Abstract TP236: Geographical Disparity of Acute Stroke Care Capabilities in Japan From a Nationwide Database: J-ASPECT Study

Objective: We previously demonstrated comprehensive stroke care (CSC) capabilities of the hospitals affect in-hospital mortality of patients with acute stroke. With the advent of unprecedented aging society, proper implementation of stroke centers requires understanding of geographical disparity of patient characteristics as well as stroke care capabilities. The aim of this study was to elucidate such geographical disparity regarding acute stroke care in Japan using a nationwide database.

Materials and methods: We analyzed the data obtained from the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination-based Payment System in 445 institutions between 2010 and 2012. Patients hospitalized emergently for ischemic stroke(IS), non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage(ICH) and non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage(SAH) were identified using International Classification of Diseases-10 diagnosis codes. We classified the location of the hospitals into 4 areas, “Metropolitan Employment Area-Central (MEA-C)”, “ Metropolitan Employment Area-Outlying (MEA-O)”, “Micropolitan Employment Area-Central (McEA-C)”, and “ Micropolitan Employment Area-Outlying (McEA-O)”. We investigated patient characteristics, medical backgrounds, interventions and outcomes for each area.

Results: Data obtained from a total of 214,910 patients with acute strokes (136,753 IS, 60,379 ICH and 17,778 SAH) were analyzed. As for patient characteristics, elderly patients and those with hypertension were more common in McEA-C and McEA-O, and stroke severity was more severe in McEA-C in all stroke types. As for hospital characteristics, proportion of admission by ambulance and CSC capabilities of the hospitals were smaller in all stroke types. Moreover, emergent interventions such as intravenous rt-PA infusion were performed at a lesser extent and in-hospital mortality was higher in McEA-C and McEA-O, and severe disability with mRS 3-6 was more often noted in McEA-C in all stroke types.

Conclusion: We demonstrated geographical disparity of acute stroke care in Japan from a nationwide database. For proper implementation of stroke centers, centralization of acute stroke care capabilities should be considered in the rural areas to improve outcomes of acute stroke.

Extreme temperature and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Japan: A nationwide, retrospective, observational study

BACKGROUND

Although several studies have estimated the effect of extreme temperatures on out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in a single city or region, few have investigated variations in this association on a national level in Japan.

METHODS

Daily data on OHCAs and weather variations were obtained from the 47 prefectures of Japan between 2005 and 2014. A time-series Poisson regression model with a distributed lag non-linear model was used to estimate the prefecture-specific effects. A multivariate meta-analysis was applied to pooled estimates on a national level.

RESULTS

A total of 659,752 OHCA cases of presumed-cardiac origin met the inclusion criteria. The minimum morbidity percentile (MMP) was identified as the 84th percentile for temperature, ranging from 20.8°C in Hokkaido to 28.8°C in Okinawa. The overall pooled relative risk versus the MMP was 2.10 (95% CI: 1.84, 2.40) at extremely low temperatures (1st percentile) and 1.06 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.12) at extremely high temperatures (99th percentile). The effects of extremely high temperatures were acute and disappeared after a few days, while those of extremely low temperatures were also acute, but persisted for several days. The multivariate Cochran's Q test indicated no heterogeneity between prefectures (p=0.699; I²=1.0%).

CONCLUSIONS

Extreme temperatures are associated with an increased risk of OHCA. Timely prevention strategies might reduce the risk of OHCA during extreme temperatures. Several days prevention should be also implemented for extremely low temperatures.

Prehospital antiplatelet use and functional status on admission of patients with non-haemorrhagic moyamoya disease: a nationwide retrospective cohort study (J-ASPECT study)

OBJECTIVES

To elucidate the association between antiplatelet use in patients with non-haemorrhagic moyamoya disease before hospital admission and good functional status on admission in Japan.

DESIGN

Retrospective, multicentre, non-randomised, observational study.

SETTING

Nationwide registry data in Japan.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 1925 patients with non-haemorrhagic moyamoya disease admitted between 1 April 2012 and 31 March 2014 in Japan.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

We performed propensity score-matched analysis to examine the association between prehospital antiplatelet use and no significant disability on hospital admission, as defined by a modified Rankin Scale score of 0 or 1.

RESULTS

Propensity-matched patients who received prehospital antiplatelet drugs were associated with a good outcome on hospital admission (OR adjusted for all covariates, 3.82; 95% CI 1.22 to 11.99) compared with those who did not receive antiplatelet drugs prior to hospital admission.

CONCLUSIONS

Prehospital antiplatelet use was significantly associated with good functional status on hospital admission among patients with non-haemorrhagic moyamoya disease in Japan. Our results suggest that prehospital antiplatelet use should be considered when evaluating outcomes of patients with non-haemorrhagic moyamoya disease.

Spatial and temporal variation in emergency transport during periods of extreme heat in Japan: A nationwide study

BACKGROUND

Several studies have reported the burden of climate change on extreme heat-related mortality or morbidity. However, few studies have investigated the spatial and temporal variation in emergency transport during periods of extreme heat on a national scale.

METHODS

Daily emergency ambulance dispatch data from 2007 to 2010 were acquired from all 47 prefectures of Japan. The temporal variability in the relationship between heat and morbidity in each prefecture was estimated using Poisson regression combined with a distributed lag non-linear model and adjusted for time trends. The spatial variability in the heat-morbidity relationships between prefectures was estimated using a multivariate meta-analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 5,289,660 emergency transports were reported during the summer months (June through September) within the study period. The overall cumulative relative risk (RR) at the 99th percentile vs. the minimum morbidity percentile was 1.292 (95% CI: 1.251-1.333) for all causes, 1.039 (95% CI: 0.989-1.091) for cardiovascular diseases, and 1.287 (95% CI: 1.210-1.368) for respiratory diseases. Temporal variation in the estimated effects indicated a non-linear relationship, and there were differences in the temporal variations between heat and all-cause and cause-specific morbidity. Spatial variation between prefectures was observed for all causes (Cochran Q test, p<0.001; I(2)=45.8%); however, there was no significant spatial heterogeneity for cardiovascular (Cochran Q test, p=0.054; I(2)=15.1%) and respiratory (Cochran Q test, p=0.681; I(2)=1.0%) diseases.

CONCLUSIONS

Our nationwide study demonstrated differences in the spatial and temporal variations in the relative risk for all-cause and cause-specific emergency transport during periods of extreme heat in Japan between 2007 and 2010. Our results suggest that public health strategies aimed at controlling heat-related morbidity should be tailored according to region-specific weather conditions.

Abstract TP323: The Relationships Among Hospital Volume, Processes of Care and Patient Outcome in Ischemic Stroke: J-ASPECT Study

Introduction: Higher hospital volumes have been related to better outcomes in previous researches. However, the mechanisms of the volume-outcome relationships in stroke have not been sufficiently figured out. The aim of this study is to uncover the roles of processes in acute phase stroke care among the volume-outcome relationships.

Hypothesis: Processes of care mediate the volume-outcome relationships in stroke patients.

Methods: We analyzed 45,598 acute ischemic stroke patients in 267 certified training hospitals in Japan. Data between April 1,2011 and May 31, 2012 was obtained from Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination Database. We divided annual hospital case volumes into two groups: high-volume and low-volume. Main outcome was 30-day mortality. We set following process of care as mediators: early initiation of aspirin prescription (less than 24 hours) and early initiation of stroke rehabilitation (less than 3 days). Multilevel mediation models were performed adjusting for age, gender, comorbidities, Charlson comorbidity index to examine the relationships among hospital volume, processes of care and outcome.

Results: The early initiation of aspirin increased from 19.4% to 24.1%, the early initiation of rehabilitations increased from 59.6% to 65.6% and 30-day mortality decreased from 6.1% to 4.2%, for low-volume and high-volume hospitals. In the multilevel logistic regression analyses, admission to high-volume hospitals had 38% increased odds (OR = 1.38; 95% CI, 1.02-1.88) and 118% increased odds (OR = 2.18; 95% CI, 1.59-2.98) of early aspirin and rehabilitation initiation, compared with low-volume hospitals. Before adjusting for processes of care, admissions to high-volume hospitals had 30% decreased odds of death compared with admission to low-volume hospitals (OR = 0.70; 95% CI, 0.61-0.81). When processes of care were further adjusted, the volume-mortality relationship became non-significant. The early initiation of aspirin and rehabilitation accounted for 71% of the relationship (the regression coefficient was reduced from -0.355 to -0.102 when adjusted for processes of care).

Conclusions: Processes of care mediated the volume-outcome relationships in stroke patients.

Abstract WMP33: Effects of Organized Stroke Care on In-hospital Mortality and Morbidity of Patients With Ischemic and Hemorrhagic Stroke: J-ASPECT Study

Introduction: Organized stroke care is an integrated approach to managing stroke to improve outcomes. However, the effectiveness of organized stroke care on mortality and morbidity remains uncertain. This study aimed to examine whether Organized stroke care index (OCI), which graded 0-3 based on the presence of rehabilitation, stroke team assessment, and admission to a stroke unit, developed to assess the accessibility to stroke care by Saposnik (Neurology 2010) influenced stroke outcomes in a nation wide hospital cohort.

Hypothesis: OCI influenced mortality and morbidity of patients with ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke.

Methods: Of the 1369 certified training institutions in Japan, 749 hospitals responded to a questionnaire survey regarding comprehensive stroke care capacities. Among the institutions that responded, data on patients hospitalized between April 1, 2010 and March 31, 2014, because of stroke were obtained from the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database. In-hospital mortality morbidity was analyzed using hierarchical logistic regression analysis adjusted for age, sex, level of consciousness on admission, Charson Score and the number of OCI fulfilled in each component and in total.

Results: Data from 265 institutions and 220,027 emergency-hospitalized patients were analyzed. Patients fulfilled the criteria for admission to a SCU, stroke team assessment and the presence of rehabilitation were 29.9%, 41.2% and 66.5%, respectively. Mortality adjusted for age, sex, Charson score and level of consciousness was significantly correlated with admission to a SCU (OR=0.83, p<0.001), SCU team assessment (OR=0.84,P<0.001), and rehabilitation (OR=0.36, p=0.031). OCI was significantly associated with decreased mortality (OR=0.45, p<0.001) and the highest OCI score was associated with 89.4% decrease of mortality. (OR=0.104, p<0.001) Modified ranking scale 0 to 2 rate were also associated significantly with SCU admission (p<0.001). These association holds for ischemic stroke and subarachnoid hemorrhage.

Conclusion: A strong association between organized stroke care and lower mortality was apparent. These data suggest that organized stroke care should be provided to stroke patients regardless of stroke subtype.

Influenza newspaper reports and the influenza epidemic: an observational study in Fukuoka City, Japan

OBJECTIVES

We examined whether the weekly number of newspaper articles reporting on influenza was related to the incidence of influenza in a large city.

DESIGN

Prospective, non-randomised, observational study.

SETTING

Registry data of influenza cases in Fukuoka City, Japan.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 83,613 cases of influenza cases that occurred between October 1999 and March 2007 in Fukuoka City, Japan.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

A linear model with autoregressive time series errors was fitted to time series data on the incidence of influenza and the accumulated number of influenza-related newspaper articles with different time lags in Fukuoka City, Japan. In order to obtain further evidence that the number of newspaper articles a week with specific time lags is related to the incidence of influenza, Granger causality was also tested.

RESULTS

Of the 16 models including 'number of newspaper articles' with different time lags between 2 and 17 weeks (xt-2 to t-17), the β coefficients of 'number of newspaper articles' at time lags between t-5 and t-13 were significant. However, the β coefficients of 'number of newspaper articles' that are significant with respect to the Granger causality tests (p<0.05) were the weekly number of newspaper articles at time lags between t-6 and t-10 (time shift of 10 weeks, β=-0.301, p<0.01; time shift of 9 weeks, β=-0.200, p<0.01; time shift of 8 weeks, β=-0.156, p<0.01; time shift of 7 weeks, β=-0.122, p<0.05; time shift of 6 weeks, β=-0.113, p<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

We found that the number of newspaper articles reporting on influenza in a week was related to the incidence of influenza 6-10 weeks after media coverage in a large city in Japan.

All-Cause and Cause-Specific Risk of Emergency Transport Attributable to Temperature: A Nationwide Study

Although several studies have estimated the associations between mortality or morbidity and extreme temperatures in terms of relative risk, few studies have investigated the risk of emergency transport attributable to the whole temperature range nationwide.We acquired data on daily emergency ambulance dispatches in all 47 prefectures of Japan from 2007 to 2010. We examined the relationship between emergency transport and temperature for each prefecture using a Poisson regression model in a distributed lag nonlinear model with adjustment for time trends. A random-effect multivariate meta-analysis was then applied to pool the estimates at the national level. Attributable morbidity was calculated for high and low temperatures, which were defined as those above or below the optimum temperature (ie, the minimum morbidity temperature) and for moderate and also extreme temperatures, which were defined using cutoffs at the 2.5th and 97.5th temperature percentiles.A total of 15,868,086 cases of emergency transport met the inclusion criteria. The emergency transport was attributable to nonoptimal temperature. The median minimum morbidity percentile was in the 79th percentile for all causes, the 96th percentile for cardiovascular disease, and the 92th percentile for respiratory disease. The fraction attributable to low temperature was 6.94% (95% eCI: 5.93-7.70) for all causes, 17.93% (95% eCI: 16.10-19.25) for cardiovascular disease, and 12.19% (95% eCI: 9.90-13.66) for respiratory disease, whereas the fraction attributable to high temperature was small (all causes = 1.01%, 95% eCI: 0.90-1.11; cardiovascular disease = 0.10%, 95% eCI: 0.04-0.14; respiratory disease = 0.29%, 95% eCI: 0.07-0.50). The all-cause morbidity risk that was attributable to temperature was related to moderate cold, with an overall estimate of 6.41% (95% eCI: 5.47-7.20). Extreme temperatures were responsible for a small fraction, which corresponded to 0.57% (95% eCI: 0.50-0.62) for extreme low temperature and 0.29% (95% eCI: 0.26-0.32) for extreme high temperature. The same trends were observed for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases.The majority of temperature-related emergency transport burden was attributable to lower temperature. The effect of extremely high or low temperatures was markedly lower than that attributable to moderately nonoptimal temperatures.

Non-stationary dynamics of climate variability in synchronous influenza epidemics in Japan

Seasonal variation in the incidence of influenza is widely assumed. However, few studies have examined non-stationary relationships between global climate factors and influenza epidemics. We examined the monthly incidence of influenza in Fukuoka, Japan, from 2000 to 2012 using cross-wavelet coherency analysis to assess the patterns of associations between indices for the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The monthly incidence of influenza showed cycles of 1 year with the IOD and 2 years with ENSO indices (Multivariate, Niño 4, and Niño 3.4). These associations were non-stationary and appeared to have major influences on the synchrony of influenza epidemics. Our study provides quantitative evidence that non-stationary associations have major influences on synchrony between the monthly incidence of influenza and the dynamics of the IOD and ENSO. Our results call for the consideration of non-stationary patterns of association between influenza cases and climatic factors in early warning systems.

Nationwide variation in the effects of temperature on infectious gastroenteritis incidence in Japan

Although several studies have investigated the effects of temperature on the incidence of infectious gastrointestinal disease in a single city or region, few have investigated variations in this association using nationwide data. We obtained weekly data, gathered between 2000 and 2012, pertaining to infectious gastroenteritis cases and weather variability in all 47 Japanese prefectures. A two-stage analysis was used to assess the nonlinear and delayed relationship between temperature and morbidity. In the first stage, a Poisson regression allowing for overdispersion in a distributed lag nonlinear model was used to estimate the prefecture-specific effects of temperature on morbidity. In the second stage, a multivariate meta-analysis was applied to pool estimates at the national level. The pooled overall relative risk (RR) was highest in the 59.9^th percentile of temperature (RR, 1.08; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.15). Meta-analysis results also indicated that the estimated pooled RR at lower temperatures (25^th percentile) began immediately but did not persist, whereas an identical estimate at a higher temperature (75^th percentile) was delayed but persisted for several weeks. Our results suggest that public health strategies aimed at controlling temperature-related infectious gastroenteritis may be more effective when tailored according to region-specific weather conditions.

The association of extreme temperatures and the incidence of tuberculosis in Japan

Seasonal variation in the incidence of tuberculosis (TB) has been widely assumed. However, few studies have investigated the association between extreme temperatures and the incidence of TB. We collected data on cases of TB and mean temperature in Fukuoka, Japan for 2008-2012 and used time-series analyses to assess the possible relationship of extreme temperatures with TB incident cases, adjusting for seasonal and interannual variation. Our analysis revealed that the occurrence of extreme heat temperature events resulted in a significant increase in the number of TB cases (relative risk (RR) 1.20, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.43). We also found that the occurrence of extreme cold temperature events resulted in a significant increase in the number of TB cases (RR 1.23, 95 % CI 1.05-1.45). Sex and age did not modify the effect of either heat or cold extremes. Our study provides quantitative evidence that the number of TB cases increased significantly with extreme heat and cold temperatures. The results may help public health officials predict extreme temperature-related TB incidence and prepare for the implementation of preventive public health interventions.

Variation in vulnerability to extreme-temperature-related mortality in Japan: A 40-year time-series analysis

BACKGROUND

Although the impact of extreme heat and cold on mortality has been documented in recent years, few studies have investigated whether variation in susceptibility to extreme temperatures has changed in Japan.

METHODS

We used data on daily total mortality and mean temperatures in Fukuoka, Japan, for 1973-2012. We used time-series analysis to assess the effects of extreme hot and low temperatures on all-cause mortality, stratified by decade, gender, and age, adjusting for time trends. We used a multivariate meta-analysis with a distributed lag non-linear model to estimate pooled non-linear lag-response relationships associated with extreme temperatures on mortality.

RESULTS

The relative risk of mortality increased during heat extremes in all decades, with a declining trend over time. The mortality risk was higher during cold extremes for the entire study period, with a dispersed pattern across decades. Meta-analysis showed that both heat and cold extremes increased the risk of mortality. Cold effects were delayed and lasted for several days, whereas heat effects appeared quickly and did not last long.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study provides quantitative evidence that extreme heat and low temperatures were significantly and non-linearly associated with the increased risk of mortality with substantial variation. Our results suggest that timely preventative measures are important for extreme high temperatures, whereas several days' protection should be provided for extreme low temperatures.

Transient improvement of urticaria induces poor adherence as assessed by Morisky Medication Adherence Scale-8

Poor adherence to medication is a major public health challenge. Here, we aimed to determine the adherence to oral and topical medications and to analyze underlying associated factors using the translated Japanese version of Morisky Medication Adherence Scale-8 regarding urticaria treatment. Web-based questionnaires were performed for 3096 registered dermatological patients, along with a subanalysis of 751 registered urticaria patients in this study. The adherence to oral medication was significantly associated with the frequency of hospital visits. Variables that affected the adherence to topical medication included age and experience of drug effectiveness. The rate of responses that "It felt like the symptoms had improved" varied significantly among the dermatological diseases treated with oral medications. Dermatologists should be aware that adherence to the treatment of urticaria is quite low. Regular visits and active education for patients with urticaria are mandatory in order to achieve a good therapeutic outcome by increasing the adherence.

The number of prehospital defibrillation shocks and 1-month survival in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

BACKGROUND

The relationship between the number of pre-hospital defibrillation shocks and treatment outcome in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) presenting with ventricular fibrillation (VF) is unknown currently. We examined the association between the number of pre-hospitalization defibrillation shocks and 1-month survival in OHCA patients.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective observational study using national registry data obtained from patients with OHCA between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2012 in Japan. The study subjects were ≥ 18-110 years of age, had suffered from an OHCA before arrival of EMS personnel, had a witnessed collapse, had an initial rhythm that was shockable [VF/ventricular tachycardia (pulseless VT)], were not delivered a shock using a public automated external defibrillator (AED), received one or more shocks using a biphasic defibrillator by EMS personnel, and were transported to a medical institution between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2012. There were 20,851 OHCA cases which met the inclusion criteria during the study period. Signal detection analysis was used to identify the cutoff point in the number of prehospital defibrillation shocks most closely related to one-month survival. Variables related to the number of defibrillations or one-month survival in OHCA were identified using multiple logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

A cutoff point in the number of pre-hospital defibrillation shocks most closely associated with 1-month OHCA survival was between two and three (χ(2) = 209.61, p < 0.0001). Among those patients who received two shocks or less, 34.48% survived for at least 1 month, compared with 24.75% of those who received three shocks or more. The number of defibrillations (odds ratio [OR] = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.38), OHCA origin (OR = 2.81, 95% CI: 2.26, 3.49), use of ALS devices (OR = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.59, 0.79), use of epinephrine (OR = 0.33, 95% C: 0.28, 0.39), interval between first defibrillation and first ROSC (OR = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.18, 1.78), and chest compression (OR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.06, 1.38) were associated significantly with 1-month OCHA survival.

CONCLUSIONS

The cutoff point in the number of defibrillations of patients with OHCA most closely related to one-month survival was between 2 and 3, and the likelihood of non-survival 1 month after an OHCA was increased when ≥3 shocks were needed. Further studies are needed to verify this finding.

Mortality after exposure to polychlorinated biphenyls and polychlorinated dibenzofurans: a meta-analysis of two highly exposed cohorts

Both Yucheng and Yusho were events of accidental exposure to highly doses of polychlorinated biphenyls and dibenzofurans in Asian people. Mortality experiences caused by various diseases were reported in both cohorts with similar and dissimilar findings. We thus conducted a meta-analysis of two cohorts to reevaluate the effects of PCBs and PCDFs on major causes of mortalities. Two recently updated Yucheng and Yusho mortality studies were included. For selected diseases, standardized mortality ratios (SMR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were extracted. Meta-analyses were conducted using a random-effects model only when heterogeneity (I(2)  > 50% and/or p value <0.10 by the Q test) was not found. A total of 1,803 Yucheng subjects (male, N = 830; female, N = 973) with 48,751 person-years of follow-up and 1,664 Yusho subjects (male, N = 860; female, N = 804) with 50,773 person-years are included. An increase in all-cause mortality (pooled SMR=1.2, 95% CI: 1.1-1.3, I(2)  = 0.0%), all cancers (pooled SMR=1.3, 95% CI: 1.1-1.6, I(2)  = 0.0%), lung cancer (pooled SMR=1.7, 95% CI: 1.2-2.3, I(2) =0.0%), heart disease (pooled SMR=1.3, 95% CI: 1.0-1.7, I(2)  = 43.4%) and hepatic disease (pooled SMR=1.9, 95% CI: 1.3-2.8, I(2)  = 0.0%) were found in pooled males. Significant elevation from liver cancer was found in pooled females (pooled SMR=2.0, 95% CI: 1.1-3.6, I(2)  = 0.0%). This meta-analysis of Yucheng and Yusho cohorts showed similar elevation from all cancer, lung cancer, heart disease and hepatic disease mortalities in exposed men. Furthermore, a new finding of elevated liver cancer mortality in exposed women was identified.

Poor adherence to medication as assessed by the Morisky Medication Adherence Scale-8 and low satisfaction with treatment in 237 psoriasis patients

Previously we assessed the medication adherence for oral and topical remedies by a translated Japanese version of the Morisky Medication Adherence Scale-8 (MMAS-8) together with socioeconomic backgrounds in 3096 Japanese dermatological patients, and found the medication adherence, especially to topical drugs, was poor in these patients. In order to elucidate the disease-specific sociomedical factors, we further sub-analyzed the medication adherence in 237 psoriasis patients and compared it with that in other dermatological diseases such as atopic dermatitis, urticaria or tinea. This study was conducted among patients registered in monitoring system and 3096 eligible patients were enrolled. Our web-based questionnaire included the following items such as age, sex, annual income, main health-care institution, experience of effectiveness by oral or topical medication, overall satisfaction with treatment, and MMAS-8 for oral or topical medication. Mean adherence score by MMAS-8 was 5.2 for oral and 4.3 for topical medication. More patients with psoriasis used a university hospital and fewer used a private clinic compared with those with the other skin disease patients. Experience of drug effectiveness by oral medication and overall satisfaction with treatment was lower in psoriasis patients than in other patients. In oral medication, significantly better adherence was observed in those of higher age and with higher annual income. The adherence to medication, especially to topical drugs, was poor in 237 psoriasis patients. We speculated that some severe psoriasis patients were not sufficiently treated systemically and were resistant to topical therapy, leading to poor adherence.

Increase in resistance to extended-spectrum cephalosporins in Salmonella isolated from retail chicken products in Japan

Extended-spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL)-producing Salmonella are one of the most important public health problems in developed countries. ESBL-producing Salmonella strains have been isolated from humans in Asian countries neighboring Japan, along with strains harboring the plasmid-mediated extended-spectrum cephalosporin (ESC)-resistance gene, ampC (pAmpC). However, only a few studies have investigated the prevalence of ESC-resistant Salmonella in chicken products in Japan, which are the main vehicle of Salmonella transmission. The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of ESBL-producing, pAmpC-harboring, or carbapenem-resistant Salmonella in chicken products in Japan. In total, 355 out of 779 (45.6%) chicken product samples collected from 1996–2010 contained Salmonella, resulting in 378 distinct isolates. Of these isolates, 373 were tested for resistance to ESCs, cephamycins, or carbapenems. Isolates that showed resistance to one or more of these antimicrobials were then examined by PCR and DNA sequence analysis for the presence of the bla_CMY, bla_CTX-M, bla_TEM, and bla_SHV resistance genes. Thirty-five resistant isolates were detected, including 26 isolates that contained pAmpC (bla_CMY-2), and nine ESBL-producing isolates harboring bla_CTX-M (n = 4, consisting of two bla_CTX-M-2 and two bla_CTX-M-15 genes), bla_TEM (n = 4, consisting of one bla_TEM-20 and three bla_TEM-52 genes), and bla_SHV (n = 1, bla_SHV-12). All pAmpC-harboring and ESBL-producing Salmonella isolates were obtained from samples collected after 2005, and the percentage of resistant isolates increased significantly from 0% in 2004 to 27.9% in 2010 (P for trend = 0.006). This increase was caused in part by an increase in the number of Salmonella enterica subsp. enterica serovar Infantis strains harboring an approximately 280-kb plasmid containing bla_CMY-2 in proximity to ISEcp1. The dissemination of ESC-resistant Salmonella containing plasmid-mediated bla_CMY-2 in chicken products indicates the need for the development of continuous monitoring strategies in the interests of public health.

Net survival after exposure to polychlorinated biphenyls and dioxins: the Yusho study

BACKGROUND

Net survival is an important measure of the overall outcome of disease management. This net survival is the most appropriate for international comparisons of disease impact between countries or time periods with different patterns of all-cause mortality because it is not influenced by other causes of death. However, little information is available on net survival among Yusho patients, who were accidentally exposed to PCBs and other dioxin-related compounds.

METHODS

We estimated the net survival of 1664 Yusho patients (860 males, 804 females) as Yusho cohort subjects using the unbiased Pohar-Perme method.

RESULTS

Among males, 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year net survival were 99.5% (95% confidence interval (CI): 97.9, 99.9), 99.1% (CI: 95.0, 99.9), 97.4% (CI: 86.5, 99.5), and 97.4% (CI: 84.2, 99.6), respectively. Among females, net survival remained almost constant. 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year net survival were generally higher in females than in males.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides the first unbiased estimations of net survival among Yusho patients. We confirmed that older male Yusho patients have experienced a significant decrease in net survival. Our results suggest that the excess hazard of PCBs and dioxins must be taken into account when evaluating unbiased estimates of net survival.

Climate variability and nonstationary dynamics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in Japan

Background

A stationary association between climate factors and epidemics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae (M. pneumoniae) pneumonia has been widely assumed. However, it is unclear whether elements of the local climate that are relevant to M. pneumoniae pneumonia transmission have stationary signatures of climate factors on their dynamics over different time scales.

Methods

We performed a cross-wavelet coherency analysis to assess the patterns of association between monthly M. pneumoniae cases in Fukuoka, Japan, from 2000 to 2012 and indices for the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO).

Results

Monthly M. pneumoniae cases were strongly associated with the dynamics of both the IOD and ENSO for the 1–2-year periodic mode in 2005–2007 and 2010–2011. This association was non-stationary and appeared to have a major influence on the synchrony of M. pneumoniae epidemics.

Conclusions

Our results call for the consideration of non-stationary, possibly non-linear, patterns of association between M. pneumoniae cases and climatic factors in early warning systems.