JAK-STAT and G-protein-coupled receptor signaling pathways are frequently altered in epitheliotropic intestinal T-cell lymphoma

Epitheliotropic intestinal T-cell lymphoma (EITL, also known as type II enteropathy-associated T-cell lymphoma) is an aggressive intestinal disease with poor prognosis and its molecular alterations have not been comprehensively characterized. We aimed to identify actionable easy-to-screen alterations that would allow better diagnostics and/or treatment of this deadly disease. By performing whole-exome sequencing of four EITL tumor-normal pairs, followed by amplicon deep sequencing of 42 tumor samples, frequent alterations of the JAK-STAT and G-protein-coupled receptor (GPCR) signaling pathways were discovered in a large portion of samples. Specifically, STAT5B was mutated in a remarkable 63% of cases, JAK3 in 35% and GNAI2 in 24%, with the majority occurring at known activating hotspots in key functional domains. Moreover, STAT5B locus carried copy-neutral loss of heterozygosity resulting in the duplication of the mutant copy, suggesting the importance of mutant STAT5B dosage for the development of EITL. Dysregulation of the JAK-STAT and GPCR pathways was also supported by gene expression profiling and further verified in patient tumor samples. In vitro overexpression of GNAI2 mutants led to the upregulation of pERK1/2, a member of MEK-ERK pathway. Notably, inhibitors of both JAK-STAT and MEK-ERK pathways effectively reduced viability of patient-derived primary EITL cells, indicating potential therapeutic strategies for this neoplasm with no effective treatment currently available.

Effects of hospital-acquired conditions on length of stay for patients with diabetes

BACKGROUND

Inpatients with diabetes have longer length of stays (LOS). Understanding patterns of in-hospital complications between patients with diabetes and others may reveal measures to improve patient welfare and minimise LOS.

AIM

This study evaluates the rates and types of hospital-acquired conditions among patients with and without diabetes and assesses any effects on LOS.

METHODS

A total of 47 615 admission episodes from The Northern Hospital over 12 months was reviewed. Episodes were divided into four groups: (i) patients without diabetes; (ii) patients with diabetes without end-organ sequelae (EOS); (iii) patients with diabetes with EOS; and (iv) a subset of non-diabetic patients with a Charlson Co-morbidity score ≥1 (comparison group). The Classification of Hospital Acquired Diagnoses (CHADx) was applied to the groups to compare rates and types of inpatient complications. Linear regression was used to analyse the impact of the number of CHADx on LOS.

RESULTS

Almost 30% of admissions of patients with diabetes and EOS had at least one CHADx, compared with 13% for non-diabetes patients and 17% for the comparison group. The types of CHADx experienced by diabetes patients with EOS were similar to the comparison group. However, rates were 10 times higher. Linear regression demonstrated diabetes patients with EOS have increased LOS and each CHADx per episode has a larger effect on LOS.

CONCLUSION

We demonstrate that diabetes patients have consistently higher rates of CHADx and longer LOS than similar patients with complex and chronic conditions. This provides a foundation for future studies to investigate preventative practices for this high-risk patient population.

The Goals of Patient Care project: implementing a proactive approach to patient-centred decision-making

BACKGROUND

Patients in the later stages of their lives risk being harmed by futile or unwanted interventions if realistic care goals and patient values are not recognised. Doctors have difficulty discussing and informing patients' healthcare goals.

AIMS

To review implementation of a Goals of Patient Care (GOPC) summary in medical inpatients and its applicability in emergency medical response (EMR) situations.

METHODS

Single-centre cross-sectional study of adult medical inpatients and adult inpatients requiring EMR at a Victorian general hospital.

MEASURES

presence and content of GOPC summary, secondary review of decision-making and discussion documentation, patient characteristics; EMR precipitants and outcomes.

RESULTS

GOPC were documented for 82 of 101 patients. One had an existing advance directive, and six had records of a patient-appointed substitute decision-maker. For patients with GOPC, 80 had life-prolonging treatment aims, with a varying degree of treatment limitation in 48. Discussion with patient or substitute decision-maker was evident in 43 cases. GOPC were documented prior to nine of 23 EMR. The EMR triggered a GOPC modification in three instances.

CONCLUSIONS

Introduction of a routine GOPC summary encourages consideration of goals of care for most medical inpatients. Few have pre-existing records of their wishes, and there are opportunities for improvement in this regard. Doctors may still have difficulty determining goals of care, and discussion of GOPC with patients and families may not be clearly documented. Most patients requiring EMR do not have prior GOPC review, and the role of the summary in these situations remains unclear.

Relationship between health-related quality of life, comorbidities and acute health care utilisation, in adults with chronic conditions

Background

There is increased interest in developing multidisciplinary ambulatory care models of service delivery to manage patients with complex chronic diseases. These programs are expensive and given limited resources it is important that care is targeted effectively. One potential screening strategy is to identify individuals who report the greatest decrement in health related quality of life (HRQoL) and thus greater need. The aim of this study was to explore the relationship between HRQoL, comorbid conditions and acute health care utilisation.

Methods

A prospective, longitudinal cohort design was used to evaluate the impact of HRQoL on acute care utilisation rates over three-years of follow-up. Participants were enrolled in chronic disease management programs run by a metropolitan health service in Australia. Baseline data was collected from 2007–2009 and follow-up data until 2012. Administrative data was used to classify patients’ primary reasons for enrolment, number of comorbidities (Charlson Score) and presentations to acute care. At enrolment, HRQoL was measured using the Assessment of Quality of Life (AQoL) instrument, for analysis AQoL scores were dichotomised at two standard deviations below the population norm.

Results

There were 1999 participants (54 % male) with a mean age of 63 years (range 18–101), enrolled in the study. Participants’ primary health conditions at enrolment were: diabetes 915 (46 %), chronic respiratory disease 463 (23 %), cardiac disease 260 (13 %), peripheral vascular disease, and 181 (9 %) and aged care 180 (9 %). At 1-year multivariate logistic regression models demonstrated that AQOL utility score was not predictive of acute care presentations after adjusting for comorbidities. Over 3-years an AQoL utility score in the lowest quartile was predictive of both ED presentation (OR 1.58, 95 % CI, 1.16–2.13, p = 0.003) and admissions (OR 1.67, 95 % CI.1.21 to 2.30, p = 0.002) after adjusting for differences in age and comorbidities.

Conclusion

This study found that both HRQoL and comorbidities were predictive of subsequent acute care attendance over 3-years of follow-up. At 1-year, comorbidities was a better predictor of acute care representation than HRQoL. To maximise benefits, programs should initially focus on medical disease management, but subsequently switch to strategies that enhance health independence and raise HRQoL.

Direct oral anticoagulants in frail older adults: a geriatric perspective

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have changed the paradigm of anticoagulation management, improving patient convenience as well as possibly reducing the incidence of spontaneous intracranial hemorrhage. However, concerns remain with these agents because of the lack of monitoring capacity and availability of readily accessible specific antidotes. This is particularly pertinent in the older population, specifically the frail older adults who have multiple comorbidities, higher risk of falls, and increased bleeding risk. This group has not been specifically studied in the DOAC randomized controlled trials and, hence, extrapolation of these data into this population should be done cautiously. We provide a review of the use of DOACs in the older frail population from both hematological and geriatric perspectives, as well as propose an algorithm for how these agents may be used in this frail population.

A longitudinal cohort study evaluating the impact of a geriatrician-led residential care outreach service on acute healthcare utilisation

BACKGROUND

over the last decade, high demand for acute healthcare services by long-term residents of residential care facilities (RCFs) has stimulated interest in exploring alternative models of care. The Residential Care Intervention Program in the Elderly (RECIPE) service provides expert outreach services to RCFs residents, interventions include comprehensive care planning, management of inter-current illness and rapid access to acute care substitution services.

OBJECTIVE

to evaluate whether the RECIPE service decreased acute healthcare utilisation.

DESIGN

a retrospective cohort study using interrupted time series analysis to analyse change in acute healthcare utilisation before and after enrolment.

SETTING

a 300-bed metropolitan teaching hospital in Australia and 73 RCFs within its catchment.

SUBJECTS

there were 1,327 patients enrolled in the service with a median age of 84 years; 61% were female.

METHODS

data were collected prospectively on all enrolled patients from 2004 to 2011 and linked to the acute health service administrative data set. Primary outcomes change in admission rates, length of stay and bed days per quarter.

RESULTS

in the 2 years prior to enrolment, the mean number of acute care admissions per patient per year was 3.03 (SD 2.9) versus post 2.4 (SD 3.3), the service reducing admissions by 0.13 admissions per patient per quarter (P = 0.046). Prior to enrolment, the mean length of stay was 8.6 (SD 11.0) versus post 3.5 (SD 5.0), a reduction of 1.5 days per patient per quarter (P = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

this study suggests that an outreach service comprising a geriatrician-led multidisciplinary team can reduce acute hospital utilisation rates.

Emergency stenting of vertical vein in a neonate with obstructed supracardiac total anomalous pulmonary venous drainage

A late preterm newborn baby presented with respiratory distress and increasing cyanosis within 2 hours of birth. Bedside transthroracic echocardiography showed a critically obstructed vertical vein in a supracardiac total anomalous pulmonary venous drainage (TAPVd). Emergency stenting of the vertical vein was successfully performed at 24 hours of life.

Feasibility and impact of a post-discharge geriatric evaluation and management service for patients from residential care: the Residential Care Intervention Program in the Elderly (RECIPE)

BACKGROUND

Geriatric evaluation and management has become standard care for community dwelling older adults following an acute admission to hospital. It is unclear whether this approach is beneficial for the frailest older adults living in permanent residential care. This study was undertaken to evaluate (1) the feasibility and consumer satisfaction with a geriatrician-led supported discharge service for older adults living in residential care facilities (RCF) and (2) its impact on the uptake of Advanced Care Planning (ACP) and acute health care service utilisation.

METHODS

In 2002-4 a randomised controlled trial was conducted in Melbourne, Australia comparing the geriatrician-led outreach service to usual care for RCF residents. Patients were recruited during their acute hospital stay and followed up at the RCF for six months. The intervention group received a post-discharge home visit within 96 hours, at which a comprehensive geriatric assessment was performed and a care plan developed. Participants and their families were also offered further meetings to discuss ACPs and document Advanced Directives (AD). Additional reviews were made available for assessment and management of intercurrent illness within the RCF. Consumer satisfaction was surveyed using a postal questionnaire.

RESULTS

The study included 116 participants (57 intervention and 59 controls) with comparable baseline characteristics. The service was well received by consumers demonstrated by higher satisfaction with care in the intervention group compared to controls (95% versus 58%, p = 0.006).AD were completed by 67% of participants/proxy decision makers in the intervention group compared to 13% of RCF residents prior to service commencement. At six months there was a significant reduction in outpatient visits (intervention 21 (37%) versus controls 45 (76%), (p < 0.001), but no difference in readmissions rates (39% intervention versus 34% control, p = 0.6). There was a trend towards reduced hospital bed-day utilisation (intervention 271 versus controls 372 days).

CONCLUSION

It is feasible to provide a supported discharge service that includes geriatrician assessment and care planning within a RCF. By expanding the service there is the potential for acute health care cost savings by decreasing the demand for outpatient consultation and further reducing acute care bed-days.

Assessing palliative care unit inpatients for residential aged care placement: is it worth it?

BACKGROUND

Increasing demand for palliative care unit (PCU) admissions has led to a stronger focus on discharge planning. This has resulted in shorter inpatient length of stays (LOS), and stable patients not requiring specialist palliative care services being referred for placement in residential aged care facilities (RACFs). The process of placement is time-consuming and can be distressing to patients and families, so RACF placement should only be proposed in patients whose prognosis is relatively good (i.e., weeks to months).

OBJECTIVE

Our aim was to identify the outcomes of palliative care inpatients referred for residential aged care placement.

METHODS

A retrospective chart audit was conducted. The patients' outcomes (discharge or death and survival time) were recorded and analyzed using SPSS statistical software. Subjects were 100 consecutive inpatients from a 30-bed PCU who had been referred for RACF placement.

RESULTS

Of the 100 patients referred for RACF placement 73 of 100 (73%) patients had a malignant diagnosis, whereas 27 (27%) had a noncancer diagnosis. Thirty-eight (38%) patients died before discharge, including 33 of 73 (45%) patients with cancer and 5 of 27 (13%) patients with nonmalignant conditions. In particular, 12 of 17 (71%) patients with metastatic non-small cell lung (NCSLC) cancer died before or soon after discharge.

CONCLUSION

Over one-third of all patients died before discharge to an RACF could take place. The rate of death before discharge was higher among patients who had cancer. Patients suffering from NCSLC need to be more carefully selected for placement as only one-third of these patients survived to discharge.

The prognostic value of pre-operative and post-operative B-type natriuretic peptides in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery: B-type natriuretic peptide and N-terminal fragment of pro-B-type natriuretic peptide: a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to determine whether measuring post-operative B-type natriuretic peptides (NPs) (i.e., B-type natriuretic peptide [BNP] and N-terminal fragment of proBNP [NT-proBNP]) enhances risk stratification in adult patients undergoing noncardiac surgery, in whom a pre-operative NP has been measured.

BACKGROUND

Pre-operative NP concentrations are powerful independent predictors of perioperative cardiovascular complications, but recent studies have reported that elevated post-operative NP concentrations are independently associated with these complications. It is not clear whether there is value in measuring post-operative NP when a pre-operative measurement has been done.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis to determine whether the addition of post-operative NP levels enhanced the prediction of the composite of death and nonfatal myocardial infarction at 30 and ≥180 days after surgery.

RESULTS

Eighteen eligible studies provided individual patient data (n = 2,179). Adding post-operative NP to a risk prediction model containing pre-operative NP improved model fit and risk classification at both 30 days (corrected quasi-likelihood under the independence model criterion: 1,280 to 1,204; net reclassification index: 20%; p < 0.001) and ≥180 days (corrected quasi-likelihood under the independence model criterion: 1,320 to 1,300; net reclassification index: 11%; p = 0.003). Elevated post-operative NP was the strongest independent predictor of the primary outcome at 30 days (odds ratio: 3.7; 95% confidence interval: 2.2 to 6.2; p < 0.001) and ≥180 days (odds ratio: 2.2; 95% confidence interval: 1.9 to 2.7; p < 0.001) after surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

Additional post-operative NP measurement enhanced risk stratification for the composite outcomes of death or nonfatal myocardial infarction at 30 days and ≥180 days after noncardiac surgery compared with a pre-operative NP measurement alone.

Relationship between health-related quality of life, and acute care re-admissions and survival in older adults with chronic illness

Background

Australia’s ageing population means that there is increasing emphasis on developing innovative models of health care delivery for older adults. The assessment of the most appropriate mix of services and measurement of their impact on patient outcomes is challenging. The aim of this evaluation was to describe the health related quality of life (HRQoL) of older adults with complex needs and to explore the relationship between HRQoL, readmission to acute care and survival.

Methods

The study was conducted in metropolitan Melbourne, Australia; participants were recruited from a cohort of older adults enrolled in a multidisciplinary case management service. HRQoL was measured at enrolment into the case-management service using The Assessment of Quality of Life (AQoL) instrument. In 2007–2009, participating service clinicians approached their patients and asked for consent to study participation. Administrative databases were used to obtain data on comorbidities (Charlson Comorbidity Index) at enrolment, and follow-up data on acute care readmissions over 12 months and five year mortality. HRQoL was compared to aged-matched norms using Welch’s approximate t-tests. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to explore which patient factors were predictive of readmissions and mortality.

Results

There were 210 study participants, mean age 78 years, 67% were female. Participants reported significantly worse HRQoL than age-matched population norms with a mean AQOL of 0.30 (SD 0.27). Seventy-eight (38%) participants were readmitted over 12-months and 5-year mortality was 65 (31%). Multivariate regression found that an AQOL utility score <0.37 (OR 1.95, 95%CI, 1.03 – 3.70), and a Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥6 (OR 4.89, 95%CI 2.37 – 10.09) were predictive of readmission. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that age ≥80 years (OR 7.15, 95%CI, 1.83 – 28.02), and Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥6 (OR 6.00, 95%CI, 2.82 – 12.79) were predictive of death.

Conclusion

This study confirms that the AQoL instrument is a robust measure of HRQoL in older community-dwelling adults with chronic illness. Lower self-reported HRQoL was associated with an increased risk of readmission independently of comorbidity and kind of service provided, but was not an independent predictor of five-year mortality.

Electrocardiograph Changes, Troponin Levels and Cardiac Complications After Orthopaedic Surgery

Introduction: The relationship between electrocardiograph (ECG) changes and troponin levels after the emergency orthopaedic surgery are not well characterised. The aim of this study was to determine the correlation between ECG changes (ischaemia or arrhythmia), troponin elevations perioperatively and cardiac complications. Materials and Methods: One hundred and eighty-seven orthopaedic patients over 60 years of age were prospectively tested for troponin I and ECGs were performed on the first 3 postoperative mornings or until discharge. Results: The incidences of pre- and postoperative troponin elevation were 15.5% and 37.4% respectively, the majority were asymptomatically detected. Most of the patients who sustained a troponin rise did not have any concomitant ECG changes (51/70 or 72.9%). Postoperative ECG changes were noted in 18.4% (34/185) and of those with ECG changes, slightly more than half (55.9%) had a troponin elevation. Most ECG changes occurred on postoperative day 1 and were non-ST elevation in type. ECG changes occurred more frequently with higher troponin levels. Postoperative troponin elevation (P = 0.018) and not preoperative troponin level (P = 0.060) was associated with ECG changes on univariate analysis. Two premorbid factors were predictors of postoperative ECG changes using multivariate logistical regression; age [odds ratio (OR), 1.05; 95% CI, 1.005 to 1.100, P = 0.029) and sex OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.069 to 5.446, P = 0.034). Twenty patients sustained postoperative cardiac complications; 9 (45%) were associated with ECG changes and 16 (80%) with postoperative troponin elevation. Pre- or postoperative troponin elevation better predicted cardiac complications compared with preoperative ECG changes. Conclusion: Electrocardiograph changes do not necessarily accompany troponin elevations after the emergency orthopaedic surgery but are more likely to have higher troponin levels. The best predictor of postoperative cardiac complications is troponin elevation. Key words: Cardiovascular, Fracture, Myocardial ischaemia, Myocardial infarction, Surgery

Electrocardiograph changes, troponin levels and cardiac complications after orthopaedic surgery

INTRODUCTION

The relationship between electrocardiograph (ECG) changes and troponin levels after the emergency orthopaedic surgery are not well characterised. The aim of this study was to determine the correlation between ECG changes (ischaemia or arrhythmia), troponin elevations perioperatively and cardiac complications.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

One hundred and eighty-seven orthopaedic patients over 60 years of age were prospectively tested for troponin I and ECGs were performed on the fi rst 3 postoperative mornings or until discharge.

RESULTS

The incidences of pre- and postoperative troponin elevation were 15.5% and 37.4% respectively, the majority were asymptomatically detected. Most of the patients who sustained a troponin rise did not have any concomitant ECG changes (51/70 or 72.9%). Postoperative ECG changes were noted in 18.4% (34/185) and of those with ECG changes, slightly more than half (55.9%) had a troponin elevation. Most ECG changes occurred on postoperative day 1 and were non-ST elevation in type. ECG changes occurred more frequently with higher troponin levels. Postoperative troponin elevation (P = 0.018) and not preoperative troponin level (P = 0.060) was associated with ECG changes on univariate analysis. Two premorbid factors were predictors of postoperative ECG changes using multivariate logistical regression; age [odds ratio (OR), 1.05; 95% CI, 1.005 to 1.100, P = 0.029) and sex OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.069 to 5.446, P = 0.034). Twenty patients sustained postoperative cardiac complications; 9 (45%) were associated with ECG changes and 16 (80%) with postoperative troponin elevation. Pre- or postoperative troponin elevation better predicted cardiac complications compared with preoperative ECG changes.

CONCLUSION

Electrocardiograph changes do not necessarily accompany troponin elevations after the emergency orthopaedic surgery but are more likely to have higher troponin levels. The best predictor of postoperative cardiac complications is troponin elevation.

Performance of new signal-to-noise ratio estimation for SEM images based on single image noise cross-correlation

A new technique for estimation of signal-to-noise ratio in scanning electron microscope images is reported. The method is based on the image noise cross-correlation estimation model recently developed. We derive the basic performance limits on a single image signal-to-noise ratio estimation using the Cramer-Rao inequality. The results are compared with those from existing estimation methods including the nearest neighbourhood (the simple method), the first order linear interpolator, and the autoregressive based estimator. The comparisons were made using several tests involving different images within the performance bounds. From the results obtained, the efficiency and accuracy of image noise cross-correlation estimation technique is considerably better than the other three methods.

Hospital treatment in residential care facilities is a viable alternative to hospital admission for selected patients

AIM

To determine if hospital treatment in residential care facilities, led by a geriatric team, might be a viable alternative to inpatient admission for selected patients.

METHODS

Case series with a new intervention were compared with historical controls receiving the conventional treatment. Treatment in residential care facilities (TRC) by the Residential Care Intervention Program in The Elderly (RECIPE) service was compared against the conventional treatment group, aged care unit (ACU) inpatients.

RESULTS

A total of 95 patients in TRC and 167 patients in ACU were included. The mean Charlson Comorbidity Index score was 7 in both groups and demographics were similar, except more patients in the TRC group had dementia. Palliative care support was provided to 35.8% in the TRC group, compared with 7.8% in ACU, P < 0.001. Six-month mortality rates were similar at 30% for both groups. Rehospitalization rates at 6 months were similar at 41% for both groups. Length of care was significantly shorter for TRC (mean 2 days) compared with ACU (mean 11 days), P < 0.001.

CONCLUSIONS

Hospital treatment in residential care is viable for most patients, including those with dementia and those who need palliative care support. This model of care offers a valuable geriatric service to residents who would prefer to avoid hospital transfers, with no difference in mortality or rehospitalization rates for those treated in residential care, but a significant reduction in length of care.

Does cardiology intervention improve mortality for post-operative troponin elevations after emergency orthopaedic-geriatric surgery? A randomised controlled study

OBJECTIVES

Troponin elevations are common after emergency orthopaedic surgery and confer a higher mortality at one year. The objective was to determine if comprehensive cardiology care after emergency orthopaedic surgery reduces mortality at one year in patients who sustain a post-operative troponin elevation versus standard care.

METHODS

A randomised controlled trial was conducted at a metropolitan teaching hospital in Melbourne, Australia. 187 consecutive patients were eligible with 70 patients randomised. Troponin I was tested peri-operatively and patients with a troponin elevation were randomised to cardiology care versus standard ward management. The main outcome measure was one year mortality.

RESULTS

The incidence of a post-operative troponin elevation was 37.4% (70/187) and these 70 patients were randomised. In-hospital cardiac complications were similar between the randomised groups: standard care (7/35 or 20.0%) versus cardiology care (8/35 or 22.9%). There was no difference in 1 year mortality between the randomised groups (6/35 or 17.1% in each group). Multivariate predictors of 1 year mortality were post-operative troponin elevation OR 4.3 (95% CI, 1.1-16.4, p=0.035), age OR 1.1 (95% CI, 1.02-1.2, p=0.016) and number of comorbidities OR 2.1 (95% CI, 1.3-3.5, p=0.004). At 1 year 35/187 (18.7%) sustained a cardiac complication and 23/35 (65.7%) had a troponin elevation.

CONCLUSIONS

There was no difference in mortality between patients with a post-operative troponin elevation randomised to cardiology care compared with standard care. Troponin elevation predicted one year mortality. Further research is needed to find an effective intervention to reduce mortality.

N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and angiotensin-converting enzyme-2 levels and their association with postoperative cardiac complications after emergency orthopedic surgery

The prognostic usefulness of the cardiac biomarkers N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE-2), in predicting adverse cardiac outcomes after orthopedic surgery is not well studied. The aim of our study was to determine the usefulness of perioperative NT-proBNP and ACE-2 for predicting cardiac events after emergency orthopedic surgery. The perioperative NT-proBNP and ACE-2 levels were determined in 187 consecutive patients aged >60 years who underwent orthopedic surgery with 1 year of follow-up for any cardiac complications (defined as acute myocardial infarction, congestive cardiac failure, atrial fibrillation, or major arrhythmia) and death. Of the 187 patients, 20 (10.7%) sustained an in-hospital postoperative cardiac complication. The total all-cause in-hospital and 1-year mortality rate was 1.6% (3 of 187) and 8.6% (16 of 187), respectively. The median preoperative and postoperative NT-proBNP level was greater in patients who sustained an in-hospital cardiac event than in those who had not (386 vs 2,273 pg/ml, p <0.001, and 605 vs 4,316 pg/ml, p <0.001, respectively). Similarly, the postoperative median ACE-2 levels were significantly greater in the patients with an in-hospital cardiac event than in those without (25.3 vs 39.5 pmol/ml/min, p = 0.012). A preoperative NT-proBNP level of ≥741 pg/ml (odds ratio 4.5, 95% confidence interval 1.3 to 15.2, p = 0.017), postoperative troponin elevation (odds ratio 4.9, 95% confidence interval 1.3 to 18.9, p = 0.022), and number of co-morbidities (odds ratio 1.8, 95% confidence interval 1.2 to 2.8, p = 0.009) independently predicted in-hospital cardiac complications on multivariate analysis. The pre- and postoperative NT-proBNP level independently predicted 1-year cardiovascular complications but not the ACE-2 levels. In conclusion, elevated perioperative NT-proBNP predicted in-hospital and 1-year cardiac events in an emergency orthopedic population but the ACE-2 levels did not, which requires additional study for validation.

Impact of troponin 1 on long-term mortality after emergency orthopaedic surgery in older patients

OBJECTIVES

To determine the association between post-operative troponin rises and longer term (2-year) mortality after emergency orthopaedic surgery in patients over 60 years of age.

METHODS

One hundred and two patients were recruited in 2006 and had inpatient troponin 1 measurements. These patients were followed up by a telephone call annually for complications.

RESULTS

At 2 years, 29.4% (30/102) of patients had died. Twenty-five patients (25/54 or 49.3%) with a troponin rise were dead at 2 years compared with five patients without a troponin rise (5/48 or 10.4%), which was significantly different P < 0.0001. Patients with a higher troponin level (>0.1 µg/L) were more likely to be dead at 2 years compared with those with a lower level of troponin. However, when adjusted for other comorbidities the association between troponin elevation and death at 2 years did not persist. Using Cox regression multivariate analysis, only one factor, sustaining an in-hospital cardiac event odds ratio 4.3 (95% confidence interval 1.8-10.3, P = 0.001), was associated with 2 years all-cause mortality . Furthermore, patients who sustained a symptomatic troponin rise (P < 0.0001) or asymptomatic troponin rise (P = 0.004) were more likely to have died at 2 years compared with those with no troponin rise. Three factors were significantly associated with a cardiac event during the second year: (i) post-operative troponin rise (P = 0.05); (ii) pre-morbid atrial fibrillation (P = 0.04); and (iii) post-operative renal failure (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Elevated post-operative troponin levels are predictive of 1-year but not 2-year mortality in older patients undergoing emergency orthopaedic surgery.

Usefulness of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide to predict postoperative cardiac complications and long-term mortality after emergency lower limb orthopedic surgery

After emergency orthopedic-geriatric surgery, cardiac complications are an important cause of morbidity and mortality. The utility of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP) for the prediction of cardiac complications and mortality was evaluated. NT-pro-BNP was tested pre- and postoperatively in 89 patients >60 years of age. They were followed for 2 years for cardiac complications (defined as acute myocardial infarction, congestive cardiac failure, atrial fibrillation or major arrhythmia) or death. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to determine the optimal discriminatory level for cardiac events and death using NT-pro-BNP. Twenty-three patients (25.8%) sustained an in-hospital postoperative cardiac complication. Total all-cause mortality was 3 of 89 (3.4%) in hospital, 21 of 89 (23.6%) at 1 year, and 27 of 89 (30.3%) at 2 years. Median preoperative and postoperative NT-pro-BNP levels were higher in patients who had an in-hospital cardiac event compared to those without (387 vs 1,969 pg/ml, p <0.001; and 676 vs 7,052 pg/ml, p <0.001 respectively). The optimal discriminatory level for preoperative NT-pro-BNP was 842 pg/ml and that for postoperative NT-pro-BNP was 1,401 pg/ml for the prediction of in-hospital cardiac events and 1- and 2-year mortality. Preoperative NT-pro-BNP >/=842 pg/ml (odds ratio 11.6, 95% confidence interval 2.1 to 65.0, p = 0.005) was an independent predictor of in-hospital cardiac complications using multivariate analysis and pre- and postoperative NT-pro-BNP levels were independent predictors of 2-year cardiovascular events. Patients who had preoperative NT-pro-BNP >/=842 pg/ml or postoperative NT-pro-BNP >/=1,401 pg/ml had significantly worse survival using log-rank testing (p <0.001) and these variables independently predicted 2-year mortality. In conclusion, increase pre- and postoperative NT-pro-BNP levels are independent predictors of in-hospital cardiac events and 1- and 2-year mortality in older patients undergoing emergency orthopedic surgery.