Characteristics of a "rebound" in smoking after a tobacco price increase

SETTING: In Korea, the price of a pack of cigarettes increased 80% from US$2.2 to US$4 in 2015. The smoking rate decreased in 2015. However, it rebounded in the following year.OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the characteristics associated with this rebound in smoking rate following the price increase.DESIGN: We analysed the KNHANES (Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey) data of 44 015 participants to evaluate current smoking rate and the proportion of smokers planning to quit within 6 months from 2010 to 2016. We also performed focused analysis of 18 303 participants between 2014 and 2016 KNHANES to determine the current smoking rate according to their demographic and socio-economic characteristics.RESULTS: Individuals who were older, female, unemployed, had a low household income or a shorter total smoking period, or smoked less per day were more likely to stop or reduce smoking after the price increase. The current smoking rate increased to 18.8% in 2016 from 17.7% in 2015; this difference was significant in men, those in the lower-middle quartile of household income, those with a middle-school or college education, and those who were employed.CONCLUSION: The rebound in smoking after the price increase was significantly related to the individual's sex, income, education and employment status.

Poor nutritional intake is a dominant factor for weight loss in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

<sec id="st1"> <title>SETTING</title> Increase in energy expenditure and/or decrease in nutritional intake leads to low body mass index (BMI). The balance between energy expenditure and nutritional intake has rarely been evaluated in a large population of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). </sec> <sec id="st2"> <title>OBJECTIVE</title> To evaluate BMI, nutritional intake and physical activity and the association of these factors with the severity of airflow obstruction in COPD patients. </sec> <sec id="st3"> <title>DESIGN</title> We analysed the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) data set from 2012 to 2015. </sec> <sec id="st4"> <title>RESULTS</title> Among the 9682 individuals (1601 with COPD and 8081 without COPD) recruited, BMI was lower in COPD patients than in non-COPD participants (males, 23.86 ± 2.76 vs. 24.28 ± 2.80, P < 0.001; females, 23.63 ± 2.94 vs. 23.98 ± 3.10, P < 0.05). As the stage of COPD advanced, BMI, intake of nutrients (food, water and carbohydrates) and total energy levels declined in COPD patients. Total time spent walking in the preceding week decreased with advancing COPD stage in male patients with COPD. COPD severity was an important risk factor for the limitation of physical activity due to respiratory problems (OR 3.92, 95%CI 2.77∼5.34, P < 0.001). </sec> <sec id="st5"> <title>CONCLUSION</title> Patients with COPD had a low nutritional intake with little physical activity, which worsened with advancing COPD stage. In late-stage COPD, impaired nutritional intake outweighed the decrease in physical activity, resulting in weight loss. </sec>.

STIM1 knock-down decreases the affinity of obinutuzumab for CD20 by altering CD20 localization to Triton-soluble membrane

Obinutuzumab is thought to exert its effects through its high antibody-dependent cellular cytotoxicity (ADCC) via glyco-engineering of the Fc region. In addition, obinutuzumab causes direct binding-induced cell death (DCD) only by specifically binding to its target CD20, a Ca²⁺ channel. However, the specific features of CD20 related to obinutuzumab binding-induction of cell death are not clearly understood. In this study, we evaluated the relationship between the Ca²⁺ channel features of CD20 as a store-operated Ca²⁺ channel (SOC) and obinutuzumab binding-induced cell death. Ca²⁺ channel function and biochemical analysis revealed that CD20 is an Orai1- and stromal interaction molecule (STIM1)-dependent Ca²⁺ pore. However, binding of obinutuzumab on CD20 did not have any effect on Ca²⁺ influx activity of CD20; the direct cell death rate mediated by obinutuzumab binding was almost equivalent with or without the extracellular Ca²⁺ condition. Given the apparent interaction between STIM1 and CD20, we observed Triton-X solubilized obinutuzumab-bound CD20 accompanied by STIM1. Subsequently, obinutuzumab binding and cell death were decreased by STIM1 knock-down in Ramos B cells. Thus, STIM1 directly contributes to cell death by increasing the affinity of cells for obinutuzumab by transferring CD20 to the Triton-soluble membrane region.

Abstract P1-20-27: Changes in the shoulder range of motion, strength after breast cancer surgery: An observational study

Purpose: The importance of rehabilitation after breast surgery is valued, yet changes in range of motion (ROM) and shoulder strength after surgery have not been elucidated. The aim of this study was to explore the shoulder ROM and strength in both surgery (SS) and non-surgery side (NSS) after breast cancer surgery for up to four weeks.

Methods: Twenty-five patients (7 total mastectomy, 18 partial mastectomy) were observed five times: the day before surgery, on discharge day (post operate day; POD 1 or 2), the 1st outpatient visit (POD 7-10), the 2nd outpatient visit (POD 14-15), and 3rd outpatient visit (POD 21-25). The primary outcomes were ROM and strength of both the SS and NSS.

Results: While ROM declined only in the shoulder of the SS, shoulder strength declined in both SS and NSS. Greatest reduction in shoulder strength was observed in flexion (SS: -43.9% to -45.3%, NSS: -14.2% to -35.8%) and abduction in both SS and NSS (SS: -41.1% to -52.5%, NSS: -16.3% to -30.6%). Shoulder strength on the SS decline immediately after surgery, which remained low after four weeks. Shoulder strength of the NSS continually declined after surgery up to four weeks.

Conclusion:These results provide preliminary evidence for clinicians to understand the changes of shoulder ROM, strength, and function after surgery in breast cancer patients. Rehabilitation exercises should be implemented in both SS and NSS.

Citation Format: Jihee Min, Sujin Yeon, Jinjoo Min, Jee Ye Kim, Seung Il Kim, Ha-Nui Park, Jeong min Lee, Justin Y. Jeon. Changes in the shoulder range of motion, strength after breast cancer surgery: An observational study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2019 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2019 Dec 10-14; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-20-27.

Assessment of the Prognostic Staging System of American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th Edition for Breast Cancer: Comparisons with the Conventional Anatomic Staging System

Purpose

The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging manual introduced a new prognostic staging system for breast cancer. This study aimed to evaluate the changes in staging distribution and predictive power of the new staging system.

Methods

Of the 12,275 patients with breast cancer identified from the Severance Breast Cancer Registry who underwent surgery between 1978 and 2016, 12,125 patients met the inclusion criteria.

Results

In both the 7th and 8th staging systems, stage I patients constituted the largest proportion (38.2% and 48.4%). Migration from the 7th to 8th edition of the AJCC manual resulted in a decrease in stage II population and an increase in stage I and III populations. A total of 1,293 (15.4%) patients were upstaged, and 1,201 (14.3%) were downstaged. Downstaged patients had better recurrence-free and overall survival (p < 0.001). Pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant therapy showed good prognosis as p stage 0, and yp stages I and III showed poorer outcomes than the same p stage (p < 0.001).

Conclusions

Staging migrations are common in early breast cancer under the prognostic staging system. The prognostic staging system of the 8th edition of the AJCC manual discriminates survival outcomes better than the anatomical staging system of the 7th edition of the AJCC manual.

Establishment of chemosensitivity tests in triple-negative and BRCA-mutated breast cancer patient-derived xenograft models

Purpose

A patient-derived xenograft (PDX) model is an in vivo animal model which provides biological and genomic profiles similar to a primary tumor. The characterization of factors that influence the establishment of PDX is crucial. Furthermore, PDX models can provide a platform for chemosensitivity tests to evaluate the effectiveness of a target agent before applying it in clinical trials.

Methods

We implanted 83 cases of breast cancer into NOD.Cg-Prkdcscid Il2rgtm1Sug/Jic mice, to develop PDX models. Clinicopathological factors of primary tumors were reviewed to identify the factors affecting engraftment success rates. After the establishment of PDX models, we performed olaparib and carboplatin chemosensitivity tests. We used PDX models from triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and/or germline BRCA1 mutations in chemosensitivity tests.

Results

The univariate analyses (p<0.05) showed factors which were significantly associated with successful engraftment of PDX models include poor histologic grade, presence of BRCA mutation, aggressive diseases, and death. Factors which were independently associated with successful engraftment of PDX models on multivariate analyses include poor histologic grade and aggressive diseases status. In chemosensitivity tests, a PDX model with the BRCA1 L1780P mutation showed partial response to olaparib and complete response to carboplatin.

Conclusions

Successful engraftment of PDX models was significantly associated with aggressive diseases. Patients who have aggressive diseases status, large tumors, and poor histologic grade are ideal candidates for developing successful PDX models. Chemosensitivity tests using the PDX models provide additional information about alternative treatment strategies for residual TNBC after neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Intermediate HER2 expression is associated with poor prognosis in estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer patients aged 55 years and older

PURPOSE

An antibody-drug conjugate targeting HER2, DS8201, has shown clinical activity against breast cancer with low-level HER2 expression. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic impact of intermediate HER2 expression in estrogen receptor (ER)+ early breast cancer (EBC) and metastatic breast cancer (MBC) cohorts.

METHODS

We analyzed prospectively collected data from EBC and MBC cohorts at Yonsei Cancer Center. Patients with HER2 immunohistochemistry (IHC) 0 ~ 1+ were assigned to the HER2-negative group, and patients with IHC 2+ and in situ hybridization (ISH)-negativity were assigned to the HER2-intermediate group. After the exclusion of HER2 IHC 3+ or ISH+ patients, a total of 2657 EBC and 535 MBC patients were analyzed.

RESULTS

In total, 654 (24.6%) EBC and 166 (31.0%) MBC patients were classified in the HER2-intermediate group. The HER2-intermediate patients more frequently tended to have progesterone receptor (PR)-negativity and higher nuclear grade in the EBC cohort, and showed a higher proportion of patients aged ≥ 55 years compared with the HER2-negative group in the MBC cohort. The HER2-intermediate patients showed significantly poorer recurrence-free survival (RFS) compared to the HER2-negative patients in the EBC cohort (p = 0.044). Notably, intermediate HER2 expression predicted poorer RFS in EBC patients aged ≥ 55 years (hazard ratio 1.95; p = 0.042) in multivariate Cox analysis but did not affect RFS in those aged < 55 years. In line with the EBC cohort results, intermediate HER2 expression predicted poorer overall survival (OS) in MBC patients aged ≥ 55 (hazard ratio 1.45; p = 0.044) without affecting OS of those aged < 55 years.

CONCLUSION

Intermediate HER2 expression is an independent predictor of poor prognosis in both ER+ EBC and MBC patients aged ≥ 55 years. The clinical efficacy of new HER2-targeting antibody-drug conjugates needs to be validated in this high-risk subset of ER+ breast cancer patients.

An Updated Nomogram for Predicting Invasiveness in Preoperative Ductal Carcinoma In Situ of the Breast

PURPOSE

To validate and update a nomogram for predicting ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) upstaging in preoperative biopsy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Medical records of 444 preoperative DCIS patients were evaluated and used to validate a previous version of the Severance nomogram for predicting DCIS upstaging in preoperative biopsy. Patients were divided into two groups according to the final postoperative pathology. Univariate and multivariate analyses with the chi-square test, Student's t-test, and binary logistic regression method identified new significant variables. The updated nomogram was evaluated with the C-index and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test.

RESULTS

The area under a receiver operating characteristic curve for comparison with the previous nomogram was 0.48. In postoperative pathology, the pure DCIS and invasive cancer groups comprised 345 and 99 cases, respectively. Approximately 22.3% of patients preoperatively diagnosed with DCIS were upstaged to invasive cancer. Significant variables in the univariate analysis were operation type, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 overexpression, comedo necrosis, sonographic mass, mammographic mass, preoperative biopsy method, and suspicious microinvasion in preoperative biopsy. In multivariate analysis, operation type, sonographic mass, mammographic mass, and suspicious microinvasion were risk factors for upstaging. The updated model with these variables showed moderate discrimination and was appropriate in the calibration test.

CONCLUSION

The previous nomogram did not effectively discriminate upstaging of preoperative DCIS in an independent cohort. An updated version of the nomogram appears to provide more accurate information for predicting preoperative DCIS upstaging.

Optimal treatment of pseudoangiomatous stromal hyperplasia of the breast

BACKGROUND

Pseudoangiomatous stromal hyperplasia (PASH) is a benign mesenchymal proliferative lesion of the breast. Owing to the rarity of PASH, the pathogenesis, clinical manifestation, and optimal treatment of this condition remain unclear. We aimed to clarify the appropriate management of PASH.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of the clinicopathological data of 66 cases with a diagnosis of PASH, confirmed by core needle biopsy (CNB) or surgical excision at Severance Hospital between 2000 and 2016. The primary endpoint was pathologic results after surgical excision of the lesion that confirmed PASH by CNB. The secondary endpoint was progression after the first treatment.

RESULT

The median age of patients was 41 years (range, 14-61 years). Findings on medical imaging were nonspecific. CNB was performed in 61 cases, with a diagnosis of PASH confirmed in 39 cases (63.9%). No malignant or premalignant cells directly arising from PASH were identified after surgical excision that confirmed PASH via CNB. The progression rate after the first treatment was 16.6%, with lesion size, enlargement of palpable mass size, and a diagnosis other than PASH on CNB being factors associated with progression.

CONCLUSION

CNB is sufficient to confirm PASH what is necessary for an abnormal imaging or suspicious physical examination finding. Surgical excision is not necessarily indicated to rule out occult malignancy after a diagnosis of PASH. Close monitoring or surgical excision are required to manage large lesions (>3 cm) or progressive growth of a PASH lesion.

P4758Label adherence of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants and clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: A nationwide study

Background

Dose adjustment of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) is indicated in some patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), based on selected patient factors or concomitant medications.

Purpose

We assessed the frequency of label adherence of NOAC dosing among AF patients and the associations between off-label NOAC dosing and clinical outcomes in real-world clinical practice.

Methods

We evaluated 53,649 AF patients treated with a NOAC using Korean National Health Insurance Service database during the period from January 2013 to December 2016. NOAC doses were classified as either underdosed or overdosed, consistent with U.S. Food and Drug Administration labeling. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to investigate the effectiveness and safety outcomes including stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality.

Results

Overall, 16,757 NOAC-treated patients (31.2%) were underdosed, 4,492 were overdosed (8.4%), and 32,400 (60.4%) were dosed appropriately according to drug labeling. Compared with patients with label adherence, those who were underdosed or overdosed were older (71±8 and 75±7 years of age vs. 70±9 years of age, respectively; p<0.001), more likely female (39% and 53% vs. 38%, respectively; p<0.001), and had higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores (4.6±1.7 and 5.3±1.7 vs. 4.5±1.8, respectively; p<0.001). NOAC overdosing was associated with increased risk for stroke or systemic embolism (5.76 vs. 4.03 events/100 patient-years, p<0.001), major bleeding (4.77 vs. 2.94 events/100 patient-years, p<0.001), and all-cause mortality (5.43 vs. 3.05 events/100 patient-years, p<0.001) compared with label-adherent use.

Figure 1

Conclusion

In routine clinical practice, a significant proportion (almost 2 in 5) of AF patients received NOAC doses inconsistent with drug labeling. NOAC overdosing is associated with increased risk for stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality in Asian patient with AF.

P783Guideline-directed therapy at discharge is important in patients with heart failure and atrial fibrillation

Background

There are limited and conflicting data regarding the prognostic implication of guideline-directed therapy, especially in heart failure (HF) patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Thus, this study evaluated the relationship between guideline adherence to recommended therapy at discharge and relevant 60-day clinical outcomes in acute HF patients with AF having reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) or preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

Methods and results

Of 5,625 acute HF patients in the Korean Acute Heart Failure Registry, 2,071 with documented AF (HFrEF, n=986; HFpEF, n=1,085) were separately analysed. A guideline adherence score was calculated for the prescription of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, β-blockers, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, and anticoagulants. In HFrEF patients with AF, there was significant trend of increase in mortality (p for trend <0.001) and composite endpoint (p for trend = 0.002) according to guideline adherence. Poor adherence was associated with a significantly high risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 4.75; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.77–12.74) and composite endpoint (HR, 2.36; 95% CI, 1.33–4.18). In HFpEF patients with AF, there was a significant increasing trend for rehospitalization (p for trend = 0.04) and composite endpoint (p for trend = 0.03). However, the beneficial effect of good guideline adherence was statistically non-significant for all clinical outcomes

Conclusion

Better adherence to guidelines was associated with a better 60-day prognosis in both HFrEF and HFpEF patients with AF. However, the beneficial effect of guideline adherence was more pronounced in HFrEF patients with AF.

P5660Clinical impact of polycythemia on cardiovascular outcome from the general population: a nationwide cohort study

Background

Although adverse effect of anemia had been reported, effect of polycythemia on cardiovascular outcome from the general population had not been revealed yet.

Methods

We included 451,107 subjects who received national health examinations from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-based National Sample Cohort from 2009–2013. Medical records were screened from January 2002 to investigate the subjects' disease-free baseline period. They were followed until December 2013. We divided male and female subjects into four categories each based on hemoglobin level (normal, moderate to severe and mild anemia, polycythemia) to assess each outcome.

Results

During 1,735,964 person·years, 12,107 major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), 862 incident acute myocardial infarction (MI), 5,850 incident ischemic stroke, and 2,430 incident atrial fibrillation (AF) were observed. Compared to normal hemoglobin range group, polycythemia group showed higher MACCE (HR=1.23 [1.12–1.35] in male, HR=1.79 [1.20–2.67] in female, each p<0.001), incident MI (HR=1.37 [1.05–1.79] in male, HR=3.46 [1.06–14.00] in female, each p<0.001), incident ischemic stroke (HR=1.27 [1.10–1.46] in male, HR=1.72 [1.02–2.91] in female, each p<0.001), and incident AF (HR=1.46 [1.21–1.74] in male, HR=2.13 [1.03–4.77] in female, each p<0.001). Each outcome was linearly increased with the increase of hemoglobin among subjects with polycythemia (p<0.001), and with the decrease of hemoglobin among subjects with anemia (each p<0.001, U-shaped relationship). These relationship was more profound in obese female younger than 60-year-old.

Conclusion

Not only anemia but also polycythemia were significantly associated with higher rate of MACCE including death, incident MI, ischemic stroke, and AF among the general population.

P1875Nonspecific intraventricular conduction delay is associated with future occurrence of atrial fibrillation in patients with structurally normal heart and sinus rhythm

Background

This study aimed to elucidate long-term prognosis of nonspecific intraventricular conduction delay (NIVCD) in patients with structurally normal heart.

Methods

We included 107,838 patients (age, 52.1±15.5 years; men, 46.8%) who underwent electrocardiography in outpatient clinics or medical checkup (model 1). NIVCD was defined as QRS duration ≥110 ms and incompatibility with bundle branch block. The patients with structurally normal heart and sinus rhythm were assigned to the NIVCD group and normal QRS group according to propensity score with matching variables of age, sex, hypertension, and diabetes (model 2), and additional PR interval (model 3). Baseline characteristics, electrocardiographic parameters, and clinical outcomes were compared in model 1, 2, and 3, respectively.

Results

In model 1, the frequencies of male and preexisting atrial fibrillation (AF) were significantly higher in the NIVCD group than in the normal QRS group. In model 2, sinus rate and PR interval were significantly slower and longer in the NIVCD group than in the normal QRS group. In model 3, cumulative incidence of AF was significantly higher in the NIVCD group than in the normal QRS group during follow-up of 8.8±2.9 years (Figure). NIVCD significantly increased risk of AF (hazard ratio, 2.571; 95% confidence interval, 1.074–6.156; p=0.034). NIVCD did not significantly increase risk of sick sinus syndrome, complete atrioventricular block, and heart failure.

Atrial fibrillation-free survival

Conclusions

NIVCD is associated with slow sinus rate and prolonged PR interval. NIVCD is an independent risk factor of AF in patients with structurally normal heart.

208Effect of hypertension duration and systolic blood pressure on dementia in patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with a higher risk for cognitive impairment and dementia, with or without a history of clinical stroke. There are a paucity of data on the associations of hypertension duration and blood pressure (BP) level with risk of dementia in patients with AF.

Purpose

We examined associations of duration of hypertension and secondly, systolic blood pressure (SBP) levels with incidence of dementia among patients with AF.

Methods

We enrolled a total 196,388 patients aged ≥50 years who were newly diagnosed as AF and undergoing hypertension treatment from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database (2005–2016). Starting from AF diagnosis, participants were followed up until the date of dementia, death, or December 31, 2016. To incorporate the effect of BP level and hypertension duration changes over time on dementia incidence, we constructed time-updated multivariable Cox models in which BP levels and hypertension duration were updated at each participants' regular national health examination visits (at 0–7 years of follow-up). Similarly, age, BP medications, and health-related behaviors were included as time-varying covariates in these models.

Results

During 1,016,744 person-years of follow-up, there were 32,692 dementia events. A cubic spline curve using continuous hypertension duration measures suggested a linear association between increase of hypertension duration and dementia risk. One-year increase of hypertension duration increased the adjusted risk of dementia with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.17 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13–1.22]. In patients with hypertension duration <6 years, SBP of ≥140 mmHg was significantly associated with higher dementia risk, compared to SBP of <130 mmHg (in patients with hypertension duration <3 years: adjusted HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.01–1.16; and in those with 3 ≤ hypertension duration <6 years: adjusted HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.07–1.20), whereas no significant association between SBP and dementia risk in those with hypertension duration ≥6 years.

SBP and dementia in different duration

Conclusion

In patients with AF, the increase of hypertension duration was strongly associated with increased risk of dementia. Uncontrolled SBP was also associated with higher dementia risk. But, this effect of SBP might be attenuated in patients with longer hypertension duration. These findings suggest more emphasis needed on BP control in AF patients with earlier phase of hypertension (duration <6 years).

Acknowledgement/Funding

The Korean Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (NRF-2017R1A2B3003303) and the Korean Ministry of Health & Welfare (HI16C0058, HI15C1200)

P5710Clinical applications of machine learning for prediction of incident atrial fibrillation from the general population: a nationwide cohort study

Background

To evaluate the ability of machine learning algorithms to predict incident atrial fibrillation (AF) from the general population using health examination items.

Methods

We included 483,343 subjects who received national health examinations from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-based National Sample Cohort (NHIS-NSC). We trained deep neural network model (DNN) of a deep learning system and decision tree model (DT) of a machine learning system using clinical variables and health examination items (including age, sex, body mass index, history of heart failure, hypertension or diabetes, baseline creatinine, and smoking and alcohol intake habits) to predict incident AF using a training dataset of 341,771 subjects constructed from the NHIS-NSC database. The DNN and DT were validated using an independent test dataset of 141,572 remaining subjects. C-indices of DNN and DT for prediction of incident AF were compared with that of conventional logistic regression model.

Results

During 1,874,789 person·years (mean±standard-deviation age 47.7±14.4 years, 49.6% male), 3,282 subjects with incident AF were observed. In the validation dataset, 1,139 subjects with incident AF were observed. The c-indices of the DNN and DT for incident AF prediction were 0.828 [0.819–0.836] and 0.835 [0.825–0.844], and were significantly higher (p<0.01) than conventional logistic regression model (c-index=0.789 [0.784–0.794]).

Conclusions

Application of machine learning using simple clinical variables and health examination items was helpful to predict incident AF in the general population. Prospective study is warranted to construct an individualized precision medicine.

64Risk of dementia in patients treated with non-vitamin k antagonist oral anticoagulant or warfarin for nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

Background

Evidence is accumulating that use of oral anticoagulants (OACs) decreases the risk of dementia in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), but it is unclear if there is a difference between non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) and warfarin in protecting against dementia.

Purpose

To compare the risk of dementia between patients taking either NOAC or warfarin using a nationwide cohort data covering the entire Korean population.

Methods

Using the Korean national health insurance service database, 68,984 new OAC users with non-valvular AF aged ≥50 years and no prior diagnosis of dementia were identified during the period of 2013–2016 (39,687 NOAC users and 29,297 warfarin users). Starting from OAC initiation, participants were followed up until the date of dementia, death, or December 31, 2016. We compared the rates of dementia in 1:1 propensity score-matched cohorts of NOAC (n=18,925) and warfarin users (n=18,925).

Results

During the 52,259 person-years of follow-up, there were 2,750 dementia events. Use of NOAC was associated with significant lower risk of dementia [hazard ratio (HR) 0.75, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69–0.81], compared with warfarin. The risk reduction was prominent for vascular dementia (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.52–0.71), whereas there was no significant difference in the risk of Alzheimer dementia (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.83–1.02). Restricting the analyses to patients with no stroke diagnosis prior to OAC initiation (primary prevention) showed no significant difference between NOAC and warfarin in any types of dementia, but in the subgroup with prior stroke (secondary prevention), NOAC significantly reduced the risk of overall (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.63–0.78) and vascular dementia (HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.49–0.69).

Subgroup analysis according to stroke Hx Patient N Overall dementia Alzheimer dementia Vascular dementia HR (95% CI) P for interaction HR (95% CI) P for interaction HR (95% CI) P for interaction Total 37,850 0.75 (0.69–0.81) 0.92 (0.83–1.02) 0.60 (0.52–0.71) Without prior stroke 24,773 0.90 (0.78–1.05) 0.948 0.98 (0.83–1.15) 0.235 0.85 (0.56–1.28) 0.863 With prior stroke 13,077 0.70 (0.63–0.78) 0.90 (0.79–1.03) 0.59 (0.49–0.69) CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio.

KM curves of dementia incidence

Conclusion

In this propensity-weighted nationwide cohort of non-valvular AF patients, NOAC was associated with reduced risk of dementia, compared with warfarin. This association was the most pronounced for vascular dementia in patients with prior stroke.

Acknowledgement/Funding

The Korean Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (NRF-2017R1A2B3003303) and the Korean Ministry of Health & Welfare (HI16C0058, HI15C1200)

P1027The risk of dementia and catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation: a nationwide cohort study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with all forms of dementia, including Alzheimer's disease. Catheter ablation of AF reduces the number of AF episodes, prolongs the time in sinus rhythm, and improves quality of life. However, it is still unclear if catheter ablation for AF improve cognitive function and prevent dementia. Our objective was to compare long-term outcome regarding dementia and type of dementia in AF patients with and without ablation, and about long-term exposure to anticoagulants.

Methods

We identified all 801,701 patients with a diagnosis of AF from 2006 to 2015 in the Korean national health insurance service database. During ten years, 10,979 AF ablations were performed among 9,768 individuals. Propensity scores for the likelihood of AF ablation were obtained by logistic regression. Propensity score (PS) matching was used to construct two cohorts of equal size (n=9,768) with similar characteristics in 16 dimensions.

Results

Patients who had undergone catheter ablation were younger (57.2 vs. 65.6 years, P<0.001) and healthier (mean CHA2DS2-VASc scores 2.5±1.7 vs. 3.6±2.1, p<0.001) than other patients with AF. Mean follow-up was 5.5±3.1 years. After propensity score matching, in the ablated group, 184 patients suffered dementia compared with 650 in the matched non-ablated (annual rates 0.42 vs. 1.08%, P<0.001). While a total of 134 ablated and 379 non-ablated patients had Alzheimer disease (annual rates 0.31 vs. 0.62%, p<0.001), 40 ablated and 191 non-ablated patients had vascular disease (annual rates 0.09 vs. 0.31%, p<0.001). After multivariable adjustments, catheter ablation was associated with lower risk of dementia (hazard ratio [HR] 0.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.37–0.58), lower risk of Alzheimer disease (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.46–0.79) and lower risk of vascular dementia (HR 0.27, 95% CI 0.19–0.38). Although the reduction of dementia and Alzheimer disease was observed after AF ablation regardless of thromboembolic risk, vascular dementia was reduced only among patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2 (HR 0.29, 95% CI 0.20–0.42).

The risk of dementia, RFCA vs. no-RFCA Type Propensity score matched ablation group vs. no ablation group adjusted HR (95% CI) P-value Overall dementia 0.46 (0.37–0.58) <0.001 Alzheimer dementia 0.61 (0.46–0.79) <0.001 Vascular dementia 0.27 (0.19–0.38) <0.001

Conclusion

Ablation may be associated with a lower incidence of dementia and both type of dementia in patients with AF. This finding appears more pronounced in patients with high thromboembolic risk factors.

Is the frozen section examination for sentinel lymph node necessary in early breast cancer patients?

Purpose

Sentinel lymph node (SLN) biopsy (SLNB) is widely performed for axillary staging in patients with breast cancer. Based on the results of frozen section examination (FSE), surgeons can decide to continue further axillary dissections. This study aimed to verify the accuracy of FSE for SLNs.

Methods

We reviewed the records of 4,219 patients who underwent SLNB for primary invasive breast cancer between 2007 and 2016 at the Severance Hospital. We evaluated factors associated with the false-negative results of FSE for SLNs using the Generalized Estimating Equations model.

Results

A total of 1,397 SLNs from 908 patients were confirmed to be metastatic. Seventy-one patients (1.7%) had confirmed pathologic N2 or N3 stage. Among metastatic SLNs, micrometastasis was found in 234 (16.8%). The overall accuracy of SLNB was 98.5%. The sensitivity and false-negative rate of FSE were 86.4% and 13.6%, respectively. Several clinicopathological factors, including the size of SLN metastases, suspicious preoperative axillary lymph nodes, and luminal B subtype, were associated with a higher rate of false-negative results.

Conclusion

Most patients were not indicated for axillary lymph node dissection. Some patients may show transition in their permanent pathology due to the size of the metastatic node. However, the false-negative results of FSE for SLNs based on the size of the metastatic node did not change our practice. Therefore, intraoperative FSE for SLN should not be routinely performed for all breast cancer patients.

Fuel-Composition Dependent Reactor Antineutrino Yield at RENO

We report a fuel-dependent reactor electron antineutrino (ν[over ¯]_{e}) yield using six 2.8 GW_{th} reactors in the Hanbit nuclear power plant complex, Yonggwang, Korea. The analysis uses 850 666 ν[over ¯]_{e} candidate events with a background fraction of 2.0% acquired through inverse beta decay (IBD) interactions in the near detector for 1807.9 live days from August 2011 to February 2018. Based on multiple fuel cycles, we observe a fuel ^{235}U dependent variation of measured IBD yields with a slope of (1.51±0.23)×10^{-43}  cm^{2}/fission and measure a total average IBD yield of (5.84±0.13)×10^{-43}  cm^{2}/fission. The hypothesis of no fuel-dependent IBD yield is ruled out at 6.6σ. The observed IBD yield variation over ^{235}U isotope fraction does not show significant deviation from the Huber-Mueller (HM) prediction at 1.3 σ. The measured fuel-dependent variation determines IBD yields of (6.15±0.19)×10^{-43} and (4.18±0.26)×10^{-43}  cm^{2}/fission for two dominant fuel isotopes ^{235}U and ^{239}Pu, respectively. The measured IBD yield per ^{235}U fission shows the largest deficit relative to the HM prediction. Reevaluation of the ^{235}U IBD yield per fission may mostly solve the reactor antineutrino anomaly (RAA) while ^{239}Pu is not completely ruled out as a possible contributor to the anomaly. We also report a 2.9 σ correlation between the fractional change of the 5 MeV excess and the reactor fuel isotope fraction of ^{235}U.

Effect of primary tumor resection on overall survival in patients with stage IV breast cancer

We aimed to evaluate the effect of primary tumor resection on overall survival in stage IV breast cancer patients. In total, 284 breast cancer patients presenting with breast cancer at stage IV at initial diagnosis, between 2001 and 2014, were enrolled in the study. Patients were divided into two groups based on surgical resection of the primary tumor. Overall survival (OS) between the two groups was analyzed. Patients in the surgery group (n = 92) had smaller tumors than those in the no-surgery group (n = 192, T0-1:17.7% vs 34.8%, P < 0.001). The surgery group more often had negative nodal status (5.7% vs 33.7%, P < 0.001). Multiple metastatic organ sites were more common in the no-surgery group than in the surgery group (55.7% vs 15.2%, P < 0.001). The surgery group showed a better OS than the no-surgery group (P = 0.01). Multivariate analysis showed that surgical resection of primary tumors tended to be associated with improved OS (HR = 0.67, P = 0.055). T stage, ER, HER2 and metastatic organ sites were independent prognostic factors for OS in multivariate analysis. Surgical resection of the primary tumor may be a treatment option for patients with stage IV disease and may not have a negative effect on overall survival.

Abstract P3-03-31: Is sentinel lymph node biopsy necessary in all patients with early breast cancer?

Background and objectives : Since the results of the American College of Surgeons Oncology Group Z0011 published, the criteria for applying axillary lymph node (ALN) dissection was relaxed among early breast cancer patients who were scheduled for breast conserving surgery, adjuvant chemotherapy therapy, and adjuvant radiation therapy. SLNB criteria may be established if pathologic nodal status can be predicted. The aim of this study was to develop a nomogram for preoperative prediction of axillary node metastasis.

Methods: The records of 1650 patients with T1, T2 primary invasive breast cancer who were treated between January 2013 and September 2016 were selected from the medical database of Yonsei University (Seoul, South Korea). Those whom a preoperative diagnosis of axillary node metastases were excluded. Two nomogram that predicted three or more axillary metastasis and one or more axillary metastasis were developed using a binary logistic regression model with a training cohort. Internal validation was carried out adopting bootstrap method by validation cohort 500 times resampling.

Result: A total of 82 (4.8%) patients had three or more ALNs metastasis. Three hundred seventy five (17.4%) patients had one or more ALNs metastasis. Axillary metastasis was associated with Preoperative ALN suspicious image findings, clinical tumor size, Number of neoplastic foci, estrogen receptor status, Ki-67 expression, tumor marker. The nomogram was developed based on the clinical and statistically significant predictors. It had good discrimination performance (AUC 0.79, 95% CI, 0.73–0.85), (AUC 0.71, 95% CI, 0.67–0.74) and calibration fit.

Conclusion:Our nomogram might help predict the ALN metastasis in breast cancer patients. Patients with a low probability of ALN metastasis could be spared SLNB.

Citation Format: Yoon KH, Lee KB, Lee H, Lee J, Kim JY, Park HS, Park S, Kim SI, Cho YU, Park B-W. Is sentinel lymph node biopsy necessary in all patients with early breast cancer? [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P3-03-31.

Abstract OT2-01-03: A prospective pilot study of simultaneous robotic assisted nipple sparing mastectomy and immediate reconstruction

Endoscopic breast surgery was expected to be an adequate technique to complete cancer clearance and preservation of the patient's body image. However, this technique has limitations including incomplete internal movements and unstable vision of a two dimensional camera due to inflexible endoscopic instruments especially during the skin flap formation. High resolution, ten-fold image magnification, and three-dimensional optics of robotic surgery help overcome the limitations of endoscopic surgery, and thus robotic surgery has been adopted in a wide range of intracorporeal procedures including breast surgery. However, few studies have evaluated feasibility and safety of robotic assisted nipple sparing mastectomy (RANSM) and immediate breast reconstruction (IBR) for the treatment of breast cancer. There were not any investigation to assess patients' satisfaction of cosmetic effect after performing RANSM and IBR. This study is aim to verify the feasibility and the safety of RANSM and IBR and to analyze cosmetic effect of the procedure and satisfaction of patients. The target number of enrollments is 15 patients. Patients who are diagnosed with early breast cancer or BRCA 1/2 mutation carriers are enrolled. Female patients over 20 years old who are candidates to preserve nipple areolar complex and considered to perform reconstruction with implants are prospectively collected. Written informed consents are mandatory. Patients who are considered the high possibility of postoperative radiation therapy according to preoperative stage are not included in this study. We exclude patients who want to undergo other methods of breast reconstruction than breast reconstruction with implants. Patients will undergo RANSM and IBR through a single axillary skin incision simultaneously. Regular follow-up at 1 month and 6 months after RANSM and IBR is scheduled to record recovery of a patient, amount of a drain, date of drain removal, and postoperative complications. Patient satisfaction questionnaire will be completed on the last follow-up day. To evaluate the safety of robotic assisted surgery, the oncologic safety (margin status of nipple areolar complex), postoperative recovery of a patient, and postoperative complications are investigated. We compare preoperative and postoperative 6 month photographs of patients and estimate the surgical outcome by objective indicators to evaluate the cosmetic grading by plastic surgeons. Patients' satisfaction are assessed by questionnaire (BREAST-Q) at the 6-month visit.

Citation Format: Lee J, Park HS, Kim JH, Lee DW, Song SY, Lew DH, Kim JY, Kim SI, Cho YU, Lee H, Lee KB, Yoon KH. A prospective pilot study of simultaneous robotic assisted nipple sparing mastectomy and immediate reconstruction [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr OT2-01-03.

Impact of Micrometastatic Axillary Nodes on Survival of Breast Cancer Patients with Tumors ≤2 cm

BACKGROUND

This study investigated the impact of pN1mi disease on the survival of T1 breast cancer patients and examined the clinical usefulness of the online PREDICT tool and updated staging system.

METHODS

The node stages of 2344 patients were divided into pN0, pN1mi, and pN1a. Clinicopathological parameters and survival outcomes were retrospectively analyzed. Data for 111 micrometastatic diseases were applied to the PREDICT version 2.0 and re-classified using the 8th edition of the cancer staging manual.

RESULTS

Univariable analyses demonstrated worse disease-free and overall survival rates for patients with node-positive cancer; however, the significance was not maintained in multivariable analyses. Chemotherapy improved outcomes in patients with node-positive and non-luminal A-like subtype cancers. The PREDICT tool demonstrated good performance when estimating the 5-year overall survival for pN1mi disease (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.834). According to the updated staging system, 74% of cases were down-staged to IA, and clearly splitting survival curves were identified.

CONCLUSION

pN1mi disease alone did not adversely affect survival outcomes. Biologic and treatment factors determined outcomes in cases of small-volume node micrometastasis. The PREDICT tool or new staging classification could help predict the survival of patients with micrometastatic sentinel nodes.

Incidence and Risk Factors of Immediate Hypersensitivity Reactions Associated With Low-Osmolar Iodinated Contrast Media: A Longitudinal Study Based on a Real-Time Monitoring System

OBJECTIVES

We investigated the incidence of immediate hypersensitivity reaction (HSR) caused by different types of low-osmolar contrast media (LOCM) and cumulative exposure to LOCM.

METHODS

This cohort study included all consecutive patients who underwent LOCM-enhanced computed tomography from 2012 through 2014. We assessed 5 LOCM (iobitridol, iohexol, iomeprol, iopamidol, and iopromide). All patients were monitored for adverse events, and new symptoms and signs were recorded in real time using the Contrast Safety Monitoring and Management System (CoSM2oS).

RESULTS

The overall incidence of immediate HSR to LOCM was 0.97% (2004 events resulting from 205 726 exposures). Incidence differed significantly depending on whether the patient had a previous history of HSR to LOCM (0.80% in patients with no history and 16.99% in patients with a positive history of HSR to LOCM, P=.001). The incidence of HSR to individual LOCM ranged from 0.72% (iohexol) to 1.34% (iomeprol), although there were no significant differences across the 5 LOCM. A longitudinal analysis demonstrated that the incidence of HSR increased gradually with more frequent previous exposure to LOCM (HR=2.006 [95%CI, 1.517-2.653], P<.001). However, this cumulative increase in risk was observed in patients who had experienced HSR to LOCM, but not in those who had not.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of HSR did not differ significantly across the 5 LOCM assessed in the study. Repeated exposure to LOCM did not increase the risk of HSR among patients who had never experienced HSR to LOCM.