External validation in an Australian population of the EORTC-DeCOG nomogram predicting recurrence, distant metastasis and overall mortality in melanoma patients with positive sentinel lymph nodes

BACKGROUND

Calculating an accurate prognosis for melanoma patients who have a positive sentinel node (SN) biopsy is important both for them and for their treating doctors to guide decision-making, particularly when adjuvant systemic therapy is being considered. The recently published EORTC-DeCOG nomograms aim to provide this via an online portal that predicts 5-year rates for recurrence, distant metastasis and overall mortality. The present study provides external validation of these nomograms.

METHODS/MATERIALS

De-identified data from patients with a positive SN biopsy between 2003 and 2015 were extracted from the prospectively maintained Melanoma Institute Australia (MIA) research database. ROC-curves with C-statistics, regression co-efficients and Decision Curve Net Benefit analyses were performed using the integrated private validation portal on the nomograms' hosting platform (Evidencio).

RESULTS

Complete data were available for 352 patients. The respective C-statistics for recurrence, distant metastasis and overall mortality nomogram validations were 0.68, 0.69 and 0.66.

CONCLUSION

The performance of the nomograms in predicting recurrence and distant metastasis was similar in the MIA and the development populations, suggesting that they are robust. However, the overall mortality nomogram performance was significantly poorer in the MIA population (C-statistic 0.66) than in the original EORTC-DeCOG derivation cohort (C-statistic 0.70) and may therefore be less reliable for clinical use.

A New Online Dynamic Nomogram: Construction and Validation of a Predictive Model for Distant Metastasis Risk and Prognosis in Patients with Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors

BACKGROUND

Gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) is the most common sarcoma of the digestive tract, among which patients with distant metastases tend to have a poor prognosis. This study aimed to develop a model for predicting distant metastasis in GIST patients and to develop two models for monitoring overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in GIST patients with metastasis. This would allow us to develop an optimal, individualized treatment strategy.

METHODS

We reviewed demographic and clinicopathological characteristics data from 2010 to 2017 of patients diagnosed with GIST in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The data of the external validation group was reviewed from the Forth Hospital of Hebei Medical University. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to confirm the independent risk factors for distant metastasis in the GIST patients, and univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify the independent prognostic factors for OS and CSS in the GIST patients with distant metastasis. Subsequently, three web-based novel nomograms were developed, which were evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Of the 3639 patients who met the inclusion criteria, 418 (11.4%) had distant metastases. The risk factors for distant metastasis in GIST patients included sex, primary site, grade, N stage, tumor size, and mitotic count. For OS, the independent prognosis factors for GIST patients with metastasis included age, race, marital, primary site, chemotherapy, mitotic count, and metastasis at the lung, and for CSS, age, race, marital, primary site, and metastasis at the lung were the independent prognosis factors. Three web-based nomograms were constructed based on these independent factors, respectively. The ROC curves, calibration curves, and DCA were performed in the training, testing, and validation sets which confirmed the high accuracy and strong clinical practice power for the nomograms.

CONCLUSION

Population-based nomograms can help clinicians predict the occurrence and prognosis of distant metastases in patients with GIST, which may be helpful for clinicians to formulate clinical management and appropriate treatment strategies.

Clinicopathological correlation of Cathepsin K expression in salivary gland carcinomas; relation to patients` outcome

BACKGROUND

Salivary gland carcinomas (SGCs) represent various groups of tumors that demonstrate marked diversity in their prognosis owing to different histology and clinical characteristics. One of the poor prognostic indicators is distant metastasis which is considered the major reason for death in SGC patients. Discovering new biomarkers is urgently required to aid in the detection of cancer onset and progression. Cathepsin K (CTSK), the lysosomal cysteine protease has a principal role in cancer invasion and progression through interaction with the tumor microenvironment, degradation of extracellular membrane proteins and destruction of the elastic lamina of blood vessels. In the English literature, little information was present about the role of CTSK in SGCs. The current study aimed to assess the immunohistochemical expression of CTSK in SGCs and correlate its expression to different clinicopathologic parameters.

METHODS

The retrospective study applied to 45 cases of SGCs categorized as high-grade (33 cases) and low-grade SGCs (12 cases) following the criteria of WHO classification (2017) of head and neck tumors. All patients` clinicopathological and follow-up records were retrieved. The following statistical tests were used to study the variance of CTSK expression in SGCs concerning different clinicopathological parameters; Pearson`s Chi-square test, unpaired two-tailed student t-test, One-way ANOVA, and Post Hoc tests. Disease-free survival (DFS) and Overall survival (OS) were calculated and displayed with the Kaplan-Meier strategy and analyzed with the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate survival analyses were performed with Cox regression. A P-value lesser than 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Strong CTSK expression was significantly related to high-grade SGCs (P = 0.000), large infiltrating carcinomas (P = 0.000), presence of nodal (P = 0.041) and distant metastasis (P = 0.009), advanced TNM clinical stage (P = 0.000), the incidence of recurrence (P = 0.009), and reduced DFS (P = 0.006). Distant metastasis was the independent predictor for DFS using Cox regression model.

CONCLUSIONS

CTSK has a great role in cancer progression by triggering many signaling pathways. Its level in cancerous tissue is considered an effective index for predicting the severity and prognosis of cancer. Therefore, we indicate its utility as a prognostic tool and therapeutic target for cancer treatment.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Retrospectively registered.

The prediction of distant metastasis risk for male breast cancer patients based on an interpretable machine learning model

OBJECTIVES

This research was designed to compare the ability of different machine learning (ML) models and nomogram to predict distant metastasis in male breast cancer (MBC) patients and to interpret the optimal ML model by SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) framework.

METHODS

Four powerful ML models were developed using data from male breast cancer (MBC) patients in the SEER database between 2010 and 2015 and MBC patients from our hospital between 2010 and 2020. The area under curve (AUC) and Brier score were used to assess the capacity of different models. The Delong test was applied to compare the performance of the models. Univariable and multivariable analysis were conducted using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Of 2351 patients were analyzed; 168 (7.1%) had distant metastasis (M1); 117 (5.0%) had bone metastasis, and 71 (3.0%) had lung metastasis. The median age at diagnosis is 68.0 years old. Most patients did not receive radiotherapy (1723, 73.3%) or chemotherapy (1447, 61.5%). The XGB model was the best ML model for predicting M1 in MBC patients. It showed the largest AUC value in the tenfold cross validation (AUC:0.884; SD:0.02), training (AUC:0.907; 95% CI: 0.899-0.917), testing (AUC:0.827; 95% CI: 0.802-0.857) and external validation (AUC:0.754; 95% CI: 0.739-0.771) sets. It also showed powerful ability in the prediction of bone metastasis (AUC: 0.880, 95% CI: 0.856-0.903 in the training set; AUC: 0.823, 95% CI:0.790-0.848 in the test set; AUC: 0.747, 95% CI: 0.727-0.764 in the external validation set) and lung metastasis (AUC: 0.906, 95% CI: 0.877-0.928 in training set; AUC: 0.859, 95% CI: 0.816-0.891 in the test set; AUC: 0.756, 95% CI: 0.732-0.777 in the external validation set). The AUC value of the XGB model was larger than that of nomogram in the training (0.907 vs 0.802) and external validation (0.754 vs 0.706) sets.

CONCLUSIONS

The XGB model is a better predictor of distant metastasis among MBC patients than other ML models and nomogram; furthermore, the XGB model is a powerful model for predicting bone and lung metastasis. Combining with SHAP values, it could help doctors intuitively understand the impact of each variable on outcome.

Targeting CD73 increases therapeutic response to immunogenic chemotherapy by promoting dendritic cell maturation

The CD39-CD73-adenosinergic pathway converts adenosine triphosphate (ATP) to adenosine for inhibiting anti-tumor immune responses. Therefore, targeting CD73 to reinvigorate anti-tumor immunity is considered the novel cancer immunotherapy to eradicate tumor cells. To fully understand the critical role of CD39/CD73 in colon adenocarcinoma (COAD), this study aims to comprehensive investigate the prognostic significance of CD39 and CD73 in stage I-IV COAD. Our data demonstrated that CD73 staining strongly marked malignant epithelial cells and CD39 was highly expressed in stromal cells. Attractively, tumor CD73 expression was significantly associated with tumor stage and the risk of distant metastasis, which suggested CD73 was as an independent factor for colon adenocarcinoma patients in univariate COX analysis [HR = 1.465, 95%CI = 1.084-1.978, p = 0.013]; however, high stromal CD39 in COAD patients was more likely to have favorable survival outcome [HR = 1.458, p = 1.103-1.927, p = 0.008]. Notably, high CD73 expression in COAD patients showed poor response to adjuvant chemotherapy and high risk of distant metastasis. High CD73 expression was inversely associated with less infiltration of CD45⁺ and CD8⁺ immune cells. However, administration with anti-CD73 antibodies significantly increased the response to oxaliplatin (OXP). Blockade of CD73 signaling synergistically enhanced OXP-induced ATP release, which is a marker of immunogenic cell death (ICD), promotes dendritic cell maturation and immune cell infiltration. Moreover, the risk of colorectal cancer lung metastasis was also decreased. Taken together, the present study revealed tumor CD73 expression inhibited the recruitment of immune cells and correlated with a poor prognosis in COAD patients, especially patients received adjuvant chemotherapy. Targeting CD73 to markedly increased the therapeutic response to chemotherapy and inhibited lung metastasis. Therefore, tumor CD73 may be an independent prognostic factor as well as the potential of therapeutic target for immunotherapy to benefit colon adenocarcinoma patients.

A prediction model for distant metastasis after isolated locoregional recurrence of breast cancer

PURPOSE

The impact of progesterone receptor (PR) status on the prognosis of breast cancer after isolated locoregional recurrence (ILRR) remains unclear. This study evaluated the impact of clinicopathologic factors, including PR status of ILRR, on distant metastasis (DM) after ILRR.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified 306 patients with ILRR diagnosed at the National Cancer Center Hospital between 1993 and 2021 from the database. Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to examine factors associated with DM after ILRR. We developed a risk prediction model based on the number of detected risk factors and estimated survival curves using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up time of 4.7 years after ILRR diagnosis, 86 patients developed DM, and 50 died. Multivariate analysis revealed that seven risk factors were associated with poor distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS): estrogen receptor-positive/PR-negative/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative ILRR, short disease-free interval, recurrence site other than ipsilateral breast, no-resection of ILRR tumor, chemotherapy for the primary tumor, nodal stage in the primary tumor, and no endocrine therapy for ILRR. The predictive model classified patients into 4 groups based on the number of risk factors: low-, intermediate-, high-, and the highest-risk groups with 0 to 1, 2, 3 to 4, and 5 to 7 factors, respectively. This revealed significant variation in DMFS among the groups. A higher number of the risk factors was associated with poorer DMFS.

CONCLUSION

Our prediction model, which considered the ILRR receptor status, may contribute to the development of a treatment strategy for ILRR.

Analysis of risk characteristics for metachronous metastasis in different period of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To identify the main risk factors for metachronous metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in different periods after radiotherapy and estimate the weight of various factors in the early or late metachronous metastasis (EMM/LMM) groups.

METHODS

This retrospective registry consists of 4434 patients with newly diagnosed NPC. Cox regression analysis was used to assess the independent significance of various risk factors. The Interactive Risk Attributable Program (IRAP) was used to calculate the attributable risks (ARs) for metastatic patients during different periods.

RESULTS

Among 514 metastatic patients, 346 (67.32%) patients diagnosed with metastasis within 2 years after treatment were classified into the EMM group, while other 168 patients were classified into the LMM group. The ARs of T-stage, N-stage, pre-Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA, post-EBV DNA, age, sex, pre-neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, pre-platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, pre-hemoglobin (HB), and post-HB were 20.19, 67.25, 2.81, 14.28, 18.50, - 11.17%, 14.54, 9.60, 3.74% and - 9.79%, respectively, in the EMM group. In the LMM group, the corresponding ARs were 3.68, 49.11, - 18.04%, 2.19, 6.11, 0.36, 4.62, 19.77, 9.57 and 7.76%, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, the total AR for tumor-related factors was 78.19%, and that for patient-related factors was 26.07% in the EMM group. In the LMM group, the total AR of tumor-related factors was 43.85%, while the weights of patient-related factors was 39.97%. In addition, except for these identified tumor- and patient-related factors, other unevaluated factors played a more important role in patients with late metastasis, with the weight increasing by 15.77%, from 17.76% in the EMM group to 33.53% in the LMM group.

CONCLUSION

Most metachronous metastatic NPC cases occurred in the first 2 years after treatment. Early metastasis was mainly affected by tumor-related factors, which accounted for a declining percentage in the LMM group.

Metastatic Patterns and Prognosis of Patients with Sinonasal Carcinoma: A Population-Based Study

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to summarize the incidence, risk factors, and prognostic factors of distant metastasis of sinonasal carcinoma.

METHODS

We collected data for patients diagnosed with sinonasal carcinoma from 2010 to 2015 from the SEER database and analyzed the risk factors for distant metastasis via univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. In addition, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis models were used to describe the factors related to the overall survival of patients with distant metastasis.

RESULTS

A total of 2,255 patients were included in the study, including 86 in the distant metastasis group and 2,169 in the nondistant metastasis group. In the univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, we found that the risk factors affecting distant metastasis were poorly differentiated tumor grade (HR = 1.932, 95% CI: 1.082-3.452, p = 0.026), advanced T stage (T3-T4) (HR = 4.302, 95% CI: 2.047-9.039, p < 0.001), and advanced N stage (HR = 3.093, 95% CI: 1.911-5.005, p < 0.001). Moreover, elderly patients had a poorer prognosis than young patients (HR = 1.792, 95% CI: 1.096-2.931, p = 0.02) and that surgical treatment improved the survival rate of tumor patients with distant metastasis (HR = 0.450, 95% CI: 0.247-0.821, p = 0.009).

CONCLUSION

Tumor grade, T stage, and N stage are risk factors for distant metastasis in sinonasal carcinoma, while an age of less than 65 years and surgery were positive prognostic factors for sinonasal carcinoma patients with distant metastasis.

Routine and interval detection of locoregional breast cancer recurrences and risk of subsequent distant metastasis

PURPOSE

Follow-up for breast cancer survivors consists of after care and surveillance. The benefits of routine surveillance visits remain debatable. In this study we compared the severity of locoregional recurrences (LRRs) and the subsequent risk of a distant metastasis (DM) between LRRs detected at routine and interval visits.

METHODS

Women diagnosed with early breast cancer between 2003 and 2008 in one of the 15 participating hospitals, and who developed a LRR as first event after primary treatment, were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry (Cohort A). Chi-squared tests were used to compare the severity of routine- and interval-detected local recurrences (LRs) and regional recurrences (RRs), using tumor size, tumor grade, and number of positive lymph nodes. Data on the development of a subsequent DM after a LRR were available for a subset of patients (Cohort B). Cohort B was used to estimate the association between way of LRR-detection and risk of a DM.

RESULTS

Cohort A consisted of 109 routine- and 113 interval-LRR patients. The severity of routine-detected LRs or RRs and interval-detected LRs or RRs did not significantly differ. Cohort B consisted of 66 routine- and 61 interval-LRR patients. Sixteen routine- (24%) and 17 (28%) interval-LRR patients developed a DM. After adjustment, way of LRR-detection was not significantly associated with the risk of a DM (hazard ratio: 1.22; 95% confidence interval: 0.49-3.06).

CONCLUSION

The current study showed that routine visits did not lead to less severe LRRs and did not decrease the risk of a subsequent DM.

The role of radiologic extranodal extension in predicting prognosis and chemotherapy benefit for T1-2 N1 nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A multicenter retrospective study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

This multicenter retrospective study aimed to investigated the prognostic value of unequivocal radiologic extranodal extension (rENE) and the efficacy of chemotherapy for stage T1-2 N1 nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in the IMRT era.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We included 1,082 patients treated in 2005-2017 from three centers. rENE was recorded as G1 (coalescent nodal mass comprising ≥ 2 inseparable nodes) or G2 (invading beyond perinodal fat to frankly infiltrate adjacent structures). Multivariable analysis (MVA) evaluated the prognostic value of rENE. The value of chemotherapy was assessed in rENE-positive (rENE + ) and rENE-negative (rENE - ) subset separately.

RESULTS

Centers 1, 2, and 3 had 139/515 (27.0 %), 100/365 (27.4 %), and 43/202 (21.3 %) cN + patients with rENE, respectively. Compared to rENE-, rENE + patients had a worse distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) and overall survival (OS) (all p < 0.001). MVA confirmed the prognostic of both G1-rENE and G2-rENE for distant metastasis [G1: hazard ratio (HR): 2.933, G2: HR: 6.942, all p < 0.001] and death (G1: HR: 1.587, p = 0.040; G2: HR: 6.162, p < 0.001). There was no significant difference for DMFS and OS between chemo-radiotherapy and radiotherapy alone in rENE + and rENE - groups (all p > 0.1). However, rENE + patients with a cumulative cisplatin/nedaplatin dose (CCND) of > 160 mg/m² had an improved DMFS (p = 0.033) but no OS (p = 0.197).

CONCLUSION

Unequivocal rENE is prognostic in patients with T1-2 N1 NPC. Addition of chemotherapy to radiotherapy did not affect DMFS and OS in rENE - patients. Chemotherapy with a CCND of > 160 mg/m² improved DMFS in rENE + patients.

Metastatic Seminoma Presenting in Kidney and Cervical Lymph Nodes after a 25-Year Interval: A Case Report and Literature Review

Introduction

Seminoma comprises approximately 50% of testicular germ cell tumors. Retroperitoneal lymph nodes are the most common initial metastatic sites but renal metastases are infrequent and the majority of renal tumors represent primary neoplasm.

Case Presentation

In this study, we present a 48-year-old male with metastases of seminoma to the cervical lymph nodes and kidney after a 25-year interval.

Conclusion

This presentation emphasizes the necessity of advising all patients who are discharged from follow-up that there is a chance of late remote relapse and that if they acquire any illness after discharge, they must inform their doctor about their previous seminoma.

Constructing and validating nomograms to predict risk and prognostic factors of distant metastasis in urothelial bladder cancer patients: a population-based retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Urothelial carcinoma is the most common type of bladder cancer worldwide and it has a poor prognosis for patients with distant metastasis. Nomograms are frequently used in clinical research, but no research has evaluated the diagnostic and prognostic factors of distant metastasis in urothelial bladder cancer (UBC).

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was used to analyze all patients diagnosed with UBC between 2000 and 2017. Lasso regression was used to identify the potential risk predictive factors for distant metastasis in UBC. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were performed to determine independent prognostic factors for distant metastasis urothelial bladder cancer (DMUBC). Subsequently, two nomograms were constructed based on the above models. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC), and calibration curves were performed to evaluate the two nomograms.

RESULTS

The study included 73,264 patients with UBC, with 2,129 (2.9%) having distant metastasis at the time of diagnosis. In the diagnostic model, tumor size, histologic type, and stage N and T were all important risk predictive factors for distant metastasis of UBC. In the prognostic model, age, tumor size, surgery, and chemotherapy were independent factors affecting the prognosis of DMUBC. DCA, ROC, calibration, and Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curves reveal that the two nomograms can effectively predict the diagnosis and prognosis of DMUBC.

CONCLUSION

The developed nomograms are practical methods for predicting the occurrence risk and prognosis of distant metastasis urothelial bladder cancer patients, which may benefit the clinical decision-making process.

Treatment outcomes of cetuximab-containing regimen in locoregional recurrent and distant metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Recurrent/ metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of head and neck (R/M SCCNH) is still a difficult-to-treat disease with poor clinical outcomes and limited treatment choices. In view of locoregional recurrent versus distant metastatic SCCHN, the therapeutic efficacy of cetuximab-containing regimen and relevant prognostic factors for these two groups may be different. Thus, the aim of this study was to explore the treatment outcomes of cetuximab-containing regimen in locoregional recurrent and distant metastatic SCCHN groups, and to identify clinical factors correlated with better survival outcomes.

METHODS

From 2016 to 2020, patients with R/M SCCHN who received cetuximab-containing regimen in our institute were enrolled in this study. Clinical outcomes including overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) were evaluated in both locoregional recurrence and distant metastasis groups. Exploratory analysis were conducted to investigate major clinical features associated with better outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 107 patients with locoregional recurrent SCCHN (N = 66) and distant metastatic SCCNH (N = 41) who received cetuximab-containing regimen were enrolled in this retrospective study. Patients with oral cavity cancer and patients with disease recurrence within 6 months after radiation therapy were significantly increased in locoregional recurrence group. The median OS (15.6 vs. 9.7 months, P = 0.004) and PFS (5.8 months vs. 4.2 months, P = 0.008) were longer in locoregional recurrence group than in distant metastasis group. In multivariate analysis of clinical features, locoregional recurrence was still an important risk factor associated with better OS (Hazzard ratio (HR) 0.64, p = 0.06) and PFS (HR 0.67, p = 0.075). In addition, a trend of favorable disease control rate (DCR; 62.5% vs. 45.0%, p = 0.056) was noted in locoregional recurrence group. In locoregional recurrence group, prior salvage surgery was associated with longer OS (HR = 0.24, P = 0.008) and PFS (HR = 0.30, P = 0.005).

CONCLUSION

SCCHN with locoregional recurrence is associated with better disease control and survival outcomes comparing to distant metastatic SCCHN when treated with cetuximab-containing regimen. Salvage surgery for locoregional recurrence may further improves clinical outcome.

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma with multiple pulmonary metastases following lung cancer surgery: a case report

BACKGROUND

Distant metastasis is extremely rare for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) without lymph node metastasis or extrathyroidal extension, for which active surveillance (AS) is indicated. The evaluation of distant metastases in low-risk PTMC is controversial. A case of PTMC in which AS would have been performed if chest CT and lung surgery had not been performed is reported.

CASE PRESENTATION

The patient was a 71-year-old woman undergoing follow-up in the Department of Thoracic Surgery at our hospital for multiple frosted glass shadows in both lung fields for one and a half years. To make a definitive diagnosis, thoracoscopic right middle lobectomy and left upper partial lobectomy were performed 4 and 6 months earlier, respectively. In both resected specimens, lung adenocarcinoma and small metastasis of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) were found. The patient was transferred to our department for a thorough examination for PTC. Ultrasonography was performed to search for the primary lesion, and it showed an irregular hypoechoic mass of 4 mm and 6 mm in the middle of the right lobe of the thyroid gland. The patient was diagnosed with PTC. Its clinical stage was T1a (m) N0 M1 (stage IVC). Total thyroidectomy and prophylactic central node dissection were performed. The pathological diagnosis was PTC (typical type) pT1a (m) N0. Postoperatively, she received radioactive iodine therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

We experienced an extremely rare case and struggled to determine a treatment plan. We might be aware that lung metastases could develop in low-risk PTMC.

Prognostic significance of lung metastasis-related finding in lenvatinib treatment for differentiated thyroid cancer

PURPOSE

This study aimed to analyze the clinical course of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) who were treated by lenvatinib and investigate the specific criteria for the initiation of lenvatinib in lung metastasis.

METHODS

A total of 111 patients with DTC treated by lenvatinib were included in the study. Patients were divided into two groups based on the target lesion for the initiation of lenvatinib: lung metastasis group and other metastases group.

RESULTS

In the univariate analysis, the tumor size for the lung metastasis (p = 0.002) and the factor of lung metastasis group (p &lt; 0.001) were significantly associated with overall survival (OS). Multivariate analysis revealed that the factor of lung metastasis group [hazard ratio, 0.408; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.206-0.810; p = 0.010] was the only independent prognostic factor of OS. Of the 53 patients in the lung metastasis group, 12 (23%) had lung metastasis-related finding such as pleural effusion (n = 12), hemoptysis (n = 2), and dyspnea (n = 1) at the initiation of lenvatinib treatment. The median OS in patients with or without lung metastasis-related findings were 41.0 [95% CI, 10.4-not available (NA)] months and 62.9 (95% CI, 53.0-NA) months, respectively (p = 0.022).

CONCLUSION

Patients with lung metastasis-related finding at the initiation of lenvatinib treatment had a poorer prognosis among the lung metastasis group. It is important to consider not only the tumor size but also the presence of lung metastasis-related findings when initiating lenvatinib treatment for DTC patients with lung metastasis.

Local Failure Events in Prostate Cancer Treated with Radiotherapy: A Pooled Analysis of 18 Randomized Trials from the Meta-analysis of Randomized Trials in Cancer of the Prostate Consortium (LEVIATHAN)

CONTEXT

The prognostic importance of local failure after definitive radiotherapy (RT) in National Comprehensive Cancer Network intermediate- and high-risk prostate cancer (PCa) patients remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prognostic impact of local failure and the kinetics of distant metastasis following RT.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A pooled analysis was performed on individual patient data of 12 533 PCa (6288 high-risk and 6245 intermediate-risk) patients enrolled in 18 randomized trials (conducted between 1985 and 2015) within the Meta-analysis of Randomized Trials in Cancer of the Prostate Consortium. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard (PH) models were developed to evaluate the relationship between overall survival (OS), PCa-specific survival (PCSS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and local failure as a time-dependent covariate. Markov PH models were developed to evaluate the impact of specific transition states.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

The median follow-up was 11 yr. There were 795 (13%) local failure events and 1288 (21%) distant metastases for high-risk patients and 449 (7.2%) and 451 (7.2%) for intermediate-risk patients, respectively. For both groups, 81% of distant metastases developed from a clinically relapse-free state (cRF state). Local failure was significantly associated with OS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.17, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.06-1.30), PCSS (HR 2.02, 95% CI 1.75-2.33), and DMFS (HR 1.94, 95% CI 1.75-2.15, p < 0.01 for all) in high-risk patients. Local failure was also significantly associated with DMFS (HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.36-1.81) but not with OS in intermediate-risk patients. Patients without local failure had a significantly lower HR of transitioning to a PCa-specific death state than those who had local failure (HR 0.32, 95% CI 0.21-0.50, p < 0.001). At later time points, more distant metastases emerged after a local failure event for both groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Local failure is an independent prognosticator of OS, PCSS, and DMFS in high-risk and of DMFS in intermediate-risk PCa. Distant metastasis predominantly developed from the cRF state, underscoring the importance of addressing occult microscopic disease. However a "second wave" of distant metastases occurs subsequent to local failure events, and optimization of local control may reduce the risk of distant metastasis.

PATIENT SUMMARY

Among men receiving definitive radiation therapy for high- and intermediate-risk prostate cancer, about 10% experience local recurrence, and they are at significantly increased risks of further disease progression. About 80% of patients who develop distant metastasis do not have a detectable local recurrence preceding it.

The pattern and treatment outcomes for rectal cancer with concurrent locoregional recurrence and distant metastases after total mesorectal excision

Background

To study the pattern and treatment outcome of rectal cancer (RC) with concurrent locoregional recurrence (LR) and distant metastasis (DM) after total mesorectal excision (TME) and to identify patient-, disease-, and treatment-related factors associated with differences in prognosis after concurrent LR and DM.

Methods

RC patients who were diagnosed with concurrent LR and DM after TME from May 2015 to June 2019 were included in our study. All patients received single or multiple treatment modalities under the guidance of multidisciplinary team (MDT) of colorectal cancer in Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center. The prognostic value of various clinicopathological factors for survival were calculated by Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox regression analyses.

Results

A total of 74 RC patients with concurrent LR and DM who had undergone TME with a median follow-up of 27 months were eligible for analysis. The median survival of the included patients was 34 months, and 30 patients (41%) died. Fifty-nine patients (80%) underwent comprehensive treatments. Patients with oligometastatic disease (OMD) achieved no evidence of disease (NED) status more frequently than those with multiple metastases (P = 0.003). In the univariate analysis, patients achieving NED, diagnosed with OMD and five or less peritoneal metastases tended to have longer survival after LR and DM diagnosis (P < 0.05). In the multivariate analysis, attaining NED status was the only independent factor for survival (hazard ratio (HR), 2.419; P = 0.032). Survival after concurrent LR and DM in the non-NED group was significantly shorter than that in the NED group (median survival, 32 vs. 46 months; HR, 2.7; P = 0.014).

Conclusions

The pattern and treatment outcome of RC with concurrent LR and DM after TME has changed with the development of multiple treatment modalities. Although the prognosis remains poor, pursuing NED status through comprehensive treatments may improve the survival of RC patients with concurrent LR and DM after TME.

Long-term follow-up of HER2 overexpression in patients with rectal cancer after preoperative radiotherapy: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The role of HER2 overexpression in rectal cancer is controversial.

AIM

To assess the role of HER2 overexpression in the long-term prognosis of rectal cancer.

METHODS

Data from patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who underwent total mesorectal excision after short-course radiotherapy at Beijing Cancer Hospital between May 2002 and October 2005 were collected. A total of 151 tissue samples of rectal cancer were obtained using rigid proctoscopy before neoadjuvant radiotherapy, followed by immunohistochemistry and fluorescence in situ hybridisation to determine the patients’ HER2 expression status. Univariate and multivariate analyses of the associations between the clinicopathological factors and HER2 status were performed. Survival was estimated and compared using the Kaplan-Meier method based on HER2 expression status, and the differences between groups were verified using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

A total of 151 patients were enrolled in this study. A total of 27 (17.9%) patients were ultimately confirmed to be HER2-positive. The follow-up duration ranged from 9 mo to 210 mo, with a median of 134 mo. Distant metastasis and local recurrence occurred in 60 (39.7%) and 24 (15.9%) patients, respectively. HER2 positivity was significantly associated with the pre-treatment lymph node stage (pre-N) (P = 0.040), while there were no differences between HER2 status and age, sex, preoperative CEA levels (pre-CEA), T stage, and lympho-vascular invasion. In terms of prognosis, HER2 overexpression was correlated with distant metastasis (P = 0.002) rather than local recurrence (P > 0.05). The multivariate analysis demonstrated that elevated pre-CEA [P = 0.002, odds ratio (OR) = 3.277, 97.5% confidence interval (CI): 1.543-7.163], post N(+) (P = 0.022, OR = 2.437, 97.5%CI: 1.143-5.308) and HER2(+) (P = 0.003, OR = 4.222, 97.5%CI: 1.667-11.409) were risk factors for distant metastasis. The survival analysis showed that there were significant differences between rectal cancer patients in terms of disease-free survival (DFS) [hazard ratio: 1.69 (95%CI: 0.91-3.14); P = 0.048] and overall survival (OS) [1.95 (1.05-3.63); P = 0.0077].

CONCLUSION

HER2 overexpression is a potential biomarker for predicting lymph node metastasis and distant metastasis, which are associated with worse long-term DFS and OS in rectal cancer patients with locally advanced disease.

Metastatic Risk Stratification of 2526 Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma Patients: A Study Based on Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database

The risk of distant metastasis in medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) has not been well studied. Additional evaluation of MTC metastatic risk can be helpful for improving the quality of medical management. Therefore, we conducted a large population study to develop a method to stratify the risk of metastasis at the initial presentation of MTC patients. We collected 3612 MTC patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, and included 2526 MTC patients in the study after applying exclusion criteria. We selected the most informative variables from a learning cohort of 2019 patients to obtain 1000 models by repetitive random data splicing into training and regularization cohorts. We selected the optimal model and developed a risk table from that model. Our risk table variables consist of age, gender, tumor size, extrathyroidal extension, and lymph node metastasis. The final model showed good calibration when metastatic risk was < 25% and good performance with areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.81, 0.84, and 0.84 in the training, regularization, and test cohorts, respectively. We performed K-means clustering analysis on the model's metastatic estimation and determined three risk groups of patients with significant survival differences (p < 0.001). Low-risk patients had 0.88%, 1.3%, and 0.5% while high-risk patients had 19.7%, 15.8%, and 17.8% risk of metastasis in the three cohorts, respectively. The incorporation of our table into the International MTC Grading System (IMTCGS) requires more comprehensive clinicopathological studies.

How can we address the challenge of distant metastases in HNSCC prognosis?

Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is the eighth most common cancer worldwide. Distant metastasis is the cause of treatment failure in up to 15 - 30% of HNSCC patients; prognosis is generally dismal with a median overall survival of 6-8 months. Three main strategies can be implemented to address this serious clinical issue. First, risk factors have to be managed with strategies aimed to quit smoking and alcohol consumption as well as to improve the worldwide HPV vaccination coverage. Second, increasing the treatment intensity; new therapeutic strategies, including immunotherapy and proton therapy combined with multi-omics data, i.e. artificial intelligence and radiomics, will be helpful to improve high-risk patients' selection. Lastly, early detection of the minimal residual disease with circulating ctDNA and management of oligometastatic patients, could contribute in the burden reduction of distant metastases.

Hepatopulmonary metastases from papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: A case report

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is the most common endocrine malignancy. Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) accounts for the majority of PTC cases. However, concurrent pulmonary and hepatic metastases of PTMC are rarely seen. Here, we present a patient with coexisting liver and lung metastases from PTMC.

CASE SUMMARY

We describe a 26-year-old woman with PTMC with multiple concurrent metastases. After 3 d of unexplained fever, she was admitted to our hospital. Her thyroid functional tests were abnormal. Her positron emission tomography (PET)/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) examination showed increased fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) metabolism and space-occupying lesions in the left lobe of the thyroid. Additionally, PET/MRI images revealed multiple nodules in the lung and liver with increased FDG metabolism. Chest computer tomography (CT) showed multiple pulmonary metastases. Abdominal ultrasound and liver MRI showed multiple space-occupying lesions in the liver. The patient underwent total thyroidectomy and central lymph node dissection. Postoperative pathological analysis showed a papillary microcarcinoma multiplex in the left lobe of the thyroid. A diagnosis of hepatopulmonary metastases from papillary thyroid microcarcinoma was made. The patient was given iodine-131 treatment one year after the surgery. She recovered well after the operation, and the incision healed well. After discharge, she was treated with oral levothyroxine sodium tablets, and symptomatic and supportive treatments were also given to promote radioactive excretion and prevent bone marrow suppression by iodine-131 treatment.

CONCLUSION

Since patients with thyroid cancer concurrent with hepatopulmonary metastases have rarely been reported, our case will highlight the clinical and pathological profiles of these patients.

Local treatment improves survival in patients with stage IVB cervical cancer

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the value of local treatment in stage IVB cervical cancer (CC).

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with stage IVB CC between 2010 and 2015 were included using the data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance the clinicopathological variables of patients. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to analyze the risk factors associated with cause-specific survival (CSS).

RESULTS

We identified 960 patients in this study, all patients had received chemotherapy. Of these patients, 818 patients were treated with local treatment (85.2%), including 724 (88.5%) and 94 (11.5%) patients receiving radiotherapy (RT) alone and surgery ± RT, respectively. Local treatment was the independent prognostic factor associated with better CSS. Before PSM, patients who received RT (hazard ratio [HR] 0.633, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.517-0.775, P < 0.001) or surgery (HR 0.391, 95% CI 0.277-0.552, P < 0.001) were independently associated with a better CSS compared to those with no local treatment. The 3-years CSS rate was 14.4%, 32.4%, and 54.8% in no local treatment, RT alone, and surgery groups, respectively (P < 0.001). Similar results were found after PSM. Patients receiving RT (HR 0.643, 95% CI 0.436-0.947, P = 0.025) and surgery (HR 0.146, 95% CI 0.052-0.410, P < 0.001) had better CSS compared to patients with no local treatment after PSM. While similar CSS was shown between RT alone cohort and the surgery cohort (HR 0.756, 95% CI 0.454-1.260, P = 0.284).

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of local surgery or RT to chemotherapy appears to confer improved survival outcomes in patients with stage IVB CC.

Combined targeted therapy and immunotherapy in anaplastic thyroid carcinoma with distant metastasis: A case report

BACKGROUND

Anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC), also called undifferentiated thyroid cancer, is the least common but most aggressive and deadly thyroid gland malignancy of all thyroid cancers[1]. It has poor prognosis, and is the leading cause of death from malignant thyroid tumors. The one-year survival rate is 20%, with a median overall survival (OS) of only 5 mo[2]. The aim of this report is to provide our experience in the diagnosis and treatment of ATC.

CASE SUMMARY

A patient with a thyroid mass underwent surgical treatment after developing symptoms of hoarseness. The resected tumor was pathologically diagnosed as ATC. Imaging examination revealed organ and lymph node metastasis. After multiple cycles of chemotherapy and local radiotherapy, the metastases were not relieved and gradually increased in size and new metastases appeared. The patient immediately received immunotherapy combined with targeted therapy. During treatment, immune-related adverse reactions occurred, which were improved after symptomatic treatment, and tolerated by the patient. The OS of the patient was more than 30 mo after immunotherapy combined with targeted therapy.

CONCLUSION

For metastatic ATC, surgical treatment, radiotherapy and chemotherapy have no significant effect on remission of the disease. However, immunotherapy has made a breakthrough in the treatment of ATC.

Clinical course and outcome of differentiated thyroid cancer patients with pregnancy after diagnosis of distant metastasis

PURPOSE

There is no sufficient data about the clinical course and outcome in thyroid cancer patients who become pregnant after diagnosis of distant metastasis (DM). The current study was conducted to collect information regarding the clinical and reproductive characteristics, and outcomes in thyroid cancer patients who became pregnant after being diagnosed with DM.

METHODS

Records of 125 differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients with age ≤45 years at DM diagnosis who had visited Ito Hospital from January 2005 to June 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. Among those 125 patients, 28 who became pregnant after DM diagnosis were classified as pregnancy group, and the remained 97 patients were classified as comparator group.

RESULTS

In pregnancy group, the median age at malignancy diagnosis, DM diagnosis, and first pregnancy after DM diagnosis was 25 years (range, 4-41 years), 27 years (range, 11-41 years), and 32 years (range, 25-45 years), respectively. Fifty-five pregnancies and 40 live births were reported. Other pregnancy outcomes were miscarriage (n = 14) and induced abortion (n = 1). The 10-year progression-free survival (PFS) rates of pregnant and comparator group were 92.1% and 74.4%, respectively (p = 0.018). The multivariate analysis showed that multiple ¹³¹I treatment was independent negative prognostic factor for PFS (p = 0.046).

CONCLUSIONS

DTC patients with age ≤45 years at DM diagnosis had good survival even though they became pregnant. Our results add to the information required for counseling thyroid cancer patients who have concerns about their fertility in the future.