy. Addition of prophylactic loperamide to abemaciclib 200mg resulted in diarrhea similar to 150mg without prophylaxis.

Citation Format: Hamilton E, Cortes J, Dieras V, Ozyilkan O, Chen S-C, Petrakova K, Manikhas A, Jerusalem G, Hegg R, Lu Y, Bear MM, Johnston EL, Martin M. nextMONARCH 1: Phase 2 study of abemaciclib plus tamoxifen or abemaciclib alone in HR+, HER2- advanced breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PD1-11.

Abstract P2-13-01: Efficacy of neratinib in hormone receptor-positive patients who initiated treatment within 1 year of completing trastuzumab-based adjuvant therapy in HER2+ early-stage breast cancer: Subgroup analyses from the phase III ExteNET trial

Background: The international, randomized, placebo-controlled phase III ExteNET trial showed that 1 year (yr) of neratinib 240 mg/day after trastuzumab-based adjuvant therapy significantly improved invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) in 2840 patients with early-stage HER2+ breast cancer at 2 yr (hazard ratio 0.67; 95% CI 0.50–0.91; p=0.009) [Chan 2016] and 5 yr (hazard ratio 0.73; 95% CI 0.57-0.92; p=0.008) [Martin 2017]. A prespecified subgroup analysis by hormone receptor (HR) status suggested enhanced efficacy with neratinib in patients with HR+ (2-yr hazard ratio 0.51; 95% CI 0.33–0.77) vs. HR– tumors (2-yr hazard ratio 0.93; 95% CI 0.60–1.43). The efficacy of neratinib was also greater in patients who initiated treatment within 1 yr of prior trastuzumab compared with those who started neratinib later. The European Medicines Agency's Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use recently recommended neratinib for use in patients with HR+ tumors who initiate treatment within 1 yr of completing trastuzumab-based adjuvant therapy. Subgroup analyses from ExteNET examining iDFS benefits in this patient population are presented here.

Methods: Patients with early-stage HER2+ breast cancer who completed trastuzumab-based (neo)adjuvant therapy were assigned to oral neratinib 240 mg/day or placebo for 1 yr. Randomization was stratified by HR status (determined locally before trial entry), nodal status, and trastuzumab regimen. Endocrine therapy was allowed in patients with HR+ disease. The primary endpoint, iDFS, was tested by 2-sided log-rank test and hazard ratios (95% CI) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to estimate iDFS rates. Secondary endpoints were DFS-DCIS, time to distant recurrence, distant DFS, and CNS recurrences. The primary analysis was conducted at 2 yr, and a sensitivity analysis conducted at 5 yr. Clinicaltrials.gov:NCT00878709.

Results: Of the 2840 patients (neratinib, n=1420; placebo, n=1420), 1631 (57%) had HR+ disease (neratinib, n=816; placebo, n=815). Most (93%) HR+ patients were receiving endocrine therapy at baseline. 1334 of 1631 (82%) patients with HR+ tumors were randomized to start neratinib within 1 yr of last trastuzumab dose (neratinib, n=670; placebo, n=664). iDFS benefits from neratinib in this population are shown in the table. Secondary endpoints were also improved with neratinib vs. placebo in this population. Safety data in this subset will be presented at the meeting.

Table. iDFS in patients with an interval between last trastuzumab dose and randomization of ≤1 yr

 HR+ population (N=1334)ITT population (N=2297)  Hazard ratiob  Hazard ratiob  Δ, %a(95% CI)P-valueΔ, %a(95% CI)P-value2-yr analysisc+4.50.490.002+2.90.630.006  (0.30–0.78)  (0.45–0.88) 5-yr analysisd+5.10.580.002+3.20.700.006  (0.41–0.82)  (0.54–0.90) aDifference in iDFS rates between neratinib vs. placebo; bNeratinib vs. placebo; cData cut-off: July 2014; dData cut-off: March 2017

Conclusions: Neratinib may have enhanced and sustained efficacy in patients with HR+ disease who initiate treatment within 1 yr of trastuzumab-based adjuvant therapy.

Citation Format: Gnant M, Martin M, Holmes F-A, Jackisch C, Chia SK, Iwata H, Moy B, Martinez N, Mansi J, Morales S, Ruiz-Borrego M, von Minckwitz G, Buyse M, Delaloge S, Bhandari M, Murias Rosales A, Galeano T, Fujita T, Luczak A, Barrios CH, Saura C, Rugo HS, Chien J, Johnston SR, Spencer M, Xu F, Barnett B, Chan A, Ejlertsen B. Efficacy of neratinib in hormone receptor-positive patients who initiated treatment within 1 year of completing trastuzumab-based adjuvant therapy in HER2+ early-stage breast cancer: Subgroup analyses from the phase III ExteNET trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-13-01.

Abstract P2-08-04: Prediction of distant recurrence by EndoPredict in patients with estrogen receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer who received adjuvant endocrine therapy plus chemotherapy (ET+C) or endocrine therapy alone (ET)

Background: EndoPredict (EPclin) is a validated prognostic test combining expression of 12 cancer-related genes for breast cancer patients with estrogen receptor (ER) positive, HER2-negative disease who received 5 years of endocrine therapy (Buus et al., 2017; Dubsky et al. 2012) and for women who received chemotherapy (Martin et al., 2014). Here, we determine the EPclin and 10-year distant recurrence free interval (DRFI) rates for patients who received adjuvant endocrine therapy plus chemotherapy (ET+C) or endocrine therapy alone (ET) using data from five large clinical trials.

Methods: A total of 3746 women with ER-positive, HER2-negative disease were included in this analysis. 2630 patients received 5 years of ET alone (ABCSG-6/8, TransATAC) and 1116 patients received ET+C (GEICAM 2003-02/9906). EPclin incorporates tumor size and nodal status and accounts for different EPClin scores between ET+C and ET alone cohorts. The primary objective was to evaluate the 10-year DRFI rates as a continuous function of EPclin separately for patients in ET+C and ET. Secondary objectives included assessing the difference in the prognostic ability of EPclin between ET+C and ET overall (years 0-10) and for specific follow-up periods (years 0-5 and years 5-10). The primary endpoint was DRFI and the secondary endpoint was breast cancer free interval (BCFI). Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate 10-year DRFI rates and to assess the prognostic information provided by EPclin.

Results: All of the women on ET alone and 49% of those on ET+C were postmenopausal. Women who received ET+C had more node positive disease, more poorly differentiated tumours, and higher EPclin scores than those who received ET alone. Women who received ET+C had significantly smaller increases in 10-year DRFI rates with increasing EPclin score than those receiving ET alone (Table). EPclin was highly prognostic for DRFI in all women who received ET alone (HR=2.79 (2.49-3.13), P&lt;0.0001) as well as in those who received ET+C (HR=2.27 (1.99-2.59), P&lt;0.0001), both in the overall cohort and in postmenopausal women only (ET+C: HR=2.64 (2.07-3.37), P&lt;0.0001). We observed a significant interaction between EPclin and treatment for DRFI at 10 years (Pinteraction=0.022). EPclin was highly prognostic in ET alone and ET+C in years 0-5 and in particular in years 5-10. Similar results were observed when BCFI was the endpoint.

Conclusion: In our results from a non-randomized analysis, we observed significantly smaller increases in 10-year DRFI rates with increasing EPclin scores for women who received ET+C compared to those who received ET alone. Our indirect comparisons suggest that a high EPclin score can predict chemotherapy benefit in women with ER-positive, HER2-negative disease.

10-year DRFI risks (%) (95% CI) according to EPclin score for patients who received ET+C versus ET alone. ET+CETEPclin10-year DR risk (%)10-year DR risk (%)11.1% (0.5-1.7)1.0% (0.6-1.4)22.5% (1.5-3.5)2.8% (2.1-3.5)35.7% (4.1-7.2)7.6% (6.4-8.8)412.4% (10.1-14.6)19.8% (17.6-22.0)525.8% (22.0-29.5)46.1% (40.2-51.4)

Citation Format: Sestak I, Martin M, Dubsky P, Rojo F, Cuzick J, Filipits M, Ruiz A, Buus R, Hlauschek D, Rodriguez-Lescure A, Dowsett M, Gnant M. Prediction of distant recurrence by EndoPredict in patients with estrogen receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer who received adjuvant endocrine therapy plus chemotherapy (ET+C) or endocrine therapy alone (ET) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-08-04.

Abstract PD3-11: HER2/ERBB2 status in “HER2 equivocal” breast cancers by FISH and ASCO-CAP guidelines: False-positives due to heterozygous deletions of alternative control loci

Background. The ASCO-CAP guidelines for HER2 testing by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) have a category, referred to as “equivocal” (average HER2 copies per tumor cell &gt;4-6 with HER2/CEP17 ratio &lt;2·0), which is neither “HER2-positive” nor “HER2-negative”. Approximately 4% - 12% of invasive breast cancers are “HER2-equivocal” based on FISH. Cancers in this category may be resolved as “negative” or “positive” by FISH alternative control probes (2013/2014 guidelines) or HER2 immunohistochemistry (IHC) (2018 update). Our objectives were to evaluate the following hypotheses: 1.) Genetic loci used as alternative controls show heterozygous deletion in a substantial proportion of breast cancers; 2.) Use of these loci for assessment of HER2 by FISH leads to false-positives; 3.) HER2 FISH false-positive breast cancer patients have outcomes that do not differ from clinical outcomes for HER2-negative breast cancer patients; and 4.) HER2-equivocal breast cancers seldom show HER2 protein overexpression (IHC 3+).

Methods. We retrospectively assessed the use of chromosome 17 p-arm and q-arm alternative control genomic sites (TP53, D17S122, SMS, RARA, TOP2A), as recommended by the 2013/2014 ASCO-CAP guidelines, in patients whose data were available through the Molecular Taxonomy of Breast Cancer International Consortium (METABRIC)(N=1980) or whose tissues were available from the BCIRG-005 clinical trial (N=3298). We used either FDA-approved HER2 IHC (HercepTest) or laboratory-developed HER2 (10H8) IHC assays to assess HER2 protein expression.

Results. Using METABRIC we found heterozygous deletions, particularly in specific p-arm sites, were common in both HER2-amplified and HER2-not-amplified breast cancers. Use of alternative control probes from these regions to assess HER2 by FISH in “HER2 equivocal” as well as HER2-not-amplified breast cancers resulted in high rates of false-positive ratios (HER2-to-alternative control ratio &gt;2·0) due to heterozygous deletions of control p-arm genomic sites used as ratio denominators. Misclassifications of HER2 status was observed not only in breast cancers with ASCO-CAP “equivocal” status but also in breast cancers with an average of &lt;4·0 HER2 copies per tumor cell. These deletions were also identified by FISH. IHC demonstrated &lt;1% of FISH “HER2-equivocal” breast cancers in BCIRG-005 had IHC3+ immunostaining, consistent with HER2-not-amplified status. Clinical outcomes of “HER2-equivocal” breast cancer patients with HER2-to-alternative control ratio &gt;2·0 did not differ significantly from clinical outcomes of those with HER2-to-alternative control ratio&lt;2·0.

Conclusion. Using chromosome 17 p-arm alternative controls, as recommended by 2013/2014 ASCO-CAP guidelines, instead of CEP17 for resolution of “HER2 equivocal” cases, is problematic due to frequent heterozygous deletions of these loci in breast cancers. The indiscriminate use of alternative control probes to calculate a HER2 FISH ratio in “HER2-equivocal” breast cancers leads to false-positive interpretations of HER2 status resulting from unrecognized heterozygous deletions in one or more of these alternative control genomic sites and incorrect HER2 ratio determinations.

Citation Format: Press MF, Seoane JA, Curtis C, Quinaux E, Guzman R, Sauter G, Eiermann W, Mackey JR, Robert N, Pienkowski T, Crown J, Martin M, Valero V, Bee V, Ma Y, Villalobos I, Slamon DJ. HER2/ERBB2 status in “HER2 equivocal” breast cancers by FISH and ASCO-CAP guidelines: False-positives due to heterozygous deletions of alternative control loci [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PD3-11.

Abstract P5-11-01: Phamacodynamic and circulating tumor DNA evaluation in a phase I study of GDC-0927, a selective estrogen receptor antagonist/ degrader (SERD)

Background: Modulation of estrogen activity and/or synthesis is the mainstay therapeutic strategy in the treatment of ER positive breast cancer. However, despite the effectiveness of available endocrine therapies, many patients ultimately relapse or develop resistance to these agents via estrogen-dependent and estrogen-independent mechanisms, including mutations in ESR1 affecting the ER ligand binding domain that drive ER-dependent transcription and proliferation in the absence of estrogen. Based on preclinical and clinical data, SERDs are expected be effective in patients harboring ESR1 mutations. Biomarker analysis was performed on plasma and tumor samples from the Phase I study of GDC-0927 in metastatic breast cancer (Dickler et al, SABCS 2017) with the goal of evaluating activity in both ESR1 mutant and wildtype tumors, and to assess ER pathway modulation.

Methods: Hotspot mutations in ESR1, PIK3CA, and AKT1 were analyzed in baseline, on-treatment and end of treatment plasma derived circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) using the BEAMing assay in patients treated at multiple dose levels of GDC-0927. A subset of samples was analyzed with Foundation Medicine's next generation sequencing ctDNA assay (FACT), which covers genomic alterations in 62 commonly altered genes. Paired pre- and on-treatment biopsies were collected to assess ER pathway modulation. ER, PR, and Ki67 protein levels were analyzed by immunohistochemistry. Gene expression analysis was performed using Illumina's RNA Access library preparation kit followed by paired-end (2x50b, 50M reads) sequencing on the HiSeq.

Results: Baseline and on-treatment plasma samples were available for 40 patients. ESR1 and PIK3CA mutations were observed in 52% and 33% of patient baseline samples, respectively (BEAMing method). Mutant allele frequencies (MAF) generally declined in the first on-treatment samples collected for both ESR1 (16 out of 21 samples) and PIK3CA (7 out of 12 samples). The majority of the reductions were greater than 95% relative to baseline. Increases in ESR1 MAFs were observed in later time-points and were not associated with any particular ESR1 mutation. There were six instances for which an ESR1 mutation was detected in an on-treatment sample that was not detected in the baseline sample, three at L536P and one each at D538G, L536H, and S463P, and four out of six with MAFs close to the limit of detection. The FACT assay also detected alterations in CDH1, NF1, PTEN, and TP53 in baseline samples. The relationship between MAF changes and clinical benefit to GDC-0927 will be presented. A predefined, experimentally-derived set of ER target genes were evaluated in pre- and on-treatment tumor biopsy pairs from six patients. Four of the six patients showed evidence of suppression in ER pathway activity, one patient treated at the 1000 mg dose level and three at the 1400 mg dose. The degree of pathway suppression was associated with pre-treatment pathway levels and decreases of ER and Ki67 protein levels.

Conclusions: We report here evidence of consistent reduction of ESR1 and PIK3CA ctDNA in patients treated with GDC-0927. ER pathway suppression was observed at both the transcript and protein level confirming pharmacodynamic activity of the SERD.

Citation Format: Spoerke JM, Daemen A, Chang C-W, Giltnane J, Metcalfe C, Dickler MN, Bardia A, Perez Fidalgo JA, Mayer IA, Boni V, Winer EP, Hamilton EP, Bellet M, Urruticoechea A, Gonzalez Martin A, Cortes J, Martin M, Gates M, Cheeti S, Fredrickson J, Wang X, Friedman LS, Liu L, Li R, Chan IT, Mueller L, Milan S, Lauchle J, Humke EW, Lackner MR. Phamacodynamic and circulating tumor DNA evaluation in a phase I study of GDC-0927, a selective estrogen receptor antagonist/ degrader (SERD) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P5-11-01.

Abstract P5-07-03: Small molecule inhibition of smoothened in triple negative breast cancer-associated fibroblasts depletes cancer stem cells and sensitizes to cytotoxic chemotherapy in mice and humans

The cellular and molecular basis of stromal cell recruitment, activation and crosstalk in carcinomas is poorly understood, limiting the development of targeted anti-stromal therapies.

In mouse models of triple negative breast cancer (TNBC), we use single cell genomics to show that Hh ligand produced by neoplastic cells reprograms cancer-associated fibroblast (CAF) gene expression, driving tumor growth and metastasis. Hh-activated CAFs upregulated expression of FGF5 and deposition of fibrillar collagen, leading to FGFR and FAK activation in adjacent neoplastic cells and the acquisition of a stem-like, drug-resistant phenotype.

Treatment with smoothened inhibitors (SMOi) reversed these phenotypes. Stromal treatment of TNBC patient-derived xenograft (PDX) models with SMOi downregulated the expression of cancer stem cell markers and sensitized tumors to docetaxel, leading to markedly improved survival and reduced metastatic burden.

In the phase I clinical trial EDALINE, 3 patients with metastatic TNBC derived clinical benefit from combination therapy with the SMOi Sonedigib and docetaxel chemotherapy, with one patient experiencing a complete radiological response. Responders also exhibited high baseline FGFR activation and ECM deposition, suggesting a mechanism of action consistent with findings from the animal models.

These studies identify Hh signaling to CAFs as a novel mediator of cancer stem cell plasticity and drug resistance and an exciting new therapeutic target in TNBC.

Citation Format: Swarbrick A, Cazet A, Hui M, O'Toole S, Lim E, Martin M. Small molecule inhibition of smoothened in triple negative breast cancer-associated fibroblasts depletes cancer stem cells and sensitizes to cytotoxic chemotherapy in mice and humans [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P5-07-03.