Beat-to-beat variability of fetal myocardial performance index

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether there is beat-to-beat (BTB) variability in the fetal left myocardial performance index (MPI), as evaluated by an automated system, and whether there is a correlation between MPI and fetal heart rate (FHR).

METHODS

This was a prospective cross-sectional study of uncomplicated, morphologically normal, singleton pregnancies at 20-38 weeks' gestation. Multiple cineloops for left MPI measurement were acquired during a single examination of each fetus. Raw cineloop data were analyzed by our automated MPI system (intraclass correlation coefficient of 1.0 for any given waveform) to produce a set of MPIs. The corresponding instantaneous FHR was measured for each individual cardiac cycle for which MPI was calculated.

RESULTS

Data from 29 fetuses were analyzed; mean MPI was 0.52, mean FHR was 150 beats per min and the median number of cardiac cycles examined per fetus was 70 (interquartile range, 31-115). Marked BTB variability was noted; median coefficient of variation was 10% (range, 5.5-13.9%). FHR was weakly correlated with absolute MPI (r = 0.22; P < 0.05). BTB variation in MPI as a percentage of the mean MPI was not significantly correlated with FHR (r = 0.031; P = 0.146). When standard error of the mean of all MPI values was divided by the mean for each case, it showed that at least four cardiac cycles should be averaged to reduce MPI variability to approximately ± 5%.

CONCLUSION

There is significant BTB variability in fetal left MPI, which has an overall weak correlation with FHR. This could be a factor affecting the consistency of MPI values reported by different research groups. Variability would be reduced by averaging 4-5 cardiac cycles per fetus. Copyright © 2016 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Twin pregnancies complicated by gestational diabetes mellitus: a single centre cohort study

AIMS

In women with a twin pregnancy, to determine the incidence of, risk factors for and outcomes of women with gestational diabetes mellitus, and assess how these have changed with a change in gestational diabetes screening.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study of women with a twin pregnancy attending an Australian tertiary hospital, 2002-2013. Information on gestational diabetes status, gestational diabetes risk factors and pregnancy outcomes was ascertained. Pregnancy outcomes included hypertensive disorders, twin birthweight centile and a composite adverse pregnancy outcome. Analysis was stratified pre/post screening protocol change (epoch 1: 2002-2009, epoch 2: 2010-2013) and by gestational diabetes status.

RESULTS

Gestational diabetes was diagnosed in 86/982 (8.8%) women, increasing from 4.4% to 14.7% between epochs (P = 0.0001). The proportion of women with hypertensive disorders increased (11.7% vs. 13.4%, P = 0.009), but the proportion of infant's birthweight > 90th centile decreased (11.0% vs. 7.6%, P = 0.02) between epochs. Overall, 33.6% of women had ≥ 1 risk factors for gestational diabetes. Three-quarters (73.7%) of women overall had an adverse pregnancy outcome, with a slightly higher proportion in women with gestational diabetes compared with those with no gestational diabetes (79.7% vs. 73.1%, P = 0.06). The rate of the adverse pregnancy outcome did not change by epoch, after adjusting for maternal and pregnancy risk factors (adjusted odds ratio = 0.96, 95% confidence interval 0.73-1.26).

CONCLUSIONS

Almost 1 in 10 women with a twin pregnancy were diagnosed with gestational diabetes, with the incidence of gestational diabetes increasing threefold with a new screening protocol. The pregnancy outcomes of women with a twin pregnancy did not change with increased detection and treatment for gestational diabetes.

Evaluation of an automated fetal myocardial performance index

OBJECTIVE

To compare automated measurements of the fetal left myocardial performance index (MPI) with manual measurements for absolute value, repeatability and waveform acceptability.

METHODS

This was a multicenter international online study using images from uncomplicated, morphologically normal singleton pregnancies (16-38 weeks' gestation). Single Doppler ultrasound cardiac cycle images of 25 cases were selected, triplicated and randomized (n = 75). Six senior observers, unaware of the repetition of images, manually calculated MPI for each waveform and the results were compared with automation. Intraobserver repeatability and interobserver reproducibility were assessed using intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) and 95% CI. The agreement between each observer's manual MPI measurements and corresponding automated measurements was evaluated using Bland-Altman plots and ICCs with 95% CI. The degree of variation between experts in the classification of fetal MPI waveform quality was assessed using individual cardiac cycle left MPI images previously classified by two authors as 'optimal', 'suboptimal' or 'unacceptable', with 30 images selected for each quality group. Ten images in each category were duplicated and the resulting 120 images were randomized and then classified online by five observers. The kappa statistic (κ) was used to demonstrate interobserver and intraobserver agreement and agreement of classifications by the five observers.

RESULTS

The automated measurement software returned the same value for any given image, resulting in an ICC of 1.00. Manual measurements had intraobserver repeatability ICC values ranging from 0.69 to 0.97, and the interobserver reproducibility ICC was 0.78. Comparison of automated vs manual MPI absolute measurements for each observer gave ICCs ranging from 0.77 to 0.96. Interobserver image quality classification agreement gave k = 0.69 (P < 0.001), and the intraobserver agreement was variable (κ ranging from 0.40 to 0.81).

CONCLUSIONS

Automated fetal MPI provides superior repeatability and reproducibility to manual methodology. Additionally, experts vary significantly when classifying suitability of fetal MPI waveforms. Automated MPI may facilitate clinical translation by removing human subjectivity. Copyright © 2015 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Review of the correlation between blood flow velocity and polycythemia in the fetus, neonate and adult: appropriate diagnostic levels need to be determined for twin anemia-polycythemia sequence

Twin anemia-polycythemia sequence (TAPS) is recognized increasingly antenatally by the demonstration of an anemic twin and a polycythemic cotwin using the middle cerebral artery peak systolic velocity (MCA-PSV). While the MCA-PSV has been shown to correlate well with anemia in singleton fetuses, the evidence to support its use to diagnose fetal polycythemia appears to be less clear-cut. We aimed to evaluate fetal, neonatal and adult literature used to support the use of MCA-PSV for the diagnosis of polycythemia. Comprehensive literature searches were performed for ultrasound evidence of polycythemia in the human fetus, neonate and adult using key search terms. Only manuscripts in the English language with an abstract were considered for the review, performed in June 2014. Fifteen manuscripts were found for the human fetus, including 38 cases of TAPS. Nine of these defined fetal polycythemia as MCA-PSV < 0.8 multiples of the median (MoM), five used < 1.0 MoM and one used 0.8-1.0 MoM. Only two studies, involving a total of 15 cases, proposed a diagnostic level, acknowledging false-positive and -negative cases, though neither reported sensitivities or specificities. Six neonatal studies (96 neonates) demonstrated evidence of decreased cerebral velocities in polycythemia and a consequent increase with hemodilution. In the adult, five studies (57 polycythemic adults) demonstrated increased flow or velocity with hemodilution. Neither neonatal nor adult studies conclusively defined levels for screening for polycythemia. Despite widespread adoption of a cut-off of < 0.8 MoM in the published literature for the polycythemic fetus in TAPS, this is based upon minimal evidence, with unknown sensitivity and specificity. We recommend caution in excluding TAPS based purely upon the absence of a reduced MCA-PSV.

Monitoring intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy using the fetal myocardial performance index: a cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate use of the fetal myocardial performance index (MPI) in assessing intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy (ICP).

METHODS

This was a cohort study including cross-sectional and longitudinal data from 31 women with ICP recruited from June 2012 to March 2014. Fetal left, right and delta MPI (LMPI, RMPI and DMPI), and routine measures of fetal growth and wellbeing, were obtained at each ultrasound examination. Results were evaluated with respect to gestational age (GA)-adjusted reference intervals, level of maternal serum bile acid (SBA) and fetal outcome. Lower SBA (≥ 7.5 and < 40 μmol/L) and high SBA (≥ 40 μmol/L) subgroups of cases were defined for the analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 51 ultrasound examinations were performed in 33 fetuses. The mean LMPI, and means of its isovolumetric relaxation time (IRT) and isovolumetric contraction time (ICT) components were significantly higher in all subgroups of cases of ICP relative to the normal reference mean. Considering only the first examination in each case of ICP, IRT was significantly more prolonged in the high SBA group (n = 10) in comparison to the lower SBA group (n = 23) (52.7 ± 8.0 ms vs 47.3 ± 4.8 ms, P = 0.02), and both IRT (r = 0.538, P = 0.001) and LMPI (r = 0.367, P = 0.036) were significantly correlated with SBA concentration. The proportion of high SBA cases with LMPI, RMPI or DMPI > 2 SD above the GA-adjusted reference mean was not significantly greater than for the lower SBA group. On analysis of all data from those cases with more than one examination, no significant correlation was found between SBA concentration and any of the MPI variables.

CONCLUSIONS

LMPI values increase above the population GA-adjusted mean in cases of ICP, particularly amongst women with higher SBA. A significant correlation between IRT and LMPI at initial examination and increasing SBA concentration was found. A future multicenter prospective study may clarify the prognostic utility of MPI in ICP.

The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015

Since the year 2000, a concerted campaign against malaria has led to unprecedented levels of intervention coverage across sub-Saharan Africa. Understanding the effect of this control effort is vital to inform future control planning. However, the effect of malaria interventions across the varied epidemiological settings of Africa remains poorly understood owing to the absence of reliable surveillance data and the simplistic approaches underlying current disease estimates. Here we link a large database of malaria field surveys with detailed reconstructions of changing intervention coverage to directly evaluate trends from 2000 to 2015, and quantify the attributable effect of malaria disease control efforts. We found that Plasmodium falciparum infection prevalence in endemic Africa halved and the incidence of clinical disease fell by 40% between 2000 and 2015. We estimate that interventions have averted 663 (542-753 credible interval) million clinical cases since 2000. Insecticide-treated nets, the most widespread intervention, were by far the largest contributor (68% of cases averted). Although still below target levels, current malaria interventions have substantially reduced malaria disease incidence across the continent. Increasing access to these interventions, and maintaining their effectiveness in the face of insecticide and drug resistance, should form a cornerstone of post-2015 control strategies.