Spatiotemporal predictions of obesity prevalence in Chinese children and adolescents: based on analyses of obesogenic environmental variability and Bayesian model

OBJECTIVE

To find variations in Chinese obesogenic environmental priorities from 2000 to 2011, predict spatiotemporal distribution of obesity prevalence aged 7-17 years in 31 provinces, and provide foundations for policy-makers to reduce obesity in children and adolescents.

METHODS

Based on data examination of provincial obesity prevalence aged 7-17 years from three rounds of China Health and Nutrition Surveys (in 9 [2000], 9 [2006], and 12 [2011] provinces) and corresponding years' environments in 31 provinces from China Statistical Yearbooks and other sources, 12 predictors were selected. We used 30 surveyed provinces in three rounds as training samples to fit three analytic models with partial least-square regressions and prioritized predictors by variable importance projection to find variations. And fitted a spatiotemporal prediction model with Bayesian analysis to infer in space-time.

RESULTS

Variations of obesogenic environmental priorities were found at different times. A Bayesian spatiotemporal prediction model with deviance information criterion of 155.60 and statistically significant (P < 0.05) parameter estimates of intercept (-717.0400, 95% confidence intervals [CI]: -1186.0300, -248.0480), year (0.3584, CI: 0.1245, 0.5924), square of food industry level (0.0003, CI: 0.0002, 0.0004), and log (healthcare) (5.3742, CI: 2.5138, 8.2347) was optimized. Totally inferred average obesity prevalence among children and adolescents were 2.23%, 5.11%, 10.77%, 12.20%, 13.99%, and 17.58% in 31 provinces in China in 2000, 2006, 2011, 2015, 2020, and 2030, respectively. Obesity in north and east of China clusters on predicted maps.

CONCLUSIONS

Obesity prevalence in children and adolescents in China is rapidly increasing, growing at 0.3584% annually from 2000 to 2011. From longitudinal observation, prevalence was significantly influenced by food industry ("Amplifier") and healthcare service ("Balancer"). Targeted interventions in north and east of China are pressing. Further researches on the mechanisms underlying the influence of food industry, healthcare service, and so on in children and adolescents are needed.

Accuracy and precision of the RABBIT technique

One of the most ubiquitous techniques within attosecond science is the so-called reconstruction of attosecond beating by interference of two-photon transitions (RABBIT). Originally proposed for the characterization of attosecond pulses, it has been successfully applied to the accurate determination of time delays in photoemission. Here, we examine in detail, using numerical simulations, the effect of the spatial and temporal properties of the light fields and of the experimental procedure on the accuracy of the method. This allows us to identify the necessary conditions to achieve the best temporal precision in RABBIT measurements. This article is part of the theme issue 'Measurement of ultrafast electronic and structural dynamics with X-rays'.

[Analysis on the short-term outcome of patients with acute myocardial infarction complicating cardiogenic shock due to left main disease]

Objective: To investigate the short-term outcome of patients with acute myocardial infarction complicating cardiogenic shock due to left main disease. Methods: A total of 24 patients with acute myocardial infarction complicating cardiogenic shock due to left main artery disease hospitalized in Fuwai hospital from June 2012 to May 2018 were included. The clinical data were analyzed,and the patients were divided into survivor group (11 cases) and death group (13 cases) according to survival status at 28 days post the diagnosis of shock. The patients were further divided into thrombolysis in myocardial infarction(TIMI) flow grade 0-2 group (11 cases) and TIMI flow grade 3 group (13 cases) according to TIMI flow grade after the procedure. The patients were then divided into non-three-vessel lesions group (14 cases) and three-vessel lesions group (10 cases) according to coronary angiography results. Results: Compared with survivor group, patients in death group presented with lower worst systolic blood pressure within 24 hours after admission (50(48, 70) mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa) vs. 73(70, 80) mmHg, P<0.01), lower worst diastolic blood pressure with in 24 hours after admission ((33.5±12.4) mmHg vs. (48.9±9.4) mmHg, P<0.01), higher respiratory rates ((27.3±2.5) times/min vs. (21.5±4.0) times/min, P<0.01), less 24 hours urine output ((422±266) ml vs. (1 680±863) ml, P<0.01), lower platelet counts ((161.9±81.9)×10(9)/L vs. (241.6±94.0)×10(9)/L, P=0.03), higher serum creatinine ((250.0±36.8) μmol/L vs. (132.7±34.2) μmol/L, P<0.01), higher alanine aminotransferase (288(76,846) IU/ml vs. 81(42, 109) IU/ml, P=0.04), lower artery pH (7.11±0.17 vs. 7.39±0.09, P<0.01), higher lactic acid ((10.29±3.62) mmol/L vs. (4.21±2.85) mmol/L, P<0.01), higher incidence of invasive ventilation (7/13 vs. 2/11, P=0.02), higher scores of acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) Ⅱ (35.4±6.8 vs. 18.7±1.7, P<0.01) and simplified acute physiology score (SAPS) Ⅱ (73.5±17.4 vs. 47.0±4.3, P<0.01), and higher incidence of target vessel TIMI flow grade 0-2 (10/13 vs. 1/11, P<0.01). Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that survival rate at 28 days post the diagnosis of shock in TIMI flow grade 3 group was higher than that in TIMI flow grade 0-2 group (76.9% vs. 9.1%, log-rank test, P<0.01), and mortality rate was similar at 28 days post the diagnosis of shock between non-three-vessel lesions group and three-vessel lesions group (35.7% vs. 60.0%, log-rank test, P=0.14). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that compared with TIMI flow grade 0-2 group, the OR value of death at 28 days post the diagnosis of shock in TIMI flow grade 3 patients with acute myocardial infarction complicating cardiogenic shock due to left main disease was 0.030(95%CI 0.003-0.340, P<0.01). Conclusion: Short-term outcomeof patients with acute myocardial infarction complicating cardiogenic shock due to left main disease remains poor, and final flow of TIMI grade 3 is confirmed as independent protective factor of death at 28 days post the diagnosis of shock in these patients.

The characteristics of internet-based venue sex-seeking and mobility among money boys in Tianjin, China

OBJECTIVES

Internet-based venue sex-seeking is prevalent among money boys (MBs), as is a high degree of mobility, which is crucial for HIV transmission in key populations with high risks of HIV infection. However, correlation studies in MBs are scarce because of the secretive nature of this hard-to-reach subpopulation. We conducted this project to explore the characteristics of MBs.

METHODS

This survey was conducted from December 2014 to June 2015 in Tianjin; a total of 330 MBs were recruited by convenience sampling. Demographic and behavioural data were collected for analysis.

RESULTS

Among the investigated MBs, 38 (11.52%) were HIV positive, 147 (44.55%) reported using internet-based venues to seek sexual partners and 257 (77.88%) had travelled to two or more destinations in the past 6 months. Compared with non-internet-based venue-using MBs, internet-based venue-using MBs were more likely to have part-time employment as MBs, to have a longer duration of working in the sex trade, to engage in finger intercourse and to present a history of substance abuse and sexually transmitted infections. However, internet-based venue-using MBs were less likely to exhibit consistent condom usage and undergo HIV testing. Origin of residence data showed that most MBs were from northern China, with Tianjin, Beijing and Shanghai as the main travel destinations. Mobile MBs were characterized as a group who were fully engaged in the sex trade and frequently took part in sexual activities but had a weak sense of self-protection.

CONCLUSIONS

Internet-based venue sex-seeking and mobility are prevalent in MBs. Renewed efforts in internet-based health promotion and school-based primary health examination programmes may benefit more mobile and/or internet-based venue sex-seeking MBs.

3.7 kW monolithic narrow linewidth single mode fiber laser through simultaneously suppressing nonlinear effects and mode instability

In this paper, we report a 3.7 kW all fiber narrow linewidth single mode fiber laser. The full width at half-maximum is about 0.30 nm, and the beam quality is Mx2=1.358, My2=1.202 at maximum output power. The laser is achieved by simultaneously suppressing nonlinear effects and mode instability (MI). Different seeds are injected into the main amplifier to study stimulated Raman scattering (SRS) effect. The results show that the phase modulated single frequency seed is benefit to suppress the SRS effect. For the phase modulated single frequency seed, inserting a filter in preamplifier will suppress amplified spontaneous emission (ASE) and decrease the backward power. By optimizing the coiling of active fiber, the MI effect is suppressed.

Abstract P1-09-12: TP53 expression in relation to clinical and etiologic factors in breast cancer subtypes

TP53 is a well-known tumor suppressor gene and mutations in TP53 are the most frequent genomic event in most cancers including breast cancer. Recent studies have shown that the frequency, spectrum, timing, and clinical implications of TP53 mutations varied in different molecular subtypes of breast cancer. For example, the frequency of TP53 mutations is the highest in basal-like subtype and lowest in luminal A tumors. However, the evaluation of TP53 protein expression, as a surrogate for TP53 mutations, in large studies in the context of tumor subtypes is limited. In addition, the etiologic relevance of TP53 expression is yet to be investigated. The goal of this study is to evaluate the association of clinical and breast cancer risk factors with TP53 expression, measured using immunohistochemistry (IHC), in breast cancer molecular subtypes. The analysis included 7,226 women with invasive breast cancer who were diagnosed and treated in a tertiary hospital in Beijing, China. Subtypes were defined as Luminal A: ER+ and PR+, HER2–, and low grade (grades 1 or 2); luminal B/HER2–: ER+ and/or PR+, HER2–, and high grade (grade 3); luminal B/HER2+: ER+ and/or PR+, HER2+ (regardless of grade); HER2-enriched: ER–, PR–, and HER2+; Triple-negative (TN): ER–, PR–, and HER2–. As expected, positive TP53 staining showed the lowest frequency in the luminal A (46%) and highest in the TN (61%) and HER2-enriched (63%) subtypes (P-value &lt;0.001). Overall and particularly in luminal A patients, positive TP53 staining was associated with higher frequencies of aggressive tumor features such as higher grade, larger tumor size, higher proliferative index, and EGFR expression. Compared with TP53– patients, TP53+ patients were more likely to have younger ages at onset and increased parity, but these associations were largely driven by the luminal A subtype [OR (95% CI) vs nulliparity = 2.67 (1.59, 4.51); 2.63 (1.52, 4.55); 3.68 (2.01, 6.72) for 1, 2, and ≥3 children, respectively (P-trend = 0.006)]. Luminal A/TP53+ patients were also more likely to have breastfed [OR (95% CI) ever vs never = 1.38 (1.03, 1.85)] than luminal A/TP53– patients. These findings suggest that TP53 IHC staining might be used to further refine the classification of luminal A breast cancer into subgroups with distinct clinical and etiologic relevance.

Citation Format: Yang XR, Abubakar M, Guo C, Koka H, Sung H, Guida J, Deng J, Zhou B, Hu N, Lu N. TP53 expression in relation to clinical and etiologic factors in breast cancer subtypes [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-09-12.

A reversible decomposition approach for the formation of injectable, excipient-free, self-assembling nanocrystals

A chemical procedure to generate excipient-free SN38 nanocrystals with greater efficacy and less toxicity than CPT-11.

Grape berry surface bacterial microbiome: impact from the varieties and clones in the same vineyard from central China

AIMS

Bacterial microbiome on grape berry surface may play an important role in grape quality and health. This study aims to investigate the impact of grape varieties and clones on grape berry surface bacterial microbiome from the same vineyard.

METHODS AND RESULTS

High-throughput sequencing strategy was used to investigate the bacterial diversity and abundance on the grape surfaces of 12 clones belonging to six varieties grown in the same vineyard of Zhengzhou Fruit Research Institute in Henan Province. In total, 45 bacterial phyla and 933 genera were detected from all samples. Cyanobacteria, Proteobacteria and Firmicutes were the most abundant and prevalent phyla, while Bacteroidetes, Chloroflexi, Acidobacteria and Planctomycetes were grape clone specific phyla. The nonrank genus from phylum Cyanobacteria occupied 30-81% of grape clones from Italian Riesling (GRX), Cabernet Franc (PLZ), Pinot Blanc (BBN) and Riesling (LSL). Interestingly, Bacillus, Pseudomonas and Lactococcus were the only three prevalent genera found on all the clones. Furthermore, the predicted functional activities of grape surface bacterial communities varied according to the clones.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study revealed that in addition to the grape varieties, the variations in grape clone background may also affect the bacterial microbiome on grape surfaces which may ultimately determine their functional activities.

SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY

This research provides an important information for grape planting and wine fermentation that not only the grape varieties need to be paid attention but also grape clones from the specific variety need to be concerned.

NLRP3 inflammasome activation contributes to the pathogenesis of rheumatoid arthritis

Nucleotide-binding, oligomerization domain (NOD)-like receptor family, pyrin domain containing 3 (NLRP3) gene polymorphism was reported to be associated with susceptibility, disease activity or anti-tumour necrosis factor (TNF) treatment response in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). However, the roles of NLRP3 inflammasome in the development of RA have not yet been elucidated fully. The present study aimed to study the role of NLRP3 inflammasome in RA. NLRP3 inflammasome activation in synovial tissues from RA and osteoarthritis (OA) patients were assessed by Western blot. Active caspase-1 in synovia was stained by a FAM-FLICA caspase-1 probe. Mice with collagen-induced arthritis (CIA) were treated with MCC950, a selective NLRP3 inhibitor, or vehicle for 2 weeks. The clinical score of arthritis, synovial inflammation and cartilage erosion were assessed. Proinflammatory cytokines were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The results showed that NLRP3 inflammasome was highly activated in both synovia from RA patients and CIA mice. Activation of NLRP3 inflammasome occurred mainly in the infiltrating monocyte/macrophages in synovia, but not in fibroblast-like synoviocytes. Treatment with MCC950 resulted in significantly less severe joints inflammation and bone destruction. NLRP3 inflammasome activation in the synovia was inhibited significantly by MCC950 with reduced production of interleukin (IL)-1β. The inhibition of NLRP3 inflammasome activation by MCC950 was confirmed further in a human monocytic cell line, THP-1. In conclusion, NLRP3 inflammasome is involved in the pathogenesis of RA. Targeting NLRP3 inflammasome with a small molecule inhibitor might be a novel therapeutic strategy for RA.

[Comparison on the predictive value of different scoring systems for risk of short-term death in patients with acute myocardial infarction complicating cardiogenic shock]

Objective: To compare predictive value of the current 7 scoring systems and CADILLAC-plus scoring system for risk of short-term deathin patients with acute myocardial infarction complicating cardiogenic shock. Methods: A total of 126 acute myocardial infarction patients complicating cardiogenic shock hospitalized in Fuwai hospital from June 2014 to January 2018 were enrolled in this study, the clinical data were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into survival group(49 cases) and death group(77 cases) according to survival or not at 28 days after diagnosis of cardiogenic shock.The scores of APACHE Ⅱ,APACHE Ⅲ,SAPS Ⅱ,PAMI, TIMI-STEMI,TIMI-NSTEMI,and CADILLAC were calculated within 24 hours in coronary care unit (CCU),and scores of CADILLAC-plus, which is an improved score derived from CADILLAC, was also calculated. The predictive value of the different scoring systems for 28 day smortality of acute myocardial infarction patients complicating cardiogenic shock were compared in this patient cohort. Results: Scores of APACHEⅡ,APACHEⅢ,SAPSⅡ,PAMI,TIMI-STEMI, TIMI-NSTEMI,CADILLAC,and CADILLAC-plus were all significantly higher in death group than in survival group: (28.9±10.2 vs. 21.8±8.3,94.0 (57.0,114.0) vs. 57.0 (45.4,81.5) ,62.0 (46.0,81.0) vs. 47.0 (41.5,60.5) ,7.0 (6.0,9.0) vs. 6.0 (6.0,7.5) ,10.0 (9.0,11.0) vs. 9.0 (8.0,10.0) ,4.0 (3.0,5.0) vs. 3.0 (3.0,4.0) ,10.0 (7.0,12.0) vs. 7.0 (5.0,9.0) ,and 10.0 (8.0,14.0) vs. 7.0 (5.0,10.0) , respectively, all P<0.01).The area under the curve(AUC) of receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve for predicting 28 days death of APACHE Ⅱ,APACHE Ⅲ,SAPS Ⅱ,PAMI, TIMI-STEMI,TIMI-NSTEMI,and CADILLAC scoring systems were 0.820,0.797,0.785,0.667,0.657,0.711,and 0.821,respectively and cut-off value was 27.5,79.5,66.0,8.5,10.5,3.5,and 8.5, respectively and the sensitivity was 0.766,0.844,0.649,0.494,0.494,0.740,and 0.753, respectively and specificity was 0.816,0.755,0.837,0.204,0.796,0.571,and 0.755,respectively.The AUC of ROC of CADILLAC-plus scoring system was 0.885,cut-off value was 9.5, sensitivity was 0.896,and specificity was 0.735. The predicting efficacy of CADILLAC-plus scoring system was superior to other scoring systems. Conclusion: The 7 current scoring systems are all suitable for predicting theshort-term death in acute myocardial infarction patients complicating cardiogenic shock, and the predicting efficacy of the improved CADILLAC-plus score is superior to other scoring systems in this patient cohort.

Evaluation of Methods of Displaying the Real-Time Scattered Radiation Distribution during Fluoroscopically-Guided Interventions for Staff Dose Reduction

2D and 3D scatter dose display options are evaluated for usefulness and ease of interpretation for real-time feedback to staff to facilitate changes in individual positioning for dose reduction purposes, as well as improving staff consciousness of radiation presence. Room-sized scatter dose 3D matrices are obtained utilizing Monte Carlo simulations in EGSnrc. These distributions are superimposed on either a ceiling-view 2D graphic of the patient and table for reference or a 3D augmented reality (AR) display featuring a real-time video feed of the interventional room. A slice of the scatter dose matrix, at a selectable distance above the floor, is color-coded and superimposed on the computer graphic or AR display. The 3D display obtains depth information from a ceiling mounted Microsoft Kinect camera, which is equipped with a 1080p visual camera, as well as an IR emitter/receiver to generate a depth map of the interventional suite and persons within it. The 3D depth information allows parts of objects above the 2D dose map to pass through the map without being colorized by it so the height perspective of the dose map can be maintained. The 2D and 3D displays incorporate network information from the imaging system to scale the scatter dose with exposure factors and adjust rotation of the distribution to match the gantry. Demonstration images were displayed to neurosurgery interventional staff and survey responses were collected. Results from the survey indicated that scatter distribution displays would be desirable and helpful in managing staff dose.